Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Sep 12, 3:44 AM ET

MSFT max pain

Spot (delayed)$494.77
Max pain · Fri, Oct 2$490-1.0% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$22.38±4.5% by Fri, Oct 2
Put/Call OI0.138K puts / 61K calls
Call wall$550largest call OI
Put wall$450largest put OI
IV3023.5%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$85.8Mper 1% move · flip ≈ $505
Earnings · expectedWed, Oct 28usually after the close

Event risk before this expiration: FOMC decision Wed, Sep 16 · Jobs report Fri, Oct 2 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Mon, Sep 14$495+0.0%3d
Wed, Sep 16$495+0.0%5d
Fri, Sep 18$445-10.1%7d
Mon, Sep 21$490-1.0%10d
Wed, Sep 23$490-1.0%12d
Fri, Sep 25$490-1.0%14d
Fri, Oct 2$490-1.0%21d
Fri, Oct 9$500+1.1%28d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot490395442489536583630$565M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 490 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Oct 2

spot49039546049052055059020K20K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)MSFT open contracts per strike for Fri, Oct 2.

Open-interest change · 2026-09-102026-09-11

spot395460490520550600+256256
Net contracts opened (up, green) or closed (down, red) per strike since the previous snapshot — where the walls are building and where they’re unwinding. Biggest moves: 395 +256 · 560 +74 · 450 +55 · 500 +53

Volume by strike · Fri, Oct 2

spot490395460490520550590674674
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Oct 2

spot39544248953658363040%20%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 23.5% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Oct 2

spotflip 505395460490520550590+$51.8M$51.8M
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Oct 2

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.89-0.144600.00580.22-0.14-0.11
0.86-0.164650.00710.26-0.16-0.14
0.83-0.184700.00850.31-0.18-0.17
0.79-0.204750.00990.35-0.21-0.22
0.73-0.234800.01140.39-0.23-0.27
0.67-0.244850.01260.43-0.25-0.33
0.61-0.264900.01360.46-0.26-0.40
0.54-0.274950.01420.47-0.27-0.47
0.47-0.265000.01430.47-0.27-0.54
0.40-0.265050.01400.46-0.26-0.61
0.33-0.245100.01320.43-0.25-0.68
0.27-0.225150.01200.40-0.23-0.74
0.22-0.195200.01060.35-0.20-0.80
0.17-0.165250.00920.30-0.17-0.85
0.13-0.145300.00770.26-0.15-0.89

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 34 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot275385452.549052557529K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

Max pain history — nearest expiry vs price

07-2808-0508-1308-2108-3109-08512.97385.00
— max pain (nearest expiry)- - delayed closeOne point per snapshot day since 2026-07-28; unobserved days are gaps, not guesses.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot220340410480550630174K174K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 2.5M call contracts, 1.3M put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: MSFT workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk