Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Sep 23, 1:33 AM ET

RTX max pain

Spot (delayed)$191.13
Max pain · Fri, Oct 16$200+4.6% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$8.8±4.6% by Fri, Oct 16
Put/Call OI0.636K puts / 9K calls
Call wall$215largest call OI
Put wall$200largest put OI
IV3028.7%30-day implied vol
Net GEX−$2.9Mper 1% move · flip ≈ $160
Earnings · expectedTue, Oct 20usually before the open

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Oct 2 · CPI release Wed, Oct 14 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Sep 25$195+2.0%2d
Fri, Oct 2$195+2.0%9d
Fri, Oct 9$195+2.0%16d
Fri, Oct 16$200+4.6%23d
Fri, Oct 23$185-3.2%30d← 1st expiry after earnings (Tue, Oct 20)
Fri, Oct 30$195+2.0%37d
Fri, Nov 20$200+4.6%58d
Fri, Dec 18$180-5.8%86d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot200150180210240270300$73M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 200 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spot200150175190202.52152602K2K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)RTX open contracts per strike for Fri, Oct 16.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spot200150175190202.5215260394394
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spot15017620222825428083%21%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 22.3% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spotflip 160150175190202.5215260+$1.4M$1.4M
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Oct 16

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.97-0.021650.00420.03-0.02-0.03
0.95-0.031700.00710.05-0.03-0.05
0.91-0.041750.01210.08-0.04-0.09
0.84-0.061800.01970.12-0.06-0.16
0.79-0.07182.50.02410.14-0.07-0.21
0.72-0.081850.02840.17-0.08-0.28
0.65-0.09187.50.03200.18-0.09-0.36
0.57-0.091900.03430.19-0.10-0.44
0.48-0.09192.50.03510.20-0.10-0.53
0.39-0.091950.03400.19-0.09-0.62
0.31-0.08197.50.03140.17-0.09-0.70
0.24-0.072000.02760.15-0.08-0.77
0.18-0.06202.50.02340.13-0.07-0.83
0.14-0.052050.01900.11-0.05-0.89
0.10-0.04207.50.01500.09-0.04-0.93

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 29 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot1501902052202452853K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot55110165192.522027012K12K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 89K call contracts, 69K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: RTX workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk