Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk
Item
3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk
The
primary sources of market risk for us include fluctuations in commodity prices and interest rates. All of our financial instruments
are for purposes other than trading.
Credit
Risk. Credit risk is the risk of loss as a result of nonperformance by other parties of their contractual obligations. Our
primary credit risk is related to oil and gas production sold to various purchasers and the receivables are generally not collateralized.
At December 31, 2020, our largest credit risk associated with any single purchaser was $235,604 or 65% of our total oil and gas
receivables. We have not experienced any significant credit losses.
Interest
Rate Risk. At December 31, 2020, we had an outstanding loan balance of $1,100,000 under our credit agreement, which bears
interest at a rate equal to the prime rate as quoted in the Wall Street Journal plus one-half of one percent (0.5%) floating daily.
If the interest rate on our bank debt increases or decreases by one percentage point our annual pretax income would change by
$11,000 based on the outstanding balance at December 31, 2020.
Energy
Price Risk. Our most significant market risk is the pricing for crude oil and natural gas. Our financial condition, results
of operations, and capital resources are highly dependent upon the prevailing market prices of, and demand for, oil and natural
gas. Prices for oil and natural gas fluctuate widely. We cannot predict future oil and natural gas prices with any certainty.
Pricing for oil and natural gas production has been volatile and unpredictable for several years, and we expect this volatility
to continue in the future.
Factors
that can cause price fluctuations include the level of global demand for petroleum products, foreign and domestic supply of oil
and gas, the establishment of and compliance with production quotas by oil-exporting countries, weather conditions, the price
and availability of alternative fuels and overall political and economic conditions in oil producing countries.
Oil
prices dropped sharply in early March 2020, and then continued to decline reaching levels below zero dollars per barrel. This
was a result of multiple factors affecting supply and demand in global oil and gas markets, including the announcement of price
reductions and production increases by OPEC members and other oil exporting nations and the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. Oil and
natural gas prices are expected to continue to be volatile as a result of the changes in oil and natural gas production, inventories
and demand, as well as national and international economic performance. Even though oil prices improved in June 2020, we cannot
predict when oil prices will stabilize.
Declines
in oil and natural gas prices will materially adversely affect our financial condition, liquidity, ability to obtain financing
and operating results. Changes in oil and gas prices impact both estimated future net revenue and the estimated quantity of proved
reserves. Any reduction in reserves, including reductions due to price fluctuations, can reduce the borrowing base under our credit
facility and adversely affect the amount of cash flow available for capital expenditures and our ability to obtain additional
capital for our acquisition, exploration and development activities. In addition, a noncash write-down of our oil and gas properties
could be required under full cost accounting rules if prices declined significantly, even if it is only for a short period of
time. Lower prices may also reduce the amount of crude oil and natural gas that can be produced economically. Thus, we may experience
material increases or decreases in reserve quantities solely as a result of price changes and not as a result of drilling or well
performance.
Similarly,
any improvements in oil and gas prices can have a favorable impact on our financial condition, results of operations and capital
resources. Oil and natural gas prices do not necessarily fluctuate in direct relationship to each other. If the average oil price
had increased or decreased by ten dollars per barrel for the first nine months of fiscal 2021, pretax income or loss would have
changed by $376,810. If the average gas price had increased or decreased by one dollar per mcf for the first nine months of fiscal
2021, pretax income or loss would have changed by $251,094.
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