Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Sep 17, 8:20 PM ET

MRLN max pain

Spot (delayed)$2.09
Max pain · Fri, Jan 15$2.5+19.6% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$1.28±61.0% by Fri, Jan 15
Put/Call OI0.085K puts / 58K calls
Call wall$10largest call OI
Put wall$2.5largest put OI
IV30106.1%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$26Kper 1% move

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Oct 2 · CPI release Wed, Oct 14 · FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Sep 18$5+139.2%1d
Fri, Oct 16$5+139.2%29d
Fri, Nov 20$5+139.2%64d
Fri, Dec 18$2.5+19.6%92d
Fri, Jan 15$2.5+19.6%120d
Fri, Apr 16$2.5+19.6%211d
Fri, Jan 21$2.5+19.6%491d
Fri, Jan 19$2.5+19.6%855d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot2.5369121518$48M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 2.5 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spot2.52.57.512.517.535K35K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)MRLN open contracts per strike for Fri, Jan 15.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spot2.52.57.512.517.5274274
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spot369121518222%82%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 121.8% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spot2.57.512.517.5+$15K$15K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Jan 15

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.46-0.002.50.31250.01-0.00-0.50
0.20-0.0050.17580.00-0.00-0.76
0.15-0.007.50.12400.00-0.00-0.82
0.13-0.00100.10010.000.00-0.85
0.11-0.0012.50.08600.000.00-0.88
0.10-0.00150.07660.00-0.89
0.10-0.0017.50.06970.00-0.91

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot2.57.512.517.522.53012K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot2.57.512.517.522.53041K41K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 101K call contracts, 13K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: MRLN workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk