Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Aug 15, 1:53 AM ET

MHO max pain

Spot (delayed)$152.11
Max pain · Fri, Oct 16$130-14.5% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$16.85±11.1% by Fri, Oct 16
Put/Call OI0.0650 puts / 880 calls
Call wall$145largest call OI
Put wall$120largest put OI
IV3032.3%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$317Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $135

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Sep 4 · CPI release Fri, Sep 11 · FOMC decision Wed, Sep 16 · Jobs report Fri, Oct 2 · CPI release Wed, Oct 14 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Aug 21$150-1.4%5d
Fri, Sep 18$125-17.8%33d
Fri, Oct 16$130-14.5%61d
Fri, Jan 15$135-11.2%152d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot13080106132158184210$5M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 130 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spot13080100120140160185449449
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)MHO open contracts per strike for Fri, Oct 16.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spot1308010012014016018511
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spot8010613215818421097%31%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 33.1% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spotflip 13580100120140160185+$172K$172K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Oct 16

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.93-0.041150.00420.09-0.04-0.07
0.91-0.041200.00540.10-0.04-0.09
0.89-0.041250.00690.12-0.04-0.12
0.85-0.051300.00880.15-0.05-0.15
0.81-0.051350.01120.17-0.05-0.19
0.76-0.061400.01390.20-0.06-0.25
0.68-0.061450.01660.23-0.06-0.32
0.59-0.061500.01870.25-0.07-0.41
0.50-0.061550.01960.25-0.07-0.51
0.40-0.061600.01900.24-0.07-0.61
0.32-0.061650.01740.23-0.06-0.70
0.20-0.051750.01280.18-0.05-0.83
0.15-0.041800.01070.15-0.05-0.88
0.12-0.041850.00880.13-0.04-0.91
0.10-0.031900.00720.11-0.04-0.94

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 24 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot901301451601751904520
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot7095120145170195912912
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 2K call contracts, 146 put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: MHO workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk