Item 1. Financial Statements
ITEM 1. FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
ORCHID ISLAND CAPITAL, INC.
CONDENSED BALANCE SHEETS
($ in thousands, except per share data)
(Unaudited)
March 31,
December 31,
2024
2023
ASSETS:
Mortgage-backed securities, at fair value (includes pledged assets of $ 3,875,705 and $ 3,885,554 , respectively)
$ 3,881,078 $ 3,894,012
U.S. Treasury securities, available-for-sale (includes pledged assets of $ 79,590 and $ 79,680 , respectively)
99,496 148,820
Cash and cash equivalents
190,373 171,893
Restricted cash
13,247 28,396
Accrued interest receivable
15,614 14,951
Derivative assets
12,511 6,420
Other assets
2,343 455
Total Assets
$ 4,214,662 $ 4,264,947
LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS' EQUITY
LIABILITIES:
Repurchase agreements
$ 3,711,498 $ 3,705,649
Payable for investment securities and TBA transactions
395 60,454
Dividends payable
6,365 6,222
Derivative liabilities
80 12,694
Accrued interest payable
12,769 7,939
Due to affiliates
1,007 1,013
Other liabilities
917 1,031
Total Liabilities
3,733,031 3,795,002
COMMITMENTS AND CONTINGENCIES
STOCKHOLDERS' EQUITY:
Preferred stock, $ 0.01 par value; 20,000,000 shares authorized; no shares issued and outstanding as of March 31, 2024 and December 31, 2023
- -
Common Stock, $ 0.01 par value; 100,000,000 shares authorized, 52,826,169 shares issued and outstanding as of March 31, 2024 and 51,636,074 shares issued and outstanding as of December 31, 2023
528 516
Additional paid-in capital
841,790 849,845
Accumulated deficit
( 360,657 ) ( 380,433 )
Accumulated other comprehensive (loss) income
( 30 ) 17
Total Stockholders' Equity
481,631 469,945
Total Liabilities and Stockholders' Equity
$ 4,214,662 $ 4,264,947
See Notes to Financial Statements
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ORCHID ISLAND CAPITAL, INC.
CONDENSED STATEMENTS OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOME
(Unaudited)
For the Three Months Ended March 31, 2024 and 2023
($ in thousands, except per share data)
Three Months Ended March 31,
2024
2023
Interest income
$
48,871
$
38,012
Interest expense
( 51,361
)
( 42,217
)
Net interest expense
( 2,490
)
( 4,205
)
Unrealized (losses) gains on mortgage-backed securities and U.S. Treasury securities
( 61,895
)
53,895
Gains (losses) on derivative and other hedging instruments
87,899
( 41,156
)
Net portfolio income
23,514
8,534
Expenses:
Management fees
2,161
2,642
Allocated overhead
598
576
Incentive compensation
( 89
)
470
Directors' fees and liability insurance
329
323
Audit, legal and other professional fees
476
451
Direct REIT operating expenses
170
165
Other administrative
93
377
Total expenses
3,738
5,004
Net income
$
19,776
$
3,530
Unrealized losses on U.S. Treasury securities measured at fair value through other comprehensive net income
( 47
)
-
Comprehensive net income
$
19,729
$
3,530
Basic and diluted net income per share
$
0.38
$
0.09
Weighted Average Shares Outstanding
51,604,135
38,491,767
See Notes to Financial Statements
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ORCHID ISLAND CAPITAL, INC.
CONDENSED STATEMENTS OF STOCKHOLDERS' EQUITY
(Unaudited)
For the Three Months Ended March 31, 2024 and 2023
(in thousands)
Accumulated
Other
Additional
Retained
Comprehensive
Common Stock
Paid-in
Earnings
Income
Shares
Par Value
Capital
(Deficit)
(Loss)
Total
Balances, January 1, 2024
51,636 $ 516 $ 849,845 $ ( 380,433 ) $ 17 $ 469,945
Net income
- - - 19,776 - 19,776
Unrealized loss on available-for-sale securities
- - - - ( 47 ) ( 47 )
Cash dividends declared ($ 0.36 per share)
- - ( 18,724 ) - - ( 18,724 )
Stock based awards and amortization
33 - 350 - - 350
Issuance of common stock pursuant to public offerings, net
1,490 15 13,094 - - 13,109
Shares repurchased and retired
( 333 ) ( 3 ) ( 2,775 ) - - ( 2,778 )
Balances, March 31, 2024
52,826 $ 528 $ 841,790 $ ( 360,657 ) $ ( 30 ) $ 481,631
Balances, January 1, 2023
36,765 $ 368 $ 779,602 $ ( 341,207 ) $ - $ 438,763
Net income
- - - 3,530 - 3,530
Cash dividends declared ($ 0.48 per share)
- - ( 18,807 ) - - ( 18,807 )
Stock based awards and amortization
4 - 181 - - 181
Issuance of common stock pursuant to public offerings, net
2,690 26 31,631 - - 31,657
Shares repurchased and retired
( 373 ) ( 3 ) ( 3,960 ) - - ( 3,963 )
Balances, March 31, 2023
39,086 $ 391 $ 788,647 $ ( 337,677 ) $ - $ 451,361
See Notes to Financial Statements
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ORCHID ISLAND CAPITAL, INC.
CONDENSED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS
(Unaudited)
For the Three Months Ended March 31, 2024 and 2023
($ in thousands)
2024
2023
CASH FLOWS FROM OPERATING ACTIVITIES:
Net income
$
19,776
$
3,530
Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by (used in) operating activities:
Stock based compensation
( 140
)
409
Discount accretion on U.S. Treasury Bills
( 1,221
)
-
Unrealized losses (gains) on mortgage-backed securities and U.S. Treasury securities
61,895
( 53,895
)
Realized and unrealized (gains) losses on derivative instruments
( 39,176
)
43,563
Changes in operating assets and liabilities:
Accrued interest receivable
( 663
)
( 1,601
)
Other assets
( 530
)
( 459
)
Accrued interest payable
4,830
5,544
Other liabilities
244
182
Due to affiliates
( 6
)
98
NET CASH PROVIDED BY (USED IN) OPERATING ACTIVITIES
45,009
( 2,629
)
CASH FLOWS FROM INVESTING ACTIVITIES:
From mortgage-backed securities investments:
Purchases
( 345,032
)
( 467,460
)
Sales and maturities
221,733
-
Principal repayments
74,338
61,021
Purchases of U.S. Treasury securities, available-for-sale
( 98,643
)
-
Proceeds from maturity of U.S. Treasury securities, available-for-sale
100,000
-
Net proceeds from (payments on) derivative instruments
8,435
( 42,450
)
NET CASH USED IN INVESTING ACTIVITIES
( 39,169
)
( 448,889
)
CASH FLOWS FROM FINANCING ACTIVITIES:
Proceeds from repurchase agreements
8,529,398
7,849,145
Principal payments on repurchase agreements
( 8,523,549
)
( 7,458,153
)
Cash dividends
( 18,564
)
( 18,422
)
Proceeds from issuance of common stock, net of issuance costs
13,109
31,657
Common stock repurchases, including shares withheld from employee stock awards for payment of taxes
( 2,903
)
( 3,970
)
NET CASH (USED IN) PROVIDED BY FINANCING ACTIVITIES
( 2,509
)
400,257
NET INCREASE (DECREASE) IN CASH, CASH EQUIVALENTS AND RESTRICTED CASH
3,331
( 51,261
)
CASH, CASH EQUIVALENTS AND RESTRICTED CASH, beginning of the period
200,289
237,219
CASH, CASH EQUIVALENTS AND RESTRICTED CASH, end of the period
$
203,620
$
185,958
SUPPLEMENTAL DISCLOSURE OF CASH FLOW INFORMATION:
Cash paid during the period for:
Interest
$
46,531
$
36,673
See Notes to Financial Statements
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ORCHID ISLAND CAPITAL, INC.
NOTES TO CONDENSED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
(Unaudited)
March 31, 2024
NOTE 1. ORGANIZATION AND SIGNIFICANT ACCOUNTING POLICIES
Organization and Business Description
Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (“Orchid” or the “Company”) was incorporated in Maryland on August 17, 2010 for the purpose of creating and managing a leveraged investment portfolio consisting of residential mortgage-backed securities (“RMBS”). From incorporation to the completion of Orchid’s initial public offering of its common stock on February 20, 2013, Orchid was a wholly owned subsidiary of Bimini Capital Management, Inc. (“Bimini”). Orchid began operations on November 24, 2010 ( the date of commencement of operations). From incorporation through November 24, 2010, Orchid’s only activity was the issuance of common stock to Bimini.
On October 29, 2021, Orchid entered into an equity distribution agreement (the “October 2021 Equity Distribution Agreement”) with four sales agents pursuant to which the Company could offer and sell, from time to time, up to an aggregate amount of $ 250,000,000 of shares of the Company’s common stock in transactions that were deemed to be “at the market” offerings and privately negotiated transactions. The Company issued a total of 9,742,188 shares under the October 2021 Equity Distribution Agreement for aggregate gross proceeds of approximately $ 151.8 million, and net proceeds of approximately $ 149.3 million, after commissions and fees, prior to its termination in March 2023.
On March 7, 2023, Orchid entered into an equity distribution agreement (the “March 2023 Equity Distribution Agreement”) with three sales agents pursuant to which the Company may offer and sell, from time to time, up to an aggregate amount of $ 250,000,000 of shares of the Company’s common stock in transactions that are deemed to be “at the market” offerings and privately negotiated transactions. Through March 31, 2024 , the Company issued a total of 14,680,114 shares under the March 2023 Equity Distribution Agreement for aggregate gross proceeds of approximately $ 143.2 million, and net proceeds of approximately $ 140.9 million, after commissions and fees.
Basis of Presentation and Use of Estimates
The accompanying unaudited financial statements have been prepared in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States (“GAAP”) for interim financial information and with the instructions to Form 10 -Q and Article 8 of Regulation S- X. Accordingly, they do not include all of the information and footnotes required by GAAP for complete financial statements. In the opinion of management, all adjustments (consisting of normal recurring accruals) considered necessary for a fair statement of results for the interim period have been included. Operating results for the three month period ended March 31, 2024 are not necessarily indicative of the results that may be expected for the year ending December 31, 2024 .
The balance sheet at December 31, 2023 has been derived from the audited financial statements at that date but does not include all of the information and footnotes required by GAAP for complete financial statements. For further information, refer to the financial statements and footnotes thereto included in the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10 -K for the year ended December 31, 2023 .
The preparation of financial statements in conformity with GAAP requires management to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities and disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities at the date of the financial statements and the reported amounts of revenues and expenses during the reporting period. Actual results could significantly differ from those estimates. The significant estimates affecting the accompanying financial statements are the fair values of RMBS and derivatives. Management believes the estimates and assumptions underlying the financial statements are reasonable based on the information available as of March 31, 2024 .
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Variable Interest Entities ( “ VIEs ” )
The Company obtains interests in VIEs through its investments in mortgage-backed securities. The Company’s interests in these VIEs are passive in nature and are not expected to result in the Company obtaining a controlling financial interest in these VIEs in the future. As a result, the Company does not consolidate these VIEs and accounts for these interests in these VIEs as mortgage-backed securities. See Note 2 for additional information regarding the Company’s investments in mortgage-backed securities. The maximum exposure to loss for these VIEs is the carrying value of the mortgage-backed securities.
Cash and Cash Equivalents and Restricted Cash
Cash and cash equivalents include cash on deposit with financial institutions and highly liquid investments with original maturities of three months or less at the time of purchase. Restricted cash includes cash pledged as collateral for repurchase agreements and other borrowings, and interest rate swaps and other derivative instruments.
The following table provides a reconciliation of cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash reported within the statement of financial position that sum to the total of the same such amounts shown in the statement of cash flows.
(in thousands)
March 31, 2024
December 31, 2023
Cash and cash equivalents
$ 190,373 $ 171,893
Restricted cash
13,247 28,396
Total cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash
$ 203,620 $ 200,289
The Company maintains cash balances at three banks, a government securities backed overnight sweep fund, and excess margin on account with three exchange clearing members. At times, balances may exceed federally insured limits. The Company has not experienced any losses related to these balances. The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation insures eligible accounts up to $250,000 per depositor at each financial institution. Restricted cash balances are uninsured, but are held in separate customer accounts that are segregated from the general funds of the counterparty. The Company limits uninsured balances to only large, well-known banks and exchange clearing members and believes that it is not exposed to any significant credit risk on cash and cash equivalents or restricted cash balances.
Mortgage-Backed Securities and U.S. Treasury Securities
The Company invests primarily in mortgage pass-through (“PT”) residential mortgage backed securities (“RMBS”) and collateralized mortgage obligations (“CMOs”) issued by Freddie Mac, Fannie Mae or Ginnie Mae, interest-only (“IO”) securities and inverse interest-only (“IIO”) securities representing interest in or obligations backed by pools of RMBS. The Company refers to RMBS and CMOs as PT RMBS. The Company refers to IO and IIO securities as structured RMBS. The Company also invests in U.S. Treasury Notes and U.S. Treasury Bills (collectively, "U.S. Treasury securities"), primarily to satisfy collateral requirements of derivative counterparties. The Company has elected to account for its investment in RMBS and U.S. Treasury securities under the fair value option. Electing the fair value option requires the Company to record changes in fair value in net income, which, in management’s view, more appropriately reflects the results of the Company’s operations for a particular reporting period and is consistent with the underlying economics and how the portfolio is managed. The Company has designated its U.S. Treasury securities purchased after August 2023 as available-for-sale, and changes in fair value for reasons other than expected credit losses are recognized in other comprehensive income.
The Company records securities transactions on the trade date. Security purchases that have not settled as of the balance sheet date are included in the portfolio balance with an offsetting liability recorded, whereas securities sold that have not settled as of the balance sheet date are removed from the portfolio balance with an offsetting receivable recorded.
Fair value is defined as the price that would be received to sell the asset or paid to transfer the liability in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date. The fair value measurement assumes that the transaction to sell the asset or transfer the liability either occurs in the principal market for the asset or liability, or in the absence of a principal market, occurs in the most advantageous market for the asset or liability. Estimated fair values for RMBS are based on independent pricing sources and/or third party broker quotes, when available. Estimated fair values for U.S. Treasury securities are based on quoted prices for identical assets in active markets.
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Income on PT RMBS and U.S. Treasury Notes is based on the stated interest rate of the security. Premiums or discounts present at the date of purchase are not amortized. Premium lost and discount accretion resulting from monthly principal repayments are reflected in unrealized gains (losses) on RMBS in the statements of comprehensive income. For IO securities, the income is accrued based on the carrying value and the effective yield. The difference between income accrued and the interest received on the security is characterized as a return of investment and serves to reduce the asset’s carrying value. At each reporting date, the effective yield is adjusted prospectively for future reporting periods based on the new estimate of prepayments and the contractual terms of the security. For IIO securities, effective yield and income recognition calculations also take into account the index value applicable to the security. Changes in fair value of investments for which the fair value option is elected are recorded in earnings and reported as unrealized gains or losses on mortgage-backed securities and U.S. Treasury securities in the accompanying statements of comprehensive income. Realized gains and losses on sales of investments for which the fair value option has been elected, using the specific identification method, are reported as a separate component of net portfolio income on the statements of comprehensive income.
U.S. Treasury Bills are zero -coupon bonds that are purchased at a discount to the par amount. This discount is accreted into income over the life of the investment and reported in the statements of comprehensive income as interest income. Changes in fair value of U.S. Treasury securities that are classified as available-for-sale are reported in accumulated other comprehensive income ("OCI"). Upon the sale of a security designated as available-for-sale, we determine the cost of the security and the amount of unrealized gain or loss to reclassify out of accumulated OCI into earnings based on the specific identification method. The Company evaluated securities for allowance for credit losses and since all of the Company's available-for-sale securities designated investments consist of U.S. Treasury securities, which are backed by the full faith and credit of the U.S. government, the Company does not record an allowance for credit losses.
Derivative and Other Hedging Instruments
The Company uses derivative and other hedging instruments to manage interest rate risk, facilitate asset/liability strategies and manage other exposures, and it may continue to do so in the future. The principal instruments that the Company has used to date are Treasury Note (“T-Note”), Secured Overnight Financing Rate ("SOFR"), federal funds (“Fed Funds”) and Eurodollar futures contracts, short positions in U.S. Treasury securities, interest rate swaps, options to enter in interest rate swaps (“interest rate swaptions”), dual digital options, interest rate caps and floors, and “to-be-announced” (“TBA”) securities transactions, but the Company may enter into other derivative and other hedging instruments in the future.
The Company accounts for TBA securities as derivative instruments. Gains and losses associated with TBA securities transactions are reported in gain (loss) on derivative instruments in the accompanying statements of comprehensive income.
Derivative and other hedging instruments are carried at fair value, and changes in fair value are recorded in income as gains or losses on derivative and other hedging instruments for each period. The Company’s derivative financial instruments are not designated as hedge accounting relationships, but rather are used as economic hedges of its portfolio assets and liabilities. Gains and losses on derivatives, except those that result in cash receipts or payments, are included in operating activities on the statements of cash flows. Cash payments and cash receipts from settlements of derivatives, including current period net cash settlements on interest rate swaps, are classified as an investing activity on the statements of cash flows.
Holding derivatives creates exposure to credit risk related to the potential for failure on the part of counterparties and exchanges to honor their commitments. In the event of default by a counterparty, the Company may have difficulty recovering its collateral and may not receive payments provided for under the terms of the agreement. The Company’s derivative agreements require it to post or receive collateral to mitigate such risk. In addition, the Company uses only registered central clearing exchanges and well-established commercial banks as counterparties, monitors positions with individual counterparties and adjusts posted collateral as required.
Financial Instruments
The fair value of financial instruments for which it is practicable to estimate that value is disclosed either in the body of the financial statements or in the accompanying notes. RMBS, Fed Funds, SOFR and T-Note futures contracts, interest rate swaps, interest rate swaptions, dual digital options, interest rate floors and caps, and TBA securities are accounted for at fair value in the balance sheets. The methods and assumptions used to estimate fair value for these instruments are presented in Note 13 of the financial statements.
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Repurchase Agreements
The Company finances the acquisition of the majority of its RMBS through the use of repurchase agreements under master repurchase agreements. Repurchase agreements are accounted for as collateralized financing transactions, which are carried at their contractual amounts, including accrued interest, as specified in the respective agreements.
Manager Compensation
The Company is externally managed by Bimini Advisors, LLC (the “Manager” or “Bimini Advisors”), a Maryland limited liability company and wholly-owned subsidiary of Bimini. The Company’s management agreement with the Manager provides for payment to the Manager of a management fee and reimbursement of certain operating expenses, which are accrued and expensed during the period for which they are earned or incurred. Refer to Note 14 for the terms of the management agreement.
Earnings Per Share
Basic earnings per share (“EPS”) is calculated as net income or loss attributable to common stockholders divided by the weighted average number of shares of common stock outstanding during the period. Diluted EPS is calculated using the treasury stock or two -class method, as applicable, for common stock equivalents, if any. However, the common stock equivalents are not included in computing diluted EPS if the result is anti-dilutive.
Stock-Based Compensation
The Company may grant equity-based compensation to non-employee members of its Board of Directors and to the executive officers and employees of the Manager. Stock-based awards issued include performance units ("PUs"), deferred stock units ("DSUs") and immediately vested common stock awards. Compensation expense is measured and recognized for all stock-based payment awards made to employees and non-employee directors based on the fair value of the Company’s common stock on the date of grant. Compensation expense is recognized over each award’s respective service period using the graded vesting attribution method. The Company does not estimate forfeiture rates; but rather, adjusts for forfeitures in the periods in which they occur.
Income Taxes
Orchid has elected and is organized and operated so as to qualify to be taxed as a real estate investment trust (“REIT”) under the Internal Revenue Code of 1986, as amended (the “Code”). REITs are generally not subject to U.S. federal income tax on their REIT taxable income provided that they distribute to their stockholders all of their REIT taxable income on an annual basis. A REIT must distribute at least 90% of its REIT taxable income, determined without regard to the deductions for dividends paid and excluding net capital gain, and meet other requirements of the Code to retain its tax status.
Orchid assesses the likelihood, based on their technical merit, that uncertain tax positions will be sustained upon examination based on the facts, circumstances and information available at the end of each period. All of Orchid’s tax positions are categorized as highly certain. There is no accrual for any tax, interest or penalties related to Orchid’s tax position assessment. The measurement of uncertain tax positions is adjusted when new information is available, or when an event occurs that requires a change.
Recent Accounting Pronouncements
In November 2023, the FASB issued Accounting Standards Update ("ASU:) 2023 - 07 "Segment Reporting (Topic 820 ): Improvements to Reportable Segment Disclosures . ASU 2023 - 07 requires additional disclosures about reportable segments’ significant expenses on an interim and annual basis. The guidance in ASU 2023 - 07 is effective in annual periods beginning after December 15, 2023 and subsequent interim periods, with early adoption permitted. The Company is currently evaluating the provisions of the amendments and the impact on its future financial statements.
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NOTE 2. MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITIES, AT FAIR VALUE
The following table presents the Company’s RMBS portfolio that are remeasured at fair value through earnings as of March 31, 2024 and December 31, 2023 :
(in thousands)
March 31, 2024
December 31, 2023
Par Value
Cost (1)
Fair Value
Par Value
Cost (1)
Fair Value
Pass-Through RMBS Certificates:
Fixed-rate Mortgages
$ 4,351,259 $ 4,466,595 $ 3,864,505 $ 4,051,145 $ 4,198,424 $ 3,877,082
Total Pass-Through Certificates
4,351,259 4,466,595 3,864,505 4,051,145 4,198,424 3,877,082
Structured RMBS Certificates:
Interest-Only Securities (2)
n/a 19,142 16,326 n/a 19,839 16,572
Inverse Interest-Only Securities (3)
n/a 1,756 247 n/a 1,825 358
Total Structured RMBS Certificates
20,898 16,573 21,664 16,930
Total
$ 4,351,259 $ 4,487,493 $ 3,881,078 $ 4,051,145 $ 4,220,088 $ 3,894,012
( 1 )
The cost information in the table above represents the aggregate current par value, multiplied by the purchase price of each security in the portfolio.
( 2 )
The notional balance for the interest-only securities portfolio was $ 94.9 million and $ 98.6 million as of March 31, 2024 and December 31, 2023, respectively.
( 3 )
The notional balance for the inverse interest-only securities portfolio was $ 25.8 million and $ 26.8 million as of March 31, 2024 and December 31, 2023, respectively.
During the three months ended March 31, 2024 , the Company resecuritized RMBS with a fair value of $ 221.7 million, by transferring the RMBS into a larger RMBS that is backed by the transferred RMBS. The Company retained the entire larger RMBS. No gain or loss was recorded on this resecuritization. There were no sales of RMBS during the three months ended March 31, 2023.
NOTE 3. U.S. TREASURY SECURITIES, AVAILABLE-FOR-SALE
As of March 31, 2024 and December 31, 2023 , the Company held U.S. Treasury securities with a fair value of approximately $ 99.5 million and $ 148.8 million, respectively, that were classified as available-for-sale. U.S. Treasury securities are held primarily to satisfy collateral requirements of the Company's repurchase and derivative counterparties.
The amortized cost, gross unrealized holding gains and losses, and fair value of available-for-sale investments as of March 31, 2024 and December 31, 2023 are as follows:
(in thousands)
Gross
Gross
Amortized
Unrealized
Unrealized
Fair
Cost
Gains
Losses
Value
March 31, 2024
U.S. Treasury Bill maturing 4/30/2024
$ 49,791 $ - $ ( 24 ) $ 49,767
U.S. Treasury Note maturing 5/31/2024
49,735 - ( 6 ) 49,729
$ 99,526 $ - $ ( 30 ) $ 99,496
December 31, 2023
U.S. Treasury Bill maturing 1/2/2024
$ 49,671 $ 9 $ - $ 49,680
U.S. Treasury Bill maturing 2/15/2024
49,992 8 - 50,000
U.S. Treasury Bill maturing 4/30/2024
49,140 - - 49,140
$ 148,803 $ 17 $ - $ 148,820
Since all of the Company's available-for-sale securities are backed by the full faith and credit of the U.S. government, the Company has not recorded an allowance for credit losses.
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NOTE 4. REPURCHASE AGREEMENTS
The Company pledges certain of its RMBS as collateral under repurchase agreements with financial institutions. Interest rates are generally fixed based on prevailing rates corresponding to the terms of the borrowings, and interest is generally paid at the termination of a borrowing. If the fair value of the pledged securities declines, lenders will typically require the Company to post additional collateral or pay down borrowings to re-establish agreed upon collateral requirements, referred to as "margin calls." Similarly, if the fair value of the pledged securities increases, lenders may release collateral back to the Company. As of March 31, 2024 , the Company had met all margin call requirements.
As of March 31, 2024 and December 31, 2023 , the Company’s repurchase agreements had remaining maturities as summarized below:
($ in thousands)
OVERNIGHT
BETWEEN 2
BETWEEN 31
GREATER
(1 DAY OR
AND
AND
THAN
LESS)
30 DAYS
90 DAYS
90 DAYS
TOTAL
March 31, 2024
Fair market value of securities pledged, including accrued interest receivable
$ 94,362 $ 3,406,836 $ 361,390 $ 28,379 $ 3,890,967
Repurchase agreement liabilities associated with these securities
$ 88,946 $ 3,251,797 $ 343,299 $ 27,456 $ 3,711,498
Net weighted average borrowing rate
5.47 % 5.46 % 5.45 % 5.37 % 5.46 %
December 31, 2023
Fair market value of securities pledged, including accrued interest receivable
$ - $ 3,125,315 $ 710,055 $ 65,106 $ 3,900,476
Repurchase agreement liabilities associated with these securities
$ - $ 2,966,650 $ 674,696 $ 64,303 $ 3,705,649
Net weighted average borrowing rate
- 5.55 % 5.54 % 5.46 % 5.55 %
In addition, cash pledged to counterparties for repurchase agreements was approximately $ 7.4 million as of March 31, 2024 .
If, during the term of a repurchase agreement, a lender files for bankruptcy, the Company might experience difficulty recovering its pledged assets, which could result in an unsecured claim against the lender for the difference between the amount loaned to the Company plus interest due to the counterparty and the fair value of the collateral pledged to such lender, including the accrued interest receivable and cash posted by the Company as collateral. At March 31, 2024 , the Company had an aggregate amount at risk (the difference between the amount loaned to the Company, including interest payable and securities posted by the counterparty (if any), and the fair value of securities and cash pledged (if any), including accrued interest on such securities) with all counterparties of approximately $ 174.1 million. The Company did not have an amount at risk with any individual counterparty that was greater than 10% of the Company’s equity at March 31, 2024 or December 31, 2023 .
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NOTE 5. DERIVATIVE AND OTHER HEDGING INSTRUMENTS
The table below summarizes fair value information about the Company’s derivative and other hedging instruments assets and liabilities as of March 31, 2024 and December 31, 2023 .
(in thousands)
Derivative and Other Hedging Instruments
Balance Sheet Location
March 31, 2024
December 31, 2023
Assets
Interest rate swaps
Derivative assets, at fair value
$ 11,252 $ 6,348
Payer swaption (long position)
Derivative assets, at fair value
14 72
Dual digital option
Derivative assets, at fair value
261 -
TBA securities
Derivative assets, at fair value
984 -
Total derivative assets, at fair value
$ 12,511 $ 6,420
Liabilities
TBA securities
Derivative liabilities, at fair value
$ 80 $ 12,694
Total derivative liabilities, at fair value
$ 80 $ 12,694
Margin Balances Posted to (from) Counterparties
Futures contracts
Restricted cash
$ 5,009 $ 4,096
TBA securities
Restricted cash
65 23,720
TBA securities
Other liabilities
( 240 ) -
Interest rate swaption contracts
Restricted cash
755 580
Total margin balances on derivative contracts
$ 5,589 $ 28,396
Fed Funds, T-Note and SOFR futures are cash settled futures contracts on an interest rate, with gains and losses credited or charged to the Company’s cash accounts on a daily basis. A minimum balance, or “margin”, is required to be maintained in the account on a daily basis. The tables below present information related to the Company’s T-Note and SOFR futures positions at March 31, 2024 and December 31, 2023 .
($ in thousands)
March 31, 2024
Average
Weighted
Weighted
Contract
Average
Average
Notional
Entry
Effective
Open
Expiration Year
Amount
Rate
Rate
Equity (1)
Treasury Note Futures Contracts (Short Positions) (2)
June 2024 5-year T-Note futures (Jun 2024 - Jun 2029 Hedge Period)
$ 421,500 4.26 % 4.42 % $ ( 1,099 )
March 2024 10-year T-Note futures (Mar 2024 - Mar 2034 Hedge Period)
320,000 4.29 % 4.64 % ( 2,475 )
SOFR Futures Contracts (Short Positions)
December 2024 3-Month SOFR futures (Sep 2024 - Dec 2024 Hedge Period)
$ 25,000 4.27 % 4.87 % $ 149
March 2025 3-Month SOFR futures (Dec 2024 - Mar 2025 Hedge Period)
25,000 3.90 % 4.57 % 168
June 2025 3-Month SOFR futures (Mar 2025 - Jun 2025 Hedge Period)
25,000 3.58 % 4.30 % 179
September 2025 3-Month SOFR futures (Jun 2025 - Sep 2025 Hedge Period)
25,000 3.37 % 4.07 % 175
December 2025 3-Month SOFR futures (Sep 2025 - Dec 2025 Hedge Period)
25,000 3.25 % 3.88 % 158
March 2026 3-Month SOFR futures (Dec 2025 - Mar 2026 Hedge Period)
25,000 3.21 % 3.76 % 138
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($ in thousands)
December 31, 2023
Average
Weighted
Weighted
Contract
Average
Average
Notional
Entry
Effective
Open
Expiration Year
Amount
Rate
Rate
Equity (1)
Treasury Note Futures Contracts (Short Positions) (2)
March 2024 5-year T-Note futures (Mar 2024 - Mar 2029 Hedge Period)
$ 421,500 4.36 % 4.04 % $ ( 9,936 )
March 2024 10-year T-Note futures (Mar 2024 - Mar 2034 Hedge Period)
320,000 4.38 % 4.39 % ( 11,393 )
SOFR Futures Contracts (Short Positions)
June 2024 3-Month SOFR futures (Mar 2024 - Jun 2024 Hedge Period)
$ 25,000 5.08 % 4.99 % $ ( 24 )
September 2024 3-Month SOFR futures (Jun 2024 - Sep 2024 Hedge Period)
25,000 4.67 % 4.52 % ( 39 )
December 2024 3-Month SOFR futures (Sep 2024 - Dec 2024 Hedge Period)
25,000 4.27 % 4.10 % ( 44 )
March 2025 3-Month SOFR futures (Dec 2024 - Mar 2025 Hedge Period)
25,000 3.90 % 3.73 % ( 43 )
June 2025 3-Month SOFR futures (Mar 2025 - Jun 2025 Hedge Period)
25,000 3.58 % 3.42 % ( 41 )
September 2025 3-Month SOFR futures (Jun 2025 - Sep 2025 Hedge Period)
25,000 3.37 % 3.21 % ( 39 )
December 2025 3-Month SOFR futures (Sep 2025 - Dec 2025 Hedge Period)
25,000 3.25 % 3.10 % ( 37 )
March 2026 3-Month SOFR futures (Dec 2025 - Mar 2026 Hedge Period)
25,000 3.21 % 3.07 % ( 35 )
( 1 )
Open equity represents the cumulative gains (losses) recorded on open futures positions from inception.
( 2 )
5 -Year T-Note futures contracts were valued at a price of $ 107.02 at March 31, 2024 and $ 108.77 at December 31, 2023 . The contract values of the short positions were $ 451.1 million and $ 458.5 million at March 31, 2024 and December 31, 2023 , respectively. 10 -Year T-Note futures contracts were valued at a price of $ 110.80 at March 31, 2024 and $ 112.89 at December 31, 2023 .The contract values of the short positions were $ 354.6 million and $ 361.2 million at March 31, 2024 and December 31, 2023 , respectively.
Under its interest rate swap agreements, the Company typically pays a fixed rate and receives a floating rate ("payer swaps") based on an index, such as SOFR. The floating rate the Company receives under its swap agreements has the effect of offsetting the repricing characteristics of its repurchase agreements and cash flows on such liabilities. The Company is typically required to post margin on its interest rate swap agreements. The table below presents information related to the Company’s interest rate swap positions at March 31, 2024 and December 31, 2023 .
($ in thousands)
Average
Fixed
Average
Average
Notional
Pay
Receive
Maturity
Amount
Rate
Rate
(Years)
March 31, 2024
Expiration > 1 to ≤ 5 years
$ 1,200,000 1.34 % 5.45 % 3.9
Expiration > 5 years
1,331,800 3.28 % 5.38 % 7.4
$ 2,531,800 2.36 % 5.41 % 5.7
December 31, 2023
Expiration > 1 to ≤ 5 years
$ 500,000 0.84 % 5.64 % 2.7
Expiration > 5 years
1,826,500 2.62 % 5.40 % 6.8
$ 2,326,500 2.24 % 5.45 % 5.9
Our interest rate swaps are centrally cleared through two registered commodities exchanges, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange ("CME") and the London Clearing House (“LCH”). The clearing exchanges require that we post an "initial margin" amount determined by the exchanges. The initial margin amount is intended to be set at a level sufficient to protect the exchange from the interest rate swap's maximum estimated single-day price movement and is subject to adjustment based on changes in market volatility and other factors. We also exchange daily settlements of "variation margin" based upon changes in fair value, as measured by the exchanges.
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The table below presents information related to the Company’s option positions at March 31, 2024 and December 31, 2023 .
($ in thousands)
Option
Underlying Swap
Weighted
Weighted
Average
Average
Adjustable
Average
Fair
Months to
Notional
Fixed
Rate
Term
Cost
Value
Expiration
Amount
Rate
Index
(Years)
March 31, 2024
Payer Swaption (long position)
$ 1,619 $ 14 2.0 $ 800,000 5.40 % SOFR
1.0
Dual Digital Option (1)
$ 500 $ 261 5.7 $ 9,412 n/a n/a
n/a
December 31, 2023
Payer Swaption (long position)
$ 1,619 $ 72 5.0 $ 800,000 5.40 % SOFR
1.0
( 1 )
If, on September, 20, 2024, the S&P 500 Index (SPX) is lower than 4,725.166 , and the SOFR 10 Year Swap Rate is above 3.883 %, the Company will receive the notional amount. If either condition is not met, the Company will receive $ 0 .
We purchase interest rate swaptions to help mitigate the potential impact of larger, more rapid changes in interest rates on the performance of our investment portfolio. Interest rate swaptions provide us the option to enter into an interest rate swap agreement for a predetermined notional amount, stated term and pay and receive interest rates in the future. Our interest rate swaption agreements are not subject to central clearing. The difference between the premium paid and the fair value of the swaption is reported in gain (loss) on derivative and other hedging instruments in our statements of comprehensive income. If a swaption expires unexercised, the realized loss on the swaption would be equal to the premium paid. If we sell or exercise a swaption, the realized gain or loss on the swaption would be equal to the difference between the cash or the fair value of the underlying interest rate swap and the premium paid.
A dual digital option is a type of binary, or digital option, that involves both upper and lower conditions. A dual digital option will only activate if both conditions are met at expiration. If both conditions are met, we will receive the notional amount. If either condition is not met, we will lose our premium.
The following table summarizes the Company’s contracts to purchase and sell TBA securities as of March 31, 2024 and December 31, 2023 .
($ in thousands)
Notional
Amount
Net
Long
Cost
Market
Carrying
(Short) (1)
Basis (2)
Value (3)
Value (4)
March 31, 2024
30-Year TBA securities:
3.0% $ ( 170,700 ) $ ( 147,202 ) $ ( 147,282 ) $ ( 80 )
3.5% ( 200,000 ) ( 180,219 ) ( 179,235 ) 984
Total
$ ( 370,700 ) $ ( 327,421 ) $ ( 326,517 ) $ 904
December 31, 2023
30-Year TBA securities:
3.0% $ ( 70,700 ) $ ( 59,278 ) $ ( 62,647 ) $ ( 3,369 )
5.0% ( 250,000 ) ( 242,725 ) ( 247,657 ) ( 4,932 )
5.5% ( 325,000 ) ( 322,410 ) ( 326,803 ) ( 4,393 )
Total
$ ( 645,700 ) $ ( 624,413 ) $ ( 637,107 ) $ ( 12,694 )
( 1 )
Notional amount represents the par value (or principal balance) of the underlying Agency RMBS.
( 2 )
Cost basis represents the forward price to be paid (received) for the underlying Agency RMBS.
( 3 )
Market value represents the current market value of the TBA securities (or of the underlying Agency RMBS) as of period-end.
( 4 )
Net carrying value represents the difference between the market value and the cost basis of the TBA securities as of period-end and is reported in derivative assets (liabilities) at fair value in the balance sheets.
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Gain (Loss) From Derivative and Other Hedging Instruments, Net
The table below presents the effect of the Company’s derivative and other hedging instruments on the statements of comprehensive income for the three months ended March 31, 2024 and 2023 .
(in thousands)
Three Months Ended March 31,
2024
2023
Interest rate futures contracts (short position)
$ 19,090 $ ( 4,038 )
Interest rate swaps
59,098 ( 26,144 )
Payer swaptions (short positions)
- 6,585
Payer swaptions (long positions)
( 58 ) ( 12,109 )
Interest rate caps
- ( 645 )
Dual digital option
( 239 ) -
Interest rate floors (long positions)
- 1,185
TBA securities (short positions)
9,903 ( 5,990 )
TBA securities (long positions)
105 -
Total
$ 87,899 $ ( 41,156 )
Credit Risk-Related Contingent Features
The use of derivatives and other hedging instruments creates exposure to credit risk relating to potential losses that could be recognized in the event that the counterparties to these instruments fail to perform their obligations under the contracts. The Company attempts to minimize this risk by limiting its counterparties for instruments which are not centrally cleared on a registered exchange to major financial institutions with acceptable credit ratings and monitoring positions with individual counterparties. In addition, the Company may be required to pledge assets as collateral for its derivatives, whose amounts vary over time based on the market value, notional amount and remaining term of the derivative contract. In the event of a default by a counterparty, the Company may not receive payments provided for under the terms of its derivative agreements, and may have difficulty obtaining its assets pledged as collateral for its derivatives. The cash and cash equivalents pledged as collateral for the Company derivative instruments are included in restricted cash on its balance sheets.
It is the Company's policy not to offset assets and liabilities associated with open derivative contracts. However, CME and LCH rules characterize variation margin transfers as settlement payments, as opposed to adjustments to collateral. As a result, derivative assets and liabilities associated with centrally cleared derivatives for which the CME or LCH serves as the central clearing party are presented as if these derivatives had been settled as of the reporting date.
NOTE 6. PLEDGED ASSETS
Assets Pledged to Counterparties
The table below summarizes the Company’s assets pledged as collateral under repurchase agreements and derivative agreements by type, including securities pledged related to securities sold but not yet settled, as of March 31, 2024 and December 31, 2023 .
(in thousands)
March 31, 2024
December 31, 2023
Repurchase
Derivative
Repurchase
Derivative
Assets Pledged to Counterparties
Agreements
Agreements
Total
Agreements
Agreements
Total
PT RMBS - fair value
$ 3,859,132 $ - $ 3,859,132 $ 3,868,624 $ - $ 3,868,624
Structured RMBS - fair value
16,573 - 16,573 16,930 - 16,930
U.S. Treasury securities
- 79,590 79,590 - 79,680 79,680
Accrued interest on pledged securities
15,262 336 15,598 14,922 - 14,922
Restricted cash
7,418 5,829 13,247 - 28,396 28,396
Total
$ 3,898,385 $ 85,755 $ 3,984,140 $ 3,900,476 $ 108,076 $ 4,008,552
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Assets Pledged from Counterparties
The table below summarizes assets pledged to the Company from counterparties under repurchase agreements and derivative agreements as of March 31, 2024 and December 31, 2023 .
(in thousands)
March 31, 2024
December 31, 2023
Repurchase
Derivative
Repurchase
Derivative
Assets Pledged to Orchid
Agreements
Agreements
Total
Agreements
Agreements
Total
Cash
$ 6,475 $ 240 $ 6,715 $ 42,179 $ - $ 42,179
U.S. Treasury securities - fair value
1,418 - 1,418 10,429 - 10,429
Total
$ 7,893 $ 240 $ 8,133 $ 52,608 $ - $ 52,608
Cash received as margin is recognized as cash and cash equivalents with a corresponding amount recognized as an increase in repurchase agreements or other liabilities in the balance sheets.
NOTE 7. OFFSETTING ASSETS AND LIABILITIES
The Company’s derivative agreements and repurchase agreements are subject to underlying agreements with master netting or similar arrangements, which provide for the right of offset in the event of default or in the event of bankruptcy of either party to the transactions. The Company reports its assets and liabilities subject to these arrangements on a gross basis in the case of repurchase agreements and for certain derivative agreements. CME and LCH rules characterize variation margin transfers as settlement payments, as opposed to adjustments to collateral. As a result, derivative assets and liabilities associated with centrally cleared derivatives for which the CME or LCH serves as the central clearing party are presented as if these derivatives had been settled as of the reporting date.
The following table presents information regarding those assets and liabilities subject to such arrangements as if the Company had presented them on a net basis as of March 31, 2024 and December 31, 2023 .
(in thousands)
Offsetting of Assets
Net Amount
Gross Amount Not
Gross Gross of Assets Offset in the Balance Sheet
Amount Amount Presented Financial
of
Offset in the
in the
Instruments
Cash
Recognized
Balance
Balance
Received as
Received as
Net
Assets
Sheet
Sheet
Collateral
Collateral
Amount
March 31, 2024
Interest rate swaps
$ 11,252 $ - $ 11,252 $ - $ - $ 11,252
Interest rate swaptions
14 - 14 - - 14
Dual digital option
261 - 261 - - 261
TBA securities
984 - 984 - ( 240 ) 744
$ 12,511 $ - $ 12,511 $ - $ ( 240 ) $ 12,271
December 31, 2023
Interest rate swaps
$ 6,348 $ - $ 6,348 $ - $ - $ 6,348
Interest rate swaptions
72 - 72 - - 72
$ 6,420 $ - $ 6,420 $ - $ - $ 6,420
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(in thousands)
Offsetting of Liabilities
Net Amount
Gross Amount Not
Gross Gross of Liabilities Offset in the Balance Sheet
Amount
Amount
Presented
Financial
of Offset in the in the Instruments
Recognized
Balance
Balance
Posted as
Cash Posted
Net
Liabilities
Sheet
Sheet
Collateral
as Collateral
Amount
March 31, 2024
Repurchase Agreements
$ 3,711,498 $ - $ 3,711,498 $ ( 3,704,080 ) $ ( 7,418 ) $ -
TBA securities
80 - 80 - ( 65 ) 15
$ 3,711,578 $ - $ 3,711,578 $ ( 3,704,080 ) $ ( 7,483 ) $ 15
December 31, 2023
Repurchase Agreements
$ 3,705,649 $ - $ 3,705,649 $ ( 3,705,649 ) $ - $ -
TBA securities
12,694 - 12,694 - ( 12,694 ) -
$ 3,718,343 $ - $ 3,718,343 $ ( 3,705,649 ) $ ( 12,694 ) $ -
The amounts disclosed for collateral received by or posted to the same counterparty up to and not exceeding the net amount of the asset or liability presented in the balance sheets. The fair value of the actual collateral received by or posted to the same counterparty typically exceeds the amounts presented. See Note 6 for a discussion of collateral posted or received against or for repurchase obligations and derivative and other hedging instruments.
NOTE 8. CAPITAL STOCK
Common Stock Issuances
During the three months ended March 31, 2024 and the year ended December 31, 2023 , the Company completed the following public offerings of shares of its common stock.
($ in thousands, except per share amounts)
Weighted
Average
Price
Received
Net
Type of Offering
Period
Per Share (1)
Shares
Proceeds (2)
2024
At the Market Offering Program (3)
First Quarter
$ 8.80 1,490,075 $ 13,109
1,490,075 $ 13,109
2023
At the Market Offering Program (3)
First Quarter
$ 11.77 2,690,000 $ 31,657
At the Market Offering Program (3)
Second Quarter
9.95 4,757,953 47,355
At the Market Offering Program (3)
Third Quarter
9.54 8,432,086 80,426
At the Market Offering Program (3)
Fourth Quarter
- - -
15,880,039 $ 159,438
( 1 )
Weighted average price received per share is after deducting the underwriters’ discount, if applicable, and other offering costs.
( 2 )
Net proceeds are net of the underwriters’ discount, if applicable, and other offering costs.
( 3 )
The Company has entered into eleven equity distribution agreements, ten of which have either been terminated because all shares were sold or were replaced with a subsequent agreement.
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Stock Repurchase Program
On July 29, 2015, the Company’s Board of Directors authorized the repurchase of up to 400,000 shares of the Company’s common stock. On February 8, 2018, the Board of Directors approved an increase in the stock repurchase program for up to an additional 904,564 shares of the Company's common stock. Coupled with the 156,751 shares remaining from the original 400,000 share authorization, the increased authorization brought the total authorization to 1,061,315 shares, representing 10% of the Company’s then outstanding share count.
On December 9, 2021, the Board of Directors approved an increase in the number of shares of the Company’s common stock available in the stock repurchase program for up to an additional 3,372,399 shares, bringing the remaining authorization under the stock repurchase program to 3,539,861 shares, representing approximately 10% of the Company’s then outstanding shares of common stock.
On October 12, 2022, the Board of Directors approved an increase in the number of shares of the Company’s common stock available in the stock repurchase program for up to an additional 4,300,000 shares, bringing the remaining authorization under the stock repurchase program to 6,183,601 shares, representing approximately 18% of the Company’s then outstanding shares of common stock.
As part of the stock repurchase program, shares may be purchased in open market transactions, block purchases, through privately negotiated transactions, or pursuant to any trading plan that may be adopted in accordance with Rule 10b5 - 1 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”). Open market repurchases will be made in accordance with Exchange Act Rule 10b - 18, which sets certain restrictions on the method, timing, price and volume of open market stock repurchases. The timing, manner, price and amount of any repurchases will be determined by the Company in its discretion and will be subject to economic and market conditions, stock price, applicable legal requirements and other factors. The authorization does not obligate the Company to acquire any particular amount of common stock and the program may be suspended or discontinued at the Company’s discretion without prior notice. The stock repurchase program has no termination date.
From the inception of the stock repurchase program through March 31, 2024 , the Company repurchased a total of 5,081,134 shares at an aggregate cost of approximately $ 77.0 million , including commissions and fees, for a weighted average price of $ 15.16 per share. During the three months ended March 31, 2024 , the Company repurchased a total of 332,773 shares at an aggregate cost of approximately $ 2.8 million , including commissions and fees, for a weighted average price of $ 8.35 per share. During the year ended December 31, 2023, the Company repurchased a total of 1,072,789 shares at an aggregate cost of approximately $ 9.4 million, including commissions and fees, for a weighted average price of $ 8.79 per share. The remaining authorization under the stock repurchase program as of April 25, 2024 was 3,895,829 shares.
Cash Dividends
The table below presents the cash dividends declared on the Company’s common stock.
(in thousands, except per share amounts)
Year
Per Share Amount
Total
2013
$ 6.975 $ 4,662
2014
10.800 22,643
2015
9.600 38,748
2016
8.400 41,388
2017
8.400 70,717
2018
5.350 55,814
2019
4.800 54,421
2020
3.950 53,570
2021
3.900 97,601
2022
2.475 87,906
2023
1.800 81,127
2024 - YTD (1)
0.480 25,089
Totals
$ 66.930 $ 633,686
( 1 )
On April 10, 2024 , the Company declared a dividend of $ 0.12 per share to be paid on May 30, 2024 . The effect of this dividend is included in the table above but is not reflected in the Company’s financial statements as of March 31, 2024 .
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NOTE 9. STOCK INCENTIVE PLAN
In 2021, the Company’s Board of Directors adopted, and the stockholders approved, the Orchid Island Capital, Inc. 2021 Equity Incentive Plan (the “2021 Incentive Plan”) to replace the Orchid Island Capital, Inc. 2012 Equity Incentive Plan (the “2012 Incentive Plan” and together with the 2021 Incentive Plan, the “Incentive Plans”). The 2021 Incentive Plan provides for the award of stock options, stock appreciation rights, stock awards, PUs, other equity-based awards (and dividend equivalents with respect to awards of PUs and other equity-based awards) and incentive awards. The 2021 Incentive Plan is administered by the Compensation Committee of the Company’s Board of Directors except that the Company’s full Board of Directors will administer awards made to directors who are not employees of the Company or its affiliates. The 2021 Incentive Plan provides for awards of up to an aggregate of 10 % of the issued and outstanding shares of the Company’s common stock (on a fully diluted basis) at the time of the awards, subject to a maximum aggregate 1,473,324 shares of the Company’s common stock that may be issued under the 2021 Incentive Plan. The 2021 Incentive Plan replaces the 2012 Incentive Plan, and no further grants will be made under the 2012 Incentive Plan. However, any outstanding awards under the 2012 Incentive Plan will continue in accordance with the terms of the 2012 Incentive Plan and any award agreement executed in connection with such outstanding awards.
Performance Units
The Company has issued, and may in the future issue additional, PUs under the Incentive Plans to certain executive officers and employees of its Manager. PUs vest after the end of a defined performance period, based on satisfaction of the performance conditions set forth in the PU agreement. When earned, each PU will be settled by the issuance of one share of the Company’s common stock, at which time the PU will be cancelled. The PUs contain dividend equivalent rights, which entitle the Participants to receive distributions declared by the Company on common stock, but do not include the right to vote the underlying shares of common stock. PUs are subject to forfeiture should the participant no longer serve as an executive officer or employee of the Company or the Manager. Compensation expense for the PUs, included in incentive compensation on the statements of comprehensive income, is recognized over the remaining vesting period once it becomes probable that the performance conditions will be achieved.
The following table presents information related to PUs outstanding during the three months ended March 31, 2024 and 2023 .
($ in thousands, except per share data)
Three Months Ended March 31,
2024
2023
Weighted
Weighted
Average
Average
Grant Date
Grant Date
Shares
Fair Value
Shares
Fair Value
Unvested, beginning of period (1)
81,403 $ 12.48 36,921 $ 20.57
Granted
36,773 8.62 - -
Vested and issued
( 10,312 ) 14.97 ( 4,462 ) 22.09
Unvested, end of period
107,864 $ 10.92 32,459 $ 20.36
Compensation expense during period
$ 44 $ 90
Unrecognized compensation expense, end of period
$ 692 $ 267
Intrinsic value, end of period
$ 963 $ 348
Weighted-average remaining vesting term (in years)
1.5 1.1
( 1 )
The number of shares of common stock issuable upon the vesting of the remaining outstanding PUs as of December 31, 2023 was reduced by 14,365 shares as a result of a book value impairment event that occurred pursuant to the terms of the long term equity incentive compensation plans (the “Plans”) established under the Company’s Incentive Plans. The book value impairment event occurred when the Company's book value per share declined by more than 15 % during the quarter ended September 30, 2023 and the Company’s book value per share decline from July 1, 2023 to December 31, 2023 was more than 10 %. The Plans provide that if such a book value impairment event occurs, then the number of outstanding PUs that are outstanding as of the last day of such two quarter period shall be reduced by 15%.
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Stock Awards
The Company has issued, and may in the future issue additional, immediately vested common stock under the Incentive Plans to certain executive officers and employees of its Manager. The following table presents information related to fully vested common stock issued during the three months ended March 31, 2024 and 2023 . All of the fully vested shares of common stock issued during the three months ended March 31, 2024, and the related compensation expense, were granted with respect to service performed during the fiscal year ended December 31, 2023.
($ in thousands, except per share data)
Three Months Ended March 31,
2024
2023
Fully vested shares granted
36,773 -
Weighted average grant date price per share
$ 8.62 $ -
Compensation expense related to fully vested shares of common stock awards
$ 317 $ -
Deferred Stock Units
Non-employee directors receive a portion of their compensation in the form of DSU awards pursuant to the Incentive Plans. Each DSU represents a right to receive one share of the Company’s common stock. Beginning in 2022, each non-employee director could elect to receive all of his or her compensation in the form of DSUs. The DSUs are immediately vested and are settled at a future date based on the election of the individual participant. Compensation expense for the DSUs is included in directors’ fees and liability insurance in the statements of comprehensive income. The DSUs contain dividend equivalent rights, which entitle the participant to receive distributions declared by the Company on common stock. These dividend equivalent rights are settled in cash or additional DSUs at the participant’s election. The DSUs do not include the right to vote the underlying shares of common stock.
The following table presents information related to the DSUs outstanding during the three months ended March 31, 2024 and 2023 .
($ in thousands, except per share data)
Three Months Ended March 31,
2024
2023
Weighted
Weighted
Average
Average
Grant Date
Grant Date
Shares
Fair Value
Shares
Fair Value
Outstanding, beginning of period
96,704 $ 15.69 54,197 $ 20.29
Granted and vested
13,484 8.46 9,302 10.59
Outstanding, end of period
110,188 $ 14.80 63,499 $ 18.87
Compensation expense during period
$ 99 $ 89
Intrinsic value, end of period
$ 984 $ 681
NOTE 10. COMMITMENTS AND CONTINGENCIES
From time to time, the Company may become involved in various claims and legal actions arising in the ordinary course of business. Management is not aware of any reported or unreported contingencies at March 31, 2024 .
NOTE 11. INCOME TAXES
The Company will generally not be subject to U.S. federal income tax on its REIT taxable income to the extent that it distributes its REIT taxable income to its stockholders and satisfies the ongoing REIT requirements, including meeting certain asset, income and stock ownership tests. A REIT must generally distribute at least 90% of its REIT taxable income, determined without regard to the deductions for dividends paid and excluding net capital gain, to its stockholders, annually to maintain REIT status. An amount equal to the sum of which 85% of its REIT ordinary income and 95% of its REIT capital gain net income, plus certain undistributed income from prior taxable years, must be distributed within the taxable year, in order to avoid the imposition of an excise tax. The remaining balance may be distributed up to the end of the following taxable year, provided the REIT elects to treat such amount as a prior year distribution and meets certain other requirements.
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NOTE 12. EARNINGS PER SHARE (EPS)
The Company had dividend eligible PUs and DSUs that were outstanding during the three months ended March 31, 2024 and 2023 . The basic and diluted per share computations include these unvested PUs and DSUs if there is income available to common stock, as they have dividend participation rights. The unvested PUs and DSUs have no contractual obligation to share in losses. Because there is no such obligation, the unvested PUs and DSUs are not included in the basic and diluted EPS computations when no income is available to common stock even though they are considered participating securities.
The table below reconciles the numerator and denominator of EPS for the three months ended March 31, 2024 and 2023 .
(in thousands, except per share information)
Three Months Ended March 31,
2024
2023
Basic and diluted EPS per common share:
Numerator for basic and diluted EPS per share of common stock:
Net income - Basic and diluted
$ 19,776 $ 3,530
Weighted average shares of common stock:
Shares of common stock outstanding at the balance sheet date
52,826 39,086
Unvested dividend eligible share based compensation outstanding at the balance sheet date
218 96
Effect of weighting
( 1,440 ) ( 690 )
Weighted average shares-basic and diluted
51,604 38,492
Net income per common share:
Basic and diluted
$ 0.38 $ 0.09
NOTE 13. FAIR VALUE
The framework for using fair value to measure assets and liabilities defines fair value as the price that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability (an exit price). A fair value measure should reflect the assumptions that market participants would use in pricing the asset or liability, including the assumptions about the risk inherent in a particular valuation technique, the effect of a restriction on the sale or use of an asset and the risk of non-performance. Required disclosures include presentation of balance sheet amounts measured at fair value based on inputs the Company uses to derive fair value measurements. These inputs are:
●
Level 1 valuations, where the valuation is based on quoted market prices for identical assets or liabilities traded in active markets (which include exchanges and over-the-counter markets with sufficient volume),
●
Level 2 valuations, where the valuation is based on quoted market prices for similar instruments traded in active markets, quoted prices for identical or similar instruments in markets that are not active and model-based valuation techniques for which all significant assumptions are observable in the market, and
●
Level 3 valuations, where the valuation is generated from model-based techniques that use significant assumptions not observable in the market, but observable based on Company-specific data. These unobservable assumptions reflect the Company’s own estimates for assumptions that market participants would use in pricing the asset or liability. Valuation techniques typically include option pricing models, discounted cash flow models and similar techniques, but may also include the use of market prices of assets or liabilities that are not directly comparable to the subject asset or liability.
The Company's RMBS and TBA securities are Level 2 valuations, and such valuations currently are determined by the Company based on independent pricing sources and/or third party broker quotes. Because the price estimates may vary, the Company must make certain judgments and assumptions about the appropriate price to use to calculate the fair values. The Company and the independent pricing sources use various valuation techniques to determine the price of the Company’s securities. These techniques include observing the most recent market for like or identical assets (including security coupon, maturity, yield, and prepayment speeds), spread pricing techniques to determine market credit spreads (option adjusted spread, zero volatility spread, spread to the U.S. Treasury curve or spread to a benchmark such as a TBA), and model driven approaches (the discounted cash flow method, Black Scholes and SABR models which rely upon observable market rates such as the term structure of interest rates and volatility). The appropriate spread pricing method used is based on market convention. The pricing source determines the spread of recently observed trade activity or observable markets for assets similar to those being priced. The spread is then adjusted based on variances in certain characteristics between the market observation and the asset being priced. Those characteristics include: type of asset, the expected life of the asset, the stability and predictability of the expected future cash flows of the asset, whether the coupon of the asset is fixed or adjustable, the guarantor of the security if applicable, the coupon, the maturity, the issuer, size of the underlying loans, year in which the underlying loans were originated, loan to value ratio, state in which the underlying loans reside, credit score of the underlying borrowers and other variables if appropriate. The fair value of the security is determined by using the adjusted spread.
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The Company’s U.S. Treasury securities are based on quoted prices for identical instruments in active markets and are classified as Level 1 assets.
The Company’s futures contracts are Level 1 valuations, as they are exchange-traded instruments and quoted market prices are readily available. Futures contracts are settled daily. The Company’s interest rate swaps, interest rate swaptions and dual digital options are Level 2 valuations. The fair value of interest rate swaps is determined using a discounted cash flow approach using forward market interest rates and discount rates, which are observable inputs. The fair value of interest rate swaptions and dual digital options are determined using an option pricing model.
RMBS (based on the fair value option), U.S. Treasury securities, derivatives and TBA securities were recorded at fair value on a recurring basis during the three months ended March 31, 2024 and 2023 . When determining fair value measurements, the Company considers the principal or most advantageous market in which it would transact and considers assumptions that market participants would use when pricing the asset. When possible, the Company looks to active and observable markets to price identical assets. When identical assets are not traded in active markets, the Company looks to market observable data for similar assets.
The estimated fair value of cash and cash equivalents, restricted cash, accrued interest receivable, receivable for securities sold, other assets, due to affiliates, repurchase agreements, payable for unsettled securities purchased, accrued interest payable and other liabilities generally approximates their carrying values due to the short-term nature of these financial instruments as of March 31, 2024 and December 31, 2023 . The Company estimates the fair value of the cash and cash equivalents using Level 1 inputs, and the accrued interest receivable, receivable for securities sold, other assets, due to affiliates, repurchase agreements, payable for unsettled securities purchased, accrued interest payable and other liabilities using Level 2 inputs.
The following table presents financial assets (liabilities) measured at fair value on a recurring basis as of March 31, 2024 and December 31, 2023 . Derivative contracts are reported as a net position by contract type, and not based on master netting arrangements.
(in thousands)
Quoted Prices
in Active
Significant
Markets for
Other
Significant
Identical
Observable
Unobservable
Assets
Inputs
Inputs
(Level 1)
(Level 2)
(Level 3)
March 31, 2024
Mortgage-backed securities
$ - $ 3,881,078 $ -
U.S. Treasury securities
99,496 - -
Interest rate swaps
- 11,252 -
Interest rate swaptions
- 14 -
Dual digital option
- 261 -
TBA securities
- 904 -
December 31, 2023
Mortgage-backed securities
$ - $ 3,894,012 $ -
U.S. Treasury securities
148,820 - -
Interest rate swaps
- 6,348 -
Interest rate swaptions
- 72 -
TBA securities
- ( 12,694 ) -
During the three months ended March 31, 2024 and 2023 , there were no transfers of financial assets or liabilities between levels 1, 2 or 3.
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NOTE 14. RELATED PARTY TRANSACTIONS
Management Agreement
The Company is externally managed and advised by Bimini Advisors, LLC (the “Manager”) pursuant to the terms of a management agreement. The management agreement has been renewed through February 20, 2025 and provides for automatic one -year extension options thereafter and is subject to certain termination rights. Under the terms of the management agreement, the Manager is responsible for administering the business activities and day-to-day operations of the Company. The Manager receives a monthly management fee in the amount of:
●
One- twelfth of 1.5% of the first $250 million of the Company’s month-end equity, as defined in the management agreement,
●
One- twelfth of 1.25% of the Company’s month-end equity that is greater than $250 million and less than or equal to $500 million, and
●
One- twelfth of 1.00% of the Company’s month-end equity that is greater than $500 million.
On April 1, 2022, pursuant to the third amendment to the management agreement entered into on November 16, 2021, the Manager began providing certain repurchase agreement trading, clearing and administrative services to the Company that had been previously provided by AVM, L.P. under an agreement terminated on March 31, 2022. In consideration for such services, the Company pays the following fees to the Manager:
●
A daily fee equal to the outstanding principal balance of repurchase agreement funding in place as of the end of such day multiplied by 1.5 basis points for the amount of aggregate outstanding principal balance less than or equal to $5 billion, and multiplied by 1.0 basis point for any amount of aggregate outstanding principal balance in excess of $5 billion, and
●
A fee for the clearing and operational services provided by personnel of the Manager equal to $10,000 per month.
The Company is obligated to reimburse the Manager for any direct expenses incurred on its behalf and to pay the Manager the Company’s pro rata portion of certain overhead costs set forth in the management agreement. Should the Company terminate the management agreement without cause, it will pay the Manager a termination fee equal to three times the average annual management fee, as defined in the management agreement, before or on the last day of the term of the agreement.
Total expenses recorded for the management fee, allocated overhead and repurchase agreement trading, clearing and administrative services were approximately $ 2.9 million and $ 3.4 million for the three months ended March 31, 2024 and 2023 , respectively. At March 31, 2024 and December 31, 2023 , the net amount due to affiliates was approximately $ 1.0 million and $ 1.0 million, respectively.
Other Relationships with Bimini
Robert Cauley, the Company’s Chief Executive Officer and Chairman of the Board of Directors, also serves as Chief Executive Officer and Chairman of the Board of Directors of Bimini and owns shares of common stock of Bimini. George H. Haas, IV, the Company’s Chief Financial Officer, Chief Investment Officer, Secretary and a member of the Board of Directors, also serves as the Chief Financial Officer, Chief Investment Officer and Treasurer of Bimini and owns shares of common stock of Bimini. In addition, as of March 31, 2024 , Bimini owned 569,071 shares, or 1.1 %, of the Company’s common stock.
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Table of Contents
ITEM 2. MANAGEMENT ’ S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
The following discussion of our financial condition and results of operations should be read in conjunction with the financial statements and notes to those statements included in Item 1 of this Form 10-Q. The discussion may contain certain forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Forward-looking statements are those that are not historical in nature. As a result of many factors, such as those set forth under “Risk Factors” in our most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K, our actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in such forward-looking statements.
Overview
We are a specialty finance company that invests in residential mortgage-backed securities (“RMBS”) which are issued and guaranteed by a federally chartered corporation or agency (“Agency RMBS”). Our investment strategy focuses on, and our portfolio consists of, two categories of Agency RMBS: (i) traditional pass-through Agency RMBS, such as mortgage pass-through certificates issued by the Federal National Mortgage Association ("Fannie Mae"), the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation ("Freddie Mac" and together with Fannie Mae, the "Enterprises") or the Government National Mortgage Association ("Ginnie Mae" and, together with the Enterprises the “GSEs”) and collateralized mortgage obligations (“CMOs”) issued by the GSEs (“PT RMBS”) and (ii) structured Agency RMBS, such as interest-only securities (“IOs”), inverse interest-only securities (“IIOs”) and principal only securities (“POs”), among other types of structured Agency RMBS. We were formed by Bimini Capital Management, Inc. ("Bimini") in August 2010, commenced operations on November 24, 2010 and completed our initial public offering (“IPO”) on February 20, 2013. We are externally managed by Bimini Advisors, LLC ("Bimini Advisors," or our "Manager"), an investment adviser registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”).
Our business objective is to provide attractive risk-adjusted total returns over the long term through a combination of capital appreciation and the payment of regular monthly distributions. We intend to achieve this objective by investing in and strategically allocating capital between the two categories of Agency RMBS described above. We seek to generate income from (i) the net interest margin on our leveraged PT RMBS portfolio and the leveraged portion of our structured Agency RMBS portfolio, and (ii) the interest income we generate from the unleveraged portion of our structured Agency RMBS portfolio. We intend to fund our PT RMBS and certain of our structured Agency RMBS through short-term borrowings structured as repurchase agreements. PT RMBS and structured Agency RMBS typically exhibit materially different sensitivities to movements in interest rates. Declines in the value of one portfolio may be offset by appreciation in the other. The percentage of capital that we allocate to our two Agency RMBS asset categories will vary and will be actively managed in an effort to maintain the level of income generated by the combined portfolios, the stability of that income stream and the stability of the value of the combined portfolios. We believe that this strategy will enhance our liquidity, earnings, book value stability and asset selection opportunities in various interest rate environments.
We operate so as to qualify to be taxed as a real estate investment trust ("REIT") under the Internal Revenue Code of 1986, as amended (the "Code"). We generally will not be subject to U.S. federal income tax to the extent that we currently distribute all of our REIT taxable income (as defined in the Code) to our stockholders and maintain our REIT qualification.
The Company’s common stock trades on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol “ORC”.
Capital Raising Activities
On October 29, 2021, we entered into an equity distribution agreement (the “October 2021 Equity Distribution Agreement”) with four sales agents pursuant to which we could offer and sell, from time to time, up to an aggregate amount of $250,000,000 of shares of our common stock in transactions that were deemed to be “at the market” offerings and privately negotiated transactions. We issued a total of 9,742,188 shares under the October 2021 Equity Distribution Agreement for aggregate gross proceeds of approximately $151.8 million, and net proceeds of approximately $149.3 million, after commissions and fees, prior to its termination in March 2023.
On March 7, 2023, we entered into an equity distribution agreement (the “March 2023 Equity Distribution Agreement”) with three sales agents pursuant to which we may offer and sell, from time to time, up to an aggregate amount of $250,000,000 of shares of our common stock in transactions that are deemed to be “at the market” offerings and privately negotiated transactions. Through
March 31, 2024
, we issued a total of 14,680,114 shares under the March 2023 Equity Distribution Agreement for aggregate gross proceeds of approximately $143.2 million, and net proceeds of approximately $140.9 million, after commissions and fees.
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Table of Contents
Stock Repurchase Agreement
On July 29, 2015, the Company’s Board of Directors authorized the repurchase of up to 400,000 shares of our common stock. The timing, manner, price and amount of any repurchases is determined by the Company in its discretion and is subject to economic and market conditions, stock price, applicable legal requirements and other factors. The authorization does not obligate the Company to acquire any particular amount of common stock and the program may be suspended or discontinued at the Company’s discretion without prior notice. On February 8, 2018, the Board of Directors approved an increase in the stock repurchase program for up to an additional 904,564 shares of the Company’s common stock. Coupled with the 156,751 shares remaining from the original 400,000 share authorization, the increased authorization brought the total authorization to 1,061,315 shares, representing 10% of the Company’s then outstanding share count.
On December 9, 2021, the Board of Directors approved an increase in the number of shares of the Company’s common stock available in the stock repurchase program for up to an additional 3,372,399 shares, bringing the remaining authorization under the stock repurchase program to 3,539,861 shares, representing approximately 10% of the Company’s then outstanding shares of common stock.
On October 12, 2022, the Board of Directors approved an increase in the number of shares of the Company’s common stock available in the stock repurchase program for up to an additional 4,300,000 shares, bringing the remaining authorization under the stock repurchase program to 6,183,601 shares, representing approximately 18% of the Company’s then outstanding shares of common stock. This stock repurchase program has no termination date.
From the inception of the stock repurchase program through March 31, 2024 , the Company repurchased a total of 5,081,134 shares at an aggregate cost of approximately $ 77.0 million , including commissions and fees, for a weighted average price of $ 15.16 per share. During the three months ended March 31, 2024 , the Company repurchased a total of 332,773 shares of its common stock at an aggregate cost of approximately $ 2.8 million , including commissions and fees, for a weighted average price of $ 8.35 per share.
Factors that Affect our Results of Operations and Financial Condition
A variety of industry and economic factors may impact our results of operations and financial condition. These factors include:
●
interest rate trends;
●
changes in our cost of funds, including increases in the Fed Funds rate that are controlled by the Federal Reserve (the "Fed") that occurred in 2023, or potential decreases in the Fed Funds rate;
●
the difference between Agency RMBS yields and our funding and hedging costs;
●
competition for, and supply of, investments in Agency RMBS;
●
actions taken by the U.S. government, including the presidential administration, the Fed, the Federal Housing Financing Agency (the “FHFA”), The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation ("FDIC"), Federal Housing Administration (the “FHA”), the Federal Open Market Committee (the “FOMC”) and the U.S. Treasury;
●
prepayment rates on mortgages underlying our Agency RMBS and credit trends insofar as they affect prepayment rates; and
●
other market developments, including bank failures.
In addition, a variety of factors relating to our business may also impact our results of operations and financial condition. These factors include:
●
our degree of leverage;
●
our access to funding and borrowing capacity;
●
our borrowing costs;
●
our hedging activities;
●
the market value of our investments; and
●
the requirements to maintain our qualification as a REIT and the requirements to qualify for a registration exemption under the Investment Company Act.
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Table of Contents
Results of Operations
Described below are the Company’s results of operations for the three months ended March 31, 2024, as compared to the Company’s results of operations for the three months ended March 31, 2023.
Net Income Summary
Net income for the three months ended March 31, 2024 was $19.8 million or $0.38 per share. Net income for the three months ended March 31, 2023 was $3.5 million, or $0.09 per share. The components of net income for the three months ended March 31, 2024 and 2023 , along with the changes in those components are presented in the table below:
(in thousands)
Three Months Ended March 31,
2024
2023
Change
Interest income
$
48,871
$
38,012
$
10,859
Interest expense
(51,361
)
(42,217
)
(9,144
)
Net interest expense
(2,490
)
(4,205
)
1,715
Gains on RMBS and derivative contracts
26,004
12,739
13,265
Net portfolio income
23,514
8,534
14,980
Expenses
(3,738
)
(5,004
)
1,266
Net income
$
19,776
$
3,530
$
16,246
GAAP and Non-GAAP Reconciliations
In addition to the results presented in accordance with GAAP, our results of operations discussed below include certain non-GAAP financial information, including “Net Earnings Excluding Realized and Unrealized Gains and Losses”, “Economic Interest Expense,” “Economic Net Interest Income,” “Interest Income – Inclusive of Premium Amortization/Discount Accretion” and “Yield on Average RMBS – Inclusive of Premium Amortization/Discount Accretion.”
Net Earnings Excluding Realized and Unrealized Gains and Losses
We have elected to account for our Agency RMBS under the fair value option. Securities held under the fair value option are recorded at estimated fair value, with changes in the fair value recorded as unrealized gains or losses through the statements of comprehensive income.
In addition, we have not designated our derivative financial instruments used for hedging purposes as hedges for accounting purposes, but rather hold them for economic hedging purposes. Changes in fair value of these instruments are presented in a separate line item in the Company’s statements of comprehensive income and are not included in interest expense. As such, for financial reporting purposes, interest expense and cost of funds are not impacted by the fluctuation in value of the derivative instruments.
Presenting net earnings excluding realized and unrealized gains and losses allows management to: (i) isolate the net interest income and other expenses of the Company over time, free of all fair value adjustments and (ii) assess the effectiveness of our funding and hedging strategies on our capital allocation decisions and our asset allocation performance. Our funding and hedging strategies, capital allocation and asset selection are integral to our risk management strategy, and therefore critical to the management of our portfolio. We believe that the presentation of our net earnings excluding realized and unrealized gains is useful to investors because it provides a means of comparing our results of operations to those of our peers who have not elected the same accounting treatment. Our presentation of net earnings excluding realized and unrealized gains and losses may not be comparable to similarly-titled measures of other companies, who may use different calculations. As a result, net earnings excluding realized and unrealized gains and losses should not be considered as a substitute for our GAAP net income (loss) as a measure of our financial performance or any measure of our liquidity under GAAP. The table below presents a reconciliation of our net income (loss) determined in accordance with GAAP and net earnings excluding realized and unrealized gains and losses.
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Table of Contents
Described below are the Company’s results of operations for the three months ended March 31, 2024 and for each quarter in 2023.
Net Earnings Excluding Realized and Unrealized Gains and Losses
(in thousands, except per share data)
Net
Per Share
Loss
Net Loss
Excluding
Excluding
Net
Realized and
Realized and
Net
Realized and
Realized and
Income
Unrealized
Unrealized
Income
Unrealized
Unrealized
(Loss)
Gains and
Gains and
(Loss)
Gains and
Gains and
(GAAP)
Losses (1)
Losses
(GAAP)
Losses
Losses
Three Months Ended
March 31, 2024
$
19,776
$
26,004
$
(6,228
)
$
0.38
$
0.50
$
(0.12
)
December 31, 2023
27,127
33,977
(6,850
)
0.52
0.65
(0.13
)
September 30, 2023
(80,132
)
(66,890
)
(13,242
)
(1.68
)
(1.40
)
(0.28
)
June 30, 2023
10,249
23,828
(13,579
)
0.25
0.59
(0.34
)
March 31, 2023
3,530
12,739
(9,209
)
0.09
0.33
(0.24
)
(1)
Includes realized and unrealized gains (losses) on RMBS and derivative financial instruments, including net interest income or expense on interest rate swaps.
Economic Interest Expense and Economic Net Interest Income
We use derivative and other hedging instruments, specifically Fed Funds, SOFR and T-Note futures contracts, short positions in U.S. Treasury securities, dual digital options, interest rate floors and caps, and interest rate swaps and swaptions, to hedge a portion of the interest rate risk on repurchase agreements in a rising rate environment.
We have not elected to designate our derivative holdings for hedge accounting treatment. Changes in fair value of these instruments are presented in a separate line item in our statements of comprehensive income and not included in interest expense. As such, for financial reporting purposes, interest expense and cost of funds are not impacted by the fluctuation in value of the derivative instruments.
For the purpose of computing economic net interest income and ratios relating to cost of funds measures, GAAP interest expense has been adjusted to reflect the realized and unrealized gains or losses on certain derivative instruments the Company uses, specifically Eurodollar, Fed Funds, SOFR and U.S. Treasury futures, dual digital options, interest rate floors and caps, and interest rate swaps and swaptions, that pertain to each period presented. We believe that adjusting our interest expense for the periods presented by the gains or losses on these derivative instruments would not accurately reflect our economic interest expense for these periods. The reason is that these derivative instruments may cover periods that extend into the future, not just the current period. Any realized or unrealized gains or losses on the instruments reflect the change in market value of the instrument caused by changes in underlying interest rates applicable to the term covered by the instrument, not just the current period. For each period presented, we have combined the effects of the derivative financial instruments in place for the respective period with the actual interest expense incurred on borrowings to reflect total economic interest expense for the applicable period. Interest expense, including the effect of derivative instruments for the period, is referred to as economic interest expense. Net interest income, when calculated to include the effect of derivative instruments for the period, is referred to as economic net interest income. This presentation includes gains or losses on all contracts in effect during the reporting period, covering the current period as well as periods in the future.
From time to time, we invest in TBAs, which are forward contracts for the purchase or sale of Agency RMBS at a predetermined price, face amount, issuer, coupon and stated maturity on an agreed-upon future date. The specific Agency RMBS to be delivered into the contract are not known until shortly before the settlement date. We may choose, prior to settlement, to move the settlement of these securities out to a later date by entering into a dollar roll transaction. The Agency RMBS purchased or sold for a forward settlement date are typically priced at a discount to equivalent securities settling in the current month. Consequently, forward purchases of Agency RMBS and dollar roll transactions represent a form of off-balance sheet financing. These TBAs are accounted for as derivatives and marked to market through the income statement. Gains or losses on TBAs are included with gains or losses on other derivative contracts and are not included in interest income for purposes of the discussions below.
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Table of Contents
We believe that economic interest expense and economic net interest income provide meaningful information to consider, in addition to the respective amounts prepared in accordance with GAAP. The non-GAAP measures help management to evaluate its financial position and performance without the effects of certain transactions and GAAP adjustments that are not necessarily indicative of our current investment portfolio or operations. The unrealized gains or losses on derivative instruments presented in our statements of comprehensive income are not necessarily representative of the total interest rate expense that we will ultimately realize. This is because as interest rates move up or down in the future, the gains or losses we ultimately realize, and which will affect our total interest rate expense in future periods, may differ from the unrealized gains or losses recognized as of the reporting date.
Our presentation of the economic value of our hedging strategy has important limitations. First, other market participants may calculate economic interest expense and economic net interest income differently than the way we calculate them. Second, while we believe that the calculation of the economic value of our hedging strategy described above helps to present our financial position and performance, it may be of limited usefulness as an analytical tool. Therefore, the economic value of our investment strategy should not be viewed in isolation and is not a substitute for interest expense and net interest income computed in accordance with GAAP.
The tables below present a reconciliation of the adjustments to interest expense shown for each period relative to our derivative instruments, and the income statement line item, gains (losses) on derivative instruments, calculated in accordance with GAAP for the three months ended March 31, 2024, and for each quarter of 2023.
Gains (Losses) on Derivative Instruments
(in thousands)
Funding Hedges
Recognized
TBA Securities
Attributed to
Attributed to
in Income
Gain (Loss)
Current
Future
Statement
(Short
(Long
Period
Periods
(GAAP)
Positions)
Positions)
(Non-GAAP)
(Non-GAAP)
Three Months Ended
March 31, 2024
$
87,899
$
9,903
$
105
27,587
50,304
December 31, 2023
(149,016
)
(29,750
)
(2,262
)
25,161
(142,165
)
September 30, 2023
142,042
21,511
(2,024
)
24,440
98,115
June 30, 2023
93,367
15,599
(574
)
23,482
54,860
March 31, 2023
(41,156
)
(5,990
)
-
19,211
(54,377
)
Economic Interest Expense and Economic Net Interest Income
(in thousands)
Interest Expense on Borrowings
Gains
(Losses) on
Derivative
Instruments
Net Interest Income
GAAP
GAAP
Attributed
Economic
GAAP
Economic
Interest
Interest
to Current
Interest
Net Interest
Net Interest
Income
Expense
Period (1)
Expense (2)
Income
Income (3)
Three Months Ended
March 31, 2024
$
48,871
$
51,361
$
27,587
$
23,774
$
(2,490
)
$
25,097
December 31, 2023
49,539
52,325
25,161
27,164
(2,786
)
22,375
September 30, 2023
50,107
58,705
24,440
34,265
(8,598
)
15,842
June 30, 2023
39,911
48,671
23,482
25,189
(8,760
)
14,722
March 31, 2023
38,012
42,217
19,211
23,006
(4,205
)
15,006
(1)
Reflects the effect of derivative instrument hedges for only the period presented.
(2)
Calculated by adding the effect of derivative instrument hedges attributed to the period presented to GAAP interest expense.
(3)
Calculated by adding the effect of derivative instrument hedges attributed to the period presented to GAAP net interest income.
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Table of Contents
Net Interest Income (Expense)
During the three months ended March 31, 2024 , we incurred net interest expense of $2.5 million consisting of $48.9 million of interest income from RMBS assets offset by $51.4 million of interest expense on borrowings. For the comparable period ended March 31, 2023 , we generated $4.2 million of net interest expense, consisting of $38.0 million of interest income from RMBS assets offset by $42.2 million of interest expense on borrowings. The $10.9 million increase in interest income was due to a 100 basis point ("bps") increase in the yield on average RMBS, combined with a $117.6 million increase in average RMBS . The $9.2 million increase in interest expense was due to a 82 bps increase in the average cost of funds, combined with a $134.6 million increase in average outstanding borrowings.
On an economic basis, our interest expense on borrowings for the three months ended March 31, 2024 and 2023 was $23.8 million and $23.0 million , respectively, resulting in $25.1 million and $15.0 million of economic net interest income, respectively.
The tables below provide information on our portfolio average balances, interest income, yield on assets, average borrowings, interest expense, cost of funds, net interest income and net interest spread for the three months ended March 31, 2024, and each quarter of 2023 on both a GAAP and economic basis.
($ in thousands)
Average
Yield on
Interest Expense
Average Cost of Funds
RMBS
Interest
Average
Average
GAAP
Economic
GAAP
Economic
Held (1)
Income
RMBS
Borrowings (1)
Basis
Basis (2)
Basis
Basis (3)
Three Months Ended
March 31, 2024
$
3,887,545
$
48,871
5.03
%
$
3,708,573
$
51,361
$
23,774
5.54
%
2.56
%
December 31, 2023
4,207,118
49,539
4.71
%
4,066,298
52,325
27,164
5.15
%
2.67
%
September 30, 2023
4,447,098
50,107
4.51
%
4,314,332
58,705
34,265
5.44
%
3.18
%
June 30, 2023
4,186,939
39,911
3.81
%
3,985,577
48,671
25,189
4.88
%
2.53
%
March 31, 2023
3,769,954
38,012
4.03
%
3,573,941
42,217
23,006
4.72
%
2.57
%
($ in thousands)
Net Interest Expense
Net Interest Spread
GAAP
Economic
GAAP
Economic
Basis
Basis (2)
Basis
Basis (4)
Three Months Ended
March 31, 2024
$
(2,490
)
$
25,097
(0.51
)%
2.47
%
December 31, 2023
(2,786
)
22,375
(0.44
)%
2.04
%
September 30, 2023
(8,598
)
15,842
(0.93
)%
1.33
%
June 30, 2023
(8,760
)
14,722
(1.07
)%
1.28
%
March 31, 2023
(4,205
)
15,006
(0.69
)%
1.46
%
(1)
Portfolio yields and costs of borrowings presented in the tables above and the tables on page 29 a re calculated based on the average balances of the underlying investment portfolio/borrowings balances and are annualized for the periods presented. Average balances for quarterly periods are calculated using two data points, the beginning and ending balances.
(2)
Economic interest expense and economic net interest expense presented in the table above and the tables on page 29 includes the effect of our derivative instrument hedges for only the periods presented.
(3)
Represents interest cost of our borrowings and the effect of derivative instrument hedges attributed to the period divided by average RMBS.
(4)
Economic net interest spread is calculated by subtracting average economic cost of funds from realized yield on average RMBS.
28
Table of Contents
Average Asset Yield
The table below presents the average portfolio size, income and yields of our respective sub-portfolios, consisting of structured RMBS and PT RMBS, for the three months ended March 31, 2024, and for each quarter of 2023.
($ in thousands)
Average RMBS Held
Interest Income
Realized Yield on Average RMBS
PT
Structured
PT
Structured
PT
Structured
RMBS
RMBS
Total
RMBS
RMBS
Total
RMBS
RMBS
Total
Three Months Ended
March 31, 2024
$
3,870,794
$
16,751
$
3,887,545
$
48,483
$
388
$
48,871
5.01
%
9.27
%
5.03
%
December 31, 2023
4,189,599
17,519
4,207,118
49,135
404
49,539
4.69
%
9.21
%
4.71
%
September 30, 2023
4,429,159
17,939
4,447,098
49,661
446
50,107
4.48
%
9.96
%
4.51
%
June 30, 2023
4,168,333
18,606
4,186,939
39,495
416
39,911
3.79
%
8.95
%
3.81
%
March 31, 2023
3,750,184
19,770
3,769,954
37,594
418
38,012
4.01
%
8.44
%
4.03
%
Interest Expense and the Cost of Funds
We had average outstanding borrowings of $3.7 billion and $3.6 billion and total interest expense of $51.4 million and $42.2 million for the three months ended March 31, 2024 and 2023, respectively. Our average cost of funds was 5.54% for the three months ended March 31, 2024, compared to 4.72% for the comparable period in 2023. The $9.2 million increase in interest expense was due to the 82 bps increase in the average cost of funds, combined with a $134.6 million increase in average outstanding borrowings during the three months ended March 31, 2024, as compared to the comparable period in 2023.
Our economic interest expense was $23.8 million and $23.0 million for the three months ended March 31, 2024 and 2023, respectively. There was a 1 bps decrease in the average economic cost of funds to 2.56% for the three months ended March 31, 2024, from 2.57% for the three months ended March 31, 2023.
Since all of our repurchase agreements are short-term, changes in market rates directly affect our interest expense. Our average cost of funds calculated on a GAAP basis was 22 bps above the one-month average SOFR and 15 bps above the six-month average SOFR for the quarter ended March 31, 2024. Our average economic cost of funds was 276 bps below the average one-month SOFR and 283 bps below the average six-month SOFR for the quarter ended March 31, 2024. The average term to maturity of the outstanding repurchase agreements was 21 days at March 31, 2024 and 26 days at December 31, 2023.
The tables below present the average balance of borrowings outstanding, interest expense and average cost of funds, and average one-month and six-month SOFR rates for the three months ended March 31, 2024, and for each quarter in 2023, on both a GAAP and economic basis.
($ in thousands)
Average
Interest Expense
Average Cost of Funds
Balance of
GAAP
Economic
GAAP
Economic
Borrowings
Basis
Basis
Basis
Basis
Three Months Ended
March 31, 2024
$
3,708,573
$
51,361
$
23,774
5.54
%
2.56
%
December 31, 2023
4,066,298
52,325
27,164
5.15
%
2.67
%
September 30, 2023
4,314,332
58,705
34,265
5.44
%
3.18
%
June 30, 2023
3,985,577
48,671
25,189
4.88
%
2.53
%
March 31, 2023
3,573,941
42,217
23,006
4.72
%
2.57
%
Average GAAP Cost of Funds
Average Economic Cost of Funds
Relative to Average
Relative to Average
Average SOFR
One-Month
Six-Month
One-Month
Six-Month
One-Month
Six-Month
SOFR
SOFR
SOFR
SOFR
Three Months Ended
March 31, 2024
5.32
%
5.39
%
0.22
%
0.15
%
(2.76
)%
(2.83
)%
December 31, 2023
5.34
%
5.35
%
(0.19
)%
(0.20
)%
(2.67
)%
(2.68
)%
September 30, 2023
5.32
%
5.17
%
0.12
%
0.27
%
(2.14
)%
(1.99
)%
June 30, 2023
5.07
%
4.78
%
(0.19
)%
0.10
%
(2.54
)%
(2.25
)%
March 31, 2023
4.63
%
4.09
%
0.09
%
0.63
%
(2.06
)%
(1.52
)%
29
Table of Contents
Gains or Losses
The table below presents our gains or losses for the three months ended March 31, 2024 and 2023.
(in thousands)
Three Months Ended March 31,
2024
2023
Change
Realized losses on sales of RMBS
$
-
$
-
$
-
Unrealized (losses) gains on RMBS and U.S. Treasury securities
(61,895
)
53,895
(115,790
)
Total (losses) gains on RMBS and U.S. Treasury securities
(61,895
)
53,895
(115,790
)
Gains (losses) on T-Note futures
19,090
(4,038
)
23,128
Gains (losses) on interest rate swaps
59,098
(26,144
)
85,242
Gains on payer swaptions (short positions)
-
6,585
(6,585
)
Losses on payer swaptions (long positions)
(58
)
(12,109
)
12,051
Losses on interest rate caps
-
(645
)
645
Losses on dual digital option
(239
)
-
(239
)
Gains on interest rate floors (long positions)
-
1,185
(1,185
)
Gains (losses) on TBA securities (short positions)
9,903
(5,990
)
15,893
Gains on TBA securities (long positions)
105
-
105
Total gains (losses) from derivative instruments
$
87,899
$
(41,156
)
$
129,055
We invest in RMBS with the intent to earn net income from the realized yield on those assets over their related funding and hedging costs, and not for the purpose of making short term gains from sales. However, we have sold, and may continue to sell, existing assets to acquire new assets, which our management believes might have higher risk-adjusted returns in light of current or anticipated interest rates, federal government programs or general economic conditions or to manage our balance sheet as part of our asset/liability management strategy. During the three months ended March 31, 2024, we received proceeds of $221.7 million from the sales of RMBS. These sales consisted entirely of pools that were consolidated into a larger pool and simultaneously acquired by us. No gain or loss was recorded on these sales. We did not sell any RMBS during the three months ended March 31, 2023.
Realized and unrealized gains and losses on RMBS are driven in part by changes in yields and interest rates, the spreads that Agency RMBS trade relative to comparable duration U.S. Treasuries or swaps, as well as varying levels of demand for RMBS, which affect the pricing of the securities in our portfolio. The unrealized gains and losses on RMBS may also include the premium lost as a result of prepayments on the underlying mortgages, decreasing unrealized gains or increasing unrealized losses as prepayment speeds or premiums increase. To the extent RMBS are carried at a discount to par, unrealized gains or losses on RMBS would also include discount accreted as a result of prepayments on the underlying mortgages, increasing unrealized gains or decreasing unrealized losses as speeds on discounts increase. Gains and losses on interest rate futures contracts are affected by changes in implied forward rates during the reporting period. The table below presents historical interest rate data for each quarter end during 2024 to date and 2023.
5 Year
10 Year
15 Year
30 Year
U.S.
U.S.
Fixed-Rate
Fixed-Rate
90 Day
Treasury
Treasury
Mortgage
Mortgage
Average
Rate (1)
Rate (1)
Rate (2)
Rate (2)
SOFR (3)
March 31, 2024
4.22
%
4.21
%
6.11
%
6.79
%
5.35
%
December 31, 2023
3.84
%
3.87
%
5.93
%
6.61
%
5.36
%
September 30, 2023
4.61
%
4.57
%
6.72
%
7.31
%
5.27
%
June 30, 2023
4.13
%
3.82
%
6.06
%
6.71
%
5.00
%
March 31, 2023
3.61
%
3.49
%
5.56
%
6.32
%
4.51
%
(1)
Historical 5 and 10 Year U.S. Treasury Rates are obtained from quoted end of day prices on the Chicago Board Options Exchange.
(2)
Historical 30 Year and 15 Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Rates are obtained from Freddie Mac’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey.
(3)
Historical SOFR is obtained from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. The SOFR averages are compounded averages of the SOFR over rolling 30 and 180 calendar day periods.
30
Table of Contents
Unrealized Gains and Losses on PT RMBS
For the purpose of recording income on the Company’s investments in PT RMBS, interest income is based on the stated interest rate of the security. Using the fair value accounting method, premiums or discounts to the face value of the PT RMBS present at the date of purchase are not amortized. Premium lost and discount accretion resulting from monthly principal repayments are reflected in unrealized gains (losses) on RMBS in the statements of comprehensive income (loss). The following table adjusts the Company’s interest income as reported on the Company’s statements of comprehensive income (loss) for the periods indicated to show interest income adjusted for premium amortization and discount accretion on its mortgage-backed security investments. The purpose of presenting this non-GAAP measure of interest income is to provide management and investors with an alternative way of evaluating yield on RMBS that may be more comparable to some of its peers who amortize premiums and discounts on their PT RMBS investments.
($ in thousands
Unrealized Gains (Losses) on PT RMBS
Inclusive of
Price
Premium Amortization/
Premium
Only
Discount Accretion
Average
Yield on
Amortization/
Unrealized
Yield on
RMBS
Interest
Average
As
Discount
Gains
Interest
Average
Held
Income
RMBS
Reported (1)
Accretion (2)
(Losses)
Income (3)
RMBS (3)
Three Months Ended
March 31, 2024
$
3,887,545
$
48,871
5.03
%
$
(62,111
)
$
3,037
$
(65,148
)
$
51,908
5.34
%
December 31, 2023
4,207,118
49,539
4.71
%
206,222
8,067
214,289
57,606
5.48
%
September 30, 2023
4,447,098
50,107
4.51
%
(210,159
)
7,252
(202,907
)
57,359
5.16
%
June 30, 2023
4,186,939
39,911
3.81
%
(68,898
)
4,886
(64,012
)
44,797
4.28
%
March 31, 2023
3,769,954
38,012
4.03
%
53,444
4,774
58,218
42,786
4.54
%
(1)
As reported in the Company’s statements of comprehensive income (loss) using the fair value accounting method.
(2)
Premium amortization/discount accretion for each period is calculated using the beginning of period market value of all securities. Amounts presented are intended to approximate amortization/accretion using the yield method over the life of the security based on premium/discount present at purchase date.
(3)
Interest Income – Inclusive of Premium Amortization/Discount Accretion and Yield on Average RMBS – Inclusive of Premium Amortization/Discount Accretion are non-GAAP measures. See “—GAAP and Non-GAAP Reconciliations,” for a description of our non-GAAP measures.
Expenses
For the three months ended March 31, 2024, the Company’s total operating expenses were approximately $3.7 million, compared to approximately $5.0 million for the three months ended March 31, 2023. The table below presents a breakdown of operating expenses for the three months ended March 31, 2024 and 2023.
(in thousands)
Three Months Ended March 31,
2024
2023
Change
Management fees
$
2,161
$
2,642
$
(481
)
Overhead allocation
598
576
22
Accrued incentive compensation
(89
)
470
(559
)
Directors fees and liability insurance
329
323
6
Audit, legal and other professional fees
476
451
25
Direct REIT operating expenses
170
165
5
Other administrative
93
377
(284
)
Total expenses
$
3,738
$
5,004
$
(1,266
)
As of December 31, 2023, the Company had accrued a liability of $0.6 million for bonuses to be paid to the Manager's employees. During the first three months of 2024, the Company awarded shares of Company common stock with a fair value of $0.3 million. Accrued incentive compensation for the three months ended March 31, 2024 includes a reversal of the over accrual of this liability.
31
Table of Contents
We are externally managed and advised by Bimini Advisors, LLC (the “Manager”) pursuant to the terms of a management agreement. The management agreement has been renewed through February 20, 2025 and provides for automatic one-year extension options thereafter and is subject to certain termination rights. Under the terms of the management agreement, the Manager is responsible for administering the business activities and day-to-day operations of the Company. The Manager receives a monthly management fee in the amount of:
●
One-twelfth of 1.5% of the first $250 million of the Company’s month end equity, as defined in the management agreement,
●
One-twelfth of 1.25% of the Company’s month end equity that is greater than $250 million and less than or equal to $500 million, and
●
One-twelfth of 1.00% of the Company’s month end equity that is greater than $500 million.
The Company is obligated to reimburse the Manager for any direct expenses incurred on its behalf and to pay the Manager the Company’s pro rata portion of certain overhead costs set forth in the management agreement.
On April 1, 2022, pursuant to the third amendment to the management agreement entered into on November 16, 2021, the Manager began providing certain repurchase agreement trading, clearing and administrative services to the Company that had been previously provided by AVM, L.P. under an agreement terminated on March 31, 2022. In consideration for such services, the Company pays the following fees to the Manager:
●
A daily fee equal to the outstanding principal balance of repurchase agreement funding in place as of the end of such day multiplied by 1.5 basis points for the amount of aggregate outstanding principal balance less than or equal to $5 billion, and multiplied by 1.0 basis point for any amount of aggregate outstanding principal balance in excess of $5 billion, and
●
A fee for the clearing and operational services provided by personnel of the Manager equal to $10,000 per month.
Should the Company terminate the management agreement without cause, it will pay the Manager a termination fee equal to three times the average annual management fee, as defined in the management agreement, before or on the last day of the term of the agreement.
The following table summarizes the management fee and overhead allocation expenses for the three months ended March 31, 2024 and for each quarter in 2023.
($ in thousands)
Average
Average
Advisory Services
Orchid
Orchid
Management
Overhead
Three Months Ended
MBS
Equity
Fee
Allocation
Total
March 31, 2024
$
3,887,545
$
672,057
$
2,161
$
598
$
2,759
December 31, 2023
4,207,118
851,532
2,275
617
2,892
September 30, 2023
4,447,098
964,230
2,870
557
3,427
June 30, 2023
4,186,939
899,109
2,704
639
3,343
March 31, 2023
3,769,954
865,722
2,642
576
3,218
Financial Condition:
Mortgage-Backed Securities
As of March 31, 2024, our RMBS portfolio consisted of $3,881.1 million of Agency RMBS at fair value and had a weighted average coupon on assets of 4.34%. During the three months ended March 31, 2024, we received principal repayments of $74.3 million, compared to $61.0 million for the three months ended March 31, 2023. The average three month prepayment speeds for the quarters ended March 31, 2024 and 2023 were 6.0% and 4.0%, respectively.
32
Table of Contents
The following table presents the 3-month constant prepayment rate (“CPR”) experienced on our structured and PT RMBS sub-portfolios, on an annualized basis, for the quarterly periods presented. CPR is a method of expressing the prepayment rate for a mortgage pool that assumes that a constant fraction of the remaining principal is prepaid each month or year. Specifically, the CPR in the chart below represents the three month prepayment rate of the securities in the respective asset category.
Structured
PT RMBS
RMBS
Total
Three Months Ended
Portfolio (%)
Portfolio (%)
Portfolio (%)
March 31, 2024
6.0
5.9
6.0
December 31, 2023
5.4
7.9
5.5
September 30, 2023
6.1
5.7
6.0
June 30, 2023
5.6
7.0
5.6
March 31, 2023
3.9
5.7
4.0
The following tables summarize certain characteristics of the Company’s PT RMBS and structured RMBS as of March 31, 2024 and December 31, 2023:
($ in thousands)
Weighted
Percentage
Average
of
Weighted
Maturity
Fair
Entire
Average
in
Longest
Asset Category
Value
Portfolio
Coupon
Months
Maturity
March 31, 2024
Fixed Rate RMBS
$
3,864,505
99.6
%
4.38
%
331
1-Feb-54
Interest-Only Securities
16,326
0.4
%
4.01
%
220
25-Jul-48
Inverse Interest-Only Securities
247
0.0
%
0.00
%
270
15-Jun-42
Total Mortgage Assets
$
3,881,078
100.0
%
4.34
%
328
1-Feb-54
December 31, 2023
Fixed Rate RMBS
$
3,877,082
99.4
%
4.33
%
334
1-Nov-53
Interest-Only Securities
16,572
0.6
%
4.01
%
223
25-Jul-48
Inverse Interest-Only Securities
358
0.0
%
0.00
%
274
15-Jun-42
Total Mortgage Assets
$
3,894,012
100.0
%
4.30
%
331
1-Nov-53
($ in thousands)
March 31, 2024
December 31, 2023
Percentage of
Percentage of
Agency
Fair Value
Entire Portfolio
Fair Value
Entire Portfolio
Fannie Mae
$
2,719,139
70.1
%
$
2,714,192
65.6
%
Freddie Mac
1,161,939
29.9
%
1,179,820
34.4
%
Total Portfolio
$
3,881,078
100.0
%
$
3,894,012
100.0
%
March 31, 2024
December 31, 2023
Weighted Average Pass-through Purchase Price
$
102.83
$
104.10
Weighted Average Structured Purchase Price
$
18.74
$
18.74
Weighted Average Pass-through Current Price
$
94.28
$
95.70
Weighted Average Structured Current Price
$
13.73
$
13.51
Effective Duration (1)
4.550
4.400
(1)
Effective duration is the approximate percentage change in price for a 100 bps change in rates. An effective duration of 4.550 indicates that an interest rate increase of 1.0% would be expected to cause a 4.550% decrease in the value of the RMBS in the Company’s investment portfolio at March 31, 2024. An effective duration of 4.400 indicates that an interest rate increase of 1.0% would be expected to cause a 4.400% decrease in the value of the RMBS in the Company’s investment portfolio at December 31, 2023. These figures include the structured securities in the portfolio, but do not include the effect of the Company’s funding cost hedges. Effective duration quotes for individual investments are obtained from The Yield Book, Inc.
33
Table of Contents
The following table presents a summary of portfolio assets acquired during the three months ended March 31, 2024 and 2023, including securities purchased during the period that settled after the end of the period, if any.
($ in thousands)
2024
2023
Total Cost
Average Price
Weighted Average Yield
Total Cost
Average Price
Weighted Average Yield
Pass-through RMBS
$
345,032
$
101.28
5.79
%
$
467,460
$
97.97
4.59
%
Structured RMBS
-
-
-
-
-
-
Borrowings
As of March 31, 2024, we had established borrowing facilities in the repurchase agreement market with a number of commercial banks and other financial institutions and had borrowings in place with 21 of these counterparties. None of these lenders are affiliated with the Company. These borrowings are secured by the Company’s RMBS and cash, and bear interest at prevailing market rates. We believe our established repurchase agreement borrowing facilities provide borrowing capacity in excess of our needs.
As of March 31, 2024, we had obligations outstanding under the repurchase agreements of approximately $3,711.5 million with a net weighted average borrowing cost of 5.46%. The remaining maturity of our outstanding repurchase agreement obligations ranged from 1 to 106 days, with a weighted average remaining maturity of 21 days. Securing the repurchase agreement obligations as of March 31, 2024 are RMBS with an estimated fair value, including accrued interest, of approximately $3,891.0 million, and cash pledged to counterparties of approximately $7.4 million. Through April 26, 2024, we have been able to maintain our repurchase facilities with comparable terms to those that existed at March 31, 2024, with maturities through July 16, 2024.
The table below presents information about our period end, maximum and average balances of borrowings for each quarter in 2024 to date and 2023.
($ in thousands)
Difference Between Ending
Ending
Maximum
Average
Borrowings and
Balance of
Balance of
Balance of
Average Borrowings
Three Months Ended
Borrowings
Borrowings
Borrowings
Amount
Percent
March 31, 2024
$
3,711,498
$
3,774,739
$
3,708,573
$
2,925
0.08
%
December 31, 2023
3,705,649
4,426,947
4,066,298
(360,649
)
(8.87
)%
September 30, 2023
4,426,947
4,494,858
4,314,332
112,615
2.61
%
June 30, 2023
4,201,717
4,201,717
3,985,577
216,140
5.42
%
March 31, 2023
3,769,437
3,849,137
3,573,941
195,496
5.47
%
Leverage
We use two primary measures of leverage. Economic leverage is calculated by dividing the sum of total liabilities and our net notional TBA position, by stockholders' equity. Adjusted leverage is calculated by dividing our repurchase agreements by stockholders' equity. Our economic leverage at March 31, 2024 was 7.0 to 1, compared to 6.7 to 1 as of December 31, 2023. Our adjusted leverage at March 31, 2024 was 7.7 to 1, compared to 7.9 to 1 as of December 31, 2023. The following table presents information related to our historical leverage.
($ in thousands)
Ending
Ending
Ending
Ending
Repurchase
Total
Net TBA
Stockholders'
Adjusted
Economic
Agreements
Liabilities
Positions
Equity
Leverage
Leverage
March 31, 2024
$
3,711,498
$
3,733,031
$
(370,700
)
$
481,632
7.7:1
7.0:1
December 31, 2023
3,705,649
3,795,002
(645,700
)
469,944
7.9:1
6.7:1
September 30, 2023
4,426,947
4,470,052
(502,500
)
466,841
9.5:1
8.5:1
June 30, 2023
4,201,717
4,240,845
(250,000
)
490,086
8.6:1
8.1:1
March 31, 2023
3,769,437
3,814,651
(875,000
)
451,361
8.4:1
6.5:1
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Table of Contents
Liquidity and Capital Resources
Liquidity is our ability to turn non-cash assets into cash, purchase additional investments, repay principal and interest on borrowings, fund overhead, fulfill margin calls and pay dividends. We have both internal and external sources of liquidity. However, our material unused sources of liquidity include cash balances, unencumbered assets and our ability to sell encumbered assets to raise cash. Our balance sheet also generates liquidity on an on-going basis through payments of principal and interest we receive on our RMBS portfolio. Management believes that we currently have sufficient short-term and long-term liquidity and capital resources available for (a) the acquisition of additional investments consistent with the size and nature of our existing RMBS portfolio, (b) the repayments on borrowings and (c) the payment of dividends to the extent required for our continued qualification as a REIT. We may also generate liquidity from time to time by selling our equity or debt securities in public offerings or private placements.
Internal Sources of Liquidity
Our internal sources of liquidity include our cash balances, unencumbered assets and our ability to liquidate our encumbered security holdings. Our balance sheet also generates liquidity on an on-going basis through payments of principal and interest we receive on our RMBS portfolio. Because our PT RMBS portfolio consists entirely of government and agency securities, we do not anticipate having difficulty converting our assets to cash should our liquidity needs ever exceed our immediately available sources of cash. Our structured RMBS portfolio also consists entirely of governmental agency securities, although they typically do not trade with comparable bid / ask spreads as PT RMBS. However, we anticipate that we would be able to liquidate such securities readily, even in distressed markets, although we would likely do so at prices below where such securities could be sold in a more stable market. To enhance our liquidity even further, we may pledge a portion of our structured RMBS as part of a repurchase agreement funding, but retain the cash in lieu of acquiring additional assets. In this way we can, at a modest cost, retain higher levels of cash on hand and decrease the likelihood we will have to sell assets in a distressed market in order to raise cash.
Our strategy for hedging our funding costs typically involves taking short positions in interest rate futures, interest rate swaps, interest rate swaptions or other instruments. When the market causes these short positions to decline in value we are required to meet margin calls with cash. This can reduce our liquidity position to the extent other securities in our portfolio move in price in such a way that we do not receive enough cash via margin calls to offset the derivative related margin calls. If this were to occur in sufficient magnitude, the loss of liquidity might force us to reduce the size of the levered portfolio, pledge additional structured securities to raise funds or risk operating the portfolio with less liquidity.
External Sources of Liquidity
Our primary external sources of liquidity are our ability to (i) borrow under master repurchase agreements, (ii) use the TBA security market and (iii) sell our equity or debt securities in public offerings or private placements. Our borrowing capacity will vary over time as the market value of our interest earning assets varies. Our master repurchase agreements have no stated expiration, but can be terminated at any time at our option or at the option of the counterparty. However, once a definitive repurchase agreement under a master repurchase agreement has been entered into, it generally may not be terminated by either party. A negotiated termination can occur, but may involve a fee to be paid by the party seeking to terminate the repurchase agreement transaction.
Under our repurchase agreement funding arrangements, we are required to post margin at the initiation of the borrowing. The margin posted represents the haircut, which is a percentage of the market value of the collateral pledged. To the extent the market value of the asset collateralizing the financing transaction declines, the market value of our posted margin will be insufficient and we will be required to post additional collateral. Conversely, if the market value of the asset pledged increases in value, we would be over collateralized and we would be entitled to have excess margin returned to us by the counterparty. Our lenders typically value our pledged securities daily to ensure the adequacy of our margin and make margin calls as needed, as do we. Typically, but not always, the parties agree to a minimum threshold amount for margin calls so as to avoid the need for nuisance margin calls on a daily basis. Our master repurchase agreements do not specify the haircut; rather haircuts are determined on an individual repo transaction basis. Throughout the three months ended March 31, 2024, haircuts on our pledged collateral remained stable and as of March 31, 2024, our weighted average haircut was approximately 4.5% of the value of our collateral.
TBAs represent a form of off-balance sheet financing and are accounted for as derivative instruments. (See Note 5 to our Financial Statements in this Form 10-Q for additional details on our TBAs). Under certain market conditions, it may be uneconomical for us to roll our TBAs into future months and we may need to take or make physical delivery of the underlying securities. If we were required to take physical delivery to settle a long TBA, we would have to fund our total purchase commitment with cash or other financing sources and our liquidity position could be negatively impacted.
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Our TBAs are also subject to margin requirements governed by the Mortgage-Backed Securities Division ("MBSD") of the FICC and by our Master Securities Forward Transaction Agreements (“MSFTAs”), which may establish margin levels in excess of the MBSD. Such provisions require that we establish an initial margin based on the notional value of the TBA, which is subject to increase if the estimated fair value of our TBAs or the estimated fair value of our pledged collateral declines. The MBSD has the sole discretion to determine the value of our TBAs and of the pledged collateral securing such contracts. In the event of a margin call, we must generally provide additional collateral on the same business day.
Settlement of our TBA obligations by taking delivery of the underlying securities as well as satisfying margin requirements could negatively impact our liquidity position. However, since we do not use TBA dollar roll transactions as our primary source of financing, we believe that we will have adequate sources of liquidity to meet such obligations.
We invest a portion of our capital in structured Agency RMBS. We generally do not apply leverage to this portion of our portfolio. The leverage inherent in structured securities replaces the leverage obtained by acquiring PT securities and funding them in the repurchase market. This structured RMBS strategy has been a core element of the Company’s overall investment strategy since inception. However, we have and may continue to pledge a portion of our structured RMBS in order to raise our cash levels, but generally will not pledge these securities in order to acquire additional assets.
In future periods, we expect to continue to finance our activities in a manner that is consistent with our current operations through repurchase agreements. As of March 31, 2024, we had cash and cash equivalents of $190.4 million. We generated cash flows of $118.4 million from principal and interest payments on our RMBS and had average repurchase agreements outstanding of $3,708.6 million during the three months ended March 31, 2024.
As described more fully below, we may also access liquidity by selling our equity or debt securities in public offerings or private placements.
Stockholders ’ Equity
On October 29, 2021, we entered into an equity distribution agreement (the “October 2021 Equity Distribution Agreement”) with four sales agents pursuant to which we could offer and sell, from time to time, up to an aggregate amount of $250,000,000 of shares of our common stock in transactions that were deemed to be “at the market” offerings and privately negotiated transactions. We issued a total of 9,742,188 shares under the October 2021 Equity Distribution Agreement for aggregate gross proceeds of approximately $151.8 million, and net proceeds of approximately $149.3 million, after commissions and fees, prior to its termination in March 2023.
On March 7, 2023, we entered into an equity distribution agreement (the “March 2023 Equity Distribution Agreement”) with three sales agents pursuant to which we may offer and sell, from time to time, up to an aggregate amount of $250,000,000 of shares of our common stock in transactions that are deemed to be “at the market” offerings and privately negotiated transactions.
Through
March 31, 2024
, we issued a total of 14,680,114 shares under the March 2023 Equity Distribution Agreement for aggregate gross proceeds of approximately $143.2 million, and net proceeds of approximately $140.9 million, after commissions and fees.
Outlook
Economic Summary
Towards the end of 2023 it appeared the interest rate cycle was about to turn. The current interest rate cycle, which began when the Federal Reserve (the “Fed”) responded to the onset of the pandemic in March of 2020 by aggressively lowering the target range for their overnight funding rate, otherwise known as the Fed funds rate, and then began raising their policy rate from the effective lower bound just above 0% to a target range of 5.25% – 5.50% from March of 2022 through July of 2023. The Fed was focused on bringing inflation down from multi-decade highs in 2022 and appeared to be well on their way of reaching their policy target of 2.0%. The markets expected to see the next cycle begin when the Fed pivoted away from additional policy firming and towards the removal of tight monetary policy sometime in early to mid-2024. Comments by several Fed officials in late 2023, including the chairman, appeared to confirm the Fed was about to do so. The markets reacted strongly to this development as risk assets of all types rallied and market pricing of future levels of the Fed’s policy rate implied the market expected up to six 25 basis point cuts over the course of 2024, as 2023 came to a close.
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While most measures of inflation were clearly declining over the second half of 2023 there was also clear evidence that the economy was not slowing much at all. Most market participants had anticipated the significant tightening of monetary policy would slow the economy, if not cause a recession, and thus bring inflation down to the Fed’s policy target of 2.0%. However, economic growth, as measured by gross domestic product (“GDP”), was above trend during the second half of 2023. The labor market, as measured by the monthly non-farm payroll reports, averaged 213,000 new jobs over the course of the last six months of 2023, a level considered above the rate necessary to absorb new entrants into the labor market and thus keep the unemployment rate from increasing. For the first three months of 2024 the monthly average has increased to 280,000. More significantly, monthly inflation readings are above levels observed in late 2023 and it appears inflation may actually be re-accelerating. Public comments by various Fed officials have generally pushed back against market pricing which implied the market still expected the Fed to pivot soon and start to relax monetary policy. However, as we enter the second quarter, market pricing of future levels of the Fed’s policy rate are shifting upwards and a pivot in monetary policy does not appear to be imminent.
Interest Rates
As the market sensed the Fed was about to pivot and reverse the stance of monetary policy from additional firming to easing, interest rates decreased over the course of the last two months of 2023.
Rates had peaked in October, reaching cycle highs at most points along the maturity curve. U.S. Treasury yields declined so much in November and December such that all U.S. Treasuries with a maturity longer than the 1-year bill declined by at least 70 basis points during the fourth quarter, in spite of the significant increases that occurred in October. As we entered 2024 and the outlook changed with respect to inflation and Fed monetary policy these declines in yields have rapidly reversed. Over the course of the first quarter of 2024, the curve has flattened as the yield on the 2-year U.S. Treasury increased by approximately 40 basis points and the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury increased by just over 32 basis points, from 3.881% at December 31, 2023 to 4.208% at March 28, 2024. As the data has not softened to date during the second quarter, yields continue to retrace the decline since the October 2023 peak, and the yield on the 2 and 10-year U.S. Treasuries has increased to 5.0% and 4.7%, respectively.
As mentioned above, market pricing implied the Fed would reduce their policy rate by six 25 basis point cuts in 2024 as 2023 came to a close. When the first quarter of 2024 ended, market pricing was for only three 25 basis point cuts and current market pricing of Fed funds going forward only reflects one 25 basis point cut.
In spite of the reversal in the rates market during the first quarter of 2024 as described above, interest rate volatility declined over the course of the quarter. A widely followed measure of interest rate volatility is the ICE Bank of America MOVE index. The index declined from a reading of approximately 127 on January 2, 2024, to a reading of approximately 86.4 on March 28, 2024. This was a significant development as implied volatility is a significant determinant of Agency MBS performance as it affects the pricing of the implied prepayment option on all residential mortgages.
The Agency RMBS Market
As with interest rates described above by late October of 2023 Agency RMBS spreads to comparable duration U.S. Treasuries or swaps reached their cycle wide for the cycle. As the market reversed and risk appetite rapidly recovered the spread contracted quickly – declining by over 50 basis points by year-end. However, unlike interest rates which reversed much of the decline seen during November and December, over the course of the first quarter of 2024 Agency RMBS spreads, while somewhat volatile, ended the quarter very close to where they were at the beginning of the quarter. As mentioned above, declining interest rate volatility supported Agency RMBS performance. However, the sector also benefitted from increased demand from banks and money managers deploying funds from growing flows into fixed income funds.
Based on ICE Bank of America data for the fixed income indices, for the first quarter of 2024 Agency RMBS generated a return of -1.1% and -0.1% versus comparable duration swaps, respectively. The 30-year fixed rate sector generated returns of -1.3% and -0.2% versus comparable duration swaps, respectively. With respect to individual sectors of the Agency RMBS index, shorter duration sectors and coupons outperformed owing to the increase in interest rates. Across the 30-year fixed rate coupon stack returns varied from -2.1% for 2.0% coupons to 1.4% for 7.0% coupons. Excess returns for the same coupons were -0.6% and 0.8%, respectively, and the distribution of returns followed the durations of the various coupons in a consistent fashion.
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The Agency RMBS sector underperformed investment grade and sub-investment grade corporates on an absolute basis. Relative to comparable duration swaps for the first quarter, Agency RMBS trailed investment grade corporates by 140 bps and sub-investment grade corporates by 190 bps. The performance of Agency RMBS versus these two sectors of the fixed income markets is important as multi-sector asset managers who allocate funds across the fixed income markets view these three significant sectors on a relative value basis when making allocation decisions.
Recent Legislative and Regulatory Developments
In response to the deterioration in the markets for U.S. Treasuries, Agency RMBS and other mortgage and fixed income markets resulting from the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic, the Fed implemented a program of quantitative easing. Through November of 2021, the Fed was committed to purchasing $80 billion of U.S. Treasuries and $40 billion of Agency RMBS each month. In November of 2021, it began tapering its net asset purchases each month, ended net asset purchases by early March of 2022, and ended asset purchases entirely in September of 2022. On May 4, 2022, the FOMC announced a plan for reducing the Fed’s balance sheet. In June of 2022, in accordance with this plan, the Fed began reducing its balance sheet by a maximum of $30 billion of U.S. Treasuries and $17.5 billion of Agency RMBS each month. On September 21, 2022, the FOMC announced the Fed’s decision to continue reducing the balance sheet by a maximum of $60 billion of U.S. Treasuries and $35 billion of Agency RMBS per month. As interest rates have increased and prepayment speeds have slowed, the actual balance sheet reduction of Agency RMBS has trended well below the cap during 2023. Recently the Fed has indicated they may taper their quantitative tightening by slowing the rate of run-off of their portfolio, although it is likely they will allow their holdings of Agency RMBS to continue at the current pace and slow the run-off of U.S. Treasuries in a way that achieves their desired rate of portfolio run-off.
On September 30, 2019, the FHFA announced that Fannie Mae and Feddie Mac were allowed to increase their capital buffers to $25 billion and $20 billion, respectively, from the prior limit of $3 billion each. This step could ultimately lead to the Enterprises being privatized and represents the first concrete step on the road to Enterprise reform. In December 2020, the FHFA released a final rule on a new regulatory framework for the Enterprises which seeks to implement both a risk-based capital framework and minimum leverage capital requirements. On January 14, 2021, the U.S. Treasury and the FHFA executed letter agreements allowing the Enterprises to continue to retain capital up to their regulatory minimums, including buffers, as prescribed in the December rule. These letter agreements provide, in part, (i) there will be no exit from conservatorship until all material litigation is settled and the Enterprise has common equity Tier 1 capital of at least 3% of its assets, (ii) the Enterprises will comply with the FHFA’s regulatory capital framework, (iii) higher-risk single-family mortgage acquisitions will be restricted to then current levels, and (iv) the U.S. Treasury and the FHFA will establish a timeline and process for future Enterprise reform. However, no definitive proposals or legislation have been released or enacted with respect to ending the conservatorship, unwinding the Enterprises, or materially reducing the roles of the Enterprises in the U.S. mortgage market. On September 14, 2021, the U.S. Treasury and the FHFA suspended certain policy provisions in the January agreement, including limits on loans acquired for cash consideration, multifamily loans, loans with higher risk characteristics and second homes and investment properties. On February 25, 2022, the FHFA published a final rule, effective as of April 26, 2022, amending the Enterprise capital framework established in December 2020 by, among other things, replacing the fixed leverage buffer equal to 1.5% of an Enterprise’s adjusted total assets with a dynamic leverage buffer equal to 50% of an Enterprise’s stability capital buffer, reducing the risk weight floor from 10% to 5%, and removing the requirement that the Enterprises must apply an overall effectiveness adjustment to their credit risk transfer exposures. On June 14, 2022, the Enterprises announced that they would each charge a 50 bps fee for commingled securities issued on or after July 1, 2022 to cover the additional capital required for such securities under the Enterprise capital framework, which was subsequently reduced on January 19, 2023 to 9.375 bps for commingled securities issued on or after April 1, 2023 to address industry concern that the fee posed a risk to the fungibility of the Uniform Mortgage-Backed Security (“UMBS”) and negatively impacted liquidity and pricing in the market for TBA securities. On November 30, 2023, the FHFA published a final rule,which became effective April 1, 2024, which will, among other things, reduce the risk weight and credit conversion factor for guarantees on commingled securities to 5% and 50%, respectively; replace the current exposure methodology with the standardized approach for counterparty credit risk as the method for computing exposure and risk-weighted asset amounts for derivatives and cleared transactions; update the credit score assumption to 680 for single-family mortgage exposures originated without a representative credit score; and introduce a risk weight of 20% for guarantee assets.
On July 27, 2023, the federal banking regulators, including the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, the FDIC and the Fed, jointly issued a proposed rule that would revise large bank capital requirements (the "Basel III Endgame"). The Basel III Endgame, if implemented as proposed, would significantly increase the credit weight risk for balance-sheet mortgages and for Agency RMBS sold to the GSEs, which could disincentivize banks from originating mortgages for sale to the GSEs and impact pricing in the Agency RMBS markets. The comment period for the Basel III Endgame closed on January 16, 2024, with final rule publication expected in the second or third quarter of 2024 and implementation expected to begin on July 1, 2025.
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The scope and nature of the actions the U.S. government or the Fed will ultimately undertake are unknown and will continue to evolve.
Effect on Us
Regulatory developments, movements in interest rates and prepayment rates affect us in many ways, including the following:
Effects on our Assets
A change in or elimination of the guarantee structure of Agency RMBS may increase our costs (if, for example, guarantee fees increase) or require us to change our investment strategy altogether. For example, the elimination of the guarantee structure of Agency RMBS may cause us to change our investment strategy to focus on non-Agency RMBS, which in turn would require us to significantly increase our monitoring of the credit risks of our investments in addition to interest rate and prepayment risks.
If prepayment rates are relatively low (due, in part, to the refinancing problems described above), lower long-term interest rates can increase the value of our Agency RMBS. This is because investors typically place a premium on assets with coupon/yields that are higher than coupon/yields available in the market. To the extent such securities pre-pay slower than would otherwise be the case, we benefit from an above market coupon/yield for longer, enhancing the return from the security. Although lower long-term interest rates may increase asset values in our portfolio, we may not be able to invest new funds in similarly yielding assets.
If prepayment levels increase, the value of any of our Agency RMBS that are carried at a premium to par that are affected by such prepayments may decline. This is because a principal prepayment accelerates the effective term of an Agency RMBS, which would shorten the period during which an investor would receive above-market returns (assuming the yield on the prepaid asset is higher than market yields). Also, prepayment proceeds may not be able to be reinvested in similar-yielding assets. Agency RMBS backed by mortgages with high interest rates are more susceptible to prepayment risk because holders of those mortgages are most likely to refinance to a lower rate. If prepayment levels decrease, the value of any of our Agency RMBS that are carried at a discount to par that are affected by such prepayments may increase. This is because a principal prepayment accelerates the effective term of an Agency RMBS, which would shorten the timeframe over which an investor would receive the principal of the underlying loans. Agency RMBS backed by mortgages with low interest rates are less susceptible to prepayment risk because holders of those mortgages are less likely to refinance to a higher rate. IOs and IIOs, however, may be the types of Agency RMBS most sensitive to increased prepayment rates. Because the holder of an IO or IIO receives no principal payments, the values of IOs and IIOs are entirely dependent on the existence of a principal balance on the underlying mortgages. If the principal balance is eliminated due to prepayment, IOs and IIOs essentially become worthless. Although increased prepayment rates can negatively affect the value of our IOs and IIOs, they have the opposite effect on POs. Because POs act like zero-coupon bonds, meaning they are purchased at a discount to their par value and have an effective interest rate based on the discount and the term of the underlying loan, an increase in prepayment rates would reduce the effective term of our POs and accelerate the yields earned on those assets, which would increase our net income.
Higher long-term rates can also affect the value of our Agency RMBS. As long-term rates rise, rates available to borrowers also rise. This tends to cause prepayment activity to slow and extend the expected average life of mortgage cash flows. As the expected average life of the mortgage cash flows increases, coupled with higher discount rates, the value of Agency RMBS declines. Some of the instruments we use to hedge our Agency RMBS assets, such as interest rate futures, swaps and swaptions, are stable average life instruments. This means that to the extent we use such instruments to hedge our Agency RMBS assets, our hedges may not adequately protect us from price declines, and therefore may negatively impact our book value. It is for this reason we use interest only securities in our portfolio. As interest rates rise, the expected average life of these securities increases, causing generally positive price movements as the number and size of the cash flows increase the longer the underlying mortgages remain outstanding. This makes interest only securities desirable hedge instruments for pass-through Agency RMBS.
Because we base our investment decisions on risk management principles rather than anticipated movements in interest rates, in a volatile interest rate environment we may allocate more capital to structured Agency RMBS with shorter durations. We believe these securities have a lower sensitivity to changes in long-term interest rates than other asset classes. We may attempt to mitigate our exposure to changes in long-term interest rates by investing in IOs and IIOs, which typically have different sensitivities to changes in long-term interest rates than PT RMBS, particularly PT RMBS backed by fixed-rate mortgages.
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Effects on our borrowing costs
We leverage our PT RMBS portfolio and a portion of our structured Agency RMBS with principal balances through the use of short-term repurchase agreement transactions. The interest rates on our debt are determined by the short term interest rate markets. Increases in the Fed Funds rate or SOFR typically increase our borrowing costs, which could affect our interest rate spread if there is no corresponding increase in the interest we earn on our assets. The impact of these increases would be most prevalent with respect to our Agency RMBS backed by fixed rate mortgage loans because the interest rate on a fixed-rate mortgage loan does not change even though market rates may change.
In order to protect our net interest margin against increases in short-term interest rates, we may enter into interest rate swaps, which economically convert our floating-rate repurchase agreement debt to fixed-rate debt or utilize other hedging instruments such as Fed Funds, SOFR and T-Note futures contracts, dual digital options or interest rate swaptions.
Summary
The current economic and interest rate cycle that began with the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 followed by the Fed raising their policy rate by 525 basis points in a little over a year in 2022 and 2023 was expected to end in early 2024 as the Fed pivoted and started to remove their tight monetary policy. The economy and inflation are simply too strong for this to occur, at least not yet. While market participants still expect some easing of monetary policy over the course of 2024, as reflected in the pricing of forward overnight rates, the starting point continues to get pushed out further and further into the future, and the magnitude of eases in 2024 continues to decrease. Incoming economic data so far in 2024 is consistent with firming inflation and a solid economy, and the labor market shows no signs of weakness. Stimulative fiscal policy out of Washington is working against restrictive monetary policy from the Fed. While inflation has decreased significantly from the peak seen in 2023 it still remains far above the Fed’s target level of 2.0%.
In spite of the ongoing strength of the economy and interest rates retracing much of the declines seen over the last two months of 2023, Agency MBS securities performed fairly well during the first quarter of 2024. While absolute returns and duration adjusted excess returns versus comparable duration U.S. Treasuries were both negative for the quarter, they were only slightly negative, including the excess return of just -0.1%. At this juncture it is unclear how much longer the economy and inflation will remain too strong for the Fed and whether or not interest rates will continue to rise, and if so to what extent. When the first quarter of 2024 ended, the spread of the current coupon, 30-year fixed rate Agency RMBS was trading at a spread to comparable duration U.S. Treasuries near the low end of the prevailing range since mid-2022, shortly after the Fed began their policy firming. As with the economy, inflation and interest rates, the outlook for the performance of Agency RMBS is unclear and there is the possibility the sector could underperform in the near term if the current trends discussed above continue.
Critical Accounting Estimates
Our condensed financial statements are prepared in accordance with GAAP. GAAP requires our management to make some complex and subjective decisions and assessments. Our most critical accounting estimates involve decisions and assessments which could significantly affect reported assets, liabilities, revenues and expenses. There have been no changes to our critical accounting estimates as discussed in our annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2023.
Capital Expenditures
At March 31, 2024, we had no material commitments for capital expenditures.
Dividends
In addition to other requirements that must be satisfied to continue to qualify as a REIT, we must pay annual dividends to our stockholders of at least 90% of our REIT taxable income, determined without regard to the deduction for dividends paid and excluding any net capital gains. REIT taxable income (loss) is computed in accordance with the Code, and can be greater than or less than our financial statement net income (loss) computed in accordance with GAAP. These book to tax differences primarily relate to the recognition of interest income on RMBS, unrealized gains and losses on RMBS, and the amortization of losses on derivative instruments that are treated as funding hedges for tax purposes.
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We intend to pay regular monthly dividends to our stockholders and have declared the following dividends since the completion of our IPO.
(in thousands, except per share amounts)
Year
Per Share Amount
Total
2013
$
6.975
$
4,662
2014
10.800
22,643
2015
9.600
38,748
2016
8.400
41,388
2017
8.400
70,717
2018
5.350
55,814
2019
4.800
54,421
2020
3.950
53,570
2021
3.900
97,601
2022
2.475
87,906
2023
1.800
81,127
2024 - YTD (1)
0.480
25,089
Totals
$
66.930
$
633,686
(1)
On April 10, 2024, the Company declared a dividend of $0.12 per share to be paid on May 30, 2024. The effect of this dividend is included in the table above but is not reflected in the Company’s financial statements as of March 31, 2024.
Text extracted from the filing as submitted to EDGAR. Formatting, tables and exhibits are simplified for reading; the original document is authoritative for anything you rely on.