Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Aug 14, 11:31 PM ET

MDLZ max pain

Spot (delayed)$63.61
Max pain · Fri, Sep 25$60-5.7% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$4±6.3% by Fri, Sep 25
Put/Call OI0.035 puts / 166 calls
Call wall$68largest call OI
Put wall$60largest put OI
IV3020.9%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$40Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $59

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Sep 4 · CPI release Fri, Sep 11 · FOMC decision Wed, Sep 16 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Aug 21$60-5.7%5d
Fri, Aug 28$59-7.2%12d
Fri, Sep 4$62-2.5%19d
Fri, Sep 11$63-1.0%26d
Fri, Sep 18$57.5-9.6%33d
Fri, Sep 25$60-5.7%40d
Fri, Dec 18$60-5.7%124d
Fri, Jan 15$60-5.7%152d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot60586063656870$1M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 60 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Sep 25

spot605860636567706262
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)MDLZ open contracts per strike for Fri, Sep 25.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Sep 25

spot6058606365677033
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Sep 25

spot58606365687028%22%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 23.1% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Sep 25

spotflip 59586063656770+$15K$15K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Sep 25

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.86-0.01580.03750.05-0.01-0.14
0.83-0.02590.04580.06-0.02-0.17
0.78-0.02600.05510.06-0.02-0.22
0.66-0.02620.07280.08-0.02-0.34
0.58-0.02630.07890.08-0.02-0.42
0.50-0.02640.08170.09-0.02-0.50
0.42-0.02650.08090.09-0.02-0.59
0.35-0.02660.07650.08-0.02-0.67
0.28-0.02670.06900.07-0.02-0.74
0.22-0.02680.05990.07-0.02-0.79
0.15-0.01700.04320.05-0.02-0.87

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot40505862.567712K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot27.547.55562.57077.514K14K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 59K call contracts, 58K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: MDLZ workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk