Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Sep 23, 3:07 AM ET

CVX max pain

Spot (delayed)$202.75
Max pain · Fri, Oct 16$200-1.4% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$11±5.4% by Fri, Oct 16
Put/Call OI0.4820K puts / 41K calls
Call wall$210largest call OI
Put wall$190largest put OI
IV3026.2%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$18.2Mper 1% move · flip ≈ $210
Earnings · expectedFri, Oct 30usually before the open

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Oct 2 · CPI release Wed, Oct 14 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Sep 25$210+3.6%2d
Fri, Oct 2$207.5+2.3%9d
Fri, Oct 9$210+3.6%16d
Fri, Oct 16$200-1.4%23d
Fri, Oct 23$205+1.1%30d
Fri, Oct 30$200-1.4%37d← 1st expiry after earnings (Fri, Oct 30)
Fri, Nov 20$200-1.4%58d
Fri, Dec 18$185-8.8%86d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot200120156192228264300$346M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 200 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spot200120165195212.523028019K19K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)CVX open contracts per strike for Fri, Oct 16.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spot200120165195212.52302801K1K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spot13516820123426730094%20%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 26.4% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spotflip 210120165195212.5230280+$17.8M$17.8M
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Oct 16

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.95-0.031800.00700.06-0.03-0.05
0.90-0.051850.01150.09-0.05-0.10
0.83-0.071900.01730.13-0.08-0.17
0.79-0.09192.50.02040.15-0.09-0.22
0.73-0.101950.02330.17-0.10-0.27
0.67-0.10197.50.02580.19-0.11-0.34
0.60-0.112000.02780.20-0.11-0.40
0.53-0.11202.50.02890.21-0.12-0.47
0.46-0.112050.02900.21-0.12-0.55
0.39-0.11207.50.02810.20-0.11-0.62
0.32-0.102100.02630.19-0.10-0.69
0.26-0.09212.50.02390.17-0.09-0.75
0.21-0.082150.02100.15-0.08-0.81
0.17-0.07217.50.01800.13-0.07-0.85
0.13-0.062200.01520.11-0.06-0.89

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 37 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot110185202.5217.5232.526014K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot70120170202.5227.526544K44K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 280K call contracts, 190K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: CVX workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk