Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 11, 11:03 PM ET

MS max pain

Spot (delayed)$190.69
Max pain · Fri, Oct 30$195+2.3% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$12.27±6.4% by Fri, Oct 30
Put/Call OI2.104K puts / 2K calls
Call wall$210largest call OI
Put wall$175largest put OI
IV3031.8%30-day implied vol
Net GEX−$1.6Mper 1% move
Earnings · expectedWed, Oct 14usually after the close

Event risk before this expiration: CPI release Wed, Oct 14 · FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Oct 16$197.5+3.6%4d← 1st expiry after earnings (Wed, Oct 14)
Fri, Oct 23$195+2.3%11d
Fri, Oct 30$195+2.3%18d
Fri, Nov 6$190-0.4%25d
Fri, Nov 13$190-0.4%32d
Fri, Nov 20$195+2.3%39d
Fri, Nov 27$185-3.0%46d
Fri, Dec 18$185-3.0%67d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot195120155190225260295$24M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 195 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Oct 30

spot1951201601802002202402K2K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)MS open contracts per strike for Fri, Oct 30.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Oct 30

spot195120160180200220240571571
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Oct 30

spot12015519022526029591%28%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 32.5% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Oct 30

spot120160180200220240+$994K−$994K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Oct 30

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.98-0.021550.00230.02-0.02-0.02
0.97-0.031600.00360.03-0.03-0.04
0.95-0.041650.00590.04-0.04-0.06
0.92-0.061700.00940.07-0.06-0.10
0.86-0.081750.01450.10-0.09-0.16
0.77-0.111800.02010.14-0.12-0.26
0.66-0.131850.02480.17-0.14-0.37
0.53-0.141900.02720.18-0.14-0.51
0.39-0.141950.02660.17-0.13-0.64
0.27-0.112000.02310.15-0.11-0.75
0.17-0.092050.01780.12-0.08-0.84
0.10-0.062100.01250.08-0.06-0.91
0.06-0.042150.00830.06-0.04-0.94
0.04-0.032200.00560.04-0.03-0.96
0.03-0.032250.00410.03-0.02-0.97

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 23 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot80150182.5202.5222.52608K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot5097.515518521526521K21K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 169K call contracts, 234K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: MS workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk