Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis
ITEM 2. MANAGEMENT’S
DISCUSSION
AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL
CONDITION
AND RESULTS OF
OPERATIONS
The following discussion of our financial condition and results of operations should
be read in conjunction with the financial
statements and notes to those statements included in Item 1 of this Form 10-Q.
The discussion may contain certain forward-looking
statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Forward-looking statements
are those that are not historical in nature. As a result of
many factors, such as those set forth under “Risk Factors” in our most recent
Annual Report on Form 10-K, our actual results may
differ materially from those anticipated in such forward-looking statements.
Overview
We are a specialty finance company that invests in residential mortgage-backed securities
(“RMBS”) which are issued and
guaranteed by a federally chartered corporation or agency (“Agency RMBS”).
Our investment strategy focuses on, and our portfolio
consists of, two categories of Agency RMBS: (i) traditional pass-through Agency RMBS,
such as mortgage pass-through certificates
issued by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac or Ginnie Mae (the “GSEs”) and collateralized
mortgage obligations (“CMOs”) issued by the GSEs
(“PT RMBS”) and (ii) structured Agency RMBS, such as interest-only securities (“IOs”),
inverse interest-only securities (“IIOs”) and
principal only securities (“POs”), among other types of structured Agency RMBS.
We were formed by Bimini in August 2010,
commenced operations on November 24, 2010 and completed our initial public
offering (“IPO”) on February 20, 2013.
We are
externally managed by Bimini Advisors, an investment adviser registered with
the Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”).
Our business objective is to provide attractive risk-adjusted total returns over the
long term through a combination of capital
appreciation and the payment of regular monthly distributions. We intend to achieve this
objective by investing in and strategically
allocating capital between the two categories of Agency RMBS described above.
We seek to generate income from (i) the net interest
margin on our leveraged PT RMBS portfolio and the leveraged portion
of our structured Agency RMBS portfolio, and (ii) the interest
income we generate from the unleveraged portion of our structured Agency RMBS
portfolio. We intend to fund our PT RMBS and
certain of our structured Agency RMBS through short-term borrowings
structured as repurchase agreements. PT RMBS and structured
Agency RMBS typically exhibit materially different sensitivities to movements in interest
rates. Declines in the value of one portfolio
may be offset by appreciation in the other. The percentage of capital that we allocate to our two Agency RMBS asset categories will
vary and will be actively managed in an effort to maintain the level of income generated by
the combined portfolios, the stability of that
income stream and the stability of the value of the combined portfolios. We believe that this
strategy will enhance our liquidity,
earnings, book value stability and asset selection opportunities in various interest
rate environments.
We operate so as to qualify to be taxed as a real estate investment trust (“REIT”) under the
Internal Revenue Code of 1986, as
amended (the “Code”).
We generally will not be subject to U.S. federal income tax to the extent that we
currently distribute all of our
REIT taxable income (as defined in the Code) to our stockholders and maintain
our REIT qualification.
The Company’s common stock trades on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol “ORC”.
Capital Raising Activities
On January 23, 2020, we entered into an equity distribution agreement (the “January
2020 Equity Distribution Agreement”) with
three sales agents pursuant to which we could offer and sell, from time to time, up to an aggregate amount
of $200,000,000 of shares
of our common stock in transactions that were deemed to be “at the market”
offerings and privately negotiated transactions.
We issued
a total of 3,170,727 shares under the January 2020 Equity Distribution Agreement for aggregate
gross proceeds of $19.8 million, and
net proceeds of approximately $19.4 million, after commissions and fees,
prior to its termination in August 2020.
On August 4, 2020, we entered into an equity distribution agreement (the “August
2020 Equity Distribution Agreement”) with four
sales agents pursuant to which we could offer and sell, from time to time, up to an aggregate
amount of $150,000,000 of shares of our
common stock in transactions that were deemed to be “at the market” offerings and privately
negotiated transactions. We issued a total
24
of 27,493,650 shares under the August 2020 Equity Distribution Agreement for
aggregate gross proceeds of approximately $150.0
million, and net proceeds of approximately $147.4 million, after commissions
and fees,
prior to its termination in June 2021.
On January 20, 2021, we entered into an underwriting agreement (the “January 2021
Underwriting Agreement”) with J.P. Morgan
Securities LLC (“J.P. Morgan”), relating to the offer and sale of 7,600,000 shares of our common stock. J.P.
Morgan purchased the
shares of our common stock from the Company pursuant to the January 2021
Underwriting Agreement at $5.20 per share. In addition,
we granted J.P.
Morgan a 30-day option to purchase up to an additional 1,140,000 shares
of our common stock on the same terms and
conditions, which J.P. Morgan exercised in full on January 21, 2021. The closing of the offering of 8,740,000 shares of our common
stock occurred on January 25, 2021, with proceeds to us of approximately $45.2
million, net of offering expenses.
On March 2, 2021, we entered into an underwriting agreement (the “March 2021 Underwriting
Agreement”) with J.P. Morgan,
relating to the offer and sale of 8,000,000 shares of our common stock. J.P. Morgan purchased the shares of our common stock from
the Company pursuant to the March 2021 Underwriting Agreement at $5.45 per share.
In addition, we granted J.P. Morgan a 30-day
option to purchase up to an additional 1,200,000 shares of our common stock
on the same terms and conditions, which J.P. Morgan
exercised in full on March 3, 2021. The closing of the offering of 9,200,000 shares of our common
stock occurred on March 5, 2021,
with proceeds to us of approximately $50.0 million, net of offering expenses.
On June 22, 2021, we entered into an equity distribution agreement (the “June 2021
Equity Distribution Agreement”) with four
sales agents pursuant to which we may offer and sell, from time to time, up to an aggregate
amount of $250,000,000 of shares of our
common stock in transactions that are deemed to be “at the market” offerings and privately
negotiated transactions. Through
September 30, 2021, we issued a total of 41,568,338 shares under the June 2021 Equity Distribution
Agreement for aggregate gross
proceeds of approximately $211.0 million, and net proceeds of approximately $207.5 million, after commissions and fees.
Subsequent
to September 30, 2021 and through October 28, 2021, we issued a total of 7,838,998
shares under the June 2021 Equity Distribution
Agreement for aggregate gross proceeds of approximately $39.0 million, and net proceeds
of approximately $38.4 million, after
commissions and fees.
Stock Repurchase Agreement
On July 29, 2015, the Company’s Board of Directors authorized the repurchase of up to 2,000,000
shares of our common stock.
The timing, manner, price and amount of any repurchases is determined by the Company in its discretion and is subject
to economic
and market conditions, stock price, applicable legal requirements and other factors.
The authorization does not obligate the Company
to acquire any particular amount of common stock and the program may be
suspended or discontinued at the Company’s discretion
without prior notice. On February 8, 2018, the Board of Directors approved
an increase in the stock repurchase program for up to an
additional 4,522,822 shares of the Company’s common stock. Coupled with the 783,757
shares remaining from the original 2,000,000
share authorization, the increased authorization brought the total authorization
to 5,306,579 shares, representing 10% of the
Company’s then outstanding share count. This stock repurchase program has no termination
date.
From the inception of the stock repurchase program through September 30, 2021, the
Company repurchased a total of 5,685,511
shares at an aggregate cost of approximately $40.4
million, including commissions and fees, for a weighted average price
of $7.10 per
share. The Company did not repurchase any shares of its common stock during the
nine and three months ended September 30, 2021.
The remaining authorization under the repurchase program as of September 30, 2021 was
837,311 shares.
Factors that Affect our Results of Operations and Financial Condition
A variety of industry and economic factors may impact our results of operations and
financial condition. These factors include:
●
interest rate trends;
●
the difference between Agency RMBS yields and our funding and hedging costs;
25
●
competition for, and supply of, investments in Agency RMBS;
●
actions taken by the U.S. government, including the presidential administration,
the Fed, the Federal Housing Financing
Agency (the “FHFA”), Federal Housing Administration (the “FHA”), the Federal Open Market Committee (the “FOMC”)
and the
U.S. Treasury;
●
prepayment rates on mortgages underlying our Agency RMBS and credit
trends insofar as they affect prepayment rates; and
●
other market developments.
In addition, a variety of factors relating to our business may also impact our results
of operations and financial condition. These
factors include:
●
our degree of leverage;
●
our access to funding and borrowing capacity;
●
our borrowing costs;
●
our hedging activities;
●
the market value of our investments; and
●
the requirements to qualify as a REIT and the requirements to qualify for
a registration exemption under the Investment
Company Act.
Results
of Operations
Described
below are
the Company’s
results of
operations
for the
nine and
three months
ended September
30, 2021,
as compared
to
the Company’s
results of
operations
for the nine
and three
months ended
September
30, 2020.
Net (Loss)
Income Summary
Net loss for
the nine
months ended
September
30, 2021
was $20.2
million, or
$0.19 per
share. Net
loss for the
nine months
ended
September
30, 2020
was $14.4
million, or
$0.22 per
share.
Net income
for the three
months ended
September
30, 2021
was $26.0
million, or
$0.20 per
share. Net
income for
the three
months ended
September
30, 2020
was $28.1
million, or
$0.42 per
share.
The
components
of net (loss)
income for
the nine and
three months
ended September
30, 2021
and 2020,
along with
the changes
in those
components
are presented
in the table
below:
(in thousands)
Nine Months Ended September 30,
Three Months Ended, September 30,
2021
2020
Change
2021
2020
Change
Interest income
$
90,279
$
90,152
$
127
$
34,169
$
27,223
$
6,946
Interest expense
(5,067)
(23,045)
17,978
(1,570)
(2,043)
473
Net interest income
85,212
67,107
18,105
32,599
25,180
7,419
(Losses) gains on RMBS and derivative contracts
(94,522)
(73,712)
(20,810)
(2,887)
5,745
(8,632)
Net portfolio (loss) income
(9,310)
(6,605)
(2,705)
29,712
30,925
(1,213)
Expenses
(10,886)
(7,746)
(3,140)
(3,674)
(2,849)
(825)
Net (loss) income
$
(20,196)
$
(14,351)
$
(5,845)
$
26,038
$
28,076
$
(2,038)
GAAP and Non-GAAP Reconciliations
In addition to the results presented in accordance with GAAP,
our results of operations discussed below include certain
non-GAAP financial information, including “Net Earnings Excluding Realized and Unrealized Gains and Losses”, “Economic
Interest Expense” and “Economic Net Interest Income.”
Net Earnings Excluding Realized and Unrealized Gains and Losses
26
We have elected to account for our Agency RMBS under the fair value option. Securities held under the fair value
option are recorded at estimated fair value, with changes in the fair value recorded as unrealized gains or losses through
the statements of operations.
In addition, we have not designated our derivative financial instruments used for hedging purposes as hedges for
accounting purposes, but rather hold them for economic hedging purposes. Changes in fair value of these instruments are
presented in a separate line item in the Company’s statements of operations and are not included in interest expense.
As
such, for financial reporting purposes, interest expense and cost of funds are not impacted by the fluctuation in value of the
derivative instruments.
Presenting net earnings excluding realized and unrealized gains and losses allows management to: (i) isolate the net
interest income and other expenses of the Company over time, free of all fair value adjustments and (ii) assess the
effectiveness of our funding and hedging strategies on our capital allocation decisions and our asset allocation performance.
Our funding and hedging strategies, capital allocation and asset selection are integral to our risk management strategy, and
therefore critical to the management of our portfolio.
We believe that the presentation of our net earnings excluding realized
and unrealized gains is useful to investors because it provides a means of comparing our results of operations to those of
our peers who have not elected the same accounting treatment. Our presentation of net earnings excluding realized and
unrealized gains and losses may not be comparable to similarly-titled measures of other companies, who may use different
calculations. As a result, net earnings excluding realized and unrealized gains and losses should not be considered as a
substitute for our GAAP net income (loss) as a measure of our financial performance or any measure of our liquidity under
GAAP.
The table below presents a reconciliation of our net income (loss) determined in accordance with GAAP and net
earnings excluding realized and unrealized gains and losses.
Net Earnings Excluding Realized and Unrealized Gains and Losses
(in thousands, except per share data)
Per Share
Net Earnings
Net Earnings
Excluding
Excluding
Realized and
Realized and
Realized and
Realized and
Net
Unrealized
Unrealized
Net
Unrealized
Unrealized
Income
Gains and
Gains and
Income
Gains and
Gains and
(GAAP)
Losses
(1)
Losses
(GAAP)
Losses
Losses
Three Months Ended
September 30, 2021
$
26,038
$
(2,887)
$
28,925
$
0.20
$
(0.02)
$
0.22
June 30, 2021
(16,865)
(40,844)
23,979
(0.17)
(0.41)
0.24
March 31, 2021
(29,369)
(50,791)
21,422
(0.34)
(0.60)
0.26
December 31, 2020
16,479
(4,605)
21,084
0.23
(0.07)
0.30
September 30, 2020
28,076
5,745
22,331
0.42
0.09
0.33
June 30, 2020
48,772
28,749
20,023
0.74
0.43
0.31
March 31, 2020
(91,199)
(108,206)
17,007
(1.41)
(1.68)
0.27
Nine Months Ended
September 30, 2021
$
(20,196)
$
(94,522)
$
74,326
$
(0.19)
$
(0.90)
$
0.71
September 30, 2020
(14,351)
(73,712)
59,361
(0.22)
(1.12)
0.90
(1)
Includes realized and unrealized gains (losses) on RMBS and derivative financial
instruments, including net interest income or expense on
interest rate swaps
.
Economic Interest Expense and Economic Net Interest Income
We use derivative and other hedging instruments, specifically Eurodollar,
Fed Funds and Treasury Note (“T-Note”)
futures contracts, short positions in U.S. Treasury securities, interest rate swaps and swaptions, to hedge a portion of the
interest rate risk on repurchase agreements in a rising rate environment.
27
We have not elected to designate our derivative holdings for hedge accounting treatment. Changes in fair value of these
instruments are presented in a separate line item in our statements of operations and not included in interest expense. As
such, for financial reporting purposes, interest expense and cost of funds are not impacted by the fluctuation in value of the
derivative instruments.
For the purpose of computing economic net interest income and ratios relating to cost of funds measures, GAAP
interest expense has been adjusted to reflect the realized and unrealized gains or losses on certain derivative instruments
the Company uses, specifically Eurodollar, Fed Funds and U.S. Treasury futures, and interest rate swaps and swaptions,
that pertain to each period presented. We believe that adjusting our interest expense for the periods presented by the gains
or losses on these derivative instruments would not accurately reflect our economic interest expense for these periods. The
reason is that these derivative instruments may cover periods that extend into the future, not just the current period. Any
realized or unrealized gains or losses on the instruments reflect the change in market value of the instrument caused by
changes in underlying interest rates applicable to the term covered by the instrument, not just the current period. For each
period presented, we have combined the effects of the derivative financial instruments in place for the respective period with
the actual interest expense incurred on borrowings to reflect total economic interest expense for the applicable period.
Interest expense, including the effect of derivative instruments for the period, is referred to as economic interest expense.
Net interest income, when calculated to include the effect of derivative instruments for the period, is referred to as economic
net interest income. This presentation includes gains or losses on all contracts in effect during the reporting period, covering
the current period as well as periods in the future.
The Company may invest in TBAs, which are forward contracts for the purchase or sale of Agency RMBS at a
predetermined price, face amount, issuer, coupon and stated maturity on an agreed-upon future date. The specific Agency
RMBS to be delivered into the contract are not known until shortly before the settlement date. We may choose, prior to
settlement, to move the settlement of these securities out to a later date by entering into a dollar roll transaction. The
Agency RMBS purchased or sold for a forward settlement date are typically priced at a discount to equivalent securities
settling in the current month. Consequently, forward purchases of Agency RMBS and dollar roll transactions represent a
form of off-balance sheet financing. These TBAs are accounted for as derivatives and marked to market through the income
statement. Gains or losses on TBAs are included with gains or losses on other derivative contracts and are not included in
interest income for purposes of the discussions below.
We believe that economic interest expense and economic net interest income provide meaningful information to
consider, in addition to the respective amounts prepared in accordance with GAAP.
The non-GAAP measures help
management to evaluate its financial position and performance without the effects of certain transactions and GAAP
adjustments that are not necessarily indicative of our current investment portfolio or operations. The unrealized gains or
losses on derivative instruments presented in our statements of operations are not necessarily representative of the total
interest rate expense that we will ultimately realize. This is because as interest rates move up or down in the future, the
gains or losses we ultimately realize, and which will affect our total interest rate expense in future periods, may differ from
the unrealized gains or losses recognized as of the reporting date.
Our presentation of the economic value of our hedging strategy has important limitations. First, other market
participants may calculate economic interest expense and economic net interest income differently than the way we
calculate them. Second, while we believe that the calculation of the economic value of our hedging strategy described
above helps to present our financial position and performance, it may be of limited usefulness as an analytical tool.
Therefore, the economic value of our investment strategy should not be viewed in isolation and is not a substitute for
interest expense and net interest income computed in accordance with GAAP.
The tables below present a reconciliation of the adjustments to interest expense shown for each period relative to our
derivative instruments, and the income statement line item, gains (losses) on derivative instruments, calculated in
accordance with GAAP for each quarter of 2021 to date and 2020.
28
Gains (Losses) on Derivative Instruments
(in thousands)
Funding Hedges
Recognized in
Attributed to
Attributed to
Income
U.S. Treasury and TBA
Current
Future
Statement
Securities Gain (Loss)
Period
Periods
(GAAP)
(Short Positions)
(Long Positions)
(Non-GAAP)
(Non-GAAP)
Three Months Ended
September 30, 2021
$
5,375
$
(2,306)
$
-
$
(1,248)
$
8,929
June 30, 2021
(34,915)
(5,963)
-
(5,104)
(23,848)
March 31, 2021
45,472
9,133
(8,559)
(4,044)
48,942
December 31, 2020
8,538
(436)
5,480
(5,790)
9,284
September 30, 2020
4,079
131
3,336
(6,900)
7,512
June 30, 2020
(8,851)
582
1,133
(5,751)
(4,815)
March 31, 2020
(82,858)
(7,090)
-
(4,900)
(70,868)
Nine Months Ended
September 30, 2021
$
15,932
$
864
$
(8,559)
$
(10,396)
$
34,023
September 30, 2020
(87,630)
(6,377)
4,469
(17,551)
(68,171)
Economic Interest Expense and Economic Net Interest Income
(in thousands)
Interest Expense on Borrowings
Gains
(Losses) on
Derivative
Instruments
Net Interest Income
GAAP
Attributed
Economic
GAAP
Economic
Interest
Interest
to Current
Interest
Net Interest
Net Interest
Income
Expense
Period
(1)
Expense
(2)
Income
Income
(3)
Three Months Ended
September 30, 2021
$
34,169
$
1,570
$
(1,248)
$
2,818
$
32,599
$
31,351
June 30, 2021
29,254
1,556
(5,104)
6,660
27,698
22,594
March 31, 2021
26,856
1,941
(4,044)
5,985
24,915
20,871
December 31, 2020
25,893
2,011
(5,790)
7,801
23,882
18,092
September 30, 2020
27,223
2,043
(6,900)
8,943
25,180
18,280
June 30, 2020
27,258
4,479
(5,751)
10,230
22,779
17,028
March 31, 2020
35,671
16,523
(4,900)
21,423
19,148
14,248
Nine Months Ended
September 30, 2021
$
90,279
$
5,067
$
(10,396)
$
15,463
$
85,212
$
74,816
September 30, 2020
90,152
23,045
(17,551)
40,596
67,107
49,556
(1)
Reflects the effect of derivative instrument hedges for only the period
presented.
(2)
Calculated by adding the effect of derivative instrument hedges attributed
to the period presented to GAAP interest expense.
(3)
Calculated by adding the effect of derivative instrument hedges attributed
to the period presented to GAAP net interest income.
Net Interest Income
During the
nine months
ended September
30, 2021,
we generated
$85.2 million
of net interest
income, consisting
of $90.3
million of
interest
income from
RMBS assets
offset by $5.1
million of
interest
expense on
borrowings.
For the comparable
period ended
September
30, 2020,
we generated
$67.1 million
of net interest
income, consisting
of $90.2
million of
interest
income from
RMBS assets
offset by
$23.0 million
of interest
expense on
borrowings.
The $0.1
million increase
in interest
income was
due to a
$1,284.9
million increase
in
average RMBS,
partially
offset by a
103 basis point
("bps") decrease
in the yield
on average
RMBS. The
$18.0 million
decrease
in interest
expense was
due to a
84 bps decrease
in the average
cost of funds,
partially
offset by a
$1,250.5
million increase
in average
outstanding
29
borrowings.
On an economic
basis, our
interest
expense on
borrowings
for the nine
months ended
September
30, 2021
and 2020
was $15.5
million and
$40.6 million,
respectively, resulting
in $74.8
million
and $49.6
million of
economic
net interest
income, respectively.
During the
three months
ended September
30, 2021,
we generated
$32.6 million
of net interest
income, consisting
of $34.2
million of
interest
income from
RMBS assets
offset by $1.6
million of
interest
expense on
borrowings.
For the three
months ended
September
30,
2020, we
generated
$25.2 million
of net interest
income, consisting
of $27.2
million of
interest
income from
RMBS assets
offset by $2.0
million of
interest
expense on
borrowings.
The $6.9
million increase
in interest
income was
due to a
$1,713.8
million increase
in average
RMBS,
partially
offset by a
52 bps decrease
in the yield
on average
RMBS. The
$0.5 million
decrease
in interest
expense was
due to a
12
bps decrease
in the average
cost of funds,
partially
offset by
a $1,636.3
million increase
in average
outstanding
borrowings.
On an economic
basis, our
interest
expense on
borrowings
for the three
months ended
September
30, 2021
and 2020
was $2.8
million and
$8.9 million,
respectively, resulting
in $31.4 million
and $18.3
million of
economic
net interest
income, respectively.
The tables
below provide
information
on our portfolio
average balances,
interest
income, yield
on assets,
average borrowings,
interest
expense, cost
of funds,
net interest
income and
net interest
spread for
the nine
months ended
September
30, 2021
and 2020 and
each
quarter of
2021 to date
and 2020 on
both a GAAP
and economic
basis.
($ in thousands)
Average
Yield on
Interest Expense
Average Cost of Funds
RMBS
Interest
Average
Average
GAAP
Economic
GAAP
Economic
Held
(1)
Income
RMBS
Borrowings
(1)
Basis
Basis
(2)
Basis
Basis
(3)
Three Months Ended
September 30, 2021
$
5,136,331
$
34,169
2.66%
$
4,864,287
$
1,570
$
2,818
0.13%
0.23%
June 30, 2021
4,504,887
29,254
2.60%
4,348,192
1,556
6,660
0.14%
0.61%
March 31, 2021
4,032,716
26,856
2.66%
3,888,633
1,941
5,985
0.20%
0.62%
December 31, 2020
3,633,631
25,893
2.85%
3,438,444
2,011
7,801
0.23%
0.91%
September 30, 2020
3,422,564
27,223
3.18%
3,228,021
2,043
8,943
0.25%
1.11%
June 30, 2020
3,126,779
27,258
3.49%
2,992,494
4,479
10,230
0.60%
1.37%
March 31, 2020
3,269,859
35,671
4.36%
3,129,178
16,523
21,423
2.11%
2.74%
Nine Months Ended
September 30, 2021
$
4,557,978
$
90,279
2.64%
$
4,367,037
$
5,067
$
15,463
0.15%
0.47%
September 30, 2020
3,273,068
90,152
3.67%
3,116,564
23,045
40,596
0.99%
1.74%
($ in thousands)
Net Interest Income
Net Interest Spread
GAAP
Economic
GAAP
Economic
Basis
Basis
(2)
Basis
Basis
(4)
Three Months Ended
September 30, 2021
$
32,599
$
31,351
2.53%
2.43%
June 30, 2021
27,698
22,594
2.46%
1.99%
March 31, 2021
24,915
20,871
2.46%
2.04%
December 31, 2020
23,882
18,093
2.62%
1.94%
September 30, 2020
25,180
18,280
2.93%
2.07%
June 30, 2020
22,779
17,028
2.89%
2.12%
March 31, 2020
19,148
14,248
2.25%
1.62%
Nine Months Ended
September 30, 2021
$
85,212
$
74,816
2.49%
2.17%
September 30, 2020
67,107
49,556
2.68%
1.93%
(1)
Portfolio yields and costs of borrowings presented in the tables above and the
tables on pages 30 and 31 are calculated based on the
average balances of the underlying investment portfolio/borrowings balances
and are annualized for the periods presented. Average
30
balances for quarterly periods are calculated using two data points, the beginning
and ending balances.
(2)
Economic interest expense and economic net interest income
presented in the table above and the tables on page 31 includes the effect
of our derivative instrument hedges for only the periods presented.
(3)
Represents interest cost of our borrowings and the effect of derivative
instrument hedges attributed to the period divided by average
RMBS.
(4)
Economic net interest spread is calculated by subtracting average economic
cost of funds from realized yield on average RMBS.
Interest Income and Average Asset Yield
Our interest
income for
the nine
months ended
September
30, 2021
and 2020
was $90.3
million and
$90.2 million,
respectively.
We
had average
RMBS holdings
of $4,558.0
million and
$3,273.1
million for
the nine
months ended
September
30, 2021
and 2020,
respectively.
The yield
on our portfolio
was 2.64%
and 3.67%
for the nine
months ended
September
30, 2021 and
2020, respectively.
For
the nine
months ended
September
30, 2021
as compared
to the nine
months ended
September
30, 2020,
there was
a $0.1 million
increase in
interest
income due
to the $1,284.9
million increase
in average
RMBS,
partially
offset by the
103 bps decrease
in the yield
on
average RMBS.
Our interest
income for
the three
months ended
September
30, 2021
and 2020
was $34.2
million and
$27.2 million,
respectively.
We
had average
RMBS holdings
of $5,136.3
million and
$3,422.6
million for
the three
months ended
September
30, 2021
and 2020,
respectively.
The yield
on our portfolio
was 2.66%
and 3.18%
for the three
months ended
September
30, 2021
and 2020,
respectively. For
the three
months ended
September
30, 2021
as compared
to the three
months
ended September
30, 2020,
there was
a $6.9 million
increase in
interest
income due
to
the $1,713.8
million increase
in average
RMBS,
partially
offset by the
52 bps decrease
in the yield
on
average RMBS.
The table
below presents
the average
portfolio
size, income
and yields
of our respective
sub-portfolios,
consisting
of structured
RMBS
and PT RMBS,
for the nine
months ended
September
30, 2021
and 2020,
and for each
quarter of
2021 to date
and 2020.
($ in thousands)
Average RMBS Held
Interest Income
Realized Yield on Average RMBS
PT
Structured
PT
Structured
PT
Structured
RMBS
RMBS
Total
RMBS
RMBS
Total
RMBS
RMBS
Total
Three Months Ended
September 30, 2021
$
5,016,550
$
119,781
$
5,136,331
$
33,111
$
1,058
$
34,169
2.64%
3.53%
2.66%
June 30, 2021
4,436,135
68,752
4,504,887
29,286
(32)
29,254
2.64%
(0.18)%
2.60%
March 31, 2021
3,997,965
34,751
4,032,716
26,869
(13)
26,856
2.69%
(0.15)%
2.66%
December 31, 2020
3,603,885
29,746
3,633,631
25,933
(40)
25,893
2.88%
(0.53)%
2.85%
September 30, 2020
3,389,037
33,527
3,422,564
27,021
202
27,223
3.19%
2.41%
3.18%
June 30, 2020
3,088,603
38,176
3,126,779
27,004
254
27,258
3.50%
2.67%
3.49%
March 31, 2020
3,207,467
62,392
3,269,859
35,286
385
35,671
4.40%
2.47%
4.36%
Nine Months Ended
September 30, 2021
$
4,483,550
$
74,428
$
4,557,978
$
89,266
$
1,013
$
90,279
2.65%
1.81%
2.64%
September 30, 2020
3,228,369
44,699
3,273,068
89,311
841
90,152
3.69%
2.51%
3.67%
Interest Expense and the Cost of Funds
We had average
outstanding
borrowings
of $4,367.0
million and
$3,116.6 million
and total
interest
expense of
$5.1 million
and $23.0
million for
the nine months
ended September
30, 2021
and 2020,
respectively. Our
average cost
of funds
was 0.15%
for the nine
months
ended September
30, 2021,
compared
to 0.99%
for the comparable
period in
2020.
The $18.0
million decrease
in interest
expense was
due to the
84 bps decrease
in the average
cost of funds,
partially
offset by the
$1,250.5
million increase
in average
outstanding
borrowings
during the
nine months
ended September
30, 2021
as compared
to the nine
months ended
September
30, 2020.
Our economic
interest
expense
was $15.5
million and
$40.6 million
for the nine
months ended
September
30, 2021
and 2020,
31
respectively. There
was a 127
bps decrease
in the average
economic
cost of funds
to 0.47%
for the nine
months ended
September
30,
2021 from
1.74% for
the nine
months ended
September
30, 2020.
We had average
outstanding
borrowings
of $4,864.3
million and
$3,228.0
million and
total interest
expense of
$1.6 million
and $2.0
million for
the three
months ended
September
30, 2021
and 2020,
respectively. Our
average
cost of funds
was 0.13%
and 0.25%
for three
months ended
September
30, 2021
and 2020,
respectively. There
was a 12
bps decrease
in the average
cost of funds
and a $1,636.3
million increase
in average
outstanding
borrowings
during
the three
months ended
September
30, 2021,
compared
to the three
months
ended September
30, 2020.
Our economic
interest
expense
was $2.8
million and
$8.9 million
for the three
months ended
September
30, 2021
and 2020,
respectively. There
was a 88
bps decrease
in the average
economic
cost of funds
to 0.23%
for the
three months
ended September
30,
2021 from
1.11% for the three
months ended
September
30, 2020.
Since all
of our repurchase
agreements
are short-term,
changes in
market rates
directly affect
our interest
expense. Our
average
cost
of funds
calculated
on a GAAP
basis was
4 bps above
the average
one-month
LIBOR and
3 bps below
the average
six-month
LIBOR for
the quarter
ended September
30, 2021.
Our average
economic
cost of funds
was 14 bps
above the
average one-month
LIBOR and
7 bps
above the
average six-month
LIBOR for
the quarter
ended September
30, 2021.
The average
term to maturity
of the outstanding
repurchase
agreements
decreased
to 30 days
at September
30, 2021
from 31 days
at December
31, 2020.
The tables
below present
the average
balance of
borrowings
outstanding,
interest
expense and
average cost
of funds,
and average
one-month
and six-month
LIBOR rates
for the nine
months ended
September
30, 2021
and 2020,
and for each
quarter in
2021 to date
and
2020 on both
a GAAP and
economic basis.
($ in thousands)
Average
Interest Expense
Average Cost of Funds
Balance of
GAAP
Economic
GAAP
Economic
Borrowings
Basis
Basis
Basis
Basis
Three Months Ended
September 30, 2021
$
4,864,287
$
1,570
$
2,818
0.13%
0.23%
June 30, 2021
4,348,192
1,556
6,660
0.14%
0.61%
March 31, 2021
3,888,633
1,941
5,985
0.20%
0.62%
December 31, 2020
3,438,444
2,011
7,801
0.23%
0.91%
September 30, 2020
3,228,021
2,043
8,943
0.25%
1.11%
June 30, 2020
2,992,494
4,479
10,230
0.60%
1.37%
March 31, 2020
3,129,178
16,523
21,423
2.11%
2.74%
Nine Months Ended
September 30, 2021
$
4,367,037
$
5,067
$
15,463
0.15%
0.47%
September 30, 2020
3,116,564
23,045
40,596
0.99%
1.74%
Average GAAP Cost of Funds
Average Economic Cost of Funds
Relative to Average
Relative to Average
Average LIBOR
One-Month
Six-Month
One-Month
Six-Month
One-Month
Six-Month
LIBOR
LIBOR
LIBOR
LIBOR
Three Months Ended
September 30, 2021
0.09%
0.16%
0.04%
(0.03)%
0.14%
0.07%
June 30, 2021
0.10%
0.18%
0.04%
(0.04)%
0.51%
0.43%
March 31, 2021
0.13%
0.23%
0.07%
(0.03)%
0.49%
0.39%
December 31, 2020
0.15%
0.27%
0.08%
(0.04)%
0.76%
0.64%
September 30, 2020
0.17%
0.35%
0.08%
(0.10)%
0.94%
0.76%
June 30, 2020
0.55%
0.70%
0.05%
(0.10)%
0.82%
0.67%
March 31, 2020
1.34%
1.43%
0.77%
0.68%
1.40%
1.31%
Nine Months Ended
32
September 30, 2021
0.10%
0.19%
0.05%
(0.04)%
0.37%
0.28%
September 30, 2020
0.68%
0.83%
0.31%
0.16%
1.06%
0.91%
Gains or Losses
The table
below presents
our gains
or losses
for the nine
and three
months ended
September
30, 2021
and 2020.
(in thousands)
Nine Months Ended September 30,
Three Months Ended September 30,
2021
2020
Change
2021
2020
Change
Realized (losses) gains on sales of RMBS
$
(3,068)
$
(24,522)
$
21,454
$
2,977
$
498
$
2,479
Unrealized (losses) gains on RMBS
(107,386)
38,440
(145,826)
(11,239)
1,168
(12,407)
Total (losses)
gains on RMBS
(110,454)
13,918
(124,372)
(8,262)
1,666
(9,928)
Gains (losses) on interest rate futures
852
(13,161)
14,013
574
(119)
693
Gains (losses) on interest rate swaps
12,446
(67,713)
80,159
3,000
489
2,511
Gains (losses) on payer swaptions (short positions)
3,507
(1,561)
5,068
2,295
(672)
2,967
Gains (losses) on payer swaptions (long positions)
5,477
(3,287)
8,764
1,767
914
853
Gains (losses) on interest rate floors
1,345
-
1,345
45
-
45
Gains (losses) on TBA securities (short positions)
864
(6,282)
7,146
(2,306)
95
(2,401)
(Losses) gains on TBA securities (long positions)
(8,559)
4,469
(13,028)
-
3,336
(3,336)
(Losses) gains on U.S. Treasury securities (short
-
(95)
95
-
36
(36)
Total (losses)
gains from derivative instruments
15,932
(87,630)
103,562
5,375
4,079
1,296
We invest in
RMBS with
the intent
to earn net
income from
the realized
yield on those
assets over
their related
funding and
hedging
costs, and
not for the
purpose of
making short
term gains
from sales.
However, we
have sold,
and may continue
to sell,
existing
assets to
acquire new
assets, which
our management
believes might
have higher
risk-adjusted
returns in
light of current
or anticipated
interest
rates,
federal government
programs
or general
economic conditions
or to manage
our balance
sheet as part
of our asset/liability
management
strategy. During
the nine
months ended
September
30, 2021
and 2020,
we received
proceeds
of $2,598.9
million and
$2,692.2
million,
respectively, from
the sales
of RMBS.
Most of these
sales during
the nine
months ended
September
30, 2020
occurred
during the
second
half of March
2020 as we
sold assets
in order
to maintain
sufficient
cash and liquidity
and reduce
risk associated
with the
market turmoil
brought about
by COVID-19.
During the
three months
ended September
30, 2021
and 2020,
we received
proceeds
of $918.0
million and
$668.9 million,
respectively, from
the sales
of RMBS.
Realized and
unrealized
gains and
losses on
RMBS are
driven in
part by changes
in yields
and interest
rates, which
affect the
pricing
of the securities
in our portfolio.
The unrealized
gains and
losses on
RMBS also
include the
premium lost
as a result
of prepayments
on
the underlying
mortgages,
decreasing
unrealized
gains or
increasing
unrealized
losses as
speeds or
premiums increase.
Gains and
losses
on interest
rate futures
contracts
are affected
by changes
in implied
forward
rates during
the reporting
period.
The table
below presents
historical
interest
rate data
for each
quarter end
during 2021
to date and
2020.
5 Year
10 Year
15 Year
30 Year
Three
U.S. Treasury
U.S. Treasury
Fixed-Rate
Fixed-Rate
Month
Rate
(1)
Rate
(1)
Mortgage Rate
(2)
Mortgage Rate
(2)
LIBOR
(3)
September 30, 2021
1.00%
1.53%
2.18%
2.90%
0.12%
June 30, 2021
0.87%
1.44%
2.27%
2.98%
0.13%
March 31, 2021
0.94%
1.75%
2.39%
3.08%
0.19%
December 31, 2020
0.36%
0.92%
2.22%
2.68%
0.23%
September 30, 2020
0.27%
0.68%
2.39%
2.89%
0.24%
June 30, 2020
0.29%
0.65%
2.60%
3.16%
0.31%
March 31, 2020
0.38%
0.70%
2.89%
3.45%
1.10%
(1)
Historical 5 and 10 Year
U.S. Treasury Rates are obtained from quoted end
of day prices on the Chicago Board Options Exchange.
(2)
Historical 30 Year and
15 Year Fixed
Rate Mortgage Rates are obtained from Freddie Mac’s
Primary Mortgage Market Survey.
33
(3)
Historical LIBOR is obtained from the Intercontinental Exchange Benchmark
Administration Ltd.
Expenses
For the nine
and three months
ended September
30, 2021,
the Company’s
total operating
expenses were
approximately
$10.9 million
and $3.7 million,
respectively, compared
to approximately
$7.7 million
and $2.8 million,
respectively, for
the nine
and three months
ended September
30, 2020.
The table
below presents
a breakdown
of operating
expenses for
the nine and
three months
ended September
30, 2021 and
2020.
(in thousands)
Nine Months Ended September 30,
Three Months Ended September 30,
2021
2020
Change
2021
2020
Change
Management fees
$
5,569
$
3,897
$
1,672
$
2,156
$
1,252
$
904
Overhead allocation
1,189
1,072
117
390
377
13
Accrued incentive compensation
884
(117)
1,001
259
158
101
Directors fees and liability insurance
874
750
124
279
242
37
Audit, legal and other professional fees
832
841
(9)
212
240
(28)
Direct REIT operating expenses
1,024
852
172
309
406
(97)
Other administrative
514
451
63
69
174
(105)
Total expenses
$
10,886
$
7,746
$
3,140
$
3,674
$
2,849
$
825
We are externally managed and advised by Bimini Advisors, LLC (the “Manager”) pursuant
to the terms of a management
agreement. The management agreement has been renewed through February
20, 2022 and provides for automatic one-year extension
options thereafter and is subject to certain termination rights.
Under the terms of the management agreement, the Manager is
responsible for administering the business activities and day-to-day operations of
the Company.
The Manager receives a monthly
management fee in the amount of:
●
One-twelfth of 1.5% of the first $250 million of the Company’s month end equity, as defined in the management agreement,
●
One-twelfth of 1.25% of the Company’s month end equity that is greater than $250 million
and less than or equal to $500
million, and
●
One-twelfth of 1.00% of the Company’s month end equity that is greater than $500 million.
The Company is obligated to reimburse the Manager for any direct expenses incurred
on its behalf and to pay the Manager the
Company’s pro rata portion of certain overhead costs set forth in the management
agreement. Should the Company terminate the
management agreement without cause, it will pay the Manager a termination
fee equal to three times the average annual management
fee, as defined in the management agreement, before or on the last day of the
term of the agreement.
The following table summarizes the management fee and overhead allocation
expenses for each quarter in 2021 to date and
2020.
($ in thousands)
Average
Average
Advisory Services
Orchid
Orchid
Management
Overhead
Three Months Ended
MBS
Equity
Fee
Allocation
Total
September 30, 2021
$
5,136,331
$
672,384
$
2,156
$
390
$
2,546
June 30, 2021
4,504,887
542,679
1,792
395
2,187
March 31, 2021
4,032,716
456,687
1,621
404
2,025
December 31, 2020
3,633,631
387,503
1,384
442
1,826
September 30, 2020
3,422,564
368,588
1,252
377
1,629
June 30, 2020
3,126,779
361,093
1,268
348
1,616
March 31, 2020
3,269,859
376,673
1,377
347
1,724
34
Nine Months Ended
September 30, 2021
$
4,557,978
$
557,250
$
5,569
$
1,189
$
6,758
September 30, 2020
3,273,068
368,785
3,897
1,072
4,969
Financial
Condition:
Mortgage-Backed Securities
As of September
30, 2021,
our RMBS
portfolio
consisted
of $5,601.4
million of
Agency RMBS
at fair value
and had a
weighted
average coupon
on assets
of 3.02%.
During the
nine months
ended September
30, 2021,
we received
principal
repayments
of $413.0
million compared
to $384.3
million
for the nine
months ended
September
30, 2020.
The average
three month
prepayment
speeds for
the
quarters
ended September
30, 2021
and 2020
were 12.4%
and 17.0%,
respectively.
The following
table presents
the 3-month
constant prepayment
rate (“CPR”)
experienced
on our structured
and PT RMBS
sub-portfolios,
on an annualized
basis, for
the quarterly
periods presented.
CPR is a method
of expressing
the prepayment
rate for a
mortgage pool
that assumes
that a constant
fraction
of the remaining
principal is
prepaid each
month or year.
Specifically, the
CPR in the
chart below
represents
the three month
prepayment
rate of the
securities
in the respective
asset
category.
Structured
PT RMBS
RMBS
Total
Three Months Ended
Portfolio (%)
Portfolio (%)
Portfolio (%)
September 30, 2021
9.8
25.1
12.4
June 30, 2021
10.9
29.9
12.9
March 31, 2021
9.9
40.3
12.0
December 31, 2020
16.7
44.3
20.1
September 30, 2020
14.3
40.4
17.0
June 30, 2020
13.9
35.3
16.3
March 31, 2020
9.8
22.9
11.9
The following
tables summarize
certain characteristics
of the Company’s
PT RMBS
and structured
RMBS as of
September
30, 2021
and December
31, 2020:
($ in thousands)
Weighted
Percentage
Average
of
Weighted
Maturity
Fair
Entire
Average
in
Longest
Asset Category
Value
Portfolio
Coupon
Months
Maturity
September 30, 2021
Fixed Rate RMBS
$
5,458,562
97.4%
2.96%
342
1-Oct-51
Total Mortgage-backed Pass-through
5,458,562
97.4%
2.96%
342
1-Oct-51
Interest-Only Securities
140,078
2.5%
3.39%
250
25-Aug-51
Inverse Interest-Only Securities
2,783
0.1%
3.75%
304
15-Jun-42
Total Structured RMBS
142,861
2.6%
3.40%
253
25-Aug-51
Total Mortgage Assets
$
5,601,423
100.0%
3.02%
326
1-Oct-51
December 31, 2020
Fixed Rate RMBS
$
3,560,746
95.5%
3.09%
339
1-Jan-51
Fixed Rate CMOs
137,453
3.7%
4.00%
312
15-Dec-42
Total Mortgage-backed Pass-through
3,698,199
99.2%
3.13%
338
1-Jan-51
Interest-Only Securities
28,696
0.8%
3.98%
268
25-May-50
Total Structured RMBS
28,696
0.8%
3.98%
268
25-May-50
35
Total Mortgage Assets
$
3,726,895
100.0%
3.19%
333
1-Jan-51
($ in thousands)
September 30, 2021
December 31, 2020
Percentage of
Percentage of
Agency
Fair Value
Entire Portfolio
Fair Value
Entire Portfolio
Fannie Mae
$
4,315,090
77.0%
$
2,733,960
73.4%
Freddie Mac
1,286,333
23.0%
992,935
26.6%
Total Portfolio
$
5,601,423
100.0%
$
3,726,895
100.0%
September 30, 2021
December 31, 2020
Weighted Average Pass-through Purchase Price
$
107.61
$
107.43
Weighted Average Structured Purchase Price
$
15.53
$
20.06
Weighted Average Pass-through Current Price
$
106.88
$
108.94
Weighted Average Structured Current Price
$
13.40
$
10.87
Effective Duration
(1)
3.350
2.360
(1)
Effective duration is the approximate percentage change in price
for a 100 bps change in rates.
An effective duration of 3.350 indicates that an
interest rate increase of 1.0% would be expected to cause a 3.350% decrease in the value
of the RMBS in the Company’s investment portfolio
at September 30, 2021.
An effective duration of 2.360 indicates that an interest rate increase
of 1.0% would be expected to cause a 2.360%
decrease in the value of the RMBS in the Company’s investment portfolio
at December 31, 2020. These figures include the structured securities
in the portfolio, but do not include the effect of the Company’s funding
cost hedges.
Effective duration quotes for individual investments are
obtained from The Yield Book, Inc.
The following
table presents
a summary
of portfolio
assets acquired
during the
nine months
ended September
30, 2021
and 2020,
including
securities
purchased during
the period
that settled
after the
end of the
period, if
any.
($ in thousands)
2021
2020
Total Cost
Average
Price
Weighted
Average
Yield
Total Cost
Average
Price
Weighted
Average
Yield
Pass-through RMBS
$
4,871,121
$
106.96
1.56%
$
3,012,072
$
107.22
1.67%
Structured RMBS
125,728
13.04
3.80%
-
-
-
Borrowings
As of September
30, 2021,
we had established
borrowing
facilities
in the repurchase
agreement
market with
a number
of commercial
banks and
other financial
institutions
and had borrowings
in place with
23 of these
counterparties.
None of these
lenders are
affiliated
with
the Company. These
borrowings
are secured
by the Company’s
RMBS and
cash, and
bear interest
at prevailing
market rates.
We believe
our established
repurchase
agreement
borrowing
facilities
provide borrowing
capacity in
excess of
our needs.
As of September
30, 2021,
we had obligations
outstanding
under the
repurchase
agreements
of approximately
$5,213.9
million with
a
net weighted
average borrowing
cost of 0.13%.
The remaining
maturity of
our outstanding
repurchase
agreement
obligations
ranged from
1 to 349
days, with
a weighted
average remaining
maturity of
30 days.
Securing
the repurchase
agreement
obligations
as of September
30, 2021
are RMBS
with an estimated
fair value,
including
accrued
interest,
of approximately
$5,430.3
million and
a weighted
average
maturity
of 344 months,
and cash
pledged to
counterparties
of approximately
$47.5 million.
Through
October 28,
2021, we
have been
able to maintain
our repurchase
facilities
with comparable
terms to
those that
existed at
September
30, 2021
with maturities
through
September
14, 2022.
The table below presents information about our period end,
maximum and average balances of borrowings for each quarter in
36
2021 to date and 2020.
($ in thousands)
Difference Between Ending
Ending
Maximum
Average
Borrowings and
Balance of
Balance of
Balance of
Average Borrowings
Three Months Ended
Borrowings
Borrowings
Borrowings
Amount
Percent
September 30, 2021
$
5,213,869
$
5,214,254
$
4,864,287
$
349,582
7.19%
June 30, 2021
4,514,704
4,517,953
4,348,192
166,512
3.83%
March 31, 2021
4,181,680
4,204,935
3,888,633
293,047
7.54%
December 31, 2020
3,595,586
3,597,313
3,438,444
157,142
4.57%
September 30, 2020
3,281,303
3,286,454
3,228,021
53,282
1.65%
June 30, 2020
3,174,739
3,235,370
2,992,494
182,245
6.09%
March 31, 2020
2,810,250
4,297,621
3,129,178
(318,928)
(10.19)%
(1)
(1)
The lower ending balance relative to the average balance during the quarter
ended March 31, 2020 reflects the disposal of RMBS pledged as
collateral in order to maintain cash and liquidity in response to the dislocations in the financial
and mortgage markets resulting from the
economic impacts of COVID-19.
During the quarter ended March 31, 2020, the Company’s investment
in RMBS decreased $642.1 million.
Liquidity and Capital Resources
Liquidity
is our ability
to turn non-cash
assets into
cash, purchase
additional
investments,
repay principal
and interest
on borrowings,
fund overhead,
fulfill margin
calls and
pay dividends.
Our principal
immediate
sources of
liquidity
include cash
balances,
unencumbered
assets and
borrowings
under repurchase
agreements.
Our borrowing
capacity will
vary over
time as the
market value
of our interest
earning assets
varies.
Our balance
sheet also
generates
liquidity
on an on-going
basis through
payments of
principal
and interest
we
receive on
our RMBS
portfolio.
Management
believes that
we currently
have sufficient
liquidity
and capital
resources
available
for (a) the
acquisition
of additional
investments
consistent
with the
size and
nature of
our existing
RMBS portfolio,
(b) the repayments
on borrowings
and (c) the
payment of
dividends
to the extent
required
for our continued
qualification
as a REIT.
We may also
generate
liquidity from
time
to time by
selling our
equity or
debt securities
in public
offerings
or private
placements.
Because our
PT RMBS
portfolio
consists entirely
of government
and agency
securities,
we do not
anticipate
having difficulty
converting
our assets
to cash should
our liquidity
needs ever
exceed our
immediately
available
sources of
cash.
Our structured
RMBS
portfolio
also consists
entirely
of governmental
agency securities,
although
they typically
do not trade
with comparable
bid / ask spreads
as
PT RMBS.
However, we anticipate
that we would
be able to
liquidate such
securities
readily, even
in distressed
markets, although
we
would likely
do so at
prices below
where such
securities
could be
sold in a
more stable
market.
To enhance our liquidity
even further,
we
may pledge
a portion
of our structured
RMBS as
part of a
repurchase
agreement
funding,
but retain
the cash in
lieu of acquiring
additional
assets.
In this way
we can, at
a modest
cost, retain
higher levels
of cash on
hand and
decrease
the likelihood
we will have
to sell assets
in
a distressed
market in
order to
raise cash.
Our strategy
for hedging
our funding
costs typically
involves
taking short
positions
in interest
rate futures,
treasury
futures,
interest
rate
swaps, interest
rate swaptions
or other
instruments.
When the
market causes
these short
positions
to decline
in value we
are required
to
meet margin
calls with
cash.
This can
reduce our
liquidity
position
to the extent
other securities
in our portfolio
move in price
in such a
way
that we do
not receive
enough cash
via margin
calls to
offset the
derivative
related margin
calls. If
this were
to occur
in sufficient
magnitude,
the loss of
liquidity
might force
us to reduce
the size
of the levered
portfolio,
pledge additional
structured
securities
to raise
funds or
risk operating
the portfolio
with less
liquidity.
Our master
repurchase
agreements
have no stated
expiration,
but can be
terminated
at any time
at our option
or at the
option of
the
counterparty. However,
once a definitive
repurchase
agreement
under a master
repurchase
agreement
has been
entered into,
it generally
may not be
terminated
by either
party.
A negotiated
termination
can occur, but
may involve
a fee to
be paid by
the party
seeking to
terminate
the repurchase
agreement
transaction,
as it did
during the
three months
ended March
31, 2020.
37
Under our
repurchase
agreement
funding arrangements,
we are required
to post margin
at the initiation
of the borrowing.
The margin
posted represents
the haircut,
which is a
percentage
of the market
value of the
collateral
pledged.
To the extent the
market value
of the
asset collateralizing
the financing
transaction
declines,
the market
value of our
posted margin
will be insufficient
and we will
be required
to
post additional
collateral.
Conversely, if
the market
value of the
asset pledged
increases
in value,
we would
be over collateralized
and we
would be
entitled to
have excess
margin returned
to us by the
counterparty.
Our lenders
typically
value our
pledged securities
daily to
ensure the
adequacy of
our margin
and make margin
calls as
needed, as
do we.
Typically, but not
always, the
parties agree
to a minimum
threshold
amount for
margin calls
so as to avoid
the need
for nuisance
margin calls
on a daily
basis.
Our master
repurchase
agreements
do not specify
the haircut;
rather haircuts
are determined
on an individual
repurchase
transaction
basis. Throughout
the nine months
ended September
30, 2021,
haircuts on
our pledged
collateral
remained
stable and
as of September
30, 2021,
our weighted
average
haircut was
approximately
5.0% of
the value
of our collateral.
While we
did not have
any TBAs at
September
30, 2021,
we do acquire
TBAs from
time to time.
TBAs represent
a form of
off-balance
sheet financing
and are accounted
for as derivative
instruments.
(See Note
4 to our Financial
Statements
in this Form
10-Q for additional
details on
our TBAs).
Under certain
market conditions,
it may be
uneconomical
for us to
roll our
TBAs into
future months
and we may
need
to take or
make physical
delivery
of the underlying
securities.
If we were
required
to take physical
delivery to
settle a long
TBA, we
would
have to fund
our total
purchase
commitment
with cash
or other
financing
sources and
our liquidity
position could
be negatively
impacted.
Our TBAs
are also
subject to
margin requirements
governed
by the Mortgage-Backed
Securities
Division ("MBSD")
of the FICC
and
by our master
securities
forward
transaction
agreements,
which may
establish
margin levels
in excess
of the MBSD.
Such provisions
require that
we establish
an initial
margin based
on the notional
value of the
TBA, which
is subject
to increase
if the estimated
fair value
of
our TBAs
or the estimated
fair value
of our pledged
collateral
declines.
The MBSD
has the sole
discretion
to determine
the value
of our
TBAs and
of the pledged
collateral
securing such
contracts.
In the event
of a margin
call, we
must generally
provide additional
collateral
on
the same
business day.
Settlement
of our TBA
obligations
by taking
delivery of
the underlying
securities
as well as
satisfying
margin requirements
could
negatively
impact our
liquidity
position.
However, since
we do not
use TBA dollar
roll transactions
as our primary
source of
financing,
we
believe that
we will have
adequate
sources of
liquidity
to meet
such obligations.
As discussed
earlier, we invest
a portion
of our capital
in structured
Agency RMBS.
We generally
do not apply
leverage
to this portion
of our portfolio.
The leverage
inherent
in structured
securities
replaces the
leverage
obtained
by acquiring
PT securities
and funding
them
in the repurchase
market.
This structured
RMBS strategy
has been a
core element
of the Company’s
overall investment
strategy
since
inception.
However, we
have and may
continue to
pledge a
portion
of our structured
RMBS in order
to raise
our cash levels,
but generally
will not
pledge these
securities
in order
to acquire
additional
assets.
The following
table summarizes
the effect
on our liquidity
and cash
flows from
contractual
obligations
for repurchase
agreements
and
interest
expense on
repurchase
agreements.
(in thousands)
Obligations Maturing
Within One
Year
One to Three
Years
Three to Five
Years
More than
Five Years
Total
Repurchase agreements
$
5,213,869
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
5,213,869
Interest expense on repurchase agreements
(1)
1,281
-
-
-
1,281
Totals
$
5,215,150
$
-
$
-
$
-
$
5,215,150
(1)
Interest expense
on repurchase
agreements is
based on current
interest rates
as of September
30, 2021 and
the remaining
term of the liabilities
existing at
that date.
In future
periods,
we expect
to continue
to finance
our activities
in a manner
that is consistent
with our
current operations
through
38
repurchase
agreements.
As of September
30, 2021,
we had cash
and cash equivalents
of $424.1
million.
We generated
cash flows
of
$497.8 million
from principal
and interest
payments on
our RMBS
and had average
repurchase
agreements
outstanding
of $4,367.0
million
during the
nine months
ended September
30, 2021.
Stockholders’
Equity
On January 23, 2020, we entered into the January 2020 Equity Distribution Agreement
with three sales agents pursuant to which
we could offer and sell, from time to time, up to an aggregate amount of $200,000,000 of
shares of our common stock in transactions
that were deemed to be “at the market” offerings and privately negotiated transactions.
We issued a total of 3,170,727 shares under
the January 2020 Equity Distribution Agreement for aggregate gross proceeds of $19.8
million, and net proceeds of approximately
$19.4 million, after commissions and fees, prior to its termination in August
2020.
On August 4, 2020, we entered into the August 2020 Equity Distribution Agreement with
four sales agents pursuant to which we
could offer and sell, from time to time, up to an aggregate amount of $150,000,000 of
shares of our common stock in transactions that
were deemed to be “at the market” offerings and privately negotiated transactions. We issued a total
of 27,493,650 shares under the
August 2020 Equity Distribution Agreement for aggregate gross proceeds of approximately
$150.0 million, and net proceeds of
approximately $147.4 million, after commissions and fees,
prior to its termination in June 2021.
On January 20, 2021, we entered into the January 2021 Underwriting Agreement
with J.P. Morgan Securities LLC (“J.P.
Morgan”),
relating to the offer and sale of 7,600,000 shares of our common stock. J.P. Morgan purchased the shares of our common stock from
the Company pursuant to the January 2021 Underwriting Agreement at $5.20 per
share. In addition, we granted J.P. Morgan a 30-day
option to purchase up to an additional 1,140,000 shares of our common stock
on the same terms and conditions, which J.P. Morgan
exercised in full on January 21, 2021. The closing of the offering of 8,740,000 shares of our
common stock occurred on January 25,
2021, with proceeds to us of approximately $45.2 million, net of offering expenses.
On March 2, 2021, we entered into the “March 2021 Underwriting Agreement with J.P. Morgan, relating to the offer and sale of
8,000,000 shares of our common stock. J.P. Morgan purchased the shares of our common stock from the Company pursuant to the
March 2021 Underwriting Agreement at $5.45 per share. In addition, we granted
J.P.
Morgan a 30-day option to purchase up to an
additional 1,200,000 shares of our common stock on the same terms and
conditions, which J.P. Morgan exercised in full on March 3,
2021. The closing of the offering of 9,200,000 shares of our common stock occurred on March
5, 2021, with proceeds to us of
approximately $50.0
million, net of offering expenses payable.
On June 22, 2021, we entered into an equity distribution agreement (the “June 2021
Equity Distribution Agreement”) with four
sales agents pursuant to which we may offer and sell, from time to time, up to an aggregate
amount of $250,000,000 of shares of our
common stock in transactions that are deemed to be “at the market” offerings and privately
negotiated transactions. Through
September 30, 2021, we issued a total of 41,568,338 shares under the June 2021 Equity Distribution
Agreement for aggregate gross
proceeds of approximately $211.0 million, and net proceeds of approximately $207.5 million, after commissions and fees.
Subsequent
to September 30, 2021 and through October 29, 2021, we issued a total of 7,838,998
shares under the June 2021 Equity Distribution
Agreement for aggregate gross proceeds of approximately $39.0 million, and net proceeds
of approximately $38.4 million, after
commissions and fees.
Outlook
Economic Summary
The effects of
COVID-19 continued
to dominate
economic
activity during
the third quarter
of 2021, particularly
the Delta
variant that
first emerged
in earnest during
July.
Daily new infections
from the Delta
variant rose
rapidly during
the summer
but
appeared to
peak in early
September and
have been slowly
falling since.
COVID related
deaths have
followed a
similar
pattern.
Progress on
vaccinations
has slowed,
and most of
the new cases
were among
the unvaccinated.
This has led
to
39
various measures
by governments
and corporations
to mandate employees
receive vaccinations.
The net effect
of a
spreading virus
and a reluctance
on the part
of many to
get vaccinated
has been subdued
job growth
during the
third quarter
of
2021.
This is particularly
true among workers
with high
exposure to
customers,
such as those
in the leisure
and hospitality
industries.
The various
forms of pandemic
related supplemental
unemployment
insurance
ended in early
September, so job
growth may
accelerate
in the fourth
quarter.
In the interim,
the combination
of a reluctance
to return to
work on the
part of
many individuals,
coupled with
sufficient income
via unemployment
insurance,
has resulted
in both robust
demand for
goods
and services
and shortages
of labor in
many industries.
Coupled with
a demand/supply
imbalance in
favor of demand
for
many commodities
and parts, the
combination
of the two
forces has
led to severe
supply shortages
across the
economy.
The
supply imbalances
for goods and
services
have in turn
led to price
pressures
for both, driving
inflation to
multi-decade highs.
The Fed chairman,
among other
members of
the Federal
Open Market
Committee
(“FOMC”) have
maintained
these
inflationary
forces are
temporary and
will ease once
the effects
of the COVID
pandemic
fade and workers
can return
to work.
Yet, as implied by
market pricing
of inflation
linked U.S.
Treasury securities
and opinions
expressed by
various market
participants,
inflation
may prove to
be more than
transitory, and
of late even
FOMC members
themselves
have admitted
inflation has
remained high
longer than
they had anticipated.
Over the course
of the third
quarter and
into the fourth,
expectations
for growth
in the U.S.
economy during
the third
quarter continued
to decline.
On October
28, 2021, the
advanced read
on gross
domestic product
growth for
the U.S.
economy was
reported to
be 2.0%.
Expectations
for growth
during the
quarter were
approximately
4% to 7% at
the beginning
of the quarter. As
noted above,
job growth
has decelerated
and supply
constraints
of goods and
services
are keeping
activity
levels suppressed.
Over the course
of the balance
of the year
it should become
apparent whether
or not the
supply
constraints,
especially
with respect
to labor, are transitory
or not now
that essentially
all forms
of pandemic
related
unemployment
insurance
have ended and
the new cases
of the Delta
variant of
the COVID
virus are
subsiding. This
in turn
should also
answer the
question about
the transitory
nature of inflation.
The housing
market remains
robust as evidenced
by sales
of new and existing
homes, as
well as new
home construction.
However, as home
prices have
risen at 10%
– 20% over
the last year
and supply
shortages
of goods and
materials
are
constraining
new home construction,
this trend
may slow.
If this were
to occur,
it would be
beneficial
for the Company’s
RMBS
portfolio
as prepayments
related to housing
turnover may
decelerate.
Legislative
Response and
the Fed
Congress passed
the CARES Act
quickly in
response to
the pandemic’s
emergence in
the spring
of 2021and followed
with
additional
legislation
over the ensuing
months.
However, as certain
provisions
of the CARES
Act expired,
such as
supplemental
unemployment
insurance in
July of 2021,
there appeared
to be a need
for additional
stimulus
for the economy
to
deal with the
surge in the
pandemic that
occurred as
cold weather
set in, particularly
over the Christmas
holiday.
As
mentioned above,
the Federal
government
eventually
passed an additional
stimulus
package in late
December of
2020 and
again in March
of 2021. In
addition,
the Fed has
provided,
and continues
to provide,
as much support
to the markets
and the
economy as
it can within
the constraints
of its mandate.
During the
third quarter
of 2020, the
Fed unveiled
a new monetary
policy framework
focused on average
inflation
rate targeting
that allows
the Fed Funds
rate to remain
quite low, even
if inflation
is expected
to temporarily
surpass the
2% target level.
Further, the Fed
has indicated
that it will
look past the
presence of
very
tight labor
markets, should
they be present
at the time.
This marks
a significant
shift from
their prior
policy framework,
which
was focused
on the unemployment
rate as a key
indicator
of impending
inflation.
Adherence to
this policy
could steepen
the
U.S. Treasury
curve as short-term
rates could
remain low
for a considerable
period but
longer-term
rates could
rise given the
Fed’s intention
to let inflation
potentially
run above 2%
in the future
as the economy
more fully
recovers.
The response
of U.S.
Treasury rates
appeared to
follow this
pattern precisely
during the first
quarter of
2021,
but have since
reversed since
early in
the second quarter
2021.
Interest Rates
Interest rates
across the
U.S. Treasury
curve and U.S.
dollar swap
curve were
little changed
during the
third quarter
of
2021.
The only
notable development
within the
rates complex
was the slight
flattening of
both curves
between the
five-
and
40
30-year points
as the market
anticipates
the eventual
tapering of
asset purchases
beginning
in the fourth
quarter of
2021 and
increases
to the Fed funds
rate in either
the second
half of 2022
or early 2023.
As described
above, the Delta
variant of
the COVID virus
has dominated
economic
activity, both during
the third quarter
of
2021 and generally
since March
of 2020.
However, the FOMC
and the Fed
chairman have
looked through
the effects
of the
pandemic and
see the impact
fading.
At the conclusion
of the September
FOMC meeting,
the Fed chairman
was not
ambiguous in
expressing
his view
that the economy
had made “substantial
further progress”
towards achieving
their dual
mandates of
price stability
and full employment.
As a result,
the Fed appeared
to indicate
that it was
close to commencing
the
tapering of
their asset
purchases.
More specifically,
the Fed chairman
indicated they
are likely
to begin the
tapering of
their
asset purchases
this year
and that they
would likely
complete the
tapering by
mid next year.
The Fed also
released their
summary of
economic projections,
or “Dot Plot”
as it is known,
at the conclusion
of the meeting
and, as was
the case with
the
June FOMC
Dot Plot,
the Dot Plot
indicated FOMC
members anticipated
increasing
the Fed Funds
rate sooner
and by a larger
amount than
the market
anticipated.
Nine of the
eighteen
FOMC members,
as evidenced
by the Dot
Plot released
in
September, expect
the Fed to
increase the
funds rate
at least once
in 2022.
This surprised
the market,
and the market
pricing
of forward
short-term
rates quickly
adjusted to
reflect these
expectations.
As the fourth
quarter has
unfolded and
inflationary
pressures
have continued
to build,
market pricing
of forward
short-term
rates have
continued to
reflect additional
increases to
the Fed Funds
rate. Further,
as inflation
persists at
higher levels
and
continues to
challenge the
Fed’s assertion
that it will
prove transitory,
longer maturity
rates have moved
higher so far
in the
fourth quarter.
The level
of the 10-year
U.S. Treasury
is close to
matching the
year-to-date
high yield
established
on March 31,
2021.
The Agency RMBS
Market
Performance
for the Agency
RMBS market
for the third
quarter was
a modest 0.01%,
generally in-line
with most
other
asset classes.
The excess
return to comparable
duration U.S.
Treasuries and
swaps for
the Agency RMBS
sub-index was
0.1% for both
for the quarter.
Within the
Agency RMBS
sector, higher coupon
fixed rate
securities
outperformed
lower
coupons, specifically
the coupon currently
in widespread
production.
Total returns for the
third quarter
for 2.0% and
2.5%
securities
were -0.4%
and 0.00%,
respectively.
For 3.0% and
3.5% coupons
the returns
were 0.6% and
0.5%, respectively.
Thirty-year
and fifteen-year
securities
both returned
0.1% for the
quarter. As mentioned
above, at the
conclusion
of the
September FOMC
meeting the
chairman made
it quite clear
the Fed was
likely to
begin to taper
their asset
purchases this
year
and conclude
the $40 billion
per month purchases
of Agency
RMBS assets
by mid-2022.
Given the length
of time the
Fed has
been supporting
the Agency
RMBS market,
coupled with
banks that are
flush with
deposits that
need to be
invested,
price
levels in
the Agency RMBS
market were
quite rich
prior to this
development,
especially
the coupons
the Fed routinely
purchases,
which have
been the 2.0%
and 2.5% coupons
predominantly. These
factors are
what drove
the relative
underperformance
of these two
coupons for
the quarter
and has continued
to do so into
the fourth quarter.
The second driver
of Agency RMBS
performance,
both for the
third quarter
of 2021 and
beyond, is,
as always,
the level
of
prepayments.
With interest
rates relatively
steady during
the third quarter
and, after
such a prolonged
period of low
interest
rates prepayment
speeds on higher
coupon, premium
priced securities
were expected
to eventually
slow.
This appears
to be
finally happening,
as evidenced
by the August
and September
prepayment
reports, released
in September
and October,
respectively.
As interest
rates
have moved higher
so far in
the fourth quarter,
approaching
levels last
seen at the
conclusion
of
the first
quarter, market
participants
expect this
trend to continue,
and which
is reflected
in the performance
of these coupons
quarter to
date.
Recent Legislative
and Regulatory
Developments
The Fed conducted
large scale
overnight repo
operations
from late
2019 until
July 2020 to
address disruptions
in the U.S.
Treasury, Agency debt
and Agency
MBS financing
markets. These
operations
ceased in
July 2020 after
the central
bank
successfully
tamed volatile
funding costs
that had threatened
to cause disruption
across the
financial
system.
41
The Fed has
taken a number
of other actions
to stabilize
markets as
a result of
the impacts
of the COVID-19
pandemic.
In
March of 2020,
the Fed announced
a $700 billion
asset purchase
program to
provide liquidity
to the U.S.
Treasury and Agency
RMBS markets.
The Fed also
lowered the
Fed Funds rate
to a range of
0.0% – 0.25%,
after having
already lowered
the Fed
Funds rate
by 50 bps earlier
in the month.
Later that
same month
the Fed announced
a program to
acquire U.S.
Treasuries
and Agency
RMBS in the
amounts needed
to support
smooth market
functioning.
With these
purchases,
market conditions
improved substantially.
Currently, the Fed is
committed
to purchasing
$80 billion
of U.S. Treasuries
and $40 billion
of Agency
RMBS each month.
Chairman Powell
and the Fed
have reiterated
their commitment
to this level
of asset purchases
at every
meeting since
their meeting
on June 30,
2020. At the
September
2021 meeting,
the Fed generally
assessed that,
provided that
the economic
recovery remained
broadly on
track, a gradual
tapering process
that concluded
around the
middle of
next year
would likely
be appropriate.
The Fed noted
that if a
decision
to begin tapering
purchases
occurred at
the next meeting,
the
process of
tapering could
commence with
the monthly
purchase calendars
beginning in
either mid-November
or mid-
December. The Fed
has taken various
other steps
to support
certain other
fixed income
markets, to
support mortgage
servicers
and to implement
various portions
of the Coronavirus
Aid, Relief,
and Economic
Security (“CARES”)
Act.
The CARES
Act was passed
by Congress
and signed into
law on March
27, 2020.
This over
$2 trillion
COVID-19 relief
bill, among
other things,
provided for
direct payments
to each American
making up to
$75,000 a year, increased
unemployment
benefits for
up to four
months (on
top of state
benefits),
funding to
hospitals
and health providers,
loans and
investments
to businesses,
states and municipalities
and grants
to the airline
industry. On April
24, 2020, President
Trump
signed an additional
funding bill
into law that
provided an
additional
$484 billion
of funding
to individuals,
small businesses,
hospitals,
health care
providers
and additional
coronavirus
testing efforts.
Various provisions
of the CARES
Act began to
expire in
July 2020,
including
a moratorium
on evictions,
expanded unemployment
benefits,
and a moratorium
on foreclosures.
On August 8,
2020, President
Trump issued
Executive Order
13945, directing
the Department
of Health and
Human Services,
the Centers
for Disease
Control and
Prevention
(“CDC”),
the Department
of Housing
and Urban Development,
and
Department
of the Treasury
to take measures
to temporarily
halt residential
evictions and
foreclosures,
including
through
temporary
financial
assistance.
On December
27, 2020, an
additional
$900 billion
coronavirus
aid package
was signed
into law as
part of the
Consolidated
Appropriations
Act of 2021,
providing for
extensions
of many of
the CARES Act
policies and
programs as
well as additional
relief. The
package provided
for, among other
things, direct
payments to
most Americans
with a gross
income of
less than
$75,000 a year, extension
of unemployment
benefits through
March 14, 2021,
funding for
procurement
of vaccines
and health
providers,
loans to qualified
businesses,
funding for
rental assistance
and funding for
schools. On
January 29,
2021, the CDC
issued guidance
extending
eviction
moratoriums
for covered
persons through
March 31,
2021, which
was extended
to July 31,
2021. On August
26, 2021, the
U.S. Supreme
Court issued
a decision
ending the
CDC eviction
moratorium.
In addition,
on
February 9,
2021, the FHFA announced
that the foreclosure
moratorium
begun under
the CARES Act
for loans
backed by
Fannie Mae
and Freddie
Mac and the
eviction moratorium
for real estate
owned by Fannie
Mae and Freddie
Mac were
extended until
March 31,
2021, which
was further
extended through
September
30, 2021. On
July 30, 2021,
the FHA
announced an
extension
of the eviction
moratorium
through September
30, 2021 for
foreclosed
borrowers
and other occupants
and noted the
expiration of
the foreclosure
moratorium
on July 31, 2021.
On March 11, 2021,
the $1.9 trillion
American Rescue
Plan Act of
2021 was signed
into law.
This stimulus
program
furthered the
Federal government’s
efforts to stabilize
the economy and
provide assistance
to sectors
of the population
still
suffering from
the various
physical and
economic effects
of the pandemic.
On September
30, 2019, the
FHFA announced that
Fannie Mae
and Freddie
Mac were allowed
to increase
their capital
buffers to $25
billion and
$20 billion,
respectively, from
the prior limit
of $3 billion
each. On June
30, 2020,
the FHFA released
a
proposed rule
on a new regulatory
framework for
the GSEs which
seeks to implement
both a risk-based
capital framework
and
minimum leverage
capital requirements.
The final
rule on the
new capital
framework
for the GSEs
was published
in the federal
register in
December 2020.
On January
14, 2021, the
U.S. Treasury
and the FHFA executed
letter agreements
allowing the
GSEs to continue
to retain capital
up to their
regulatory
minimums,
including buffers,
as prescribed
in the December
rule.
These letter
agreements
provide, in
part, (i)
there will
be no exit
from conservatorship
until all
material litigation
is settled
and
the GSE has
common equity
Tier 1 capital
of at least
3% of its
assets, (ii)
the GSEs will
comply with
the FHFA’s regulatory
42
capital framework,
(iii) higher-risk
single-family
mortgage acquisitions
will be restricted
to current
levels, and
(iv) the U.S.
Treasury and the
FHFA will establish
a timeline
and process
for future
GSE reform.
However, no definitive
proposals
or
legislation
have been released
or enacted with
respect to
ending the
conservatorship,
unwinding the
GSEs, or materially
reducing the
roles of the
GSEs in the
U.S. mortgage
market. On
June 23, 2021,
President Biden
removed the
director of
the
FHFA and appointed
an acting
director. On September
14, 2021, the
FHFA suspended
certain provisions
added to the
letter
agreements
on January
14, 2021, including
limits on
the enterprises'
cash windows,
multifamily
lending, loans
with higher
risk
characteristics,
and second
homes and investment
properties.
The enterprises
will continue
to build capital
under the
continuing
provisions
of the letter
agreements.
Additionally, the
FHFA is reviewing
the enterprise
regulatory
capital framework
and expects
to announce
further action
in the near
future.
In 2017, policymakers
announced that
LIBOR will
be replaced by
December 31,
2021. The directive
was spurred
by the
fact that banks
are uncomfortable
contributing
to the LIBOR
panel given
the shortage
of underlying
transactions
on which to
base levels
and the liability
associated
with submitting
an unfounded
level. The
ICE Benchmark
Administration,
in its capacity
as administrator
of USD LIBOR,
has confirmed
that it will
cease publication
of (i) the
one-week and
two-month USD
LIBOR
settings immediately
following the
LIBOR publication
on December
31, 2021, and
(ii) the overnight
and one, three,
six and 12-
month USD
LIBOR settings
immediately
following the
LIBOR publication
on June 30,
2023. A joint
statement by
key regulatory
authorities
calls on banks
to cease entering
into new contracts
that use USD
LIBOR as a
reference rate
by no later
than
December 31,
2021. The Alternative
Reference Rates
Committee,
a steering
committee comprised
of large U.S.
financial
institutions,
has proposed
replacing USD-LIBOR
with a new SOFR,
a rate based
on U.S. repo
trading. Many
banks believe
that it may
take four to
five years
to complete
the transition
to SOFR, for
certain, despite
the 2021 deadline.
We will monitor
the
emergence of
this new rate
carefully
as it will
potentially
become the new
benchmark
for hedges and
a range of
interest rate
investments.
At this time,
however, no consensus
exists as
to what rate
or rates may
become accepted
alternatives
to LIBOR.
Effective January
1, 2021, Fannie
Mae, in alignment
with Freddie
Mac, will
extend the timeframe
for its delinquent
loan
buyout policy
for Single-Family
Uniform Mortgage-Backed
Securities
(UMBS) and
Mortgage-Backed
Securities
(MBS) from
four consecutively
missed monthly
payments to
twenty-four
consecutively
missed monthly
payments (i.e.,
24 months past
due). This
new timeframe
will apply
to outstanding
single-family
pools and newly
issued single-family
pools and was
first
reflected when
January 2021
factors were
released on
the fourth business
day in February
2021.
For Agency
RMBS investors,
when a delinquent
loan is bought
out of a pool
of mortgage
loans, the removal
of the loan
from the pool
is the same
as a total
prepayment
of the loan.
The respective
GSEs currently
anticipate,
however, that
delinquent loans
will be repurchased
in most cases
before the 24-month
deadline under
one of the following
exceptions
listed
below.
•
a loan that
is paid in
full, or where
the related
lien is released
and/or the
note debt is
satisfied
or forgiven;
•
a loan repurchased
by a seller/servicer
under applicable
selling and
servicing
requirements;
•
a loan entering
a permanent
modification,
which generally
requires it
to be removed
from the MBS.
During any
modification
trial period,
the loan will
remain in the
MBS until
the trial
period ends;
•
a loan subject
to a short
sale or deed-in-lieu
of foreclosure;
or
•
a loan referred
to foreclosure.
Because of these
exceptions,
the GSEs currently
believe based
on prevailing
assumptions
and market
conditions
this
change will
have only a
marginal impact
on prepayment
speeds, in
aggregate.
Cohort level
impacts may
vary. For example,
more than half
of loans referred
to foreclosure
are historically
referred within
six months of
delinquency. The degree
to which
speeds are
affected depends
on delinquency
levels, borrower
response, and
referral
to foreclosure
timelines.
The scope and
nature of
the actions
the U.S. government
or the Fed
will ultimately
undertake are
unknown and
will
continue to
evolve, especially
in light of
the COVID-19
pandemic, President
Biden’s new
administration
and the new
Congress
in the United
States.
Effect on Us
43
Regulatory
developments,
movements
in interest
rates and prepayment
rates affect
us in many
ways, including
the
following:
Effects on our
Assets
A change in
or elimination
of the guarantee
structure
of Agency
RMBS may
increase our
costs (if,
for example,
guarantee
fees increase)
or require
us to change our
investment
strategy altogether.
For example,
the elimination
of the guarantee
structure
of Agency RMBS
may cause us
to change our
investment
strategy to
focus on non-Agency
RMBS, which
in turn
would require
us to significantly
increase our
monitoring
of the credit
risks of
our investments
in addition
to interest
rate and
prepayment
risks.
Lower long-term
interest rates
can affect the
value of our
Agency RMBS
in a number
of ways. If
prepayment
rates are
relatively
low (due,
in part, to
the refinancing
problems described
above), lower
long-term interest
rates can increase
the value
of higher-coupon
Agency RMBS.
This is because
investors typically
place a premium
on assets with
yields that
are higher
than
market yields.
Although lower
long-term interest
rates may increase
asset values
in our portfolio,
we may not
be able to invest
new funds in
similarly-yielding
assets.
If prepayment
levels increase,
the value of
our Agency
RMBS affected
by such prepayments
may decline.
This is because
a principal
prepayment
accelerates
the effective
term of an
Agency RMBS,
which would
shorten the
period during
which an
investor would
receive above-market
returns (assuming
the yield on
the prepaid
asset is higher
than
market yields).
Also,
prepayment
proceeds may
not be able
to be reinvested
in similar-yielding
assets. Agency
RMBS backed
by mortgages
with
high interest
rates are
more susceptible
to prepayment
risk because
holders of
those mortgages
are most likely
to refinance
to
a lower rate.
IOs and IIOs,
however, may be
the types of
Agency RMBS
most sensitive
to increased
prepayment
rates.
Because the
holder of
an IO or IIO
receives no
principal
payments, the
values of IOs
and IIOs are
entirely dependent
on the
existence of
a principal
balance on the
underlying
mortgages.
If the principal
balance is
eliminated due
to prepayment,
IOs and
IIOs essentially
become worthless.
Although increased
prepayment
rates can negatively
affect the value
of our IOs
and IIOs,
they have
the opposite
effect on POs.
Because POs
act like
zero-coupon
bonds, meaning
they are purchased
at a discount
to
their par
value and have
an effective
interest rate
based on the
discount and
the term
of the underlying
loan, an increase
in
prepayment
rates would
reduce the effective
term of our
POs and accelerate
the yields
earned on those
assets, which
would
increase our
net income.
Higher long-term
rates can also
affect the value
of our Agency
RMBS.
As long-term
rates rise,
rates available
to
borrowers
also rise.
This tends to
cause prepayment
activity
to slow and
extend the
expected average
life of mortgage
cash
flows.
As the expected
average life
of the mortgage
cash flows
increases,
coupled with
higher discount
rates, the
value of
Agency RMBS
declines.
Some of the
instruments
the Company
uses to hedge
our Agency
RMBS assets,
such as interest
rate futures,
swaps and swaptions,
are stable
average life
instruments.
This means
that to the
extent we use
such instruments
to hedge our
Agency RMBS
assets, our
hedges may
not adequately
protect us
from price
declines, and
therefore may
negatively
impact our
book value.
It is for
this reason
we use interest
only securities
in our portfolio.
As interest
rates rise,
the
expected average
life of these
securities
increases,
causing generally
positive price
movements
as the number
and size of
the
cash flows
increase the
longer the
underlying
mortgages remain
outstanding.
This makes
interest only
securities
desirable
hedge instruments
for pass-through
Agency RMBS.
As described
above, the Agency
RMBS market
began to experience
severe dislocations
in mid-March
2020 as a result
of
the economic,
health and
market turmoil
brought about
by COVID-19.
In March of
2020, the Fed
announced that
it would
purchase Agency
RMBS and U.S.
Treasuries in
the amounts needed
to support
smooth market
functioning,
which largely
stabilized
the Agency RMBS
market, a
commitment
it reaffirmed
at all subsequent
Fed meetings.
At the September
2021
meeting, the
Fed generally
assessed that,
provided that
the economic
recovery remained
broadly on
track, a gradual
tapering
process that
concluded around
the middle
of next year
would likely
be appropriate.
The Fed noted
that if a decision
to begin
tapering purchases
occurred at
the next meeting,
the process
of tapering
could commence
with the monthly
purchase
calendars beginning
in either
mid-November
or mid-December. If
the Fed modifies,
reduces or suspends
its purchases
of
Agency RMBS,
our investment
portfolio could
be negatively
impacted. Further,
the moratoriums
on foreclosures
described
44
above will
likely delay
potential defaults
on loans that
would otherwise
be bought out
of Agency MBS
pools as described
above.
Depending
on the ultimate
resolution
of the foreclosures,
when and if
it occurs,
these loans
may be removed
from the
pool into which
they were securitized.
If this were
to occur, it would
have the effect
of delaying
a prepayment
on the Company’s
securities
until such
time. As the
majority
of the Company’s
Agency RMBS
assets were
acquired at
a premium
to par, this will
tend to increase
the realized
yield on the
asset in question.
Because we
base our investment
decisions
on risk management
principles
rather than
anticipated
movements
in interest
rates, in
a volatile
interest rate
environment
we may allocate
more capital
to structured
Agency RMBS
with shorter
durations.
We believe these
securities
have a lower
sensitivity
to changes in
long-term
interest rates
than other
asset classes.
We may
attempt to
mitigate our
exposure to
changes in
long-term
interest rates
by investing
in IOs and IIOs,
which typically
have
different sensitivities
to changes in
long-term
interest rates
than PT RMBS,
particularly
PT RMBS backed
by fixed-rate
mortgages.
Effects on our
borrowing
costs
We leverage
our PT RMBS
portfolio and
a portion of
our structured
Agency RMBS
with principal
balances through
the use
of short-term
repurchase
agreement transactions.
The interest
rates on our
debt are determined
by the short
term interest
rate
markets. An
increase in
the Fed Funds
rate or LIBOR
would increase
our borrowing
costs, which
could affect
our interest
rate
spread if there
is no corresponding
increase in
the interest
we earn on
our assets.
This would
be most prevalent
with respect
to
our Agency
RMBS backed
by fixed rate
mortgage loans
because the
interest rate
on a fixed-rate
mortgage loan
does not
change even
though market
rates may
change.
In order to
protect our
net interest
margin against
increases in
short-term
interest rates,
we may enter
into interest
rate
swaps, which
economically
convert our
floating-rate
repurchase
agreement debt
to fixed-rate
debt, or utilize
other hedging
instruments
such as Eurodollar,
Fed Funds and
T-Note futures
contracts
or interest
rate swaptions.
Summary
Once again COVID-19
dominated economic
activity
this quarter.
However, we may
be at a crossroads
as the effects
of
the Delta variant
appears to
be waning and
the number
of people with
either a vaccination
and/or prior
infections
of the virus
grow.
Pandemic related
relief measures
such as supplemental
unemployment
insurance payments
and foreclosure
moratoriums
are essentially
over.
Hopefully
the combination
of all of these
factors will
lead to surging
job growth
and act to
quickly lessen
the severe
supply shortage
of goods and
labor.
This in turn
should slow
the stubbornly
high inflation
the
economy has
suffered.
If these events
come to pass,
the economy
appears to
be positioned
to perform
very well,
and the Fed
has stated that
it will
slowly remove
the considerable
accommodation
they have provided
the market
via a tapering
of their
asset purchases
and eventually
increases
to the Fed Funds
rate. If these
events do
not unfold and
the supply
shortages of
goods and labor
remain, the
economy will
likely continue
to suffer from
elevated levels
of inflation.
Under this
scenario the
path of economic
growth is
less certain,
and the path
of monetary
policy could
prove to be
quite challenging
for the Fed.
The performance
of the Agency
RMBS market
was very modest
in absolute
returns, at
0.0% and 0.1%
versus comparable
duration interest
rates and swaps.
Performance
for the sector
was generally
in line with
other sectors
of the fixed
income
markets.
Within the
Agency RMBS
universe,
performance
was skewed
towards higher
coupons and
away from
lower coupons
that comprise
the bulk of
recent production
and Fed purchases.
This has continued
into the fourth
quarter, in large
part
because the Fed
has made it
quite clear
the hurdle
needed for
them to begin
to taper
their asset
purchases has
been met and
they plan to
commence doing
so this year, likely
ending in mid-2022.
Prepayment
speeds, particularly
on high coupon
securities,
have moderated
and are likely
to do so even
more with
rates higher
so far in the
fourth quarter
and the typical
seasonal slow
down as we
approach the
winter months.
Critical Accounting Estimates
45
Our condensed financial statements are prepared in accordance with GAAP.
GAAP requires our management to make
some complex and subjective decisions and assessments. Our most critical accounting estimates involve decisions and
assessments which could significantly affect reported assets, liabilities, revenues and expenses.
There have been no
changes to our critical accounting estimates as discussed in our annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December
31, 2020.
Capital Expenditures
At September 30, 2021, we had no material commitments for capital expenditures.
Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements
At September 30, 2021, we did not have any off-balance sheet arrangements.
Dividends
In addition to other requirements that must be satisfied to qualify as a REIT, we must pay annual dividends to our
stockholders of at least 90% of our REIT taxable income, determined without regard to the deduction for dividends paid and
excluding any net capital gains. REIT taxable income (loss) is computed in accordance with the Code, and can be greater
than or less than our financial statement net income (loss) computed in accordance with GAAP.
These book to tax
differences primarily relate to the recognition of interest income on RMBS, unrealized gains and losses on RMBS, and the
amortization of losses on derivative instruments that are treated as funding hedges for tax purposes.
We intend to pay regular monthly dividends to our stockholders and have declared the following dividends since the
completion of our IPO.
(in thousands, except per share amounts)
Year
Per Share
Amount
Total
2013
$
1.395
$
4,662
2014
2.160
22,643
2015
1.920
38,748
2016
1.680
41,388
2017
1.680
70,717
2018
1.070
55,814
2019
0.960
54,421
2020
0.790
53,570
2021 - YTD
(1)
0.650
74,045
Totals
$
12.305
$
416,008
(1)
On October 12, 2021, the Company declared a dividend of $0.065 per
share to be paid on November 26, 2021.
The effect of this dividend is
included in the table above, but is not reflected in the Company’s financial
statements as of September 30, 2021.
Inflation
Virtually all of our assets and liabilities are interest rate sensitive in nature. As a result, interest rates and other factors
influence our performance far more so than does inflation. Changes in interest rates do not necessarily correlate with
inflation rates or changes in inflation rates. Our financial statements are prepared in accordance with GAAP and our
distributions will be determined by our Board of Directors consistent with our obligation to distribute to our stockholders at
least 90% of our REIT taxable income on an annual basis in order to maintain our REIT qualification; in each case, our
activities and balance sheet are measured with reference to historical cost and/or fair market value without considering
inflation.
46
Text extracted from the filing as submitted to EDGAR. Formatting, tables and exhibits are simplified for reading; the original document is authoritative for anything you rely on.