Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 25, 11:03 PM ET

MDWD max pain

Spot (delayed)$12
Max pain · Fri, Dec 18$15+25.0% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$2.9±24.2% by Fri, Dec 18
Put/Call OI0.3066 puts / 223 calls
Call wall$25largest call OI
Put wall$13largest put OI
IV3047.9%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$122per 1% move · flip ≈ $25

Event risk before this expiration: FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Nov 20$14+16.7%25d
Fri, Dec 18$15+25.0%53d
Fri, Mar 19$8-33.3%144d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot15121518202326$1M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 15 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot1512151821268585
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)MDWD open contracts per strike for Fri, Dec 18.

Open-interest change: building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration; the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot15121518212611
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot121518202326196%43%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 62.1% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spotflip 251215182126+$605−$605
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Dec 18

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.55-0.01120.16870.02-0.01-0.45
0.39-0.01130.16350.02-0.01-0.62
0.27-0.01140.13400.02-0.01-0.74
0.19-0.01150.10360.01-0.01-0.82
0.14-0.01160.07960.01-0.01-0.88
0.11-0.01170.06210.01-0.01-0.91
0.09-0.00180.04920.01-0.01-0.94
0.07-0.00190.03980.01-0.00-0.95

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 8 strikes around the money — all 13 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot8141720252040
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot4812162024204204
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 585 call contracts, 98 put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: MDWD workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · iron condor and credit spread calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk