Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis
Item 2. Management’s
Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations.
The
following discussion and analysis of the Trust’s financial condition and results of operations should be read together with,
and is qualified in its entirety by reference to, the Trust’s unaudited financial statements and related notes included
elsewhere in this Quarterly Report, which have been prepared in accordance with GAAP.
This
Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q (the “Quarterly Report”) includes “forward-looking statements” with respect
to the financial conditions, results of operations, plans, objectives, future performance and business of Canary Marinade Solana
ETF (the “Trust”). In some cases, you can identify forward-looking statements by terminology such as “may,”
“will,” “should,” “expect,” “plan,” “anticipate,” “believe,”
“estimate,” “predict,” “potential,” or the negative of these terms or other comparable terminology.
All statements (other than statements of historical fact) included in this Quarterly Report that address activities, events, or
developments that will or may occur in the future, including such matters as movements in the digital asset markets, the Trust’s
operations, the plans of Canary Capital Group LLC (the “Sponsor”), and references to the Trust’s future success
and other similar matters, are forward-looking statements. These statements are only predictions. Actual events or results may
differ materially. These statements are based upon certain assumptions and analyses the Sponsor has made based on its perception
of historical trends, current conditions, and expected future developments, as well as other factors appropriate in the circumstances.
Factors
which could have a material adverse effect on the Trust’s business, financial condition or results of operations and future
prospects or which could cause actual results to differ materially from the Trust’s expectations include, but are not limited
to:
● the
special considerations discussed in this Quarterly Report;
● general
economic, market and business conditions;
● technology
developments regarding the use of SOL and other digital assets, including the systems
used by the Sponsor and the Trust’s custodian in their provision of services to
the Trust;
● changes
in laws or regulations, including those concerning taxes, made by governmental authorities
or regulatory bodies;
● other
world economic and political developments, including, without limitation, global pandemics
and the societal and government responses thereto; and
● any
additional factors discussed in this Quarterly Report, as well as those described from
time to time in the Trust’s future reports filed with the SEC.
All
the forward-looking statements made in this Quarterly Report are qualified by these cautionary statements, and there can be no
assurance that the actual results or developments the Sponsor anticipates will be realized or, even if substantially realized,
that they will result in the expected consequences to, or have the expected effects on, the Trust’s operations or the value
of the Shares.
Should
one or more of these factors or other uncertainties materialize, or should underlying assumptions prove incorrect, actual outcomes
may vary materially from those described in forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are made based on the Sponsor’s
beliefs, estimates and opinions on the date the statements are made, and neither the Trust nor the Sponsor is under a duty to
update any of the forward-looking statements to conform such statements to actual results or to reflect a change in the Sponsor’s
expectations or predictions, other than as required by applicable laws. Investors are therefore cautioned against relying on forward-looking
statements.
Overview
of the Trust
The
Trust is an exchange-traded fund that issues Shares that are listed and trade on the Exchange. The Trust’s investment objective
is to seek to provide exposure to the price of SOL held by the Trust, less the expenses of the Trust’s operations and other
liabilities. A secondary investment objective is for the Trust to earn additional SOL through the validation of transactions in
the Solana Network’s PoS process. In seeking to achieve its investment objectives, the Trust will hold SOL and establish
its NAV on each business day by reference to the Pricing Benchmark. The Pricing Benchmark is calculated by the Benchmark Provider
based on a 60-minute time-weighted average price of the Underlying Index, which is an aggregation of executed trade flow of Constituent
Platforms. The Benchmark Provider publishes the Pricing Benchmark. The Trust is sponsored by the Sponsor.
The
Shareholders of the Trust take no part in the management or control, and have no voice in, the Trust’s operations or business.
Except to elect a successor Sponsor upon the resignation of the Sponsor or as otherwise required by laws of the state of Delaware,
Shareholders will have no voting rights under the Trust Agreement.
7
Liquidity and
Capital Resources
Post
commencement of investment operations, the Trust will typically not hold a cash balance except in connection with the creation
and redemption of “Baskets” (i.e., blocks of 10,000 Shares) or to pay expenses not assumed by the Sponsor. The Trust
pays the Sponsor an annual unified fee based on a percentage of the Trust’s SOL Holdings (the “Sponsor Fee”).
The Trust’s “SOL Holdings” is the quantity of the Trust’s SOL plus any cash
or other assets held by the Trust represented in SOL as calculated using the Pricing Benchmark price, less its liabilities (which
include estimated accrued but unpaid fees and expenses) represented in SOL as calculated using the Pricing Benchmark price.
The
Trust may also incur certain extraordinary, nonrecurring expenses that are not assumed by the Sponsor, including, but not limited
to, brokerage and transaction costs associated with the sale or transfer of SOL, taxes and governmental charges, expenses and
costs of any extraordinary services performed by the Sponsor (or any other service provider) on behalf of the Trust to protect
the Trust, the Trust’s assets, or the interests of Shareholders, any indemnification of the Custodian or other agents, service
providers or counterparties of the Trust, and extraordinary legal fees and expenses, including any legal fees and expenses incurred
in connection with litigation, regulatory enforcement or investigation matters (collectively, “Extraordinary Expenses”).
To the extent on-chain transaction fees are incurred in connection with transfers or sales of SOL to pay Extraordinary Expenses,
the Trust will bear such fees.
To
the extent it does not have cash readily available, the Sponsor shall cause the transfer or sale of SOL in such quantity as may
be necessary to permit the payment of Trust expenses and liabilities not assumed by the Sponsor or for payment of redemption proceeds
to Authorized Participants. The Trust will not bear any costs associated with the transfer or sale of SOL to pay the Sponsor Fee.
To the extent the Trust incurs any Extraordinary Expenses, the Trust will bear the costs of any transfers or sales of SOL to pay
such expenses. The Trust will seek to transfer SOL at such times and in the smallest amounts required to permit such payments
as they become due. With respect to transfers or sales necessary to pay Trust expenses and liabilities that are denominated other
than in SOL, the amount of SOL transferred or sold may vary from time to time depending on the actual sales price of SOL relative
to the Trust’s expenses and liabilities (e.g., if the price of SOL falls, the amount of SOL needed to be transferred or
sold to pay an expense denominated in U.S. dollars will increase). To the extent the Trust must buy or sell SOL, the Trust may
do so through a third-party digital asset broker or dealer. When the Trust buys or sells SOL, the Sponsor seeks quotes from its
SOL trading counterparties. Such transactions are typically conducted over the counter rather than over a trading platform or
similar order matching service. The Sponsor will select third party brokers or dealers that it believes have implemented adequate
anti-money laundering, know-your-customer and other legal compliance policies and procedures.
Results of Operations
From
October 17, 2024 (i.e., the date of formation) through September 30, 2025, the Trust was in an organizational period and had not
commenced investment operations. On November 17, 2025, the Trust received $250,000 of SOL in connection with the issuance of the
Seed Shares.
Off-Balance
Sheet Arrangements
As
of September 30, 2025, the Trust has not used, nor does it expect to use in the future, special purpose entities to facilitate
off-balance sheet financing arrangements and has no loan guarantee arrangements or off-balance sheet arrangements of any kind
other than agreements entered into in the normal course of business, which may include indemnification provisions related to certain
risks service providers undertake in performing services which are in the best interests of the Trust. While the Trust’s
exposure under such indemnification provisions cannot be estimated, these general business indemnifications are not expected to
have a material impact on the Trust’s financial position.
Critical Accounting
Policies
Principal Market
and Fair Value Determination
The
Trust’s periodic financial statements are prepared in accordance with the Financial Accounting Standards Board (“FASB”)
Accounting Standards Codification Topic 820, “Fair Value Measurements and Disclosures” (“ASC Topic 820”)
and utilize an exchange-traded price from the Trust’s principal market for SOL on the Trust’s financial statement
measurement date. The Sponsor will determine in its sole discretion the valuation sources and policies used to prepare the Trust’s
financial statements in accordance with GAAP. The Trust intends to engage a third-party vendor to obtain a price from a principal
market for SOL, which will be determined and designated by such third-party vendor daily based on its consideration of several
exchange characteristics, including oversight, and the volume and frequency of trades. Under GAAP, such a price is expected to
be deemed a Level 1 input in accordance with the ASC Topic 820 because it is expected to be a quoted price in active markets for
identical assets or liabilities.
8
Investment Company
Considerations
The
Trust follows accounting and reporting guidance in accordance with the FASB ASC Topic 946, Financial Services – Investment
Companies. The Trust uses fair value as its method of accounting for SOL. The Trust qualifies as an investment company solely
for accounting purposes and not for any other purpose. The Trust is not registered, and is not required to be registered, as an
investment company under the Investment Company Act of 1940, as amended. GAAP requires management to make estimates and assumptions
that affect the reported amounts in the financial statements and accompanying notes. Actual results could differ from those estimates
and these differences could be material.
Item
3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk.
Not applicable to
“Smaller Reporting Companies,” as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act.
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