Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk
Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk
We are subject to financial market risks, including changes in interest rates. As of September 30, 2024, 81.2% of our investments paid variable interest rates. A rise in the general level of interest rates can be expected to lead to higher interest rates applicable to our debt investments, especially to the extent that we hold variable rate investments, and to declines in the value of any fixed rate investments we may hold. To the extent that a majority of our investments may be in variable rate investments, an increase in interest rates could make it easier for us to meet or exceed our incentive fee hurdle rate, as defined in our investment advisory agreement, and may result in a substantial increase in our net investment income, and also to the amount of incentive fees payable to CIM with respect to our pre-incentive fee net investment income.
As of September 30, 2024, under the terms of the JPM Fifth Amendment, advances bear interest at a floating rate equal to the three-month SOFR, plus a credit spread of 2.55% per year, and we will pay an annual administration fee of 0.20% on JPM’s total financing commitment. Pursuant to the terms of the Amended UBS Facility, we currently pay a financing fee equal to the three-month SOFR, plus a spread of 3.20% per year. Pursuant to the terms of the Deed of Trust, the Series A Notes bear interest at a floating rate equal to average overnight SOFR, plus a credit spread of 3.82% per year. The 2027 Notes (Tranche A) bear interest at a floating rate equal to the three-month SOFR plus a credit spread of 4.75% per year and are subject to a 2.00% SOFR floor. The 2027 Notes (Tranche B) bear interest at a floating rate equal to the three-month SOFR plus a credit spread of 3.90% per year and are subject to a 2.00% SOFR floor. Pursuant to the terms of the 2022 Term Loan, advances bear interest at a floating rate equal to the three-month SOFR, plus a credit spread of 3.50% per year and subject to a 1.0% SOFR floor. Pursuant to the terms of the 2024 Term Loan, advances bear interest at a floating rate equal to the three-month SOFR, plus a credit spread of 3.80% per year and subject to a 4.0% SOFR floor. In addition, we may seek to further borrow funds in order to make additional investments. Our net investment income will be impacted, in part, by the difference between the rate at which we borrow funds and the rate at which we invest those funds. As a result, we would be subject to risks relating to changes in market interest rates. In periods of rising interest rates when we have debt outstanding, our cost of funds would increase, which could reduce our net investment income, especially to the extent we hold fixed rate investments. We expect that our long-term investments will be financed primarily with equity and long-term debt. Our interest rate risk management techniques may include various interest rate hedging activities to the extent permitted by the 1940 Act. Adverse developments resulting from changes in interest rates could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations.
The following table shows the effect over a twelve month period of changes in interest rates on our net interest income, excluding short term investments, assuming no changes in our investment portfolio, the JPM Fifth Amendment, the Amended UBS Facility, the Series A Notes, the 2027 Notes, the 2022 Term Loan or the 2024 Term Loan in effect as of September 30, 2024:
Basis Point Change in Interest Rates (Decrease) Increase in Net Interest Income(1) Percentage Change in Net Interest Income
Down 300 basis points $ (14,192) (14.7) %
Down 200 basis points (9,807) (10.2) %
Down 100 basis points (4,985) (5.2) %
Down 50 basis points (2,504) (2.6) %
No change to current base rate (4.98% as of September 30, 2024)
— —
Up 50 basis points 2,504 2.6 %
Up 100 basis points 5,008 5.2 %
Up 200 basis points 10,017 10.4 %
Up 300 basis points 15,025 15.6 %
(1) This table assumes no change in defaults or prepayments by portfolio companies over the next twelve months.
The interest rate sensitivity analysis presented above does not consider the potential impact of the changes in fair value of our fixed rate debt investments, our fixed rate borrowings (the 2026 Notes), or the NAV of our common stock in the event of sudden changes in interest rates. Approximately 6.0% of our investments paid fixed interest rates as of September 30, 2024. Rising market interest rates will most likely lead to fair value declines for fixed interest rate investments and fixed interest rate borrowings and a decline in the net asset value of our common stock, while declining market interest rates will most likely lead to an increase in the fair value of fixed interest rate investments and fixed interest rate borrowings and an increase in the NAV of our common stock.
In addition, we may have risk regarding portfolio valuation as discussed in Note 2 to our consolidated financial statements included in this report.
Inflation
Economic activity has continued to accelerate across sectors and regions. Nevertheless, due to geopolitical events, a rise in energy prices and strong consumer demand, inflation is showing signs of remaining high in the U.S. and globally. Although the current outlook is uncertain, heightened inflation may persist in the near to medium-term, particularly in the U.S., with the possibility that monetary policy may tighten in response. Persistent inflationary pressures could affect our portfolio companies' respective profit margins.
83
Text extracted from the filing as submitted to EDGAR. Formatting, tables and exhibits are simplified for reading; the original document is authoritative for anything you rely on.