Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 10, 11:02 PM ET

MBGL max pain

Spot (delayed)$18.22
Max pain · Fri, Nov 20$20+9.8% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$2.5±13.7% by Fri, Nov 20
Put/Call OI0.392K puts / 4K calls
Call wall$22.5largest call OI
Put wall$17.5largest put OI
IV3045.1%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$35Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $15

Event risk before this expiration: CPI release Wed, Oct 14 · FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Oct 16$20+9.8%5d
Fri, Nov 20$20+9.8%40d
Fri, Feb 19$20+9.8%131d
Fri, May 21$15-17.7%222d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot20101520253035$5M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 20 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Nov 20

spot20101520253K3K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)MBGL open contracts per strike for Fri, Nov 20.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Nov 20

spot201015202566
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Nov 20

spot151923273135134%48%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 50.4% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Nov 20

spotflip 1510152025+$73K−$73K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Nov 20

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.97-0.01100.01190.00-0.01-0.03
0.94-0.0112.50.02630.01-0.01-0.06
0.86-0.01150.06230.01-0.01-0.14
0.63-0.0117.50.12980.02-0.01-0.36
0.32-0.01200.11550.02-0.01-0.67
0.17-0.0122.50.06930.02-0.01-0.82
0.11-0.01250.04340.01-0.01-0.89
0.03-0.01350.01190.00-0.01-0.97

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot10152025356K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot2.51017.525406K6K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 10K call contracts, 7K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: MBGL workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk