Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Oct 26, 4:24 PM ET

ASML max pain

Spot (delayed)$1,606
Max pain · Fri, Oct 30$1,625+1.2% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$68.85±4.3% by Fri, Oct 30
Put/Call OI1.268K puts / 6K calls
Call wall$1,640largest call OI
Put wall$1,550largest put OI
IV3040.7%30-day implied vol
Net GEX−$7.2Mper 1% move

Event risk before this expiration: FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Oct 30$1,625+1.2%4d
Fri, Nov 6$1,705+6.1%11d
Fri, Nov 13$1,730+7.7%18d
Fri, Nov 20$1,675+4.3%25d
Fri, Nov 27$1,695+5.5%32d
Fri, Dec 4$1,610+0.2%39d
Fri, Dec 18$1,540-4.1%53d
Fri, Jan 15$1,370-14.7%81d
Fri, Feb 19$1,720+7.1%116d
Fri, Mar 19$1,740+8.3%144d
Fri, Apr 16$1,700+5.8%172d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot1625125014201590176019302100$219M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 1625 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Oct 30

spot1625125014901550161016701790587587
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)ASML open contracts per strike for Fri, Oct 30.

Open-interest change: building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration; the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Oct 30

spot1625125014901550161016701790151151
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Oct 30

spot125014201590176019302100129%47%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 50.1% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Oct 30

spot138015051560162016801800+$5.4M−$5.4M
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Oct 30

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.69-3.8715650.00400.61-3.91-0.31
0.67-3.9815700.00410.62-4.02-0.33
0.65-4.0815750.00420.64-4.11-0.35
0.63-4.1615800.00440.65-4.20-0.38
0.58-4.2815900.00450.67-4.32-0.42
0.56-4.3215950.00460.68-4.36-0.44
0.54-4.3516000.00460.68-4.39-0.47
0.49-4.3416100.00460.69-4.38-0.51
0.47-4.3216150.00460.68-4.36-0.54
0.45-4.2816200.00460.68-4.31-0.56
0.42-4.2216250.00460.67-4.25-0.58
0.40-4.1416300.00450.66-4.18-0.60
0.35-3.9616400.00440.64-3.99-0.65
0.33-3.8416450.00430.63-3.87-0.67
0.31-3.7216500.00420.61-3.75-0.69

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 60 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot1310154016201700180019105270
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot490100014001600182021804K4K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 85K call contracts, 94K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: ASML workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · iron condor and credit spread calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk