Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Aug 7, 8:08 PM ET

ASML max pain

Spot (delayed)$1,740
Max pain · Fri, Sep 25$1,750+0.5% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$254.55±14.6% by Fri, Sep 25
Put/Call OI1.001 puts / 1 calls
Call wall$1,750largest call OI
Put wall$1,765largest put OI
IV3049.7%30-day implied vol
Net GEX−$303per 1% move · flip ≈ $1,765

Event risk before this expiration: CPI release Wed, Aug 12 · Jobs report Fri, Sep 4 · CPI release Fri, Sep 11 · FOMC decision Wed, Sep 16 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Aug 7$1,695-2.6%today
Fri, Aug 14$1,695-2.6%7d
Fri, Aug 21$1,700-2.3%14d
Fri, Aug 28$1,675-3.8%21d
Fri, Sep 4$1,550-10.9%28d
Fri, Sep 11$1,800+3.4%35d
Fri, Sep 18$1,560-10.4%42d
Fri, Sep 25$1,750+0.5%49d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

Open interest by strike · Fri, Sep 25

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Sep 25

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot680142015601700185021202K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot45080012001450168020804K4K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 90K call contracts, 102K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: ASML workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk