Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Aug 13, 12:20 PM ET

LXU max pain

Spot (delayed)$9.87
Max pain · Fri, Jan 15$10+1.3% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$3.1±31.4% by Fri, Jan 15
Put/Call OI0.07356 puts / 5K calls
Call wall$10largest call OI
Put wall$10largest put OI
IV3051.1%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$41Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $7.5

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Sep 4 · CPI release Fri, Sep 11 · FOMC decision Wed, Sep 16 · Jobs report Fri, Oct 2 · CPI release Wed, Oct 14 · FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Aug 21$10+1.3%8d
Fri, Sep 18$12.5+26.6%36d
Fri, Dec 18$10+1.3%127d
Fri, Jan 15$10+1.3%155d
Fri, Mar 19$7.5-24.0%218d
Fri, Jan 21$7.5-24.0%526d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot1051015202530$9M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 10 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spot105101520253K3K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)LXU open contracts per strike for Fri, Jan 15.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spot1051015202522
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spot51015202530148%49%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 60.2% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Jan 15

spotflip 7.5510152025+$33K$33K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Jan 15

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.92-0.0050.02320.01-0.00-0.09
0.81-0.007.50.05950.02-0.00-0.20
0.58-0.00100.11330.03-0.00-0.43
0.34-0.0012.50.10460.02-0.00-0.69
0.22-0.00150.07450.02-0.00-0.82
0.15-0.0017.50.05440.01-0.00-0.90
0.12-0.00200.04160.01-0.00-0.94
0.09-0.0022.50.03310.01-0.00-0.97
0.08-0.00250.02710.01-0.00-0.99
0.05-0.00300.01940.01-0.00-1.00

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot2.57.512.517.522.53013K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot2.57.512.517.522.53013K13K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 23K call contracts, 2K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: LXU workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk