Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis
Item
2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
Unless
otherwise stated or the context otherwise requires, references in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q to (i) the “Company,” “us,”
or “we” are to McKinley Acquisition Corporation, a Cayman Islands exempted company; (ii) “founder shares” are
to shares of our Class B ordinary shares initially purchased by our Sponsor in a private placement prior to our Initial Public Offering,
and the shares of our Class A ordinary shares issued upon the conversion thereof; and (iii) “Sponsor” are to McKinley Partners
LLC, a Delaware limited liability company. The following discussion and analysis of the Company’s financial condition and results
of operations should be read in conjunction with the financial statements and the notes thereto contained elsewhere in this report. Certain
information contained in the discussion and analysis set forth below includes forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties.
Special
Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements
This Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q, including statements under this
“Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations,” includes forward-looking statements.
These forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements regarding our or our management team’s expectations,
beliefs, intentions or strategies regarding the future. In addition, any statements that refer to projections, forecasts or other characterizations
of future events or circumstances, including any underlying assumptions, are forward-looking statements. The words “anticipate,”
“believe,” “continue,” “could,” “estimate,” “expect,” “intends,”
“may,” “might,” “plan,” “possible,” “potential,” “predict,” “project,”
“should,” “would” and similar expressions may identify forward-looking statements, but the absence of these words
does not mean that a statement is not a forward-looking statement. Such forward-looking statements relate to future events or future performance,
but reflect management’s current beliefs, based on information currently available. A number of factors could cause actual events,
performance or results to differ materially from the events, performance and results discussed in the forward-looking statements. For
information identifying some of the important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated in the
forward-looking statements, please refer to the discussion under the headings “Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements”
and “Risk Factors” in our final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”)
on August 12, 2025 in connection with our Initial Public Offering (our “Final Prospectus”). The Company’s securities
filings can be accessed on the EDGAR section of the SEC’s website at www.sec.gov. Except as expressly required by applicable securities
law, we disclaim any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information,
future events or otherwise.
Overview
We are a blank check company incorporated on March 27, 2025 as
a Cayman Islands exempted company and formed for the purpose of effecting a merger, amalgamation, share exchange, asset acquisition, share
purchase, reorganization or similar business combination with one or more businesses, which we refer to throughout this Quarterly Report
on Form 10-Q as our initial business combination. We have not selected any business combination target and we have not, nor has anyone
on our behalf, initiated any substantive discussions, directly or indirectly, with any business combination target.
The
issuance of additional shares in connection with a business combination to the owners of the target or other investors:
●
may
significantly dilute the equity interest of investors in our Initial Public Offering, which dilution would increase if the anti-dilution
provisions in the Class B ordinary shares resulted in the issuance of Class A ordinary shares on a greater than one-to-one
basis upon conversion of the Class B ordinary shares;
●
may
subordinate the rights of holders of Class A ordinary shares if preference shares are issued with rights senior to those afforded
our Class A ordinary shares;
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●
could
cause a change in control if a substantial number of our Class A ordinary shares are issued, which may affect, among other things,
our ability to use our net operating loss carry forwards, if any, and could result in the resignation or removal of our present officers
and directors;
●
may
have the effect of delaying or preventing a change of control of us by diluting the share ownership or voting rights of a person
seeking to obtain control of us; and
●
may
adversely affect prevailing market prices for our Class A ordinary shares and/or rights.
Similarly,
if we issue debt securities or otherwise incur significant debt to bank or other lenders or the owners of a target, it could result in:
●
default
and foreclosure on our assets if our operating revenues after an initial business combination are insufficient to repay our debt
obligations;
●
acceleration
of our obligations to repay the indebtedness even if we make all principal and interest payments when due if we breach certain covenants
that require the maintenance of certain financial ratios or reserves without a waiver or renegotiation of that covenant;
●
our
immediate payment of all principal and accrued interest, if any, if the debt security is payable on demand;
●
our
inability to obtain necessary additional financing if the debt security contains covenants restricting our ability to obtain such
financing while the debt security is outstanding;
●
using
a substantial portion of our cash flow to pay principal and interest on our debt, which will reduce the funds available for expenses,
capital expenditures, acquisitions and other general corporate purposes;
●
limitations
on our flexibility in planning for and reacting to changes in our business and in the industry in which we operate;
●
increased
vulnerability to adverse changes in general economic, industry and competitive conditions and adverse changes in government regulation;
and
●
limitations
on our ability to borrow additional amounts for expenses, capital expenditures, acquisitions, debt service requirements, execution
of our strategy and other purposes and other disadvantages compared to our competitors who have less debt.
As indicated in the financial statements, at March 31, 2026, we
had $1,410,014 of cash and $176,657,691 of amounts held in the Trust Account. We expect to incur significant costs in the pursuit of our
initial business combination. We cannot assure you that our plans to raise capital or to complete our initial business combination will
be successful.
Results
of Operations and Known Trends or Future Events
As of March 31, 2026, we have neither engaged in any business operations
nor generated any revenues. Our only activities since inception have been organizational activities, those necessary to prepare for the
Initial Public Offering that closed on August 13, 2025, and following the Initial Public Offering, seeking a target business to acquire.
We will not generate any operating revenues until after completion of our initial business combination. We will generate non-operating
income in the form of interest income on cash and cash equivalents held in the Trust Account. We expect to incur increased expenses as
a result of being a public company (for legal, financial reporting, accounting and auditing compliance), as well as for due diligence
expenses in connection with identifying a target business to acquire.
For the three months ended March 31, 2026, we had net income of $1,286,495.
Net income was comprised of $1,519,942 interest income on cash and marketable securities held in the Trust Account, offset by $193,756
of general and administrative expenses, listing fee expense of $20,783, insurance expense of $16,644, and subscription expense of $2,264.
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For
the period from March 27, 2025 (inception) through March 31, 2025, we had net loss of $8,601, comprised of formation, general and administrative
expenses of $8,601.
Liquidity
and Capital Resources
We had cash of $1,410,014 and $1,663,042 and no cash equivalents as
of March 31, 2026 and December 31, 2025, respectively. We had working capital of $1,438,915 and $1,655,718 as of March 31, 2026 and December
31, 2025, respectively.
Our
liquidity needs were satisfied prior to the completion of the Initial Public Offering through $25,000 paid by the sponsor to cover certain
of our offering and formation costs in exchange for the issuance of the founder shares to our sponsor and up to $185,000 in loans from
our sponsor.
On
August 13, 2025, the Company consummated the Initial Public Offering of 15,000,000 units at $10.00 per unit (the “Public Units”),
generating proceeds of $150,000,000. Each Public Unit consists of one Class A ordinary share (each, a “Public Share”) and
one right to receive one-tenth (1/10th) of one Class A ordinary share upon the consummation of an initial Business Combination (each,
a “Public Right”). The Company’s underwriters fully exercised their over-allotment option to purchase an additional
2,250,000 Public Units at $10.00 per unit in full on August 15, 2025. The over-allotment units were delivered to the underwriters in
connection with the closing on August 19, 2025, generating an additional $22,500,000 of proceeds which were deposited into the Trust
Account.
Simultaneously
with the consummation of the Initial Public Offering, the Company consummated the sale of an aggregate of 465,000 private placement units
(the “Private Placement Units”) to the Sponsor and the underwriters, at a price of $10.00 per unit, or $4,650,000 in the
aggregate, in a private placement that closed simultaneously with the Initial Public Offering. Each Private Placement Unit consists of
one Class A ordinary share (each, a “Private Placement Share”) and right to receive one-tenth (1/10) of a Class A ordinary
share upon the consummation of an initial Business Combination (each, a “Private Placement Right”). Of the $4,650,000 purchase
price, $500,000 has not yet been received and is included in the balance sheet as a subscription note receivable, representative of the
non-interest bearing, unsecured promissory note issued to the Sponsor.
Transaction
costs amounted to $7,262,013, consisting of a $1,500,000 cash underwriting fee, $4,500,000 of deferred underwriting fee, and $1,262,013
of other offering costs.
A
total of $172,500,000 from the net proceeds of the sale of the Units in the Initial Public Offering, the proceeds from the exercise of
the underwriters over-allotment option, and certain proceeds from the sale of the Private Placement Units was placed into the Trust Account.
The proceeds held in the Trust Account will initially be invested only in cash held in a demand deposit account, U.S. government
treasury obligations with a maturity of 185 days or less, or in money market funds meeting certain conditions under Rule 2a-7 under
the Investment Company Act which invest only in direct U.S. government treasury obligations; the holding of these assets in this
form is intended to be temporary and for the sole purpose of facilitating the intended business combination. To mitigate the risk that
we might be deemed to be an investment company for purposes of the Investment Company Act, which risk increases the longer that we hold
investments in the Trust Account, we may, at any time (based on our management team’s ongoing assessment of all factors related
to our potential status under the Investment Company Act), instruct the trustee to liquidate the investments held in the Trust Account
and instead to hold the funds in the Trust Account in cash or in an interest bearing demand deposit account at a bank.
We
intend to use substantially all of the funds held in the Trust Account, including any amounts representing interest earned on the Trust
Account (excluding contingent, deferred underwriting commissions). We may withdraw interest for permitted withdrawals, including the
payment of income or franchise (but not excise) taxes. Our annual income tax obligations will depend on the amount of interest and other
income earned on the amounts held in the Trust Account. We expect the interest earned on the amount in the Trust Account will be sufficient
to pay our taxes. To the extent that our equity or debt is used, in whole or in part, as consideration to complete our initial business
combination, the remaining proceeds held in the Trust Account will be used as working capital to finance the operations of the target
business or businesses, make other acquisitions and pursue our growth strategies.
Upon
the completion of an initial business combination, three percent (3.0%) of amounts remaining in the Trust Account, after redemption payments
and other permitted withdrawals, and excluding amounts related to any non-redemption agreements, forward purchase agreements or similar
agreements, shall be paid to the underwriters as contingent, deferred underwriting commissions.
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Prior
to the completion of our initial business combination, we will have available to us funds that are held outside the Trust Account. We
will use these funds to primarily identify and evaluate target businesses, perform business due diligence on prospective target businesses,
travel to and from the offices, plants or similar locations of prospective target businesses or their representatives or owners, review
corporate documents and material agreements of prospective target businesses, and structure, negotiate and complete a business combination.
We
do not believe we will need to raise additional funds following the Initial Public Offering in order to meet the expenditures required
for operating our business prior to our initial business combination. However, if our estimates of the costs of identifying a target
business, undertaking in-depth due diligence and negotiating an initial business combination are less than the actual amount necessary
to do so, we may have insufficient funds available to operate our business prior to our initial business combination. In order to fund
working capital deficiencies or finance transaction costs in connection with an intended initial business combination, our sponsor or
an affiliate of our sponsor or certain of our officers and directors may, but are not obligated to, loan us funds as may be required.
If we complete our initial business combination, we would repay such loaned amounts. In the event that our initial business combination
does not close, we may use amounts held outside of the Trust Account to repay such loaned amounts but no proceeds from our Trust Account
would be used for such repayment. Up to $1,500,000 of such loans may be convertible into private placement units of the post business
combination entity at a price of $10.00 per unit at the option of the lender. Such units would be identical to the private placement
units. The terms of such loans, if any, have not been determined and no written agreements exist with respect to such loans. Prior to
the completion of our initial business combination, we do not expect to seek loans from parties other than our sponsor or an affiliate
of our sponsor as we do not believe third parties will be willing to loan such funds and provide a waiver against any and all rights
to seek access to funds in our Trust Account.
We
expect our primary liquidity requirements during that period to include approximately $1,000,000 for legal, accounting and other third
party expenses attendant to the search for target businesses and to the due diligence investigation, structuring and negotiation of a
business combination, $465,000 for legal and accounting fees related to SEC reporting obligations, $180,000 for infrastructure, technology
and administrative expenses, $175,000 for D&O liability insurance premiums and $580,000 for working capital and reserves.
These
amounts are estimates and may differ materially from our actual expenses. In addition, we could use amounts held outside of the Trust
Account to pay commitment fees for financing, fees to consultants to assist us with our search for a target business or as a down payment
or to fund a “no-shop” provision (a provision designed to keep target businesses from “shopping” around for transactions
with other companies or investors on terms more favorable to such target businesses) with respect to a particular proposed business combination,
although we do not have any current intention to do so. If we entered into an agreement where we paid for the right to receive exclusivity
from a target business, the amount that would be used as a down payment or to fund a “no-shop” provision would be determined
based on the terms of the specific business combination and the amount of our available funds at the time. Our forfeiture of such funds
(whether as a result of our breach or otherwise) could result in our not having sufficient funds to continue searching for, or conducting
due diligence with respect to, prospective target businesses.
Moreover,
we may need to obtain additional financing to complete our initial business combination, either because the transaction requires more
cash than is available from the proceeds held in our Trust Account or because we become obligated to redeem a significant number of our
public shares upon completion of the business combination, in which case we may issue additional securities or incur debt in connection
with such business combination. In addition, we intend to target businesses with enterprise values that are greater than we could acquire
with the net proceeds of our Initial Public Offering and the sale of the private placement units, and, as a result, if the cash portion
of the purchase price exceeds the amount available from the Trust Account, net of amounts needed to satisfy any redemptions by public
shareholders, we may be required to seek additional financing to complete such proposed initial business combination. We may also obtain
financing prior to the closing of our initial business combination to fund our working capital needs and transaction costs in connection
with our search for and completion of our initial business combination. There is no limitation on our ability to raise funds through
the issuance of equity or equity-linked securities or through loans, advances or other indebtedness in connection with our initial business
combination, including pursuant to forward purchase agreements or backstop agreements we may enter into following consummation of our
Initial Public Offering. Subject to compliance with applicable securities laws, we would only complete such financing simultaneously
with the completion of our initial business combination. If we are unable to complete our initial business combination because we do
not have sufficient funds available to us, we will be forced to liquidate the Trust Account. In addition, following our initial business
combination, if cash on hand is insufficient, we may need to obtain additional financing in order to meet our obligations.
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Related
Party Transactions
On
April 9, 2025, the sponsor entered into a certain subscription agreement with the company, paying $25,000, or approximately $0.004
per share, in exchange for the issuance of 6,543,103 founder shares to the sponsor. The sponsor transferred 200,000 founder shares to
Clear Street in connection with the closing of the Initial Public Offering, for the amount of $0.004 per share prior to the consummation
of our Initial Public Offering. Clear Street also has the right to receive up to 229,008 Class B ordinary shares if the Lookback Price
is less than $1.25. The “Lookback Price” is equal to the volume-weighted average price of the Class A Ordinary Shares (or
the securities into which such shares have converted) for a 30-trading day period ending on the Release Date. The “Release Date”
is the date that is the later of (i) the date that all contractual lock-ups on the founder shares have expired, and (ii) the date on
which a resale registration statement relating to the founder shares (or proceeds thereof) has been declared effective by the SEC.
Our
sponsor, McKinley Partners LLC, which we refer to as the “sponsor”, the underwriters, which we refer to as “Clear Street”,
and Brookline Capital Markets, a division of Arcadia Securities, LLC, which we refer to as “Brookline”, committed to purchase
an aggregate of 465,000 units, in a private placement at $10.00 per unit for a total purchase price of $4,650,000 (which includes $4,150,000
in cash and the Private Placement Units Note) at the closing of the Initial Public Offering. Of those 465,000 Private Placement Units,
our sponsor has agreed to purchase 420,000 Private Placement Units, Clear Street agreed to purchase 25,000 Private Placement Units, and
Brookline agreed to purchase 20,000 Private Placement Units. The Private Placement Units are identical to the units sold in the Initial
Public Offering, subject to certain limited exceptions as described below. Of the 420,000 Private Placement Units to be purchased by
the sponsor, a total of 50,000 of those units were purchased by a non-interest bearing, unsecured promissory note that issued to the
sponsor simultaneously with the closing of the Initial Public Offering in the principal amount of $500,000 (the “Private Placement
Units Note”), which we may draw down at any time and from time to time in our sole discretion. At the closing of our initial business
combination, we will cancel the number of Private Placement Units proportional to the amount not drawn under the Private Placement Units
Note and the Private Placement Units Note will be canceled.
The
Private Placement Units are identical to the units sold in the Initial Public Offering except that, so long as they are held by our sponsor,
Clear Street, Brookline, or their permitted transferees, the Private Placement Units (i) may not (including the Class A ordinary
shares underlying these units), subject to certain limited exceptions, be transferred, assigned or sold by the holders until 30 days
after the completion of our initial business combination and (ii) will be entitled to registration rights.
Pursuant
to an agreement we entered into with our sponsor, we will pay a monthly technology, software, computer systems, administrative support,
secretarial services and infrastructure fee of $10,000 to our sponsor.
Prior
to or in connection with the completion of our initial business combination, there may be payment by the company to our sponsor, officers
or directors, or their affiliates, of a finder’s fee, advisory fee, consulting fee or success fee for any services they render
in order to effectuate the completion of our initial business, which, if made prior to the completion of our initial business combination,
will be paid from amounts held outside the Trust Account.
Our
audit committee will review on a quarterly basis all payments that were made to our sponsor, officers, directors or our or their affiliates.
In
addition, in order to finance transaction costs in connection with an intended initial business combination, our sponsor or an affiliate
of our sponsor or certain of our officers and directors may, but are not obligated to, loan us funds as may be required on a non-interest
basis. If we complete an initial business combination, we would repay such loaned amounts. Up to $1,500,000 of such loans may be convertible
into Private Placement Units of the post business combination entity at a price of $10.00 per unit at the option of the lender. Such
units would be identical to the Private Placement Units. Except as set forth above, the terms of such loans, if any, have not been determined
and no written agreements exist with respect to such loans. Prior to the completion of our initial business combination, we do not expect
to seek loans from parties other than our sponsor or an affiliate of our sponsor as we do not believe third parties will be willing to
loan such funds and provide a waiver against any and all rights to seek access to funds in our Trust Account.
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After
our initial business combination, members of our management team who remain with us may be paid consulting, management or other fees
from the combined company with any and all amounts being fully disclosed to our shareholders, to the extent then known, in the proxy
solicitation or tender offer materials, as applicable, furnished to our shareholders. It is unlikely the amount of such compensation
will be known at the time of distribution of such tender offer materials or at the time of a general meeting held to consider our initial
business combination, as applicable, as it will be up to the directors of the post-combination business to determine executive and director
compensation.
We
have entered into a registration rights agreement with respect to the founder shares and Private Placement Units.
Contractual
Obligations
We do not have any long-term debt, capital lease obligations, operating
lease obligations or long-term liabilities. No unaudited quarterly operating data is included in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q as
we have not conducted any business operations to date.
Critical
Accounting Estimates
The
preparation of financial statements and related disclosures in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States
of America requires management to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities, disclosure
of contingent assets and liabilities at the date of the financial statements, and income and expenses during the periods reported. Actual
results could materially differ from those estimates. We have identified the following critical accounting estimates as of March 31,
2026:
Over-allotment
Option Liability
A
Black-Scholes model was used to value the over-allotment option. The Company estimates the volatility of its ordinary share based on
historical volatility that matches the expected remaining life of the option. The risk-free interest rate is based on the U.S. Constant
Maturity Treasury rates on the grant date for a maturity similar to the expected remaining life of the option. The expected life of the
option is assumed to be equivalent to their remaining contractual term. The following is a summary of key inputs utilized:
August 13,
2025
Unit price
$ 9.98
Exercise price
10.00
Risk-free rate
4.36 %
Estimated volatility
3.63 %
Time to expiration (years)
0.12
Public
Rights
The
Public Rights were valued using an iterative analysis based on market comparable. The valuation was based on a peer group selection of
comparable special purpose acquisition companies who were pre-business combination, included one right to redeem one-tenth of one Class
A ordinary share as part of their units that were publicly trading, had consummated their initial public offerings within six months
of the valuation date. Utilizing this criteria a right price of $0.220, reflective of the 75th percentile peer group range, was selected.
An implied right price of $0.289 was determined through a backsolve approach, and after taking the weighted average of the two right
prices determined the fair value of a Public Right was $0.241.
Interests
in Founder Shares
The
interests in founder shares were valued by determining a value of the common stock price reduced by the probability of no acquisition
and by a discount for lack of marketability. The following is a summary of key inputs utilized:
August 13,
2025
Underlying stock price
$ 9.74
Estimated probability of successful business combination
70.00 %
Indicated marketable value of Class B ordinary shares
$ 6.82
Estimated volatility
80.00 %
Risk-free rate
3.76 %
Time to expiration (years)
1.50
Indicated cost of put option
$ 2.31
Estimated fair value of one Class B ordinary share
$ 4.51
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Bonus
Shares
The
Bonus Shares were valued using a Monte Carlo simulation to estimate the fair value of the non-managing sponsor and underwriter interests
in the Bonus Shares. The simulation utilized a Geometric Brownian Motion, and on a risk-neutral basis, the price of Class A ordinary
shares considering the contractual mechanisms for the Bonus Shares to be distributed. Key inputs included a $9.74 value of the Company’s
Class A ordinary shares, a risk-free interest rate based on the U.S. Treasury yields for a term similar to the expected remaining life
until the Lookback Date, and pre-business combination and post-business combination volatility based on precedent analysis.
Recent
Accounting Standards
Refer
to Note 2 – Significant Accounting Policies in Part I. Financial Statements.
Item
3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk
As
smaller reporting company, we are not required to make disclosures under this Item.
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