Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Sep 21, 3:31 AM ET

JJSF max pain

Spot (delayed)$77.97
Max pain · Fri, May 21$60-23.0% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$15.85±20.3% by Fri, May 21
Put wall$60largest put OI
IV3030.7%30-day implied vol
Net GEX−$60per 1% move
Earnings · expectedMon, Nov 16usually after the close

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Oct 2 · CPI release Wed, Oct 14 · FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Oct 16$80+2.6%25d
Fri, Nov 20$75-3.8%60d← 1st expiry after earnings (Mon, Nov 16)
Fri, Feb 19$70-10.2%151d
Fri, May 21$60-23.0%242d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

Open interest by strike · Fri, May 21

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, May 21

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot708090100400
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot4060801001204040
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 89 call contracts, 124 put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: JJSF workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk