Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Aug 28, 3:44 AM ET

AAL max pain

Spot (delayed)$13.78
Max pain · Fri, Sep 18$14+1.6% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$1.23±9.0% by Fri, Sep 18
Put/Call OI1.73271K puts / 157K calls
Call wall$17largest call OI
Put wall$12largest put OI
IV3044.1%30-day implied vol
Net GEX−$1.1Mper 1% move · flip ≈ $4
Earnings · expectedThu, Oct 22usually before the open

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Sep 4 · CPI release Fri, Sep 11 · FOMC decision Wed, Sep 16 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Aug 28$14+1.6%today
Fri, Sep 4$14+1.6%7d
Fri, Sep 11$14.5+5.2%14d
Fri, Sep 18$14+1.6%21d
Fri, Sep 25$14.5+5.2%28d
Fri, Oct 2$14+1.6%35d
Fri, Oct 16$14+1.6%49d
Fri, Nov 20$15+8.9%84d← 1st expiry after earnings (Thu, Oct 22)

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot141713182430$275M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 14 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Sep 18

spot141711.514.517.52367K67K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)AAL open contracts per strike for Fri, Sep 18.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Sep 18

spot141711.514.517.5231K1K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Sep 18

spot51015202530161%44%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 44.4% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Sep 18

spotflip 42812151825+$1.1M$1.1M
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Sep 18

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.98-0.0010.50.02870.00-0.00-0.02
0.96-0.00110.04540.00-0.00-0.04
0.94-0.0011.50.07350.00-0.00-0.06
0.89-0.01120.11670.01-0.01-0.11
0.82-0.0112.50.17110.01-0.01-0.18
0.71-0.01130.22260.01-0.01-0.29
0.59-0.0113.50.25560.01-0.01-0.41
0.46-0.01140.26100.01-0.01-0.54
0.34-0.0114.50.24010.01-0.01-0.67
0.24-0.01150.20170.01-0.01-0.77
0.16-0.0115.50.15690.01-0.01-0.85
0.11-0.01160.11740.01-0.01-0.90
0.08-0.0116.50.08780.01-0.01-0.93
0.06-0.01170.06650.00-0.00-0.95
0.05-0.0017.50.05120.00-0.00-0.97

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 33 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot510.513.516.519.52414K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot1913172127272K272K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 725K call contracts, 1.2M put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: AAL workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk