Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis
ITEM 2. MANAGEMENT’S
DISCUSSION
AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL
CONDITION
AND RESULTS OF
OPERATIONS
The following discussion of our financial condition and results of operations should
be read in conjunction with the financial
statements and notes to those statements included in Item 1 of this Form 10-Q.
The discussion may contain certain forward-looking
statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Forward-looking statements
are those that are not historical in nature. As a result of
many factors, such as those set forth under “Risk Factors” in our most recent
Annual Report on Form 10-K, our actual results may
differ materially from those anticipated in such forward-looking statements.
Overview
We are a specialty finance company that invests in residential mortgage-backed
securities (“RMBS”) which are issued and
guaranteed by a federally chartered corporation or agency (“Agency RMBS”).
Our investment strategy focuses on, and our portfolio
consists of, two categories of Agency RMBS: (i) traditional pass-through Agency RMBS,
such as mortgage pass-through certificates
issued by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac or Ginnie Mae (the “GSEs”) and collateralized
mortgage obligations (“CMOs”) issued by the GSEs
(“PT RMBS”) and (ii) structured Agency RMBS, such as interest-only securities (“IOs”),
inverse interest-only securities (“IIOs”) and
principal only securities (“POs”), among other types of structured Agency RMBS.
We were formed by Bimini in August 2010,
commenced operations on November 24, 2010 and completed our initial public
offering (“IPO”) on February 20, 2013.
We are
externally managed by Bimini Advisors, an investment adviser registered with
the Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”).
Our business objective is to provide attractive risk-adjusted total returns over
the long term through a combination of capital
appreciation and the payment of regular monthly distributions. We intend to achieve this
objective by investing in and strategically
allocating capital between the two categories of Agency RMBS described above. We seek
to generate income from (i) the net interest
margin on our leveraged PT RMBS portfolio and the leveraged portion
of our structured Agency RMBS portfolio, and (ii) the interest
income we generate from the unleveraged portion of our structured Agency RMBS
portfolio. We intend to fund our PT RMBS and
certain of our structured Agency RMBS through short-term borrowings
structured as repurchase agreements. PT RMBS and structured
Agency RMBS typically exhibit materially different sensitivities to movements in interest
rates. Declines in the value of one portfolio
may be offset by appreciation in the other. The percentage of capital that we allocate to our two Agency RMBS asset categories will
vary and will be actively managed in an effort to maintain the level of income generated by
the combined portfolios, the stability of that
income stream and the stability of the value of the combined portfolios. We believe that this
strategy will enhance our liquidity,
earnings, book value stability and asset selection opportunities in various interest
rate environments.
We operate so as to qualify to be taxed as a real estate investment trust (“REIT”) under the
Internal Revenue Code of 1986, as
amended (the “Code”).
We generally will not be subject to U.S. federal income tax to the extent that we currently
distribute all of our
REIT taxable income (as defined in the Code) to our stockholders and maintain
our REIT qualification.
The Company’s common stock trades on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol “ORC”.
Capital Raising Activities
On August 4, 2020, we entered into an equity distribution agreement (the “August
2020 Equity Distribution Agreement”) with four
sales agents pursuant to which we could offer and sell, from time to time, up to an aggregate
amount of $150,000,000 of shares of our
common stock in transactions that were deemed to be “at the market” offerings and privately
negotiated transactions. We issued a total
of 27,493,650 shares under the August 2020 Equity Distribution Agreement for
aggregate gross proceeds of approximately $150.0
million, and net proceeds of approximately $147.4 million, after commissions
and fees,
prior to its termination in June 2021.
27
On January 20, 2021, we entered into an underwriting agreement (the “January 2021 Underwriting
Agreement”) with J.P. Morgan
Securities LLC (“J.P. Morgan”), relating to the offer and sale of 7,600,000 shares of our common stock. J.P.
Morgan purchased the
shares of our common stock from
the Company pursuant to the January 2021 Underwriting Agreement
at $5.20 per share. In addition,
we granted J.P.
Morgan a 30-day option to purchase up to an additional 1,140,000 shares
of our common stock on the same terms and
conditions, which J.P. Morgan exercised in full on January 21, 2021. The closing of the offering of 8,740,000 shares of our common
stock occurred on January 25, 2021, with proceeds to us of approximately $45.2
million, net of offering expenses.
On March 2, 2021, we entered into an underwriting agreement (the “March 2021 Underwriting
Agreement”) with J.P. Morgan,
relating to the offer and sale of 8,000,000 shares of our common stock. J.P. Morgan purchased the shares of our common stock from
the Company pursuant to the March 2021 Underwriting Agreement at $5.45 per share.
In addition, we granted J.P. Morgan a 30-day
option to purchase up to an additional 1,200,000 shares of our common stock
on the same terms and conditions, which J.P. Morgan
exercised in full on March 3, 2021. The closing of the offering of 9,200,000 shares of our common
stock occurred on March 5, 2021,
with proceeds to us of approximately $50.0 million, net of offering expenses.
On June 22, 2021, we entered into an equity distribution agreement (the “June 2021
Equity Distribution Agreement”) with four
sales agents pursuant to which we could offer and sell, from time to time, up to an aggregate
amount of $250,000,000 of shares of our
common stock in transactions that were deemed to be “at the market” offerings and privately
negotiated transactions. We issued a total
of 49,407,336 shares under the June 2021 Equity Distribution Agreement for aggregate
gross proceeds of approximately $250.0
million, and net proceeds of approximately $246.2 million, after commissions
and fees, prior to its termination in October 2021.
On October 29, 2021,
we entered into an equity distribution agreement (the “October 2021
Equity Distribution Agreement”) with
four sales agents pursuant to which we may offer and sell, from time to time, up to an aggregate
amount of $250,000,000 of shares of
our common stock in transactions that are deemed to be “at the market” offerings and privately negotiated
transactions. Through June
30, 2022, we issued a total of 15,835,700 shares under the October 2021 Equity
Distribution Agreement for aggregate gross proceeds
of approximately $78.3 million, and net proceeds of approximately $77.0 million,
after commissions and fees.
Stock Repurchase Agreement
On July 29, 2015, the Company’s Board of Directors authorized the repurchase of up to 2,000,000
shares of our common stock.
The timing, manner, price and amount of any repurchases is determined by the Company in its discretion and is subject
to economic
and market conditions, stock price, applicable legal requirements and other factors.
The authorization does not obligate the Company
to acquire any particular amount of common stock and the program may be
suspended or discontinued at the Company’s discretion
without prior notice. On February 8, 2018, the Board of Directors approved
an increase in the stock repurchase program for up to an
additional 4,522,822 shares of the Company’s common stock. Coupled with the 783,757 shares
remaining from the original 2,000,000
share authorization, the increased authorization brought the total authorization
to 5,306,579 shares, representing 10% of the
Company’s then outstanding share count. On December 9, 2021, the Board of Directors
approved an increase in the number of shares
of the Company’s common stock available in the stock repurchase program for up
to an additional 16,861,994 shares, bringing the
remaining authorization under the stock repurchase program to 17,699,305 shares, representing
approximately 10% of the Company’s
then outstanding shares of common stock. This stock repurchase program has no
termination date.
From the inception of the stock repurchase program through June 30, 2022, the Company
repurchased a total of 6,561,810 shares
at an aggregate cost of approximately $42.6 million, including commissions and fees,
for a weighted average price of $6.49 per share.
During the six months ended June 30, 2022, the Company repurchased a total of 876,299
shares of its common stock at an aggregate
cost of approximately $2.2 million, including commissions and fees, for a weighted average
price of $2.53 per share.
28
Factors that Affect our Results of Operations and Financial Condition
A variety of industry and economic factors may impact our results of operations and
financial condition. These factors include:
●
interest rate trends;
●
the difference between Agency RMBS yields and our funding and hedging costs;
●
competition for, and supply of, investments in Agency RMBS;
●
actions taken by the U.S. government, including the presidential administration,
the Federal Reserve (the “Fed”), the Federal
Housing Financing Agency (the “FHFA”), Federal Housing Administration (the “FHA”), the Federal Open
Market Committee
(the “FOMC”) and the U.S. Treasury;
●
prepayment rates on mortgages underlying our Agency RMBS and credit
trends insofar as they affect prepayment rates; and
●
other market developments.
In addition, a variety of factors relating to our business may also impact our results
of operations and financial condition. These
factors include:
●
our degree of leverage;
●
our access to funding and borrowing capacity;
●
our borrowing costs;
●
our hedging activities;
●
the market value of our investments
●
increases in our cost of funds resulting from increases in the Fed Funds rate that
are controlled by the Fed which have
occurred, and are likely to continue to occur, in 2022; and
●
the requirements to qualify as a REIT and the requirements to qualify for
a registration exemption under the Investment
Company Act.
Results
of Operations
Described
below are
the Company’s
results of
operations
for the
six and three
months ended
June 30,
2022, as
compared
to the
Company’s results
of operations
for the six
and three
months ended
June 30,
2021.
Net (Loss)
Income Summary
Net loss
for the six
months ended
June 30,
2022 was
$208.9 million,
or $1.18
per share.
Net loss
for the six
months ended
June 30,
2021 was
$46.2 million,
or $0.50
per share.
Net loss
for the three
months ended
June 30,
2022 was
$60.1 million,
or $0.34 per
share. Net
loss for the
three months
ended June
30, 2021
was $16.9
million,
or $0.17
per share.
The components
of net loss
for the six
and three
months ended
June 30,
2022 and
2021, along
with the
changes in
those components
are presented
in the table
below:
(in thousands)
Six Months Ended June 30,
Three Months Ended, June 30,
2022
2021
Change
2022
2021
Change
Interest income
$
77,125
$
56,110
$
21,015
$
35,268
$
29,254
$
6,014
Interest expense
(10,835)
(3,497)
(7,338)
(8,180)
(1,556)
(6,624)
Net interest income
66,290
52,613
13,677
27,088
27,698
(610)
Losses on RMBS and derivative contracts
(265,515)
(91,635)
(173,880)
(82,283)
(40,844)
(41,439)
Net portfolio loss
(199,225)
(39,022)
(160,203)
(55,195)
(13,146)
(42,049)
Expenses
(9,641)
(7,212)
(2,429)
(4,944)
(3,719)
(1,225)
Net (loss) income
$
(208,866)
$
(46,234)
$
(162,632)
$
(60,139)
$
(16,865)
$
(43,274)
29
GAAP and
Non-GAAP
Reconciliations
In addition
to the results
presented
in accordance
with GAAP, our results
of operations
discussed
below include
certain non-GAAP
financial
information,
including
“Net Earnings
Excluding
Realized
and Unrealized
Gains and
Losses”, “Economic
Interest
Expense”
and
“Economic
Net Interest
Income.”
Net Earnings
Excluding
Realized
and Unrealized
Gains and
Losses
We have elected
to account
for our
Agency RMBS
under the
fair value
option. Securities
held under
the fair
value option
are
recorded at
estimated
fair value,
with changes
in the fair
value recorded
as unrealized
gains or
losses through
the statements
of
operations.
In addition,
we have not
designated
our derivative
financial
instruments
used for
hedging purposes
as hedges
for accounting
purposes,
but rather
hold them
for economic
hedging purposes.
Changes in
fair value
of these
instruments
are presented
in a separate
line item
in the Company’s
statements
of operations
and are not
included in
interest
expense.
As such,
for financial
reporting
purposes,
interest
expense and
cost of funds
are not impacted
by the fluctuation
in value of
the derivative
instruments.
Presenting
net earnings
excluding
realized and
unrealized
gains and
losses allows
management
to: (i) isolate
the net interest
income
and other
expenses of
the Company
over time,
free of all
fair value
adjustments
and (ii)
assess the
effectiveness
of our funding
and
hedging strategies
on our capital
allocation
decisions
and our
asset allocation
performance.
Our funding
and hedging
strategies,
capital
allocation
and asset
selection
are integral
to our risk
management
strategy, and therefore
critical to
the management
of our portfolio.
We
believe that
the presentation
of our net
earnings
excluding
realized
and unrealized
gains is useful
to investors
because it
provides
a means
of comparing
our results
of operations
to those
of our peers
who have not
elected the
same accounting
treatment.
Our presentation
of net
earnings
excluding
realized and
unrealized
gains and
losses may
not
be comparable
to similarly-titled
measures of
other companies,
who
may use different
calculations.
As a result,
net earnings
excluding
realized and
unrealized
gains and
losses should
not be considered
as a
substitute
for our GAAP
net income
(loss) as
a measure
of our financial
performance
or any measure
of our liquidity
under GAAP.
The
table below
presents
a reconciliation
of our net
income (loss)
determined
in accordance
with GAAP
and net earnings
excluding realized
and unrealized
gains and
losses.
Described
below are
the Company’s
results of
operations
for the
six months
ended June
30, 2022
and 2021,
and for each
quarter in
2022 to date
and 2021.
30
Net Earnings Excluding Realized and Unrealized Gains and Losses
(in thousands, except per share data)
Per Share
Net Earnings
Net Earnings
Excluding
Excluding
Realized and
Realized and
Realized and
Realized and
Net
Unrealized
Unrealized
Net
Unrealized
Unrealized
Income
Gains and
Gains and
Income
Gains and
Gains and
(GAAP)
Losses
(1)
Losses
(GAAP)
Losses
Losses
Three Months Ended
June 30, 2022
$
(60,139)
$
(82,284)
$
22,145
$
(0.34)
$
(0.46)
0.12
March 31, 2022
(148,727)
(183,232)
34,505
(0.84)
(1.04)
0.20
December 31, 2021
(44,564)
(82,597)
38,033
(0.27)
(0.49)
0.22
September 30, 2021
26,038
(2,887)
28,925
0.20
(0.02)
0.22
June 30, 2021
(16,865)
(40,844)
23,979
(0.17)
(0.41)
0.24
March 31, 2021
(29,369)
(50,791)
21,422
(0.34)
(0.60)
0.26
Six Months Ended
June 30, 2022
$
(208,866)
$
(265,516)
$
56,650
$
(1.18)
$
(1.50)
$
0.32
June 30, 2021
(46,234)
(91,635)
45,401
(0.50)
(0.99)
0.49
(1)
Includes realized
and unrealized
gains (losses)
on RMBS and derivative
financial instruments,
including net
interest income
or expense on
interest
rate swaps.
Economic Interest
Expense and
Economic Net
Interest
Income
We use derivative
and other
hedging instruments,
specifically
Eurodollar, Fed
Funds and
T-Note futures
contracts,
short positions
in
U.S. Treasury
securities,
interest
rate swaps
and swaptions,
to hedge
a portion
of the interest
rate risk on
repurchase
agreements
in a
rising rate
environment.
We have not
elected to
designate
our derivative
holdings for
hedge accounting
treatment.
Changes in
fair value
of these
instruments
are presented
in a separate
line item
in our statements
of operations
and not included
in interest
expense. As
such, for
financial
reporting
purposes,
interest
expense and
cost of funds
are not impacted
by the fluctuation
in value of
the derivative
instruments.
For the purpose
of computing
economic net
interest
income and
ratios relating
to cost of
funds measures,
GAAP interest
expense
has been
adjusted to
reflect the
realized and
unrealized
gains or
losses on
certain derivative
instruments
the Company
uses, specifically
Eurodollar, Fed
Funds and
U.S. Treasury
futures,
and interest
rate swaps
and swaptions,
that pertain
to each period
presented.
We
believe that
adjusting
our interest
expense for
the periods
presented
by the gains
or losses
on these
derivative
instruments
would not
accurately
reflect our
economic
interest expense
for these
periods.
The reason
is that these
derivative
instruments
may cover
periods that
extend into
the future,
not just the
current period.
Any realized
or unrealized
gains or
losses on
the instruments
reflect the
change in
market value
of the instrument
caused by
changes in
underlying
interest
rates applicable
to the term
covered by
the instrument,
not just
the current
period. For
each period
presented,
we have combined
the effects
of the derivative
financial
instruments
in place for
the
respective
period with
the actual
interest
expense incurred
on borrowings
to reflect
total economic
interest
expense for
the applicable
period. Interest
expense, including
the effect
of derivative
instruments
for the period,
is referred
to as economic
interest expense.
Net
interest
income, when
calculated
to include
the effect
of derivative
instruments
for the period,
is referred
to as economic
net interest
income. This
presentation
includes
gains or
losses on
all contracts
in effect during
the reporting
period, covering
the current
period as
well
as periods
in the future.
31
The Company
may invest
in TBAs,
which are
forward contracts
for the purchase
or sale of
Agency RMBS
at a predetermined
price,
face amount,
issuer, coupon
and stated
maturity on
an agreed-upon
future date.
The specific
Agency RMBS
to be delivered
into the
contract
are not known
until shortly
before the
settlement
date. We may
choose, prior
to settlement,
to move the
settlement
of these
securities
out to a
later date
by entering
into a dollar
roll transaction.
The Agency
RMBS purchased
or sold for
a forward
settlement
date
are typically
priced at
a discount
to equivalent
securities
settling
in the current
month. Consequently,
forward
purchases
of Agency
RMBS
and dollar
roll transactions
represent
a form of
off-balance
sheet financing.
These TBAs
are accounted
for as derivatives
and marked
to
market through
the income
statement.
Gains or losses
on TBAs
are included
with gains
or losses
on other
derivative
contracts
and are not
included in
interest
income for
purposes
of the discussions
below.
We believe
that economic
interest
expense and
economic
net interest
income provide
meaningful
information
to consider, in
addition
to the respective
amounts prepared
in accordance
with GAAP. The non-GAAP
measures help
management
to evaluate
its financial
position and
performance
without the
effects of
certain transactions
and GAAP
adjustments
that are
not necessarily
indicative
of our
current investment
portfolio
or operations.
The unrealized
gains or
losses on derivative
instruments
presented
in our statements
of
operations
are not necessarily
representative
of the total
interest
rate expense
that we will
ultimately
realize. This
is because
as interest
rates move
up or down
in the future,
the gains
or losses
we ultimately
realize, and
which will
affect our
total interest
rate expense
in future
periods,
may differ
from the
unrealized
gains or
losses recognized
as of the
reporting
date.
Our presentation
of the economic
value of our
hedging strategy
has important
limitations.
First, other
market participants
may
calculate
economic
interest
expense and
economic net
interest
income differently
than the
way we calculate
them. Second,
while we
believe that
the calculation
of the economic
value of our
hedging strategy
described
above helps
to present
our financial
position
and
performance,
it may be
of limited
usefulness
as an analytical
tool. Therefore,
the economic
value of
our investment
strategy should
not be
viewed in
isolation
and is not
a substitute
for interest
expense and
net interest
income computed
in accordance
with GAAP.
The tables
below present
a reconciliation
of the adjustments
to interest
expense shown
for each
period relative
to our derivative
instruments,
and the income
statement
line item,
gains (losses)
on derivative
instruments,
calculated
in accordance
with GAAP
for each
quarter of
2022 to date
and 2021.
Gains (Losses) on Derivative Instruments
(in thousands)
Funding Hedges
Recognized in
Attributed to
Attributed to
Income
U.S. Treasury and TBA
Current
Future
Statement
Securities Gain (Loss)
Period
Periods
(GAAP)
(Short Positions)
(Long Positions)
(Non-GAAP)
(Non-GAAP)
Three Months Ended
June 30, 2022
$
103,758
$
1,013
$
1,067
$
1,996
$
99,682
March 31, 2022
177,816
2,539
27
(1,287)
176,537
December 31, 2021
10,945
2,568
-
(7,949)
16,326
September 30, 2021
5,375
(2,306)
-
(1,248)
8,929
June 30, 2021
(34,915)
(5,963)
-
(5,104)
(23,848)
March 31, 2021
45,472
9,133
(8,559)
(4,044)
48,942
Six Months Ended
June 30, 2022
$
281,574
$
3,552
$
1,094
$
709
$
276,219
June 30, 2021
10,557
3,170
(8,559)
(9,148)
25,094
32
Economic Interest Expense and Economic Net Interest Income
(in thousands)
Interest Expense on Borrowings
Gains
(Losses) on
Derivative
Instruments
Net Interest Income
GAAP
Attributed
Economic
GAAP
Economic
Interest
Interest
to Current
Interest
Net Interest
Net Interest
Income
Expense
Period
(1)
Expense
(2)
Income
Income
(3)
Three Months Ended
June 30, 2022
$
35,268
$
8,180
$
1,996
$
6,184
$
27,088
$
29,084
March 31, 2022
41,857
2,655
(1,287)
3,942
39,202
37,915
December 31, 2021
44,421
2,023
(7,949)
9,972
42,398
34,449
September 30, 2021
34,169
1,570
(1,248)
2,818
32,599
31,351
June 30, 2021
29,254
1,556
(5,104)
6,660
27,698
22,594
March 31, 2021
26,856
1,941
(4,044)
5,985
24,915
20,871
Six Months Ended
June 30, 2022
$
77,125
$
10,835
$
709
$
10,126
$
66,290
$
66,999
June 30, 2021
56,110
3,497
(9,148)
12,645
52,613
43,465
(1)
Reflects the effect of derivative instrument hedges for only the period
presented.
(2)
Calculated by adding the effect of derivative instrument hedges attributed
to the period presented to GAAP interest expense.
(3)
Calculated by adding the effect of derivative instrument hedges attributed
to the period presented to GAAP net interest income.
Net Interest Income
During the
six months
ended June
30, 2022,
we generated
$66.3 million
of net interest
income, consisting
of $77.1
million of
interest
income from
RMBS assets
offset by $10.8
million of
interest
expense on
borrowings.
For the comparable
period ended
June 30,
2021, we
generated
$52.6 million
of net interest
income, consisting
of $56.1
million of
interest
income from
RMBS assets
offset by $3.5
million of
interest
expense on
borrowings.
The $21.0
million increase
in interest
income was
due to a
$634.5 million
increase in
average
RMBS,
combined with
a 52 basis
point ("bps")
increase in
the yield
on average
RMBS. The
$7.3 million
increase in
interest
expense was
due to a
29 bps increase
in the average
cost of funds,
combined with
a $614.4
million increase
in average
outstanding
borrowings.
On an economic
basis, our
interest
expense on
borrowings
for the six
months ended
June 30,
2022 and
2021 was
$10.1 million
and
$12.6 million,
respectively, resulting
in $67.0
million and
$43.5 million
of economic
net interest
income, respectively.
During the
three months
ended June
30, 2022,
we generated
$27.1 million
of net interest
income, consisting
of $35.3
million
of
interest
income from
RMBS assets
offset by $8.2
million of
interest
expense on
borrowings.
For the three
months ended
June 30,
2021,
we generated
$27.7 million
of net interest
income, consisting
of $29.3
million of
interest
income from
RMBS assets
offset by $1.6
million of
interest
expense on
borrowings.
The $6.0
million increase
in interest
income was
due to a
71 bps increase
in the yield
on average
RMBS,
partially
offset by a
$244.2 million
decrease
in average
RMBS.
The $6.6
million increase
in interest
expense was
due to a
66 bps increase
in the average
cost of funds,
partially
offset by a
$236.6 million
decrease in
average outstanding
borrowings.
On an economic
basis, our
interest
expense on
borrowings
for the three
months ended
June 30,
2022 and
2021 was
$6.2 million
and
$6.7 million,
respectively, resulting
in $29.1 million
and $22.6
million of
economic
net interest
income, respectively.
The tables
below provide
information
on our portfolio
average balances,
interest
income, yield
on assets,
average borrowings,
interest
expense, cost
of funds,
net interest
income and
net interest
spread for
the six months
ended June
30, 2022
and 2021
and each
quarter of
2022 to date
and 2021
on both a
GAAP and
economic basis.
33
($ in thousands)
Average
Yield on
Interest Expense
Average Cost of Funds
RMBS
Interest
Average
Average
GAAP
Economic
GAAP
Economic
Held
(1)
Income
RMBS
Borrowings
(1)
Basis
Basis
(2)
Basis
Basis
(3)
Three Months Ended
June 30, 2022
$
4,260,727
$
35,268
3.31%
$
4,111,544
$
8,180
$
6,184
0.80%
0.60%
March 31, 2022
5,545,844
41,857
3.02%
5,354,107
2,655
3,942
0.20%
0.29%
December 31, 2021
6,056,259
44,421
2.93%
5,728,988
2,023
9,972
0.14%
0.70%
September 30, 2021
5,136,331
34,169
2.66%
4,864,287
1,570
2,818
0.13%
0.23%
June 30, 2021
4,504,887
29,254
2.60%
4,348,192
1,556
6,660
0.14%
0.61%
March 31, 2021
4,032,716
26,856
2.66%
3,888,633
1,941
5,985
0.20%
0.62%
Six Months Ended
June 30, 2022
$
4,903,286
$
77,125
3.15%
$
4,732,826
$
10,835
$
10,126
0.46%
0.43%
June 30, 2021
4,268,801
56,110
2.63%
4,118,413
3,497
12,645
0.17%
0.61%
($ in thousands)
Net Interest Income
Net Interest Spread
GAAP
Economic
GAAP
Economic
Basis
Basis
(2)
Basis
Basis
(4)
Three Months Ended
June 30, 2022
$
27,088
$
29,084
2.51%
2.71%
March 31, 2022
39,202
37,915
2.82%
2.73%
December 31, 2021
42,398
34,449
2.79%
2.23%
September 30, 2021
32,599
31,351
2.53%
2.43%
June 30, 2021
27,698
22,594
2.46%
1.99%
March 31, 2021
24,915
20,871
2.46%
2.04%
Six Months Ended
June 30, 2022
$
66,290
$
66,999
2.69%
2.72%
June 30, 2021
52,613
43,465
2.46%
2.02%
(1)
Portfolio yields and costs of borrowings presented in the tables above and the
tables on pages 34 and 35 are calculated based on the
average balances of the underlying investment portfolio/borrowings balances
and are annualized for the periods presented. Average
balances for quarterly periods are calculated using two data points, the beginning
and ending balances.
(2)
Economic interest expense and economic net interest income
presented in the table above and the tables on page 35 includes the effect
of our derivative instrument hedges for only the periods presented.
(3)
Represents interest cost of our borrowings and the effect of derivative
instrument hedges attributed to the period divided by average
RMBS.
(4)
Economic net interest spread is calculated by subtracting average economic
cost of funds from realized yield on average RMBS.
Interest Income and Average Asset Yield
Our interest
income for
the six months
ended June
30, 2022
and 2021
was $77.1
million and
$56.1 million,
respectively.
We had
average RMBS
holdings of
$4,903.3
million and
$4,268.8
million for
the six months
ended June
30, 2022
and 2021,
respectively.
The
yield on our
portfolio
was 3.15%
and 2.63%
for the six
months ended
June 30,
2022 and
2021, respectively.
For the six
months ended
June 30,
2022 as compared
to the six
months ended
June 30,
2021, there
was a $21.0
million increase
in interest
income due
to the
$634.5 million
increase in
average
RMBS,
combined with
the 52 bps
increase in
the yield
on average
RMBS.
Our interest
income for
the three
months ended
June 30,
2022 and
2021 was
$35.3 million
and $29.3
million, respectively.
We had
average RMBS
holdings of
$4,260.7
million and
$4,504.9
million for
the three
months ended
June 30,
2022 and
2021, respectively.
The
yield on our
portfolio
was 3.31%
and 2.60%
for the three
months ended
June 30,
2022 and
2021, respectively.
For the three
months ended
June 30,
2022 as compared
to the three
months ended
June 30,
2021, there
was a $6.0
million increase
in interest
income due
to
the
$244.2 million
decrease
in average
RMBS,
combined with
the 71 bps
increase in
the yield
on average
RMBS.
34
The table
below presents
the average
portfolio
size, income
and yields
of our respective
sub-portfolios,
consisting
of structured
RMBS
and PT RMBS,
for the six
months ended
June 30,
2022 and
2021, and
for each
quarter of
2022 to date
and 2021.
($ in thousands)
Average RMBS Held
Interest Income
Realized Yield on Average RMBS
PT
Structured
PT
Structured
PT
Structured
RMBS
RMBS
Total
RMBS
RMBS
Total
RMBS
RMBS
Total
Three Months Ended
June 30, 2022
$
4,069,334
$
191,393
$
4,260,727
$
31,894
$
3,374
$
35,268
3.14%
7.05%
3.31%
March 31, 2022
5,335,353
210,491
5,545,844
40,066
1,791
41,857
3.00%
3.40%
3.02%
December 31, 2021
5,878,376
177,883
6,056,259
42,673
1,748
44,421
2.90%
3.93%
2.93%
September 30, 2021
5,016,550
119,781
5,136,331
33,111
1,058
34,169
2.64%
3.53%
2.66%
June 30, 2021
4,436,135
68,752
4,504,887
29,286
(32)
29,254
2.64%
(0.18)%
2.60%
March 31, 2021
3,997,965
34,751
4,032,716
26,869
(13)
26,856
2.69%
(0.15)%
2.66%
Six Months Ended
June 30, 2022
$
4,702,343
$
200,943
$
4,903,286
$
71,960
$
5,165
$
77,125
3.06%
5.14%
3.15%
June 30, 2021
4,217,050
51,751
4,268,801
56,155
(45)
56,110
2.66%
(0.17)%
2.63%
Interest Expense and the Cost of Funds
We had average
outstanding
borrowings
of $4,732.8
million and
$4,118.4 million
and total
interest
expense of
$10.8 million
and $3.5
million for
the six months
ended June
30, 2022
and 2021,
respectively. Our
average cost
of funds
was 0.46%
for the six
months ended
June 30,
2022,
compared
to 0.17%
for the comparable
period in
2021.
The $7.3
million increase
in interest
expense was
due to the
29 bps
increase in
the average
cost of funds,
combined with
the $614.4
million increase
in average
outstanding
borrowings
during the
six months
ended June
30, 2022
as compared
to the six
months ended
June 30,
2021.
Our economic
interest
expense
was $10.1
million and
$12.6 million
for the six
months ended
June 30,
2022 and
2021, respectively.
There was
a 18 bps
decrease
in the average
economic cost
of funds
to 0.43%
for the six
months ended
June 30,
2022 from
0.61% for
the
six months
ended June
30, 2021.
We had average
outstanding
borrowings
of $4,111.5 million and
$4,348.2
million and
total interest
expense of
$8.2 million
and $1.6
million for
the three
months ended
June 30,
2022 and
2021, respectively.
Our average
cost of funds
was 0.80%
and 0.14%
for three
months ended
June 30,
2022 and
2021, respectively.
There was
a 66 bps
increase in
the average
cost of funds
and a $236.6
million
decrease in
average outstanding
borrowings
during the
three months
ended June
30, 2022,
compared
to the three
months ended
June 30,
2021.
Our economic
interest
expense
was $6.2
million and
$6.7 million
for the three
months ended
June 30,
2022 and
2021, respectively.
There was
a 1 bps decrease
in the average
economic cost
of funds
to 0.60%
for the three
months ended
June 30,
2022 from
0.61% for
the three
months ended
June 30,
2021.
Since all
of our repurchase
agreements
are short-term,
changes in
market rates
directly affect
our interest
expense. Our
average
cost
of funds
calculated
on a GAAP
basis was
13 bps below
the average
one-month
LIBOR and
110 bps below the
average six-month
LIBOR
for the quarter
ended June
30, 2022.
Our average
economic
cost of funds
was 33 bps
below the
average one-month
LIBOR and
130 bps
below the
average six-month
LIBOR for
the quarter
ended June
30, 2022.
The average
term to maturity
of the outstanding
repurchase
agreements
was 27 days
at both June
30, 2022
and December
31, 2021.
The tables
below present
the average
balance of
borrowings
outstanding,
interest
expense and
average cost
of funds,
and average
one-month
and six-month
LIBOR rates
for the six
months ended
June 30,
2022 and
2021, and
for each quarter
in 2022 to
date and 2021
on both a
GAAP and
economic basis.
35
($ in thousands)
Average
Interest Expense
Average Cost of Funds
Balance of
GAAP
Economic
GAAP
Economic
Borrowings
Basis
Basis
Basis
Basis
Three Months Ended
June 30, 2022
$
4,111,544
$
8,180
$
6,184
0.80%
0.60%
March 31, 2022
5,354,107
2,655
3,942
0.20%
0.29%
December 31, 2021
5,728,988
2,023
9,972
0.14%
0.70%
September 30, 2021
4,864,287
1,570
2,818
0.13%
0.23%
June 30, 2021
4,348,192
1,556
6,660
0.14%
0.61%
March 31, 2021
3,888,633
1,941
5,985
0.20%
0.62%
Six Months Ended
June 30, 2022
$
4,732,826
$
10,835
$
10,126
0.46%
0.43%
June 30, 2021
4,118,413
3,497
12,645
0.17%
0.61%
Average GAAP Cost of Funds
Average Economic Cost of Funds
Relative to Average
Relative to Average
Average LIBOR
One-Month
Six-Month
One-Month
Six-Month
One-Month
Six-Month
LIBOR
LIBOR
LIBOR
LIBOR
Three Months Ended
June 30, 2022
0.93%
1.90%
(0.13)%
(1.10)%
(0.33)%
(1.30)%
March 31, 2022
0.25%
0.76%
(0.05)%
(0.56)%
0.04%
(0.47)%
December 31, 2021
0.09%
0.23%
0.05%
(0.09)%
0.61%
0.47%
September 30, 2021
0.09%
0.16%
0.04%
(0.03)%
0.14%
0.07%
June 30, 2021
0.10%
0.18%
0.04%
(0.04)%
0.51%
0.43%
March 31, 2021
0.13%
0.23%
0.07%
(0.03)%
0.49%
0.39%
Six Months Ended
June 30, 2022
0.59%
1.33%
(0.13)%
(0.87)%
(0.16)%
(0.90)%
June 30, 2021
0.11%
0.20%
0.06%
(0.03)%
0.50%
0.41%
Gains or Losses
The table
below presents
our gains
or losses
for the six
and three
months ended
June 30,
2022 and
2021.
(in thousands)
Six Months Ended June 30,
Three Months Ended June 30,
2022
2021
Change
2022
2021
Change
Realized (losses) gains on sales of RMBS
$
(66,529)
$
(6,045)
$
(60,484)
$
(15,443)
$
1,352
$
(16,795)
Unrealized losses on RMBS
(480,560)
(96,147)
(384,413)
(170,598)
(7,282)
(163,316)
Total losses on
RMBS
(547,089)
(102,192)
(444,897)
(186,041)
(5,930)
(180,111)
Gains (losses) on interest rate futures
122,968
278
122,690
43,073
(2,210)
45,283
Gains (losses) on interest rate swaps
106,103
9,446
96,657
39,819
(17,677)
57,496
(Losses) gains on payer swaptions (short positions)
(44,944)
1,212
(46,156)
(34,036)
27,379
(61,415)
Gains (losses) on payer swaptions (long positions)
91,314
3,710
87,604
50,339
(36,360)
86,699
Gains on interest rate caps
1,487
-
1,487
2,483
-
2,483
Gains (losses) on interest rate floors
-
1,300
(1,300)
-
(84)
84
Gains (losses) on TBA securities (short positions)
3,552
3,170
382
1,013
(5,963)
6,976
Gains (losses) on TBA securities (long positions)
1,094
(8,559)
9,653
1,067
-
1,067
Total gains
(losses) from derivative instruments
281,574
10,557
271,017
103,758
(34,915)
138,673
36
We invest in
RMBS with
the intent
to earn net
income from
the realized
yield on those
assets over
their related
funding and
hedging
costs, and
not for the
purpose of
making short
term gains
from sales.
However, we
have sold,
and may continue
to sell,
existing
assets to
acquire new
assets, which
our management
believes might
have higher
risk-adjusted
returns in
light of current
or anticipated
interest
rates,
federal government
programs
or general
economic conditions
or to manage
our balance
sheet as part
of our asset/liability
management
strategy. During
the six months
ended June
30, 2022
and 2021,
we received
proceeds
of $1,934.6
million and
$1,680.9
million,
respectively, from
the sales
of RMBS.
During
the three
months ended
June 30,
2022 and
2021, we
received proceeds
of $521.6
million
and $692.4
million, respectively,
from the
sales of RMBS.
Realized
and unrealized
gains and
losses on
RMBS are
driven in
part by changes
in yields
and interest
rates, which
affect the
pricing
of the securities
in our portfolio.
The unrealized
gains and
losses on
RMBS may
also include
the premium
lost as a
result of
prepayments
on the underlying
mortgages,
decreasing
unrealized
gains or
increasing
unrealized
losses as
speeds or
premiums increase.
To the extent
RMBS are
carried at
a discount
to par, unrealized
gains or
losses on
RMBS would
also include
discount accreted
as a result
of
prepayments
on the underlying
mortgages,
increasing
unrealized
gains or
decreasing
unrealized
losses as
speeds on
discounts
increase.
Gains and
losses on
interest
rate futures
contracts
are affected
by changes
in implied
forward
rates during
the reporting
period.
The table
below presents
historical
interest
rate data
for each
quarter end
during 2022
to date and
2021.
5 Year
10 Year
15 Year
30 Year
Three
U.S. Treasury
U.S. Treasury
Fixed-Rate
Fixed-Rate
Month
Rate
(1)
Rate
(1)
Mortgage Rate
(2)
Mortgage Rate
(2)
LIBOR
(3)
June 30, 2022
3.00%
2.97%
4.65%
5.52%
1.97%
March 31, 2022
2.42%
2.33%
3.39%
4.17%
0.84%
December 31, 2021
1.26%
1.51%
2.35%
3.10%
0.21%
September 30, 2021
1.00%
1.53%
2.18%
2.90%
0.12%
June 30, 2021
0.87%
1.44%
2.27%
2.98%
0.13%
March 31, 2021
0.94%
1.75%
2.39%
3.08%
0.19%
(1)
Historical 5 and 10 Year
U.S. Treasury Rates are obtained from quoted end
of day prices on the Chicago Board Options Exchange.
(2)
Historical 30 Year and
15 Year Fixed
Rate Mortgage Rates are obtained from Freddie Mac’s Primary
Mortgage Market Survey.
(3)
Historical LIBOR is obtained from the Intercontinental Exchange Benchmark
Administration Ltd.
Expenses
For the six
and three
months ended
June 30,
2022, the
Company’s total
operating
expenses
were approximately
$9.6 million
and $4.9
million, respectively,
compared
to approximately
$7.2 million
and $3.7
million, respectively,
for the six
and three
months ended
June 30,
2021.
The table
below presents
a breakdown
of operating
expenses for
the six and
three months
ended June
30, 2022
and
2021.
(in thousands)
Six Months Ended June 30,
Three Months Ended June 30,
2022
2021
Change
2022
2021
Change
Management fees
$
5,265
$
3,413
$
1,852
$
2,631
$
1,792
$
839
Overhead allocation
960
799
161
519
395
124
Accrued incentive compensation
551
625
(74)
314
261
53
Directors fees and liability insurance
621
595
26
310
323
(13)
Audit, legal and other professional fees
606
620
(14)
302
302
-
Direct REIT operating expenses
1,217
715
502
574
294
280
Other administrative
421
445
(24)
294
352
(58)
Total expenses
$
9,641
$
7,212
$
2,429
$
4,944
$
3,719
$
1,225
37
We are externally managed and advised by Bimini Advisors, LLC (the “Manager”) pursuant
to the terms of a management
agreement. The management agreement has been renewed through February
20, 2023 and provides for automatic one-year extension
options thereafter and is subject to certain termination rights.
Under the terms of the management agreement, the Manager is
responsible for administering the business activities and day-to-day operations of
the Company.
The Manager receives a monthly
management fee in the amount of:
●
One-twelfth of 1.5% of the first $250 million of the Company’s month end equity, as defined in the management agreement,
●
One-twelfth of 1.25% of the Company’s month end equity that is greater than $250 million
and less than or equal to $500
million, and
●
One-twelfth of 1.00% of the Company’s month end equity that is greater than $500 million.
Should the Company terminate the management agreement without cause,
it will pay the Manager a termination fee equal to three
times the average annual management fee, as defined in the management
agreement, before or on the last day of the term of the
agreement.
The Company is obligated to reimburse the Manager for any direct expenses
incurred on its behalf and to pay the Manager the
Company’s pro rata portion of certain overhead costs set forth in the management agreement.
On April 1, 2022, pursuant to the third amendment to the management agreement entered into on November 16, 2021,
the Manager began providing certain repurchase agreement trading, clearing and administrative services to the Company
that had been previously provided by AVM, L.P.
under an agreement terminated on March 31, 2022.
In consideration for
such services, the Company will pay the following fees to the Manager:
●
A daily fee equal to the outstanding principal balance of repurchase agreement funding
in place as of the end of such day
multiplied by 1.5 basis points for the amount of aggregate outstanding principal balance
less than or equal to $5 billion, and
multiplied by 1.0 basis point for any amount of aggregate outstanding principal
balance in excess of $5 billion, and
●
A fee for the clearing and operational services provided by personnel
of the Manager equal to $10,000 per month.
The following table summarizes the management fee and overhead allocation
expenses for the six months ended June 30, 2022
and 2021, and for each quarter in 2022 to date and 2021.
($ in thousands)
Average
Average
Advisory Services
Orchid
Orchid
Management
Overhead
Three Months Ended
MBS
Equity
Fee
Allocation
Total
June 30, 2022
$
4,260,727
$
866,539
$
2,631
$
519
$
3,150
March 31, 2022
5,545,844
853,576
2,634
441
3,075
December 31, 2021
6,056,259
806,382
2,587
443
3,030
September 30, 2021
5,136,331
672,384
2,156
390
2,546
June 30, 2021
4,504,887
542,679
1,792
395
2,187
March 31, 2021
4,032,716
456,687
1,621
404
2,025
Six Months Ended
June 30, 2022
$
4,903,286
$
860,058
$
5,265
$
960
$
6,225
June 30, 2021
4,268,801
499,683
3,413
799
4,212
38
Financial
Condition:
Mortgage-Backed Securities
As of June
30, 2022,
our RMBS
portfolio
consisted
of $3,940.9
million of
Agency RMBS
at fair value
and had a
weighted
average
coupon on
assets of
3.16%.
During the
six months
ended June
30, 2022,
we received
principal
repayments
of $279.5
million compared
to
$259.4 million
for the six
months ended
June 30,
2021.
The average
three month
prepayment
speeds for
the quarters
ended June
30,
2022 and
2021 were
9.4% and 12.9%,
respectively.
The following
table presents
the 3-month
constant prepayment
rate (“CPR”)
experienced
on our structured
and PT RMBS
sub-
portfolios,
on an annualized
basis, for
the quarterly
periods presented.
CPR is a
method of
expressing
the prepayment
rate for
a mortgage
pool that
assumes that
a constant
fraction
of the remaining
principal
is prepaid
each month
or year. Specifically,
the CPR
in the chart
below represents
the three
month prepayment
rate of the
securities
in the respective
asset category.
Structured
PT RMBS
RMBS
Total
Three Months Ended
Portfolio (%)
Portfolio (%)
Portfolio (%)
June 30, 2022
8.3
13.7
9.4
March 31, 2022
8.1
19.5
10.7
December 31, 2021
9.0
24.6
11.4
September 30, 2021
9.8
25.1
12.4
June 30, 2021
10.9
29.9
12.9
March 31, 2021
9.9
40.3
12.0
The following
tables summarize
certain characteristics
of the Company’s
PT RMBS
and structured
RMBS as of
June 30,
2022 and
December
31, 2021:
($ in thousands)
Weighted
Percentage
Average
of
Weighted
Maturity
Fair
Entire
Average
in
Longest
Asset Category
Value
Portfolio
Coupon
Months
Maturity
June 30, 2022
Fixed Rate RMBS
$
3,766,151
95.6%
3.10%
342
1-Jun-52
Interest-Only Securities
173,754
4.4%
3.41%
249
25-Jan-52
Inverse Interest-Only Securities
955
0.0%
3.02%
293
15-Jun-42
Total Mortgage Assets
$
3,940,860
100.0%
3.16%
322
1-Jun-52
December 31, 2021
Fixed Rate RMBS
$
6,298,189
96.7%
2.93%
342
1-Dec-51
Interest-Only Securities
210,382
3.2%
3.40%
263
25-Jan-52
Inverse Interest-Only Securities
2,524
0.1%
3.75%
300
15-Jun-42
Total Mortgage Assets
$
6,511,095
100.0%
3.03%
325
25-Jan-52
39
($ in thousands)
June 30, 2022
December 31, 2021
Percentage of
Percentage of
Agency
Fair Value
Entire Portfolio
Fair Value
Entire Portfolio
Fannie Mae
$
2,591,682
65.8%
$
4,719,349
72.5%
Freddie Mac
1,349,178
34.2%
1,791,746
27.5%
Total Portfolio
$
3,940,860
100.0%
$
6,511,095
100.0%
June 30, 2022
December 31, 2021
Weighted Average Pass-through Purchase Price
$
107.77
$
107.19
Weighted Average Structured Purchase Price
$
15.35
$
15.21
Weighted Average Pass-through Current Price
$
94.61
$
105.31
Weighted Average Structured Current Price
$
16.21
$
14.08
Effective Duration
(1)
5.900
3.390
(1)
Effective duration is the approximate percentage change in price
for a 100 bps change in rates.
An effective duration of 5.900 indicates that an
interest rate increase of 1.0% would be expected to cause a 5.900% decrease in the value
of the RMBS in the Company’s investment portfolio
at June 30, 2022.
An effective duration of 3.390 indicates that an interest rate increase
of 1.0% would be expected to cause a 3.390%
decrease in the value of the RMBS in the Company’s investment portfolio
at December 31, 2021. These figures include the structured securities
in the portfolio, but do not include the effect of the Company’s funding
cost hedges.
Effective duration quotes for individual investments are
obtained from The Yield Book, Inc.
The following
table presents
a summary
of portfolio
assets acquired
during the
three months
ended June
30, 2022
and 2021,
including
securities
purchased
during the
period that
settled after
the end of
the period,
if any.
($ in thousands)
2022
2021
Total Cost
Average
Price
Weighted
Average
Yield
Total Cost
Average
Price
Weighted
Average
Yield
Pass-through RMBS
$
190,638
$
99.72
4.04%
$
2,910,318
$
107.05
1.54%
Structured RMBS
-
-
-
76,546
15.42
3.98%
Borrowings
As of June
30, 2022,
we had established
borrowing
facilities
in the repurchase
agreement
market with
a number
of commercial
banks
and other
financial
institutions
and had borrowings
in place with
22 of these
counterparties.
None of these
lenders are
affiliated
with the
Company. These
borrowings
are secured
by the Company’s
RMBS and
cash, and
bear interest
at prevailing
market rates.
We believe
our
established
repurchase
agreement
borrowing
facilities
provide
borrowing
capacity in
excess of
our needs.
As of June
30, 2022,
we had obligations
outstanding
under the
repurchase
agreements
of approximately
$3,759.0
million with
a net
weighted
average borrowing
cost of 1.36%.
The remaining
maturity of
our outstanding
repurchase
agreement
obligations
ranged from
6 to
141 days,
with a weighted
average remaining
maturity of
27 days.
Securing
the repurchase
agreement
obligations
as of June
30, 2022
are RMBS
with an estimated
fair value,
including
accrued interest,
of approximately
$3,939.4
million and
a weighted
average
maturity of
345 months,
and cash pledged
to counterparties
of approximately
$51.1 million.
Through August
4, 2022,
we have been
able to maintain
our repurchase
facilities
with comparable
terms to
those that
existed at
June 30,
2022 with
maturities
through November
18, 2022.
40
The table below presents information about our period end,
maximum and average balances of borrowings for each quarter in
2022 to date and 2021.
($ in thousands)
Difference Between Ending
Ending
Maximum
Average
Borrowings and
Balance of
Balance of
Balance of
Average Borrowings
Three Months Ended
Borrowings
Borrowings
Borrowings
Amount
Percent
June 30, 2022
$
3,758,980
$
4,464,544
$
4,111,544
$
(352,564)
(8.57)%
March 31, 2022
4,464,109
6,244,106
5,354,107
(889,998)
(16.62)%
(1)
December 31, 2021
6,244,106
6,419,689
5,728,988
515,118
8.99%
September 30, 2021
5,213,869
5,214,254
4,864,287
349,582
7.19%
June 30, 2021
4,514,704
4,517,953
4,348,192
166,512
3.83%
March 31, 2021
4,181,680
4,204,935
3,888,633
293,047
7.54%
(1)
The lower ending balance relative to the average balance during the quarter
ended March 31, 2022 reflects the disposal of RMBS pledged as
collateral. During the quarter ended March 31, 2022, the Company’s investment
in RMBS decreased $510.4 million.
Liquidity and Capital Resources
Liquidity
is our ability
to turn non-cash
assets into
cash, purchase
additional
investments,
repay principal
and interest
on borrowings,
fund overhead,
fulfill margin
calls and
pay dividends.
We have both
internal
and external
sources of
liquidity. However,
our material
unused sources
of liquidity
include cash
balances,
unencumbered
assets and
our ability
to sell encumbered
assets to
raise cash.
Our
balance sheet
also generates
liquidity
on an on-going
basis through
payments of
principal
and interest
we receive
on our RMBS
portfolio.
Management
believes that
we currently
have sufficient
liquidity
and capital
resources
available
for (a) the
acquisition
of additional
investments
consistent
with the
size and nature
of our existing
RMBS portfolio,
(b) the repayments
on borrowings
and (c) the
payment of
dividends
to the extent
required
for our continued
qualification
as a REIT.
We may also
generate
liquidity
from time
to time by
selling our
equity or
debt securities
in public
offerings or
private placements.
Internal
Sources of
Liquidity
Our internal
sources of
liquidity
include our
cash balances,
unencumbered
assets and
our ability
to liquidate
our encumbered
security
holdings.
Our balance
sheet also
generates
liquidity
on an on-going
basis through
payments
of principal
and interest
we receive
on our
RMBS portfolio.
Because our
PT RMBS portfolio
consists entirely
of government
and agency
securities,
we do not
anticipate
having
difficulty converting
our assets
to cash should
our liquidity
needs ever
exceed our
immediately
available
sources of
cash.
Our structured
RMBS portfolio
also consists
entirely of
governmental
agency securities,
although
they typically
do not trade
with comparable
bid / ask
spreads as
PT RMBS.
However, we anticipate
that we would
be able to
liquidate
such securities
readily, even in
distressed
markets,
although
we would
likely do
so at prices
below where
such securities
could be sold
in a more
stable market.
To enhance our liquidity
even
further, we may
pledge a
portion of
our structured
RMBS as
part of a
repurchase
agreement
funding,
but retain
the cash in
lieu of acquiring
additional
assets.
In this way
we can, at
a modest
cost, retain
higher levels
of cash on
hand and
decrease
the likelihood
we will
have to
sell assets
in a distressed
market in
order to
raise cash.
Our strategy
for hedging
our funding
costs typically
involves
taking short
positions in
interest
rate futures,
treasury
futures,
interest
rate
swaps, interest
rate swaptions
or other
instruments.
When the
market causes
these short
positions
to decline
in value we
are required
to
meet margin
calls with
cash.
This can
reduce our
liquidity position
to the extent
other securities
in our portfolio
move in price
in such a
way
that we do
not receive
enough cash
via margin
calls to
offset the derivative
related margin
calls. If
this were
to occur
in sufficient
magnitude,
the loss of
liquidity
might force
us to reduce
the size
of the levered
portfolio,
pledge additional
structured
securities
to raise
funds or
risk operating
the portfolio
with less
liquidity.
41
External
Sources of
Liquidity
Our primary
external
sources of
liquidity
are our ability
to (i) borrow
under master
repurchase
agreements,
(ii) use
the TBA security
market and
(iii) sell
our equity
or debt
securities
in public
offerings
or private
placements.
Our borrowing
capacity will
vary over
time as the
market value
of our interest
earning assets
varies.
Our master
repurchase
agreements
have no
stated expiration,
but can be
terminated
at
any time at
our option
or at the
option of
the counterparty.
However, once
a definitive
repurchase
agreement
under a master
repurchase
agreement
has been
entered into,
it generally
may not be
terminated
by either
party.
A negotiated
termination
can occur, but
may involve
a fee to
be paid by
the party
seeking to
terminate
the repurchase
agreement
transaction.
Under our
repurchase
agreement
funding arrangements,
we are required
to post margin
at the initiation
of the borrowing.
The margin
posted represents
the haircut,
which is a
percentage
of the market
value of the
collateral
pledged.
To the extent the market
value of the
asset collateralizing
the financing
transaction
declines,
the market
value of our
posted margin
will be insufficient
and we will
be required
to
post additional
collateral.
Conversely, if
the market
value of the
asset pledged
increases in
value, we
would be
over collateralized
and we
would be
entitled to
have excess
margin returned
to us by the
counterparty.
Our lenders
typically
value our
pledged securities
daily to
ensure the
adequacy of
our margin
and make margin
calls as
needed, as
do we.
Typically, but not
always, the
parties agree
to a minimum
threshold
amount for
margin calls
so as to avoid
the need
for nuisance
margin calls
on a daily
basis.
Our master
repurchase
agreements
do not specify
the haircut;
rather haircuts
are determined
on an individual
repurchase
transaction
basis. Throughout
the six months
ended
June 30,
2022,
haircuts on
our pledged
collateral
remained
stable and
as of June
30, 2022,
our weighted
average haircut
was
approximately
4.9% of the
value of
our collateral.
TBAs represent
a form of
off-balance
sheet financing
and are
accounted
for as derivative
instruments.
(See Note
4 to our
Financial
Statements
in this Form
10-Q for additional
details on
our TBAs).
Under certain
market conditions,
it may be
uneconomical
for us to
roll our
TBAs into
future months
and we may
need to take
or make physical
delivery
of the underlying
securities.
If we were
required to
take
physical delivery
to settle
a long TBA,
we would
have to fund
our total
purchase
commitment
with cash
or other
financing
sources and
our
liquidity
position could
be negatively
impacted.
Our TBAs
are also
subject to
margin requirements
governed
by the Mortgage-Backed
Securities
Division ("MBSD")
of the FICC
and
by our Master
Securities
Forward
Transaction
Agreements
(“MSFTAs”), which
may establish
margin levels
in excess
of the MBSD.
Such
provisions
require that
we establish
an initial
margin based
on the notional
value of the
TBA, which
is subject
to increase
if the estimated
fair value
of our TBAs
or the estimated
fair value
of our pledged
collateral
declines.
The MBSD
has the sole
discretion
to determine
the
value of our
TBAs and
of the pledged
collateral
securing such
contracts.
In the event
of a margin
call, we
must generally
provide
additional
collateral
on the same
business
day.
Settlement
of our TBA
obligations
by taking
delivery of
the underlying
securities
as well as
satisfying
margin requirements
could
negatively
impact our
liquidity
position.
However, since
we do not
use TBA dollar
roll transactions
as our primary
source of
financing,
we
believe that
we will have
adequate
sources of
liquidity
to meet
such obligations.
As discussed
earlier, we invest
a portion
of our capital
in structured
Agency RMBS.
We generally
do not apply
leverage
to this portion
of our portfolio.
The leverage
inherent
in structured
securities
replaces the
leverage
obtained
by acquiring
PT securities
and funding
them
in the repurchase
market.
This structured
RMBS strategy
has been a
core element
of the Company’s
overall investment
strategy
since
inception.
However, we
have and may
continue to
pledge a
portion
of our structured
RMBS in order
to raise
our cash
levels, but
generally
will not
pledge these
securities
in order
to acquire
additional
assets.
In future
periods,
we expect
to continue
to finance
our activities
in a manner
that is consistent
with our
current operations
through
repurchase
agreements.
As of June
30, 2022,
we had cash
and cash equivalents
of $219.0
million.
We generated
cash flows
of $361.2
million from
principal
and interest
payments on
our RMBS
and had average
repurchase
agreements
outstanding
of $4,732.8
million during
the six months
ended June
30, 2022.
42
As described
more fully
below, we may
also access
liquidity
by selling
our equity
or debt securities
in public
offerings or
private
placements.
Stockholders’
Equity
On August 4, 2020, we entered into the August 2020 Equity Distribution Agreement with
four sales agents pursuant to which we
could offer and sell, from time to time, up to an aggregate amount of $150,000,000 of
shares of our common stock in transactions that
were deemed to be “at the market” offerings and privately negotiated transactions. We issued a total
of 27,493,650 shares under the
August 2020 Equity Distribution Agreement for aggregate gross proceeds of approximately
$150.0 million, and net proceeds of
approximately $147.4 million, after commissions and fees,
prior to its termination in June 2021.
On January 20, 2021, we entered into the January 2021 Underwriting Agreement
with J.P. Morgan Securities LLC (“J.P.
Morgan”),
relating to the offer and sale of 7,600,000 shares of our common stock. J.P. Morgan purchased the shares of our common stock from
the Company pursuant to the January 2021 Underwriting Agreement at $5.20 per
share. In addition, we granted J.P. Morgan a 30-day
option to purchase up to an additional 1,140,000 shares of our common stock
on the same terms and conditions, which J.P. Morgan
exercised in full on January 21, 2021. The closing of the offering of 8,740,000 shares of our
common stock occurred on January 25,
2021, with proceeds to us of approximately $45.2 million, net of offering expenses.
On March 2, 2021, we entered into the March 2021 Underwriting Agreement with
J.P.
Morgan, relating to the offer and sale of
8,000,000 shares of our common stock. J.P. Morgan purchased the shares of our common stock from the Company pursuant to the
March 2021 Underwriting Agreement at $5.45 per share. In addition, we granted
J.P.
Morgan a 30-day option to purchase up to an
additional 1,200,000 shares of our common stock on the same terms and
conditions, which J.P. Morgan exercised in full on March 3,
2021. The closing of the offering of 9,200,000 shares of our common stock occurred on March
5, 2021, with proceeds to us of
approximately $50.0
million, net of offering expenses payable.
On June 22, 2021, we entered into the June 2021 Equity Distribution Agreement with four
sales agents pursuant to which we may
could offer and sell, from time to time, up to an aggregate amount of $250,000,000 of
shares of our common stock in transactions that
were deemed to be “at the market” offerings and privately negotiated transactions. We issued a total
of 49,407,336 shares under the
June 2021 Equity Distribution Agreement for aggregate gross proceeds of approximately
$250.0 million, and net proceeds of
approximately $246.2 million, after commissions and fees, prior to its termination in October
2021.
On October 29, 2021, we entered into the October 2021 Equity Distribution
Agreement with four sales agents pursuant to which
we may offer and sell, from time to time, up to an aggregate amount of $250,000,000 of shares
of our common stock in transactions
that are deemed to be “at the market” offerings and privately negotiated transactions. Through
June 30, 2022, we issued a total of
15,835,700 shares under the October 2021 Equity Distribution Agreement for aggregate
gross proceeds of approximately $78.3 million,
and net proceeds of approximately $77.0 million, after commissions and fees.
43
Outlook
Economic Summary
The second
quarter of
2022 was
another transitional
period as
the outlook
for the economy,
inflation
and monetary
policy changed
materially.
Inflationary
data was
the driver
of these
developments.
Inflation
in the U.S.
began to accelerate
during the
second quarter
of
2021.
For several
months market
participants,
and especially
the Fed,
assumed that
inflation
would prove
transitory
as it was
assumed
temporary
supply chain
constraints
caused by
COVID-19
were the cause
and that
these constraints
would fade
as the effects
of COVID-19
itself declined
over time.
The sub-components
of inflation
exhibiting
the largest
increases
were items
likely to
be affected
by the effects
of
COVID-19
on the supply
of labor, or lack
thereof in
this case.
By early
in the fourth
quarter of
2021 the
Fed formally
dropped their
contention
that inflation
was “transitory.”
The Fed quickly
pivoted from
providing
monetary
policy accommodation
to constraining
inflation
and reducing
their balance
sheet.
The war
in the Ukraine,
which started
in late February
of 2022,
exacerbated
the inflationary
forces.
At
the beginning
of the second
quarter
market participants
expected
year-over-year
inflation
readings
to moderate
as baseline
effects would
kick in, since
inflation
had surged
starting
in the second
quarter of
2021.
This did not
happen,
and the monthly
core consumer
price index
(“CPI”) readings
for May and
June of 2022
were quite
high – 0.6%
and 0.7%
respectively
– after
a 0.6% increase
for April
of 2022.
Inflation
was accelerating
during the
second quarter,
not moderating,
and becoming
broader based.
Further, survey-based
measures of
inflation
expectations
were rising
rapidly. The most
recent measures
of inflation
are the highest
in four decades.
While several
important
metrics of
economic activity
remain very
strong, particularly
hiring in
the labor
market and
the unemployment
rate, other
measures have
softened.
In particular,
interest rate
sensitive
sectors of
the economy, such
as the housing
market and
large
consumer goods
such as sales
of cars and
light trucks,
have declined
from peak
levels seen
earlier in
the year. The
stock markets
in the
U.S. and
abroad have
declined materially
so far in
2022 and
most broad
equity indices
are down
between 10%
and 30% year
to date in
U.S. dollar
terms.
With the
Fed in the
midst of an
accelerated
tightening
cycle the
dollar has
strengthened
against most
major currencies,
such as the
Euro, Yen, Yuan and most
emerging
market currencies.
Interest
Rates
With inflation
accelerating
to the highest
level since
the early
1980s and
the Fed intent
on taking
the Fed Funds
rate to levels
well
above their
presumptive
“neutral”
rate of 2.50%
to 2.75%,
interest rates
increased
further during
the second
quarter.
The yield
on the 10-
year U.S.
Treasury Note
came within
a few basis
points of
3.50% on
June 14,
2022,
a few days
after the
May CPI was
released.
That
same day,
the yield
on the 2-year
U.S. Treasury
Note reached
3.43%.
Yields on both
benchmark
treasuries
declined modestly
over the
balance of
the quarter
and into
the third
quarter of
2022.
The Fed reacted
quickly as
these developments
unfolded
and raised
the Fed
Funds rate
by 50 basis
points on
May 4, 2022,
and 75
basis points
on June 15,
2022.
The Fed raised
the Fed Funds
rate by another
75 basis points
on July 27,
2022.
The market
expects the
Fed to continue
to raise
rates at
each remaining
meeting in
2022 and
for the Fed
Funds rate
to end the
year with
a target
range of 3.5%
-
3.75%.
This range
is clearly
above the
Fed’s long-term
neutral rate
– deemed
to be between
2.50% and
2.75%.
The Fed has
also
acknowledged
their efforts
to bring
inflation
under control
and taking
the Fed Funds
rate above
neutral may
cause the
economy to
enter a
recession.
They deem
these steps
as necessary
to prevent
inflation
from remaining
higher than
the Fed’s target
rate of inflation.
44
This rapid
transition
from accommodation
to the extreme
removal of
policy accommodation
– to the
point of
a restrictive
policy stance
– has materially
changed the
outlook for
the economy.
The Fed’s policy
actions have
also been
matched by
most central
banks across
the globe,
and most
market participants
expect a global
recession
within a
year or so.
In the U.S.,
market participants
feel the
Fed will
succeed in
reducing
inflation,
albeit at
the cost of
a recession,
and as a
result the
U.S. Treasury
yield curve
has inverted.
Current
market
pricing in
the Fed Funds
futures market
indicate the
market expects
the Fed to
be cutting
rates as
early as the
first quarter
of 2023.
Accordingly, the
yield on the
2-year U.S.
Treasury Note
now exceeds
the yield
on the 10-year
U.S. Treasury
Note.
Incoming economic
data during
the second
quarter and
early third
quarter has
exacerbated
the yield
curve inversion.
It appears
the economy
is slowing
even
quicker than
feared, but
with inflation
so high it
does not
appear that
the Fed will
stop tightening.
Such conditions,
should they
persist, are
likely to
keep shorter
maturity
U.S. Treasuries
high – reflecting
increases
to the Fed
Funds rate
over the
near term
– relative
to longer
rates, which
reflect market
expectations
for inflation
to ultimately
be contained,
the economy
to slow and
the Fed to
eventually
lower the
Fed Funds
rate.
The Agency
RMBS Market
The Agency
RMBS market
generated
a negative
return of
3.9 % during
the second
quarter of
2022.
As interest
rates rose,
the
prospect
of the Fed
raising the
Fed Funds
rate well
above 3%
by year end
and the largest
RMBS investors
selling or
decreasing
their
exposure to
the sector, Agency
RMBS spreads
relative to
benchmark
interest
rates increased
to levels
just below
those observed
in March
of 2020.
The largest
investors
of Agency
RMBS, the
Fed via quantitative
easing (which
is now quantitative
tightening
as the Fed
allows
their holdings
of Agency
RMBS to
run-off), large
domestic banks
(which due
to quantitative
tightening
are experiencing
declines
in
reserves/deposits)
and large
money managers
(which see
other sectors
of the fixed
income markets
as more attractive
or are experiencing
out-flows
in their
assets under
management
and selling
assets across
all of their
holdings),
are collectively
causing demand
for Agency
RMBS to
decline materially
and driving
the spread
widening.
The relative
performance
across the
Agency RMBS
universe is
skewed in
favor of
higher coupon,
30-year securities
that are
currently
in production
by originators.
Lower coupon
securities,
especially
those held
in
large amounts
by the Fed,
and which
may eventually
be sold by
the Fed,
have performed
the worst,
though this
trend has
reversed
in the
third quarter.
As both the
domestic and
the global
economies
appear to
be slowing,
the more
credit sensitive
sectors of
the fixed
income markets
have come
under pressure
and are
likely to further
weaken if
the economies
do indeed
contract.
As a result,
the relative
performance
of
Agency RMBS,
while negative
in absolute
terms, has
been better
than most
sectors of
the fixed
income markets.
Actions by
the Fed as
described
above may
prevent the
sector from
performing
well in the
near term
but, if the
economy does
contract
and enter
a recession,
the
sector could
do well on
a relative
performance
basis owing
to the lack
of credit
exposure
of Agency
RMBS.
This is consistent
with the
sector’s history
of performance
in a counter-cyclical
manner –
doing well
when the
economy is
soft and
relatively
poorly when
the economy
is strong.
Recent Legislative
and Regulatory
Developments
In response
to the deterioration
in the markets
for U.S.
Treasuries, Agency
RMBS and
other mortgage
and fixed
income markets
as
investors
liquidated
investments
in response
to the economic
crisis resulting
from the
actions to
contain and
minimize the
impacts of
the
COVID-19
pandemic,
on the morning
of Monday, March
23, 2020,
the Fed announced
a program
to acquire
U.S. Treasuries
and Agency
RMBS in
the amounts
needed to
support smooth
market functioning.
With these
purchases,
market conditions
improved
substantially.
Through November
of 2021,
the Fed was
committed
to purchasing
$80 billion
of U.S.
Treasuries and
$40 billion
of Agency
RMBS each
month. In
November
of 2021,
it began
tapering
its net asset
purchases
each month
and ended
net asset
purchases
entirely
by early March
of 2022.
On May 4,
2022, the
FOMC announced
a plan for
reducing the
Fed’s balance
sheet. In
June of 2022,
in accordance
with this
plan, the
Fed began
reducing
its balance
sheet by a
maximum
of $30 billion
of U.S.
Treasuries and
$17.5 billion
of Agency
RMBS each
month,
with those
numbers expected
to double
in September
of 2022 to
a maximum
of $60 billion
of U.S.
Treasuries and
$35 billion
of
Agency RMBS
each month.
45
On December
27, 2020,
former President
Trump signed
into law
an additional
$900 billion
coronavirus
aid package
as part of
the
Consolidated
Appropriations
Act, 2021,
providing
for extensions
of many of
the CARES
Act policies
and programs
as well as
additional
relief. On
January 29,
2021, the
CDC issued
guidance extending
eviction moratoriums
for covered
persons through
March 31,
2021. The
FHFA subsequently
extended
the foreclosure
moratorium
begun under
the CARES
Act for loans
backed by
Fannie Mae
and Freddie
Mac
and the eviction
moratorium
for real
estate owned
by Fannie
Mae and Freddie
Mac until
July 31, 2021
and September
30, 2021,
respectively. The
U.S. Housing
and Urban
Development
Department
subsequently
extended
the FHA
foreclosure
and eviction
moratoria
to
July 31, 2021,
and September
30, 2021,
respectively.
Despite
the expirations
of these
foreclosure
moratoria,
a final rule
adopted by
the
CFPB on
June 28,
2021, effectively
prohibited
servicers
from initiating
a foreclosure
before January
1, 2022 in
most instances.
Following
the end of
this limitation,
U.S. foreclosure
starts for
the first
half of 2022
were up
153% and
down 1% from
the comparable
periods in
2021
and 2020,
respectively, and
at 41% of
the 10-year
historic average
for the comparable
period.
In January
2019, the
Trump administration
made statements
of its plans
to work with
Congress to
overhaul
Fannie Mae
and Freddie
Mac and expectations
to announce
a framework
for the development
of a policy
for comprehensive
housing finance
reform soon.
On
September
30, 2019,
the FHFA announced
that Fannie
Mae and Freddie
Mac were
allowed to
increase their
capital buffers
to $25 billion
and $20 billion,
respectively, from
the prior
limit of $3
billion each.
This step
could ultimately
lead to
Fannie Mae
and Freddie
Mac being
privatized
and represents
the first
concrete
step on the
road to GSE
reform.
On June 30,
2020, the
FHFA released
a proposed
rule on a
new regulatory
framework
for the GSEs
which seeks
to implement
both a risk-based
capital framework
and minimum
leverage
capital
requirements.
The final
rule on the
new capital
framework
for the GSEs
was published
in the federal
register
in December
2020.
On
January 14,
2021, the
U.S. Treasury
and the FHFA
executed letter
agreements
allowing
the GSEs
to continue
to retain
capital up
to their
regulatory
minimums,
including
buffers, as
prescribed
in the December
rule.
These letter
agreements
provide,
in part,
(i) there
will be no
exit from
conservatorship
until all
material litigation
is settled
and the GSE
has common
equity Tier
1 capital
of at least
3% of its
assets, (ii)
the GSEs
will comply
with the
FHFA’s regulatory capital
framework,
(iii) higher-risk
single-family
mortgage
acquisitions
will be
restricted
to
current levels,
and (iv)
the U.S.
Treasury and
the FHFA will
establish
a timeline
and process
for future
GSE reform.
However, no definitive
proposals or
legislation
have been
released
or enacted
with respect
to ending
the conservatorship,
unwinding
the GSEs,
or materially
reducing
the roles
of the GSEs
in the U.S.
mortgage
market. On
September
14, 2021,
the U.S.
Treasury and
the FHFA suspended
certain
policy provisions
in the January
agreement,
including
limits on
loans acquired
for cash
consideration,
multifamily
loans, loans
with higher
risk characteristics
and second
homes and
investment
properties.
On February
25, 2022,
the FHFA published
a final rule,
effective as
of
April 26,
2022, amending
the GSE capital
framework
established
in December
2020 by, among
other things,
replacing
the fixed
leverage
buffer equal
to 1.5% of
a GSE’s adjusted
total assets
with a dynamic
leverage
buffer equal
to 50% of
a GSE’s stability
capital buffer,
reducing
the risk weight
floor from
10% to 5%,
and removing
the requirement
that the
GSEs must
apply an overall
effectiveness
adjustment
to their
credit risk
transfer
exposures.
On June 14,
2022, the
GSEs announced
that they
will each
charge a
50 bps fee
for
commingled
securities
issued on
or after
July 1, 2022
to cover
the additional
capital required
for such
securities
under the
GSE capital
framework.
Industry
groups have
expressed
concern that
this poses
a risk to the
fungibility
of the Uniform
Mortgage-Backed
Security
(“UMBS”),
which could
negatively
impact liquidity
and pricing
in the market
for
TBA securities.
In 2017,
policymakers
announced
that LIBOR
will be replaced
by December
31, 2021.
The directive
was spurred
by the fact
that
banks are
uncomfortable
contributing
to the LIBOR
panel given
the shortage
of underlying
transactions
on which
to base levels
and the
liability
associated
with submitting
an unfounded
level. However,
the ICE Benchmark
Administration,
in its capacity
as administrator
of
USD LIBOR,
has announced
that it intends
to extend
publication
of USD LIBOR
(other than
one-week and
two-month
tenors) by
18
months to
June 2023.
Notwithstanding
this extension,
a joint statement
by key regulatory
authorities
calls on banks
to cease
entering
into
new contracts
that use
USD LIBOR
as a reference
rate by no
later than
December
31, 2021.
46
On December
7, 2021,
the CFPB
released
a final rule
that amends
Regulation
Z, which
implemented
the Truth in
Lending Act,
aimed
at addressing
cessation
of LIBOR
for both
closed-end
(e.g., home
mortgage)
and open-end
(e.g., home
equity line
of credit)
products.
The
rule, which
mostly became
effective
in April
of 2022,
establishes
requirements
for the selection
of replacement
indices for
existing
LIBOR-
linked consumer
loans. Although
the rule
does not
mandate the
use of SOFR
as the alternative
rate, it
identifies
SOFR as a
comparable
rate for
closed-end
products
and states
that for
open-end products,
the CFPB
has determined
that ARRC’s
recommended
spread-adjusted
indices based
on SOFR
for consumer
products
to replace
the one-month,
three-month,
or six-month
USD LIBOR
index “have
historical
fluctuations
that are
substantially
similar to
those of
the LIBOR
indices that
they are
intended
to replace.”
The CFPB
reserved judgment,
however, on a
SOFR-based
spread-adjusted
replacement
index to
replace the
one-year USD
LIBOR until
it obtained
additional
information.
On March 15,
2022,
the Adjustable
Interest
Rate (LIBOR)
Act (the “LIBOR
Act”) was
signed into
law as part
of the Consolidated
Appropriations
Act, 2022
(H.R. 2471).
The LIBOR
Act provides
for a statutory
replacement
benchmark
rate for
contracts
that use
LIBOR
as a benchmark
and do not
contain any
fallback mechanism
independent
of LIBOR.
Pursuant to
the LIBOR
Act, SOFR
becomes the
new
benchmark
rate by operation
of law for
any such contract.
The LIBOR
Act establishes
a safe harbor
from litigation
for claims
arising out
of
or related
to the use
of SOFR
as the recommended
benchmark
replacement.
The LIBOR
Act makes
clear that
it should
not be construed
to disfavor
the use of
any benchmark
on a prospective
basis.
The LIBOR
Act also
attempts
to forestall
challenges
that it is
impairing
contracts.
It provides
that the
discontinuance
of LIBOR
and the
automatic
statutory
transition
to a replacement
rate neither
impairs or
affects the
rights of
a party to
receive payment
under such
contracts,
nor allows
a party to
discharge
their performance
obligations
or to declare
a breach
of contract.
It amends
the Trust Indenture
Act of 1939
to state
that the
“the right
of any holder
of any indenture
security
to receive
payment of
the principal
of and interest
on such indenture
security shall
not be deemed
to be impaired
or affected”
by application
of the LIBOR
Act to any
indenture
security.
One-week and
two-month
U.S. dollar
LIBOR rates
phased out
on December
31, 2021,
but other
U.S. dollar
tenors may
continue until
June 30,
2023. We will
monitor the
emergence
of SOFR
carefully
as it appears
likely to
become the
new benchmark
for hedges
and a
range of
interest
rate investments.
Effective January
1, 2021,
Fannie Mae,
in alignment
with Freddie
Mac, extended
the timeframe
for its delinquent
loan buyout
policy
for Single-Family
Uniform Mortgage-Backed
Securities
(UMBS) and
Mortgage-Backed
Securities
(MBS) from
four consecutively
missed
monthly payments
to twenty-four
consecutively
missed monthly
payments (i.e.,
24 months
past due).
This new
timeframe
applied to
outstanding
single-family
pools and
newly issued
single-family
pools and
was first
reflected
when January
2021 factors
were released
on
the fourth
business day
in February
2021.
For Agency
RMBS investors,
when a delinquent
loan is bought
out of a
pool of mortgage
loans, the
removal of
the loan
from the pool
is the same
as a total
prepayment
of the loan.
The respective
GSEs anticipated,
however, that
delinquent
loans will
be repurchased
in
most cases
before the
24-month
deadline under
one of the
following
exceptions
listed below.
•
a loan that
is paid in
full, or
where the
related lien
is released
and/or the
note debt
is satisfied
or forgiven;
•
a loan repurchased
by a seller/servicer
under applicable
selling
and servicing
requirements;
•
a loan entering
a permanent
modification,
which generally
requires
it to be
removed from
the MBS.
During any
modification
trial
period, the
loan will
remain in
the MBS until
the trial
period ends;
•
a loan subject
to a short
sale or
deed-in-lieu
of foreclosure;
or
•
a loan referred
to foreclosure.
47
Because of
these exceptions,
the GSEs
believe based
on prevailing
assumptions
and market
conditions
this change
will have
only a
marginal impact
on prepayment
speeds, in
aggregate.
Cohort level
impacts may
vary. For example,
more than
half of loans
referred to
foreclosure
are historically
referred
within six
months of
delinquency. The
degree to
which speeds
are affected
depends on
delinquency
levels, borrower
response,
and referral
to foreclosure
timelines.
The scope
and nature
of the actions
the U.S.
government
or the Fed
will ultimately
undertake
are unknown
and will
continue to
evolve
Effect on Us
Regulatory
developments,
movements
in interest
rates and
prepayment
rates affect
us in many
ways, including
the following:
Effects on
our Assets
A change
in or elimination
of the guarantee
structure
of Agency
RMBS may
increase our
costs (if,
for example,
guarantee
fees
increase)
or require
us to change
our investment
strategy
altogether.
For example,
the elimination
of the guarantee
structure
of Agency
RMBS may
cause us to
change our
investment
strategy
to focus
on non-Agency
RMBS, which
in turn would
require us
to significantly
increase our
monitoring
of the credit
risks of our
investments
in addition
to interest
rate and
prepayment
risks.
Lower long-term
interest
rates can
affect the
value of our
Agency RMBS
in a number
of ways. If
prepayment
rates are
relatively
low
(due, in
part, to
the refinancing
problems described
above), lower
long-term
interest
rates can
increase the
value of higher-coupon
Agency
RMBS. This
is because
investors
typically
place a premium
on assets
with yields
that are
higher than
market yields.
Although
lower long-
term interest
rates may
increase
asset values
in our portfolio,
we may not
be able to
invest new
funds in similarly-yielding
assets.
If prepayment
levels increase,
the value
of our Agency
RMBS affected
by such prepayments
may decline.
This is because
a principal
prepayment
accelerates
the effective
term of an
Agency RMBS,
which would
shorten the
period during
which an
investor would
receive
above-market
returns (assuming
the yield
on the prepaid
asset is
higher than
market yields).
Also, prepayment
proceeds
may not
be able
to be reinvested
in similar-yielding
assets. Agency
RMBS backed
by mortgages
with high
interest
rates are
more susceptible
to
prepayment
risk because
holders
of those
mortgages
are most
likely to
refinance
to a lower
rate. IOs
and IIOs,
however, may
be the types
of Agency
RMBS most
sensitive
to increased
prepayment
rates. Because
the holder
of an IO
or IIO receives
no principal
payments,
the
values of
IOs and IIOs
are entirely
dependent
on the existence
of a principal
balance on
the underlying
mortgages.
If the principal
balance
is eliminated
due to prepayment,
IOs and IIOs
essentially
become worthless.
Although
increased
prepayment
rates can
negatively
affect
the value
of our IOs
and IIOs,
they have
the opposite
effect on
POs. Because
POs act like
zero-coupon
bonds, meaning
they are
purchased
at a discount
to their
par value
and have
an effective
interest
rate based
on the discount
and the term
of the underlying
loan, an
increase in
prepayment
rates would
reduce the
effective term
of our POs
and accelerate
the yields
earned on
those assets,
which would
increase our
net income.
Higher long-term
rates can
also affect
the value
of our Agency
RMBS.
As long-term
rates rise,
rates available
to borrowers
also rise.
This tends
to cause prepayment
activity to
slow and
extend the
expected average
life of mortgage
cash flows.
As the expected
average
life of the
mortgage
cash flows
increases,
coupled with
higher discount
rates, the
value of Agency
RMBS declines.
Some of the
instruments
the Company
uses to hedge
our Agency
RMBS assets,
such as interest
rate futures,
swaps and
swaptions,
are stable
average life
instruments.
This means
that to the
extent we
use such instruments
to hedge
our Agency
RMBS assets,
our hedges
may not
adequately
protect us
from price
declines,
and therefore
may negatively
impact our
book value.
It is for
this reason
we use interest
only
securities
in our portfolio.
As interest
rates rise,
the expected
average life
of these
securities
increases,
causing generally
positive
price
movements
as the number
and size
of the cash
flows increase
the longer
the underlying
mortgages
remain outstanding.
This makes
interest
only securities
desirable
hedge instruments
for pass-through
Agency RMBS.
48
As described
above, the
Agency RMBS
market began
to experience
severe dislocations
in mid-March
2020 as a
result of
the
economic,
health and
market turmoil
brought about
by COVID-19.
On March 23,
2020, the
Fed announced
that it would
purchase
Agency
RMBS and
U.S. Treasuries
in the amounts
needed to
support smooth
market functioning,
which largely
stabilized
the Agency
RMBS
market, but
ended these
purchases
in March 2022
and announced
plans to reduce
its balance
sheet. The
Fed’s planned
reduction
of its
balance sheet
could negatively
impact our
investment
portfolio.
Further, the
moratoriums
on foreclosures
and evictions
described
above
will likely
delay potential
defaults
on loans that
would otherwise
be bought
out of Agency
RMBS pools
as described
above.
Depending
on
the ultimate
resolution
of the foreclosure
or evictions,
when and
if it occurs,
these loans
may be removed
from the
pool into
which they
were securitized.
If this were
to occur, it would
have the
effect of delaying
a prepayment
on the Company’s
securities
until such
time. As
the majority
of the Company’s
Agency RMBS
assets were
acquired
at a premium
to par, this will
tend to increase
the realized
yield on the
asset in question.
Because we
base our
investment
decisions
on risk management
principles
rather than
anticipated
movements
in interest
rates, in
a
volatile interest
rate environment
we may allocate
more capital
to structured
Agency RMBS
with shorter
durations.
We believe
these
securities
have a lower
sensitivity
to changes
in long-term
interest
rates than
other asset
classes.
We may attempt
to mitigate
our
exposure
to changes
in long-term
interest
rates by
investing
in IOs and
IIOs, which
typically
have different
sensitivities
to changes
in long-
term interest
rates than
PT RMBS,
particularly
PT RMBS backed
by fixed-rate
mortgages.
Effects on
our borrowing
costs
We leverage
our PT RMBS
portfolio and
a portion
of our structured
Agency RMBS
with principal
balances through
the use of
short-
term repurchase
agreement
transactions.
The interest
rates on
our debt
are determined
by the short
term interest
rate markets.
Increases
in the Fed
Funds rate,
SOFR or LIBOR
typically increase
our borrowing
costs, which
could affect
our interest
rate spread
if there
is no
corresponding
increase in
the interest
we earn
on our assets.
This would
be most prevalent
with respect
to our Agency
RMBS backed
by
fixed rate
mortgage
loans because
the interest
rate on a
fixed-rate
mortgage
loan does
not change
even though
market rates
may change.
In order
to protect
our net interest
margin against
increases
in short-term
interest
rates, we
may enter
into interest
rate swaps,
which
economically
convert our
floating-rate
repurchase
agreement
debt to fixed-rate
debt, or
utilize other
hedging instruments
such as
Eurodollar, Fed
Funds and
T-Note futures
contracts
or interest
rate swaptions.
Summary
During the
latter part
of the second
quarter of
2022 inflation
data drove
a material
change in
Fed policy, interest
rates and
the outlook
for the economy.
Specifically, the
CPI for
May, released in
June, was
far above
market expectations.
Survey measures
of inflation
expectations,
released
on the same
day, surged to
multi-decade
highs. In
July,
the June
CPI reading
was released
and was again
well
above market
expectations.
Equally
troubling,
elevated inflation
readings
were very
broad based,
implying inflationary
pressures
have
clearly spread
from just
those sectors
most exposed
to COVID-19
related supply
constraints.
This was
the catalyst
for the Fed
to pivot
even more
forcefully
than they
did during
late 2021/early
2022,
and the Fed
raised the
Fed Funds
rate by 200
basis points
collectively
at
the May, June and
July meetings.
The market
expects the
Fed to continuing
raising the
Fed Funds
rate by another
100 basis
points by
year-end.
Increases
in the Fed
Funds rate
are likely
to affect economic
activity,
and the Fed
has acknowledged
their actions
may lead to
a
recession.
Sectors of
the economy
most sensitive
to interest
rates – such
as housing
– have already
started to
slow and
other economic
indicators
have shown
evidence
of slowing,
such as new
orders and
production
levels for
the manufacturing
sector as
reported by
the
Institute
for Supply
Management.
Initial claims
for unemployment
in July of
2022 have
risen by
approximately
94,000 above
the low
reading reported
in March of
2022.
49
The market
appears to
anticipate
the Fed will
be able to
contain inflation
and that
the result
will be a
contraction
in economic
growth.
This is reflected
in yields
for longer-term
U.S. Treasuries.
With the
Fed expected
to increase
the Fed
Funds rate
by another
100 basis
points or
more,
shorter maturity
U.S. Treasuries
remain elevated,
with the
yield on the
2-year U.S.
Treasury Note
yielding approximately
3.07% on August
3, 2022.
The combined
effect – more
increases
to the Fed
Funds rate,
inflation
to be ultimately
contained
by the Fed
albeit potentially
at the expense
of a recession,
has
caused the
yield curve
to invert
whereby shorter
maturity U.S.
Treasuries yield
more
than long-term
U.S. Treasuries.
This condition
may persist
for the
balance of
2022 and
into 2023.
The Agency
RMBS market
generated
negative returns
for the second
quarter (-3.9%)
and year-to-date
(-8.8%),
and such returns
were lower
than comparable
duration U.S.
Treasuries by
1.20% and
2.3%, respectively.
During June
of 2022,
spreads to
comparable
duration U.S.
Treasuries were
near the
extreme levels
observed
in March of
2020 when
the markets
experienced
the extreme
turbulence
in the early
days of the
COVID-19 pandemic
that triggered
unprecedented
intervention
in the market
by the Fed.
In spite of
this poor
performance,
Agency RMBS
actually delivered
better returns
than most
sectors of
the fixed
income markets
during the
second quarter
and
first six
months of
2022.
For this
reason, returns
to the sector
may remain
low as the
largest participants
in the sector
– the Fed
via
quantitative
easing, now
quantitative
tightening,
and large
banks and
money managers
– refrain
from increasing
their investments
in the
sector.
However, if the
economy does
enter into
a recession
the sector
could outperform
other sectors
owing to
its lack of
credit risk
and
the prospects
for lower
funding rates
and declining
longer-term
rates. Through
the early
days of the
third quarter
of 2022,
Agency RMBS
have performed
well and
most of the
widening
in spreads
that occurred
in June of
2022 has
reversed.
Critical
Accounting
Estimates
Our condensed
financial
statements
are prepared
in accordance
with GAAP. GAAP requires
our management
to make some
complex
and subjective
decisions
and assessments.
Our most critical
accounting
estimates involve
decisions
and assessments
which could
significantly
affect reported
assets, liabilities,
revenues
and expenses.
There have
been no changes
to our critical
accounting
estimates
as
discussed
in our annual
report on
Form 10-K
for the year
ended December
31, 2021.
Capital
Expenditures
At June 30,
2022,
we had no
material commitments
for capital
expenditures.
Off-Balance
Sheet Arrangements
At June 30,
2022, we
did not have
any off-balance
sheet arrangements.
Dividends
In addition
to other
requirements
that must
be satisfied
to continue
to qualify
as a REIT, we must
pay annual
dividends
to our
stockholders
of at least
90% of our
REIT taxable
income, determined
without regard
to the deduction
for dividends
paid and
excluding any
net capital
gains. REIT
taxable income
(loss) is
computed
in accordance
with the
Code, and
can be greater
than or less
than our
financial
statement
net income
(loss) computed
in accordance
with GAAP. These
book to tax
differences
primarily
relate to
the recognition
of
interest
income on
RMBS, unrealized
gains and
losses on
RMBS, and
the amortization
of losses
on derivative
instruments
that are treated
as funding
hedges for
tax purposes.
We intend
to pay regular
monthly dividends
to our stockholders
and have
declared
the following
dividends
since the
completion
of our
IPO.
50
(in thousands, except per share amounts)
Year
Per Share
Amount
Total
2013
$
1.395
$
4,662
2014
2.160
22,643
2015
1.920
38,748
2016
1.680
41,388
2017
1.680
70,717
2018
1.070
55,814
2019
0.960
54,421
2020
0.790
53,570
2021
0.780
97,601
2022 - YTD
(1)
0.335
59,383
Totals
$
12.770
$
498,947
(1)
On July 13, 2022, the Company declared a dividend of $0.045 per share
to be paid on August 29, 2022.
The effect of this dividend is included
in the table above, but is not reflected in the Company’s financial statements
as of June 30, 2022.
Text extracted from the filing as submitted to EDGAR. Formatting, tables and exhibits are simplified for reading; the original document is authoritative for anything you rely on.