Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Sep 23, 3:07 AM ET

CVX max pain

Spot (delayed)$202.75
Max pain · Fri, Oct 2$207.5+2.3% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$7.5±3.7% by Fri, Oct 2
Put/Call OI1.114K puts / 4K calls
Call wall$215largest call OI
Put wall$190largest put OI
IV3026.2%30-day implied vol
Net GEX−$2.0Mper 1% move
Earnings · expectedFri, Oct 30usually before the open

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Oct 2 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Sep 25$210+3.6%2d
Fri, Oct 2$207.5+2.3%9d
Fri, Oct 9$210+3.6%16d
Fri, Oct 16$200-1.4%23d
Fri, Oct 23$205+1.1%30d
Fri, Oct 30$200-1.4%37d← 1st expiry after earnings (Fri, Oct 30)
Fri, Nov 20$200-1.4%58d
Fri, Dec 18$185-8.8%86d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot207.5140167194221248275$25M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 207.5 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Oct 2

spot207.51401802002152302502K2K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)CVX open contracts per strike for Fri, Oct 2.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Oct 2

spot207.51401802002152302501K1K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Oct 2

spot16017819621423225088%21%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 27.9% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Oct 2

spot140180200215230250+$1.4M$1.4M
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Oct 2

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.98-0.031800.00420.02-0.03-0.02
0.96-0.041850.00810.03-0.04-0.04
0.91-0.081900.01640.06-0.08-0.09
0.86-0.10192.50.02230.07-0.11-0.14
0.80-0.131950.02900.10-0.14-0.20
0.72-0.16197.50.03540.11-0.16-0.28
0.63-0.182000.04050.13-0.18-0.38
0.52-0.19202.50.04300.13-0.19-0.48
0.41-0.182050.04230.13-0.18-0.59
0.31-0.16207.50.03860.12-0.17-0.69
0.23-0.142100.03280.10-0.14-0.78
0.16-0.11212.50.02610.08-0.11-0.85
0.11-0.082150.01960.06-0.09-0.91
0.07-0.06217.50.01440.05-0.07-0.94
0.05-0.052200.01060.04-0.05-0.96

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 32 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot110185202.5217.5232.526014K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot70120170202.5227.526544K44K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 280K call contracts, 190K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: CVX workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk