Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Aug 12, 3:02 PM ET

MSGE max pain

Spot (delayed)$85.08
Max pain · Fri, Oct 16$60-29.5% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$11±12.9% by Fri, Oct 16
Put/Call OI0.3346 puts / 141 calls
Call wall$70largest call OI
Put wall$50largest put OI
IV3038.5%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$14Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $50

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Sep 4 · CPI release Fri, Sep 11 · FOMC decision Wed, Sep 16 · Jobs report Fri, Oct 2 · CPI release Wed, Oct 14 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Aug 21$75-11.8%6d
Fri, Sep 18$75-11.8%34d
Fri, Oct 16$60-29.5%62d
Fri, Jan 15$65-23.6%153d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot603549637791105$1M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 60 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spot6035506580953030
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)MSGE open contracts per strike for Fri, Oct 16.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spot6035506580952020
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spot3549637791105122%35%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 38.4% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spotflip 503550658095+$4K$4K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Oct 16

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.97-0.01500.00240.02-0.01-0.03
0.96-0.01550.00360.03-0.01-0.04
0.94-0.01600.00560.04-0.02-0.06
0.91-0.02650.00850.06-0.02-0.09
0.86-0.03700.01270.08-0.03-0.14
0.79-0.03750.01840.10-0.03-0.21
0.68-0.04800.02440.13-0.04-0.32
0.55-0.04850.02820.14-0.04-0.46
0.41-0.04900.02800.14-0.04-0.60
0.29-0.04950.02430.12-0.04-0.72
0.14-0.031050.01490.08-0.03-0.87

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 11 strikes around the money — all 14 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot35506580951340
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot35506580951102K2K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 497 call contracts, 2K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: MSGE workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk