Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 13, 3:05 AM ET

MTRN max pain

Spot (delayed)$270.15
Max pain · Fri, Mar 19$195-27.8% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$78.35±29.0% by Fri, Mar 19
Put/Call OI0.4459 puts / 134 calls
Call wall$340largest call OI
Put wall$135largest put OI
IV3058.6%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$22Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $110
Earnings · expectedWed, Oct 28usually before the open

Event risk before this expiration: CPI release Wed, Oct 14 · FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Oct 16$320+18.5%4d
Fri, Nov 20$320+18.5%39d← 1st expiry after earnings (Wed, Oct 28)
Fri, Dec 18$220-18.6%67d
Fri, Mar 19$195-27.8%158d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot195100164228292356420$2M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 195 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Mar 19

spot1951001351702203003802121
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)MTRN open contracts per strike for Fri, Mar 19.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Mar 19

spot19510013517022030038011
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Mar 19

spot10016422829235642083%52%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 55.7% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Mar 19

spotflip 110100135170220300380+$6K−$6K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Mar 19

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.88-0.051950.00220.37-0.06-0.13
0.86-0.062000.00230.40-0.07-0.14
0.83-0.072100.00270.46-0.08-0.17
0.79-0.082200.00300.51-0.09-0.21
0.75-0.092300.00330.56-0.10-0.25
0.71-0.102400.00350.60-0.10-0.29
0.67-0.102500.00370.64-0.11-0.33
0.59-0.122700.00390.69-0.12-0.41
0.56-0.122800.00400.70-0.12-0.45
0.52-0.122900.00400.71-0.12-0.49
0.48-0.123000.00400.71-0.12-0.53
0.45-0.123100.00390.70-0.12-0.56
0.42-0.123200.00380.69-0.12-0.60
0.39-0.123300.00380.68-0.12-0.63
0.36-0.123400.00360.66-0.12-0.66

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 38 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot901301852403103902340
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot90135180250340430235235
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 826 call contracts, 505 put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: MTRN workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk