gral-20241231
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UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
___________________________
FORM 10-K
___________________________
(Mark One)
x ANNUAL REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
For the fiscal year ended December 31 , 2024
OR
o TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
For the transition period from to
Commission file number 001-42045
___________________________
GRAIL, Inc.
___________________________
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
Delaware
86-3673636
(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation or organization) (I.R.S. Employer Identification No.)
1525 O’Brien Drive
Menlo Park , California
94025
(Address of Principal Executive Offices) (Zip Code)
( 833 ) 694-2553
Registrant’s telephone number, including area code
Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:
Title of each class Trading Symbol(s) Name of each exchange on which registered
Common Stock, $0.001 par value
GRAL
The Nasdaq Stock Market LLC
Securities registered pursuant to section 12(g) of the Act:
Common Shares
(Title of class)
Indicate by check mark if the registrant is a well-known seasoned issuer, as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act.
Yes o No x
Indicate by check mark if the registrant is not required to file reports pursuant to Section 13 or Section 15(d) of the Act.
Yes o No x
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days.
Yes x No o
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant has submitted electronically every Interactive Data File required to be submitted pursuant to Rule 405 of Regulation S-T (§ 232.405 of this chapter) during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to submit such files).
Yes x No o
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, a non-accelerated filer, a smaller reporting company, or an emerging growth company. See the definitions of “large accelerated filer,” “accelerated filer,” “smaller reporting company,” and "emerging growth company" in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act.
Large accelerated filer o Accelerated filer o
Non-accelerated filer x
Smaller reporting company x
Emerging growth company x
If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act.
x
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant has filed a report on and attestation to its management’s assessment of the effectiveness of its internal control over financial reporting under Section 404(b) of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act (15 U.S.C. 7262(b)) by the registered public accounting firm that prepared or issued its audit report.
o
If securities are registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act, indicate by check mark whether the financial statements of the registrant included in the filing reflect the correction of an error to previously issued financial statements.
o
Indicate by check mark whether any of those error corrections are restatements that required a recovery analysis of incentive-based compensation received by any of the registrant’s executive officers during the relevant recovery period pursuant to §240.10D-1(b).
o
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Act).
Yes o No x
The aggregate market value of the voting and non-voting common equity held by non-affiliates of the Registrant, as of the last business day of the Registrant’s most recently completed second fiscal quarter was approximately $ 477.2 million (based on the closing price of the Registrant’s Common Stock on June 28, 2024 of $15.37 per share, the last trading day before June 30, 2024).
As of February 27, 2025 , the registrant had 33,895,246 shares of common stock, par value $0.001 per share, outstanding.
DOCUMENTS INCORPORATED BY REFERENCE
Portions of the registrant’s definitive Proxy Statement relating to its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders are incorporated by reference into Part III of this Annual Report on Form 10-K where indicated. Such definitive Proxy Statement will be filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission within 120 days after the end of the registrant’s fiscal year ended December 31, 2024.
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PART I
1
Item 1.
Business
1
Item 1A.
Risk Factors
37
Item 1B.
Unresolved Staff Comments
101
Item 1 C .
Cybersecurity
102
Item 2.
Properties
104
Item 3.
Legal Proceedings
104
Item 4.
Mine Safety Disclosures
104
PART II
104
Item 5.
Market for Registrant’s Common Equity, Related Stockholder Matters and Issuer Purchases of Equity Securities
104
Item 6.
[Reserved]
105
Item 7.
Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
106
Item 7A.
Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk
127
Item 8.
Financial Statements and Supplementary Data
F- 1
Item 9.
Changes in and Disagreements With Accountants on Accounting and Financial Disclosure
131
Item 9A.
Controls and Procedures
131
Item 9B.
Other Information
131
Item 9C.
Disclosure Regarding Foreign Jurisdictions that Prevent Inspections
132
PART III
133
Item 10.
Directors, Executive Officers and Corporate Governance
133
Item 11.
Executive Compensation
135
Item 12.
Security Ownership of Certain Beneficial Owners and Management and Related Stockholder Matters
135
Item 13.
Certain Relationships and Related Transactions, and Director Independence
135
Item 14.
Principal Accounting Fees and Services
135
PART IV
136
Item 15.
Exhibits, Financial Statement Schedules
136
Item 16.
Form 10-K Summary
139
Signature
140
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Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements
This Annual Report on Form 10-K (this “Form 10-K”) contains forward-looking statements. We intend such forward-looking statements to be covered by the safe harbor provisions for forward-looking statements contained in Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”), and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”). In some cases, you can identify these statements by forward-looking words such as “aim,” “anticipate,” “believe,” “continue,” “could,” “estimate,” “expect,” “intend,” “may,” “might,” “plan,” “potential,” “predict,” “should,” “would,” or “will,” the negative of these terms, and other comparable terminology. These forward-looking statements, which are subject to risks, uncertainties, and assumptions about us, may include expectations and projections of our future financial performance, future tests or products, technology, clinical studies, regulatory compliance, potential market opportunity, anticipated growth strategies, restructuring costs, sufficiency of cash on hand to finance our business, cost savings, budgets and strategies, restructuring and stock-based compensation costs, impact of the restructuring on our operations and anticipated trends in our business.
These statements are only predictions based on our current expectations and projections about future events and trends. There are important factors that could cause our actual results, level of activity, performance, or achievements to differ materially and adversely from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. You should specifically consider the numerous factors and risks described under the section entitled “Risk Factors.” Moreover, we operate in a dynamic and rapidly changing environment. New risks emerge from time to time. It is not possible for our management to predict all risks, nor can we assess the impact of all factors on our business or the extent to which any factor, or combination of factors, may cause actual results, level of activity, performance, or achievements to differ materially and adversely from those contained in any forward-looking statements we may make.
Forward-looking statements relate to the future and, accordingly, are subject to inherent uncertainties, risks, and changes in circumstances that are difficult to predict and many of which are outside of our control. Although we believe the expectations and projections expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements are reasonable, we cannot guarantee future results, level of activity, performance, or achievements. Our actual results and financial condition may differ materially from those indicated in the forward-looking statements. Except to the extent required by law, we undertake no obligation to update any of these forward-looking statements after the date of this Form 10-K to conform our prior statements to actual results or revised expectations or to reflect new information or the occurrence of unanticipated events.
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Summary of Material Risks Associated with Our Business
The principal risks and uncertainties affecting our business include the following:
• We operate in a rapidly evolving field and have a limited operating history, which make it difficult to evaluate our current business and predict our future performance.
• We have incurred significant net losses in each period since our inception and anticipate that we will continue to incur net losses for the coming years.
• Our products or future products may not perform as expected, and the results of our clinical studies may not support the launch or use our products or future products and may not comply with the requirements, or be replicated in later studies or in the post-market or real-world setting, required to support a commercial opportunity or for any necessary or desirable regulatory clearances, approvals, or certifications, or reimbursement or coverage.
• The clinical study process is lengthy and expensive with uncertain outcomes. We have encountered delays and may encounter future delays in, or unexpected data from, our clinical studies, and may therefore be unable to complete our clinical studies on the timelines we expect, if at all.
• A substantial majority of our revenue is generated from sales of Galleri and we are highly dependent on it for our success.
• If our products do not receive adequate coverage and reimbursement, if at all, from third-party payors, our ability to expand access to our products and our overall commercial success beyond our existing sales channels will be limited.
• Our commercial products may fail to achieve the degree of market acceptance necessary for commercial success.
• We have launched Galleri as a laboratory developed test (“LDT”) in the United States. The FDA recently finalized a regulation pursuant to which it plans to subject LDTs to medical device requirements through a phase-out of its historical policy of enforcement discretion over LDTs over a period of four years. The phase-in of medical device requirements to LDTs, including the potential requirement for FDA marketing authorization, if it imposes significant obligations in advance of our timeline or readiness, will be costly and time-consuming.
• The regulatory clearance, approval, or certification processes of the FDA and comparable foreign regulatory authorities or notified bodies are lengthy, time-consuming, and unpredictable.
• Our multi-cancer detection tests are a new approach to cancer screening, which present a number of novel and complex issues for FDA review. Because the FDA has never cleared or approved a multi-cancer detection test, we cannot provide assurances regarding information we will need to submit to obtain approval of a PMA from the FDA for a proposed intended use, or if we will be able to obtain such approval on a timely basis or at all.
• We may not be able to generate sufficient revenue to offset our ongoing operating expenses and achieve and maintain profitability, and it may be difficult for us to offset the costs of our royalties, including the high single-digit royalty that we will be required to pay to Illumina in perpetuity or our royalties payable to the Chinese University of Hong Kong.
• We may be unable to develop and commercialize new products, including enhanced versions of current products.
• If similar third-party products are developed and do not perform as intended or cause harm or injury to patients, the market for our products could be impaired.
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• If we fail to obtain additional financing, we may be unable to expand our commercialization efforts, or to develop and commercialize additional products.
• If our products result in direct or indirect participant or patient harm or injury, we could be subject to significant reputational and liability risks.
• We rely on Illumina as a sole supplier for our next-generation sequencers and associated reagents, Madison Industries as a sole supplier of blood collection tubes, and Twist Bioscience Corporation as a sole supplier of DNA panels. Additionally, we rely on a limited number of suppliers for some of our laboratory instruments and reagents, and we may not be able to immediately find replacements if necessary.
• If our facilities become inoperable, our ability to provide our products will be significantly impaired and our business will be harmed.
• Our operations and business are materially dependent on various third parties, including information technology, sample collection, processing, transfer facilities, and other patient-facing service providers, any of which could experience disruption, failure, or interruption.
• If we are unable to scale our operations successfully to support demand for our products, our business could suffer.
• If we are not successful in attracting, motivating, and retaining highly qualified personnel, we may not be able to successfully implement our business strategy.
• Our information technology systems, or those used by our third-party collaborators or other contractors or consultants, may fail or suffer cybersecurity incidents or cyberattacks.
• Our quarterly results of operations may fluctuate significantly or may fall below the expectations of investors or securities analysts, each of which may cause our stock price to fluctuate or decline.
• If we are unable to obtain and maintain intellectual property protection for our technology, or if the scope of the intellectual property protection we obtain is not sufficiently broad, third parties could in the future develop and commercialize technology and tests similar or identical to ours, and our ability to successfully commercialize our products may be impaired.
• If we fail to comply with our obligations in the agreements under which we license intellectual property rights from third parties or otherwise experience disruptions to our business relationships with our licensors, we could lose license rights that are important to our business.
• We could have an indemnification obligation to Illumina if the Distribution were determined not to qualify for non-recognition treatment for U.S. federal tax purposes.
• We have agreed to numerous restrictions to preserve the non-recognition treatment of the Spin-Off, which may reduce our strategic and operating flexibility.
The summary risk factors described above should be read together with the text of the full risk factors below in “Risk Factors” and the other information set forth in this Form 10-Q, including our condensed consolidated financial statements and the related notes, as well as in other documents that we file with the SEC. The risks summarized above or described in full below are not the only risks that we face. Additional risks and uncertainties not precisely known to us or that we currently deem to be immaterial may also materially adversely affect our business, financial condition, results of operations, and future growth prospects.
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PART I
Item 1. Business
Our Company
Our mission is to detect cancer early, when it can be cured.
We are an innovative commercial-stage healthcare company focused on saving lives and shifting the paradigm in early cancer detection. We believe screening individuals for many types of cancer with a single test represents a significant opportunity to reduce the global burden of cancer. Our Galleri test is a commercially available screening test for early detection of multiple types of cancer, which we termed multi-cancer early detection (“MCED”). We believe Galleri is clinically validated based on the results of its clinical studies completed to date, including the results of its foundational case-control Circulating Cell-free Genome Atlas (“CCGA”) study and interventional PATHFINDER study, which together enrolled more than 21,000 participants. In these studies, Galleri demonstrated an ability to detect a shared cancer signal through analysis of cell-free DNA in the bloodstream, accurately predict the specific organ or tissue type where the cancer signal originated, and yield high positive predictive values and low false positive rates, all from a simple blood draw. Galleri results can help guide next steps for a diagnosis of cancer by healthcare providers in required follow-up diagnostic testing. We launched Galleri in the United States in mid-2021. As of December 31, 2024, we have sold more than 290,000 commercial tests, more than 137,000 of which were sold in 2024, and established commercial partnerships with stakeholders including leading healthcare systems, employers, payors, and life insurance providers. Commercial use of Galleri has detected some of the most aggressive cancers in early stages including, among others, endometrial, esophageal, gastrointestinal, head and neck, liver, pancreatic, and rectal cancers.
Cancer is a major public health crisis. It is the second leading cause of death both in the United States and worldwide. Most cancers that result in death are diagnosed too late, in advanced stages when they are most challenging to treat. We estimate that more than 70% of cancer deaths result from cancers that have no recommended screening guidelines. In the United States, we consider standard of care screening for cancer to consist of the grade A and B recommendations published by the United States Preventive Services Task Force (“USPSTF”), which currently recommend broad population screening for only four types of cancer using single-cancer screening tests (breast, cervical, colorectal, and lung cancer), and prostate cancer screening, which is USPSTF grade C and is widely implemented in the United States. Grade A and B recommendations are services that USPSTF most highly recommends for preventative care and that have a high or moderate net benefit for patients. Grade C recommendations are services that USPSTF recommends selectively offering or providing to patients based on individual circumstances and that have a moderate certainty of a small net benefit for patients. According to data in the American Cancer Society’s Cancer Facts & Figures 2025, cancers for which there are grade A and B recommendations published by the USPSTF (breast, cervical, colorectal, and lung cancer) are expected to result in approximately 225,000 deaths out of approximately 618,000 cancer-related deaths in the United States in 2025, and prostate cancer is expected to result in approximately 36,000 additional deaths. We believe that expanding upon these current guidelines to screen individuals for many types of cancer with a single test represents a significant opportunity to reduce cancer mortality and the cost of cancer care. In 2021, we published modeling data in Cancer Epidemiology, Biomarkers & Prevention (Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev. 2021; 30:460–8) that estimated the potential impact of MCED testing on mortality reduction based on test performance in our CCGA-2 study and using 2006 to 2015 data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program of the U.S. National Cancer Institute (“SEER”) for ages 50-79. Based on this model, we estimated that by adding Galleri to the five standard of care single-cancer screening tests (breast, cervical, colorectal, lung cancer, and prostate), there is potential to detect many more cancers at an earlier stage, which could translate into the potential to avert approximately 100,000 deaths per year in the United States as measured by five-year survival. We believe this model provides helpful context regarding the potential benefits of screening for multiple cancers at once with a singular screening test, like Galleri, in addition to the five standard of care single-cancer screening tests; however, there can be no assurance when or even if Galleri will be added to the USPSTF guidelines or standard of care screening. In addition, an analysis published in Data (Data. 2017; 2(30):2–16) estimated that diagnosing cancer early could result in $26 billion in annual cost-savings in the United States.
We designed Galleri to detect cancer early. If cancer is detected early, it is more amenable to curative treatment. According to the American Cancer Society, the ability to cure cancer depends on the type and stage of
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cancer, the type of treatment the patient receives, and other factors. While there is not one cure for cancer and not all cancers may be cured, according to the World Health Organization many cancers can be cured if detected early and treated effectively and some of the most common cancer types, such as breast cancer, cervical cancer, oral cancer, and colorectal cancer, have high cure probabilities when detected early and treated according to best practices. Galleri works by detecting DNA fragments shed into the bloodstream by tumor cells. In cancerous cells, methylation, a natural biological process that determines which sections of DNA to turn on or off and that drives tissue differentiation, becomes abnormal. As a result, DNA from cancer has specific methylation patterns that can be used to both identify a general cancer signal and localize that signal to a specific organ or tissue type. In our CCGA study, Galleri identified a shared cancer signal across more than 50 types of cancer, often at an early stage. If a cancer signal is detected, Galleri can accurately predict the tissue type or organ associated with the cancer signal (the cancer signal origin). In our PATHFINDER study, Galleri correctly predicted the first or second cancer signal origins in 22 of 25 participants with a cancer diagnosis following a cancer signal detected (positive) test result (i.e., participants with true positive test results), demonstrating a high cancer signal origin prediction accuracy. Galleri’s screening test results can be used by healthcare providers to guide required follow-up diagnostic testing for a diagnosis of cancer.
As an early pioneer of MCED testing, we have established strong relationships within the cancer and primary care community, including through partnerships with academic and community medical centers, key opinion leaders, and governmental policy and advocacy partners. We have shared evidence supporting our MCED testing at renowned medical conferences, such as the American Association of Cancer Research (“AACR”), American Society of Clinical Oncology (“ASCO”), European Society of Medical Oncology (“ESMO”), and American Academy of Family Physicians (“AAFP”). We have also published results from our studies in leading scientific and medical journals, including The Lancet, Nature, Nature Medicine, Cancer Cell, and The Lancet Oncology. Our industry leadership has been recognized with multiple national high profile accolades, including being acknowledged by Time Magazine as one of the Best Inventions of 2022 and The Atlantic as one of the top breakthroughs of 2022, and being named in Fast Company World Changing Ideas of 2022 and in the Fortune Change the World List in 2023.
We plan to pursue U.S. Food and Drug Administration (the “FDA”) approval to help support broad access for Galleri in the United States. Galleri is not a diagnostic test and has not been approved or cleared by the FDA. We plan to complete a premarket approval application (“PMA”) submission with the FDA in the first half of 2026. We seek to use data from the NHS-Galleri Trial, together with data from our PATHFINDER 2 study, as well as supplemental data from other clinical studies, to support our planned PMA submission for Galleri in the United States. We believe that FDA approval could unlock broad coverage by large commercial payors in the United States. We have established private reimbursement for Galleri from a number of third-party payors, including self-insured employers, in the United States, but do not currently have broader coverage and reimbursement by government healthcare programs, such as Medicare. We are working with stakeholders to advance and shape the public reimbursement landscape to cover MCED screening for FDA-approved MCED tests. Galleri has not been approved or cleared by the FDA and obtaining PMA approval can take several years from the time a premarket application is submitted. Moreover, the FDA requirements that will govern MCED tests, as well as the breadth and nature of data we must provide the FDA to support the proposed intended use, may be subject to change, and as such it is difficult to predict what information we will need to submit to obtain approval of a PMA from the FDA for a proposed intended use. Following FDA approval, we also expect to pursue inclusion of Galleri in the USPSTF’s guideline recommendation, although such inclusion is not certain even with FDA approval.
In the United Kingdom, we are working with NHS England to complete our NHS-Galleri Trial. NHS England will evaluate the final results from the NHS-Galleri Trial, which are expected to be available in 2026, before determining whether to implement the Galleri test in the NHS. We believe the decision may include, in addition to an evaluation of the final results, considerations such as NHS budget, political priorities, cost-effectiveness and implementation constraints. We also believe our work with the NHS and the data generated from our NHS-Galleri Trial, if compelling, could help facilitate adoption in other single-payor systems around the world and support evidence of clinical utility worldwide.
Since our founding, we have undertaken a rigorous approach to identify in a blood sample the most informative markers of cancer through what we believe is the largest clinical program in genomic medicine to date. We are collecting population-scale clinical data from more than 385,000 participants across nine clinical studies, with more than 21,000 of these participants included in the studies that supported the development and
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launch of Galleri, and over 175,000 individuals enrolled and an additional approximately 50,000 anticipated to be enrolled in interventional studies (NHS-Galleri and PATHFINDER 2, which support our PMA submission, and the first-of-its kind Galleri-Medicare real-world study). These studies include our foundational case-control CCGA study to develop and validate our MCED technology, multiple large-scale observational studies in asymptomatic individuals, and multiple large-scale interventional studies in intended use populations. Our interventional studies include our NHS-Galleri Trial, which is the first and largest randomized controlled trial of an MCED test, and which enrolled more than 140,000 individuals in just over 10 months. These studies also include our initiation of the Real-world Evidence to Advance multi-Cancer early detection Health equity (“REACH” or “Galleri-Medicare”) interventional study. This first-of-its kind real-world Galleri-Medicare study will further evaluate the clinical impact of the Galleri multi-cancer early detection test among Medicare beneficiaries, including racial and ethnic minorities, and seniors from historically underserved communities. Through these studies and our ongoing collection of real-world data, we have built what we believe is an unprecedented longitudinal dataset of high quality, linked clinical and genomic data.
We believe our clinical studies, including our early discovery work, have demonstrated robust and reproducible test performance. Notably, data from our interventional PATHFINDER study, including positive predictive value (“PPV”), cancer signal original prediction accuracy, and specificity, were generally consistent with data from our case-control CCGA study, which is evidence supporting the generalizability and robustness of Galleri in an interventional study involving analysis of returned Galleri results on clinical diagnostic and care pathways, outside of the foundational case-control context. Specifically, the 43% PPV achieved in the study is similar to our previously published modeled PPV of 44% based on test performance in our CCGA study extrapolated to a potential representative population aged 50-79 based on 2016 to 2017 SEER data. We extrapolated the CCGA-based modeled PPV to a representative population due to the limitations of measuring PPV in a case controlled study with enrichment of cancer cases in the sample set, whereas the PATHFINDER study was performed in an intended use population and PPV was measured directly. Data from our foundational CCGA study was presented in oral and poster presentations at multiple major medical conferences including the American Association for Cancer Research (AACR), American Society of Clinical Oncology (ASCO) and European Society of Medical Oncology (ESMO) and were published in Annals of Oncology in 2020 and 2021 and Cancer Cell in 2022. Data from our PATHFINDER study was initially presented at the ESMO in 2021 and published in The Lancet in 2023. Additional data on patient reported outcomes was published in Lancet Oncology in January 2025. We expect to continue to report clinical data from our clinical program over many years.
Based on our extensive, published and peer reviewed discovery work, we believe that a targeted methylation approach, which entails interrogating specific methylation sites within a genome to assess methylation patterns and which is an integral part of the technology used in our Galleri test, is the best approach for detecting a cancer signal and identifying a cancer signal origin. In our head-to-head analyses we compared multiple different classifiers that were trained to detect a cancer signal and predict the cancer signal origin, and which were independently validated. We found that interrogating methylation patterns yielded significantly better results for cancer detection (based on sensitivity, cancer signal origin prediction accuracy, and clinical limit of detection (a measure of the how much signal must exist in order to be detected)) than was observed by interrogating mutations (changes in a DNA sequence), chromosomal alterations (changes to the structure or number of chromosomes, which are strands of genetic material), fragment lengths (differences in length of DNA fragments), and other genomic features, either alone or in combination. In contrast to well-established cancer mutations that only affect a handful of genomic locations, there are nearly 30 million methylation sites across the human genome, making them a ubiquitous and rich signal for cancer detection. After comprehensive analysis of whole-genome methylation patterns in connection with our CCGA study, we discovered highly informative and low-noise methylation sites for cancer signal and cancer signal origin detection. Highly informative sites are likely to have abnormal methylation patterns resulting from cancer, and low-noise sites are less likely to be subject to confounding signals from biological noise resulting from confounding conditions (such as aging, inflammatory conditions) and circulating DNA from non-cancerous cells. This discovery led to our development of a targeted methylation approach. Our targeted methylation approach can detect lower levels of cancer signal in blood compared to the other approaches we examined, enabling early cancer detection in asymptomatic individuals more efficiently compared to whole-genome methylation. Our targeted methylation assay had a clinical limit of detection of approximately 150 parts per million, which was significantly lower than other approaches we assessed.
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Our proprietary targeted methylation platform, as well as our growing body of clinical and real-world data, have provided us with unique insights into cancer biology that enable development of products beyond asymptomatic screening. We can leverage our proprietary platform for additional applications, including our precision oncology portfolio. We launched our research use only (“RUO”) targeted methylation platform with customizable classifiers in 2023. We have partnered with a number of leading oncology therapeutics companies to test applications of biomarkers with the goal of optimizing the use of therapeutic interventions. Some of our partnerships also include development of customized applications to support clinical studies and companion diagnostic development and commercialization. Applications for our technology in our precision oncology partnerships include pre-treatment prognosis, post-treatment prognosis or minimal residual disease, biomarker discovery, detection of recurrence, and clinical monitoring. We believe the research and clinical development settings represent significant opportunities with biopharmaceutical companies given the large number of ongoing oncology studies and the significant need to identify residual disease or recurrence early and help inform treatment decisions. In addition to collaborative opportunities with biopharma partners, we believe that our methylation platform could enable standalone clinical products and support patient care across the cancer care continuum in the future.
We have also published data that demonstrates the value of applying our proprietary methylation platform as a diagnostic aid for cancer to accelerate diagnostic resolution for patients with non-specific signs and symptoms, but with a clinical suspicion of cancer. We believe these products and other future products in development have the potential to reach additional customers and may result in additional patient care solutions across the cancer care continuum.
Our Strengths
We believe our continued growth will be driven by the following strengths:
• Our clinically-validated, commercially available, MCED screening test, Galleri. Galleri is a commercially available MCED screening test that is setting the standard for multi-cancer early detection. While Galleri has not been approved or cleared by the FDA, we believe Galleri is clinically validated as a screening test based on the results of its clinical studies completed to date. From a simple blood draw, Galleri can detect a cancer signal shared by over 50 types of cancer, over 45 of which do not have recommended screening guidelines. We believe Galleri enables the early detection of cancer in asymptomatic individuals by screening for multiple types of cancer, and in clinical studies has demonstrated a high positive predictive value (“PPV”) and a low false positive rate, and an ability to predict the location of the suspected cancer with high accuracy. Galleri screening test results can help guide next steps for a diagnosis of cancer by healthcare providers in required follow-up diagnostic testing. Further, as Galleri relies on a blood draw, the test can be integrated into existing care pathways, such as annual health checks, which can enable wide scale implementation and increase access to cancer screening, thus helping to address well-known disparities in cancer care. Our industry leadership in MCED testing has been recognized with multiple national high profile accolades.
• Our established commercial leadership is driving the development of a significant market. The commercial opportunity for Galleri is significant, with more than 300 million individuals globally over the age of 50 (our intended use population), including more than 100 million individuals in the United States. We launched Galleri in the United States in mid-2021. As of December 31, 2024, we have sold more than 290,000 commercial tests and established commercial partnerships, including leading healthcare systems, employers, payors, and life insurance providers. In late 2024, we began use of a new version of Galleri in commercial channels which incorporates significant automation and is intended to enable us to scale more efficiently with future demand. Our clinical trials continue to use the same version of Galleri as when they were started, and we expect to conduct any necessary bridging studies from later versions of Galleri in connection with FDA or other regulatory approval. In this real-world setting, Galleri is detecting deadly cancers in early stages, and healthcare providers have self-reported to us that Galleri’s signal origin capability enables them to efficiently direct the pathway following a positive test. As an early proponent of MCED testing, we have established strong relationships within the cancer and primary care community, including through partnerships with academic and
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community medical centers, key opinion leaders, and governmental policy and advocacy partners. Our partnership with the NHS presents an opportunity to drive further adoption of Galleri, including by payors and health systems around the world. The NHS will evaluate the final results from the NHS-Galleri Trial, which are expected to be available in 2026, before determining whether to implement the Galleri test in the NHS. We believe the decision will include considerations such as NHS budget, political priorities, cost-effectiveness and implementation constraints in addition to an evaluation of the final results. Our commercial leadership is further supported by our high-capacity laboratory which is equipped to process Galleri tests at population screening volumes.
• Unprecedented clinical studies and real-world experience. We designed and executed what we believe is the largest clinical program in genomic medicine to date. We are collecting population-scale clinical data from more than 385,000 participants across nine clinical studies, with more than 21,000 of these participants included in the studies that supported the development and launch of Galleri, and over 175,000 individuals enrolled and an additional approximately 55,000 anticipated to be enrolled in interventional studies (NHS-Galleri and PATHFINDER 2, which support our PMA submission, and the first-of-its kind Galleri-Medicare real-world study). These studies include our foundational case-control CCGA study to develop and validate our MCED technology, multiple large-scale observational studies in asymptomatic individuals, and multiple large-scale interventional studies. Our interventional studies include our NHS-Galleri Trial, which is the first and largest randomized controlled trial of an MCED test, and which enrolled more than 140,000 individuals in just over 10 months. Through these studies and our ongoing collection of real-world data, we have built what we believe is an unprecedented longitudinal dataset of high quality, linked clinical and genomic data. We believe our clinical studies, including our early discovery work, have demonstrated robust and reproducible test performance. Notably, data, including PPV, cancer signal original prediction accuracy, and specificity, from our interventional PATHFINDER study, which involved analysis of diagnostic and care pathways outside of the case-control context, were generally consistent with data from our case-control CCGA study, which is evidence supporting the consistent performance of Galleri. Together with our partners at leading community and academic medical centers in the United States and United Kingdom, we expect to continue to report ongoing and long-term follow-up clinical data from our studies over many years.
• Our highly-differentiated methylation platform, which enables product opportunities across the cancer care continuum. We have taken a scientifically rigorous approach to develop a deep and comprehensive understanding of cancer biology. We built an atlas to characterize the landscape of cell-free nucleic acids (“cfDNA”) across a broad and diverse population and in individuals with and without cancer. We then used this atlas and other data to train our machine learning algorithms to recognize methylation patterns indicative of cancer and accurately predict the cancer signal origin. These efforts supported the development of our proprietary methylation platform on which Galleri is based, and which we will continue to leverage to advance a number of clinical applications across the cancer care continuum. For example, we developed and launched our post-diagnosis RUO offering and are working closely with biopharmaceutical companies to develop products and services to optimize treatment once a cancer has been diagnosed. Potential applications for our technology in a post-diagnosis setting include pre-treatment prognosis, post-treatment prognosis, biomarker discovery, detection of recurrence, and clinical monitoring. We have also published data supporting the use of our technology to enable faster diagnosis and care for patients presenting with non-specific symptoms that are suspicious for cancer.
• Our intellectual property portfolio. We own or license exclusive worldwide commercial rights to intellectual property covering Galleri and our products in development. Specifically, as of December 31, 2024, we have exclusive licenses to approximately 630 granted patents globally, and own or co-own more than 220 issued patents, with more than 820 pending patent applications (licensed, owned, or co-owned) covering methylation and other technologies. In addition, our patents, trade secrets, and know-how provide broad intellectual property coverage for our products, including chemistry, bioinformatics, and machine learning algorithms used in
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Galleri and our product development pipeline. Our exclusively licensed patents will begin to expire in 2027. Our owned or co-owned patents will begin to expire in 2037.
• Our highly experienced and multidisciplinary team. Since our founding, we have built an entrepreneurial culture driven to improve outcomes for cancer patients. We are led by a multidisciplinary team with extensive experience across biotechnology, life sciences, public health, genomics, computer science, data science, biostatistics, clinical development, medical affairs, government and regulatory affairs, quality assurance, and laboratory and commercial operations. We believe this confluence of talent from multiple disciplines has enabled us to make significant progress in improving cancer care and will enable us to remain at the forefront of our industry.
Our Strategy
Key elements of our strategy include:
• Establishing Galleri as the population multi-cancer screening standard and extending commercial leadership in large global markets. We believe we have an unprecedented opportunity to establish a new standard of care by adding Galleri to existing single-cancer screenings, and establish and maintain the market leading position in cancer detection. The commercial opportunity for Galleri is significant, with more than 300 million individuals in major global markets over the age of 50, including over 100 million individuals in the United States. Our goal is to address cancer screening globally, beginning in large markets with established health systems, such as the United States and United Kingdom, and extending to other markets over time through both direct market entry and distributors. We will continue to engage with key opinion leaders, healthcare providers, advocacy organizations, regulators, and payors to help drive broader scientific and commercial endorsement worldwide. In addition, we believe Galleri’s performance will drive clinical outcomes and high patient and provider satisfaction that will lead to further awareness and adoption.
• Expanding access to our products by pursuing FDA approval and reimbursement and coverage from payors. Our ability to impact cancer outcomes will be accelerated in markets where we secure reimbursement for our products. Prior to broader coverage and reimbursement in the United States, we will continue our work with clinics and health systems to accelerate utilization, and with self-insured employers and health insurers to offer and cover Galleri. In the United States, we have established private reimbursement from a number of self-insured employers and multiple payors and health systems as of December 31, 2024, but do not currently have broad coverage and reimbursement by government healthcare programs, such as Medicare. We plan to pursue FDA approval to help support broad access for Galleri in the United States. We plan to complete a PMA submission with the FDA in the first half of 2026. We seek to use data from the NHS-Galleri Trial, together with data from our PATHFINDER 2 study, as well as supplemental data from other clinical studies, to support our planned PMA submission for Galleri in the United States. We believe that FDA approval could unlock large commercial payors in the United States and we are working with stakeholders to advance and shape the public reimbursement landscape in the United States to enable coverage of FDA-approved MCED tests by Medicare. Galleri has not been approved or cleared by the FDA and obtaining PMA approval can take several years, if at all, from the time a premarket application is submitted. Moreover, the FDA requirements that will govern MCED tests, as well as the breadth and nature of data we must provide the FDA to support the proposed intended use, may be subject to change, and as such it is difficult to predict what information we will need to submit to obtain approval of a PMA from the FDA for a proposed intended use. Following FDA approval, we also expect to pursue inclusion of Galleri in the USPSTF’s guideline recommendation, although such inclusion is not certain even with FDA approval. In the United Kingdom, we are working with NHS England to complete our NHS-Galleri Trial. The NHS will evaluate the final results from the NHS-Galleri Trial, which are expected to be available in 2026, alongside other factors, before determining whether to implement the Galleri test in the NHS. We believe our work with the NHS and the data generated from our NHS-Galleri Trial, if favorable, could help facilitate adoption in other single-
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payor systems around the world and support evidence of clinical utility worldwide. We will continue to invest in clinical evidence generation and work with regulatory bodies and payors in our target markets to expand coverage for early cancer screening and to increase access.
• Defining, leading, and expanding adoption of MCED. We coined the term “multi-cancer early detection” and will continue to drive MCED as a solution to one of healthcare’s most important challenges. Since our inception in 2016, we have established and maintained a leading voice regarding the early detection of multiple cancer types in peer-reviewed literature. As of December 31, 2024, we have published more than 70 manuscripts, including in high profile journals like The Lancet, Nature, Nature Medicine, Cancer Cell, and The Lancet Oncology. We have also presented our data in more than 30 podium and 200 poster presentations at renowned medical conferences, including AACR, ASCO, ESMO, and AAFP. We fund medical education programs for MCED and intend to continue to educate healthcare providers, as well as key opinion leaders, regulators, professional societies, and policymakers on the clinical benefits and public health impact of MCED. In addition, we believe this market development strategy will drive adoption of our products and further awareness of the benefits of MCED testing generally.
• Leveraging our existing infrastructure to enable and scale our growing business. Over the last several years, we have made significant investments to build a scalable infrastructure capable of meeting significant demand while satisfying stringent certification parameters. Our high-capacity laboratory is accredited by the College of American Pathologists (“CAP”) and certified by the Clinical Laboratory Improvement Amendments of 1988 (“CLIA”) and the New York State Department of Health, which represent one of the most rigorous levels of validation required for laboratory developed tests. With the roll-out of our new version of Galleri, our facility is able to process test volumes in excess of our current forecasts without requiring significant additional investment in capital expenditures. In addition, we engineered custom technology infrastructure and cloud-based tools to enable scalable data collection and analysis capabilities. Our ability to collect, manage, and integrate high-quality genomic and clinical data is central to our business, and our automated laboratory workflows and processes enable high volumes of tests and samples to be processed automatically with high efficiency and speed and low failure rates. As demand for our products increases, we expect to leverage the scale efficiencies of our infrastructure and platform technology, which we believe will positively impact margins over time.
• Driving cutting edge science and technology to continuously improve existing products and develop new products. Our methylation platform and extensive technological infrastructure, together with expansive ongoing data collection, will continue to drive improvements to Galleri and enable the development of additional products. Our technology has broad applicability in cancer detection and management, and findings from our SYMPLIFY study demonstrated the potential of our platform to extend beyond asymptomatic screening, into symptomatic detection. We launched our RUO offering, a part of our precision oncology portfolio, in 2023, which has formed the basis of additional biopharmaceutical partnerships to enable further discovery and execution of new development programs. In addition, these partnerships have generated findings that support expansion into precision oncology applications, including pre- and post-treatment prognosis, recurrence detection, and clinical monitoring. We continually seek to enhance the performance of our products through a comprehensive, rigorous approach to ongoing classifier training, improvement of features, and reduced processing time and cost. Further, we plan to improve our products to enhance performance, offerings, scalability, and/or cost of goods. New products, including enhanced versions of current products, will require the completion of certain clinical development and regulatory activities, such as any required non-inferiority studies using data (for example, clinical data and/or real world evidence data obtained through Galleri’s commercial use) and/or bridging studies, which may be agreed upon with regulatory authorities. We will continue to improve our technologies and launch innovative products across the cancer care continuum.
• Sustaining a patient-first corporate culture that attracts top talent. We have built a multi-disciplinary organization of leading scientists, engineers, and clinicians with a variety of backgrounds, all driven to improve outcomes for cancer patients. In our pursuit to improve cancer
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care and solve one of healthcare’s most important challenges, we recognize the importance of a workforce with different experiences, and we will continue to foster an agile and inclusive environment that is a destination for world-class talent with expertise from a variety of backgrounds. We believe our mission, values, and leadership attributes all contribute to this vibrant and inclusive culture and serve as a powerful magnet for talent.
Improving Cancer Care
The Burden of Cancer and the Benefits of Earlier Detection
Cancer is the second leading cause of death in both the United States and worldwide, with more than 19 million new cases and 10 million deaths globally in 2020. This burden is expected to grow as the global population ages. According to the data in the American Cancer Society’s Cancer Facts & Figures 2025 , there will be approximately 2.0 million new cancer cases and 618,000 cancer deaths in the United States in 2025. An analysis published in the AACR’s Cancer Epidemiology, Biomarkers and Prevention Journal (Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev. 2020; 29(7):1304–1312) estimated that $201 billion was spent on cancer care in the United States in 2020, with some of the costliest treatments targeting late-stage cancers that are highly challenging to treat. The same analysis projected that by 2030, the cost of cancer in the United States would rise to more than $246 billion annually, driven by an aging population and rising costs of care. According to an article published in JAMA Oncology in February 2023 (JAMA Oncol. 2023; 9(4):465–472), it is estimated that the global economic cost of cancer from 2020 to 2050 will be approximately $25 trillion.
A fundamental driver of cancer mortality today is that most cancers that result in death are diagnosed too late, in advanced stages when they are most challenging to treat. If cancer is detected early, when it is localized, it is more amenable to curative treatment. According to the American Cancer Society, the ability to cure cancer depends on the type and stage of cancer, the type of treatment the patient receives, and other factors. While there is not one cure for cancer and not all cancers may be cured, according to the World Health Organization many cancers can be cured if detected early and treated effectively and some of the most common cancer types, such as breast cancer, cervical cancer, oral cancer, and colorectal cancer, have high cure probabilities when detected early and treated according to best practices. According to 2006 to 2015 data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program of the U.S. National Cancer Institute (“SEER”), across all cancers, the five-year cancer-specific survival rate is approximately 89% when localized, compared to 21% when the cancer is metastasized. Historically, a key challenge to early detection is that there has been no mechanism to detect most cancers while individuals are asymptomatic. Detecting cancers at earlier stages could potentially reduce cancer-related five-year mortality by at least 15-24%, according to a model published in the AACR’s Cancer Epidemiology, Biomarkers & Prevention Journal in May 2020 (Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev. 2020; 29 (5): 895–902).
Treatment costs increase by stage across all cancers, and, according to an article published in the Journal of the National Comprehensive Cancer Network in April 2018, (J Natl Compr. Canc. Netw. 2018 Apr; 16(4):402–410), treating cancers that are in more advanced stages can be up to two to four times more costly than treating cancers at earlier stages. In addition, an analysis published in Data (Data. 2017; 2(30):2–16) estimated that diagnosing cancer early could result in $26 billion (approximately 17% of total treatment costs) in annual cancer treatment cost-savings in the United States.
Product
Our Multi-Cancer Early Detection Test: Galleri
Our commercially available multi-cancer early detection screening test, Galleri, is transforming cancer care and has the potential to unlock substantial improvements in cancer detection and mortality.
A fundamental driver of cancer mortality today is that most cancers that result in death are diagnosed too late, in advanced stages when they are most challenging to treat. If cancer is detected early, when it is localized, it is more amenable to curative treatment. Galleri is designed to complement the USPSTF’s recommended screenings, be easy to implement in practice, and improve overall population cancer detection. From a simple
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blood draw, Galleri can detect a cancer signal shared by over 50 types of cancer, over 45 of which do not have recommended screening guidelines. We believe Galleri enables the early detection of cancer in asymptomatic individuals by screening for multiple types of cancer, and in clinical studies Galleri has demonstrated an ability to predict the location of the suspected cancer with high accuracy (88%), and high PPVs and low false positive rates. For additional information, see “Business—Our Clinical Studies.” Galleri screening test results can help guide next steps for a diagnosis of cancer by healthcare providers in required follow-up diagnostic testing. We launched Galleri in the United States in mid-2021. As of December 31, 2024, we have sold more than 290,000 commercial tests. In this real-world setting, Galleri has detected deadly cancers in early stages. Our test has been deployed across healthcare systems, employers, payors, and life insurance providers, and for additional at-risk groups such as first responders, including firefighters, and continues to unlock the promise of early cancer detection.
We developed Galleri with the following critical features necessary to address the requirements of a population-scale MCED screening test:
Ability to identify a broad range of cancer types
Galleri is able to detect a cancer signal shared across many types of cancer, including the most deadly types of cancer that do not have recommended screens. We believe that Galleri can significantly increase the number of cancer types screened for in the population and has the potential to increase yield of cancers in the United States that are diagnosed through screening from 14% to 49%.
High PPV and low false positive rate
In clinical studies, Galleri has demonstrated a high PPV of approximately 43% and a low false positive rate of less than 1%. A high PPV, which is enabled in part by a low false positive rate, is important in clinical practice because it represents the probability that a positive test result is a true positive and can give clinicians high confidence and a sense of urgency to initiate confirmatory diagnostic workups. A low false positive rate can help to limit unnecessary workups on patients who do not have cancer. While Galleri is designed to complement the current standard of care screening tests, Galleri’s high PPV of approximately 43% is significantly higher than the PPV of all of the standard of care single-cancer screening tests. Galleri’s low false positive rate of less than 1% is also significantly lower than the false positive rate of all of the standard of care single-cancer screening tests.
Ability to predict with high accuracy the cancer signal origin and direct diagnostic workup
In our PATHFINDER study, Galleri demonstrated a high (88%) cancer signal origin prediction accuracy for identifying the location of cancer, which supports physician approaches to diagnostic resolution through well-established workup pathways. Cancer signal origin prediction accuracy represents the extent to which first and second origins identified were correct among true positive tests. In our PATHFINDER study, the first workup based on cancer signal origin facilitated a diagnostic resolution in 25 of the 32 participants who had diagnostic resolution (approximately 80%). Importantly, this group of 32 participants consisted of only those who received a cancer signal detected result from both Galleri and an earlier version of our MCED test also being studied in our PATHFINDER study. We also found that Galleri’s cancer signal origin prediction generally facilitated diagnosis in less than three months (median of 79 days) among participants who had a cancer signal detected. Further, Galleri’s cancer signal origin prediction capability enables physicians to limit the use of full body imaging following cancer signal detected results, which can be expensive, not readily accessible to broad patient populations, exposes patients to radiation, and can lead to false alarms and unnecessary ancillary workups. In the commercial setting healthcare providers have self reported to us that Galleri’s signal origin capability enables them to efficiently direct the pathway following a positive test.
Backed by robust analytical and clinical performance
Galleri screening test performance is validated by extensive clinical studies. We have established a broad population-scale clinical evidence program, including the more than 21,000 participants included in the studies that supported the development and launch of Galleri. We believe we established clinical validation using a locked assay and classifier in case-control and intended-use populations. A locked assay means that the assay and classifier are fully specified, with no further adjustments. A locked assay and classifier produce the same result,
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within process control limits, when the same input is applied. A case-control study is a type of observational study that interrogates factors associated with diseases or outcomes. These studies include a group of “cases” ( e.g. , participants with cancer) and a group of “controls” ( e.g. , participants without cancer). A case-control study can, for example, be used to establish performance characteristics and for clinical validation. Our CCGA study is an example of a case-control study, in that it enrolled participants with a cancer diagnosis (cases) and participants without a cancer diagnosis (controls). Importantly, study design and product development processes were robust enough to enable translation of similar performance from our foundational case control CCGA study to our interventional PATHFINDER study without seeing a degradation of performance. We have shared evidence supporting Galleri’s performance at renowned medical conferences and published results from our studies in leading scientific and medical journals.
Ability to limit overdiagnosis of indolent cancers
Data across our clinical studies suggests that although Galleri detects cancer signals for some of the most aggressive cancers, detection of cancer signals for indolent cancer types, which people are less likely to die from, is low. For example, data published in JCO Precision Oncology in 2024 demonstrated that prostate cancers that were detected by Galleri were more aggressive and clinically significant as compared to indolent and slow growing cancers. We believe these results demonstrate that the use of MCED tests in a population-based screening program is unlikely to contribute to overdiagnosis of slow-growing prostate cancers that may not need treatment.
Application to a diverse population
Galleri has been validated in population-scale clinical studies to help detect cancer across broad populations that are diverse in behaviors (such as smoking), non-cancer diseases, environmental exposures, age, gender, race, ethnicity, socio-economic status, and other confounding indications and differences. For example, in published data from our CCGA study, we found no differences in performance across racial subgroups. Understanding the signals associated with population diversity is important to our ability to account for biological noise and develop high-specificity tests for a broad testing population. The inclusion of confounding conditions in our studies, such as aging and inflammatory conditions, enables us to discriminate true cancer signals from biological noise.
We continue to study Galleri in population-scale studies that evaluate the effectiveness of the test in diverse and high-risk populations. For example, we have worked with clinics, fire departments, municipalities, and unions to test thousands of firefighters, who generally have exposure-related increased risk of cancer. We established a research collaboration with the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs (“VA”), the largest healthcare system in the United States, and the Veterans Health Foundation to provide Galleri to 10,000 veterans, many of whom are at high risk for cancer, across multiple participating VA sites over a three-year clinical study period. In addition, in our SUMMIT study, we are evaluating Galleri in a population of individuals at high risk for lung and other smoking-related cancers. Additionally, we implemented multiple strategies to enroll a diverse and representative sample for our 140,000 participant NHS-Galleri study to enable trial results to be widely applicable.
Complementary to standard of care screenings
In the United States, the five standard of care single-cancer screening tests (breast, cervical, colorectal, lung cancer, and prostate) have helped to reduce mortality for these specific types of cancer. Galleri expands upon the current standard of care guidelines to screen individuals with a single test for many types of cancer, most of which have no recommended screenings. We envision a world where Galleri is broadly accessible and used routinely alongside current standard of care screenings, potentially annually, to drive significant improvements in patient care and reduce cancer mortality and the cost of cancer care.
To estimate the potential impact of early cancer detection and mortality reduction, we developed and published a cancer epidemiology forecast model. In 2021, we published modeling data in Cancer Epidemiology, Biomarkers & Prevention (Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev. 2021; 30:460–8) that estimated the potential impact of MCED testing on mortality reduction based on test performance in our CCGA-2 study and using 2006 to 2015 SEER data for ages 50-79. Based on this model, we estimate that by adding Galleri to the five standard of care single-cancer screening tests (breast, cervical, colorectal, lung cancer, and prostate), there is potential to
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detect many more cancers at an earlier stage, which could translate into the potential to avert approximately 100,000 deaths per year in the United States as measured by five-year survival, or 39% of the five-year deaths expected if not for early detection by Galleri. We believe this model provides helpful context regarding the potential benefits of screening for multiple cancers at once with a singular screening test, like Galleri, in addition to the five standard of care single-cancer screening tests; however, there can be no assurance when or even if Galleri will be added to the USPSTF guidelines or standard of care screening.
In addition, we estimate that in a population of approximately 107 million individuals between the ages of 50-79 in the United States, adding Galleri to the five standard of care single-cancer screening tests could result in the detection of an additional 460,000 cancer cases. Our model shows that the use of Galleri together with standard of care screenings could lead to the detection of three times as many cancer cases overall as compared to standard of care screenings alone, with only 6.5% more incremental false positives. We estimate that identification of many more cancer cases with a limited number of additional false positives would reduce the cost to diagnose one cancer by approximately 65%.
Simple to implement and access
Galleri is administered via a simple blood draw that enhances patient access and is easy for healthcare providers to implement. We believe ease of a blood draw can increase compliance by reducing some of the barriers that have limited the adoption of certain individual cancer screening tests, including the time to obtain the screening test as well as access to specialists and specialized equipment. In the commercial setting, healthcare providers have self-reported to us that Galleri’s cancer signal of origin capability enables them to efficiently direct the pathway following a positive test. The test is available through a wide range of in-person and telemedicine care settings in the United States. Galleri is conveniently accessible to patients who can complete the blood draw at physician offices, reference labs, and mobile phlebotomy labs, among other locations. In addition, Galleri can be easily integrated into routine practice, where healthcare providers can order Galleri as part of an annual examination.
Support Services for Physicians that Drive a Positive Patient Experience
We have developed a suite of support services to optimize the test experience for healthcare providers and patients. We believe it is important that cancer signal detected patients and their healthcare providers are supported as they navigate follow-ups such as scheduling a confirmatory diagnostic procedure. For all cancer signal detected results, our medical science liaisons connect with the ordering provider via email or phone to offer support in clinical decision making. Clinical care documents are shared with the healthcare provider that describe published clinical guidelines to help guide next steps in the diagnostic work-up. Healthcare providers can additionally elect to access a Galleri experience council—a cohort of physicians (including experts from National Cancer Institute designated cancer centers) with experience with Galleri who can provide peer-to-peer consultations. We also operate an early cancer detection board, analogous to a tumor board, that includes third-party experts across specialties to discuss any challenging cases for which advice is sought. We offer patients a post-cancer signal detected result support center that provides materials they can bring to a referral to ensure the receiving physician understands the cancer signal detected test result to facilitate urgent care for such patients.
In addition, our software systems support a positive experience for providers and their patients. Our provider portal is designed to allow physicians to order our test and obtain patient consent electronically, which is efficient and helps minimize errors and incomplete user information. We designed our software systems to integrate with third-party electronic medical record systems to streamline test ordering and results delivery. Importantly, for every test we process, we provide a clinically actionable test report, as depicted in the graphic below, that is delivered through our secure web portal to the ordering healthcare providers to show whether or not a cancer signal is detected, and if so, to predict where in the body the cancer signal is located.
Through commercial and clinical use of Galleri, we’ve collected a number of positive patient testimonials from patients where Galleri detected a cancer signal, including from patients who have self-identified in media stories.
Investment to Enhance Versions of Tests
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We seek to continually enhance the performance and features of Galleri. Commercial use and ongoing research programs provide valuable data that we believe can enhance test performance. Real-world evidence is already informing product improvements today. We will leverage even larger datasets to further develop our advanced machine learning algorithms. By further refining and selecting subsets of highly informative regions for cancer signal origin detection to reduce panel size, we could achieve deeper sequencing coverage and lower sequencing costs. We also aim to further improve the sensitivity of our tests by obtaining deeper sequencing coverage and a better understanding of noise and leveraging even larger datasets to further develop our advanced machine learning algorithms. We also continue to research and develop technologies that have the potential to complement methylation through orthogonal biological information, including additional analytes and biofluids such as proteins and urine. New products, including enhanced versions of current products, will require the completion of certain clinical development and regulatory activities, such as non-inferiority studies using clinical study data and real world evidence data obtained through Galleri’s commercial use and bridging studies to measure and evaluate concordance, performance and safety of a subsequent, enhanced version of our product versus the relevant existing product. Any bridging study may use previously collected clinical study data and other samples, and will need to be agreed upon with regulatory authorities.
Precision Oncology Portfolio
The precision oncology market is expected to grow significantly in the coming years, and multiple research studies have indicated that liquid biopsies and ctDNA detection will play a major part in this growth. Our precision oncology portfolio currently consists of an RUO-targeted methylation-based platform with customizable classifiers that enables applications for disease prognostication, risk stratification, minimal residual disease (“MRD”) detection and recurrence and relapse monitoring across many cancer types.
We initiated early collaborations with select, leading biopharmaceutical companies beginning in 2020, and the launch of our RUO offering in early 2023 has unlocked additional partnerships with several leading oncology companies. These partnerships leverage our RUO offering to test applications of biomarkers with the goal of optimizing the use of therapeutic interventions. Partnerships may also include development of customized applications to support clinical studies and companion diagnostic development and commercialization. Our first companion diagnostic partnership was announced in 2022 with AstraZeneca and in 2024, we announced that the first patient has been tested for eligibility with the investigational GRAIL Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer (“NSCLC”) ctDNA Assay in AstraZeneca and Daiichi Sankyo’s global TROPION-Lung12 Phase 3 study evaluating adjuvant treatment regimens in patients with Stage I adenocarcinoma NSCLC. We have published or presented early performance data on MCED testing at multiple academic conferences, including ASCO, AACR and ESMO, across different use cases and indications. These data demonstrate the versatility of the platform across multiple applications and areas of clinical unmet need.
Our RUO offering uses our proprietary targeted methylation platform to analyze cfDNA isolated from peripheral blood for cancer signal interrogation. Our RUO technology estimates tumor burden based on tumor methylation fraction, enabling longitudinal monitoring and surveillance solutions. Data from our studies have demonstrated analytically validated performance, and robust analytical sensitivity, specificity, and precision. For example, in a recent analytical validation study, cfDNA was analyzed from donors with and without cancer. Analytical sensitivity was assessed in 12 different solid tumor types. Results demonstrated strong median limit of detection (“LoD”) of 0.023% based on measures of the abnormally methylated ctDNA fraction. Analytical specificity was 98.5% and overall precision across all replicates was 94.6%. The low input requirements support retrospective research studies. Retrospective studies are generally performed using banked samples stored in a freezer. Banked samples may be subject to reduced cfDNA levels (due to reduced plasma volume, sample degradation, or collection in tubes not optimized for cfDNA stability). As a result, a low limit of detection is important to facilitate performance of retrospective research studies.
Additional Products in Development
Our rigorous discovery efforts have already enabled us to build unique technologies and develop a powerful platform for early detection. Moving forward, we will continue to research and develop technologies that have the potential to complement and enhance our capabilities. We have conducted early research and development in areas such as immunology and biofluids such as urine. We also plan to leverage relationships, including with academic and industry partners, to enable bringing potential new applications of our technology to market.
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Clinical
Our Clinical Studies
We have built what we believe is one of the largest clinical programs in genomic medicine, which has generated what we believe is an unprecedented longitudinal dataset of high-quality, linked clinical and genomic data. We are collecting population-scale clinical data from more than 385,000 participants in numerous clinical studies, with more than 21,000 of these participants included in the studies that supported the development and launch of Galleri, and over 175,000 individuals enrolled and an additional approximately 50,000 anticipated to be enrolled in interventional studies (NHS-Galleri and PATHFINDER 2, which support our PMA submission, and the first-of-its kind Galleri-Medicare real-world study). The PATHFINDER 2 study and NHS-Galleri Trial are designed to support a PMA submission, with select inclusion criteria (matching the intended use population for Galleri), use of an appropriate assay (developed and commercially available), and enrollment of a sufficient number of participants to facilitate the generation of appropriate data and evidence. This design differs from our other studies, such as our CCGA study, which included participants outside of the intended use population for Galleri, and PATHFINDER study, which enrolled fewer participants and utilized an earlier version of Galleri for initial results. Additionally, we announced plans for a 100,000 individual real world study in the Medicare population, with a focus on racial and ethnic minorities and seniors aged 65 and above from under-served communities. The study seeks to compare up to 50,000 prospectively enrolled Medicare beneficiaries who have received usual care plus an annual Galleri test with a synthetic matched comparator arm of 50,000 beneficiaries who receive usual care alone, for up to three annual testing cycles. GRAIL is responsible for designing and executing this study and is planning to work with leading healthcare systems across the country and other key partners over the next few years. These foundational population-scale studies involve partnerships with numerous leading academic and cancer institutions and large community networks, including, among others, the Cleveland Clinic, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Guardian Research Network, Kettering Health, Mayo Clinic, Sutter Health, and the US Oncology Network.
Our studies include the collection of blood and, as available and as directed by the protocol, tissue samples, demographic data, patient-reported outcomes data, and clinical data from participants. Clinical information, demographics, and medical data relevant to cancer status are collected from participants at time of enrollment and at regular intervals during a follow-up period. We integrate this information with the genomic data created from sequencing the samples and utilize these data to both train and validate our early cancer detection tests. Importantly, these are longitudinal studies and, in many cases, participant medical data will continue accruing for a number of years, facilitating analyses of longer-term outcomes, and further performance improvements of our products. Our studies are conducted by various medical and oncology centers around the country.
We were the first to invest in and initiate multiple, large clinical validation studies for multi-cancer early detection. Results from PATHFINDER, our first completed return-of-results study, provided critical data to support launch of Galleri and understand how clinicians implement Galleri into care pathways in clinical practice. We have completed enrollment in six additional studies: PATHFINDER 2, NHS-Galleri, Circulating Cell-free Genome Atlas (“CCGA”), SUMMIT, STRIVE, and SYMPLIFY. We are actively enrolling two studies: Galleri-Medicare (“REACH” or “Galleri-Medicare”) and REFLECTION.
We have presented data and published results from our clinical studies in leading forums, including multiple major medical conferences, such as AACR, ASCO, and ESMO, and leading journals, such as The Lancet , Nature , Nature Medicine , Cancer Cell , and The Lancet Oncology . Data from our studies is expected to support regulatory filings as we pursue PMA approval.
Importantly, our clinical program was designed to enable test development for population scale screening, and enrollment was managed to enable diversity across multiple characteristics including in behaviors (such as smoking), non-cancer diseases, environmental exposures, age, gender, race, ethnicity, socio-economic status, and other confounding indications and differences. Understanding and cataloging this diversity has enabled us to develop tests with high-specificity, cancer signal detection across many cancer types, and accurate cancer signal origin prediction. Long-term follow-up in the studies we have launched in years past will continue to yield critical data that we believe can help define the standard of care in early cancer detection.
Commercialization
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Established Commercial Leadership in a Pre-Reimbursement Setting
We launched Galleri in the United States in mid-2021. As of December 31, 2024, we have sold more than 290,000 commercial tests, including more than 137,000 tests in 2024, and established a number of commercial partnerships, including leading healthcare systems, employers, payors, and life insurance providers. As of December 31, 2024, our commercial organization included approximately 250 personnel supporting our multi-channel strategy. We believe we currently have the largest share of the market for MCED testing, and we continue to build the key components of our commercial infrastructure and capabilities that are required to support rapid, population-scale testing in a post-reimbursement environment.
Our Commercial Strategy in the United States is Focused on Innovative Value-oriented Partnerships
Our strong commercial adoption is underpinned by our ability to demonstrate clinical utility and economic value even before obtaining broad reimbursement coverage. We are driving adoption in the following key channels:
Employers . We target medium and large self-insured employers with compelling and innovative healthcare offerings that are designed to attract and retain employees and to deepen health equity among employees. Cancer treatment costs now represent the highest spend category for self-insured employers according to the most recent Business Group on Health’s 2023 Large Employers’ Health Care Strategy and Plan Design Survey. Galleri offers earlier cancer detection to help reduce these costs. Our employer customer base includes large tech companies, large life insurance companies, professional services companies, major health systems, and educational institutions, among others.
Physicians and Health Systems . We believe Galleri is compelling to physicians whose patients are focused on preventive health and wellness as well as to concierge and executive health practices. The physician practices we are targeting are known to offer innovative, cutting-edge health offerings, and market research suggests patient’s expect innovative offerings from their primary care providers. We have evolved our sales strategy to target physicians in the most productive regions. We additionally partner with health systems, typically as part of a comprehensive screening program with patient and physician support services. We believe many of these health systems view Galleri as a key differentiating offering to patients. We have streamlined the implementation of Galleri for these partners, often connecting the health system’s electronic medical record system with our software systems. This bolsters our position as the partner of choice for establishing early cancer detection programs. Many health systems are investing in robust programs in population health management and precision medicine, of which Galleri is a key feature, and have developed novel care navigation pathways. With these novel pathways, a positive test result can result in patients being referred within the health system. We believe our experience with these partners will allow us to rapidly scale upon broad reimbursement for Galleri.
Life insurance providers . We have partnered with several leading life insurance providers to provide Galleri to their policyholders. Life insurers are committed to helping customers live longer, healthier, better lives and understand that preventative care and early detection are key to that mission. Galleri is offered by these providers as a preventative health benefit and is not used for underwriting, risk assessment or risk pooling.
Payors . We have announced pilot or benefit programs with leading payors and continue to engage with other progressive payors. These programs allow for measurement of the clinical utility and economic value of Galleri. These payors include Medicare Advantage plans, which generally must cover all of the services that traditional Medicare covers, but they have the discretion to offer their enrollees additional or supplemental benefits. This also includes early-adopting commercial payors.
First Responders . We have worked with clinics, fire departments, municipalities, and unions to make Galleri available to firefighters who generally have exposure-related increased risk of cancer and are actively screening their populations and seeking new approaches.
Reimbursement Landscape for Screening Tests
United States
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Traditional fee-for-service Medicare generally does not cover screening tests, which are considered preventive services, that are performed in the absence of signs or symptoms of illness or injury, unless there is a statutory provision that explicitly authorizes coverage of the test. The Medicare Improvements for Patients and Providers Act of 2008 authorizes the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (“CMS”) to cover additional preventive services that are not expressly covered by the statute if the service is (a) reasonable and necessary for the prevention or early detection of an illness or disability, (b) recommended with a grade of A or B by the USPSTF, an independent, volunteer panel of experts in the field of prevention, evidence-based medicine and primary care, and (c) appropriate for Medicare beneficiaries under Part A or Part B. CMS establishes coverage through a national coverage determination (“NCD”) process. In its discretion, the USPSTF generally waits for FDA authorization before it considers undertaking reviews of novel technology.
Because MCED is not expressly authorized for coverage by the Medicare statute, one possible pathway for Medicare reimbursement is to first obtain FDA approval and then obtain a grade of A or B recommendation from USPSTF, to enable CMS to issue an NCD. The last cancer screening test to receive a recommendation from USPSTF with a grade A/B and obtain Medicare coverage was LDCT to screen high-risk smokers for lung cancer in 2015. Medicare coverage can also be changed by statute, thus a second possible pathway for Medicare reimbursement would be to amend the Medicare statute to cover MCED. This process would generally require new legislation to expressly authorize CMS to cover FDA-approved early cancer screening and detection tests. We are working with stakeholders to advance and shape the public reimbursement landscape to reflect that additional scope of coverage. Galleri is currently offered as an LDT in our CAP-accredited and CLIA-certified laboratory. We have a Breakthrough Device designation with the FDA and have begun the modular PMA submission process, which we expect to conclude with data from our ongoing pivotal studies. Under our Breakthrough Designation, interactions with the FDA have resulted in an anticipated timeline to submission, which we anticipate making in the first half of 2026. Nonetheless, the FDA requirements that will govern multi-cancer detection tests, as well as the breadth and nature of data we must provide the FDA, to support the proposed intended use, may be subject to change, and as such, it is difficult to predict what information we will need to submit to obtain approval of a PMA from the FDA for a proposed intended use. Following FDA approval and assuming a statutory change in the reimbursement landscape, we plan to pursue broad reimbursement, for example, through Medicare reimbursement, and subsequently pursue inclusion of Galleri in the USPSTF guideline recommendation.
United Kingdom—Commercial agreement with NHS
In November 2020, we established a partnership with NHS England. The NHS-Galleri Trial, which was undertaken as part of the partnership established by our commercial agreement with NHS England, is a large randomized controlled trial taking place across eight regions in England. The trial aims to assist with the United Kingdom’s ambitions for early cancer detection and to assess Galleri for potential population screening on a national scale. The primary objective of the trial is to assess whether implementation of Galleri can reduce the incidence of late-stage cancers through early cancer detection.
The NHS will evaluate the final results from the NHS-Galleri Trial, which are expected to be available in 2026, alongside other factors before determining whether to implement the Galleri test in the NHS. In the event that we proceed with commercial implementation following such results, we expect that our partnership with the NHS would be our first national system implementation. The NHS had previously evaluated results of an early analysis from the first screening test (the prevalent screening round) in the NHS-Galleri Trial to determine whether the results were compelling enough to commence an implementation pilot in England prior to the final trial results. The results of this early analysis represented limited information from only one year of results out of the three-year trial period, and final results from the full three-year period may differ from the early analysis for a variety of reasons. In May 2024, the NHS determined not to initiate the pilot on the basis of those available data. Given that the NHS has a reputation for high evidence standards for new technologies, we anticipate that NHS approval and implementation could expand adoption in the United Kingdom and could also help facilitate adoption in other single payor systems around the world. Our initial commercial version of the Galleri test is UKCA marked.
Other International
In December 2024, we launched the sale of Galleri in Israel using a distributor model. We intend to explore the launch of Galleri in select other international geographies, including through distributors.
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Operations
Significant Investments for Scale
We have made significant investments for scale in our CAP-accredited and CLIA-certified laboratory facility in Durham, North Carolina and demonstrated execution with more than 600,000 clinical and commercial individual samples processed through December 31, 2024. We have an established footprint in the United States and United Kingdom, with operations in Durham, North Carolina, Washington, D.C., and London, United Kingdom.
In total we have approximately 46,000 square feet of CAP-accredited, CLIA-certified laboratory space with sufficient capacity to support multiple years of growth at our Durham facility. We have made significant investments to our Durham laboratory to improve the automation, including development of a fully automated laboratory testing platform consisting of robotic work cells connected by a central track system to increase efficiencies and reduce costs. Our lab operates 16 hours a day, seven days a week, and uses automation and other technology to reduce staff exposure to complicated, dangerous, repetitive, or injury-prone work. In 2024, we also launched an updated version of Galleri increasing the amount of laboratory automation, among other improvements. We believe that our current facilities are sufficient to meet our current and anticipated near-term needs.
Supply Chain and Agreements
Our supply chain includes industry leading vendors and we maintain significant supplies on hand of both laboratory consumables and other materials to avoid work stoppages and material delays. We rely on a limited number of suppliers, or in some cases, sole suppliers, to provide certain materials for our products and services. For example, Illumina, Inc. is our sole supplier of sequencers and certain laboratory reagents, Madison (who acquired our blood collection tube manufacturer Streck, Inc. in 2023) is our sole supplier of tubes used for sample collection and Twist is the sole supplier of our DNA probes. We rely on standard commercial carriers for the delivery of samples to our laboratory.
Our supply strategy is to maintain raw material and released reagent supplies at levels that ensure our clinical laboratory can maintain continuous operations 365 days a year. We utilize a risk-based approach such that higher risk materials (e.g., sole-sourced or more vulnerable supply chains) have a higher safety stock and lower risk materials (e.g., multi-sourced) may have lower safety stock levels.
Our supply chain consists of commodity materials, multi-source, single-source or sole-source materials, services or equipment. We consider critical suppliers to be those that can impact the quality of GRAIL’s product and/or our quality management system, those with consistent high volume or spend and those who are key to a specific business function.
Mitigation around our supply chain risks is critical to our business and we enable strategies that look across risk pertaining to single or sole-source; supplier financial stability, scalability, business continuity; performance and delivery consistency; quality system adherence; information security; and contract or cost maturity. GRAIL seeks to secure long-term supply agreements and quality agreements where applicable and maintains raw material and released reagent supplies at levels that ensure our clinical laboratory can maintain continuous operations 365 days a year. We employ a safety stock strategy at the part level, ensuring our materials are available, balanced against their shelf life.
GRAIL sole-source suppliers include Illumina, Inc. who is our sole supplier of sequencers and certain laboratory reagents, Madison, who acquired our blood collection tube manufacturer Streck, Inc. in 2023 and who is our sole supplier of tubes used for sample collection, and Twist who is the sole supplier of our DNA probes. We rely on standard commercial carriers for the delivery of samples to our laboratory. We have entered into supply agreements with various parties, including Illumina, Madison, and Twist. In January 2016, we entered into a supply and commercialization arrangement with Illumina, which agreement was amended and restated in February 2017 and subsequently further amended (“Illumina Supply Agreement”). Pursuant to the Illumina Supply Agreement, Illumina granted us non-exclusive rights to use certain Illumina know-how and technology with Illumina products purchased under the agreement. Under the terms of the Illumina Supply Agreement, regardless of whether our products incorporate any Illumina technology, we were obligated to pay Illumina a high single-digit
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royalty, subject to certain reductions and floors, in perpetuity on net sales generated by our products or revenues otherwise generated or received by us, subject to certain exceptions, in the field of oncology. Pursuant to the fourth amendment to the Illumina Supply Agreement, the perpetual royalty payment obligation to Illumina is suspended until December 24, 2026 or any earlier change of control of GRAIL, at which time royalty payments to Illumina will resume, without retroactive effect. In addition, upon the execution of such amendment, we may elect to purchase instruments, supplies, and services from Illumina either pursuant to Illumina’s “Open Offer” universal pricing terms applicable to all of its for-profit oncology customers in the United States since March 2021, as updated, or the pricing terms we had prior to Illumina’s acquisition of us. For further discussion of the risks relating to these relationships, see “Risk Factors—Risks Relating to Our Business and Industry .”
Industry Participants
There are other companies, such as Adela, Inc., Clearnote Health, DELFI Diagnostics, Inc., Exact Sciences Corporation, Exai Bio, Inc., Freenome Inc., Guardant Health, Inc., Harbinger Health and Natera, Inc. within the United States and AnchorDx, Anpac Bio-Medical Science Co., Ltd., Burning Rock Biotech Limited, Datar Cancer Genetics, Elypta AB, Gene Solutions JSC, Insighta, Mirxes, Singlera Genomics, Inc. and Seekin, Inc. outside of the United States, among others, that are attempting to develop tests to detect certain types of cancer early, including some that will use cfDNA analyses. A number of these companies, including Guardant Health, Inc., Exact Sciences Corporation, Natera, Inc. and Clearnote Health in the United States and, Insighta, Mirxes and Seekin, Inc. outside of the United States, have announced intentions to develop or launch multi-cancer early detection products. Some of these companies may have substantially greater financial and other resources than we have, such as larger research and development staff and well-established marketing and sales forces, or may operate in jurisdictions where lower standards of evidence are required to bring products to market. In addition, other established diagnostic, medical technology, biotechnology, or pharmaceutical companies may decide in the future to invest to accelerate discovery and development of similar tests. If any tests are developed by these companies and do not perform to expectations or cause harm or injury to patients, it may result in lower confidence in early cancer detection tests in general, which could potentially adversely affect confidence in our products and services.
Given the numerous and rigorous requirements for a successful cancer detection test, we do not believe many companies would have the financial resources to invest in population-scale clinical studies and rigorous analytics to compete with our products. Further, among companies pursuing an early-detection product, we believe we are substantially differentiated by our robust intellectual property portfolio, extensive research, rigorous and objective approach, and multidisciplinary capabilities, which leverage the power of NGS, population-scale clinical studies, and advanced and trained machine learning algorithms and data science. We believe we are further differentiated by the extent of our investment in our facilities and operational workflows, including our high-capacity laboratory, which we built for rapid, automatic processing of samples and to scale as we grow and process more tests.
Additionally, certain of our other products in development and our precision oncology offerings, could compete against a number of companies that are working to leverage blood-based technologies to improve cancer care. Many companies such as Roche/Foundation Medicine, Inc., Natera, Inc., Guardant, Inc., Tempus AI, Inc., Clearnote Health, NeoGenomics Laboratories, Personalis, Inc., Twist Bioscience Corp. and Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp., among others, currently provide or are developing technologies focused on improving cancer care after a diagnosis of cancer is made, including enabling selection of therapy, monitoring of therapy, or detection of relapsed disease. Unlike with respect to MCED testing, precision oncology is a very competitive space with many industry participants. However, as our precision oncology portfolio leverages our methylation platform, we believe we are differentiated by the extent of the quality of our methylation platform and our investments to develop such platform through our population-scale clinical studies, rigorous analytics and machine learning expertise.
Intellectual Property
Our success depends in part on our ability to obtain and maintain intellectual property protection for our products and technology, including by seeking and maintaining patent protection, protecting our trade secrets and other proprietary information, obtaining and maintaining our licenses to use intellectual property owned by third parties, and continually evaluating third-party technologies for further licensing opportunities. We also seek
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trademark protection where appropriate to protect the names that identify us as the source of our products and services.
We own certain patents, patent applications, and other intellectual property, and also exclusively license certain patents, patent applications, and other intellectual property from third parties, including the Chinese University of Hong Kong. Our patent portfolio broadly relates to methods, techniques, systems, and chemistry used to generate and analyze data using our proprietary bioinformatics and classifiers, including, for example, cfNA sequencing, marker panels, methylation signatures, bioinformatics techniques and biologically directed machine learning classifiers, which are incorporated into or used for Galleri, our precision oncology portfolio, and a diagnostic aid for cancer (“DAC”). We have also entered into certain supply and commercial agreements with various vendors and suppliers, including Illumina, under which we receive rights to their intellectual property for use in our products. Our material licenses and other agreements are described in more detail below.
As of December 31, 2024, we own or co-own more than 220 issued or granted patents and more than 620 pending patent applications globally, including 45 issued U.S. patents, 176 patents granted across Austria, Australia, Belgium, Canada, Switzerland, China, Czech Republic, Denmark, Germany, Europe, Finland, France, the United Kingdom, Greece, Hong Kong, Indonesia, Ireland, Italy, Japan, Lichtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malaysia, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Sweden, Spain, Singapore, Slovenia, Slovakia, Türkiye and Taiwan, and more than 140 pending U.S. non-provisional and provisional patent applications.
We also have exclusive licenses to approximately 630 issued or granted patents and more than 190 pending patent applications globally, including 55 issued U.S. patents and 575 patents granted across Albania, Austria, Australia, Belgium, Bulgaria, Brazil, Canada, Switzerland, China, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Germany, Denmark, Eurasia, Europe, Estonia, Spain, Finland, France, the United Kingdom, Greece, Hong Kong, Croatia, Hungary, Indonesia, Ireland, Israel, India, Iceland, Italy, Japan, Republic of Korea, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Latvia, Monaco, North Macedonia, Macao, Malta, Mexico, Malaysia, Netherlands, Norway, New Zealand, Philippines, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Serbia, Sweden, Singapore, Slovenia, Slovakia, San Marino, Türkiye, Taiwan, and South Africa, and more than 35 pending U.S. non-provisional and provisional patent applications. We believe these patents cover, and that these patent applications upon grant will cover, various aspects of Galleri, our precision oncology portfolio and future products or improvements to existing products that we may develop.
Of particular importance within our sizeable patent portfolio are patents that relate to various aspects of Galleri and our precision oncology portfolio. For example:
• with respect to methylation analysis, which is a foundational technology underlying our current products, we own or exclusively license 144 granted patents directed to systems, software, methods, mixtures, or kits for methylation analysis in Austria, Australia, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, Switzerland, China, Czech Republic, Germany, Denmark, Eurasia, Europe, Spain, Finland, France, the United Kingdom, Greece, Hong Kong, Croatia, Hungary, Indonesia, Ireland, Israel, Iceland, Italy, Japan, Republic of Korea, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Mexico, Malaysia, Netherlands, Norway, New Zealand, Poland, Portugal, Sweden, Singapore, Slovenia, Slovakia, Türkiye, Taiwan, the United States, and South Africa. These patents are expected to expire between 2033 and 2040, subject to our payment of applicable maintenance fees and annuities;
• with respect to our technology for determining cancer type through identification of cancer signal of origin, we own or exclusively license 65 granted patents directed to systems, software, methods, or kits for determining cancer signal of origin in Austria, Australia, Belgium Switzerland, China, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Germany, Denmark, Europe, Spain, Finland, France, the United Kingdom, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Israel, Iceland, Italy, Japan, Republic of Korea, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Latvia, Monaco, North Macedonia, Malta, Mexico, Malaysia, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Sweden, Singapore, Slovenia, Türkiye, Taiwan, and the United States. These patents are expected to expire between 2033 and 2042, subject to our payment of applicable maintenance fees and annuities; and
• with respect to our assay chemistry and techniques for preparing and optimizing patient samples for analysis, we own or exclusively license 37 granted patents directed to methods, assay panels, compositions, or software for assay chemistry and techniques in Belgium, Switzerland, China, Germany, Europe, France, the United Kingdom, Hong Kong, Netherlands, Sweden, and the United States. These
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patents are expected to expire between 2034 and 2042, subject to our payment of applicable maintenance fees and annuities.
Our patent portfolio also includes granted patents and pending patent applications directed to other technologies that may have varying levels of importance to our current and future products, including, for example:
• systems, methods, kits, mixtures, and probes for sequencing, library preparation and enrichment (27 patent families with 81 granted patents and 53 pending applications; granted patents expected to expire between 2027 and 2042);
• methods and nucleic acid constructs for error correction for identifying somatic variants (3 patent families with 54 granted patents and 15 pending applications; granted patents expected to expire between 2030 and 2040);
• systems and methods for variant based assessment of cancer (12 patent families with 48 granted patents and 56 pending applications; granted patents expected to expire between 2033 and 2041);
• systems, software, and methods for sequencing based assessment of copy number aberrations in cancer (9 patent families with 91 granted patents and 47 pending applications; granted patents expected to expire between 2028 and 2042);
• systems, software, and methods for fragment length assessment in cancer detection (11 patent families with 119 granted patents and 92 pending applications; granted patents expected to expire between 2031 and 2040);
• systems, software, methods, and compositions for fragmentation based assessment of cancer (9 patent families with 47 granted patents and 81 pending applications; granted patents expected to expire between 2030 and 2039); and
• systems, software, and methods for viral based assessment of cancer (6 patent families with 24 granted patents and 54 pending applications; granted patents expected to expire between 2038 and 2040).
The expiration dates described above may not account for all potentially available patent term adjustments and are subject to our payment of applicable issue fees, maintenance fees and annuities. Patent expiration dates are estimates based on our calculations, taking into account terminal disclaimers and patent term adjustments. We continually assess and prioritize our patent portfolio based on its relevance to our business, while also pursuing new patent filings and grants, which may cause our total number of patents to change over time.
Our in-licensed patents and patent applications, if issued as patents, expire or would be expected to expire, at the earliest, in 2027, absent any potentially available patent term adjustment and assuming our timely payment of applicable issue fees, maintenance fees and annuities. We do not expect the scheduled expiration of patents in the near term to have a material impact on our business. Our owned or co-owned patents and patent applications, if issued as patents, expire or would be expected to expire, at the earliest, in 2037, absent any potentially available patent term adjustment and assuming our timely payment of applicable issue fees, maintenance fees and annuities. The term of these patents depends upon the laws of the countries in which they are obtained, and in most countries in which we file, is 20 years from the earliest date of filing of a non-provisional patent application. A provisional patent application is not eligible to become an issued patent until, among other things, we file a non-provisional patent application within 12 months of the filing date of the provisional patent application. If we do not timely file non-provisional patent applications, we may lose our priority date with respect to our provisional patent applications and any patent protection on the inventions disclosed in our provisional patent applications. In the United States, patent term adjustments may be available depending upon the time the United States Patent and Trademark Office takes to examine and eventually issue a patent, and the patent term may be shorter than 20 years if we disclaim a portion of the patent term to overcome double patenting rejections. The protection of patents may vary on a country-by-country and claim-by-claim basis, which can vary the scope of protection afforded by such patents. In addition, we must generally pay fees to maintain our patents annually or at other specified intervals, or risk the patent lapsing. We cannot provide any assurance that any of our current or future owned or licensed patent applications will result in the issuance of patents in any jurisdiction, or that any of
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our current or future owned or licensed issued patents will effectively protect any of our products or technology or prevent others from commercializing competitive products or technology. Even if any of our current or future owned or licensed patent applications are granted as issued patents, those patents may be challenged, circumvented or invalidated by third parties.
We recently faced an opposition from anonymous challengers against one of our in-licensed European patents. The patent does not relate to aspects of Galleri or our precision oncology portfolio. The challengers asserted that this granted patent was invalid over prior art, among other arguments. The opposition concluded with the patent claims being maintained in amended form. The challengers have filed an appeal, which is currently pending. An additional opposition was filed on another of our in-licensed European patents relating to Galleri by an anonymous opponent, and this opposition is currently pending. While we believe that these patents are valid, there is a risk that these patents could be invalidated in their entirety, or certain claims of these patents could be amended and narrowed in scope.
License Agreements with the Chinese University of Hong Kong
We have entered into five license agreements with the Chinese University of Hong Kong, each on substantially similar terms and with two dated April 7, 2016 and three dated May 29, 2017. Pursuant to these agreements, the Chinese University of Hong Kong has granted exclusive, worldwide intellectual property licenses to us for the use of certain nucleic acid sequencing and analysis technologies in all fields under one license and in all fields except prenatal diagnostics, prognostications, or analysis under four licenses. The Chinese University of Hong Kong reserves the right to use its technology for internal research and education purposes and for fulfilling governmental contractual obligations (to the extent they exist). Three of the licenses are subject to certain non-exclusive license rights granted by the Chinese University of Hong Kong to a certain third party, solely for such third party’s internal research purposes in the field of cancer detection, cancer prognostication and other analysis for the screening and management of cancer.
To the extent our products use the licensed technology, such as our current Galleri and precision oncology products, we are required to pay the Chinese University of Hong Kong low single-digit percentage royalties on net sales of such products, subject to minimum annual guarantees, which began in 2018. In addition, for any sublicense of the licensed technology, we are obligated to pay the Chinese University of Hong Kong a specified portion of the revenue we receive from sublicensing. Our royalty and sublicense payment obligations with respect to each license for each product containing any licensed technology extends until the expiration or termination of such license, which shall be the later of a low double-digit number of years from our payment of the license issue fee or expiration of the last-to-expire licensed patent. We are additionally obligated to reimburse the Chinese University of Hong Kong for costs and expenses related to the filing, prosecution, maintenance, and defense of the licensed patents and patent applications.
Under these license agreements, we are obligated to use specified efforts to reach milestones relating to the development and sale of products that use the Chinese University of Hong Kong’s technology, and our failure to do so could result in termination of the license agreements. The Chinese University of Hong Kong may also terminate the agreements under certain other circumstances, such as our uncured material breach of the agreements or cessation of our business. We may terminate the agreements at any time at our convenience, provided we give the Chinese University of Hong Kong a certain period of notice. We can also terminate the agreements for the Chinese University of Hong Kong’s uncured material breach.
Trade Secrets
We also rely on trade secret protection for our confidential and proprietary information. Included in our trade secrets are the data from our genomics studies, various aspects of the operation of our laboratories, and various aspects of the algorithms used to process our data. Trade secrets are difficult to protect. Although we take steps to protect our proprietary information and trade secrets, including through contractual means with our employees, contractors, and consultants, third parties may independently develop substantially equivalent proprietary information and techniques or otherwise gain access to our trade secrets or disclose our technology via unauthorized means, such as hacking by private or state actors. Although state and federal courts in the United States are generally willing to protect trade secrets, some courts inside and outside the United States are less willing or unwilling to protect trade secrets.
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For further discussion of the risks relating to our intellectual property, see “Risk Factors—Risks Relating to Intellectual Property.”
Properties
Our principal office and laboratory is approximately 74,300 square feet and located at 1525 O’Brien Drive, Menlo Park, California. We amended the related lease in June 2017 to add approximately 57,400 square feet at 1605 Adams Drive, Menlo Park, California. Our lease expires in 2026 and we have an option to extend the lease for an additional five years.
In June 2020, we entered into an agreement to lease approximately 200,000 square feet of a building in Durham, North Carolina. Our lease expires in 2033 and we have three separate options to extend the lease, each for an additional five years.
We hold a CLIA Certificate of Accreditation Registration from the CMS and an accreditation from CAP for our laboratory in Durham, North Carolina. We also hold a Clinical Laboratory Certificate of Deemed Status from the State of California Department of Public Health.
We believe that our facilities are sufficient to meet our current and anticipated near-term needs.
Human Capital
Since our founding, we have built an entrepreneurial culture, driven by our mission to detect cancer early, when it can be cured. This mission statement is an expression of our commitment to improve cancer care and drive better outcomes for patients with cancer.
We recognize that our employees are key to our ability to achieve this mission and believe our employees have been and will continue to be a primary reason for our growth and success. Recognizing the importance of our human capital, our board of directors retains direct oversight of our human capital and oversees and reviews our culture, policies, and strategies related to human capital management, including recruitment, development, performance management, rewards and employee engagement.
Employee Base
Our workforce consists of a highly skilled, diverse, and engaged team dedicated to the company’s mission and goals. As of December 31, 2024, we had approximately 1,000 full-time employees. The majority of our employees are based in the United States at our sites in Menlo Park, California, Durham, North Carolina, and Washington D.C. We also engage with contractors, vendors, and consultants. None of our employees are represented by a labor union or covered by a collective bargaining agreement. We consider our relationship with our employees to be good.
We are led by a multidisciplinary team with extensive experience across biotechnology, life sciences, public health, genomics, computer science, data science, biostatistics, clinical development, medical affairs, government and regulatory affairs, quality assurance, and laboratory and commercial operations. We believe this confluence of talent from multiple disciplines has enabled us to make significant progress in improving cancer care and will enable us to remain at the forefront of our industry.
Our Corporate Culture: Building and Supporting our Team
We understand the commitment our employees make to our company, and we take our commitment to them very seriously. We are committed to fostering a workplace where all employees feel valued, supported, and empowered to contribute. We believe that diverse perspectives drive innovation and strengthen our ability to achieve our mission.
Our culture is built on collaboration, respect, and continuous learning to ensure all team members can thrive. We strongly believe our corporate culture is the operating system that powers the company and helps to achieve our mission. Our values include;
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• Embrace Change —We operate in a dynamic environment. We need to mirror the external world and be agile, adaptive, and able to adjust course to move in the direction required.
• Solve Problems Together —Working together allows us to take on increasingly complex problems.
• Think BIG —We are leading BIG changes that require a long runway, and we’ll succeed by keeping our mission in sight as we work toward long-term goals.
• Be Courageous —We are going up against entrenched ways of thinking, which requires boldness, determination, and courage.
• Bring an Open Mind —We seek to improve cancer care, which requires engaging everyone in a conversation around what’s needed, what’s possible, and how to approach problems in different ways with creative thinking. We’re open-minded, curious, and always learning.
These values are the cornerstone of our leadership attributes and how we show up with one another and our customers. These values are embedded in our recruiting practices, performance management and reward programs.
Compensating and Supporting Our Colleagues
We are committed to providing equitable compensation opportunities to attract and retain accountable, team-oriented, high-performing colleagues with the purpose of driving our mission. We consider external market data as well as internal parity considerations when making compensation decisions using data-informed actions to build desirable programs. To incentivize top performance, we aim to differentiate pay increases and incentive programs in recognition of colleague contributions aligned to the success of the business.
We take a holistic approach to supporting employee well-being through providing eligible colleagues and their eligible dependents with competitive health and wellness benefits, retirement savings plans, and work-life options designed to provide flexibility to thrive. We also provide flexible time off and other opportunities to enable balance.
Commitment to Learning and Development
We believe that the professional development of our employees is a critical element to the success of our company. We have invested in a learning and development program that provides employees at all levels of the company opportunities to build and grow their skills in their current roles and prepare them for future roles in the company.
We've both internally developed and thoughtfully sourced learning and development programs for all employees. Employees have access to a wide variety of online training programs, individual coaching programs for selected leaders, and mentoring programs. In addition, we offer leadership training through our LEAD program, which aims to build strong leaders who inspire our teams to achieve our corporate goals.
Government Regulations
We are subject to complex and frequently changing national, state, and local laws and regulations that govern various aspects of our business. In many jurisdictions, including the United States, the clinical laboratory and medical device industries must operate in accordance with extensive and complex legal standards, including laws and regulations related to certification, licensing, development, research, testing, manufacturing, laboratory operations, distribution, ordering and billing practices, advertising, promotion, marketing, sales and pricing practices, anti-markup practices, health information privacy and security, and consumer protection and unfair trade practices.
In the United States, the laws and regulations governing the marketing of diagnostic products are evolving, extremely complex, and in some instances, there are no significant regulatory or judicial interpretations of these laws and regulations. Clinical laboratory tests are regulated under CLIA, as well as by applicable state laws. In
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addition, the Federal Food, Drug and Cosmetic Act (“FDC Act”) defines a medical device to include any instrument, apparatus, implement, machine, contrivance, implant, in vitro reagent, or other similar or related article, including a component part or accessory intended for use in the diagnosis of disease or other conditions, or in the cure, mitigation, treatment, or prevention of disease in man or other animals. The tests we are developing and marketing are considered by the FDA to be subject to regulation as medical devices. Among other things, pursuant to the FDC Act and its implementing regulations, the FDA regulates the research, testing, manufacturing, safety, labeling, storage, recordkeeping, premarket clearance or approval, marketing and promotion, and sales and distribution of medical devices in the United States to ensure that medical products distributed domestically are safe and effective for their intended uses. The FDA has statutory authority to assure that medical devices are safe and effective for their intended uses, but the FDA has historically exercised its enforcement discretion and not enforced certain applicable provisions of the FDC Act and regulations with respect to LDTs. However, the FDA recently issued a final rule amending the FDA's regulations to make explicit that in vitro diagnostic products (IVDs) are devices under the FDC Act, including when the manufacturer of the IVD is a laboratory, and phasing out its enforcement discretion with respect to LDTs. The final rule was effective as of July 5, 2024 and the phaseout policy is set to be implemented on May 6, 2025.
U.S. Regulation
Clinical Laboratory Improvement Amendments of 1988 (CLIA)
We are required to obtain and hold certain federal and state licenses, certificates, permits and accreditations to offer our products in the United States through our laboratory in Durham, North Carolina. In 1988, Congress passed CLIA, establishing rigorous quality standards for laboratories in the United States that perform testing on human specimens for the purpose of providing information for the diagnosis, prevention, or treatment of disease or impairment of, or the assessment of the health of, human beings. Such testing may also include procedures to determine, measure, or otherwise describe the presence or absence of various substances or organisms in the body. CLIA requires such laboratories to be certified by the federal government and mandates compliance with ongoing requirements intended to ensure the accuracy, reliability, and timeliness of medical test results. CLIA certification is also a prerequisite to be eligible to bill federal and state healthcare programs, as well as many commercial third-party payors, for laboratory testing services. We hold a CLIA Certificate of Accreditation from the CMS and an accreditation from CAP for our Durham, North Carolina laboratory, and a Clinical Laboratory Certificate of Deemed Status from the State of California Department of Public Health. In order to obtain a CLIA certification, a laboratory must validate the test (ensure and document that the test provides accurate and reliable test results) and add the applicable specialty or subspecialty to the test menu. Before introducing and reporting patient results from an LDT, a laboratory is required to establish the specifications for a variety of performance characteristics, including accuracy, precision, analytical sensitivity, analytical specificity, reportable range, and reference interval. Such analytical validation is based on, among other things, the specific conditions, staff, and equipment of the particular laboratory.
Prior to offering a new test at our laboratories, we must also satisfy certain notification requirements to change our testing menu, such as notifications to regulatory and accrediting bodies, CMS, the California Department of Public Health Laboratory Field Services, and CAP. At their discretion, any of these entities may inspect our clinical laboratory at any time. In connection with a CLIA certification, laboratories are subject to routine survey and inspection every other year, as well as additional random or “for cause” inspections. Under CLIA, a survey is generally conducted every two years by CMS, a CMS agent (typically a state agency), or, if the laboratory holds a CLIA Certificate of Accreditation, a CMS-approved accreditation organization (for example, CAP). The routine biennial survey includes review of the laboratory’s analytical validation of any LDTs performed by the laboratory.
Penalties for non-compliance with CLIA requirements include a range of enforcement actions, including suspension, limitation or revocation of the laboratory’s CLIA certificate, as well as directed plan of correction, state on-site monitoring, civil monetary penalties, civil injunctive suit or criminal penalties.
CLIA provides that a state may adopt laboratory regulations that are more stringent than those under federal law, and a number of states have implemented their own more stringent laboratory regulatory requirements. State laws may require that laboratory personnel meet certain qualifications and obtain licenses, specify certain quality
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control procedures and facility requirements, or prescribe record maintenance requirements. For more information on state licensing and other requirements, see “—State Licensing Laws.”
State Licensing Laws
In addition to the federal certification requirement for laboratories under CLIA, many states require licensure for laboratories under state law. For example, both California and North Carolina require laboratories to maintain in-state licenses to conduct testing in the state. In addition to in-state licensing requirements, certain states require licensing of out-of-state laboratories when specimens are collected or received from patients in such states. The state laboratory licensure requirements establish standards for the day-to-day operation of a clinical laboratory, including the training and qualifications required of personnel, quality control, and proficiency testing. Moreover, certain states, such as New York, require state approval of certain tests, including certain tests that have not been cleared or approved by the FDA (such as LDTs), through a premarket submission containing, among other information, documentation relating to device analytical and clinical performance data. The New York State Department of Health also mandates proficiency testing for laboratories granted a permit under New York State law, regardless of whether or not such laboratories are located in New York. We have obtained New York State Department of Health Clinical Laboratory Evaluation Program (NYSDOH CLEP) conditional approval for the updated commercial version of our Galleri launched in the fourth quarter of 2024. Clinical laboratory licensing laws in certain states, however, do not apply to laboratories operated for research purposes that do not return patient-specific results for the purpose of diagnosis or treatment.
Non-compliance with state laboratory licensure requirements may cause the state agency to suspend, restrict, or revoke a license to operate the clinical laboratory, disapprove a licensure application, assess substantial civil money penalties, require onsite monitoring or impose specific corrective action plans. Certain statutory or regulatory noncompliance may also result in misdemeanor charges under state law. CLIA does not preempt state laws that have established laboratory quality standards that are at least as stringent as the federal law requirements under CLIA.
In addition to laboratory licensing, certain states, including California, impose registration and/or licensing requirements on companies that manufacture medical devices. These laws can apply to a manufacturer before its products are commercialized, including when a company is evaluating its product candidates in clinical trials. Violations of these laws may result in the denial, suspension, or revocation of the registration or license, as well as other fines and penalties, including imprisonment.
U.S. Food and Drug Administration
In the United States, laboratory tests, such as Galleri, are subject to regulation by the FDA under the FDC Act and its implementing regulations, and other federal and state statutes and regulations. The laws and regulations govern, among other things, medical device development, testing, manufacture, labeling, storage, premarket clearance or approval, advertising and promotion, export, import, and product sales and distribution.
Laboratory Developed Tests
Under the FDA’s regulatory framework, in vitro diagnostic devices (“IVDs”), such as Galleri, are a type of medical device, including tests that can be used in the diagnosis or detection of diseases, such as cancer, or other conditions. The FDA considers LDTs to be a subset of IVDs that are intended for clinical use and are designed, manufactured, and used within a single laboratory. Although the FDA has statutory authority to assure that medical devices, including IVDs, are safe and effective for their intended uses, the FDA has historically exercised its enforcement discretion and not enforced certain applicable provisions of the FDC Act and regulations with respect to LDTs, with certain exceptions such as in the case of tests for public health emergencies or where the tests are offered directly to the consumer. Even under its current enforcement discretion policy, the FDA has issued warning letters to and safety communications about in vitro diagnostic device manufacturers for commercializing laboratory tests that were purported to be LDTs but that the FDA alleged failed to meet the definition of an LDT or otherwise were not subject to the FDA’s enforcement discretion policy.
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The FDA has for a number of years stated its intention to modify its enforcement discretion policy with respect to LDTs and impose applicable medical device requirements to LDTs more broadly. Most recently, the FDA proposed an amendment to its regulations in October 2023 that was finalized in May 2024, and became effective on July 5, 2024. This final rule clarifies the FDA’s historical view that LDTs are medical devices subject to the requirements applicable to other IVDs, and the FDA plans to phase in the enforcement of medical device requirements to LDTs over a period of four years.
In connection with the final rule, the FDA established certain new, targeted enforcement discretion policies, including, among others, for LDTs marketed as of the date of publication of the final rule (May 6, 2024), as well as for LDTs that have received approval from New York State’s Clinical Laboratory Evaluation Program (“NY CLEP”). Specifically, the FDA intends to exercise enforcement discretion and not enforce certain medical device requirements (including the requirements for marketing authorization and compliance with certain elements of the Quality System Regulation (“QSR”)) with respect to LDTs that were marketed as of the date of the final rule’s publication, although such products must still comply with certain other FDA requirements, including registration and listing, portions of the QSR, medical device reporting, labeling, and corrections and removals reporting. However, where these tests are modified in certain ways from the version of the test marketed as of the final rule’s publication date, this enforcement discretion policy will no longer apply and the FDA intends to enforce all applicable FDA requirements (including premarket review and marketing authorization requirements) consistent with the phase-in policy. In addition, for LDTs that receive approval from NY CLEP, FDA intends not to enforce marketing authorization requirements when these requirements are phased in more generally at either three and a half or four years following the date of publication of the final rule. However, these tests will still be subject to the remaining medical device requirements, including registration and listing, medical device reporting, and quality system requirements, at the time that such requirements are phased in more generally.
In addition to the FDA’s final rule, Congress has, for over the past decade, considered a number of proposals, which if enacted, would subject LDTs to additional regulatory requirements. Depending on the approach adopted under any potential legislation, certain LDTs (likely those of higher risk) may be required to undergo some form of premarket review of LDTs as IVCTs, potentially with a transition period for compliance and a grandfathering provision.
PMA Pathway
The FDA categorizes medical devices into one of three classes—class I, II, or III—based on the risks presented by the device and the regulatory controls necessary to provide a reasonable assurance of the device’s safety and effectiveness. Class I includes devices with the lowest risk to the patient and are those for which safety and effectiveness can be assured by adherence to the FDA’s General Controls for medical devices, which include compliance with the applicable portions of the QSR facility registration and product listing, reporting of adverse medical events, and truthful and non-misleading labeling, advertising, and promotional materials. Class II devices are subject to the FDA’s General Controls, and special controls as deemed necessary by the FDA to ensure the safety and effectiveness of the device. Special controls are established by the FDA for a specific device type and often include specific labeling provisions, performance metrics, and other types of controls that mitigate risks of the device (usually incorrect results for an IVD). While most Class I devices are exempt from the 510(k) premarket notification requirement, manufacturers of most Class II devices are required to submit to the FDA a premarket notification under Section 510(k) of the FDCA requesting permission to commercially distribute the device. The FDA’s permission to commercially distribute a device subject to a 510(k) premarket notification is generally known as 510(k) clearance. Under the 510(k) process, the manufacturer must submit to the FDA a premarket notification demonstrating that the device is “substantially equivalent” to either a device that was legally marketed prior to May 28, 1976, the date upon which the Medical Device Amendments of 1976 were enacted, or another legally marketed device that was cleared through the 510(k) process. Devices deemed by the FDA to pose the greatest risks, such as life-sustaining, life-supporting or some implantable devices, or devices that have a new intended use, or use advanced technology that is not substantially equivalent to that of a legally marketed device, are placed in Class III, requiring approval of a PMA. Some pre-amendment devices are unclassified, but are subject to the FDA’s premarket notification and clearance process in order to be commercially distributed.
Class III devices generally require PMA approval before they can be marketed. Obtaining PMA approval requires the submission of “valid scientific evidence” to the FDA to support a finding of a reasonable assurance of the safety and effectiveness of the device. A PMA must provide complete analytical and clinical performance data
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and also information about the device and its components regarding, among other things, device design, manufacturing, and labeling. Following receipt of a PMA, the FDA determines whether the application is sufficiently complete to permit a substantive review. If the FDA accepts the application for review, it has 180 days under the FDC Act to complete its review of a PMA, although in practice, the FDA’s review often takes significantly longer, and can take up to several years. An advisory panel of experts from outside the FDA may be convened to review and evaluate the application and provide recommendations to the FDA as to the approvability of the device. The FDA may or may not accept the panel’s recommendation. As part of the FDA’s review of a PMA, the FDA will typically inspect the manufacturer’s facilities for compliance with QSR requirements, which impose requirements related to design controls, manufacturing controls, documentation, and other quality assurance procedures. The user fee costs and the length of the FDA review time for obtaining PMA approval are significantly higher than for a 510(k) notification or a de novo classification.
The FDA will approve the new device for commercial distribution if it determines that the data and information in the PMA constitute valid scientific evidence and that there is reasonable assurance that the device is safe and effective for its intended use(s). The FDA may approve a PMA with post-approval conditions intended to ensure the safety and effectiveness of the device, including, among other things, restrictions on labeling, promotion, sale and distribution, and collection of long-term follow-up data from patients in the clinical study that supported PMA approval or requirements to conduct additional clinical studies post-approval. The FDA may condition PMA approval on some form of post-market surveillance when deemed necessary to protect the public health or to provide additional safety and efficacy data for the device in a larger population or for a longer period of use. In such cases, the manufacturer might be required to follow certain patient groups for a number of years and to make periodic reports to the FDA on the clinical status of those patients. Failure to comply with the conditions of approval can result in material adverse enforcement action, including withdrawal of the approval.
Certain changes to an approved device, such as changes in manufacturing facilities, methods, or quality control procedures, or changes in the design performance specifications, which affect the safety or effectiveness of the device, require submission of a PMA supplement. PMA supplements often require submission of the same type of information as a PMA, except that the supplement is limited to information needed to support any changes from the device covered by the original PMA and may not require as extensive clinical data or the convening of an advisory panel. Certain other changes to an approved device require the submission of a new PMA, such as when the design change causes a different intended use, mode of operation, and technical basis of operation, or when the design change is so significant that a new generation of the device will be developed, and the data that were submitted with the original PMA are not applicable for the change in demonstrating a reasonable assurance of safety and effectiveness.
Investigational Device Exemption Process . Clinical trials are almost always required to support a PMA and are sometimes required to support PMA supplements. All clinical investigations of investigational devices to determine safety and effectiveness must be conducted in accordance with the FDA’s investigational device exemption (“IDE”) regulations which govern investigational device labeling, prohibit promotion of the investigational device, and specify an array of recordkeeping, reporting, and monitoring responsibilities of study sponsors and study investigators. If the device presents a “significant risk” to human health, as defined by the FDA, the FDA requires the device sponsor to submit an IDE application to the FDA, which must become effective prior to commencing human clinical trials. A significant risk device is one that presents a potential for serious risk to the health, safety, or welfare of a patient and either is implanted, used in supporting or sustaining human life, substantially important in diagnosing, curing, mitigating or treating disease or otherwise preventing impairment of human health, or otherwise presents a potential for serious risk to a subject. An IDE application must be supported by appropriate data, such as animal and laboratory test results, showing that it is safe to test the device in humans and that the testing protocol is scientifically sound. The IDE will automatically become effective 30 days after receipt by the FDA unless the FDA notifies the company that the investigation may not begin. If the FDA determines that there are deficiencies or other concerns with an IDE for which it requires modification, the FDA may permit a clinical trial to proceed under a conditional approval.
In addition, the study must be approved by, and conducted under the oversight of, an Institutional Review Board (“IRB”) for each clinical site. The IRB is responsible for the initial and continuing review of the IDE, and may pose additional requirements for the conduct of the study. If an IDE application is approved by the FDA and one or more IRBs, human clinical trials may begin at a specific number of investigational sites with a specific number of patients, as approved by the FDA. If the device presents a non-significant risk to the patient, a sponsor may begin
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the clinical trial after obtaining approval for the trial by one or more IRBs without separate approval from the FDA, but must still follow abbreviated IDE requirements, such as monitoring the investigation, ensuring that the investigators obtain informed consent, and labeling and record-keeping requirements. Acceptance of an IDE application for review does not guarantee that the FDA will allow the IDE to become effective and, if it does become effective, the FDA may or may not determine that the data derived from the trials support the safety and effectiveness of the device or warrant the continuation of clinical trials. An IDE supplement must be submitted to, and approved by, the FDA before a sponsor or investigator may make a change to the investigational plan that may affect its scientific soundness, study plan or the rights, safety or welfare of human subjects.
During a study, the sponsor is required to comply with the applicable FDA requirements, including, for example, trial monitoring, selecting clinical investigators and providing them with the investigational plan, ensuring IRB review, adverse event reporting, record keeping, and prohibitions on the promotion of investigational devices or on making safety or effectiveness claims for them. The clinical investigators in the clinical study are also subject to FDA regulations and must obtain patient informed consent, rigorously follow the investigational plan and study protocol, control the disposition of the investigational device, and comply with all reporting and recordkeeping requirements. Additionally, after a trial begins, we, the FDA or the IRB could suspend or terminate a clinical trial at any time for various reasons, including a belief that the risks to study subjects outweigh the anticipated benefits.
Expedited Development and Review Programs . The FDA has established programs to support and expedite the development of devices that meet criteria for Breakthrough Device designation, which can be voluntarily requested by sponsors. The program offers manufacturers of certain devices an opportunity to interact with the FDA more frequently and efficiently as they develop their products with the goal of expediting commercialization of such products to help patients have more timely access, as well as use of post-market data collection, when scientifically appropriate, to facilitate expedited and efficient development and review of the device, opportunities for efficient and flexible clinical study design, and priority review of premarket submissions. The program is available to medical devices that meet certain eligibility criteria, including that the device provides more effective treatment or diagnosis of life-threatening or irreversibly debilitating diseases or conditions, and constitutes a device (i) that represents a breakthrough technology, (ii) for which no approved or cleared alternatives exist, (iii) that offer significant advantages over existing approved or cleared alternatives, or (iv) the availability of which is in the best interest of patients.
Postmarket Regulation . After a device is cleared or approved by the FDA for marketing, numerous and pervasive regulatory requirements continue to apply. These include:
• establishment registration and device listing with the FDA;
• QSR requirements, which currently require manufacturers, including third-party manufacturers, to follow stringent design, testing, control, documentation and other quality assurance procedures during all aspects of the design and manufacturing process;
• labeling regulations and FDA prohibitions against the promotion of “off-label” uses of cleared or approved products;
• requirements related to promotional activities;
• approval of certain modifications to PMA approved devices and their manufacturing processes;
• medical device reporting regulations, which require that a manufacturer report to the FDA if a device it markets may have caused or contributed to a death or serious injury, or has malfunctioned and the device or a similar device that it markets would be likely to cause or contribute to a death or serious injury, if the malfunction were to recur;
• correction, removal and recall reporting regulations, which require that manufacturers report to the FDA field corrections and product recalls or removals if undertaken to reduce a risk to health posed by the device or to remedy a violation of the FDC Act that may present a risk to health;
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• complying with the laws and regulations requiring Unique Device Identifiers on devices and also requiring the submission of certain information about each device to the FDA’s Global Unique Device Identification Database
• the FDA’s recall authority, whereby the agency can order device manufacturers to recall from the market a product that is in violation of governing laws and regulations; and
• post-market surveillance activities and regulations, which apply when deemed by the FDA to be necessary to protect the public health or to provide additional safety and effectiveness data for the device.
Device manufacturing processes subject to FDA oversight are required to comply with the applicable portions of the QSR, which currently cover the methods and the facilities and controls for the design, manufacture, testing, production, processes, controls, quality assurance, labeling, packaging, distribution, installation, and servicing of finished devices intended for human use. The QSR also requires, among other things, maintenance of a device master file, device history file, and complaint files. Manufacturers are subject to periodic scheduled or unscheduled inspections by the FDA. A failure to maintain compliance with the QSR requirements could result in the shut-down of, or restrictions on, manufacturing operations and the recall or seizure of products. The discovery of previously unknown problems with products, including unanticipated adverse events or adverse events of increasing severity or frequency, whether resulting from the use of the device within the scope of its approval or off-label by a physician in the practice of medicine, could result in restrictions on the device, including the removal of the product from the market or voluntary or mandatory device recalls.
FDA Enforcement Powers . The FDA has broad regulatory compliance and enforcement powers. If the FDA determines that a manufacturer has failed to comply with applicable regulatory requirements, it can take a variety of compliance or enforcement actions, including the following:
• issuance of warning letters, untitled letters, fines, injunctions, consent decrees and civil penalties;
• requesting or requiring recalls, withdrawals, or administrative detention or seizure of our products;
• imposing operating restrictions or partial suspension or total shutdown of production;
• refusing or delaying requests for marketing authorization of new products or modified products;
• withdrawing marketing authorizations that have already been granted;
• refusal to grant export approvals for our products; or
• criminal prosecution.
Federal and State Physician Self-Referral Prohibitions
We are subject to the federal physician self-referral prohibitions, commonly known as the Stark Law. The Stark Law generally prohibits us from billing, presenting, or causing to be presented a claim for any clinical laboratory services or other designated health services payable by the Medicare or Medicaid programs when the physician ordering the service, or any member of such physician’s immediate family, has an ownership interest in, or compensation arrangement with, us, unless the arrangement meets an exception to the prohibition. The Stark Law contains several exceptions, including an exception for compensation paid to a physician for personal services rendered by the physician provided that several conditions are met, including that the payment is set at fair market value for the services furnished and the terms of the arrangement be set out in writing and signed by the parties. These prohibitions apply regardless of the reasons for the financial relationship and the referral. The Stark Law is a strict liability statute, and thus no finding of intent is required for a violation.
Sanctions for a violation of the Stark Law include the following:
• denial of payment for the services provided in violation of the prohibition;
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• refunds of amounts collected by an entity in violation of the Stark Law;
• monetary penalties; and
• exclusion from federal healthcare programs, including Medicare and Medicaid.
In addition, violations of the Stark Law may also serve as the basis for liability under the Federal False Claims Act, which prohibits knowingly presenting, or causing to be presented, a false or fraudulent claim for payment to the federal government.
Many states, including California, also have laws restricting physicians from referring persons for certain services to entities in which the referring physician has a financial interest, which may apply regardless of whether the payor for such claims is Medicare or Medicaid. For example, we are subject to the California Physician Ownership and Referral Act of 1993 (“PORA”). PORA, which applies regardless of payor type, generally prohibits physicians from referring individuals for certain services, including laboratory or diagnostic services, if the physician or his or her immediate family has a financial interest in the entity receiving the referral. PORA would generally prohibit us from billing an individual or any governmental or private payor for any laboratory or diagnostic services when the physician ordering the service, or any member of such physician’s immediate family, has an investment interest in, or compensation arrangement with, us, unless the arrangement falls under one of the statutory exceptions. Further, certain violations of PORA are a misdemeanor, and violations generally could result in civil penalties, criminal fines, and disciplinary action by the applicable governmental agency. Finally, other states have self-referral restrictions with which we have to comply, which may differ from those imposed by federal and California law.
Healthcare Fraud and Abuse
Our business operations, including any relationship we may form with physicians, healthcare providers or other potential customers or business partners, must comply with various healthcare fraud and abuse laws.
The federal healthcare program Anti-Kickback Statute makes it a felony for a person or entity, including a laboratory, to knowingly and willfully offer, pay, solicit, or receive remuneration, directly or indirectly, in order to induce business that is reimbursable under any federal healthcare program, including the Medicare and Medicaid programs. A person or entity does not need to have actual knowledge of the statute or specific intent to violate it in order to have committed a violation. The Anti-Kickback Statute contains certain statutory exceptions and regulatory safe harbors that protect certain interactions if specific requirements are met. If an arrangement meets the provisions of a safe harbor, it is deemed not to violate the Anti-Kickback Statute. An arrangement must fully comply with each element of an applicable safe harbor in order to qualify for protection. The failure of a transaction or arrangement to fit within a specific safe harbor, however, does not necessarily mean that the transaction or arrangement is illegal or that prosecution under the federal Anti-Kickback Statute will be pursued if the arrangement is determined by the government not to be abusive. A violation of the Anti-Kickback Statute may result in imprisonment, fines and possible exclusion from Medicare, Medicaid, and other federal healthcare programs. Actions that violate the Anti-Kickback Statute or any similar laws may also incur liability under the Federal False Claims Act.
Although the Anti-Kickback Statute applies only to federal healthcare programs, a number of states have passed statutes substantially similar to the Anti-Kickback Statute. For example, California has enacted the PORA (see “—Federal and State Physician Self-Referral Prohibitions” above) and a Medi-Cal Anti-Kickback Statute, Welfare and Institutions Code Section 14107.2, that prohibit conduct similar to that prohibited by the Anti-Kickback Statute. Violations of PORA and Section 14107.2 are both punishable by imprisonment and fines. Many other states have all-payor statutes that extend the provisions of the state anti-kickback statute to not only governmental payors, but also private payors and self-pay patients.
Federal and state law enforcement authorities scrutinize arrangements between healthcare providers and potential referral sources to ensure that the arrangements are not designed as a mechanism to induce healthcare referrals or induce the purchase, prescribing or ordering of particular products or services. Law enforcement authorities and the courts have also demonstrated a willingness to look behind the formalities of a transaction to determine the underlying purpose of any remuneration exchanged between healthcare providers and actual or
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potential referral sources. Generally, courts have taken a broad interpretation of the scope of the Anti-Kickback Statute, holding that the statute may be violated if merely one purpose of a payment arrangement is to induce referrals or purchases. Investigation or challenge under the federal Anti-Kickback Statute and analogous state laws of any relationship we may form with physicians, healthcare providers or other potential customers or business partners could lead to sanctions that could have a negative effect on our business.
In addition, other healthcare fraud and abuse laws could have an effect on our business. For example, in 2018, Congress enacted the Eliminating Kickbacks in Recovery Act of 2018 (“EKRA”), which establishes an all-payor anti-kickback prohibition for, among other things, knowingly and willfully paying or offering any remuneration directly or indirectly to induce a referral of an individual to a clinical laboratory. Violations of EKRA may result in fines, imprisonment, or both.
The federal Civil Monetary Penalties law prohibits, among other things, offering or transferring remuneration to a federal healthcare program beneficiary that a person knows or should know is likely to influence the beneficiary’s decision to order or receive items or services reimbursable by a federal healthcare program from a particular provider or supplier. Penalties for violating the Civil Monetary Penalties law may include exclusion from federal healthcare programs and substantial fines.
The Federal False Claims Act prohibits a person from knowingly submitting (or causing to be submitted) a claim, making a false record or statement in order to secure payment, or retaining an overpayment by the federal government. Moreover, the government may assert that a claim including items and services resulting from a violation of the U.S. federal Anti-Kickback Statute constitutes a false or fraudulent claim for purposes of the civil False Claims Act. In addition to actions initiated by the government itself, the statute authorizes actions to be brought on behalf of the federal government by a private party known as the “relator” who has knowledge of the alleged fraud. These types of actions are also known as qui tam or “whistleblower” lawsuits. Because the complaint is initially filed under seal, the action may be pending for some time before the defendant is even aware of the action. If the government is ultimately successful in obtaining redress in the matter or if the plaintiff succeeds in obtaining redress without the government’s involvement, then the plaintiff will receive a percentage of the recovery. It is not uncommon for qui tam lawsuits to be filed by employees, third parties or consultants of healthcare providers, including clinical laboratories. Several states have also enacted similar false claims laws.
Further, the Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act of 1996 (“HIPAA”) created two federal crimes: healthcare fraud and false statements relating to healthcare matters, in addition to the privacy and security regulations described below under “—Privacy Regulation.” The healthcare fraud statute prohibits knowingly and willfully executing a scheme to defraud any healthcare benefit program, including private payors. A violation of this statute is a felony and may result in fines, imprisonment, or exclusion from government-sponsored programs. The false statements statute prohibits knowingly and willfully falsifying, concealing, or covering up a material fact, or making any materially false, fictitious, or fraudulent statement in connection with the delivery of, or payment for, healthcare benefits, items, or services. Similar to the U.S. federal Anti-Kickback Statute, a person or entity does not need to have actual knowledge of the statute or specific intent to violate it in order to have committed a violation. A violation of this statute is a felony and may result in fines or imprisonment.
Similar foreign laws and regulations may apply to us if we offer our products in foreign jurisdictions in the future.
While we intend fully to comply with applicable federal and state fraud and abuse laws, and similar laws of other states and countries as we commercialize products, it is possible that some of our arrangements or arrangements we may enter into in the future could become subject to regulatory scrutiny, and we cannot provide assurance that we will be found to be in compliance with these laws following any such regulatory review.
Transparency Laws
The Sunshine Act was enacted by Congress in 2010 as part of the Affordable Care Act (“ACA”) and was amended in 2018 by the Substance Use-Disorder Prevention that Promotes Opioid Recovery and Treatment for Patients and Communities Act. The Sunshine Act requires certain manufacturers of drugs, devices, biologics and medical supplies for which payment is available under Medicare, Medicaid or the Children’s Health Insurance Program, with specific exceptions, to report annually to CMS certain data on payments and other transfers of
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value made to U.S.-licensed physicians (as defined by statute), teaching hospitals, and certain non-physician practitioners, including physician assistants, nurse practitioners, clinical nurse specialists, certified nurse anesthetists, anesthesiologist assistants and certified nurse-midwives. The data are sent to CMS for public disclosure on the Open Payments.
Additional International Regulation and Product Approval
We may have to obtain or submit approvals, markings, notifications, certifications or satisfy other premarket requirements from regulatory authorities in non-U.S. jurisdictions prior to marketing our products in those countries and territories. The laws and regulations in other jurisdictions vary from those in the United States and may be easier or more difficult to satisfy, and they are subject to change, in some cases frequently. Certain regulatory authorities regulate LDTs and IVDs differently than the United States, and our products may need to satisfy additional requirements to be offered commercially within the jurisdictions.
Foreign Regulation
Medical devices (including IVDs) are subject to extensive regulation, such as premarket review, marketing authorization or certification, by similar agencies or notified bodies in other countries. Regulatory requirements and approval or certification processes are not harmonized and vary from one country to another. International regulators and notified bodies are independent and not bound by the findings of the FDA.
Regulation of In Vitro Diagnostic Medical Devices in the European Union
We are or may become subject to new laws, regulations, and industry standards concerning medical devices proposed and enacted in various foreign jurisdictions, including the European Union (“EU”). The EU has adopted specific directives and regulations regulating the design, manufacture, clinical investigation, conformity assessment, labeling, and adverse event reporting for IVDs. Until May 25, 2022, IVDs were regulated by Directive 98/79/EC (“EU IVDD”), which has been repealed and replaced by Regulation (EU) No 2017/746 (“EU IVDR”). The EU IVDR became effective on May 26, 2022. However, to prevent disruption in the supply of IVDs on the EU market, “progressive” roll-out of the EU IVDR was adopted and subsequently extended following the adoption of several regulations. It provides for a tiered grace period for most devices depending on the risk classification of the device. Galleri currently benefits from the grace period applicable to Class C IVDs, and therefore must only be fully compliant with the EU IVDR requirements by December 31, 2028 subject to compliance with the transitional provisions. Galleri has been assessed in accordance with the EU IVDD whose regime is described below. However, as of May 26, 2022 and regardless of the tiered grace period, some of the EU IVDR requirements apply in place of the corresponding requirements of the EU IVDD with regard to registration of economic operators and of devices, post-market surveillance and vigilance requirements. Pursuing marketing of IVDs in the EU will notably require that our devices be certified under the new regime set forth in the EU IVDR by the end of the transitional period at the latest.
In Vitro Diagnostic Medical Devices Directive
Under the EU IVDD, an IVD may be placed on the market only if it conforms the essential requirements set out in the EU IVDD including the requirement that an IVD must be designed and manufactured in such a way that it will not compromise the clinical condition or safety of patients, or the safety and health of users and others. In addition, the device must achieve the performances intended by the manufacturer and be designed, manufactured, and packaged in a suitable manner. The European Commission has adopted various standards applicable to medical devices. There are also harmonized standards relating to design and manufacture. While not mandatory, compliance with these standards is viewed as the easiest way to satisfy the essential requirements as a practical matter as it creates a rebuttable presumption that the device satisfies that essential requirement.
As a general rule, demonstration of conformity of IVDs and their manufacturers with the essential requirements must be based, among other things, on the evaluation of clinical data supporting the safety and performance of the products during normal conditions of use. Specifically, a manufacturer must demonstrate that the device achieves its intended performance during normal conditions of use, that the known and foreseeable risks, and any adverse events, are minimized and acceptable when weighed against the benefits of its intended
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performance, and that any claims made about the performance and safety of the device are supported by suitable evidence.
In Vitro Diagnostic Medical Devices Regulation
The regulatory landscape related to IVDs in the EU recently evolved. On April 5, 2017, the EU IVDR was adopted with the aim of ensuring better protection of public health and patient safety. The EU IVDR establishes a uniform, transparent, predictable and sustainable regulatory framework across the EU for IVDs and ensures a high level of safety and health while supporting innovation. Unlike the EU IVDD, the EU IVDR is directly applicable in EU member states without the need for member states to implement it into national law. This aims at increasing harmonization across the EU.
The EU IVDR became effective on May 26, 2022. IVDs lawfully placed on the market pursuant to the EU IVDD prior to May 26, 2022 may generally continue to be made available on the market or put into service, provided that the requirements of the transitional provisions are fulfilled. However, even in this case, manufacturers must comply with a number of new or reinforced requirements set forth in the EU IVDR, in particular the obligations described below.
All manufacturers placing medical devices into the market in the EU must comply with the EU medical device vigilance system. Under this system, serious incidents and Field Safety Corrective Actions (“FSCAs”) must be reported to the relevant authorities of the EU member states. Manufacturers are required to take FSCAs defined as any corrective action for technical or medical reasons to prevent or reduce a risk of a serious incident associated with the use of a medical device that is made available on the market. An FSCA may include the recall, modification, exchange, destruction or retrofitting of the device.
The aforementioned EU rules are generally applicable in the European Economic Area (“EEA”), which consists of the 27 EU member states plus Norway, Liechtenstein, and Iceland, and also generally applicable in Türkiye.
Regulations Related to Clinical Laboratories in the European Union
The EU does not have an overarching law or regulation that governs the legal framework surrounding the operations of clinical laboratories in a way that would be analogous to CLIA in the United States. However, EU member states’ laws may affect how our business as a diagnostic testing service provider is carried out.
Other laws and guidelines that impact clinical laboratories’ work include the Convention for the Protection of Human Rights and Dignity of the Human Being with regard to the Application of Biology and Medicine, the Declaration of Helsinki adopted by the World Medical Association and related codes of conduct and guidelines issued by the relevant research ethics committees.
The aforementioned EU rules are generally applicable in the EEA.
Regulation of In Vitro Diagnostic Medical Devices in the United Kingdom
Following Brexit, EU laws no longer apply directly in Great Britain. The regulations on IVDs in Great Britain continue to be based largely on the EU IVDD, which preceded the EU IVDR, as implemented into national law by the Medical Devices Regulation 2002 (“UK MDR”). However, under the terms of the Protocol on Ireland/Northern Ireland, the EU IVDR does apply to Northern Ireland. Consequently, there are currently different regulations in place in Great Britain as compared to both Northern Ireland and the EU, respectively. The United Kingdom government has passed the Medicines and Medical Devices Act 2021, which introduces delegated powers in favor of the Secretary of State or an “appropriate authority” to amend or supplement existing regulations in the area of medicinal products and medical devices. This allows new rules to be introduced in the future by way of secondary legislation, which aims to allow flexibility in addressing regulatory gaps and future changes in the fields of human medicines, clinical trials and medical devices.
Since January 1, 2021, the Medicines and Healthcare Products Regulatory Agency (“MHRA”) has become the sovereign regulatory authority responsible for Great Britain. All IVDs are required to be registered with the
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MHRA, and since January 1, 2022, manufacturers based outside the UK have been required to appoint a UK responsible person that has a registered place of business in the UK to register devices with the MHRA.
Under the powers granted by the Medicines and Medical Devices Act 2021, on December 16, 2024, the UK government published an amendment to the UK MDR to clarify and strengthen the post-market surveillance (PMS) requirements for medical devices in Great Britain. This amendment will come into force on June, 16 2025 and aims to facilitate greater traceability of incidents and trends enabling the MHRA to act swiftly when needed to address safety issues and support the entire health system in better protecting patients. In addition, the MHRA launched a consultation from November 14, 2024 to January 5, 2025 on proposed changes to the pre-market requirements for medical devices in Great Britain. The MHRA has stated that it will incorporate feedback to this consultation in drafting new UK legislation on pre-market requirements for medical devices in Great Britain. The new legislation is expected to be implemented in 2026 and aims to enable greater international collaboration and practices, with more patient-centered, proportionate requirements for medical devices which are responsive to technological advances.
Under the UK MDR, in order to be lawfully placed on the Great Britain market, class A (non-sterile) IVDs need to be “UKCA” self certified, and other IVDs need to be “UKCA” certified by a UK approved body. However, certain IVDs in compliance with either the EU IVDD or IVDR can continue to be placed on the Great Britain market until the sooner of certificate expiration or June 30, 2030.
Coverage and Reimbursement
We are pursuing payment for our products through a diverse and broad range of channels, including sales to self-insured employers, integrated health systems, healthcare providers, life insurance companies, and patients, as well as, where available, through coverage and reimbursement by government healthcare programs and commercial third-party payors.
United States
In the United States, there is no uniform coverage for clinical laboratory tests. The extent of coverage and rate of payment for covered services varies from payor to payor. Obtaining coverage for tests like ours that involve genomic sequencing can be particularly challenging.
Medicare is the single largest healthcare payor in the United States, and a particularly significant payor for many cancer-related laboratory services given the demographics of the Medicare population, a large portion of which includes elderly individuals. Many other U.S. payors look to the Medicare policies as a benchmark and model for their own. Medicare provides two main forms of insurance coverage: traditional Medicare fee-for-service, administered by the federal government and its contractors, and Medicare Advantage, where coverage is provided by private insurers approved by CMS that must follow federal rules and guidelines.
Generally, Medicare will not cover screening tests, which are considered preventive services, that are performed in the absence of signs or symptoms of illness or injury, except if explicitly authorized by statute. CMS, the agency responsible for administering the Medicare program, authorizes certain additional preventive services including certain screening tests that are not expressly covered by statute if the service is (a) reasonable and necessary for the prevention or early detection of an illness or disability, (b) recommended with a grade of A or B by the USPSTF, an independent, volunteer panel of experts in the field of prevention, evidence-based medicine and primary care, and (c) appropriate for Medicare beneficiaries under Part A or Part B. CMS establishes coverage through an NCD process. In making the NCD determination, CMS may also consider, among other things, the relationship between predicted outcomes and expenditures for such services, and take into account the results of such an assessment in making such determination. In its discretion, the USPSTF generally waits for FDA authorization before it considers undertaking review of novel technology.
Galleri could be considered a screening test under Medicare and, accordingly, is unlikely to be covered by Medicare without pursuing the CMS NCD-related measures described above. These processes may take multiple years to complete as currently, coverage decisions for preventive services are not made prior to FDA authorization. Even if we pursue these processes, it is possible that Galleri will never become eligible for Medicare coverage and reimbursement. We are evaluating opportunities for nearer-term reimbursement through Medicare
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Advantage plans, while generating evidence to meet the requirements of the traditional Medicare path. Medicare Advantage plans generally must cover all of the services that traditional Medicare covers (except hospice care), but they have the discretion to offer their enrollees additional, or supplemental, benefits not otherwise covered under traditional Medicare, including those benefits referred to as optional supplemental benefits, for which enrollees may elect to pay extra to receive coverage. Obtaining such coverage may, however, involve lengthy negotiations with individual Medicare Advantage plans, and there is no guarantee that we will receive such coverage. We also intend to continue to pursue coverage and reimbursement from private payors for our products. Many of these private payors must cover certain services required by federal and state laws, such as preventive health services that have received a rating of A or B by the USPSTF. Like Medicare Advantage plans, private payors have discretion to extend greater coverage than recognized under traditional Medicare, but obtaining coverage from such payors generally involves lengthy negotiations, and there is no guarantee that we will receive such coverage. State Medicaid programs make individual coverage decisions for diagnostic tests and have taken steps to control the cost, utilization and delivery of healthcare services, meaning that, even if Galleri receives coverage through private payors, there is no guarantee that it will be covered by individual state Medicaid programs.
If eligible for reimbursement, laboratory tests such as ours generally are classified for reimbursement purposes under CMS’s Healthcare Common Procedure Coding System (“HCPCS”) and the American Medical Association’s (“AMA”) Current Procedural Terminology (“CPT”) coding systems. We and payors must use those coding systems to bill and pay for our diagnostic tests, respectively. These HCPCS and CPT codes are associated with the particular product or service that is provided to the individual. Accordingly, without an HCPCS or CPT code applicable to our tests, the submission and payment of claims would be a significant challenge. Once CMS creates an HCPCS code or the AMA establishes a CPT code, CMS establishes payment rates and coverage rules under traditional Medicare, and private payors establish rates and coverage rules independently. Under Medicare, payment for laboratory tests is generally made under the Clinical Laboratory Fee Schedule (“CLFS”) with payment amounts assigned to specific HCPCS and CPT codes.
In April 2014, Congress passed the Protecting Access to Medicare Act of 2014 (“PAMA”), which included substantial changes to the way in which clinical laboratory services are paid under Medicare. Under PAMA (as amended by the Further Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2020), laboratories that receive the majority of their Medicare revenue from payments made under the CLFS and Physician Fee Schedule and receive at least $12,500 in Medicare revenues for CLFS services during a data collection period are subject to certain reporting requirements. CMS uses the data reported, which includes certain private payor payment rates for each test the laboratory performs, the volume of tests paid at each rate, and the HCPCS code associated with the test, to calculate a weighted median payment rate for each test, which is used to establish revised Medicare CLFS reimbursement rates for clinical diagnostic laboratory tests (“CDLTs”). If the test is an advanced diagnostic laboratory test (“ADLT”), the test will be paid based on an actual list charge for an initial period of three quarters before being shifted to the weighted median private payor rate reported by the laboratory performing the ADLT. Laboratories offering ADLTs are subject to recoupment if the actual list charge exceeds the weighted median private payor rate by a certain amount. Accordingly, if our tests receive Medicare coverage in the future, the reimbursement rate we receive for such tests may be affected by payment rates made by private payors for such tests.
The revised reimbursement methodology described above generally results in relatively lower reimbursement amounts under Medicare for clinical laboratory services than has been historically reimbursed. Any reductions to reimbursement rates resulting from the new methodology are limited to 0% in 2023 and 15% per test per year in each of 2024 through 2026.
In addition, PAMA codified Medicare coverage rules for laboratory tests by requiring any local coverage determination to be made following the local coverage determination process. PAMA also authorizes CMS to consolidate coverage policies for clinical laboratory tests among one to four laboratory-specific MACs. These same contractors may also be designated to process claims if CMS determines that such a model is appropriate. It is unclear whether CMS will proceed with contractor consolidation under this authorization.
General Coverage and Reimbursement Considerations
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Across jurisdictions, a decision to provide coverage for a product from a government payor, such as Medicare, or other third-party payor does not imply that an adequate reimbursement rate will be approved. Further, coverage and reimbursement for products, and services that utilize such products, can differ significantly from payor to payor. As a result, the coverage determination process is often a time-consuming and costly process that will require us to provide scientific and clinical support for the use of our products to each payor separately, with no assurance that coverage and adequate reimbursement will be applied consistently or obtained in the first instance or at all.
Third-party payors are increasingly challenging the price and examining the medical necessity and cost-effectiveness of medical products and services, including clinical laboratory tests, in addition to their safety and efficacy. In certain foreign markets, the government controls the coverage and pricing of many healthcare products, including IVDs and clinical laboratory tests. In order to obtain coverage and reimbursement for any product that might be cleared or approved by regulators for sale (or certified by a notified body), or for any procedure that utilizes such product, it may be necessary to conduct health economic studies in order to demonstrate the medical necessity and cost-effectiveness of the products. The cost of such studies would be in addition to the costs required to obtain regulatory approvals or certifications. If third-party payors do not consider a product to be cost-effective compared to other available products, they may not cover the product after approval (or certification) as a benefit under their plans or, if they do, the level of payment may not be sufficient to allow a company to sell its products at a profit. Tests such as ours that will cover a large population and could potentially generate a significant number of false-positive results on an absolute basis may face incremental scrutiny in obtaining reimbursement from third-party payors given the additional costs of further diagnostic workup.
The marketability of Galleri may suffer if government and third-party payors fail to provide adequate coverage and reimbursement. In addition, emphasis on managed care in the United States has increased, and we expect will continue to increase the pressure on medical products and services pricing. Coverage policies and third-party reimbursement rates may change at any time. Even if favorable coverage and reimbursement status is attained for our tests, less favorable coverage policies and reimbursement rates may be implemented in the future.
Healthcare Reform
In the United States and certain foreign jurisdictions, there have been a number of legislative and regulatory changes to the healthcare system. Changes in healthcare policy could increase our costs and subject us to additional regulatory requirements that may interrupt commercialization of our products, decrease our revenue and adversely impact sales of, and pricing of and reimbursement for, our products. For example, in March 2010, the ACA was signed into law, which substantially changed the way healthcare is financed by both governmental and private insurers in the United States. The ACA contains a number of provisions, including those governing enrollment in federal healthcare programs, reimbursement adjustments, and fraud and abuse changes.
The implementation of the ACA in the United States, for example, has changed healthcare financing and delivery by both governmental and private insurers substantially, and affected medical device manufacturers significantly. The ACA included, among other things, provisions governing enrollment in federal and state healthcare programs, reimbursement matters, and fraud and abuse. Since its enactment, there have been judicial, U.S. Congressional and executive branch challenges to certain aspects of the ACA. On June 17, 2021, the U.S. Supreme Court dismissed the most recent judicial challenge to the ACA brought by several states without specifically ruling on the constitutionality of the ACA. It is unclear how other healthcare reform measures, if any, will impact our business.
In addition, other legislative changes have been proposed and adopted since the Affordable Care Act was enacted. For example, the Budget Control Act of 2011, among other things, resulted in reductions in payments to Medicare providers, which went into effect on April 1, 2013 and, due to subsequent legislative amendments to the statute, will remain in effect through 2032, with the exception of a temporary suspension from May 1, 2020 through March 31, 2022, unless additional Congressional action is taken. Additionally, the American Taxpayer Relief Act of 2012, among other things, reduced CMS payments to several providers, including hospitals, and increased the statute of limitations period for the government to recover Medicare overpayments to providers from three to five years.
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In the EU, on December 13, 2021, Regulation No 2021/2282 on Health Technology Assessment (“HTA”) amending Directive 2011/24/EU, was adopted. The Regulation entered into force in January 2022 and has been applicable since January 2025, with phased implementation based on the type of product (i.e., certain high-risk medical devices as of 2026). The Regulation intends to boost cooperation among EU member states in assessing health technologies, including certain high-risk medical devices and provides the basis for cooperation at the EU level for joint clinical assessments in these areas. It will permit EU member states to use common HTA tools, methodologies, and procedures across the EU, working together in four main areas, including joint clinical assessment of the innovative health technologies with the highest potential impact for patients, joint scientific consultations whereby developers can seek advice from HTA authorities, identification of emerging health technologies to identify promising technologies early, and continuing voluntary cooperation in other areas. Individual EU member states will continue to be responsible for assessing non-clinical (e.g., economic, social, ethical) aspects of health technology, and making decisions on pricing and reimbursement.
We believe that there will continue to be proposals by legislators at both the federal and state levels and in foreign jurisdictions, regulators and third-party payors to reduce costs while expanding individual healthcare benefits. Certain of these proposals to further reform healthcare or reduce healthcare costs may limit coverage of or lower reimbursement for the procedures associated with the use of our products. Changes in healthcare policy could increase our costs, decrease our revenue and impact sales of and reimbursement for our products.
Data Privacy and Security Regulation
Data Privacy and Security Laws
Numerous state, federal and foreign laws, regulations and standards govern the collection, use, access to, confidentiality and security of health-related and other personal information, and could apply now or in the future to our operations or the operations of our partners. In the United States, numerous federal and state laws and regulations, including data breach notification laws, health information privacy and security laws and consumer protection laws and regulations govern the collection, use, disclosure, and protection of health-related and other personal information. In addition, certain foreign laws govern the privacy and security of personal data, including health-related data. Privacy and security laws, regulations, and other obligations are constantly evolving, may conflict with each other to complicate compliance efforts, and can result in investigations, proceedings, or actions that lead to significant civil and/or criminal penalties and restrictions on data processing. For additional information, see the section entitled “Risk Factors” beginning on page 37 of this Annual Report on Form 10-K.
The Spin-Off
Illumina acquired the common stock of GRAIL that it did not own and completed its acquisition of GRAIL on August 18, 2021 (the “Acquisition”). The Acquisition was subject to various legal challenges, including by the U.S. Federal Trade Commission and the European Commission. These proceedings spanned more than three years and resulted in several orders, including hold-separate arrangements imposed by the European Commission. Following the European Commission’s decision on October 12, 2023 ordering Illumina to divest GRAIL, Illumina completed the divestiture via a Spin-Off on June 24, 2024 (the “Distribution Date”).
Immediately prior to the Distribution Date, GRAIL, LLC was converted into a Delaware corporation and renamed GRAIL, Inc. To effect the Spin-Off, Illumina distributed 85.5% of the shares of GRAIL’s common stock owned by Illumina to Illumina’s stockholders, and GRAIL became an independent, publicly traded company. Illumina retained 14.5% of GRAIL’s common stock. Also on the Distribution Date, we entered into a Separation and Distribution Agreement and several other agreements with Illumina related to the Spin-Off. These agreements govern the relationship between Illumina and us after completion of the Spin-Off and allocated between Illumina and us various assets, liabilities and obligations, including those related to employees and compensation and benefits plans and programs and tax-related assets and liabilities. See Note 15 - Related Party Transactions in Item 8. Financial Statements of this Annual Report on Form 10-K for more information.
Other Information
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Our website address is https://grail.com. Information contained on, or connected to, our website does not and will not constitute part of this Annual Report on Form 10-K, or any other filings with, or any information furnished or submitted to, the Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”).
Item 1A. Risk Factors
You should carefully consider the following risks and other information in this Annual Report on Form 10-K in evaluating GRAIL and GRAIL common stock. Any of the following risks and uncertainties could materially adversely affect our business, financial condition, and results of operations. The following risks have generally been separated into five groups: risks relating to our business and industry, risks relating to regulation and legal compliance, risks relating to intellectual property, risks relating to the Spin-Off, and risks relating to our common stock. References to “we,” “our,” “us,” and words of similar import in this section refer to GRAIL and, unless otherwise specified, its consolidated subsidiaries.
Risks Relating to Our Business and Industry
We operate in a rapidly evolving field and have a limited operating history, which makes it difficult to evaluate our current business and predict our future performance.
We operate in a rapidly evolving field and, having commenced operations in January 2016, have a limited operating history. We completed our first sale of our multi-cancer early detection test, Galleri, in mid-2021 and our other products and products in development have an even more limited history, with most still not in commercial distribution. We have funded our operations to date primarily with the proceeds from the sale of equity securities and capital contributions from Illumina and, to a lesser extent, revenue derived from sales of Galleri and biopharmaceutical business revenue. Our short operating history as a company, evolving business strategies, rapid growth and significant events such as our separation from Illumina and the Restructuring Plan may make it difficult to evaluate our current business or our future success and the risks and challenges we may encounter, and may increase the risk that we will not continue to grow at or near historical rates. See Item 7. “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” for more information about the Restructuring Plan.
If we fail to address the risks and difficulties that we face, including those described elsewhere in this “Risk Factors” section, our business, financial condition, results of operations, and growth prospects could be materially adversely affected. We have encountered in the past, and expect to encounter in the future, risks and difficulties frequently experienced by companies with limited operating histories in new and rapidly evolving fields. If our assumptions regarding these risks and difficulties, which we use to plan and operate our business, are incorrect or change, or if we do not address these risks and difficulties, our results of operations could differ materially from our expectations and our business, financial condition, results of operations, and growth prospects could be adversely affected.
We have incurred significant net losses in each period since our inception and anticipate that we will continue to incur net losses for the coming years.
Since our inception, we have incurred significant net losses. Our net loss was $2.0 billion for fiscal year 2024, $1.5 billion for fiscal year 2023, and $5.4 billion for fiscal year 2022. Substantially all of our net losses since inception have resulted from our research and development programs, commercialization efforts, investments in our facilities, payments to licensors, and general and administrative costs associated with our operations, as well as intangible asset amortization and the impairments of $1.4 billion, $0.7 billion and $4.7 billion for fiscal year 2024, fiscal year 2023 and fiscal year 2022, respectively, related to the intangible assets and goodwill recorded by Illumina upon the Acquisition of GRAIL. As of December 31, 2024, we had an accumulated deficit of $9.8 billion and intangible assets of $2.0 billion.
We have invested significant financial resources in research and development activities, including to develop our methylation platform, and to develop our products, such as Galleri and our precision oncology portfolio. We have also invested significant resources to conduct large scale clinical studies to evaluate and improve Galleri and current and future products, and to commercialize Galleri and plan for potential commercial launches of our future and current products in other markets. The amount of our future net losses will depend, in part, on the level
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of our future expenditures and our ability to generate additional revenue. Moreover, our net losses may fluctuate significantly from quarter to quarter and year to year, such that a period-to-period comparison of our results of operations may not be a good or reliable indication of our future performance.
We expect to continue to incur significant expenses and operating losses as we:
• attract, hire, and retain qualified personnel;
• seek regulatory approvals, clearances, or certifications, or coverage and reimbursement, that may be necessary or desired for our products and future products;
• conduct our ongoing clinical studies and initiate and conduct additional clinical studies to support the development and commercialization of our products and potential future products;
• continue our research and development activities;
• maintain and potentially expand our laboratory capacity and enhance operating capabilities for greater commercial scale;
• maintain sales, marketing, and distribution infrastructure for purchases of our products;
• acquire or in-license additional intellectual property and technologies;
• make milestone, royalty, or other payments due under any license or collaboration agreements;
• obtain, maintain, protect, and enforce our intellectual property portfolio, including intellectual property obtained through license agreements;
• maintain and potentially expand our facilities and infrastructure to support our continued research and development, operations and any planned commercialization efforts in the future;
• defend against any litigation, including but not limited to any patent disputes, employment matters, product liability claims or other lawsuits related to our products, our marketing, advertising, or labeling, or our clinical research;
• support international commercial expansion of our products;
• continue to engage the medical community and others to drive awareness and adoption of multi-cancer early detection (“MCED”) testing; and
• meet the requirements and demands of being a public company.
Our products or future products may not perform as expected, and the results of our clinical studies may not support the launch or use of our products or future products and may not comply with the requirements, or be replicated in later studies or in the post-market or real-world setting, required to support a commercial opportunity or for any necessary or desirable regulatory clearances, approvals, or certifications, or reimbursement or coverage.
Our success depends on our ability to provide reliable, high-quality products that perform as indicated in our product labeling, marketing, and advertising material, as well as our ability to complete clinical studies and comply with applicable regulatory requirements that enable us to commercialize our products and future products. Our commercial product, Galleri, which we have launched as a laboratory developed test (“LDT”) in the United States and for which we are pursuing a premarket approval application (“PMA”) with the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (the “FDA”) and our precision oncology portfolio, which we currently offer on a research-use-only basis, and any future products in development, may not perform as expected. Results from our ongoing or future studies, or from the post-market or real-world setting, involving current or future products or our methylation platform may be inconsistent with certain results obtained from our previous studies, or from interim results initially
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reported on those studies. In addition, results from our ongoing or future studies may not support certain product launch opportunities. For example, the NHS evaluated results of an early analysis from the first screening test (the prevalent screening round) in the NHS-Galleri Trial to determine whether the results were compelling enough to commence an implementation pilot in England prior to the final trial results. The results of this early analysis represented limited information from only one year of results out of the three-year trial period, and final results from the full three-year period may differ from the early analysis for a variety of reasons. In May 2024, the NHS determined not to initiate the pilot on the basis of those available data and will evaluate the final results from the NHS-Galleri Trial, which are expected to be available in 2026, before determining whether to implement the Galleri test in the NHS. We believe the decision will include considerations such as NHS budget, political priorities, cost-effectiveness and implementation constraints in addition to an evaluation of the final results. It is possible that the final results will be unsuitable or unavailable, which could have a significant adverse impact on the success of our commercial efforts for Galleri, our ability to achieve FDA authorization at all or within our anticipated timelines, our brand and reputation, our business, and our growth prospects. Furthermore, other studies have been or may be conducted in populations (such as our SUMMIT study which was conducted in a population of tobacco users) or under other circumstances which make their results more complicated to interpret or result in data that is more difficult to compare. In addition, as Galleri and our research-use-only offering are currently available to customers and others, any studies, including those conducted by third parties, that use our current or future products, or that examine elements of our methylation platform, may produce results that are inconsistent to evaluate independently or comparatively from our own studies. If any such inconsistent results were to be produced, either before or after launch of a product or future product, our reputation, business, financial condition, results of operations, and growth prospects would suffer.
Our products require a number of complex and sophisticated biochemical and bioinformatics processes, which could be adversely impacted by a number of different factors. An operational or technological failure in one of these complex processes or fluctuations in external variables may result in performance characteristics, such as sensitivity or specificity rates, that are lower than we anticipate or that vary between test runs or in a higher than anticipated number of tests that fail to produce results. In addition, we continue to evaluate and refine our algorithms and other processes under development. These refinements may inadvertently result in unanticipated issues that may reduce our performance characteristics, such as sensitivity or specificity rates, or otherwise adversely affect the performance of our tests and their results. Galleri was launched in the United States as an LDT in mid-2021 and an updated version was launched in December 2024. The FDA has granted breakthrough device designation for Galleri. We plan to complete a PMA submission for a further updated version of our Galleri test. We may also be required or decide voluntarily to seek clearance or approval from the FDA for future products. However, the FDA recently finalized a regulation pursuant to which it plans to subject LDTs to medical device requirements through a phase-out of its historical policy of enforcement discretion over LDTs over a period of four years. The phase-in of medical device requirements to LDTs, including the potential requirement for FDA marketing authorization, if it imposes new, different or earlier significant obligations, will be costly and time-consuming, and if we fail to comply with such requirements, or if we cannot ultimately obtain marketing authorization for our LDTs where required, our business will be substantially harmed.
Moreover, FDA, other regulators, and notified bodies may require that we generate additional clinical data to support such clearance, approval, or certification, which could result in delays, increased costs, or other limitations or negative impacts on our ability to receive such clearance, approval, or certification, if at all, including narrowed indication or labeling than expected or desired. For additional information, see “—Risks Relating to Regulation and Legal Compliance—The regulatory clearance, approval, or certification processes of the FDA and comparable foreign regulatory authorities are lengthy, time-consuming, and unpredictable. If we are ultimately unable to obtain any necessary or desirable regulatory approvals, clearances, or certifications, or if such approvals, clearances, or certifications are significantly delayed, our business will be substantially harmed.”
Further, we plan to improve our products to enhance performance, offerings, scalability, and/or cost of goods. However, we may not be successful in transitioning our products to a new or enhanced version or iteration. Product development involves a lengthy and complex process and we may be unable to commercialize, validate, or improve performance of any of our products on a timely basis, or at all. For example, to the extent an enhanced version of an existing product is developed, we may be required to conduct a non-inferiority study involving such enhanced version as compared to the relevant then-current version of the test using data (for example, clinical data and/or real world evidence data obtained through Galleri’s commercial use as an LDT), or could be required to undertake other regulatory requirements if the enhanced version is not considered similar enough to the then-
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current version to conduct a non-inferiority study. With respect to Galleri, we intend to conduct one or more bridging studies to measure and evaluate concordance, performance and safety of the subsequent, updated version of Galleri (for which we are submitting our PMA) using previously collected clinical study data and other samples. Any such bridging study will need to be agreed upon with regulatory authorities and may be unsuccessful or insufficient to support approval. If unsuccessful or insufficient, we would be required to revert to the existing version of the test and forego, or be delayed in, implementing any perceived or potential updates, including enhancements. Reverting to the existing version of the test may cause delays in our PMA submission timeline. Additionally, planned improvements to our products may cause unintentional technical, logistical or other issues. For example, in late 2024, we began use of a new version of Galleri in commercial channels which incorporates significant automation and is intended to enable us to scale more efficiently with future demand. In connection with implementation of this new version of Galleri, we have experienced increased turnaround times and order cancellations. If we are unable to adequately prevent these issues from occurring, or to adequately identify and remedy these issues, we may experience reputational harm, lose customers, need to offer discounts, or suffer other negative consequences. Our failure to successfully develop new and/ or improved products (including new versions of existing products) on a timely basis could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations and business.
The clinical study process is lengthy and expensive with uncertain outcomes. We have encountered delays and may encounter future delays in, or unexpected data from, our clinical studies, and may therefore be unable to complete our clinical studies on the timelines we expect, if at all, which could materially and adversely impact our ability to launch our products and seek regulatory clearance or approval, or coverage and reimbursement.
Clinical testing is expensive, time-consuming, and subject to uncertainty. Initiating and completing clinical studies necessary to validate and market our products, and to support regulatory authorizations or certifications and coverage and reimbursement, will be time-consuming and expensive and the outcomes are inherently uncertain. Clinical studies must be conducted in accordance with the laws and regulations of the FDA and other applicable regulatory authorities’ legal requirements and regulations, and are subject to oversight by governmental agencies and institutional review boards (“IRBs”) or ethics committees at the medical institutions where the clinical studies are conducted.
The results of our development efforts and clinical studies of our products conducted to date and ongoing or future studies of our current or future products may not be predictive of the results of later clinical studies, and interim results of a clinical study do not necessarily predict final results. Our interpretation of data and results from our clinical studies do not ensure that we will achieve similar or favorable results in future clinical studies. In addition, clinical data are often susceptible to various interpretations, analyses, and methodological limitations, and many companies that have believed their products performed satisfactorily in earlier clinical studies have nonetheless failed to replicate results in later clinical studies. Products in later future clinical studies may fail to show the desired safety and efficacy despite having success in previous clinical studies.
In addition, we cannot guarantee that any clinical studies will be conducted as planned or completed on schedule, if at all, or within the anticipated budget. The timely completion of clinical studies in accordance with their protocols and applicable requirements depends, among other things, on our ability to enroll a sufficient number of participants who remain in the study until its conclusion. Many of our clinical studies require enrolling a large number of asymptomatic participants (i.e., individuals without symptoms of cancer) who may not see value in enrollment. Additionally, we may encounter delays as a result of the administrative complexities in managing and recruiting for studies of this scope and size. If we are unable to recruit sufficient participants for our clinical studies, including our Real-world Evidence to Advance Multi-Cancer Early Detection Health Equity (“REACH” or “Galleri-Medicare”) study, or if we are unable to maintain sufficient participation of enrolled participants to maintain statistical power for our endpoints, our product development, commercialization activities, and our ability to seek regulatory clearance or approval for our products could be delayed, require modification, or be prevented.
For example, our PMA submission for Galleri requires clinical data, including certain data from our ongoing PATHFINDER 2 study, which we are conducting under an FDA-approved Investigational Device Exemption (“IDE”) application and our NHS-Galleri Trial. We may encounter difficulties enrolling or maintaining a sufficient number of participants in our current or future studies. Delays in our studies would cause us to delay completion
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of our PMA submission for Galleri, which would negatively impact our business, financial condition, results of operations, and growth prospects.
Further, the FDA may require that we conduct additional studies or expand the enrollment of completed or ongoing studies to support our PMA, which would add significant time delay to our PMA submission, which would negatively impact our business, financial condition, results of operations, and growth prospects,
The initiation and completion of clinical studies may be prevented, delayed, or halted for numerous reasons, including as a result of the following:
• the inability to generate sufficient data to support the initiation or continuation of clinical studies;
• the inability to rely on previously-collected data on earlier versions of our products, such as Galleri, in support of the launch or submission for marketing authorization (or certification) of the later or enhanced versions of our products, including Galleri, or our other products and future products;
• the requirement to submit an IDE or comparable foreign application to the FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities, which must become effective prior to commencing certain human clinical studies of medical devices, and which the FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities may disapprove;
• delays caused by participants withdrawing from clinical studies or failing to return for follow-up or by institutions failing to submit data, including follow-up data, to us;
• delays or failure in reaching a consensus or agreement, if required, with regulatory agencies on study design or feedback from regulatory agencies necessitating changes to ongoing or planned clinical study design;
• delays or failure in reaching agreement on acceptable terms with contract research organizations (“CROs”), service providers, and clinical study sites, the terms of which can be subject to extensive negotiation and may vary significantly among different CROs and clinical study sites;
• delays or failure in obtaining any required IRB approval or ethics committee approval for our clinical study sites;
• delays in amending, or the inability to amend, our IRB- or ethics committee-approved protocols at clinical study sites when necessary or desired;
• difficulty or delays in collaborating with sites, institutions, and investigators;
• failure by us, investigators, sites, or participants to comply with the applicable study protocol or applicable regulatory requirements and standards for data collection, reporting, records maintenance, or data integrity;
• failure by us or any CROs or other third parties to adhere to clinical study requirements, including the applicable protocol;
• failure to perform in accordance with good clinical practice (“GCP”) and good laboratory practice (“GLP”) requirements, and/or other applicable regulations and requirements of the FDA or other applicable governmental authorities; failure to comply with applicable data privacy and security laws, including laws related to processing of special categories of personal data clinical studies such as the European Union’s (“EU”) General Data Protection Regulation (“EU GDPR”) or United Kingdom’s General Data Protection Regulation and the Data Protection Act 2018 (“UK GDPR”) (the UK GDPR and EU GDPR together referred to as the “GDPR”);
• challenges caused by transferring personal information or biological samples from the EU, United Kingdom, or other countries to our systems or facilities in the United States for processing or to regulatory authorities;
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• failure of our products and future products to achieve acceptable performance metrics, such as sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and/or safety endpoints;
• unacceptable safety findings, including findings related to the risk, such as higher likelihood, of false positive test results (which could lead to unnecessary confirmatory testing, such as biopsy, or anxiety) or false negative test results (which could lead to foregoing standard of care screening, a delay in diagnosis or disease progression);
• termination or suspension of a study or site by us or the data safety monitoring board (or independent data monitoring committee), suspension or termination of a study or site by an IRB, ethics committee, or institution, or clinical hold or termination of a study or site by a regulatory authority, including the FDA;
• our inability to collaborate with clinical investigators, including if they are disqualified, terminated, suspended, or change affiliated institutions;
• adverse inspections of our clinical study sites or results by any applicable regulatory authority, including the FDA, NHS, or United Kingdom Medicines and Healthcare products Regulatory Agency;
• changes in statutory or regulatory requirements or guidance, or clinical guidelines, that require amending existing or designing new clinical protocols, obtaining new IRB or ethics committee approvals, modifying our clinical studies, modifying our consent process or obtaining additional consent from study participants, or altering the pathway to clearance, approval, or certification of our products and future products;
• changes in the standard of care on which a clinical development plan was based, which may require new or additional clinical studies;
• the cost of clinical studies of our products and future products being greater than we anticipate;
• destruction or compromise of, or other inability to access or receive, clinical study samples processed, stored, managed, or otherwise in the control of a clinical site or other third party;
• determination that data from research conducted outside the United States, including the NHS-Galleri Trial, does not meet the FDA’s requirements for submission and support of a marketing authorization or future clinical study IDE application, for example because the foreign data are not applicable to the U.S. population and U.S. medical practice, the studies have been performed by clinical investigators of unsuitable competence, or the FDA cannot validate the data through an on-site inspection or other appropriate means;
• clinical studies of our products and future products producing negative or inconclusive results, which may result in our deciding, or regulators requiring us, to conduct additional clinical studies or abandon development programs; and
• lack of adequate funding.
Any such delays could adversely affect the costs, timing, or successful completion of our clinical studies. Moreover, we depend on our collaborators and on medical and clinical institutions and CROs to conduct our clinical studies in compliance with applicable GCP and other regulatory requirements, and while we have agreements governing their committed activities, we have limited influence over their actual performance. To the extent we, our collaborators or the CROs fail to enroll participants for our clinical studies, fail to conduct the study according to applicable GCP or other regulatory requirements, or are delayed for a significant time in the execution of studies, including achieving full enrollment, we may be affected by increased costs, program delays, enforcement actions, or a determination that the data are unusable for regulatory or product development purposes. In addition, clinical studies that are conducted in countries outside the United States may subject us to further delays and expenses. In addition, our precision oncology offering is highly dependent on collaborations with select, leading biopharmaceutical companies. To the extent our collaborators experience any of delays, halts, unexpected data or other issues in the trials they collaborate on with us, we may be similarly delayed or halted in
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validating or generating revenue from our precision oncology offering, and we could experience reputational or other harms.
Any inability to initiate or complete clinical studies successfully could result in additional costs to us, slow down or prevent our product development and receipt of positive reimbursement coverage decisions, or impair our ability to generate revenue. Delays in initiating or completing our planned clinical studies could also allow third parties to bring products to market sooner than expected, which could impair our ability to successfully commercialize our products and future products, if launched, and may harm our business, financial condition, results of operations, and growth prospects. In addition, many of the factors that may cause, or lead to, a delay in initiation or completion of clinical studies may also ultimately lead to the delay or the narrowing or denial of any regulatory clearance, approval, or certification we may seek with respect to our products and future products. Delays in the initiation or completion of any clinical study of our products or future products in development, such as Galleri or our precision oncology portfolio, or seeking broad coverage and reimbursement, will increase our costs, slow down or jeopardize our product development and regulatory clearance, approval, or certification process, and delay or potentially jeopardize broad adoption of our products and future products and their ability to generate revenue.
A substantial majority of our revenue is generated from sales of Galleri and we are highly dependent on it for our success.
We began selling Galleri in the United States in mid-2021. Sales of Galleri accounted for a substantial majority of our revenue to date and we expect that such sales will continue to account for the substantial majority of our revenue for the foreseeable future. Our ability to execute our growth strategy and become profitable will therefore depend upon the adoption of Galleri as a widely used MCED test. Continued adoption and use of Galleri will depend on several factors discussed in these risk factors and in the section titled Management’s Discussion and Analysis, including, among others, our ability to successfully fulfill test orders, the prices we charge for our tests, the scope of coverage and amount of reimbursement available from third-party payors, including managed care organizations, private health insurers, and government healthcare programs, such as Medicare and Medicaid in the United States and similar programs in other countries, the availability of clinical and real-world data that supports the value and impact of our tests, and the extent to which our tests receive FDA authorization or a USPSTF grade A or B recommendation. We cannot assure you that Galleri will continue to maintain or gain market acceptance, and any failure to do so would harm our business and results of operations.
One of the key elements of our strategy is to expand access to our tests by pursuing coverage and reimbursement from third-party payors, both private and government payors. If our products do not receive adequate coverage and reimbursement, if at all, from third-party payors, our ability to expand access to our products beyond our existing sales channels will be limited and our overall commercial success will be limited.
We have established private reimbursement for Galleri from a number of third-party payors in the United States, but do not currently have broader coverage and reimbursement by government healthcare programs, such as Medicare. A key element of our strategy is to expand access to our tests by pursuing broad coverage and reimbursement by third-party payors, including government payors. Coverage and reimbursement by third-party payors, including managed care organizations, private health insurers, and government healthcare programs, such as Medicare and Medicaid in the United States and similar programs in other countries, for early detection tests we offer or are planning to offer, can be limited and uncertain. Healthcare providers may not order our products unless third-party payors cover and provide adequate reimbursement rates for a substantial portion of the price of our products. If we are not able to obtain adequate coverage and an acceptable level of reimbursement for our products from third-party payors, there could be a greater co-insurance or co-payment obligation for any individual for whom a test is ordered. The individual may be forced to pay the entire cost of a test out-of-pocket, which could dissuade physicians from ordering our products and, if ordered, could result in delay in or decreased likelihood of our collection of payment. We believe our revenue and revenue growth will depend on our success in achieving coverage and adequate reimbursement for our products from third-party payors.
Medicare is the single largest U.S. payor and a particularly important payor for many cancer-related laboratory services given the demographics of the Medicare population. Traditional fee-for-service Medicare
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generally does not cover screening tests, which are considered preventive services, that are performed in the absence of signs or symptoms of illness or injury, unless there is a statutory provision that explicitly authorizes coverage of the test. The Medicare Improvements for Patients and Providers Act of 2008 authorizes the CMS to cover additional preventive services that are not expressly covered by the statute if the service is (a) reasonable and necessary for the prevention or early detection of an illness or disability, (b) recommended with a grade of A or B by the USPSTF, and (c) appropriate for Medicare beneficiaries under Part A or Part B. CMS establishes coverage through a national coverage determination (“NCD”) process, which generally requires, or is significantly more likely following, FDA approval. In its discretion, the USPSTF generally waits for FDA authorization before it considers undertaking reviews of novel technology. Galleri and certain other future products could be considered screening tests under Medicare and, accordingly, are and may not be eligible for traditional Medicare fee-for-service coverage and reimbursement unless we pursue substantial additional measures, including, but not limited to, securing FDA authorization of Galleri and other future products, followed by obtaining a grade A or B recommendation from the USPSTF, in an effort to enable CMS to issue an NCD. Historically, USPSTF has only provided grade A or B recommendations on the basis of evidence packages that include mortality data, which would require significant long-term follow up. Medicare coverage can also be changed by statute, and another possible pathway for Medicare reimbursement would be to amend the Medicare statute to cover MCED testing. This process would generally require new legislation to expressly authorize CMS to cover FDA-approved early cancer screening and detection tests. We are working with stakeholders to advance and shape the public reimbursement landscape, including through proposed legislation with bipartisan sponsorship, to reflect that additional scope of coverage. However, even if we are successful in obtaining an NCD on the basis of the new reimbursement landscape envisioned by this legislation, we intend to seek a USPSTF grade for Galleri. If we receive an NCD for Galleri or our other products and subsequently receive a USPSTF grade lower than A or B, it is possible that CMS would rescind the NCD. Further, the political climate is dynamic, and support for this legislation among legislators and stakeholders may change over time and such legislation may never be enacted, may be significantly delayed in being enacted, or may be enacted in a different form, including narrower or less favorable terms, any of which could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations, and growth prospects. For example, bipartisan supported legislation backed by stakeholders has been discussed for inclusion in multiple bills but has not yet been included in the final version of any bill put forward for a vote. Any of these efforts, individually and together, require significant investments and resources, and may ultimately be unsuccessful or may take several years, if at all, to achieve.
If the USPSTF does not recommend any of our products with a grade of A or B, CMS declines to initiate an NCD, CMS decides to rescind a prior NCD, or the decision regarding an NCD is negative, the impacted product would not be eligible for fee-for-service Medicare coverage in the absence of a new statutory provision providing for coverage. Even if the USPSTF were to recommend Galleri or other products we are developing, the USPSTF review process and the ensuing NCD process by CMS could take several years to complete, and coverage for our products would be delayed while review is ongoing. The Affordable Care Act (“ACA”) mandates that many private insurance plans cover, among other preventive health services, evidence-based items or services recommended by USPSTF with a grade of A or B, with certain prohibitions on cost-sharing requirements. Accordingly, if USPSTF does not recommend use of Galleri or other products we are developing or requires a substantial amount of time to review such products, our business and results of our operations would be harmed. Coverage and adequate reimbursement under Medicare are also uncertain as discussed further in “Business— Government Regulations—Coverage and Reimbursement” in this Annual Report on Form 10-K.
If eligible for reimbursement, laboratory tests including ours are generally classified for reimbursement purposes under CMS’s Healthcare Common Procedure Coding System (“HCPCS”) and the American Medical Association’s (“AMA”) Current Procedural Terminology (“CPT”) coding systems. We and payors must use those coding systems to bill and pay for our diagnostic tests, respectively. These HCPCS and CPT codes are associated with the particular product or service that is provided to the individual. Accordingly, without a HCPCS or CPT code applicable to our products, the submission of claims would be a significant challenge. Once CMS creates an HCPCS code or the AMA establishes a CPT code, CMS establishes payment rates and coverage rules under traditional Medicare, and private payors establish rates and coverage rules independently. Under Medicare, payment for laboratory tests is generally made under the Clinical Laboratory Fee Schedule (“CLFS”) with payment amounts assigned to specific HCPCS and CPT codes. In addition, effective January 1, 2018, a new Medicare payment methodology went into effect for clinical laboratory tests, under which laboratory-reported private payor rates are used to establish Medicare payment rates for tests reimbursed via the Medicare Clinical Laboratory Fee Schedule. The new methodology implements Section 216 of the Protecting Access to Medicare Act of 2014
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(“PAMA”) and requires laboratories that meet certain requirements related to volume and type of Medicare revenues to report to CMS their private payor payment rates for each test they perform, the volume of tests paid at each rate, and the HCPCS code associated with the test. CMS uses the reported information to set the payment rate for each test at the weighted median private payor rate. Most affected tests are revalued every three years. A series of legislative amendments delayed the next PAMA reporting period to January 1, 2024 through March 31, 2024, which will cover the original data collection period of January 1, 2019 through June 30, 2019. New CLFS rates for clinical diagnostic laboratory tests (“CDLTs”) will be established based on that data beginning in 2025, subject to phase-in limits. As a result, Medicare payment rates determined by data reported in 2017 continued through December 31, 2024. In addition, under PAMA, as amended, the payment reduction cap will be 15% per test per year in each of the years 2024 through 2026. PAMA also authorized the adoption of new, temporary billing codes and unique test identifiers for FDA-cleared or approved tests, as well as advanced diagnostic laboratory tests (“ADLTs”). The AMA’s CPT Editorial Panel approved a proposal to create a new section of billing codes called Proprietary Laboratory Analyses (“PLA”) codes, to facilitate implementation of this section of PAMA. The full impact of the PAMA rate-setting methodology and its applicability to our products remains uncertain at this time.
Coverage and reimbursement by a third-party payor may depend on a number of factors, including a payor’s determination that a product is appropriate, medically necessary, and cost-effective. Each payor will make its own decision as to whether to establish a policy or enter into a contract to cover our products and the amount it will reimburse for such products. Any determination by a payor to cover and the amount for which it will reimburse our products would likely be made on an indication-by-indication basis. For example, we may face additional scrutiny in obtaining coverage and reimbursement from third-party payors given the additional costs of further diagnostic workup in the event the test is deployed at scale, including as a result of the false positive rate. As a result, obtaining approvals from third-party payors to cover our products and establishing adequate coding recognition and reimbursement levels is an unpredictable, challenging, time-consuming, and costly process and we may never be successful. If third-party payors do not provide adequate coverage and reimbursement for our products, our ability to succeed commercially will be limited.
Even if we establish relationships with payors to provide our products at negotiated rates, such agreements would not obligate any healthcare providers to order our products or guarantee that we would receive reimbursement for our products from these or any other payors at adequate levels. Thus, these payor relationships may not result in revenues for our products in line with our expectations, including for Galleri, any other current or future products or future versions of Galleri. We believe it may take several years to achieve coverage and adequate reimbursement with a majority of third-party payors, including with those payors offering negotiated rates. In addition, we cannot predict whether, under what circumstances, or at what payment levels payors will cover and reimburse our products. Although we do not expect Galleri to have Medicare or other broad third-party coverage or reimbursement in the near term, we will continue to market our product to health systems, large self-insured employers, life insurance providers, physician directed channels, health plans, and additional at-risk groups such as first responders, including firefighters. If we fail to establish and maintain coverage and reimbursement for our products, our ability to expand access to our products, generate increased revenue, and grow our test volume and customer base will be limited and our overall commercial success and growth prospects will be limited.
Our commercial products may fail to achieve the degree of market acceptance necessary for commercial success.
The commercial success of any of our marketed products, including Galleri and our precision oncology portfolio, or future products will depend on the degree of market acceptance by consumers, including self-insured employers, health systems, healthcare providers, life insurance companies, patients, and, over the longer-term, third-party payors. The degree of market acceptance of our products will depend on a number of factors, including:
• the performance, validation, and clinical utility of such products as demonstrated in clinical studies, from real-world use, and published in peer-reviewed journals;
• our ability to demonstrate the clinical validation and utility of our products and their potential advantages to the medical community;
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• the ability of our products to demonstrate comparable or non-inferior performance in real-world intended use populations as in clinical studies;
• the willingness of consumers, including self-insured employers, health systems, healthcare providers, life insurance companies, patients, and others in the medical community to utilize our products;
• the willingness of commercial third-party payors and government payors to cover and reimburse our products, the scope and amount of which will affect an individual’s or entity’s willingness or ability to pay for our products and likely heavily influence healthcare providers’ decisions to recommend our products;
• willingness of providers, patients, and others to learn about our products, and establish a sense of understanding and confidence in the use of our products;
• with respect to Galleri, which was launched as an LDT in the United States for use in an asymptomatic population, the concern that the product could lead to unnecessary medical screening procedures or a high false positive rate and the associated costs of unnecessary workups resulting from false positives;
• the belief of providers, patients, and others that the use of Galleri in its intended use population is clinically appropriate, and not restricting its use to a narrower intended population;
• the introduction or market acceptance of future third-party products, including the expansion of the capabilities of existing products and tests that are reimbursed;
• the ability of our partners and our employees and contractors to ensure the safety and privacy of our patient data;
• publicity (adverse or positive) concerning our products or operations (including third-party partners, patient-facing service providers, vendors, or suppliers) or future third-party products, including adverse publicity resulting from the use of our products or offerings by third parties, including partners;
• our ability to fulfill test orders in a timely manner; and
• the strength of our marketing and distribution support and patient-facing service providers.
The failure of our products, once introduced, to be listed in physician guidelines or of our studies to produce favorable and consistent results or to be published in peer-reviewed journals could limit the adoption of our products. In addition, healthcare providers and third-party payors, including the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (“CMS”), may rely on physician guidelines issued by industry groups, medical societies, and other key organizations, such as the United States Preventive Services Task Force (“USPSTF”), an independent, volunteer panel of experts in the field of prevention, evidence-based medicine and primary care, before utilizing or reimbursing the cost of any diagnostic or screening test. Although we have completed our PATHFINDER study and have a number of a clinical studies underway designed to evaluate the clinical validity of Galleri, our product is not yet, and may never be, listed in any such guidelines, even if approved by the FDA.
Further, if our products or the technology underlying them do not receive sufficient favorable exposure in peer-reviewed publications, the rate of physician and market acceptance of our products and positive reimbursement coverage decisions for our products could be negatively affected. The publication of clinical data in peer-reviewed journals is a crucial step in commercializing and helping obtain reimbursement for products, and our inability to control when, if ever, results are published, if positive, may delay or limit our ability to derive sufficient revenues from any product that is developed using data from a clinical study.
Additionally, we believe that FDA approval for Galleri may provide clinical and regulatory credibility and validation in the view of providers, third-party payors, and others, and our failure to achieve FDA approval, at all or within our anticipated timelines or with an adequate approved label, could limit adoption of Galleri, even if we continue to publish data on its clinical validity and utility in peer-reviewed journals. Our PMA submission and a potential subsequent rejection or material delay, including a requirement by the FDA to conduct additional studies or expand the enrollment of completed or ongoing studies, may reflect negatively on Galleri and the ongoing and
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planned clinical studies used to support our PMA submission, which could lead healthcare providers, payors, and others to lose confidence in the utility or benefit of Galleri and our other products and future products.
Failure to achieve broad market acceptance of our products would materially harm our business, financial condition, and results of operations.
We may not be able to generate sufficient revenue to offset our ongoing operating expenses and achieve and maintain profitability, and it may be difficult for us to offset the costs of our royalties, including the high single-digit royalty that we will be required to pay to Illumina in perpetuity or our royalties payable to the Chinese University of Hong Kong.
Our ability to generate future revenue growth from product sales and achieve profitability depends on our ability to continue commercializing our products. We may not be able to generate sufficient revenues to offset our costs of developing and offering our products or achieve or maintain profitability on any products, and revenues from precision oncology may not be a significant source of our overall revenue in the future. Further, we cannot assure you that we will successfully be able to launch any future products as planned, if at all, and our failure to do so may prevent us from generating increased revenue. Even if we are able to launch future products in a timely manner, we may not be able to generate sufficient revenue to offset our costs and achieve profitability. Our ability to generate future revenue growth from product sales depends heavily on our success in:
• continuing clinical development, validation, and demonstration of the clinical utility of our products and future products and continuing to improve product performance and expand product features over time;
• seeking, obtaining, and maintaining marketing authorizations or certifications that may be necessary or desired for any versions of Galleri and any future products that we develop;
• launching and commercializing our products by maintaining and expanding our sales force, marketing, medical affairs, and distribution infrastructure, and collaborating with commercialization partners;
• investing in and enhancing our proprietary methylation platform, and enhancing later versions of our existing and future products and offerings;
• obtaining market acceptance by consumers, including self-insured employers, health systems, healthcare providers, life insurance companies, patients, and third-party payors;
• establishing and maintaining supply and manufacturing relationships with third parties that can timely and consistently provide adequate, in both amount and quality, products and services to support clinical development and the market demand for Galleri, our precision oncology portfolio, and, if launched, future versions of Galleri or other future products;
• achieving adequate coverage and reimbursement from government healthcare programs, health insurance organizations, and other third-party payors for products that we launch;
• achieving sufficient efficiencies and cost management strategies in our laboratory, supply chain, and elsewhere to maintain an appropriate cost of goods sold to offer our products at an acceptable price in a pre-reimbursement environment;
• addressing any technological and market developments;
• negotiating favorable terms in any collaboration, licensing, or other arrangements into which we may enter and maintaining such existing or future arrangements;
• maintaining, protecting, and expanding our portfolio of intellectual property rights, including patents, trade secrets, know-how, and trademarks;
• the potential cost of and delays in product development as a result of any regulatory oversight applicable to our existing and future products and offerings;
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• defending against third-party interference, invalidation, or infringement claims, if any; and
• attracting, hiring, and retaining qualified personnel.
We anticipate incurring significant costs to continue commercializing our products. Our expenses could increase beyond expectations if we are required by the FDA or other regulatory agencies, or notified bodies to delay the launch of any new products, narrow or change our intended use or product claims, and modify or expand our clinical studies or to perform additional clinical studies, either pre- or post-approval (or certification), in addition to those that we currently anticipate. Additionally, it may be difficult for us to offset the costs of the high-single-digit royalty that we will be required to pay under our agreement with Illumina in perpetuity. For more information, see “Business—Operations—Supply Chain and Agreement” in this Annual Report on Form 10-K.
Under the terms of our license agreements with the Chinese University of Hong Kong, we are also required to pay a low single-digit royalty on net sales of our products that use the technology we license from Chinese University of Hong Kong, subject to minimum annual guarantees. Our payment obligations with respect to each license from the Chinese University of Hong Kong for each product containing any licensed technology extends until the expiration or termination of such license, which shall be the later of a low double-digit number of years from our payment of the license issue fee or expiration of the last-to-expire licensed patent. Although certain provisions in our agreement with Illumina allow us to reduce our royalty to Illumina by up to a low single-digit percentage due to third party royalties actually paid, such as our royalty payment to Chinese University of Hong Kong, our obligation to pay this royalty on our net sales could reduce our gross margins and increase our expenses. See the section titled “Business—Intellectual Property—License Agreements with the Chinese University of Hong Kong” in this Annual Report on Form 10-K.
We will need to generate significant additional revenue to achieve and maintain profitability and will need to obtain additional funding to continue operations. Even if we achieve profitability, we cannot be sure that we will remain profitable for any substantial period of time. We may never be able to generate sufficient revenue to achieve or maintain profitability and our recent and historical growth should not be considered indicative of our future performance. If we do not achieve or maintain profitability, it will be more difficult for us to finance our business and accomplish our strategic objectives, either of which could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations, and growth prospects.
We may be unable to develop and commercialize new products, including enhanced versions of current products.
Although we reduced investment in the development of products beyond Galleri as part of the Restructuring Plan, including in a diagnostic aid product for cancer and our precision oncology portfolio, we are continuing research and development of our proprietary methylation platform and our large clinical and genomic datasets to develop enhanced versions of Galleri. In the future, we may determine to invest further in new product development. The commercialization of any new products, including enhanced versions of current products, will require the completion of certain clinical development activities, regulatory activities, and the expenditure of additional cash resources. We cannot assure you that we can successfully complete these activities for any such products. For example, to the extent an enhanced version of an existing product is developed, we intend to undertake one or more bridging studies to measure and evaluate concordance, performance and safety of the subsequent, enhanced version of our product versus the existing product, using previously collected clinical study data and other samples. Any such bridging study will need to be agreed upon with regulatory authorities and may be unsuccessful or insufficient to support approval of any such subsequent, enhanced version of our products.
We cannot ensure that we will generate sufficient revenue from products that we successfully commercialize or otherwise mitigate the risks associated with our business to raise enough capital to develop and commercialize new products. In addition, once our development efforts for a product are completed, commercialization efforts, including allocation of resources necessary to comply with applicable laws and regulations, will require significant expenditures. Any failure to develop, obtain necessary marketing authorizations for, or commercialize new products, and meet and continue compliance with applicable laws and regulations, could have a material adverse effect on our ability to implement our strategy and grow our business.
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If similar third-party products are developed and do not perform as intended or cause harm or injury to patients, the market for our products could be impaired.
Many companies are attempting to develop competing cancer detection tests and technologies focused on improving cancer care with early cancer detection tests and post-diagnostic products. If any of these tests do not perform to expectations or cause harm or injury to patients, it may result in lower clinical and consumer confidence in early cancer detection and precision medicine in general, which could potentially adversely affect confidence in our products. As a result, the failure of any competing products to perform as expected could significantly adversely affect public perception about cancer detection tests generally, including our products, and could significantly impair our reputation and operating results.
If we fail to obtain additional financing, we may be unable to expand our commercialization efforts with respect to Galleri and any other products that we successfully develop and commercialize, or to develop additional products.
Our operations have required substantial amounts of cash since inception. To date, we have financed our operations primarily through the sale of equity securities and capital contributions from Illumina and, to a lesser extent, revenue derived from Galleri sales and precision oncology portfolio revenue. Our product development and clinical study activities are expensive, and we expect to continue to spend substantial amounts as we expand our commercialization efforts with respect to Galleri, including pursuing broader coverage and reimbursement, continue to enhance our core technology platform, broaden the applications of our technology platform, and develop new products in the future. In addition, obtaining any necessary or desirable regulatory approvals, clearances, or certifications, as well as coverage and reimbursement, for our products will require substantial additional funding.
As of December 31, 2024, we had $214.2 million in cash and cash equivalents and short-term marketable securities of $549.2 million. We believe that our existing cash and cash equivalents, and short-term marketable securities will be sufficient to fund our projected operations for at least the next 12 months. Our estimate as to how long we expect our existing cash, cash equivalents, and short-term marketable securities to be available to fund our operations is based on assumptions that may prove to be inaccurate, and we could use our available capital resources sooner than we currently expect. In addition, changing circumstances may cause us to increase our spending significantly faster than we currently anticipate, and we may need to spend more money than currently expected because of circumstances beyond our control. We may need to raise additional funds sooner than we anticipate.
We will require additional capital to expand the commercialization of Galleri and our precision oncology portfolio, and for the development and commercialization of future products. Our future capital requirements depend on many additional factors, including:
• the cost of development and commercialization activities for our products, including Galleri and our precision oncology portfolio and our future products, including marketing, sales, and distribution costs;
• the cost related to continued scaling operations to support demand for our products, including the cost of operating our laboratory in Durham, North Carolina;
• the timing of, and the costs involved in, obtaining any required or desired regulatory approvals, clearances, or certifications for our products;
• the timing, scope, progress, results, and costs of developing additional products and conducting clinical studies;
• the costs involved in preparing, filing, prosecuting, maintaining, expanding, defending, and enforcing patent and other intellectual property rights and claims, including litigation costs and the outcome of such litigation;
• the timing and amount of sales of our products and collection of related receivables;
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• the extent to which our products are eligible for coverage and reimbursement from third-party payors;
• the emergence of new technologies, products, or services and other adverse market developments; and
• other potential adverse developments.
Additional capital may not be available when we need it, on terms acceptable to us or at all. We have no committed source of additional capital, other than the funds to be committed by Illumina as described above. Furthermore, any additional capital raised through the sale of equity or equity-linked securities will dilute stockholders’ ownership interests in us, may require stockholder approval, may have an adverse effect on the price of our common stock, and holders of these securities may have rights, preferences or privileges senior to those of our then-existing stockholders. Debt financing, if available, may include restrictive covenants that could limit how we conduct our business and limit our ability to further raise capital, and if available, may be available only on undesirable terms, particularly as we would borrow as an independent company and not a subsidiary of Illumina. If adequate capital is not available to us on a timely basis, we may be required to significantly delay, scale back, or discontinue the commercialization of our products or research and development programs, or be unable to continue or expand our operations or otherwise capitalize on our business opportunities, as desired, which could materially affect our business, financial condition, results of operations, and growth prospects and cause the price of our common stock to decline.
As a result of the Spin-Off, we are subject to a number of limitations and risks that may impact our ability to obtain additional financing. For example, certain restrictions under the Tax Matters Agreement limit our ability to obtain additional financing, including offerings of common stock, or otherwise require that we undertake certain procedures with Illumina. In addition, certain terms of the Spin-Off may impact our ability to successfully obtain financing on favorable terms or at all. For example, in connection with the Spin-Off, Illumina provided us with disposal funding in the amount of $932.3 million in accordance of the Separation and Distribution Agreement, subject to a clawback feature in the event that the Company (i) consummates a GRAIL Change of Control, or (ii) (1) pays any dividend on, or makes any other distribution in respect of, any shares of its capital stock or other equity or voting interests (other than a stock dividend or a stock split), or otherwise consummates a return of capital from GRAIL to any of its equity holders or (2) redeems, purchases or otherwise acquires any of its outstanding shares of capital stock or other equity or voting interests, in each case prior to the 15-month anniversary of the Distribution Date. If the Company consummates a transaction described in the foregoing clause (i) prior to the 15-month anniversary of the Distribution Date, the Company must return to Illumina a cash amount calculated by reference to the number of months which have elapsed since June 24, 2024 at the time of the public announcement of the event giving rise to such transaction. If the Company consummates a transaction described in the foregoing clause (ii) prior to the 15-month anniversary of the Distribution Date, the Company must return to Illumina a cash amount equal to the payments made by the Company in connection with such transaction up to an aggregate maximum amount equal to the amount of the initial disposal funding subject to a clawback feature in the event of a change in control, or the Company (1) pays any dividend on, or makes any other distribution in respect of, any shares of its capital stock or other equity or voting interests (other than a stock dividend or a stock split), or otherwise consummates a return of capital from GRAIL to any of its equity holders or (2) redeems, purchases or otherwise acquires any of its outstanding shares of capital stock or other equity or voting interests, prior to September 24, 2025. If these clawback features are triggered, we must return to Illumina the aggregate amount of payments to equity holders as a result of or in connection with such a transaction. Additionally, in connection with certain change of control transactions prior to September 24, 2025, we must return to Illumina a cash amount decreasing over time calculated by reference to the number of months which have elapsed since June 24, 2024 at the time of the public announcement of the event giving rise to the change of control. These restrictions under these agreements may impact our ability to obtain additional financing when needed, if at all, and, if we are required to repay any disposal funds to Illumina under the clawback provision, our cash balance will be reduced and we may have greater need for additional financing.
If our products result in direct or indirect participant or patient harm or injury, we could be subject to significant reputational and liability risks.
Our success will depend on the market’s confidence that our products, including Galleri and, if successfully developed and launched, further enhanced versions of Galleri, and our precision oncology portfolio can provide reliable, high-quality results. We believe that participants, patients, customers, physicians, and regulators are
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likely to be sensitive to errors in the use of our products or failure of our products to perform as described, and there can be no guarantee that our products will meet expectations. Galleri is intended to be used to detect a cancer signal in individuals, but its results are not intended to be diagnostic. If a cancer signal is detected, the product is used to localize the origin of the cancer signal; a “cancer signal detected” test result must be followed up by appropriate diagnostic workup. Because the product cannot detect all cancer signals, and may not detect signals for all cancer types, a negative test does not rule out the presence of cancer. Additionally, an individual undergoing unnecessary diagnostic tests on the basis of a false positive result or an erroneous cancer signal origin result could expose us to reputational risks and potential liability. Similarly, an individual who receives a cancer diagnosis shortly following a “no cancer signal detected” test result may create negative publicity about our product, which would discourage adoption. Performance failures could establish a negative perception of our products among physicians, patients, customers, and regulators, jeopardize our ability to successfully commercialize our products, impair our ability to obtain marketing authorizations or secure favorable coverage and reimbursement, or otherwise result in reputational harm or enforcement action or inquiry by a regulatory body. These risks may be more pronounced for certain applications in our precision oncology portfolio, such as companion diagnostic development, as our products would be directly involved with the choice to use certain treatments in a particular case. In addition, we may be subject to legal claims arising from any errors in the use, manufacture, design, labeling, marketing, or performance of our products, including false positive or false negative results. If our products result in direct or indirect participant or patient harm or injury, we could be subject to significant reputational and liability risks, and our reputation, business, financial condition, results of operations, and growth prospects could be materially adversely affected.
We rely on Illumina as a sole supplier for our next-generation sequencers and associated reagents, Madison Industries (“Madison”) (who acquired our blood collection tube manufacturer, Streck, Inc., in 2023) as a sole supplier of our blood collection tubes, and Twist Bioscience Corporation (“Twist”) as a sole supplier of our DNA panels. Additionally, we rely on a limited number of suppliers for some of our laboratory instruments and reagents, and we may not be able to immediately find replacements if necessary.
We rely on Illumina as the sole supplier of the next-generation sequencers and associated Illumina-supplied reagents we use to perform our genomic tests and as the sole provider of servicing, including maintenance and repair services for these sequencers. Additionally, as a part of the Spin-Off, Illumina distributed 85.5% of its holdings of the Company to its shareholders but remained a significant shareholder through its retention of 14.5% of our outstanding shares immediately following the Spin-Off and we are party to a number of agreements with Illumina entered into in connection with the Spin-Off. Any disruption or interruption in Illumina’s operations, Illumina’s breach of our supply-related agreements or disputes arising between the parties would impact our supply chain and laboratory operations. We also rely on Madison as the sole supplier of our blood collection tubes and Twist as the sole supplier of our DNA panels. We rely on other vendors as sole suppliers, including for machinery, reagents, magnetic beads, tubes and other supplies used in our laboratory workflows although we believe we are less reliant on their offerings than the vendors named above. A disruption or interruption in supply from these vendors could delay our ability to continue laboratory operations, and develop and commercialize any other future products. Any such disruption or interruption in supply, quality, or servicing would adversely affect our commercial partnerships, our ability to continue supporting clinical studies and conduct new studies, our reputation, and could impact our timing for regulatory authorization and coverage and reimbursement.
Further, we are in the process of submitting a PMA for Galleri to the FDA. We may similarly seek FDA authorization for future products. For products or components supplied to us by Illumina, we have not negotiated the use of all of their products in any product we intend to submit for an FDA marketing authorization. We are cooperating with Madison to obtain FDA clearance or approval for their blood collection tubes for use with our products. In some cases, use of these third-party products in any FDA-cleared or approved product we may seek to commercialize will be conditioned on these suppliers having obtained FDA clearance or approval for their products for the uses of those third-party products as intended with ours. Before we pursue approval for our products that incorporate or use materials supplied to us by these suppliers, we will need to negotiate and execute agreements with these parties and in some cases may need to ensure these products have obtained the requisite clearances or approvals for the intended uses with our products. Any failures or delays in negotiating agreements with our suppliers on reasonable terms, or their inability to obtain any required clearances or approvals, may increase our costs or delay or prevent us from obtaining approval of, and thus successfully commercializing, our products. For example, any changes to the material used in our laboratory workflow may
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require us to supplement or revise the information contained in any PMA or other application, which could increase our costs and delay our efforts to obtain approval for Galleri, and could delay our implementation of the material into our workflow.
Moreover, products supplied to us for use in our LDT products may be currently available to us as RUO products, which means, among other things, that the third-party supplier intends for the products not to be used for clinical use and that the products must be labeled “For Research Use Only. Not for use in diagnostic procedures.” If the FDA were to take enforcement action against us or our suppliers for our use of RUO products in connection with our products and future products that we intend to use for clinical purposes, including our launch of LDTs, such action could require us to seek alternative suppliers and thus materially and adversely affect our ability to provide such products to our customers and could significantly increase our costs of conducting business. Products for FDA-approved or cleared in vitro diagnostic use generally have significantly higher costs than LDT uses, which, in turn, are more costly than products intended for RUO.
Our current suppliers, including Illumina, Madison, or Twist, may also discontinue or substantially change the specification of products that we utilize or intend to utilize in our products and future products. While we believe other suppliers exist that are capable of supplying and servicing the equipment and materials necessary for our products and laboratory operations, including certain instruments, components, consumables, and reagents, qualifying, contracting with, validating, and transitioning to any such new suppliers could temporarily result in interruptions in or otherwise affect our ability to manufacture and commercialize products or the performance specifications of our laboratory operations and sample processing or, if we receive FDA authorization for our current or future products, could require that we revalidate such products or submit such changes for regulatory authorization by the FDA. For example, we have used, currently use and expect to continue to use Madison blood collection tubes for all of our prior, ongoing, and planned clinical studies that support product development and validation. It may be difficult to engage with another supplier who can provide the same products and with the same quality and availability as Madison, which could significantly delay our clinical studies and ability to process tests, and materially adversely impact our business. In addition, we purchase certain products on a purchase order basis and cannot guarantee a consistent source of supply. The use of equipment or materials provided by a replacement supplier could require us to alter our laboratory operations and sample collection and processing and related procedures. In the case of attempting to obtain an alternative supplier for Illumina, Madison, or Twist, replacement instruments and associated reagents, tubes, and panels that meet our quality control and performance requirements may not be immediately available. If we encounter delays or difficulties in securing, reconfiguring or revalidating the equipment, reagents, and other materials that we require for our tests, laboratory operations and sample collection and processing, we would likely face significant delays in ongoing clinical studies or conducting new studies, commercializing our products and our reputation, business, financial condition, results of operations, and growth prospects would be adversely affected.
If our facilities become inoperable, our ability to provide our products will be significantly impaired and our business will be harmed.
We currently conduct commercial testing work, for our products, including Galleri, in our laboratory located in Durham, North Carolina and additionally perform certain research and development in our laboratory in Menlo Park, California. We also have offices in Washington D.C. and the United Kingdom, which is important to our international operations. The facilities may be harmed, rendered inoperable by physical damage or otherwise become partially or completely unusable due to fire, floods, earthquakes, power loss, telecommunications failures, break-ins, accidents, pandemics, and similar events, which may render it difficult or impossible for us to provide our products for some period of time. Our laboratories and the equipment we use to perform our research and development or commercial work could be unavailable or costly and time-consuming to repair or replace. It would be difficult, time-consuming, and expensive to rebuild our facilities, particularly in light of the licensure, permits, and accreditation requirements for clinical laboratories like ours. For example, the development and commercial test processing activities for Galleri, and future potential commercial launch of future products, are dependent on the operation of our Durham, North Carolina laboratory, which received Clinical Laboratory Improvement Amendments of 1988 (“CLIA”) certification to perform high-complexity training, and College of American Pathologists (“CAP”) accreditation. In particular, as part of the Restructuring Plan, we have consolidated the processing of commercial Galleri tests in this facility and no longer process commercial Galleri tests in our Menlo Park Facility. As a result, any disruption at our North Carolina facility could materially adversely affect our ability to process tests and return results to patients, and our revenue, operations, business and prospects could be
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materially harmed. Although we carry insurance for damage to our properties and the disruption of our business, this insurance may not be sufficient to cover all of our potential losses and may not continue to be available to us on acceptable terms, or at all.
Our operations and business are materially dependent on various third parties, including information technology, sample collection, processing, transfer facilities, and other patient-facing service providers, any of which could experience disruption, failure, or interruption.
We depend on third parties for information technology, telecommunication systems, the collection, processing, transport, and storage of sample, and other patient-facing services. Any disruption in these services or operations could materially adversely harm our business and operations.
We depend on information technology and telecommunications systems, including those provided by third parties and their vendors, for significant elements of our operations, such as our laboratory information management systems, including test validation, specimen tracking, and quality control; personal information collection, storage, maintenance, and transmission; our report production systems; and our billing and reimbursement, research and development, scientific, and medical data analysis; and general administrative activities. In connection with becoming a public company, we expect to expand and strengthen a number of enterprise software systems that affect a broad range of business processes and functions, including, for example, systems handling human resources, financial controls and reporting, customer relationship management, regulatory compliance, security controls, and other infrastructure operations. These expansions may prove more difficult than we expect and could cause disruptions in our operations or additional expense. Information technology and telecommunications systems are vulnerable to damage from a variety of sources, including telecommunications or network failures, malicious human acts, and natural disasters. Moreover, despite network security and back-up measures, some of our servers are potentially vulnerable to physical or electronic break-ins, computer viruses and similar disruptive events, and other cybersecurity incidents. Any disruption or loss of information technology or telecommunications systems on which critical aspects of our operations depend could have an adverse effect on our business, reputation, results of operation, financial condition, and growth prospects.
Our business also depends on our ability to reliably sequence blood samples that we collect, which are transported to our Menlo Park or Durham facility for analysis. Within the United Kingdom, our samples are initially collected, processed, frozen, and stored at several off-site facilities. Any disruption to the operations of these facilities could compromise the integrity of our samples and impede our ability to access and accurately sequence the data. For example, Event Marketing Solutions Ltd (“EMS”) is responsible for collection of our NHS-Galleri Trial samples and ships those samples to UK Biocentre Ltd (“UKBC”) for, among other things, receipt, storage, and management. If any natural or man-made disaster, accident, or break-in were to affect the UKBC facility or EMS’ collection or shipping operations, our NHS-Galleri samples could be lost, destroyed, compromised, or otherwise adversely affected. In addition, we maintain samples from our clinical studies for several years. It is possible that the long-term stability of these samples may not be maintained with the passage of time, which could negatively impact our ability to use such samples to validate our products. Further, interruptions in collection, processing, freezing, or transportation of samples performed by patient-facing service providers and other third parties, whether due to labor disruptions, bad weather, natural disaster, terrorist acts, threats, or for other reasons could adversely affect the samples and our ability to process the samples in a timely manner, which could negatively affect our ongoing research studies and harm our business. This is particularly true for transport of our samples, which generally must be delivered to our facilities for processing within seven days of blood draw.
We also depend on third-party telemedicine providers for certain referrals and follow up services with patients. Third-party phlebotomists also provide patient-facing services in collecting samples and shipping samples to our facilities for processing. If these telemedicine or phlebotomist vendors fail to perform services, or if services are performed poorly or perceived to be performed poorly, we may suffer reputational harm, need to replace a provider, limit our ability to reach patients, result in loss of samples, failure to receive samples in a timely manner, insufficient quality of samples, or other harms.
Finally, the facilities of any of our third-party collaborators, consultants, contractors, vendors, suppliers, and service providers could be subject to earthquakes, power shortages, telecommunications failures, water shortages, floods, tornadoes, hurricanes, fires, extreme weather conditions, medical epidemics, pandemics, and
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other natural or man-made disasters or business interruptions. In addition, they may be affected by government shutdowns, changes to applicable laws, regulations, and policies, or funding shortages. The occurrence of any of these business disruptions could seriously harm their ability to complete their contracted services to us, which may adversely impact our operations and financial condition.
Failure of, or defects in, our machine learning algorithms, artificial intelligence, and cloud-based computing infrastructure, including interruptions of service through our key provider, Amazon Web Services, or increased regulation in the machine learning or artificial intelligence space, could impair our ability to process our data, develop products, or provide test results, and harm our business and results of operations.
We depend on technology systems for significant elements of our business operations. These technology systems support a variety of functions, including manufacturing operations, laboratory operations, data analysis, quality control, partner service and support, billing, research and development activities, and scientific and general administrative activities. The design, development, maintenance, and operation of our technology over time is expensive and complex, and may involve unforeseen difficulties including performance problems, undetected defects, or errors. Overcoming technical obstacles and correcting defects or errors could prove to be impossible or impracticable, and the costs incurred may be substantial and adversely affect our results of operations. Additionally, regulation in the machine learning and artificial intelligence space is constantly evolving and limitations placed on the use of data, including personal information, health data, or genetic/ genomic data in such systems may make it difficult for us to continue using our machine learning algorithms. If our technology does not function reliably, fails to meet expectations in terms of performance, or cannot be fully utilized due to increasing regulation, including regulation by the FDA or comparable regulatory authorities of artificial intelligence or medical device software, we may be unable to provide, or our customers may stop using, our products. We expect that increased investment will be required in the future to continuously improve our use of AI technologies. As with many technological innovations, there are significant risks involved in developing, maintaining and deploying these technologies and there can be no assurance that the usage of or our investments in such technologies will always enhance our products or services or be beneficial to our business, including our efficiency or profitability.
In Europe, on August 1, 2024, the EU Artificial Intelligence Act (the “EU AI Act”) entered into force, and establishes a comprehensive, risk-based governance framework for AI in the EU market. The majority of the substantive requirements will apply from August 2, 2026. The EU AI Act applies to companies that develop, use and/or provide AI in the EU and, depending on the use case, includes requirements around transparency, conformity assessments and monitoring, risk assessments, human oversight, security, accuracy, general purpose AI and foundation models, and fines for breaches up to 7% of an undertaking’s worldwide annual turnover. In addition, the revised EU Product Liability Directive came into force in December 2024, to be implemented into EU member state national law by December 2026. This Directive extends the EU’s existing strict product liability regime to AI technologies and AI-enabled products, and facilitates civil claims in respect of harm caused by AI. Once fully applicable, the EU AI Act and the EU Product Liability Directive will have a material impact on the way AI is regulated in the EU. The EU AI Act and its future interpretation and application may affect our use of AI technologies and our ability to provide, improve or commercialize our services, require additional compliance measures and changes to our operations and processes, result in increased compliance costs and potential increases in civil claims against us, and could adversely affect our business, operations and financial condition. It is also possible that further laws and regulations will be adopted in the United States and in other non-U.S. jurisdictions, or that existing laws and regulations, including competition and antitrust laws, may be interpreted in ways that would limit our ability to use AI technologies for our business, or require us to change the way we use AI technologies. For example, Colorado passed the Colorado Artificial Intelligence Act and Utah passed the Utah Artificial Intelligence Policy Act, both of which will have implications on the ways that businesses can use AI technologies.
We currently host all of our data on, and conduct a significant portion of our data analysis through, Amazon Web Services (“AWS”) cloud-based hosting facilities. In addition, certain functions of our laboratory operations and business functions use or leverage AWS. Any technical problems or outages that may arise in connection with AWS, including its data center hosting facilities, could result in operational disruption, loss of data or delayed or ineffective data processing. A variety of factors, including infrastructure changes, human or software errors, viruses, malware, cybersecurity incidents or attacks, fraud, spikes in customer usage, or denial of service issues could cause interruptions in our service. Such service interruptions may reduce or inhibit our ability to provide our
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products, process tests, operate our laboratory, delay our clinical studies, and damage our relationships with our customers. We could also be exposed to potential lawsuits, liability claims, reputational impact, or regulatory actions, for example if AWS experienced a data privacy or cybersecurity incident. If we were required to transfer to another service provider, including the transfer of data to an alternative hosting provider, the transfer and acclimation to the new provider could result in significant business delays and require additional resources.
If we are unable to scale our operations successfully to support demand for our products, our business could suffer.
As and to the extent test volumes grow, we may need to ramp up laboratory capacity, including increasing the processing of Galleri in our Durham, North Carolina facility by increased operations. While we have heavily invested in our scalability, including by expanding our Durham facility laboratory capacity, further buildout of our Durham facility may be needed, as well as further new infrastructure, data processing capabilities, customer service, billing and systems processes, and expanding our internal quality assurance program and information technology to support testing on a larger scale. We will also need additional equipment, and certified and licensed laboratory personnel to process higher volumes of tests. Our ability to hire personnel to scale would be more challenging if 24/7 operations are implemented and we will require night shift work. We may face difficulties increasing the scale of our operations, including implementing changes in infrastructure or programs or acquiring additional equipment or personnel, as well as any additional regulatory, licensing, permitting, or certificate obligations that need to be met at the local, state, or federal level. As we refine our products, develop additional products, and enhance existing products, we may need to bring new equipment on-line, comply with additional applicable laws and regulations, implement new systems, technology, controls and procedures, and hire personnel with different qualifications, licenses, or certifications.
The value of Galleri, our precision oncology portfolio, and any future products will depend, in part, on our ability to perform tests and return results to providers on a timely basis and at an appropriate quality standard, and on our reputation for such timeliness and quality. Failure to implement necessary procedures, to transition to new equipment or processes, or to hire the appropriate, qualified personnel could result in higher costs of processing, longer turnaround times or an inability to meet market demand. There can be no assurance that we will be able to perform tests on a timely basis at a level consistent with demand, that we will be able to maintain the quality of our test results as we scale our commercial operations, or that we will be successful in responding to the growing complexity of our laboratory operations, including the related data analysis requirements.
We may also experience difficulties scaling in international markets in which we are required under law or contract, or decide to, construct and operate a laboratory in that market. For example, we may be required or decide to build and operate a laboratory in the United Kingdom if and when we have a commercial presence in that country. This may be challenging due to significant startup costs, difficulty recruiting, and lack of familiarity with the local jurisdiction, among other reasons. If we are unable to build and operate laboratories internationally, our ability to expand internationally may be limited, and have a negative impact on our business and results of operations.
In addition, our growth may place a significant strain on our management, operating and financial systems, research and development, and our sales, marketing, and administrative resources. As a result of our growth, our operating costs may escalate even faster than planned, and some of our internal systems may need to be enhanced or replaced. If we cannot effectively manage our expanding operations and our costs, we may not be able to grow successfully or we may grow at a slower pace, and our business could be adversely affected.
Our business and results of operations will suffer if we fail to perform effectively.
There are market participants in the cancer detection space both in the United States and abroad, including Adela, Inc., DELFI Diagnostics, Inc., Exact Sciences Corporation, Exai Bio, Inc., Freenome Inc., Guardant Health, Inc., Harbinger Health and Natera, Inc. within the United States and AnchorDx, Anpac Bio-Medical Science Co., Ltd., Burning Rock Biotech Limited, Datar Cancer Genetics, Elypta AB, Gene Solutions JSC, Insighta, Singlera Genomics, Inc. and Seekin, Inc. outside of the United States, among others, that have stated that they are attempting to develop tests designed to detect certain types of cancer, including some that will use cell free DNA (“cfDNA”) analyses. The precision oncology market includes companies such as Roche/Foundation Medicine, Inc., Natera, Inc., Guardant, Inc., Tempus AI, Inc., Clearnote Health, NeoGenomics Laboratories, Personalis, Inc.,
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Twist Bioscience Corp. and Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp., among others. These companies have or may have greater financial, technical, and other resources, such as larger research and development staff, well-established marketing and sales forces, existing integrated systems connected to health practices’ electronic health or medical records to facilitate product ordering and results delivery, or may operate in jurisdictions where lower standards of evidence are required to bring products to market. These companies may succeed in developing, acquiring, or licensing, on an exclusive basis or otherwise, tests or services that are more effective, have higher performance, or are less costly than our products. In addition, established medical technology, biotechnology, or pharmaceutical companies may invest to accelerate discovery and development of tests that could make our products less successful than we anticipate. For example, large and long-tenured healthcare, life sciences, or technology companies may initiate research and development of MCED and bring significant resources and disruption to the cancer detection space.
Our ability to perform successfully will depend largely on our ability to:
• successfully expand commercialization efforts for our products;
• demonstrate compelling advantages in the performance and convenience of our products, including on a cost efficient basis;
• achieve market acceptance of our products by healthcare providers and patients, including through our reputation;
• achieve adequate coverage and reimbursement by third-party payors for our products;
• differentiate our product from future tests and products of and third parties;
• attract qualified scientific, data science, clinical development, product development, and commercial personnel;
• obtain, maintain, defend, and enforce patent and other proprietary protection as necessary for our products;
• obtain and maintain any necessary or desirable marketing authorizations or certifications from regulators in the United States and other jurisdictions, and notified bodies;
• integrate product ordering and results delivery into practices’ electronic health or medical records systems;
• successfully collaborate with institutions in the discovery, development, and commercialization of our products; and
• successfully expand our operations and implement a successful sales and marketing strategy to support commercialization.
We may not be able to perform effectively if we are unable to accomplish one or more of these or similar objectives.
If we cannot maintain our current collaborations or partnerships and enter into new collaborations or partnerships in a timely manner and on acceptable terms, our efforts to develop and commercialize our products could be delayed or adversely affected.
We rely, and expect to continue to rely, on collaborative partners to help us develop our products and enhance our research and development efforts. For example, we have collaborated with pharmaceutical companies, research institutions, and academic centers. Additionally, our RUO offering has formed the basis of biopharmaceutical partnerships with several leading oncology companies. These partnerships leverage our RUO offering to test applications of biomarkers with the goal of optimizing the use of therapeutic interventions. Partnerships may also include development of customized applications to support clinical studies and companion
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diagnostic development and commercialization. Our reliance on certain of these third parties reduces our control over our product development activities.
If any of our collaborators or partners were to breach or terminate their agreements with us or otherwise fail to conduct the contracted activities successfully and in a timely manner, the research and development activities of certain of our products could be delayed or terminated. Further, our collaborators or partners may fail to properly protect our intellectual property rights, may infringe the intellectual property rights of third parties, may misappropriate our trade secrets, or may use our proprietary information or others’ in such a way as to expose us to litigation and potential liability. Disagreements or disputes with our collaborators or partners, including disagreements over proprietary rights, funding, or contract interpretation, might cause delays or termination of the research, development or commercialization of our products, might lead to additional responsibilities for us with respect to these products or activities or might result in litigation or arbitration, any of which would divert management attention and resources and be time-consuming and expensive. We may not be able to renew our current agreements with collaborators or partners or negotiate additional collaboration or partnership agreements on acceptable terms, if at all, and these collaborations and partnerships may not be successful. Any transition from a current collaborator to a new collaborator could be costly and result in significant product development delays.
From time to time, we expect to engage in discussions with potential development and/or commercial collaborators that may or may not lead to collaborations. However, we cannot guarantee that any discussions will result in development or commercial collaborations. Further, once news of discussions regarding possible collaborations are known in the general public, regardless of whether the news is accurate, failure to announce a collaboration agreement, or the entity’s announcement of a collaboration with an entity other than us, could result in adverse speculation about us, our products, or our technology, resulting in harm to our reputation and our business. In addition, establishing collaborations is difficult, time-consuming and may require our significant financial investment. Potential collaborators may elect not to work with us based on their assessment of our financial, regulatory, or intellectual property position. Even if we establish new collaborations, they may not result in the successful development or commercialization of our products or technology.
We will need to grow the size and capabilities of our organization to support scale over time, and we may experience difficulties in managing this growth. If we are unable to maintain and expand sales and marketing capabilities in particular, we may not be successful in increasing sales of Galleri or commercializing new products over the long term.
As of December 31, 2024, we had approximately 1,000 employees, substantially all of whom were full- time. Our headcount was reduced in 2024 following the implementation of the Restructuring Plan. As our development plans and strategies develop, and as we continue our operation as a public company, we may require a significant number of additional managerial, operational, financial, and other personnel. Moreover, despite our progress made in driving commercial implementation to date, we may not be able to market, sell, or distribute Galleri, or any future products that we may develop and commercialize, effectively enough to support our planned growth. Although we have focused our business on Galleri-related activities and our work with biopharmaceutical companies as part of the Restructuring Plan resulting in a lower number of employees as of December 31, 2024, we may nevertheless need to continue to grow our operations to achieve our goals.
Factors that may inhibit our efforts to commercialize any of our products include:
• our inability to recruit and retain adequate numbers of effective sales, marketing, reimbursement, customer service, medical affairs, and other support personnel;
• the inability of sales personnel to generate an adequate number of customers, including healthcare systems and healthcare providers, to use our products;
• the inability to price our products at a sufficient price point to ensure an adequate and attractive level of gross margin and profitability;
• our inability to effectively market to, collaborate with, and secure coverage and reimbursement from third-party payors;
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• our failure to comply with applicable regulatory requirements governing the sale, marketing, reimbursement, and commercialization of our products; and
• unforeseen costs and expenses associated with maintaining a commercialization organization.
Future growth will impose significant added responsibilities on members of management besides those related to our efforts to commercialize, which will include: managing our internal development efforts effectively, including creating compliant programs and processes, such as a compliant laboratory and manufacturing quality system, and managing the regulatory requirements for our products, while complying with our contractual obligations to contractors and other third parties, including patient-facing service providers; expanding our operational, financial and management controls, reporting systems, and procedures; and managing the increasing complexity associated with a larger organization and expanded operations.
Our future financial performance and our ability to commercialize our products will depend, in part, on our ability to effectively manage any future growth. Our management may also have to divert a disproportionate amount of its attention away from day-to-day activities in order to manage these growth activities. Our ability to successfully manage our expected growth is uncertain given the fact that we have been in operation as a company only since 2016, and have grown significantly in recent years.
If we are not able to effectively expand our organization by hiring new employees, we may not be able to successfully implement the tasks necessary to commercialize our products, which would have a negative impact on our business and results of operations.
We are highly dependent on our key personnel. If we are not successful in attracting, motivating, and retaining highly qualified personnel, we may not be able to successfully implement our business strategy.
Our ability to perform in the biotechnology industry depends upon our ability to attract, motivate, and retain highly qualified personnel. We are highly dependent on our executive management team and our scientific, medical, technological, and engineering personnel. The loss of the services provided by any of our executive officers, other key employees, and other scientific and medical advisors, and our inability to find suitable replacements in a timely manner, could result in delays in commercialization of our products and harm our business. The risk of losing our executive officers, key employees and scientific and medical advisors may increase in connection with the Restructuring Plan.
We are headquartered in Menlo Park, California, a region in which many other healthcare companies, technology companies, and academic and research institutions are headquartered. In addition, we operate a laboratory facility in Durham, North Carolina, where there is also demand for skilled personnel, especially engineering and laboratory personnel. Competition for personnel is intense and the turnover rate can be high, which may limit our ability to hire and retain highly qualified personnel on acceptable terms or at all. We expect that we may need to recruit talent from outside of these regions, and doing so may be costly and difficult.
To induce valuable employees to join and remain at our company, we have generally granted incentive awards that vest over time-based continued service, in addition to salary and periodic cash incentives. Prior to the Spin-Off, these awards generally consisted of Cash-Based Equity Awards (defined below) and, since the Spin-Off, these awards have consisted of grants of restricted stock units covering GRAIL common stock (“RSUs”), in each case, vesting over set time periods based on continued service. In connection with the Spin-Off, the outstanding Cash-Based Equity Awards converted into RSUs (the “RSU Conversion”) in accordance with the Employee Matters Agreement, dated June 24, 2024, by and between us and Illumina (the “Employee Matters Agreement”). As a result of the applicable RSU conversion mechanic under the Employee Matters Agreement, the fair market value of each employee’s RSU award after the RSU Conversion was substantially lower than the face value of the Cash-Based Equity Awards prior to the RSU Conversion, particularly for award tranches vesting after 2024. In October 2024, we granted 2.4 million RSUs to our employees, including special retention grants made to certain members of our executive team. These RSU grants represented a smaller aggregate number of RSUs than we would ideally have issued for retention purposes in 2024, primarily due to available share constraints under our shareholder-approved incentive equity plan. As a result of the RSU Conversion mechanics and limitations our 2024 RSU grants, the perceived value to employees of these awards may be insufficient to retain certain key executives and other valuable employees, who may receive more lucrative offers from other companies. Although
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we have employment agreements with certain key employees, these employment agreements provide for at-will employment, which means that any of our employees could leave our employment at any time, with or without notice. If we are unable to attract and incentivize highly qualified personnel on acceptable terms in a timely manner, or at all, our business and results of operations may suffer.
Our business is subject to economic, political, regulatory, and other risks associated with international operations.
Our business is subject to risks associated with conducting business internationally. For example, some of our suppliers and parties with whom we have collaborative relationships are located outside the United States, including in the United Kingdom and Israel. We expect to continue to increase our international presence over time, which could increase these risks or introduce new risks. Accordingly, our future results could be harmed by a variety of factors, including:
• economic weakness, including inflation, or political instability, in particular non-U.S. economies and markets;
• challenges enforcing our contractual and intellectual property rights, especially in those foreign jurisdictions that do not respect and protect intellectual property rights to the same extent as the United States;
• trade protection measures, import or export controls and licensing requirements (including possible restrictions on licensing intellectual property to certain non-U.S. persons) or other restrictive actions by U.S. or non-U.S. governments;
• changes in non-U.S. laws, regulations and customs, tariffs, and trade barriers;
• changes in non-U.S. laws, regulations, and policies related to data privacy, data protection, and cybersecurity in the transfer or transmittal of data across boundaries and geographies;
• exchange rate risk we may face from denominating a portion of our transactions in currencies other than the U.S. dollar;
• changes in a specific country’s or region’s political or economic environment;
• negative consequences from changes in tax laws;
• negative consequences from changes in U.S. national security laws, including those governing non-U.S. investors’ ownership of U.S. biotech and other technology companies and U.S. companies’ ability to enter into joint ventures with non-U.S. entities;
• compliance with tax, employment, immigration, and labor laws for employees living or traveling abroad;
• workforce uncertainty in countries where labor unrest is more common than in the United States;
• difficulties associated with staffing and managing international operations, including differing labor relations;
• potential liability under the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act (“FCPA”) or comparable foreign laws; and
• business interruptions resulting from geopolitical actions, including war and terrorism, such as recent conflicts in the Middle East, pandemics, or natural disasters more common in certain regions, including earthquakes, typhoons, floods, and fires.
In addition, in recent years, U.S. administrations have publicly supported potential trade proposals that may affect U.S. trade relations with other countries. It is unclear at this point how, if at all, such actions or other potential actions, including under the new U.S. Presidential administration, may impact our business or
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operations, and the uncertainty surrounding these matters might create difficulties in our efforts to partner with certain healthcare providers, suppliers, and insurance carriers. As of the date of this Annual Report, discussions remain ongoing in respect of certain trade restrictions and tariffs on imports from Canada, China and Mexico, as well as retaliatory tariffs enacted in response to such actions. Should significant tariffs be implemented and sustained for an extended period of time, they could have a material adverse effect on the broader economy, which may be exacerbated by additional tariffs in the United States or retaliatory tariffs imposed by other governments. Moreover, future operational expansion into other geographies will subject us to additional political and regulatory regimes that will require us to invest further in compliance efforts and may result in additional risks, including, among others, exposure to various and potentially conflicting regulations, international sanctions and compliance rules, country-specific requirements for testing, approval, and processing of patient information and biological samples, as well as the risks associated with political and macroeconomic climates in any such geographies. For example, the potential commercialization of Galleri with the NHS, subject to the results of the NHS-Galleri Trial, may be delayed or otherwise impacted if there is a change in the government in the United Kingdom. These and other risks associated with our planned international operations may materially and adversely affect our business, costs and growth prospects.
We also face risks from our international operations for Galleri, our precision oncology portfolio and other products we may develop. Our clinical trials to date have been conducted in the United States and the United Kingdom, and use of our tests in populations outside of these regions could result in differences in performance. Any performance differences experienced in screening populations outside of the United States or United Kingdom could result in customer dissatisfaction, reputational harm, real world data or adverse events that would be reportable to the FDA or other regulators, regulatory actions by regulators in international jurisdictions and other risks, all of which could have a material and adverse impact on our business, regulatory pathway, results of operations and growth prospects.
Our ability to successfully and efficiently conduct any required in-country studies in other countries or regions in which we seek to expand may also be impacted, or may be impossible, due to the regulatory requirements of such countries. Some countries may require that we carry out testing of our products or future products through government partnerships, which may be difficult to navigate or which may limit our ability to deliver the results we intend. Moreover, the demographics in other countries or regions may differ vastly, such that study results may not appear as successful, due to, for example, a lower incidence of cancer in the local population. Such outcomes may adversely impact demand for our products in other countries. Finally, our ability to expand internationally may be limited by the availability of international laboratory space or requirements that will permit us to store, collect, and analyze biological samples required for current or future products, including space that could be made available through potential partners in such countries or regions. These and other unknown risks which make it difficult for us to assess the potential success of our international expansion and the costs associated therewith. For additional information, see “—Risks Relating to Regulation and Legal Compliance.”.
Our information technology systems, or those used by our third-party collaborators or other contractors or consultants, may fail or suffer cybersecurity incidents or cyberattacks.
We collect and maintain information in digital form that is necessary to conduct our business, and we are increasingly dependent on information technology systems and infrastructure to operate our business. In the ordinary course of our business, we collect, store, and transmit large amounts of confidential information, including intellectual property, proprietary business information, personal, financial, and health information of patients and personal and financial information of our employees and contractors. It is critical that we do so in a secure manner to maintain the confidentiality and integrity of such confidential information.
Despite the implementation of security and back-up measures, our information technology systems as well as those of our third-party collaborators, consultants, contractors, suppliers, and service providers, may be vulnerable to attack, damage, or interruption from physical or electronic break-ins, computer viruses, malware, malicious code, ransomware, denial or degradation of service, hacking, phishing attacks, and other cyber-attacks, natural disasters, terrorism, war, telecommunication and electrical failures, instructions and attacks from sophisticated nation-state and nation-state-supported actors (including advanced persistent threat intrusions), or other disruptive incidents that could result in unauthorized access to, use or disclosure of, corruption of, or loss of sensitive, and/ or proprietary data, including personal information, protected health information, and other sensitive information, and could subject us to significant liabilities and regulatory and enforcement actions, and
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reputational damage. The risk of a cybersecurity incident or disruption, particularly through cyberattacks or cyber intrusion, including by computer hackers, foreign governments, and cyber terrorists, has generally increased as the number, intensity and sophistication of attempted attacks and intrusions from around the world have increased and evolved. If we or our third-party vendors were to experience a significant cybersecurity incident affecting our or their information technology systems or data, the costs associated with the investigation, remediation, and potential notification of the incident to counterparties and data subjects could be material, in addition to any money required to resolve a ransomware attack. For example, laws in the European Economic Area (“EEA”), the United Kingdom, and all 50 U.S. states may require businesses to notify regulators within specific timeframes that an incident affecting personal information has occurred and/or to provide notice to individuals whose personal information has been impacted as a result of such incident. As part of our growth strategy, we have expanded into multiple jurisdictions outside of the United States, including the United Kingdom and Israel, and intend to continue expansions in 2025 and beyond. This growth will subject us to additional regulatory regimes and increase the amount of cybersecurity requirements for compliance in multiple geographies. Complying with such numerous and complex regulations in the event of a cybersecurity breach would be expensive and difficult, and failure to comply could subject us to regulatory scrutiny and additional liability. In addition, our remediation efforts may not be successful. Data protection laws and regulations often require appropriate, reasonable or adequate technical and organizational security measures, and the interpretation and application of those laws and regulations are often uncertain and evolving. There can be no assurance that our security measures will be deemed adequate, appropriate or reasonable by a regulator or court. Moreover, even security measures that are deemed appropriate, reasonable, or otherwise in accordance with applicable legal requirements may not be able to protect the information we maintain.
In connection with the Restructuring Plan, we have made reductions to the number of employees and amount of resources dedicated to these matters, and to our information technology efforts more broadly, and there may be further reductions to resources in the future. In addition to the number of employees allocated to these matters, if we fail to identify and retain qualified key personnel in these areas or fail to appropriately allocate responsibilities across remaining personnel, the quality of our cybersecurity efforts may be compromised. Even if we do allocate and effectively manage the resources necessary to build and sustain the proper technology and cybersecurity infrastructure, we could nevertheless suffer significant business disruption, including transaction errors, supply chain or manufacturing interruptions, processing inefficiencies, data loss, or the loss of or damage to intellectual property or other confidential or proprietary information.
As a part of our cybersecurity program, we conduct a number of internal evaluations and independent third-party audits and reviews. For example, as part of our overall public company preparedness efforts in connection with the Spin-Off in 2024, we underwent third-party reviews of our cybersecurity program against the NIST CSF 2.0 and NIST Privacy Framework, along with our ordinary course annual reviews under ISO 27001, SOC2 Type 2, PCI DSS, and other standards, in order to identify capabilities, gaps, and recommendations for improvement, and to compare our cybersecurity program to applicable requirements. These assessments generate numerous findings and opportunities that we intend to utilize in order to improve and mature our cybersecurity practices and promote continuous improvement in our cybersecurity and privacy programs. However, these improvements and maturation efforts may take a number of months or years to fully realize. Should these improvement and maturation efforts fail to improve or maintain our level of effectiveness in a timely manner or at all, or correct any observed gaps, we may be at risk of regulatory findings, cybersecurity attacks or data breaches, which would amplify the risks otherwise described.
We, along with companies with whom we engage in data sharing, including our service providers, are from time to time subject to cyberattacks and other cybersecurity incidents. While we do not believe that we have experienced any significant system failure, or cybersecurity incident to date, we may nonetheless be a target of such an attack, and if such an event were to occur and cause interruptions in our operations, or any of our third-party collaborators’ operations, it could result in a material disruption of our development programs, reputation, and business operations whether due to a loss, corruption, or unauthorized disclosure of our trade secrets, personal information, financial information, health information, or other proprietary or sensitive information, or other similar disruptions. For example, the loss of clinical study data from completed or ongoing clinical studies could result in delays in any regulatory clearance, approval, or certification efforts and significantly increase our costs to recover or reproduce the data, and subsequently commercialize our products. If we or our third-party collaborators, consultants, contractors, suppliers, or service providers were to suffer a cybersecurity incident or attack, for example, that resulted in the unauthorized access to or use or disclosure of personal or health
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information, we may have to notify physicians, patients, partners, collaborators, government authorities, and the media, and may be subject to investigations, civil penalties, administrative and enforcement actions, and litigation, any of which could harm our business and reputation. Likewise, we rely on our third-party research institution collaborators and other third parties to conduct clinical studies, and similar events relating to their computer systems could also have a material adverse effect on our business. It could also expose us to risks, including an inability to provide our services and fulfill contractual demands, and could cause management distraction and the obligation to devote significant financial and other resources to mitigate such problems, which would increase our future information security costs, including through organizational changes, deploying additional personnel, reinforcing administrative, physical, and technical safeguards, further training of employees, changing third-party vendor control practices, and engaging third-party subject matter experts and consultants and reduce the demand for our technology and services. To the extent that any disruption or cybersecurity incident were to result in a loss of, or damage to, our data or systems, or inappropriate or unauthorized access to or disclosure or use of confidential, proprietary, or other sensitive, personal, or health information, we could incur liability, we could be exposed to the risk of litigation, our market position could be harmed, we could suffer reputational harm, and the development and commercialization of our products could be delayed. Furthermore, federal, state, and international laws and regulations can expose us to enforcement actions and investigations by regulatory authorities, and potentially result in regulatory penalties, fines, and significant legal liability, if our information technology security efforts fail or if there are material findings regarding data security or data integrity deficiencies by us or our critical partners, vendors, or suppliers. While we may be entitled to damages if our third-party partners, vendors, or suppliers fail to satisfy their security-related obligations, any award may be insufficient to cover our damages, or we may be unable to recover such award.
Attacks on information technology systems are increasing in their frequency, levels of persistence, sophistication, and intensity, and are being conducted by sophisticated and organized groups and individuals with a wide range of motives and expertise. Furthermore, because the techniques used to obtain unauthorized access to, or to sabotage, systems change frequently and often are not recognized until launched against a target, we may be unable to anticipate these techniques or implement adequate preventative measures. In particular, developments in artificial intelligence tools and computing power, are likely to increase the frequency and effectiveness of attacks. We may also experience cybersecurity incidents that may remain undetected for an extended period. Even if identified, we may be unable to adequately investigate or remediate cybersecurity incidents due to attackers increasingly using tools and techniques that are designed to circumvent controls, to avoid detection, and to remove or obfuscate forensic evidence.
While we maintain cybersecurity insurance, our insurance policies may not be adequate to compensate us for the potential losses arising from such disruptions, failure, or cybersecurity incident. In addition, such insurance may not be available to us in the future on economically reasonable terms, or at all. Further, our insurance may not cover all claims made against us and defending a suit, regardless of its merit, could be costly, divert management attention, and harm our reputation.
If we are sued for product or professional liability, we could face substantial liabilities that exceed our resources and insurance coverage.
Actual or perceived errors resulting from laboratory or reporting errors, false positive or false negative test results, or the manufacture, design, marketing, or labeling of our products, could subject us to product liability or professional liability claims. A product liability or professional liability claim against us could result in substantial damages and be costly and time-consuming to defend. These risks may be more pronounced for certain applications in our precision oncology portfolio, such as companion diagnostic development, as our products would be directly involved with the choice to use certain treatments in a particular case. Although we maintain liability insurance, including for errors and omissions, our insurance may not fully protect us from the financial impact of defending against these types of claims or any judgments, fines, or settlement costs arising out of any such claims. Any liability claim brought against us, with or without merit, could increase our insurance rates or prevent us from securing insurance coverage in the future. Additionally, any liability lawsuit could damage our reputation or force us to suspend sales of our products. The occurrence of any of these events could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations, and growth prospects.
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Our quarterly results of operations may fluctuate significantly or may fall below the expectations of investors or securities analysts, each of which may cause our stock price to fluctuate or decline.
We expect our results of operations to be subject to quarterly fluctuations. Our net loss and other operating results will be affected by numerous factors, including:
• our ability to successfully develop, market, and sell our products, including Galleri, our precision oncology portfolio and any of our future products if and when launched;
• changes in strategic focus or priorities;
• the prices at which we are able to sell our products;
• the impact of market developments or our response thereto;
• disruptions in our business due to manufacturing, supply, cybersecurity breaches, outages, or other issues;
• the cost of performing next-generation sequencing;
• the extent to which our products are deemed eligible or ineligible for coverage and reimbursement from third-party payors;
• changes in coverage and reimbursement or in reimbursement-related laws directly affecting our business;
• our ability to obtain regulatory approval for our products, and the degree of impact of those approvals on perceptions of our products and market demand;
• regulatory developments affecting our products or any future competing products;
• timing of investments in our laboratories and other infrastructure;
• timing of expenditures in connection with our clinical studies;
• the success of our international expansion efforts; and
• non-routine cash and non-cash expenses and write-offs, whether associated with acquisitions, restructuring activities, litigation, investigations, or otherwise.
If our quarterly results of operations fall below the expectations of investors or securities analysts, the price of our common stock could decline substantially. Furthermore, any quarterly fluctuations in our results of operations, which could be caused by any number of factors including seasonality of prescribing our products, may, in turn, cause the price of our stock to fluctuate substantially. We may experience this seasonality in particular in the third quarter due to primary care physician and patient summer vacation periods. We believe that quarterly comparisons of our financial results are not necessarily meaningful and should not be relied upon as an indication of our future performance.
Acquisitions or other strategic transactions may increase our capital requirements, dilute our stockholders, cause us to incur debt or assume contingent liabilities, and subject us to other risks.
We have in the past engaged in and may in the future engage in acquisitions and strategic partnerships, including licensing or acquiring complementary intellectual property rights, technologies, or businesses. Any acquisition or strategic partnership may entail numerous risks, including:
• increased operating expenses and cash requirements;
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• the assumption of indebtedness or contingent liabilities;
• the issuance of our equity securities that would result in dilution to our stockholders;
• assimilation of operations, intellectual property, and products of an acquired company;
• difficulties associated with integrating new personnel;
• retention of key employees, the loss of key personnel, and uncertainties in our ability to maintain key business relationships;
• the diversion of our management’s attention from our existing product programs and initiatives in pursuing such an acquisition or strategic partnership;
• risks and uncertainties associated with the other party to such a transaction, including the prospects of that party and their existing or future products and regulatory approvals or certifications, and the validity and enforceability of their intellectual property;
• inability to consummate acquisitions on which we spend a significant amount of time and resources;
• possible write-offs or impairment charges relating to acquired businesses; and
• our inability to generate revenue from acquired intellectual property, technology, or tests sufficient to meet our objectives or offset the associated transaction costs.
In addition, as our strategy evolves, we may opt to discontinue, deprioritize, or dispose of assets, technologies, or acquired businesses.
We have and may continue to become subject to securities class action lawsuits, investigations initiated by regulators and law firms, and derivative or other similar litigation, any or all of which, individually or in the aggregate, could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
We have and may continue to become subject to securities class action lawsuits, investigations initiated by regulators and law firms, and derivative or other similar litigation that can be expensive, divert management attention and human and financial capital to less productive uses and result in potential reputational damage. These lawsuits, claims and investigations may be related to regulatory or other matters, privacy, intellectual property, and/or employment matters, or any other aspect of our business.
For example, since the Acquisition of our business by Illumina in 2021, the Acquisition has been subject to various legal challenges, including by the FTC and the European Commission. As a result, we have been a party, together with Illumina and as a separate party, to a number of regulatory and administrative proceedings regarding the Acquisition, including ongoing proceedings and proceedings in which we have filed separate appeals. In addition, we have intervened in certain procedures in support of Illumina. Following completion of the Spin-Off we and Illumina sought dismissal of the FTC’s complaint on July 30, 2024, and on August 15, 2024, the FTC dismissed without prejudice the complaint on the basis that the Spin-Off effectively abandoned the transaction giving rise to the complaint. On September 3, 2024, the European Court of Justice annulled the European Commission’s decision to review Illumina’s acquisition of Grail on the basis the European Commission did not have the jurisdiction to do so. With the completion of the Spin-Off, the dismissal by the FTC and the annulment of the European Court of Justice, the Company believes these matters are substantially concluded. However, we may continue to be involved in litigation proceedings related to the FTC’s or the European Commission’s actions related to the Acquisition. We may also be a party or otherwise involved in new litigation proceedings regarding the Acquisition. For example, in July 2023, Illumina was informed that the staff of the SEC was conducting an investigation relating to Illumina and was requesting documents and communications primarily related to Illumina’s acquisition of GRAIL and certain statements and disclosures concerning GRAIL, our products and the Acquisition, and related to the conduct and compensation of certain members of Illumina and GRAIL management, among other things. GRAIL is cooperating with the SEC in this investigation.
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In addition, our acquisition by Illumina and subsequent litigation resulted in the filing of three securities class actions in the United States District Court for the Southern District of California: Kangas v. Illumina, Inc. et al., Roy v. Illumina, Inc. et al., and Louisiana Sheriffs’ Pension & Relief Fund v. Illumina, Inc. et al. (collectively, the “Actions”). The complaints generally allege, among other things, that defendants made materially false and misleading statements and omitted material facts relating to Illumina’s acquisition of GRAIL. The complaints seek unspecified damages, interest, fees, and costs. On January 9, 2024, four movants filed motions to consolidate the Actions and to appoint a lead plaintiff (“Lead Plaintiff Motions”). On April 11, 2024, the Court issued an order consolidating the Actions into a single action (captioned in re Illumina, Inc. Securities Litigation No. 23-cv-2082-LL-MMP), and appointed Universal-Investment-Gesellschaft mbH, UI BVK Kapitalverwaltungsgesellschaft mbH, and ACATIS Investment Kapitalverwaltungsgesellschaft mbH as lead plaintiffs. (the "Lead Plaintiffs). On June 21, 2024, the Lead Plaintiffs filed their consolidated amended complaint. The amended complaint alleges that GRAIL, in addition to Illumina, and certain of their respective current and former directors and others violated sections 10(b) and 20(a) of the Exchange Act and SEC Rule 10b-5 in connection with Illumina's acquisition of GRAIL. On September 13, 2024 the plaintiffs further amended the complaint. On November 12, 2024, the Company and other defendants filed a motion to dismiss the second amended consolidated complaint. On December 20, 2024, the Lead Plaintiffs filed their opposition to the motion to dismiss. The defendants’ final reply brief was filed on February 3, 2025. No hearing date has been set. We deny the allegations in the complaints and intend to vigorously defend the litigation. See Note 10 — Legal And Regulatory Proceedings for additional details. In the event that any of the matters described above result in one or more adverse judgments or settlements, we may experience an adverse impact on our financial condition, results of operations or stock price.
Lawsuits and other proceedings have in the past and may in the future result in us incurring significant expenses in settlement and litigation costs. Any negative outcome from any such lawsuits or claims could result in payments of substantial monetary damages or fines, or undesirable changes to our products or business practices and, accordingly, our business, results of operations, financial condition, or prospects could be adversely affected. There can be no assurances that a favorable final outcome will be obtained in any or all instances, and defending any lawsuit, even unmerited claims, is costly and can impose a significant burden on management and employees. Any litigation to which we are a party may result in an onerous or unfavorable judgment that may not be reversed upon appeal or in payments of substantial monetary damages or fines, or we may decide to settle lawsuits on similarly unfavorable terms, which could adversely affect our business, results of operations, financial condition, and prospects.
Risks Relating to Regulation and Legal Compliance
We have launched Galleri as a laboratory developed test (“LDT”) in the United States. The FDA recently finalized a regulation pursuant to which it plans to subject LDTs to medical device requirements through a phase-out of its historical policy of enforcement discretion over LDTs over a period of four years. The phase-in of medical device requirements to LDTs, including the potential requirement for FDA marketing authorization, if it imposes new, different or earlier significant obligations, will be costly and time-consuming, and if we fail to comply with such requirements, or if we cannot ultimately obtain marketing authorization for our LDTs where required, our business will be substantially harmed.
While we plan to complete our PMA submission seeking regulatory approval from the FDA for Galleri, we launched Galleri in the United States as an LDT. LDTs are in vitro diagnostic (“IVD”) tests that are intended for clinical use and are designed, manufactured, and used within a single laboratory certified for high complexity testing under CLIA. Although LDTs are classified by the FDA as medical devices and the FDA has asserted statutory authority to ensure that medical devices, including LDTs, are safe and effective for their intended uses, the FDA has historically exercised enforcement discretion and has not enforced certain otherwise applicable FDA requirements, including premarket review, with respect to LDTs, with certain exceptions such as in the case of tests for public health emergencies, where the tests are available directly to the consumer, where the tests represented a significant public health concern, or where the FDA has concerns that a company’s performance claims related to its tests are not sufficiently validated by clinical data.
Even under that enforcement discretion policy, the FDA has issued warning letters to and safety communications about IVD device manufacturers for commercializing laboratory tests that were purported to be LDTs but that the FDA alleged failed to meet the definition of an LDT or otherwise were not subject to the FDA’s enforcement discretion policy.
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The FDA has for a number of years stated its intention to modify its enforcement discretion policy with respect to LDTs and impose applicable medical device requirements to LDTs more broadly. The FDA proposed an amendment to its regulations in October 2023 to clarify the FDA’s historical view that LDTs are medical devices subject to the requirements applicable to other IVDs, and to phase out its enforcement discretion policy over a period of four years from issuance of the final rule, which would involve a phase-in of medical device requirements to these products over this time period. The FDA finalized this rule on May 6, 2024, which would subject our products currently marketed as LDTs and any future products that we may market as LDTs in the future to the FDA’s standard regulatory requirements applicable to medical devices in accordance with this phase-in period, potentially, including the potential requirement for FDA marketing authorization (the “LDT Final Rule”).
In connection with the LDT Final Rule, the FDA established certain new, targeted enforcement discretion policies, including, among others, for LDTs marketed as of the date of publication of the final rule (May 6, 2024), as well as for LDTs that have received approval from New York State’s Clinical Laboratory Evaluation Program (“NY CLEP”). Specifically, the FDA intends to exercise enforcement discretion and not enforce certain medical device requirements (including the requirements for marketing authorization and compliance with certain elements of the Quality System Regulation (“QSR”)) with respect to LDTs that were marketed as of the date of the LDT Final Rule’s publication, although such products must still comply with certain other FDA requirements, including registration and listing, portions of the QSR, medical device reporting, labeling, and corrections and removals reporting. However, where these tests are modified in certain ways from the version of the test marketed as of the LDT Final Rule’s publication date, this enforcement discretion policy will no longer apply and the FDA intends to enforce all applicable FDA requirements (including premarket review and marketing authorization requirements) consistent with the phase-in policy. In addition, for LDTs that receive approval from NY CLEP, the FDA intends not to enforce marketing authorization requirements when these requirements are phased in more generally at either three and a half or four years following the date of publication of the LDT Final Rule. However, these tests will still be subject to the remaining medical device requirements, including registration and listing, medical device reporting, and quality system requirements, at the time that such requirements are phased in more generally.
Notwithstanding these new targeted enforcement discretion policies, depending on the kinds of future changes we make to our currently-marketed LDT or any NY CLEP-approved LDT we offer, we may become subject to the application of the phase-in of all FDA medical device requirements (including the need to seek and obtain marketing authorization) at the time that those medical device requirements are phased in more generally. If we are unable to comply with the phase-in of medical device requirements applicable to our LDTs over the phase-in period, we may be required to cease marketing any products that we market as LDTs. In addition, efforts by the FDA to actively regulate LDTs could create a negative public perception about the validity, safety, effectiveness, or performance of LDTs, including our products, that could adversely affect patient, provider, and customer perception about, and confidence in, our products.
Moreover, the FDA may assert that we are improperly marketing our LDTs and may take enforcement action against us and/or require premarket review and marketing authorizations, even before the deadline for phasing in medical device requirements to LDTs. The FDA may request that we provide additional analyses and information beyond that which we intend to produce based on the designs of our current and planned clinical studies, or that we modify or narrow our intended use or product claims. It is possible that the FDA, among other things, may disagree with our interpretation of data we have relied on to support our LDT launches for our intended uses. If we are required to provide additional analyses or additional data or perform additional clinical studies beyond those we currently contemplate to support the intended uses of our products or future products, our planned commercial launches may be delayed and we may be required to cease commercialization of any products we currently market as LDTs. A delay in the launch of our products or new versions of existing products, or significantly narrowing their intended uses, could negatively impact our financial condition and results of operations.
In addition, Congress has, for over the past decade, considered a number of proposals, which if enacted, would subject LDTs to additional regulatory requirements. For example, in recent years, Congress has worked on legislation to create a novel regulatory framework governing a new category of FDA-regulated products, referred to as in vitro clinical tests (“IVCTs”), which would govern LDTs and would be separate and distinct from the existing medical device regulatory framework. For example, most recently, in March 2023, the Verifying Accurate Leading-edge IVCT Development Act of 2023 (the “VALID Act”) was introduced. The bill would have established a risk-based approach to imposing requirements related to premarket review, quality systems, and labeling requirements on all IVCTs, including LDTs, but would grandfather certain LDTs marketed before the effective date
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of the bill and exempt them from certain requirements. It is unclear whether the VALID Act or any other or similar legislative proposals (including any proposals that would, in contrast, reduce FDA oversight of LDTs) will be passed by Congress or signed into law by the President. Depending on the approach adopted under any potential legislation or regulation, certain LDTs (likely those of higher risk) may be required to undergo some form of premarket review, potentially with a transition period for compliance and a grandfathering provision. Any such legislation could substantially alter our commercial offering and marketing of LDTs and negatively impact our financial condition and results of operations. Furthermore, there is increased uncertainty regarding the FDA’s implementation of the FDA’s LDT final rule under the new U.S. Presidential administration. In particular, the LDT Final Rule has been the subject of significant recent litigation, and it remains possible that under the new U.S. Presidential administration, FDA may abandon or delay the implementation of the LDT Final Rule, or that the administration may not defend the LDT Final Rule against current or future litigation challenges. If the LDT Final Rule is successfully challenged, abandoned or delayed, the regulatory environment around LDTs could be significantly relaxed, which could increase competition and reduce the effectiveness of our regulatory and reimbursement strategy.
Nevertheless, as the FDA begins to phase out its policy of enforcement discretion for LDTs as recently described in the LDT Final Rule, or if it asserts that our LDTs are not eligible for application of its new, targeted enforcement discretion policies, or if Congress enacts legislation such as the VALID Act to subject LDTs to affirmative FDA oversight as IVCTs, we may be required to obtain marketing authorization for our LDT products from the FDA prior to initially launching our future products or may be required to cease marketing any commercially marketed products that are marketed as LDTs until such marketing authorization is obtained or the applications are submitted. There can be no assurance that we will be able to obtain such marketing authorization or that any labeling claims will be consistent with the claims we have made or intend to make for such products when launched as LDTs, or that such claims will be adequate to support continued adoption of and reimbursement for our products. Even if our products are allowed to remain on the market prior to any required marketing authorization, demand or reimbursement for our products may decline if there is uncertainty about our products, if we are required by the FDA to label our products as investigational, or if the FDA limits the labeling claims we are permitted to make for our products. As a result, we could experience significantly increased development costs and a delay in generating additional revenue from our products, or from other future products now in development, which could reduce our revenues or increase our costs and adversely affect our business, results of operations, financial condition, or growth prospects.
The regulatory clearance, approval, or certification processes of the FDA and comparable foreign regulatory authorities or notified bodies are lengthy, time-consuming, and unpredictable. If we are ultimately unable to obtain any necessary or desirable regulatory approvals, clearances, or certifications, or if such approvals, clearances, or certifications are significantly delayed, our business will be substantially harmed.
We have not yet obtained FDA clearance or approval for any of our products or products in development. We are in the process of seeking PMA approval from the FDA for Galleri, while we market Galleri as an LDT. We may also seek FDA approval or clearance for other products in the future. The time required and ability to obtain clearance or approval by the FDA and comparable foreign regulatory authorities is unpredictable, typically takes several years following the commencement of clinical studies, and depends upon numerous factors, including the type, complexity, and novelty of our products and future products. In addition, policies, laws, regulations, or the type and amount of clinical data necessary to gain clearance or approval may change during the course of a test’s clinical development and may vary among jurisdictions, which may cause delays in the clearance or approval of, or the decision not to approve, an application. Regulatory authorities have substantial discretion in the premarket review process and may refuse to accept any application, decide that all or part of our data are unusable or insufficient for clearance or approval, require additional clinical or other data, including analytical validation data, determine that our manufacturing and quality systems are insufficient or in violation of applicable requirements, or determine that our clinical research program is insufficient or in violation of applicable good clinical practice or other requirements related to research compliance, human subject protections, or data integrity. Even if we believe our data are sufficient to support marketing authorization, regulatory authorities may disagree, or may require the generation and submission of additional data or analyses, which could significantly delay or preclude marketing authorization.
Before a new medical device can be marketed in the United States, a company must first submit an application for and receive 510(k) clearance pursuant to a premarket notification submitted under Section 510(k) of the FDCA, approval of a PMA application, or grant of a de novo classification request from the FDA, unless an
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exemption applies. In the process of obtaining PMA approval, which we are pursuing for Galleri, the FDA must determine that a proposed device is safe and effective for its intended use based, in part, on extensive data, including, but not limited to, technical, analytical validation, preclinical, clinical trial, manufacturing, and labeling data. The PMA process is typically required for devices that are deemed to pose the greatest risk, such as life-sustaining, life-supporting or implantable devices.
The PMA approval process can be expensive, lengthy and uncertain. The process of obtaining a PMA is costly and uncertain and generally takes from one to three years, or even longer, from the time the application is submitted to the FDA, including if an Advisory Committee is needed to evaluate a novel technology, which could occur for the review of a PMA for Galleri. In addition, a PMA generally requires the performance of one or more clinical trials. Despite the time, effort and cost, a device may not obtain marketing authorization by the FDA. Any delay or failure to obtain necessary regulatory marketing authorizations could harm our business. Furthermore, even if we are granted such marketing authorizations, they may include significant limitations on the indicated uses for the test, which may limit the potential commercial market for the test.
In the United States, any modification to a product for which we receive marketing authorization may require us to submit a PMA and obtain FDA approval prior to implementing the change. For example, certain modifications to a PMA-approved device may require approval of a new PMA or a PMA supplement, or alternatively a notification or other submission to the FDA. If we obtain PMA approvals from the FDA, we may make modifications or add additional features in the future that we believe do not require approval of a PMA application or supplement or other regulatory submission. If the FDA disagrees with our determination and requires us to seek new marketing authorizations for the modifications for which we have concluded that new marketing authorizations are unnecessary, we may be required to cease marketing and/or to recall the modified product until we obtain such marketing authorization, and we may be subject to significant regulatory fines or penalties. If the FDA requires us to go through a lengthier, more rigorous examination for future products or modifications to existing products than we had expected, product introductions or modifications could be delayed or canceled, which could adversely affect our business.
In addition, we are or may become subject to new laws, regulations, and industry standards concerning medical devices proposed and enacted in various foreign jurisdictions. The EU regulatory landscape concerning IVDs evolved and continues to undergo legislative change. On May 26, 2022, the EU In Vitro Diagnostic Medical Devices Regulation (“EU IVDR”) entered into force, which repeals and replaces the EU In Vitro Diagnostic Medical Devices Directive (“EU IVDD”). Subject to the transitional provisions (i.e., a tiered system extending the grace period for many devices (depending on their risk classification) before they have to be fully compliant with the EU IVDR) and in order to sell our products in the EU member states, our products must comply with the general safety and performance requirements of the EU IVDR. Compliance with these requirements is a prerequisite to be able to affix the European Conformity (“CE”) mark to our products, without which they cannot be sold or marketed in the EU. All medical devices placed on the market in the EU must meet the general safety and performance requirements laid down in Annex I to the EU IVDR including the requirement that a medical device must be designed and manufactured in such a way that, during normal conditions of use, it is suitable for its intended purpose. Medical devices must be safe and effective and must not compromise the clinical condition or safety of patients, or the safety and health of users and - where applicable - other persons, provided that any risks which may be associated with their use constitute acceptable risks when weighed against the benefits to the patient and are compatible with a high level of protection of health and safety, taking into account the generally acknowledged state of the art. To demonstrate compliance with the general safety and performance requirements, manufacturers must undergo a conformity assessment procedure, which varies according to the type of in vitro diagnostic medical device and its (risk) classification. A conformity assessment procedure generally requires the intervention of a notified body. The notified body would typically audit and examine the technical file and the quality system for the manufacture, design and final inspection of our devices. If satisfied that the relevant product conforms to the relevant general safety and performance requirements, the notified body issues a certificate of conformity, which the manufacturer uses as a basis for its own declaration of conformity. The manufacturer may then apply the CE mark to the device, which allows the device to be placed on the market throughout the EU.
If we fail to comply with applicable laws and regulations, we would be unable to affix the CE mark to our products, which would prevent us from selling them within the EU, and any delays in coming into compliance with these laws and regulations could prevent or delay our ability to launch Galleri in Europe. The aforementioned EU rules are generally applicable in the EEA (which consists of the 27 EU member states plus Iceland, Norway and
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Liechtenstein, and also generally applicable in Türkiye). Non-compliance with the above requirements would also prevent us from selling our products in these three countries.
Following Brexit, EU laws such as the EU IVDR do not apply directly in Great Britain, however under the terms of the Protocol on Ireland/Northern Ireland, the EU IVDR does apply in Northern Ireland. Consequently, there are currently different regulations in place in Great Britain as compared to both Northern Ireland and the EU, respectively. Ongoing compliance with both sets of regulatory requirements may result in increased costs for our business.
Furthermore, on December 16, 2024, the UK government published an amendment to the UK MDR to clarify and strengthen the post-market surveillance requirements for medical devices (including IVDs) in Great Britain. This amendment will come into force on June 16, 2025. In addition, the MHRA launched a consultation from November 14, 2024 to January 5, 2025 on proposed changes to the pre-market requirements for medical devices in Great Britain. The MHRA has stated that it will incorporate feedback to this consultation into new UK legislation on pre-market requirements for medical devices in Great Britain. The new legislation is expected to come into force in 2026. Under the UK MDR, in order to be lawfully placed on the Great Britain market, Class A (non-sterile) IVDs need to be United Kingdom Conformity Assessment (“UKCA”) certified by a UK approved body. However, certain IVDs in compliance with either the EU IVDD or IVDR can continue to be placed on the Great Britain market until the sooner of certificate expiration or June 30, 2030. IVDs also need to bear a physical UKCA mark in order to be lawfully placed on the Great Britain market. We have UKCA self-certified our Galleri test and it bears a UKCA mark. However, one of the key areas in the consultation was to obtain feedback on whether to remove the requirement for a medical device and its labelling (i.e. packaging and instructions for use) in Great Britain to bear a physical UKCA mark. Instead of requiring a medical device and its labelling to bear a UKCA mark, manufacturers would be required to assign a unique design identification (“UDI”) to medical devices before they are placed on the Great Britain market. If this change is implemented, we may no longer be required to affix the physical UKCA mark to our devices, but we may need to assign and affix a UDI. Understanding and ensuring compliance with any new requirements is likely to lead to further complexity and increased costs to our business.
It is currently unclear to what extent the UK government will seek to align new UK legislation on pre-market requirements for medical devices in Great Britain with the EU. The EU laws that have been transposed into UK law through secondary legislation remain applicable in Great Britain, however the full extent of the new UK legislation on pre-market requirements for medical devices in Great Britain remains uncertain and may cause additional cost to our business.
The FDA, other regulators or notified bodies can delay, limit, or deny clearance, approval, or certification of a product for many reasons, including but not limited to the following:
• disagreement with the design, implementation, or results of, or interpretation of the data from, our clinical studies;
• determination that our product has not been shown to be safe and effective or substantially equivalent to a predicate device, or has other characteristics that preclude us from obtaining marketing authorization or certification, or prevent or limit its commercial use (for example, a narrowed indication for use claim);
• the population studied in the clinical program may not be sufficiently broad, generalizable, or representative of the intended target population of our product to assure effectiveness and safety in the population for which we seek approval, clearance, or certification;
• disagreement with our interpretation of data from clinical studies or may fail to accept data from clinical studies (or clinical sites), including if we fail to establish the integrity of our data;
• determination that our clinical studies otherwise fail to comply with applicable regulations, including good clinical practice requirements;
• serious or unexpected adverse effects or other performance issues are identified with our existing or future products;
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• determination that our manufacturing or quality system fails to comply with applicable regulations or otherwise fails to meet the standards necessary to support approval or certification; and
• the approval (or certification) policies or regulations of the FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities may significantly change in a manner rendering our clinical data insufficient for approval or certification.
We are engaged in ongoing discussions with the FDA regarding the clinical studies and data that will be needed to support a successful PMA for a multi-cancer test for our planned indications, based on the designs of our current and planned clinical studies. There can be no assurance that our existing or future products for which we may seek clearance, approval, or certification will be approved, cleared, or certified by the FDA, a comparable foreign regulatory authority or a notified body on a timely basis, if at all. If our products or future products receive clearance, approval, or certification but there is uncertainty about such products among providers or payors, reimbursement may be adversely affected and we may not be able to sell our products. Compliance with FDA or comparable foreign regulations will require substantial costs, and subject us to heightened scrutiny by regulators and substantial penalties for failure to comply with such requirements or the inability to market our products, if and when cleared, approved, or certified. The lengthy and unpredictable clearance, approval, and certification processes, as well as the unpredictability of the results of our clinical studies, may result in our failing to obtain regulatory clearance, approval, or certification to market our products, which would significantly harm our business, results of operations, reputation, and prospects.
Regulatory approval by the FDA or other regulatory authorities is limited to those specific indications and conditions for which approval has been granted, and we may be subject to substantial fines, criminal penalties, injunctions or other enforcement actions if we are determined to be promoting the use of our products for unapproved or “off-label” uses, or in a manner inconsistent with the approved labeling, resulting in damage to our reputation and business.
We must comply with requirements concerning advertising and promotion for any product candidates for which we obtain marketing approval from the FDA. When the FDA or other regulatory authorities issue regulatory approval for a product, the regulatory approval is limited to those specific uses and indications for which a product is approved.
There can be no assurance that labeling claims will be consistent with our anticipated claims or current claims or marketing statements, including with respect to Galleri as an LDT and its current marketing as an MCED test in its intended use population, or adequate to support adoption of, or reimbursement for, our products. If the approved, cleared, or certified indication or other labeling claims the FDA or a comparable foreign regulatory authority or notified body allows us to make are more limited than we expect, or are more limited than current claims made with respect to Galleri, our business, prospects, and growth may be adversely affected and we may be limited in our ability to sell, or unable to sell, our products. If we are not able to obtain FDA approval for desired uses or indications for our current and future products, we may not market or promote them for those indications and uses, and our business, financial condition, results of operations, stock price and prospects could be materially harmed. We also must sufficiently substantiate any claims that we make for any products, including claims comparing those products to other companies’ products, and must abide by the FDA’s strict requirements regarding the content of promotion and advertising.
Our multi-cancer detection tests are a new approach to cancer screening, which present a number of novel and complex issues for FDA review. Because the FDA has never cleared or approved a multi-cancer detection test, we cannot provide assurances regarding what information we will need to submit to obtain approval of a PMA from the FDA for a proposed intended use, or if we will be able to obtain such approval on a timely basis or at all.
Our multi-cancer detection tests represent a new approach to cancer screening, and obtaining FDA approval for Galleri presents a number of novel issues. The FDA has never granted marketing authorization for a multi-cancer detection test. Additionally, in March 2020, the FDA held a public workshop to discuss the clinical, scientific, and regulatory challenges associated with circulating tumor DNA cancer screening tests, and we expect the FDA to continue to gather input from a variety of industry, academic, and clinical stakeholders to inform its thinking on how to assess these types of tests, including potentially convening an Advisory Committee meeting
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during review of a PMA for Galleri (or another company’s PMA for a multi-cancer early detection test, should it precede ours). In fact, on November 29, 2023, the FDA held a meeting of the Molecular and Clinical Genetics Panel of the Medical Devices Advisory Committee to discuss and make recommendations on the design of multi-cancer detection in vitro diagnostic devices (tests) as well as potential study designs and study outcomes of interest that could inform the assessment of the probable benefits and risks of multi-cancer detection screening tests. The FDA stated that the committee’s discussion and recommendations from this meeting will help inform future FDA regulatory efforts for these novel tests. As such, the FDA requirements that will govern multi-cancer detection tests, as well as the breadth and nature of data we must provide the FDA, to support the proposed intended use, may be subject to change, and as such we cannot provide assurances what information we will need to submit to obtain approval of a PMA from the FDA for a proposed intended use. Similarly, other companies seeking to develop a multi-cancer early detection test would need to satisfy these requirements in order to obtain approval of a PMA from the FDA, and to the extent the requirements that the FDA adopts are less stringent than we expect, it may be easier for potential competitors to enter this market.
We continue to interact with the FDA regarding the data we must provide the FDA to support our PMA submission for a multi-cancer detection test based on a proposed intended use. As part of our ongoing interactions, the FDA has provided feedback regarding how it plans to assess the safety and effectiveness of Galleri based on potential intended use statements. In addition, we have made pre-submissions to the FDA detailing the clinical and analytical studies intended to support our PMA submission for Galleri, including related to limit of detection, reproducibility, repeatability and other analytical validation studies. Subsequent to these pre-submissions, we met with the FDA and the FDA provided written and verbal feedback, documented in minutes, evaluating the use and size of certain of our proposed studies in our PMA submission and requesting or suggesting changes to certain of our proposed studies. While we plan to continue interactions with the FDA, including regarding the FDA’s feedback, requests and suggestions to date, the FDA may raise additional questions or request additional information in connection with the submission of a marketing application.
Given the novel nature and complexity of our multi-cancer detection tests, and the fact that the FDA has never granted marketing authorization for a multi-cancer detection test, we cannot be certain whether we will receive FDA approval for Galleri and we cannot provide assurances that the studies we have conducted, are currently conducting, or plan to conduct, will be sufficient to provide the data that the FDA requires to support a proposed intended use. For example, we plan on providing evidence from our PATHFINDER 2 study and NHS-Galleri Trial to support a PMA as our pivotal study data, as well as supplemental data from other clinical studies, and certain clinical data in the post-approval setting. We may be required to conduct additional studies or expand the enrollment of completed or ongoing studies to support our PMA, as study design and enrollment continue to be discussed with the FDA. The FDA may require us to perform new analyses of our clinical data. These and other efforts that we may be required to undertake could delay the submission of our PMA or delay or prevent approval, lead to a more limited intended use statement or approved labeling, and/or lead to significant post-approval limitations or restrictions, if approval is obtained at all. If the FDA determines that the data we plan to submit in our PMA are insufficient to support approval of our proposed intended use, our PMA submission could be delayed and we need to generate more data from additional participants, in which case we may not receive approval or may receive an inadequate approved label, and may need to resubmit a PMA following completion of additional new or expanded clinical studies.
Our use and disclosure of personal information, including individually identifiable health information, and biologic samples and related data are subject to federal, state and foreign privacy and security regulations. Data privacy rules are evolving and new legislation concerning privacy and data use may limit our ability to use such data and specimens. Our actual or perceived failure to comply with privacy and security requirements or to adequately secure such information could result in significant liability, administrative or governmental penalties, and/or reputational harm and, in turn, substantial harm to our business, financial condition and results of operations.
The global data protection landscape is rapidly evolving and we and our partners are or may be subject to federal, state, and foreign data protection laws and regulations (i.e., laws and regulations that address data privacy and security). Implementation standards and enforcement practices are likely to remain uncertain for the foreseeable future, and we cannot yet determine the impact future laws, regulations, standards, or perception of their requirements may have on our business. This evolution may create uncertainty in our business, affect our ability to operate in certain jurisdictions or to collect, store, transfer, use and share personal information,
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necessitate the acceptance of more onerous obligations in our contracts, result in liability or impose additional costs on us. The cost of compliance with these laws, regulations and standards is high and is likely to increase in the future. Any failure or perceived failure by us to comply with federal, state or foreign laws or regulations, consents and authorizations, our internal or publicly facing policies and procedures or our contracts governing our processing of personal information could result in negative publicity, government investigations and enforcement actions, claims by third parties and damage to our reputation, any of which could have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operation, and financial condition.
We receive, store, process and use personal information as part of our business and as our operations and business grow, we may become subject to or affected by new or additional data protection laws and regulations and face increased scrutiny or attention from regulatory authorities. In the United States, numerous state and federal laws and regulations govern the collection, dissemination, use, disclosure, privacy, confidentiality, security, availability and integrity of personal information, including health related information. We are a covered entity under the Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act of 1996, as amended by the Health Information Technology for Economic and Clinical Health Act, and the regulations that implement both laws (collectively, “HIPAA”). HIPAA establishes, among other things, a set of national privacy and security standards relating to the privacy, security, transmission, and breach reporting of individually identifiable health information, by health plans, healthcare clearinghouses and certain healthcare providers, referred to as covered entities, the business associates with whom such covered entities contract for services that involve creating, receiving, maintaining, or transmitting protected health information, and the subcontractors of such business associates. In addition, we may obtain health information from third parties (including research institutions from which we obtain clinical trial data) that are subject to privacy and security requirements under HIPAA.
HIPAA requires covered entities and business associates to develop and maintain policies with respect to the protection of, use and disclosure of protected health information (“PHI”), including the adoption of administrative, physical and technical safeguards to protect such information, and certain notification requirements in the event of a breach of unsecured PHI. Additionally, under HIPAA, covered entities must report breaches of unsecured PHI to affected individuals without unreasonable delay, not to exceed 60 days following discovery of the breach by a covered entity or its agents. Notification also must be made to the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services Office for Civil Rights (“OCR”) and, in certain circumstances involving large breaches, to the media. Business associates must report breaches of unsecured PHI to covered entities within 60 days of discovery of the breach by the business associate or its agents. A non-permitted use or disclosure of PHI is presumed to be a breach under HIPAA unless the covered entity or business associate establishes that there is a low probability the information has been compromised consistent with requirements enumerated in HIPAA.
Entities that are found to be in violation of HIPAA as the result of a breach of unsecured PHI, a complaint about privacy practices or an audit by the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (“HHS”), may be subject to significant civil, criminal and administrative fines and penalties and/or additional reporting and oversight obligations if required to enter into a resolution agreement and corrective action plan with HHS to settle allegations of HIPAA non-compliance. HIPAA also authorizes state Attorneys General to file suit on behalf of their residents. Courts may award damages, costs and attorneys’ fees related to violations of HIPAA in such cases. While HIPAA does not create a private right of action allowing individuals to sue us in civil court for violations of HIPAA, its standards have been used as the basis for duty of care in state civil suits such as those for negligence or recklessness in the misuse or breach of PHI.
Certain states have also adopted comparable privacy and security laws and regulations which govern the privacy, processing and protection of health-related and other personal information, such as the California Confidentiality of Medical Information Act; these laws are not preempted by HIPAA to the extent that they are more stringent than HIPAA. Such laws and regulations will be subject to interpretation by various courts and other governmental authorities, thus creating potentially complex compliance issues for us and our future customers and strategic partners. For example, the California Consumer Privacy Act as amended by the California Privacy Rights Act (“CPRA” and, collectively, the “CCPA”) requires covered businesses that process the personal information of California residents to, among other things: (i) provide certain disclosures to California residents regarding the business’s collection, use, and disclosure of their personal information; (ii) receive and respond to requests from California residents to access, delete, and correct their personal information, or to opt out of certain disclosures of their personal information; and (iii) enter into specific contractual provisions with service providers that process California resident personal information on the business’s behalf. Additional compliance investment
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and potential business process changes may also be required. Although there are limited exemptions for certain health-related data, including clinical trial data and PHI subject to HIPAA, the CCPA may increase our compliance costs and potential liability. Other states have passed or are considering similar privacy laws and the federal government may seek to enact a similar federal privacy law, reflecting a trend toward more stringent privacy legislation in the United States.
We also expect that there will continue to be new laws, regulations and industry standards concerning privacy, data protection and information security proposed and enacted in various jurisdictions. For example, Washington State has enacted a broadly applicable law to protect the privacy of personal health information known as the “My Health My Data Act,” which generally requires affirmative consent for the collection, use, or sharing of any “consumer health data.” Consumer health data is defined to include personal information that is linked or reasonably linkable to a consumer and that identifies a consumer’s past, present, or future physical or mental health status; consumer health data also includes information that is derived or extrapolated from non-health information, such as algorithms and machine learning. Other states, including Connecticut and Nevada, have also passed consumer health data laws, and given the increased focus on the use of health data by entities that are not subject to HIPAA, additional states are expected to pass consumer health privacy laws. The enactment of such laws could have potentially conflicting requirements that would make compliance challenging. We could be adversely affected if HIPAA, the CCPA and other state or federal legislation or regulations applicable to GRAIL require changes in our business practices, our use, receipt, or transfer of health information, or our privacy policies, or if governing jurisdictions interpret or implement their legislation or regulations in ways that negatively affect our business, financial condition and results of operations.
The Federal Trade Commission (“FTC”) also has authority to initiate enforcement actions against entities that mislead customers about HIPAA compliance, make deceptive statements about privacy and data sharing in privacy policies, fail to limit third-party use of personal health information, fail to implement policies to protect personal health information or engage in other unfair practices that harm customers or that may violate Section 5 of the Federal Trade Commission Act (“FTC Act”). Even when HIPAA does not apply, according to the FTC, violating consumers’ privacy rights or failing to take appropriate steps to keep consumers’ personal information secure may constitute unfair acts or practices in or affecting commerce in violation of the FTC Act. The FTC also expects a company’s data security measures to be reasonable and appropriate in light of the sensitivity and volume of consumer information it holds, the size and complexity of its business, and the cost of available tools to improve security and reduce vulnerabilities. Personal health information is considered sensitive data that merits stronger safeguards.
We strive to comply with applicable laws, regulations, policies and other legal obligations relating to privacy, data protection and information security. However, the various regulatory frameworks for privacy and data protection are, and are likely to remain, uncertain for the foreseeable future, and it is possible that these or other actual or alleged obligations may be interpreted and applied in a manner that is inconsistent from one jurisdiction to another and may conflict with other rules and subject our business practices to uncertainty.
In addition, the actual or perceived compromise of, lax oversight of, irresponsible or unauthorized use of, or unauthorized access to or release of, patient data or information by GRAIL, our partners, suppliers, contractors, consultants, or vendors, could erode provider, patient, and customer confidence, which could impact our business, financial condition, and results of operations.
In the conduct of clinical research, we seek to utilize biological samples and data from participants in accordance with applicable law, IRB stipulations, and participant permissions (through consent forms and HIPAA authorizations) or IRB approved waivers thereof. If we are unable or significantly restricted in using participant samples and data for secondary research purposes, our ability to develop additional products and/or improve or refine existing products will be limited, which may impact our business and prospects.
In addition, we are or may in the future be subject to a range of laws, regulations, and industry standards concerning privacy, data protection, and information security proposed and enacted in various foreign jurisdictions. In Europe, we are subject to the UK GDPR and EU GDPR. The GDPR imposes a comprehensive data privacy compliance regime including: maintaining a record of data processing; providing detailed disclosures about how personal information is collected and processed (in a concise, intelligible and easily accessible form); demonstrating that appropriate legal bases are in place to justify data processing activities; complying with rights
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for data subjects in regard to their personal information (including data access, erasure (the right to be “forgotten”) and portability); ensuring appropriate safeguards are in place where personal information is transferred out of the EEA and the UK; and complying with the principal of accountability and the obligation to demonstrate compliance through policies, procedures, training and audit. The applicability of the specific requirements depends on whether an organization acts as controller or processor.
Some of the personal information we process, for example in respect of clinical trial participants, is special category data under the GDPR, and subject to additional compliance obligations and to local law derogations. We may be subject to diverging requirements under national UK laws and EU member state laws, such as the legal basis we can rely on when processing health data of clinical trial participants as controller or the roles, responsibilities and liabilities as between CROs. As these laws develop, we may need to make operational changes to adapt to these diverging rules, which could increase our costs and adversely affect our business. Further, the regulatory landscape of data and digital laws in the UK and EU is under constant development, and in the future we may be required to adapt our processes, or change the way we engage with health data.
Among other requirements, the GDPR regulates the transfer of personal information outside of the EEA and the UK. As the regulatory guidance and enforcement landscape in relation to data transfers continue to develop, we could suffer additional costs, complaints and/or regulatory investigations or fines; we may have to stop using certain tools and vendors and make certain operational changes, including to implement other/revised relevant documentation for data transfers within required time frames; and/or it could otherwise affect the manner in which we provide our services, and could adversely affect our business, operations and financial condition.
Penalties and fines for failure to comply with the GDPR are significant, including fines of up to €20 million/ £17.5 million or 4% of a noncompliant company’s global turnover for the preceding year, whichever is higher. Since we are subject to the supervision of relevant data protection authorities under both the UK GDPR and the EU GDPR, we could be fined under each of those regimes independently in respect of the same non-compliance. As we continue to expand into other foreign countries and jurisdictions, we may be subject to additional laws and regulations that may affect how we conduct business. Noncompliance with applicable foreign privacy laws, such as the GDPR, would also adversely affect public perception of GRAIL’s data stewardship practices and policies, which could impair our business and prospects with other foreign health systems and governments.
If we or our partners fail to comply with federal, state, and foreign laboratory and other applicable licensing and registration requirements, we could be prevented from performing our tests or experience disruptions to our business.
CLIA is a federal law that regulates clinical laboratories that perform testing on specimens derived from humans for the purpose of providing information for the diagnosis, prevention, or treatment of disease, or impairment of, or the assessment of the health of, human beings. CLIA regulations require, among other things, clinical laboratories to obtain a certificate and mandate specific standards in the areas of personnel qualifications, administration, participation in proficiency testing, test management, and quality assurance. CLIA certification is also required for us to be eligible to bill state and federal healthcare programs, if such reimbursement is otherwise available, as well as many third-party payors, for our products. To renew these certifications, we are and will be subject to routine surveys and inspections. Moreover, CLIA inspectors may make random or “for cause” inspections of our clinical laboratory.
We hold a CLIA certificate from CMS for our laboratory in Durham, North Carolina to conduct high complexity testing, subject to inspection to determine compliance with the CLIA regulations. We also hold a CAP accreditation for our Durham facility. While we have completed validation studies for the version of Galleri currently marketed as an LDT, we are continuing our validation efforts for the version of Galleri that we intend to submit for PMA approval. We may not successfully complete such validation. Certain product additions to our test menu require notification to the regulatory and accrediting bodies that regulate our laboratory (e.g., CMS, the California Department of Public Health Laboratory Field Services (“CALFS”) and CAP) that we are adding a new specialty to our assay offerings. At their discretion, any regulatory or accrediting body may come on-site to inspect our laboratory at any time. Any failure to pass inspections, maintain our CLIA certificate, CAP accreditation, or state licenses, or add new validated products to our laboratory assay offerings could significantly harm our business, results of operations, and prospects.
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In addition to obtaining federal certification for a laboratory under CLIA, we are also required to obtain and maintain state licenses to conduct testing in our laboratory. We have obtained a Clinical Laboratory Certificate of Deemed Status from the State of California Department of Public Health for our Durham, North Carolina facility. The California licensure law establishes standards for the day-to-day operation of a clinical laboratory, including the training and skills required of personnel and quality control. In addition, California law mandates proficiency testing, which involves testing of specimens that have been specifically prepared for the laboratory. Further, if we test specimens originating from other states and return patient-specific results, our clinical laboratory must satisfy such states’ licensure laws as well to the extent that such laws regulate out-of-state laboratories that test specimens originating in such states. For example, to be able to receive specimens originating from New York, we must maintain a New York State Department of Health clinical laboratory permit and obtain approval of Galleri, which we achieved. Research testing, however, does not require licensure if patient-specific results are not generated and/or returned for diagnostic purposes. We have obtained New York State Department of Health clinical laboratory permits for our Durham facility for our initial commercial version of Galleri and conditional approval for our new version of Galleri, which authorize us to accept and generate for diagnosis or treatment purposes patient-specific results on specimens originating from New York at the applicable facility, as well as having obtained New York State Department of Health approval (or, with respect to the new version of Galleri, conditional approval) to offer Galleri to residents of the State of New York. Applicable New York laws and regulations establish standards for day-to-day operation of a clinical laboratory, including training and skill levels required of laboratory personnel, physical requirements of a facility, equipment, and validation and quality control. There can be no assurance that we will be able to maintain New York clinical laboratory permits or approval of Galleri, or maintain licenses or permits from any other states where we are required to be licensed or hold a permit. Failure to maintain such licenses or permits could expose us to fines and other penalties, or limit our potential testing population.
In connection with CLIA certification and state laboratory licensing and permitting, we remain subject to a number of risks in the event of noncompliance. Any sanction imposed under CLIA, its implementing regulations, or state or foreign laws or regulations governing licensure or permitting, or our failure to renew or maintain a CLIA certificate, a state license or permit, or accreditation (including CAP), could have a material adverse effect on our business and reputation as certain actions are public. CMS also has the authority to impose a wide range of sanctions, including suspension, limitation, or revocation of the CLIA certification, termination of Medicare and Medicaid participation, civil money penalties, and a bar on the ownership or operation of a CLIA-certified laboratory by any owners or operators of the deficient laboratory. If we fail to obtain any required state licensure, or lose CLIA certification, CAP accreditation, or licensure, we would not be able to operate our clinical laboratory and offer our products in full or in particular states, which would adversely impact our business and results of operations. Even if we were able to bring our laboratory back into compliance, we could incur significant expenses and potentially lose revenue in doing so.
In addition to state laboratory licensing laws, we may also be subject to state registration and/or licensing requirements that apply to companies that manufacture medical devices. Certain states require such registrations or licenses before the products are commercialized, including while manufacturers are evaluating the devices in clinical studies. Violations of these laws may result in the denial, suspension, or revocation of the registration or license, as well as other fines and penalties, including imprisonment.
Data from our clinical trials that we announce or publish from time to time before our trials are complete may change as more patient data become available and are subject to audit and verification procedures that could result in material changes in the final data.
From time to time, we may publicly disclose preliminary or topline data from our clinical studies, which is based on a preliminary analysis of then-available data, and the results and related findings and conclusions are subject to change following a more comprehensive review of the data related to the particular study. We also make assumptions, estimations, calculations and conclusions as part of our analyses of data, and we may not have received or had the opportunity to fully and carefully evaluate all data. As a result, the topline or preliminary results that we report may differ from future results of the same studies, or different conclusions or considerations may qualify such results, once additional data have been received and fully evaluated. Topline and preliminary data also remain subject to audit and verification procedures that may result in the final data being materially different from the topline or preliminary data we previously published. As a result, topline and preliminary data should be viewed with caution until the final data are available. Audits, internal or external, including by the FDA’s
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Bioresearch Monitoring (“BIMO”) program, of our studies or associated data, can require substantial amounts of time, personnel, and other resources to comply with, and may not be anticipated.
From time to time, we may also disclose interim data from our clinical studies. Interim data from these studies that we may complete are subject to the risk that one or more of the clinical outcomes may materially change as subject enrollment continues and more data become available. Adverse differences between interim data and top-line, preliminary, or final data could significantly harm our business prospects. Further, disclosure of interim data by us or by third parties could result in volatility in the price of our common stock.
In particular, in the United Kingdom, we are working with NHS England to complete our NHS-Galleri Trial. It is possible that the early preliminary, interim or final data may not be as we expect, may be inconsistent with prior NHS-Galleri data, or with other studies we have conducted, or may be unsuitable to the NHS, any of which could have a significant adverse impact on the success of our commercial efforts for Galleri, our ability to achieve FDA authorization at all or within our anticipated timelines, our ability to achieve CMS or private payor reimbursement or coverage, our brand and reputation, our business, and our growth prospects.
Further, others, including regulatory agencies, may not accept or agree with our assumptions, estimates, calculations, conclusions or analyses or may interpret or weigh the importance of data differently, which could impact the value of the particular program, and our ability to receive regulatory clearance or approval or commercialize a particular product and our company in general. In addition, the information we choose to publicly disclose regarding a particular study or clinical study is based on what is typically extensive information, and you or others may not agree with what we determine is the material or otherwise appropriate information to include in our disclosure, and any information we determine not to disclose may ultimately be deemed significant with respect to future decisions, conclusions, views, activities or otherwise regarding our business. If the data that we report differ from final results, or if others, including regulatory authorities, disagree with the conclusions reached, our ability to commercialize or obtain regulatory clearance or approval for our products may be harmed, which could harm our reputation, business, operating results, prospects or financial condition.
Any product for which we obtain a regulatory certificate, permit, license, clearance, or approval will be subject to extensive ongoing regulatory requirements, and we may be subject to penalties if we or our partners fail to comply with regulatory requirements or if we experience unanticipated problems with our products.
Any product for which we obtain a regulatory certificate, permit or license from a local, state, federal, or foreign regulatory authority, or notified body, or clearance or approval from the FDA or other comparable regulators, along with the manufacturing processes, post-market surveillance, labeling, packaging, advertising, and promotion, distribution, storage, import, export, reporting, and recordkeeping for such product, will be subject to continued regulatory review, oversight, requirements, and periodic inspections by the FDA and comparable foreign regulatory authorities, as well as our laboratory processes and practices will be subject to continued review, oversight, requirements, and inspections by CMS, CALFS, and CAP. These requirements include submissions of safety and other post-marketing information and reports; registration and listing requirements; requirements relating to quality control, quality assurance, and corresponding maintenance of records and documents; requirements relating to recalls, removals, and corrections; and requirements relating to product labeling, advertising and promotion, and recordkeeping. The regulations to which we are subject are complex and have tended to become more stringent over time. Regulatory changes could result in restrictions on our ability to carry on or expand our operations, higher than anticipated costs or lower than anticipated sales. The FDA and comparable foreign regulatory authorities enforce regulatory requirements through, among other means, periodic unannounced inspections. We do not know whether we will be found compliant in connection with any future regulatory inspections.
Regulatory clearance, approval, or certification of a test or device may be subject to limitations by the regulatory body or notified body as to the indicated uses for which the product may be marketed or to other conditions of clearance, approval, or certification. In addition, clearance, approval, or certification may contain requirements for costly post-marketing testing and surveillance to monitor the safety or efficacy of the test or device. After clearance, approval, or certification, discovery of problems with our product, suppliers, vendors, or
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contract manufacturers, or manufacturing processes (including software validation), and/or failure to comply with regulatory requirements, may result in actions such as:
• restrictions on operations of our laboratories;
• restrictions on manufacturing processes;
• restrictions on marketing of a product;
• Untitled or Warning letters;
• withdrawal or recall of the product from the market or seizure of the product;
• refusal to approve applications or supplements to approved applications that we may submit;
• fines, restitution or disgorgement of profits or revenue;
• suspension, limitation or withdrawal of regulatory approvals, clearances, or certifications;
• exclusion from participation in U.S. federal or state healthcare programs, such as Medicare and Medicaid;
• safety communications;
• refusal to permit the import or export of our product;
• injunctions; or
• imposition of civil or criminal penalties.
Any of these sanctions could result in higher than anticipated costs or lower than anticipated sales and have a material adverse effect on our reputation, business, financial condition and results of operations.
In addition, the FDA may change its clearance or approval policies, adopt additional regulations or revise existing regulations, or take other actions. For example, on February 23, 2024, the FDA issued a final rule to amend the Quality System Regulation (“QSR”), which establishes current good manufacturing practice requirements for medical devices, to align more closely with the International Organization for Standardization standards. Specifically, this final rule, which the FDA expects to go into effect on February 2, 2026, replaces the QSR with the Quality Management System Regulation (“QMSR”), and among other things, incorporates by reference the quality management system requirements of ISO 13485:2016. Although the FDA has stated that the standards contained in ISO 13485:2016 are substantially similar to those set forth in the QSR, it is unclear the extent to which this final rule, once effective, could impose additional or different regulatory requirements on us that could increase the costs of compliance or otherwise create market pressure that may negatively affect our business. If we are unable to comply with the QMSR, once effective, or with any other changes in the laws or regulations enforced by the FDA or comparable regulatory authorities, we may be subject to adverse actions of the FDA which may result in any of the sanctions described above. Such changes may also occur in foreign jurisdictions where we intend to market our products or future products. Such policy or regulatory changes could impose additional requirements upon us that could delay our ability to obtain clearances or approvals, increase the costs of compliance or restrict our ability to maintain any clearances or approvals we have obtained.
In addition, we are or may become subject to new laws, regulations, and industry standards concerning medical devices proposed and enacted in various foreign jurisdictions. The EU regulatory landscape concerning IVDs recently evolved and continues to undergo legislative changes. On May 26, 2022, the EU IVDR became applicable, and repealed and replaced the EU IVDD. Unlike directives, which must be implemented into the national laws of the EU member states, regulations are directly applicable (i.e., without the need for adoption of EU member state laws implementing them) in all EU member states and are intended to eliminate current differences in the regulation of medical devices among EU member states. The EU IVDR, among other things, is
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intended to establish a uniform, transparent, predictable and sustainable regulatory framework across the EU for in vitro diagnostic medical devices and ensure a high level of safety and health while supporting innovation.
These modifications may have an effect on the way we intend to develop our business in the EU and the EEA. For example, as a result of the transition towards the new regime, notified body review times have lengthened, and product introductions could be delayed or canceled, which could adversely affect our ability to grow our business.
For any of our products that are approved or cleared by the FDA, we will be required to report to the FDA certain information about adverse medical events or malfunctions, and if we fail to do so, we would be subject to sanctions that could harm our reputation, business, financial condition, results of operations, and growth prospects. The discovery of serious safety issues with our products, or a recall of our products either voluntarily or at the direction of the FDA or another governmental authority, could have a negative impact on us.
For products for which we obtain FDA clearance or approval or that are otherwise subject to affirmative FDA oversight, we will be subject to the FDA’s medical device reporting regulations and similar foreign regulations, which require us to report to the FDA when we receive or become aware of information that reasonably suggests that one or more of our products may have caused or contributed to a death or serious injury or malfunctioned in a way that, if the malfunction were to recur, it could cause or contribute to a death or serious injury. The timing of our obligation to report is triggered by the date we become aware of the adverse event as well as the nature of the event. We may fail to report adverse events of which we become aware within the prescribed timeframe. We may also fail to recognize that we have become aware of a reportable adverse event, especially if it is not reported to us as an adverse event or if it is an adverse event that is unexpected or removed in time from the use of the product. If we fail to comply with our reporting obligations, the FDA could take action, including warning letters, untitled letters, administrative actions, criminal prosecution, imposition of civil monetary penalties, revocation of our device clearance or approval, seizure of our products or delay in clearance or approval of future products. Similar risks exist in foreign jurisdictions.
The FDA and foreign regulatory bodies have the authority to require the recall of commercialized pro
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