Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Sep 23, 1:33 AM ET

RTX max pain

Spot (delayed)$191.13
Max pain · Fri, Oct 2$195+2.0% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$6.38±3.3% by Fri, Oct 2
Put/Call OI0.22852 puts / 4K calls
Call wall$220largest call OI
Put wall$185largest put OI
IV3028.7%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$451Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $205
Earnings · expectedTue, Oct 20usually before the open

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Oct 2 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Sep 25$195+2.0%2d
Fri, Oct 2$195+2.0%9d
Fri, Oct 9$195+2.0%16d
Fri, Oct 16$200+4.6%23d
Fri, Oct 23$185-3.2%30d← 1st expiry after earnings (Tue, Oct 20)
Fri, Oct 30$195+2.0%37d
Fri, Nov 20$200+4.6%58d
Fri, Dec 18$180-5.8%86d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot195115143171199227255$15M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 195 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Oct 2

spot195115150175192.52102352K2K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)RTX open contracts per strike for Fri, Oct 2.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Oct 2

spot195115150175192.5210235456456
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Oct 2

spot12014717420122825595%15%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 24.9% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Oct 2

spotflip 205115150175192.5210235+$261K$261K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Oct 2

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.96-0.04172.50.00710.03-0.04-0.04
0.95-0.041750.00950.03-0.05-0.05
0.94-0.05177.50.01300.04-0.06-0.06
0.91-0.071800.01840.05-0.07-0.09
0.86-0.09182.50.02630.07-0.09-0.14
0.79-0.121850.03570.09-0.12-0.21
0.69-0.14187.50.04450.11-0.14-0.31
0.57-0.151900.05070.12-0.16-0.43
0.44-0.15192.50.05160.13-0.15-0.56
0.32-0.141950.04680.11-0.14-0.69
0.22-0.12197.50.03830.10-0.12-0.79
0.14-0.092000.02880.07-0.09-0.87
0.09-0.06202.50.02020.05-0.07-0.93
0.05-0.042050.01350.04-0.04-0.96
0.04-0.03207.50.00910.03-0.03-0.98

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 40 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot1501902052202452853K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot55110165192.522027012K12K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 89K call contracts, 69K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: RTX workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk