Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis
Item
2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
This
information should be read in conjunction with the financial statements and notes to the financial statements included in Item 1 of Part
1 of this Form 10-Q. The discussion and analysis that follows may contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A
of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, and within the Private
Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, as amended. These forward-looking statements may relate to the Trust’s financial condition,
operations, future performance and business. These statements can be identified by the use of the words “may”, “should”,
“expect”, “plan”, “anticipate”, “believe”, “estimate”, “predict”,
“potential” or similar words and phrases. These statements are based upon certain assumptions and analyses the Sponsor has
made based on its perception of historical trends, current conditions and expected future developments. Neither the Trust nor the Sponsor
is under a duty to update any of the forward-looking statements, to conform such statements to actual results or to reflect a change
in management’s expectations or predictions.
Introduction
The
Trust is a common law trust, formed under the laws of the state of New York on July 20, 2009. The Trust is not managed like a corporation
or an active investment vehicle. It does not have any officers, directors, or employees and is administered by the Trustee pursuant to
the Trust Agreement. The Trust is not registered as an investment company under the Investment Company Act of 1940 and is not required
to register under such act. It does not hold or trade in commodity futures contracts, nor is it a commodity pool, or subject to regulation
as a commodity pool operator or a commodity trading adviser in connection with issuing Shares.
The
Trust holds silver and is expected to issue Baskets in exchange for deposits of silver and to distribute silver in connection
with redemptions of Baskets. Shares issued by the Trust represent units of undivided beneficial interest in and ownership of the Trust.
The investment objective of the Trust is for the Shares to reflect the performance of the price of silver, less the Trust’s
expenses. The Sponsor believes that, for many investors, the Shares will represent a cost effective investment relative to traditional
means of investing in silver.
The
Trust issues and redeems Shares only with Authorized Participants in exchange for silver and only in aggregations of 50,000 Shares
or integral multiples thereof. A list of current Authorized Participants is available from the Sponsor or the Trustee.
Shares
of the Trust trade on the New York Stock Exchange (the “NYSE”) Arca under the symbol “SIVR”.
Valuation
of Silver and Computation of Net Asset Value
On
each day that the NYSE Arca is open for regular trading, as promptly as practicable after 4:00 p.m. New York time on such day (the “Evaluation
Time”), the Trustee evaluates the silver held by the Trust and determine both the ANAV and the NAV of the Trust.
At
the Evaluation Time, the Trustee values the Trust’s silver on the basis of that day’s LBMA Silver Price (the daily price
of an ounce of silver as set at approximately 12:00 noon London, England time by LBMA-authorized bullion banks or market makers in an
electronic, over-the-counter auction conducted by the ICE Benchmark Administration (“IBA”) and disseminated by major market
vendors, or, if no LBMA Silver Price is made on such day or has not been announced by the Evaluation Time, the next most recent LBMA
Silver Price determined prior to the Evaluation Time is used, unless the Sponsor determines that such price is inappropriate as a basis
for evaluation. In the event the Sponsor determines that the LBMA Silver Price or such other publicly available price as the Sponsor
may deem fairly represents the commercial value of the Trust’s silver is not an appropriate basis for evaluation of the Trust’s
silver, it shall identify an alternative basis for such evaluation to be employed by the Trustee.
Once
the value of the silver has been determined, the Trustee subtracts all estimated accrued but unpaid fees (other than the fees accruing
for such day on which the valuation takes place that are computed by reference to the value of the Trust or its assets), expenses and
other liabilities of the Trust from the total value of the silver and all other assets of the Trust (other than any amounts credited
to the Trust's reserve account, if established). The resulting figure is the adjusted net asset value (the “ANAV”) of the
Trust. The ANAV of the Trust is used to compute the Sponsor’s Fee.
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All
fees accruing for the day on which the valuation takes place that are computed by reference to the value of the Trust or its assets are
calculated using the ANAV calculated for such day. The Trustee subtracts from the ANAV the amount of the accrued fees so computed for
such day and the resulting figure is the NAV of the Trust. The Trustee also determines the NAV per Share by dividing the NAV of the Trust
by the number of Shares outstanding as of the close of trading on the NYSE Arca (which includes the net number of any Shares created
or redeemed on such evaluation day).
The
Trustee's estimation of accrued but unpaid fees, expenses and liabilities is conclusive upon all persons interested in the Trust and
no revision or correction in any computation made under the Trust Agreement will be required by reason of any difference in amounts estimated
from those actually paid.
The
NAV of the Trust is obtained by subtracting the Trust’s liabilities on any day from the value of the silver owned and receivable
by the Trust on that day; the NAV per Share is obtained by dividing the NAV of the Trust on a given day by the number of Shares outstanding
on that day.
The
Quarter Ended September 30, 2023
The
Trust’s NAV decreased from $1,064,497,046 at June 30, 2023 to $1,044,790,151 at September 30, 2023, a 1.85% decrease for the quarter.
The change in the Trust's NAV resulted from an increase in the price per ounce of silver, which rose 2.71% from $22.47 at June 30, 2023
to $23.08 at September 30, 2023, and a decrease in outstanding Shares, which fell from 49,400,000 Shares at June 30, 2023 to 47,250,000
Shares at September 30, 2023, as a result of 0 Shares (0 Baskets) being created and 2,150,000 Shares (43 Baskets) being redeemed during
the quarter.
The
NAV per Share increased 2.60% from $21.55 at June 30, 2023 to $22.11 at September 30, 2023. The Trust’s NAV per Share rose slightly
less than the price per ounce of silver on a percentage basis due to the Sponsor’s Fee, net of waiver, which was $835,103 for the
quarter, or 0.30% of the Trust’s ANAV on an annualized basis.
The
NAV per Share of $24.14 at July 20, 2023 was the highest during the quarter, compared with a low of $21.48 at August 15, 2023.
The
increase in net assets from operations for the quarter ended September 30, 2023 was $27,709,856 resulting from a realized gain of $69,215
on the transfer of silver to pay expenses, a realized gain on silver distributed for the redemption of Shares of $2,740,790 and a change
in unrealized gain on investment in silver of $25,734,954, offset by the Sponsor's Fee, net of waiver, of $835,103. Other than the Sponsor's
Fee, the Trust had no expenses during the quarter ended September 30, 2023.
The
Nine Months Ended September 30, 2023
The
Trust’s NAV decreased from $1,118,817,327 at December 31, 2022 to $1,044,790,151 at September 30, 2023, a 6.62% decrease for the
period. The change in the Trust’s NAV resulted from a decrease in the price per ounce of silver, which fell 3.61% from $23.95 at
December 31, 2022 to $23.08 at September 30, 2023, and a decrease in outstanding Shares, which fell from 48,650,000 Shares at December
31, 2022 to 47,250,000 Shares at September 30, 2023, as a result of 4,500,000 Shares (90 Baskets) being created and 5,900,000 Shares
(118 Baskets) being redeemed during the period.
The
NAV per Share decreased 3.87% from $23.00 at December 31, 2022 to $22.11 at September 30, 2023. The Trust’s NAV per Share fell
slightly more than the price per ounce of silver on a percentage basis due to the Sponsor’s Fee, net of waiver, which was $2,451,934
for the period, or 0.30% of the Trust’s ANAV on an annualized basis.
The
NAV per Share of $24.97 at April 16, 2023 was the highest during the period, compared with a low of $19.28 at March 10, 2023.
The
decrease in net assets from operations for the nine month period ended September 30, 2023 was $45,730,581, resulting from a realized
gain of $203,290 on the transfer of silver to pay expenses, a realized gain on silver distributed for the redemption of Shares of
$7,955,135, offset by a change in unrealized loss on investment in silver of $51,437,072 and the Sponsor’s Fee, net of waiver,
of $2,451,934. Other than the Sponsor’s Fee, the Trust had no expenses during the nine month period ended September 30,
2023.
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Liquidity
& Capital Resources
The
Trust is not aware of any trends, demands, commitments, events or uncertainties that are reasonably likely to result in material changes
to its liquidity needs. In exchange for the Sponsor’s Fee, the Sponsor has agreed to assume most of the expenses incurred by the
Trust. As a result, the only ordinary expense of the Trust during the period covered by this report was the Sponsor’s Fee.
The
Trustee will, at the direction of the Sponsor or in its own discretion, sell the Trust’s silver as necessary to pay the
Trust’s expenses not otherwise assumed by the Sponsor. The Trustee will not sell silver to pay the Sponsor’s Fee but
will pay the Sponsor’s Fee through in-kind transfers of silver to the Sponsor. At September 30, 2023, the Trust did not have
any cash balances.
Off-Balance
Sheet Arrangements
The
Trust has no off-balance sheet arrangements.
Critical
Accounting Policies
The
financial statements and accompanying notes are prepared in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States
of America. The preparation of these financial statements relies on estimates and assumptions that impact the Trust’s financial
position and results of operations. These estimates and assumptions affect the Trust’s application of accounting policies. Refer
to Note 2 to the Financial Statements for further information on accounting policies.
Item
3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk
Not
applicable.
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