Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis
Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition
and Results of Operations
References in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q (the
“Quarterly Report”) to “we,” “us” or the “Company” refer to Vine Hill Capital Investment
Corp. II. References to our “management” or our “management team” refer to our officers and directors, and references
to the “Sponsor” refer to Vine Hill Capital Sponsor II LLC. The following discussion and analysis of the Company’s
financial condition and results of operations should be read in conjunction with the audited financial statements as of August 25, 2025
and for the period from August 18, 2025 (inception) to August 25, 2025 included in the Company’s prospectus for its initial public
offering included in the Company’s Registration Statement on Form S-1 as filed with the SEC on December 19, 2025 as well as the
audited Closing Balance Sheet as of December 19, 2025 filed with the SEC on December 29, 2025.
Certain information contained in the discussion and
analysis set forth below includes forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties.
Special Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements
All statements other than statements of historical
fact included in this Quarterly Report including, without limitation, statements under this Item regarding our financial position, business
strategy and the plans and objectives of Management for future operations, are forward-looking statements. When used in this Quarterly
Report, words such as “anticipate,” “believe,” “estimate,” “expect,” “intend”
and similar expressions, as they relate to us or our management, identify forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements
are based on the beliefs of our management, as well as assumptions made by, and information currently available to, our management. Actual
results could differ materially from those contemplated by the forward-looking statements as a result of certain factors detailed in our
filings with the SEC. All subsequent written or oral forward-looking statements attributable to us or persons acting on our behalf are
qualified in their entirety by this paragraph.
The following discussion and analysis of our financial
condition and results of operations should be read in conjunction with the unaudited condensed financial statements and the notes thereto
included in this Quarterly Report under “Item 1. Financial Statements.”
Overview
We are a newly incorporated blank check company incorporated
as a Cayman Islands exempted company on August 18, 2025 for the purpose of effecting a merger, amalgamation, share exchange, asset acquisition,
share purchase, reorganization or similar business combination with one or more businesses, which we refer to throughout this Quarterly
Report as our initial business combination. We have not selected any specific business combination target and we have not, nor has anyone
on our behalf, engaged in any substantive discussions, directly or indirectly, with any business combination target with respect to an
initial business combination with us. We intend to effectuate our initial business combination using cash from the proceeds of the IPO
and the sale of the Private Placement Warrants and the proceeds of the sale of our securities in connection with our initial business
combination (pursuant to any the forward purchase agreements, backstop or similar agreements we may enter into following the consummation
of the IPO or otherwise), our shares, debt or a combination of cash, equity and debt.
The issuance of additional ordinary shares in a business
combination:
●
may significantly dilute the equity interest of investors in the IPO, which dilution would increase if the anti-dilution provisions in the Class B ordinary shares resulted in the issuance of Class A shares on a greater than one-to-one basis upon conversion of the Class B ordinary shares;
●
may subordinate the rights of holders of ordinary shares if preference shares are issued with rights senior to those afforded our ordinary shares;
●
could cause a change of control if a substantial number of ordinary shares are issued, which could result in the resignation or removal of our present officers and directors;
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●
may have the effect of delaying or preventing a change of control of us by diluting the equity ownership or voting rights of a person seeking to obtain control of us; and
●
may adversely affect prevailing market prices for our Class A ordinary shares and/or warrants.
Similarly, if we issue debt securities or otherwise
incur significant indebtedness, it could result in:
●
default and foreclosure on our assets if our operating revenues after an initial business combination are insufficient to repay our debt obligations;
●
acceleration of our obligations to repay the indebtedness even if we make all principal and interest payments when due if we breach certain covenants that require the maintenance of certain financial ratios or reserves without a waiver or renegotiation of that covenant;
●
our immediate payment of all principal and accrued interest, if any, if the debt is payable on demand;
●
our inability to obtain necessary additional financing if the debt contains covenants restricting our ability to obtain such financing while the debt is outstanding;
●
our inability to pay dividends on our ordinary shares;
●
using a substantial portion of our cash flow to pay principal and interest on our debt, which will reduce the funds available for dividends on our ordinary shares, expenses, capital expenditures, acquisitions and other general corporate purposes;
●
limitations on our flexibility in planning for and reacting to changes in our business and in the industry in which we operate;
●
increased vulnerability to adverse changes in general economic, industry and competitive conditions and adverse changes in government regulation; and
●
limitations on our ability to borrow additional amounts for expenses, capital expenditures, acquisitions, debt service requirements, execution of our strategy and other purposes and other disadvantages compared to our competitors who have less debt.
As of September 30, 2025, we had approximately $11,000
of cash and cash equivalents and approximately $107,000 of negative working capital. Further, we expect to incur significant costs in
the pursuit of our acquisition and financing plans. We cannot assure you that our plans to raise capital or to complete our initial business
combination will be successful.
Recent Developments
On December 19, 2025, we completed (i) our initial
public offering (the “IPO”) of 23,000,000 units (the “Units”), including 3,000,000 Units issued pursuant to the
exercise of the underwriter’s over-allotment option in full, at an offering price of $10.00 per Unit and (ii) a private placement
of 5,500,000 private placement warrants with Vine Hill Capital Sponsor II LLC at a price of $1.00 per warrant (the “Private Placement”).
The net proceeds from the IPO, together with certain
of the proceeds from the Private Placement, totaling $230,000,000 in the aggregate, were placed in a trust account (the “Trust Account”)
with Continental Stock Transfer & Trust Company established for the benefit of the Company’s public shareholders and the underwriter
of the IPO. Except for the withdrawal of interest earned on the amounts in the trust account to fund the Company’s taxes, or upon
the redemption by public shareholders of Class A ordinary shares in connection with certain amendments to the Company’s amended
and restated memorandum and articles of association, none of the funds held in the Trust Account will be released until the completion
of the Company’s initial business combination or the redemption by the Company of 100% of the outstanding Class A ordinary shares
issued by the Company in the IPO if the Company does not consummate an initial business combination within 24 months after the closing
of the IPO.
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As a result of the full exercise of the underwriters’
over-allotment option, (a) none of the 875,000 (after September 30, 2025 this was increased to 1,000,000 in connection with the upsize
of the IPO) Class B ordinary shares were forfeited resulting in 7,666,667 Class B ordinary shares outstanding at the closing of the IPO
and (b) there was no over-allotment liability to record.
Results of Operations and Known Trends or Future Events
We have neither engaged in any operations nor generated
any revenues to date. Our only activities since inception have been organizational activities and those necessary to prepare for the initial
public offering. Following the IPO, we will not generate any operating revenues until after completion of our initial business combination.
We will generate non-operating income in the form of interest or dividend income on cash and cash equivalents after the initial public
offering. The operating costs incurred in the period from August 18, 2025 (inception) to September 30, 2025 consist of approximately $53,000
of primarily formation costs, accounting and auditing fees associated with our financial reporting. Since the IPO on December 19, 2025
we are incurring increased expenses as a result of being a public company (for legal, financial reporting, accounting and auditing compliance),
as well as for expenses related to efforts to identify and evaluate target businesses and due diligence expenses. We expect our expenses
to increase substantially since the closing of the IPO.
Certain Risks
and Uncertainties
As a development stage SPAC our risks include, among other things, the uncertainties and potential inability
to: (i) complete and achieve the expected benefits of the IPO; (ii) identify, assess, negotiate and complete a proposed acquisition of
a suitable company in connection with our initial business combination; and (iii) satisfy all conditions necessary to the successful completion
of our initial business combination, including without limitation, shareholder approvals of both parties, redemption of our securities
pursuant to the amended and restated memorandum and articles of association, completion of related transactions customarily expected in
connection with a SPAC sponsored acquisition, and other conditions. Relatedly, the successful completion of our initial business combination
requires not only the success of our efforts, which cannot be assured, but also the supportiveness of relevant financial markets including
equity markets, debt markets, merger and acquisition markets, capital markets and other markets, none of which can be assured.
Liquidity and Capital Resources
Our liquidity needs have been satisfied through September
30, 2025 through receipt of $25,000 from the sale of the Founder Shares and approximately $25,000 drawn down on an up to $300,000 in loans
that were available from our Sponsor under an unsecured promissory note as well as from deferral of certain fees until closing of our
IPO. On December 19, 2025 we closed the IPO and the underwriters fully exercised its overallotment option. In connection with the closing,
the approximately $175,000 drawn down under the unsecured promissory note (including $150,000 borrowed subsequent to September 30, 2025)
was repaid in full. The net proceeds from the sale of the units in the IPO, including the underwriters’ full exercise of its 3,000,000
unit over-allotment option, and the sale of the Private Placement Warrants for an aggregate purchase price of $5,500,000, after deducting
offering expenses of approximately $10,663,000 including $563,000 in Company costs and underwriting commissions and expenses of $4,650,000
(excluding deferred underwriting commissions incurred of $8,050,000) as well as $2,600,000 credit by the underwriters toward expenses,
were approximately $232,900,000, including reimbursement from the underwriters. $230,000,000 was deposited in the Trust Account, which
includes the deferred underwriting commissions described above. The funds in the Trust Account will be (i) invested only in cash
or U.S. government treasury bills with a maturity of 185 days or less or in money market funds that meet certain conditions
under Rule 2a-7 under the Investment Company Act of 1940 and that invest only in direct U.S. government obligations
and/or (ii) deposited in an interest-bearing demand deposit account at a U.S.-chartered commercial bank with consolidated assets
of $100 billion or more.
We intend to use substantially all of the funds held
in the Trust Account, including any amounts representing interest earned on the Trust Account (which interest shall be net of permitted
withdrawals), if any, to complete our initial business combination. The Company is considered to be an exempted Cayman Islands company
with no connection to any other taxable jurisdiction and is presently not subject to income taxes or income tax filing requirements in
the Cayman Islands or the United States. As such, we do not expect to have annual income tax obligations on the amount of interest
and other income earned on the amounts held in the Trust Account. If there were any taxes payable, we would expect to pay them out of
the funds in the Trust Account. To the extent that our equity or debt is used, in whole or in part, as consideration to complete our initial
business combination, the remaining proceeds held in the Trust Account will be used as working capital to finance the operations of the
target business or businesses, make other acquisitions and pursue our growth strategies.
Prior to the completion of our initial business
combination, our principal use of working capital will be to fund our activities to identify and evaluate target businesses, perform business
due diligence on prospective target businesses, travel to and from the offices or similar locations of prospective target businesses or
their representatives or owners, review corporate documents and material agreements of prospective target businesses, structure, negotiate
and complete a business combination.
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We expect our primary liquidity requirements during
that period to include approximately $560,000 for legal, accounting, due diligence, travel and other expenses in connection with any business
combinations; $175,000 for legal and accounting fees related to regulatory reporting requirements; $180,000 for office space, utilities
and secretarial and administrative support; $396,000 for payments to officers; $250,000 for directors and officers insurance liability;
and approximately $100,000 for working capital to cover other miscellaneous expenses (including continued listing fees). These amounts
are estimates and may differ materially from our actual expenses.
In addition, we may pay commitment fees for financing,
fees to consultants to assist us with our search for a target business or as a down payment or to fund a “no-shop” provision
(a provision designed to keep target businesses from “shopping” around for transactions with other companies or investors
on terms more favorable to such target businesses) with respect to a particular proposed business combination, although we do not have
any current intention to do so. If we entered into an agreement where we paid for the right to receive exclusivity from a target business,
the amount that would be used as a down payment or to fund a “no-shop” provision would be determined based on the terms of
the specific business combination and the amount of our available funds at the time. Our forfeiture of such funds (whether as a result
of our breach or otherwise) could result in our not having sufficient funds to continue searching for, or conducting due diligence with
respect to, prospective target businesses.
Subsequent to September 30, 2025, in December 2025,
the Company closed on the IPO of its Units and the simultaneous sale of Private Placement Warrants resulting in an increase in its liquidity.
As of September 30, 2025, the Company had cash and cash equivalents balance of approximately $11,000 and negative working capital of approximately
$107,000. Further, the Company has incurred and expects to continue to incur significant costs in pursuit of its financing and acquisition
plans. In connection with the Company’s assessment of going concern considerations in accordance with Accounting Standards Update
(“ASU”) 2014-15, “Disclosures of Uncertainties about an Entity’s Ability to Continue as a Going Concern”,
as of September 30, 2025, management has determined that the Company has sufficient funds for the working capital needs of the Company
until a minimum of one year from the date of issuance of these financial statements. The Company cannot assure that its plans to consummate
an initial business combination will be successful.
Our Sponsor, an affiliate of our Sponsor or our officers
and directors may, but none of them is obligated to, loan us funds as may be required to fund our working capital requirements. If we
complete our initial business combination, we would repay such loaned amounts out of the proceeds of the Trust Account released to us.
In the event that our initial business combination does not close, we may use a portion of the working capital held outside the Trust
Account to repay such loaned amounts but no proceeds from our Trust Account would be used for such repayment. Up to $2,500,000 of such
loans may be convertible into warrants at a price of $1.00 per warrant at the option of the lender. The warrants would be identical to
the Private Placement Warrants issued to our Sponsor. Except for the foregoing, the terms of such loans by our Sponsor, an affiliate of
our Sponsor or our officers and directors, if any, have not been determined and no written agreements exist with respect to such loans.
We do not expect to seek loans from parties other than our Sponsor, an affiliate of our Sponsor or our officers and directors, if any,
as we do not believe third parties will be willing to loan such funds and provide a waiver against any and all rights to seek access to
funds in our Trust Account.
We do not believe we will need to raise additional
funds following the IPO in order to meet the expenditures required for operating our business. However, if our estimates of the costs
of identifying a target business, undertaking in-depth due diligence and negotiating an initial business combination are less than the
actual amount necessary to do so, we may have insufficient funds available to operate our business prior to our initial business combination.
Moreover, we may need to obtain additional financing either to complete our initial business combination or because we become obligated
to redeem a significant number of our Public Shares upon completion of our initial business combination, in which case we may issue additional
securities or incur debt in connection with such business combination. If we raise additional funds through equity or convertible debt
issuances, our public shareholders may suffer significant dilution and these securities could have rights that rank senior to our Public
Shares. If we raise additional funds through the incurrence of indebtedness, such indebtedness would have rights that are senior to our
equity securities and could contain covenants that restrict our operations. Further, as described above, due to the anti-dilution rights
of our Founder Shares, our public shareholders may incur material dilution. In addition, we intend to target businesses with enterprise
values that are greater than we could acquire with the net proceeds of the initial public offering and the sale of the Private Placement
Warrants, and, as a result, if the cash portion of the purchase price exceeds the amount available from the Trust Account, net of amounts
needed to satisfy redemptions by public shareholders, we may be required to seek additional financing to complete such proposed initial
business combination. We may also obtain financing prior to the closing of our initial business combination to fund our working capital
needs and transaction costs in connection with our search for and completion of our initial business combination. There is no limitation
on our ability to raise funds through the issuance of equity or equity-linked securities or through loans, advances or other indebtedness
in connection with our initial business combination, any backstop or similar agreements we may enter into following the consummation of
the IPO or otherwise. Subject to compliance with applicable securities laws, we would only complete such financing simultaneously with
the completion of our business combination. If we are unable to complete our initial business combination because we do not have sufficient
funds available to us, we will be forced to cease operations and liquidate the trust account. In addition, following our initial business
combination, if cash on hand is insufficient, we may need to obtain additional financing in order to meet our obligations.
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Off-balance sheet financing arrangements
As of September 30, 2025, we have no obligations, assets
or liabilities which would be considered off-balance sheet arrangements. We do not participate in transactions that create relationships
with unconsolidated entities or financial partnerships, often referred to as variable interest entities, which would have been established
for the purpose of facilitating off-balance sheet arrangements.
We have not entered into any off-balance sheet financing
arrangements, established any special purpose entities, guaranteed any debt or commitments of other entities, or entered into any agreements
for non-financial assets.
Contractual obligations
As of September 30, 2025, we did not have any long-term
debt, capital lease obligations, operating lease obligations or long-term liabilities. In connection with our IPO, we entered into an
Administrative Support Agreement with an affiliate of our Sponsor pursuant to which the Company pays such affiliate $15,000 per month
for office space, utilities and secretarial and administrative support.
Also, commencing on December 18, 2025, the date our
securities were first listed on Nasdaq, we have agreed to compensate each of its Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer $33,000
per month for their services prior to the consummation of the Company’s initial business combination, of which $16,500 per month
would be payable on a current basis and the balance would be payable upon the completion of the Company’s initial business combination.
Critical Accounting Estimates
The preparation of financial statements and related
disclosures in conformity with U.S. GAAP requires management to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets
and liabilities, disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities at the date of the financial statements, and income and expenses during
the periods reported. Actual results could materially differ from those estimates.
Management does not believe that the Company has any
critical accounting estimates.
Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk
We are a smaller reporting company as defined by Rule
12b-2 of the Exchange Act and are not required to provide the information otherwise required under this item.
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