Dilution profile // every instrument, one screen, from SEC filings

SMITH MICRO SOFTWARE, INC. (SMSI)

CIK 948708 · all EDGAR filings →

Overall dilution risk
HIGHworst of 4 computed signals (offering ability)
= the worst band among the computed sub-ratings, no hidden weighting
Offering ability
HIGH$22.5M registered
= total registered offering amount from the fee exhibits of live registrations (bands: $1M / $20M)
registered capacity, not remaining: amounts already taken down are not subtracted yet
Overhead supply
HIGHwarrants = 109% of O/S
= warrant shares outstanding divided by current shares outstanding (bands: 20% / 50%)
warrants only; converts, ATMs and equity lines are not in free structured data, so the true overhead is AT LEAST this
Historical dilution
LOW-59% O/S in 3y
= share count now vs 3 years ago (bands: 30% / 100%); a reverse split pushes this negative
a reverse-split-sized cliff is in this window; read the chart
Cash need
HIGH~2.9 months of runway
= cash vs trailing operating burn (bands: 6mo / 24mo; positive operating CF = low)
the company itself flagged going-concern doubt

Same rating bands the category standard uses, but free, with the formula on the chip and the gaps in the data said out loud.

Shares outstanding over time

2020-08-062026-04-30

Latest: 25.6M shares as of Apr 30, 2026 (10-Q). Share count fell from 74.9M to 9.6M between Feb 15, 2024 and May 6, 2024, a pattern consistent with a reverse split (roughly 1-for-8); simultaneous issuance can skew the raw ratio, so confirm in the filings. The red bar marks the cliff.

Cash runway

Going-concern warning

auditor flagged substantial doubt

The company itself flagged going-concern doubt in a filing.

Full breakdown: cash runway tool · source filing →

Warrants

TrancheWarrantsExercise priceTermNotes
Warrants Issued With Convertible Notes9.4M$0.685y
July2025 Warrants2.9M$0.6708
Unregistered Warrants2.2M$0.67085y
Unregistered Common Warrants1.7M$0.67085y
Unregistered Common Stock Warrants1.5M$0.685y
Notes Warrants279,851$2.06
Additional Warrants141,509$21.2
September112025 Warrantsnot taggednot tagged5.5y
September292025 Warrantnot tagged$0.67085.5y

Tranches exactly as the company dimensioned them in its 10-Q filed May 1, 2026. Groupings can overlap (a “Series E and F” row is not additive with a “Series E” row), so do not sum this column. A tranche the filer did not tag is absent here, not absent from the cap table. DOWN-ROUND = the filer tagged price-protection accounting scoped to that tranche.

Warrants outstanding: 27.8M underlying shares, as reported Mar 31, 2026 (10-Q).

Reported exercise price: $1 (aggregate figure as tagged; individual tranches vary).

Balance-sheet fair value of warrants: $3.8M as of Aug 11, 2022.

Down-round (price protection) accounting has been tagged in this filer’s XBRL: some instrument carries repricing protection. Which tranche requires reading the exhibits.

Rough fully diluted estimate: 53.3M = 25.6M O/S + 27.8M warrant shares. An estimate, not a filing figure: it ignores converts, options and RSUs, and the two inputs carry different as-of dates.

Convertible notes

NotePrincipalCarryingConv. priceRateIf converted
Convertible Notes$4.9M$0.688%~7.2M sh

If every note above converted at its tagged price: ~7.2M new shares on 25.6M currently outstanding. An estimate from principal ÷ conversion price, with inputs carrying different as-of dates; make-whole adjustments, capped calls and partial repurchases are not modeled.

Notes exactly as the company dimensioned them in its 10-Q filed May 1, 2026. Principal is face amount as tagged, not what remains after repurchases unless the filer updated the tag. A note the filer did not dimension is absent here, not absent from the balance sheet; the exhibits stay the ground truth.

Registrations and offerings

Registered offering capacity on live registrations: $22.5Mfrom the structured fee exhibits; registered is not remaining, takedowns are not subtracted

S-1Jul 10, 2026$1.3M registeredfiling →
S-1May 8, 2026$15.7M registeredfiling →
S-1Dec 4, 2025$5.6M registeredfiling →

Last 12 months: 7 executed · 3 registered.

UPDATEJul 23, 2026Prospectus update — often a resale registration, not necessarily new capital424B3
EFFECTIVEJul 22, 2026SEC declared a registration effective — selling can beginEFFECT
REGISTEREDJul 10, 2026S-1 registration — capacity to sell shares, not a sale yetS-1
EXECUTEDJun 12, 2026Unregistered share sale disclosed (8-K item 3.02)8-K
UPDATEMay 20, 2026Prospectus update — often a resale registration, not necessarily new capital424B3
EFFECTIVEMay 20, 2026SEC declared a registration effective — selling can beginEFFECT
REGISTEREDMay 8, 2026S-1 registration — capacity to sell shares, not a sale yetS-1
EXECUTEDMar 4, 2026Unregistered share sale disclosed (8-K item 3.02)8-K
EXECUTEDFeb 5, 2026Unregistered share sale disclosed (8-K item 3.02)8-K
UPDATEDec 15, 2025Prospectus update — often a resale registration, not necessarily new capital424B3
EFFECTIVEDec 12, 2025SEC declared a registration effective — selling can beginEFFECT
REGISTEREDDec 4, 2025S-1 registration — capacity to sell shares, not a sale yetS-1

Full history and shelf status: offering checker · S-3 shelf checker

Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL company facts and filing metadata, fetched live and cached briefly. Share counts are cover-page figures with their form named. Warrant tranches and convertible notes come from the dimensioned facts in the latest 10-Q/10-K instance document, exactly as the company tagged them; untagged tranches and notes are absent, not disproven. Nothing on this page is manually verified and nothing is behind a login: what free data supports is shown, what it cannot support is stated. Not investment advice.

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