Item 1A. Risk Factors
ITEM 1A. RISK FACTORS
Any of the following risks could harm our business, results of operations and
financial condition and an investment in our
stock.
The risks discussed below also include forward-looking statements, and our
actual results may differ substantially
from those discussed in these forward-looking statements.
Risk Factor Summary
The following summarizes the risks provided after this summary and is qualified
by the more detailed discussion of “Risk
Factors” that follows this Summary,
and which should be read in their entirety.
Our risks include operational risks,
financial risks and legal and regulatory risks, which are related and
intertwined as discussed more fully in the Risk Factors
that follow this summary.
Operational risks are inherent in our business, and include:
●
The effects of local, national and regional market and economic conditions
and cyclicality, including the
levels
and rates of change in inflation and interest rates, and the effects on depositors,
borrowers and markets, including
the real estate and securities markets;
●
Our allowance for credit losses is based on estimates and judgments and may prove
to be inadequate to our credit
risks;
●
The risks and costs of nonperforming assets
●
The soundness of other financial institutions and perceptions regarding our
industry, especially when other
banks
experience difficulties or fail;
●
Our concentrations in commercial real estate loans in our market;
●
We operate in
a highly competitive market and compete against a number of larger national and
regional
competitors, as well as smaller institutions, nonbanks and credit unions;
●
Our ability to attract and retain key people;
●
Inflation and strong labor markets may affect our non-interest expenses;
●
Technological changes
affect our business, and we may have fewer resources than our
larger regulated and
unregulated competitors, both in and outside our market area, which may increase
the competition we face;
●
Potential gaps in our risk management, including managing the risks related
to maintaining our data security and
cybersecurity and those of our third-party service providers;
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●
Continuity risks to us and our service providers due to power,
information technology and telecommunication
disruptions and outages, could affect our customer service,
reputation and our results of operations, financial
condition, customer relationship and reputation;
●
Risks of severe weather, natural disasters, climate changes,
epidemics and severe health issues in the population,
wars and acts of terrorism and other events; and
●
Future acquisitions may disrupt our business, dilute shareholder value
and adversely affect our operating results
and financial condition, among other risks.
Financial risks result in part from our operational risks and the risk of our business,
and include:
●
Increases in costs of funds due to inflation, monetary and fiscal policies, changes
in costumer behaviors and
competitive pressures;
●
Our results of operations and financial condition, including the values of our
assets and liquidity, may be
affected
by changes in interest rates and interest rate levels, the shape of the yield curve and
economic conditions;
●
Liquidity risks, including the costs and availability of funding, and the
liquidity of our assets, including our
investment securities portfolio, and institutional lending sources;
●
Changes in accounting and tax rules;
●
The adequacy of our capital and availability of capital, if needed;
●
Potentially excessive risk taking by our associates;
●
Our ability to pay dividends depends on our earnings, liquidity and regulatory
requirements related to our capital
and our risks; and
●
Our common stock trades in limited volumes.
Legal and regulatory risks include:
●
The Company is a legal entity separate and distinct from the Bank, and
transactions between the Bank and the
Company are limited by law;
●
The Company is required to be a source of financial and managerial strength
to the Bank, even in circumstances
where further investment in the Bank may not be warranted;
●
Privatization of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac incident to the ending of their conservatorships
and the resulting
effects on the costs and availability of mortgage loans and the mortgage
markets, generally, and
the Company as a
mortgage originator, and seller and
servicer of residential mortgage loans;
●
The scope, volume, complexity and clarity of regulations and regulatory
and legal changes affect us, increase the
time and costs of compliance and may limit our business and adversely
affect our financial condition and results of
operations;
●
The pace and volume of regulatory changes and interpretations, especially by
the bank regulators, the CFPB and
the SEC, and well as numerous Executive Orders, and changes in government
leadership, personnel and policies.
Even where changes ultimately will benefit the Company,
changes in regulation and policies require time and
attention, and involve costs to implement;
●
Litigation, investigations and other claims by government agencies
and private parties and regulatory actions,
including those related to assertions of compliance failures;
●
The amounts and changes in the capital we are required to maintain in respect
of our business and risks, and
regulatory perceptions of us and our industry; and
●
Liquidity requirements and changes in rules that affect brokered
and reciprocal deposits and other sources and
measures of liquidity.
Additional Executive Orders and Administration and regulatory
decisions, directives and actions, including modifications
or changes to those discussed in this report, may occur at any time with currently
unpredictable effects.
Operational Risks
Market conditions and economic cyclicality may adversely affect our industry.
We believe the
following, among other things, may affect us in 2025:
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●
Extraordinary monetary and fiscal stimulus in 2020 and in early 2021 offset
certain of the COVID-19 pandemic’s
adverse economic effects, but together with supply chain disruptions,
continued consumer demand, Russia’s war
in Ukraine and its effects on energy and food prices,
and tight labor markets, resulted in inflation.
Inflation began
running at levels unseen in decades and well above the Federal Reserve’s
long term inflation goal of 2.0%
annually.
Beginning in March 2022, the Federal Reserve raised its target federal
funds interest rates and reduced
its securities holdings in an effort to reduce inflation.
Inflation subsided in 2024.
In February 2025 inflation
remains above the Federal Reserve’s
target rate, the labor market remains strong and the Federal Reserve cut its
target federal funds rate in September through December 2024
100 basis points from 5.25-5.50% to 4.25%-4.50%,
and reduced the rate of decline in reinvestments of maturing securities proceeds.
●
The new presidential Administration that took office in January
2025 has established DOGE to increase
government efficiency and reduce fiscal expenditures, imposed
and threatened tariffs, and proposed tax cuts and
tax cut extensions, the net effect of which is unknown.
The nature and timing of any future changes in monetary
and fiscal policies, government policies and their administration and personnel,
and their effects on us cannot be
predicted.
●
Market developments, including unemployment, inflation
and price levels, stock and bond market volatility,
and
changes, including those resulting from Russia’s
war in Ukraine and governmental fiscal, operational and
monetary policies affect consumer confidence
levels, economic activity and interest rates.
Increases in market
interest rates and inflation, and adverse changes in consumer and business confidence
may change customers’
savings and payment behaviors, including potential increases in loan delinquencies
and default rates.
These could
affect our credit quality,
and our results of operations and financial condition.
●
Our ability to assess the creditworthiness of our customers and those we do business with,
and the values of our
assets and loan collateral may be adversely affected and less predictable
as a result of inflation and fluctuating
market interest rates and changes in monetary and fiscal policies.
We adopted
CECL on January 1, 2023 as
required by generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”).
CECL changed the loss model to take into
account current expected credit losses in place of the incurred loss method used historically
under GAAP,
and how
to estimate losses inherent in our credit exposures.
The process for estimating expected losses requires difficult,
subjective, and complex judgments, including forecasts of economic
conditions, unemployment levels in Alabama,
and how those economic predictions might affect the ability of our
borrowers to repay their loans or the value of
assets.
Changes in economic conditions and factors used in our CECL models may
increase the variability of our
provisions for loan losses and our earnings.
●
Changes in market interest rates and the shape of the yield curve affect
the value of our investment securities and
our other accumulated other comprehensive income or “AOCI.”
Our allowance for loan losses may prove inadequate
or we may be negatively affected by credit risk exposures.
We periodically
review the allowance for loan losses for adequacy considering economic conditions
and trends, collateral
values and credit quality indicators, including past charge-off
experience and levels of past due loans and nonperforming
assets.
We cannot be
certain that our allowance for loan losses will be adequate over time to cover credit
losses in our
portfolio because of unanticipated adverse changes in the economy,
including fiscal and monetary policy changes, inflation,
market conditions or events adversely affecting specific customers,
industries or markets, including disruptions of supply
chains, the war in Ukraine, changes in taxes and regulations and changes in borrower
behaviors.
Certain borrowers and their
businesses and real estate and commercial projects and businesses may be adversely
affected by inflation and higher interest
rates, and economic slowdowns arising from tighter monetary policies, and
may request or need loan modifications and
deferrals.
Various
businesses will be unable to fully pass on increased costs due to inflation, supply
chain disruptions and
changes and other factors, and their profits may shrink.
If the credit quality of our customer base materially decreases, if the
risk profile of the market, industry or group of customers changes materially
or weaknesses in the real estate markets
worsen, borrower payment behaviors change, or if our allowance for loan
losses is not adequate, our business, financial
condition, including our liquidity and capital, and results of operations
could be materially adversely affected.
CECL, the
accounting standard for estimating expected future loan losses, became effective
for the Company beginning January 1,
2023, and its effects upon the Company over a full business cycle
are unknown.
The CECL model incorporates various
economic condition factors, where changes in fiscal and monetary policy,
as well as market interest rates and unemployment
rates in our markets, among other factors, could result in more volatility in
our provisions for loan losses under CECL, which
could adversely affect our net income.
See Note 1 to our Financial Statements –
“Allowance for Credit Losses – Loans.”
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Nonperforming and similar assets take significant time to resolve
and may adversely affect our results of operations
and
financial condition.
Our nonperforming loans were 0.09% of total loans as of December 31, 2024,
and we had no other real estate owned as
result of foreclosures or otherwise in full or partial payments in respect of loans (“OREO”).
Non-performing assets may
adversely affect our net income in various ways.
We do not record
interest income on nonaccrual loans or OREO and these
assets require higher loan administration and other costs, thereby adversely
affecting our income.
Decreases in the value of
these assets, or the underlying collateral, or in the related borrowers’ performance
or financial condition, whether or not due
to economic and market conditions beyond our control, could adversely
affect our business, results of operations and
financial condition.
In addition, the resolution of nonperforming assets requires commitments of time from
management,
which can be detrimental to the performance of their other responsibilities.
Loan deferrals and modifications made to help
resolve borrower issues and avoid foreclosures may not be successful.
There can be no assurance that we will not
experience increases in nonperforming loans in the future, much of which
is affected by the economy and the levels of
interest rates, generally.
Changes in the real estate markets, including the
secondary market for residential mortgage loans,
may continue to
adversely affect us.
Beginning in March 2022, inflation and the Federal Reserve increases in interest rates to
fight inflation have caused
mortgage rates to increase significantly.
Higher interest rates and the increased level of housing costs since 2020 have
slowed housing sales.
Although short term interest rates decreased in last half of 2024, longer term rates, including
mortgage rates, have remained elevated.
Inventories of existing homes for sale have remained generally low,
and many
believe that higher mortgage rates discourage potential sellers from selling
their existing houses and incurring higher
mortgage costs on replacement homes.
These conditions have adversely affected housing affordability
and increased
monthly mortgage payments.
These conditions adversely affect our mortgage loan production
and may affect the value of
residential mortgage collateral.
Commercial real estate projects’ economic assumptions may be adversely
affected by
higher interest rates, and certain projects with short term and/or unhedged
variable rate debt may be especially affected by
increased interest rates and/or a slower economy.
The CFPB’s mortgage and servicing
rules, including TRID rules for closed end credit transactions, enforcement actions,
reviews and settlements, affect the mortgage markets and our mortgage
operations.
The Tax Cuts and
Jobs Act’s (the “2017 Tax
Act”) limitations on the deductibility of residential mortgage interest and state
and local property and other taxes often called “SALT,”
could adversely affect consumer behaviors and the volumes of
housing sales, mortgage and home equity loan originations, as well as the value
and liquidity of residential property held as
collateral by lenders such as the Bank, and the secondary markets for
single and multi-family loans.
Acquisition,
construction and development loans for residential development may be similarly
adversely affected.
The new Trump
administration has indicated it is considering increasing the amount of
SALT permitted
to be deducted for federal income
taxes.
Unless extended, many provisions of the 2017 Tax
Act, including the cap on SALT
deductions expire at the end of
2025, and the marginal individual tax brackets will increase.
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have been in conservatorship since September
2008.
The newly appointed Secretary of
Housing and Urban Development has stated that coordinating the effort
to privatize these GSEs would be his priority.
Since these GSEs dominate the residential mortgage markets, any changes
in their operations and requirements, as well as
their respective restructurings and capital and the costs of their borrowings
as private institutions, could adversely affect the
primary and secondary mortgage markets, and our residential mortgage
businesses, our results of operations and the returns
on capital deployed in these businesses.
Resolution of these extremely large GSEs will be complex,
and the timing and
effects of such resolution and the effects on
mortgage originators and the mortgage markets and their participants, including
the Company, cannot be
predicted.
We may
be contractually obligated to repurchase
mortgage loans we sold to third parties on terms unfavorable
to us.
As part of its routine business, the Company originates mortgage loans
that it subsequently sells in the secondary market,
generally to Fannie Mae.
In connection with such loan sales, the Company makes customary representations and
warranties, the breach of which may result in the Company being required
to repurchase the loan or loans.
Furthermore, the
amount paid may be greater than the fair value of the loan or loans at the time of the
repurchase.
Although mortgage loan
repurchase requests made to us have been limited historically,
if these increased, we may have to establish reserves for
possible repurchases and adversely affect our results of
operation and financial condition.
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Mortgage servicing rights requirements
may change and require
us to incur additional costs and risks.
The CFPB’s residential mortgage
servicing standards may adversely affect our costs to service residential
mortgage loans.
Reduced mortgage activity due to higher market interest rates has decreased our
generation of new mortgage loans and
related MSRs.
This may be offset partially by decreases in mortgage
prepayments and refinancings, and corresponding
increases in the duration of our existing MSRs and their values.
This net effect could reduce our aggregate income from
servicing these types of loans and make it more difficult and costly to
timely realize the value of collateral securing such
loans upon a borrower default.
The Basel III Capital Rules relating to MSRs may also increase the potential
capital
required as a result of MSRs, when considered with other capital rule adjustments
and deductions.
The soundness of other financial institutions could adversely affect us.
We routinely
execute transactions with counterparties in the financial services industry,
including brokers and dealers,
central clearinghouses, banks, including our correspondent banks and
other financial institutions.
Our ability to engage in
routine investment and banking transactions, as well as the quality and values of our
investments in holdings of obligations
of other financial institutions such as the FHLB-Atlanta, could be adversely affected
by the actions, financial condition,
profitability and regulation of such other financial institutions, including
the FHLB-Atlanta and our correspondent banks.
Financial services institutions are interrelated as a result of shared
credits, trading, clearing, counterparty and other
relationships.
The failures of Silicon Valley
Bank, Signature Bank and First Republic Bank in March and May 2023 due
to concentrations
of deposits and depositors holding large amounts of deposits in
excess of FDIC insurance limits, as well as flawed business
models and management, adversely affected the financial
system and public confidence.
These resulted in increased
regulatory scrutiny of bank liquidity,
funding and capital, depressed bank stock values generally,
and higher FDIC deposit
insurance premiums on the largest banks.
The federal bank regulators have been advocating more use of the Federal
Reserve discount window to improve bank
liquidity.
At the same time, the 2023 bank failures have also led to calls to reduce Federal Home Loan Bank lending
to
banks.
Traditionally,
the Federal Home Loan Banks have been stable sources of liquidity and funding for banks.
The
Federal Housing Finance Agency (“FHFA)
regulates the Federal Home Loan Banks.
The FHFA’s
FHLBank System at
100: Focusing on the Future
(Nov. 2023) indicates less traditional
Federal Home Loan Bank lending to banks, especially
banks experiencing financial stress.
Sandra Thompson, the FHFA
Director retired on January 19, 2025 and Bill Pulte has
been nominated to succeed her, subject to
Senate confirmation.
Mr. Pulte’s
views on Federal Home Loan Bank lending to
banks are unknown.
These changes, together with any exposures that other institutions may
have to crypto or digital assets, or cybersecurity and
data breaches, could cause disruption and unexpected changes in the industry.
The Trump Administration has issued
Executive Order “Strengthening American Leadership in Digital Financial
Technology”
and Congressional hearings on
“debanking” may increase the use of digital assets and the volume of digital
asset transactions with, and the risks to, banks.
Any losses, defaults by, or
failures of, the institutions we do business with could adversely affect our holdings
of the equity
in such other institutions, our participation interests in loans originated by
other institutions, and our business, including our
liquidity, financial condition
and earnings.
Failures of
several banks
in 2023
resulted in
increased
market volatility
for financial
service companies’
securities and
in
changes in regulatory views and emphases that
may adversely affect us and may not be disclosable under law.
The
failures
of
Silicon
Valley
Bank,
Signature
Bank,
First
Republic
and
Heartland
Tri-State
Bank
in
2023
caused
significant
market
volatility
for
bank
stocks,
and
uncertainty
in
the
investor
community
and
among
bank
customers,
generally,
greater
bank
regulatory
scrutiny
of
banking
organizations,
especially
those
experiencing
rapid
growth
and
regional banks
with $100
billion or
more in
assets.
Similarly,
concerns about
credit quality
and capital
adequacy
at New
York
Community
Bank
following
two
acquisitions
raised
market
concerns
and
led
to
replacement
of
management
and
a
dilutive equity capital raise.
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These failures
have resulted
in bank regulators
focusing supervisory
activities, generally,
on capital adequacy
and liquidity
in
light
of
growth;
asset,
liability
and
customer
concentrations
and
risks;
CRE;
levels
of
uninsured
deposits;
crypto
businesses
and
customers;
third-party
vendors
or
“partners”
providing
digital,
electronic
and
other
services
known
as
banking
as
a
service
(“BaaS”)
and
fintech
relationships;
strategic,
capital
and
liquidity plans
and
contingency
plans;
and
vendor
diligence
and
risk
management.
Such
enhanced
scrutiny
is
often
applied
as
part
of
the
regulatory
examination
processes,
as
well
as
through
a
variety
of
nonpublic
supervisory
actions
such
as
“matters
requiring
attention,”
board
of
director resolutions,
memoranda of
understanding, and
other regulatory
criticism, and
formal, public
enforcement actions.
The
bank
and
bank
holding
examination
processes,
as
well
as
any
nonpublic
supervisory
actions,
are
“confidential
supervisory
information”
for
regulatory
purposes,
whose
existence
and
terms,
if
any,
may
not
be
disclosed
by
banking
organizations.
Changes
in
regulations
have
been
proposed
as part
of the
Basel III
endgame
to
the
capital, liquidity,
long
term debt
and
resolution planning of banking organizations with over
$100 billion in assets.
Our concentration of commercial real
estate loans could result in further increased
loan losses, and adversely affect our
business, earnings, and financial condition.
Commercial real estate, or CRE, is cyclical and poses risks of possible loss due
to concentration levels and the risks of the
assets being financed, which include loans for the acquisition and development
of land and residential construction.
The
federal bank regulatory agencies’ issued guidance on “Concentrations
in Commercial Real Estate Lending” in 2006 (the
“CRE Guidance”).
The CRE Guidance defines CRE loans as exposures secured by raw land, land development
and
construction loans (including 1-4 family residential construction
loans), multi-family property,
and non-farm non-
residential property,
where the primary or a significant source of repayment is derived from rental income associated
with
the property (that is, loans for which 50% or more of the source of repayment comes from third
party, non-affiliated,
rental
income) or the proceeds of the sale, refinancing, or permanent financing of the
property.
Loans to REITs and unsecured
loans to developers that closely correlate to the inherent risks in CRE markets are also CRE loans.
Loans on owner
occupied commercial real estate are generally excluded from CRE for purposes of
this guidance.
Excluding owner occupied commercial real estate, we had 42% of our loan portfolio
in CRE loans at year-end 2024
compared to 40% at year-end 2023.
The bank regulators continue to scrutinize CRE lending and require banks with
elevated CRE under the CRE Guidance, to implement improved underwriting,
internal controls, risk management policies
and portfolio stress testing, as well as higher levels of allowances for possible losses and
capital levels as a result of CRE
lending growth and exposures.
Increases in interest rates beginning in March 2022 and reduced market
transactions may
adversely affect the assumptions and performance of CRE, especially
for projects financed with short term or unhedged
variable rate debt, and the ability of CRE borrowers to refinance on terms that their
projects can support.
Lower demand
for CRE and fewer CRE purchase and sale transactions, and reduced availability
of, and higher interest rates and costs for,
CRE loans could adversely affect CRE values and liquidity,
our CRE loans and sales of OREO, and therefore our earnings
and financial condition, including our capital and liquidity.
Our future success is dependent on our ability
to compete effectively in highly competitive markets.
The East Alabama banking markets where we operate are highly competitive
and our future growth and success will
depend on our ability to compete effectively in these markets.
This MSA is served by 19 banks, 10 of which are
headquartered outside of Alabama.
Other banks have 35 offices in our MSA.
National and regional competitors that have
offices in our market include J.P.
Morgan Chase, Wells
Fargo, Truist, PNC, Regions,
Valley
National, SouthState and
Cadence.
We compete for
loans, deposits and other financial services and products with local, regional and national
commercial banks, thrifts, credit unions, mortgage lenders, and
securities and insurance brokerage firms.
Various
non-local
competitors offer services through the mail, by telephone
and over the Internet.
The national and regional financial banks
and financial services companies we compete with have substantially greater
resources, and numerous offices and affiliates
operating over wide geographic areas.
Lenders operating nationwide over the internet are growing rapidly.
Many of our
competitors offer products and services different
from ours, and have substantially greater resources, name recognition
and
advertising than we do, which helps them attract business.
In addition, larger competitors may be able to price loans and
deposits more aggressively than we are able to and have broader and more diverse
customer and geographic bases to draw
upon.
Out of state banks may branch into our markets.
Fintech and other non-bank competitors also compete for our
customers, and may partner with other banks and/or seek to enter the payments system.
The failures or sales of other banks
with offices in our markets could also lead to the entrance of new,
stronger competitors in our markets.
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Our success depends on local economic conditions.
Our success depends on the general economic conditions in East Alabama,
including Lee County,
Alabama.
Local
economic conditions in our markets have a significant effect on
our commercial, real estate and construction loans, the
ability of borrowers to repay these loans and the value of the collateral securing
these loans.
Adverse changes in the
economic conditions of the Southeastern United States in general, or in one or more
of our local markets, including the
effects of higher market interest rates and inflation, supply
chain disruptions, changes in customer behaviors and in the
workforce and demand for space since the COVID-19 pandemic, and the timing
and magnitude of future inflation and
interest rates, as well as federal healthcare and education funding, could negatively
affect our results of operations and our
profitability.
Our local economy is also affected by the growth of automobile manufacturing
and related suppliers located
in our markets and nearby.
Auto sales and housing sales are cyclical and generally are affected adversely
by higher sticker
prices and interest rates, and may be adversely affected by tariffs,
especially the 25% tariffs on imported steel and
aluminum and autos, as well as threatened (i) tariffs on automaker
suppliers in Canada and Mexico and (ii) reciprocal tariffs
on countries that impose tariffs on U.S. goods.
Major employers in our market include education and healthcare, which
may be adversely affected by changes in Federal government
policies and funding.
Attractive acquisition opportunities may not be available to us in the
future.
While we seek continued organic growth, including loan
growth, we also may consider the acquisition of other businesses.
We expect that
other banking and financial companies, many of which have significantly greater
resources, will compete
with us to acquire financial services businesses.
This competition could increase prices for potential acquisitions that we
believe are attractive.
Also, acquisitions are subject to various regulatory approvals.
If we fail to receive the appropriate
regulatory approvals, we will not be able to consummate an acquisition that
we believe is in our best interests, and
regulatory approvals could contain conditions or commitments that reduce
the anticipated benefits of any transaction.
Among other things, our regulators consider our capital, liquidity,
profitability, regulatory compliance
and levels of
goodwill and intangibles when considering acquisition and expansion
proposals.
Any acquisition could be dilutive to our
earnings and shareholders’ equity per share of our common stock.
The regulatory agencies carefully review and analyze
financial institution mergers, and the merger
application process has lengthened.
Future acquisitions and expansion activities may
disrupt our business, dilute shareholder
value and adversely affect our
operating results and financial condition.
We regularly
evaluate potential acquisitions and expansion opportunities, including
new branches and other offices.
To the
extent that we grow through acquisitions, we cannot assure you that we will be
able to adequately or profitably manage this
growth.
Acquiring other banks, branches, or businesses, as well as other geographic and product
expansion activities,
involve various risks including:
●
risks of unknown or contingent liabilities, and potential asset quality issues;
●
unanticipated costs and delays, including the regulatory application process;
●
risks that acquired new businesses will not perform consistently with our growth
and profitability expectations;
●
risks of entering new markets or product areas where we have limited experience;
●
risks that growth will strain our infrastructure, staff, internal controls
and management, which may require
additional personnel, time and expenditures;
●
difficulties, expenses and delays of integrating the operations and
personnel of acquired institutions, including the
desirability of closing duplicative or overlapping facilities;
●
potential disruptions to our business;
●
possible loss of key employees and customers of acquired institutions;
●
potential short-term decreases in profitability; and
●
diversion of our management’s time
and attention from our existing operations and business.
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43
Technological
changes affect our business, and we may have fewer resources
than many competitors to invest in
technological improvements.
The financial services industry is undergoing rapid technological
changes with frequent introductions of new technology-
driven products and services and growing demands for mobile and user-based
banking applications. The effective use of
technology may help us better analyze our customers and their needs better,
and the effective use of technology may
increase efficiency and reduce our operating costs.
At the same time the initial costs of acquiring and implementing
technology may be material, and such technology may entail fraud, compliance
with the AML/CFT anti-money laundering
laws and rules, among others, and various operational and other risks.
Largely unregulated “fintech” businesses have
increased their participation in the lending and payments businesses, and have
increased competition in these businesses.
Our future success will depend, in part, upon our ability to use technology
effectively to provide products and services that
meet our customers’ preferences and create additional efficiencies
in operations, while avoiding cyber-attacks and
disruptions, data breaches, violations of AML/CFT laws, and other potential
violations of law.
Remote work has
accelerated electronic banking activity and the need for increased operational
efficiencies and data security in our electronic
and mobile banking services.
We may need
to make significant additional capital investments in technology,
including
artificial intelligence, cyber
and data security, and we may not be
able to effectively implement new technology-driven
products and services, or such technology may prove less effective and/or
more costly than anticipated.
Many larger
competitors have substantially greater resources to invest in technological
improvements and, increasingly,
non-banking
firms are using technology to compete for loans, payments, and
other banking services.
As a result, our competition from
service providers not located in our markets has increased.
Operational risks are inherent
in our businesses.
Operational risks and losses can result from internal and external fraud;
gaps or weaknesses in our risk management or
internal audit procedures; errors by employees or third parties, including
our vendors, failures to document transactions
properly or obtain proper authorizations; failure to comply with applicable
regulatory requirements in the various
jurisdictions where we do business or have customers; failures in our estimates or
the models that we rely on; equipment
failures, including those caused by natural disasters, or by electrical, telecommunications
or other essential utility outages;
business continuity and data security system failures, including those caused by
computer viruses, cyberattacks, unforeseen
problems encountered while implementing major new computer systems or
upgrades, failures to timely and properly
upgrade and patch existing systems or inadequate access to data or poor response
capabilities in light of business continuity
plans in the event of data security system failures; or the inadequacy or failure
of systems and controls, including those of
our vendors or counterparties.
The COVID-19 pandemic presented operational challenges to maintaining
continuity of
operations of customer services while protecting our employees’ and
customers’ safety, and similar situations
may occur in
the future.
In addition, we face certain risks inherent in the ownership and operation of our bank premises
and other real-
estate, including liability for accidents on our properties.
Although we have implemented risk controls and loss mitigation
actions, and substantial resources are devoted to developing efficient
procedures, identifying and rectifying weaknesses in
existing procedures and training staff, it is not possible to be certain that
such actions have been or will be effective in
controlling these various operational risks that evolve continuously.
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Potential gaps in our risk management policies and internal audit procedures
may leave us exposed to unidentified or
unanticipated risk, which could negatively affect our business.
Our enterprise risk management and internal audit program are designed
to mitigate material risks and losses to us. We
have developed and continue to develop risk management and internal
audit policies and procedures to reflect the ongoing
review of our risks and expect to continue to do so in the future. Nonetheless, our
policies and procedures may not be
comprehensive and may not anticipate and identify timely every risk
to which we are exposed, and our internal audit
process may fail to detect such weaknesses or deficiencies timely in our risk
management framework. Many of our risk
management models and estimates use observed historical market
behavior to model or project potential future exposure.
The models used by our business, including our CECL models, are based on
assumptions and projections. These models
may not operate properly,
or our inputs and assumptions may be inaccurate, or changes in economic
and market conditions,
customer behaviors or regulations may adversely affect
the accuracy or usefulness of the models.
As a result, these
methods may not fully or timely predict future exposures, which can be
significantly greater and/or faster than historically.
Other risk management methods depend upon the evaluation of information
regarding markets, clients, or other matters that
are publicly available or otherwise accessible to us. This information
may not always be accurate, complete, up-to-date or
properly evaluated.
Furthermore, there can be no assurance that we can effectively review and monitor
all risks or that all
of our employees will closely follow our risk management policies and procedures,
nor can there be any assurance that our
risk management policies and procedures will enable us to accurately
identify all risks and limit our exposures based on our
assessments.
In addition, we may have to implement more extensive and perhaps different
risk management policies and procedures as
our regulation and technology uses changes.
All of these could adversely affect our costs, and our financial condition
and
results of operations.
Any failure to protect
the confidentiality of customer information could adversely affect our reputation
and have a material
adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results
of operations
.
Various
laws enforced by the bank regulators and other agencies protect the privacy
and security of customers’ non-public
personal information. Many of our employees have access to, and routinely
process personal information of clients through
a variety of media, including information technology systems.
Our internal processes, policies and controls are designed to
protect the confidentiality of customer information we hold and that
is accessible to us and our employees.
It is possible
that an employee could, intentionally or unintentionally,
disclose or misappropriate confidential client information or our
data could be the subject of a cybersecurity attack.
Such personal data could also be compromised via intrusions into our
systems or those of our service providers or other persons we do business with such
as credit bureaus, data processors and
merchants who accept credit or debit cards for payment.
If we fail to maintain adequate internal controls, or if our
employees fail to comply with our policies and procedures, misappropriation
or inappropriate disclosure or misuse of client
information could occur.
Such internal control inadequacies or non-compliance could materially damage
our reputation,
lead to remediation costs and civil or criminal penalties.
These could have a material adverse effect on our business,
financial condition and results of operations.
See Item 1C. of this report for more information about cybersecurity and our
management and strategies.
Our information systems may experience interruptions and
security breaches.
We rely heavily
on communications and information systems, including those of third-party service
providers, to conduct
our business.
Any failure, interruption, or security breach of these systems could result in failures
or disruptions which
could affect our business, our customers’ privacy and our customer
relationships, generally.
Our business continuity plans,
including those of our service providers, for back-up and service restoration,
may not be effective in the case of widespread
outages due to severe weather, natural disasters, pandemics,
or power, communications and other failures.
See Item 1C. of
this report for more information about cybersecurity and our management
and strategies.
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45
Our systems and networks, as well as those of our third-party service providers,
are subject to security risks and could be
susceptible to disruption through cyber-attacks,
such as denial of service attacks, hacking, terrorist activities, or identity
theft.
Cybercrime risks have increased as electronic and mobile banking activities have
increased, and may increase further
as a result of the Russia’s war in Ukraine,
tensions with mainland China and other countries, and foreign government
sponsored cybercrime and theft.
Other financial service institutions and their service providers have reported
material
security breaches in their websites or other systems, some of which have involved
sophisticated and targeted attacks,
including use of stolen access credentials, malware, ransomware, phishing
and distributed denial-of-service attacks, among
other means.
Such cyber-attacks may also seek to disrupt the operations of public
companies or their business partners,
effect unauthorized fund transfers, obtain unauthorized
access to confidential information, destroy data, disable or degrade
service, or sabotage systems.
Any of these, including hacking and identity theft risks, could cause serious
reputational
harm.
Despite our cybersecurity policies and procedures and our Board
of Directors and management’s efforts
to monitor and
ensure the integrity of the systems we and our third-party service providers
use, we may not be able to anticipate the rapidly
evolving security threats, nor may we be able to implement preventive measures
effective against all such threats.
The
techniques used by cyber criminals change frequently,
may not be recognized until launched and can originate from a wide
variety of sources, including external service providers, organized
crime affiliates, terrorist organizations or
hostile foreign
governments.
These risks may increase in the future as the use of mobile banking, other internet electronic
banking.
While
artificial intelligence may be useful generally,
it may be used by cyber criminals and may require us to seek additional
defenses.
Security breaches or failures may have serious adverse financial and other
consequences, including significant legal and
remediation costs, disruptions to operations, misappropriation of confidential
information, damage to systems operated by
us or our third-party service providers, as well as damages to our customers and
our counterparties.
In addition, these
events could damage our reputation, result in a loss of customer business, subject
us to additional regulatory scrutiny,
or
expose us to civil litigation and possible financial liability,
any of which could have a material adverse effect on our
financial condition and results of operations.
The SEC adopted rules, effective June 15, 2024 for smaller
reporting companies, such as the Company,
which require
reporting companies to disclose material cybersecurity incidents they
experience on SEC Form 8-K within four business
days, including the nature, scope, and timing of the incident, and the
material impact or reasonably likely material impact
on the registrant, including its financial condition and results of operations.
Annually, reporting companies
are required to
disclose material information regarding their cybersecurity risk management,
strategy, and governance.
We may
be unable to attract and retain key people to support our business.
Our success depends, in large part, on our ability to attract and retain
key people. We
compete with other financial services
companies for people primarily on the basis of compensation and benefits,
support services and financial position. Intense
competition exists for key employees with demonstrated ability,
and we may be unable to hire or retain such employees.
Effective succession planning is also important to our
long-term success. The unexpected loss of services of one or more of
our key persons and failure to ensure effective transfer
of knowledge and smooth transitions involving such persons could
have a material adverse effect on our business due to loss of their
skills, knowledge of our business, their years of industry
experience and the potential difficulty of promptly
finding qualified replacement employees.
Proposed rules implementing the executive compensation provisions
of the Dodd-Frank Act may limit the type and
structure of compensation arrangements and prohibit the payment of
“excessive compensation” to our executives.
These
restrictions could negatively affect our ability to compete with other
companies in recruiting and retaining key personnel.
Severe weather and natural disasters, including
as a result of climate change, pandemics, epidemics,
acts of war or
terrorism or other external events could have significant
effects on our business.
Severe weather and natural disasters, including hurricanes, tornados,
drought and floods, epidemics and pandemics, acts of
war or terrorism or other external events could have a significant effect
on our ability to conduct business.
Such events
could affect the stability of our deposit base, impair the ability of
borrowers to repay outstanding loans, impair the value of
collateral securing loans, cause significant property damage, result in
loss of revenue and/or cause us to incur additional
expenses.
Although management has established disaster recovery and business continuity
policies and procedures, the
occurrence of any such event could have a material adverse effect
on our business, which, in turn, could have a material
adverse effect on our financial condition and results of operations.
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46
The COVID-19 pandemic, trade wars, tariffs, supply chain
disruptions and changes, wars, sanctions and similar events and
disputes, domestic and international, have adversely affected,
and may continue to adversely affect economic activity
globally, nationally
and locally.
Market interest rates have changed significantly and suddenly.
The Federal Reserve’s
target federal funds rates declined to 0-0.25% in March
2020, where these remained until March 17 2022.
The Federal
Reserve increased the target federal funds rates 11
from March 17, 2022 through July 27, 2023 to 5.25-5.50% due to
inflation.
After three rate cuts during the last four months of 2024, this range was 4.25-4.50% at December
31, 2024, but
such target rates and inflation remain above the Federal Reserve’s
target rate of 2%.
Such events also may adversely affect
business and consumer confidence, generally.
We and our customers, and
our respective suppliers, vendors and processors
may be adversely affected by shortages of needed equipment and
supplies, rising prices and tight labor markets.
The
continuation or worsening of these conditions may adversely affect
our profitability, growth asset quality
and financial
condition.
Financial Risks
Our cost of funds may increase as a result
of general economic conditions, interest rates, inflation
and changes in customer
behaviors and competitive pressures.
Our costs of funds have increased as a result of general economic conditions,
increased market interest rates and
competitive pressures, and inflation, and anticipated future changes in
target short-term interest rates by the Federal
Reserve to reduce inflation.
Traditionally,
we have obtained funds principally through local deposits and borrowings from
other institutional lenders such as the FHLB-Atlanta.
We believe deposits
are a cheaper and more stable source of funds
than other borrowings, generally.
Increases in interest rates have caused consumers to shift their funds to more interest-
bearing instruments and to increase the competition for and costs of deposits.
If customers move money out of bank
deposits and into other investment assets or from transaction deposits to
higher cost, interest-bearing time deposits, we
could lose relatively low-cost sources of funds, increasing our funding costs and
potentially reducing our net interest
income and net income. Additionally,
any such loss of funds could result in lower loan originations and growth, which
could materially and adversely affect our results of operations and
financial condition.
See “Supervision and Regulation –
Fiscal and Monetary Policy.”
Our profitability and liquidity may be affected
by changes in interest rates and interest
rate levels, the shape of the yield
curve and economic conditions.
Our profitability depends upon net interest income, which is the difference
between interest earned on interest-earning
assets, such as loans and investments, and interest expense on interest-bearing
liabilities, such as deposits and borrowings.
Our income is primarily driven by the spread between these rates. Net interest income
will be adversely affected if market
interest rates and the interest we pay on our deposits and borrowings increase
faster than the interest earned on loans and
investments.
Interest rates, and consequently our results of operations, are affected
by general economic conditions
(national, international and local) and fiscal and monetary policies, as well as expectations
regarding interest rate changes,
fiscal and monetary policies and the shape of the yield curve.
As a result, a steeper yield curve, meaning long-term interest
rates are significantly higher than short-term interest rates, would provide
the Bank with a better opportunity to increase net
interest income.
Conversely, a flattening yield curve
could further pressure our net interest margin as our cost of funds
increases relative to the spread we can earn on our assets.
In addition, net interest income could be affected by
asymmetrical changes in the different interest rate indexes,
given that not all of our assets or liabilities are priced with the
same index.
Higher market interest rates and continuing run-off of maturing
securities held by the Federal Reserve in its
SOMA in furtherance of its quantitative tightening policy to fight
inflation, generally reduce economic activity and may
reduce loan demand and growth.
Conversely, the slowing
of the run-off of maturing Treasury
securities held in SOMA
from $60 billion per month to $25 billion that commenced in June 2024,
may reduce the tightening effect of such decreases
in SOMA.
The production of mortgages and other loans and the value of collateral
securing our loans are dependent on demand within
the markets we serve, as well as interest rates.
Lower interest rates typically increase mortgage originations, decrease MSR
values and promote economic growth.
Increases in market interest rates tend to decrease mortgage originations,
increase
MSR values, decrease the value and liquidity of collateral securing loans, result
in unrealized losses on our investment
securities and accumulated other comprehensive losses, and potentially
increase net interest spread depending upon the
yield curve and the magnitude and duration of interest rate increase, and
constrain economic growth, generally.
Reductions
in short term target interest rates by the Federal Reserve in the second half
of 2024 did not have much effect on reducing
longer term mortgage rates.
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47
Increases in market interest rates also have caused unrealized losses in our investment
securities, all of which are held as
available for sale and carried at fair market values.
Market prices of our investment securities holdings decline as market
interest rates increase for comparable securities and maturities.
Although these unrealized losses do not adversely affect
our regulatory capital, these do reduce our reported income and GAAP tangible
stockholders’ equity.
Sales of securities
with unrealized losses would result in realized losses for GAAP,
regulatory capital and tax purposes.
Increases in interest
rates may also change depositor behaviors as customers seek higher yielding
deposits.
This may adversely affect our costs
of funds, growth, net interest income and net income, and may also adversely
affect our liquidity,
results of operations and
financial condition.
Liquidity risks could affect operations and jeopardize
our financial condition.
The COVID-19 pandemic and related monetary and fiscal stimuli generally
increased our bank deposits, including at the
Bank, while reducing the interest rates earned on loans and securities.
Such excess liquidity and the resulting balance sheet
growth reduced returns on assets and equity.
The growth in deposits exceeded our loan growth, and the difference
was
invested in high-quality,
marketable U.S. government and government agency securities, including
agency mortgage-
backed securities.
Inflation and tightening monetary policies beginning in early 2022 have partially
reversed these trends.
Liquidity is essential to our business.
An inability to raise funds through deposits, borrowings, proceeds from
loan
repayments or sales proceeds from maturing loans and securities, and other
sources could have a negative effect on our
liquidity.
Our funding sources include deposits (primarily core deposits), federal funds purchased,
securities sold under
repurchase agreements, and short- and long-term debt.
We maintain a portfolio of
marketable high-quality securities that
are all held as available for sale, and can be used as a source of liquidity.
As market interest rates rose prior to Fall 2024,
however, we have experienced unrealized
losses on such securities, which would become realized losses upon
the sale of
such securities, and such sales at a loss would reduce our net income and our
regulatory capital.
We are also members
of the FHLB-Atlanta and the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, and we can obtain
advances from
them collateralized with eligible assets, and maintain uncommitted
federal funds lines of credit with other banks.
Other sources of liquidity available to the Company or the Bank, if needed,
include our ability to acquire additional non-
core deposits.
We may be able, depending
upon market conditions, to borrow money or issue and sell debt and preferred or
common securities in public or private transactions.
Our access to funding sources in amounts adequate to finance or
capitalize our activities on terms which are acceptable to us could be impaired
by factors that affect us specifically,
or the
financial services industry,
the economy, market interest rates and
fiscal and monetary policies.
General conditions that are
not specific to us, such as disruptions in the financial markets, failures of other
bank, such as Silicon Valley
Bank,
Signature Bank and First Republic Bank in 2023, or negative views and expectations
about the prospects for the financial
services industry could adversely affect us and our liquidity.
Our ability to realize our deferred
tax assets may be reduced in the future
if our estimates of future taxable income
from
our operations and tax planning strategies do not support this amount, and the amount
of net operating loss carry-forwards
realizable for income tax purposes may be reduced
under Section 382 of the Internal Revenue Code by sales of our capital
securities.
We are allowed
to carry-back losses for two years for Federal income tax purposes.
As of December 31, 2024, we had a
net deferred tax asset of $10.2 compared to $10.3 million one year earlier.
These and future deferred tax assets may be
further reduced in the future if our estimates of future taxable income from our operations
and tax planning strategies do not
support the amount of the deferred tax asset.
The amount of net operating loss carry-forwards realizable for income tax
purposes potentially could be further reduced under Section 382
of the Internal Revenue Code by a significant offering
and/or other sales of our capital securities.
Current bank capital rules also reduce the regulatory capital benefits of deferred
tax assets.
Changes in accounting and tax rules applicable to banks could adversely
affect our financial conditions and results of
operations.
From time to time, the FASB
and the SEC change the financial accounting and reporting standards that govern
the
preparation of our financial statements.
These changes can be difficult to predict and can materially impact how
we record
and report our financial condition and results of operations.
In some cases, we could be required to apply a new or revised
standard retroactively,
resulting in us restating prior period financial statements
.
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48
We may
need to raise additional capital in the future, but that capital
may not be available when it is needed or on
favorable terms.
We anticipate that
our current capital resources will satisfy our capital requirements for the foreseeable
future under
currently effective rules.
We may,
however, need to raise additional capital to
support our growth or currently
unanticipated losses, or to meet the needs of our communities, resulting from
failures or cutbacks by our competitors.
Our
ability to raise additional capital, if needed, will depend, among other
things, on conditions in the capital markets at that
time, which are limited by events outside our control, and on our financial
performance.
If we cannot raise additional
capital on acceptable terms when needed, our ability to further expand
our operations through internal growth and
acquisitions could be limited.
Our associates may take excessive risks which could negatively affect our financial
condition and business.
Banks are in the business of accepting certain risks.
Our executive officers and other members of management,
sales
intermediaries, investment professionals, product managers, and
other associates, make decisions and choices that may
expose us to risk. We
endeavor, in the design and implementation
of our compensation programs and practices, to avoid
giving our associates incentives to take excessive risks; however,
associates may nonetheless take such risks.
Similarly,
although we employ controls and procedures designed to prevent
misconduct, to monitor associates’ business decisions and
prevent them from taking excessive risks, these controls and procedures may
not be effective.
If our associates take
excessive risks, risks to our reputation, financial condition and results of
operations could be materially and adversely
affected.
Our ability to continue to pay dividends to shareholders,
repurchase stock and
pay discretionary bonuses in the future
is
subject to our profitability,
capital, liquidity and regulatory requirements
and these limitations may prevent or limit future
dividends.
Cash available to pay dividends to our shareholders is derived primarily from
dividends paid to the Company by the Bank.
The ability of the Bank to pay dividends, as well as our ability to pay dividends
to our shareholders, will continue to be
subject to and limited by laws limiting dividend payments by the Bank,
the results of operations of our subsidiaries and our
need to maintain appropriate liquidity and capital at all levels of our business consistent
with regulatory requirements and
the needs of our businesses.
We can only
pay dividends, repurchase stock and pay discretionary bonuses, if our capital
conservation buffer exceeds 2.5% and from our eligible retained
income over the last four calendar quarters.
See
“Supervision and Regulation - Dividends and Distributions.”
The Federal Reserve expects bank holding companies to inform and
consult with Federal Reserve supervisory staff
sufficiently in advance of (i) declaring and paying a dividend that
could raise safety and soundness concerns, such as
declaring and paying a dividend that exceeds earnings for the period
for which the dividend is being paid); (ii) redeeming or
repurchasing regulatory capital instruments when the bank holding
company is experiencing financial weaknesses; or (iii)
redeeming or repurchasing common stock or perpetual preferred
stock that would result in a net reduction as of the end of a
quarter in the amount of such equity instruments outstanding compared
with the beginning of the quarter in which the
redemption or repurchase occurred.
Further, the Company is also required
to maintain sufficient capital, liquidity and resources to serve as a source of
managerial and financial strength to the Bank, which may limit its capacity to pay
dividends on Company common stock.
The Federal Reserve may require the Company to commit resources to the
Bank, even where it is not otherwise in the
interests of the Company or its shareholders or creditors.
Our common stock trades in limited volumes, which could result
in price volatility.
Your
ability to sell or purchase common shares depends upon the existence of an active
trading market for our common
stock.
Although our common stock is quoted on the Nasdaq Global Market under
the trading symbol “AUBN,” our trading
volume has been limited historically.
The limited trading volume of our common stock may cause fluctuations
in the
market value of our common stock to be exaggerated, leading to price volatility
in excess of that which would occur in a
more active trading market.
As a result, you may be unable to sell or purchase shares of our common stock
at the volume,
price and time that you desire.
Additionally, whether
the market prices of our common stock reflect a reasonable valuation
of our common stock also is affected by the limited market volumes,
and thus the price you receive may not reflect its true
or intrinsic value.
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49
Legal and Regulatory Risks
The Company is an entity separate and distinct from
the Bank.
The Company is an entity separate and distinct from the Bank.
Company transactions with the Bank are limited by
Sections 23A and 23B of the Federal Reserve Act and Federal Reserve Regulation
W.
We depend upon
the Bank’s
earnings and dividends from the Bank paid to the Company,
which are limited by law and regulatory policies and actions,
for cash to pay the Company’s corporate
obligations, and to pay dividends to our shareholders.
If the Bank’s ability to pay
dividends to the Company was terminated or limited, the Company’s
liquidity and financial condition could be materially
and adversely affected.
Legislative and regulatory changes generally
The Biden Administration and its heads of various government agencies,
including the bank regulators, CFPB and SEC,
implemented numerous changes to bank and other regulation, SEC rules and corporate
tax changes that could have an
adverse effect on our results of operations and financial condition.
The new Trump Administration has taken
a number of actions to freeze and reduce new regulations, and may take action in
the future to reverse or ameliorate the effects of various Biden
Administration and other policies and regulations.
See
“Supervision and Regulation - Recent Developments -New Administration.”
New Executive Orders may be issued at any
time and from time to time, which make additional changes, or modify prior
action by the current Administration.
Such
changes in regulations, potential consolidation or reorganization
of regulators, hiring freezes and reductions in force at the
government agencies, including the bank regulators, the CFPB and SEC that directly
affect us, and changes in tariffs and
trade rules, are unpredictable.
Such changes, and their administration and potential litigation challenging,
modifying or
rescinding such changes, create uncertainty and may adversely affect
us, our customers and markets, and the economy,
generally.
The bank regulators, the CFPB and the SEC have actively developed a broad range
of new and changed rules over the last
several years, many of which are complex and lengthy,
such as the new CRA regulations and various SEC rules, including
the cybersecurity rule adopted in September 2023 and climate change
rules adopted on March 6, 2024.
Some rules, such as
the SEC share repurchase modernization rules, have been struck down by the courts
and have been withdrawn, creating
more compliance uncertainty during the pendency of the litigation.
Ten states’ attorney generals immediately
challenged
the Enhancement and Standardization of Climate-Related Disclosures for
Investors rule adopted by the SEC on March 6,
2024, and the SEC stayed that rule’s
effectiveness.
On February 11, 2025, Acting SEC Chairman Uyeda
announced that in
light of the change in Administrations and the Regulatory Freeze Executive
Order, the SEC was notifying the United States
Court of Appeals for the Eighth Circuit and requesting that Court
not to schedule the case for argument to provide time for
the SEC to deliberate and determine the appropriate next steps.
Compliance with the volume and complexity of these rule changes, and the potential reversal
of various Biden-era rules is
costly and imposes material time and personnel burdens on financial
services companies, especially on smaller companies,
such as the Company.
Increasing litigation on regulatory rules and whether these exceed the agencies’
statutory authority
or have been improperly adopted, which result from recent court decisions,
also creates further uncertainty and risks as to
the final timing, content and scope of new rules, and the business changes needed
to be made to comply with the effective
dates of the new or changed rules.
Regulatory actions and policies can affect the markets’ outlook,
and the valuations and volatility of bank securities
generally, including
our common stock.
Changes in taxes and federal budgets
Major tax and budget legislation is pending at the beginning of 2025, which
have unpredictable effects on the economy and
on us and our customers.
If the 2017 Tax Act
is extended, it would result in an estimated $4.5 trillion of continued and new
tax cuts over the next 10
years.
Tax and budget legislation contemplates
an estimated increase of approximately $2.8 trillion over the next 10 years
and seeks a $4 trillion increase in the debt limit.
Such tax cuts and increased federal government spending may adversely
effect the federal government’s
credit ratings and interest rates on and costs of the national debt, to the extent not
offset by
tariffs.
The additional debt could crowd the debt markets and increase interest rates, generally.
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50
Unless extended or amended, many provisions of the 2017 Tax
Act, including the cap on SALT
deductions, expire at the
end of 2025, and the marginal individual tax brackets
will increase.
The 2017 Tax Act’s
reduction in corporate tax rates to
21% do not expire at the end of 2025, absent new legislation.
Except to the extent offset by a restoration of uncapped
SALT deductions,
increases in marginal individual tax rates may adversely affect
consumer confidence, and may reduce the
cash available for deposits and debt service.
We are
subject to extensive regulation that could limit or restrict
our activities and adversely affect our earnings and the
market value of our common stock.
We and our
subsidiaries are regulated by several regulators, including the Federal Reserve, the Alabama
Superintendent,
the SEC and the FDIC.
Although not regulated or supervised by the CFPB, we are subject to the CFPB’s
regulations and
interpretations regarding the offering and provision of
consumer financial products or services under the Federal consumer
financial law; and the Federal Reserve’s supervision
and examination of our compliance with such CFPB regulations and
pronouncements.
Our success is affected by state and federal laws and regulations
affecting banks and bank holding
companies, and the securities markets, and our costs of compliance could adversely
affect our earnings.
Banking
regulations are primarily intended to protect depositors, and the FDIC’s
DIF, not shareholders.
The financial services
industry also is subject to frequent legislative and regulatory changes and proposed
changes, especially following changes
of presidential administrations which most recently occurred on January
20, 2025.
In addition, the interpretations of
regulations by regulators may change and statutes may be enacted with retroactive
impact.
From time to time, regulators
raise issues during examinations of us which, if not determined satisfactorily,
could have a material adverse effect on us.
Compliance with applicable laws and regulations is time consuming and costly
and may affect our profitability.
Changes in
regulations applicable to us and in our regulators could have a material adverse
effect on financial services regulation,
generally, and on our
financial condition and results of operations.
See “Supervision and Regulation - Recent
Developments-
New Administration.”
Litigation and regulatory actions could harm
our reputation and adversely affect our results
of operations and financial
condition.
A substantial legal liability or a significant regulatory action against us, as well as regulatory
inquiries, investigations or
enforcement actions, could harm our reputation, result in material fines or
penalties, result in significant legal and other
costs, divert management resources away from our business, and otherwise have
a material adverse effect on our financial
condition and results of operations and our ability to expand on our existing
business.
Even if we ultimately prevail in such
proceedings, our ability to attract new customers, retain our current
customers and recruit and retain employees could be
materially and adversely affected.
Regulatory inquiries and proceedings may also adversely affect
the prices, volatility or
outlook for our common stock or other securities specifically,
or bank securities, generally.
As a participating lender in the PPP,
the Bank is subject to additional risks of litigation from the Bank’s
customers or other
parties regarding
the Bank’s
processing of loans for the PPP and risks of potential
SBA or bank regulatory claims.
The Bank participated as a lender in the PPP and made a total of $56.7 million
of PPP loans in 2020 and 2021, generally to
support existing customers in the Bank’s
markets.
All PPP loans made by the Bank have been forgiven by the SBA, except
for one credit where the borrower is voluntarily repaying the loan.
Since the beginning of the PPP,
various banks have
been subject to litigation regarding the processes and procedures used
in processing applications for the PPP,
and greater
governmental attention is directed at preventing fraud.
We may be exposed
to similar litigation risks, from both customers
and non-customers that approached the Bank regarding PPP loans that we
extended.
The SBA, the Department of Justice and the bank regulators are investigating
various PPP lenders and borrowers with
respect to potential fraud or improper activities under the PPP loan programs.
Although the SBA has not indicated any
issues with the Bank’s participation
in the PPP program and honored all PPP forgiveness requests, the Bank
could have
potential liability if the SBA later determines deficiencies in the manner in
which PPP loans were originated, funded or
serviced by the Bank, such as an issue with the eligibility of a borrower to
receive a PPP loan, or its forgiveness of a PPP
properly, including
those related to the ambiguities in the laws, rules and guidance regarding the PPP’s
operation.
The Bank is unaware of any such investigation or claims. If any such
claims are made against the Bank and are not resolved
favorably to the Bank, it may result in financial liability or adversely affect
our reputation.
Any financial liability, litigation
costs or reputational damage caused by PPP related litigation could have
a material adverse effect on our business, financial
condition and results of operations.
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51
We are
required to maintain
capital to meet regulatory requirements,
and if we fail to maintain sufficient capital, our
financial condition, liquidity and results of operations
would be adversely affected.
We and the Bank
must meet regulatory capital requirements and maintain sufficient
liquidity, including liquidity
at the
Company, as well as the Bank.
If we fail to meet these capital and other regulatory requirements, our financial
condition,
liquidity and results of operations would be materially and adversely
affected.
Our failure to remain “well capitalized” and
“well managed”, including meeting the Basel III capital conservation buffers,
for bank regulatory purposes, could adversely
affect us.
See
“Supervision and Regulation—Basel III Capital Rules.”
Although we currently have capital ratios that exceed all these minimum levels and
a strategic plan to maintain these levels,
we or the Bank may be unable to continue to satisfy the capital adequacy requirements
and/or maintain our liquidity for
various reasons, which may include:
●
losses and/or increases in the Bank’s credit
risk assets and expected losses resulting from the deterioration in the
creditworthiness of borrowers and the issuers of investment securities we hold;
●
difficulty in refinancing or issuing instruments upon redemption
or at maturity of such instruments to raise capital
under acceptable terms and conditions;
●
declines in the value of our securities portfolios or sales of securities for losses;
●
revisions to the regulations or their application by our regulators that increase our
capital or liquidity requirements;
●
reduced total earnings on our assets will reduce our internal generation
of capital available to support our balance
sheet growth;
●
reductions in the value of our MSRs and DTAs;
and other adverse developments; and
●
unexpected growth and an inability to increase capital timely.
A failure to remain “well capitalized,” for bank regulatory purposes, including
meeting the Basel III Capital Rule’s
conservation buffer,
could adversely affect customer confidence, and our:
●
ability to grow;
●
the costs of and availability of funds;
●
FDIC deposit insurance premiums;
●
ability to raise or replace brokered deposits;
●
ability to pay or increase dividends on our capital stock.
●
Ability to repurchase our common stock
●
ability to make discretionary bonuses to attract and retain quality personnel;
●
ability to make acquisitions or engage in new activities;
●
flexibility if we become subject to prompt corrective action restrictions; and
●
ability to make payments of principal and interest on any of our capital
instruments that may be then outstanding.
The Federal Reserve may require
us to commit capital resources
to support the Bank.
As a matter of policy, the
Federal Reserve expects a bank holding company to act as a source of financial and managerial
strength to a subsidiary bank and to commit resources to support such subsidiary
bank.
The Federal Reserve may require a
bank holding company to make capital injections into a troubled subsidiary bank.
In addition, the Dodd-Frank Act amended
the FDI Act to require that all companies that control a FDIC-insured depository
institution serve as a source of financial
strength to their depository institution subsidiaries.
Under these requirements, we could be required to provide financial
assistance to the Bank should it experience financial distress, even if further investment
was not otherwise warranted. See
“Supervision and Regulation.”
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52
Our operations are subject to risk of loss from
unfavorable fiscal, monetary,
regulatory and political developments in the
U.S.
Our businesses and earnings are affected by the fiscal, monetary
and other policies and actions of various U.S.
governmental and regulatory authorities.
Changes in these are beyond our control and are difficult to predict and,
consequently, changes
in these policies could have negative effects on our activities and results of operations.
Failures of
the executive and legislative branches to agree on spending plans and budgets
previously have led to Federal government
shutdowns, which may adversely affect the U.S. economy.
Additionally, any prolonged
government shutdown or
reductions in force at various governmental and regulatory
authorities may inhibit our ability to evaluate the economy,
generally, and affect
government workers who are not paid during such events, and where the absence
of government
services and data could adversely affect consumer and business sentiment,
our local economy,
and business our customers
and our business.
The numerous Executive Orders and other actions taken by the Trump
Administration in its first month
and future changes, and their uncertain effects on the
economy, the markets, our regulators and
regulation, our local
markets, customers and others are unpredictable, and may adversely affect
our business, results of operations and financial
condition.
Litigation and regulatory investigations are
increasingly common in our businesses and may result
in significant financial
losses and/or harm to our reputation.
We face risks of
litigation and regulatory investigations and actions in the ordinary course of
operating our businesses,
including the risk of class action lawsuits.
Plaintiffs in class action and other lawsuits against us may seek very large
and/or
indeterminate amounts, including punitive and treble damages. Due to the vagaries
of litigation, the ultimate outcome of
litigation and the amount or range of potential loss at particular points in time
may be difficult to ascertain.
We do not have
any material pending litigation or regulatory matters affecting
us at December 31, 2024.
Failures to comply with the fair lending laws, CFPB regulations
or the Community Reinvestment Act, or CRA, could
adversely affect us.
The Bank is subject to, among other things, the provisions of the Equal
Credit Opportunity Act, or ECOA and the Fair
Housing Act, which prohibit discrimination based on race or color,
religion, national origin, sex and familial status in any
aspect of a consumer, commercial credit or
residential real estate transaction.
The DOJ’s and the federal bank
regulators’
Interagency Policy Statement on Discrimination in Lending provides
guidance to financial institutions to evaluate whether
discrimination exists, ways to prevent discriminatory lending
practices and how the government agencies will respond to
lending discrimination.
Failures to comply with ECOA, the Fair Housing Act and other fair lending laws and
regulations,
including CFPB regulations or interpretations, could subject us to enforcement
actions or litigation, and could have a
material adverse effect on our business financial condition
and results of operations.
Our Bank is also subject to the CRA and periodic CRA examinations. The
CRA requires us to serve our entire
communities, including low- and moderate-income (“LMI”) neighborhoods.
Our CRA ratings could be adversely affected
by actual or alleged violations of the fair lending or consumer financial
protection laws. The CRA and fair lending
responsibilities are related and mutually reinforcing.
Even though we have maintained a “satisfactory” CRA rating since
2000, we cannot predict our future CRA ratings.
Violations of fair lending
laws or if our CRA rating falls to less than
“satisfactory” could adversely affect our business, including expansion
through branching or acquisitions.
The Federal Reserve and the other federal bank regulators adopted
comprehensive revisions to its CRA regulations
published in the Federal Register on February 1, 2024.
We are evaluating
and working on implementing the new rules,
which could significantly affect our compliance costs and
activities.
See “Supervision and Regulation -
Community
Reinvestment Act and Consumer Laws.”
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53
COVID-19 and Similar Risks
The Company’s assessment of risks related
to COVID-19 and its effects on the Company applicable
during the pandemic
are discussed in the Company‘s Annual Report on Form 10-K filed with the
SEC on March 8, 2022 under the caption “Risk
Factors-COVID 19 Risks” and in our Annual and Quarterly Reports on
Forms 10-K and 10-Q through September 30, 2024.
The President terminated the COVID-19 national emergencies
effective May 11, 2023.
Remaining effects of the COVID-
19 pandemic and other epidemics and pandemics are discussed herein,
including under “Supervision and Regulation --
Bank Regulation --
Residential Mortgages
and -- Fiscal and Monetary Policies; Risk Factors -- Operational
Risks --
Market
conditions and economic cyclicality may adversely affect our industry
; --
Our success depends on local economic
conditions
; --
Severe weather and natural disasters, including as
a result of climate change, pandemics, epidemics, acts of
war or terrorism or other external events could have
significant effects on our business
; and Risk Factors --
"
Financial
Risks
-Liquidity risks could affect operations and jeopardize
our financial condition."