Item 1A. Risk Factors
ITEM 1A. RISK FACTORS
Any of the following risks could harm our business, results of operations and financial condition
and an investment in our
stock.
The risks discussed below also include forward-looking statements, and our
actual results may differ substantially
from those discussed in these forward-looking statements.
Risk Factor Summary
The following summarizes the risks provided after this summary and is qualified
by the more detailed discussion of “Risk
Factors” that follows this Summary,
and which should be read in their entirety.
Our risks include operational risks,
financial risks and legal and regulatory risks, which are related and intertwined
as discussed more fully in the Risk Factors
that follow this summary.
Operational risks are inherent in our business, and include:
●
The effects of local, national and regional market and economic conditions and
cyclicality, including inflation,
interest rates and their effects on borrowers and markets, including real estate
markets
●
The risks and costs of nonperforming assets
●
Our allowance for credit losses is based on estimates and judgments and may prove to be
inadequate to our credit
risks
●
The soundness of other financial institutions and perceptions regarding our industry,
especially when other banks
experience difficulties or fail
●
Our concentrations in commercial real estate loans in our market
●
We operate
in a highly competitive market against a number of larger national and regional
competitors
●
Future acquisitions may disrupt our business, dilute shareholder value and adversely affect
our operating results
and financial condition, among other risks
●
Technological changes affect
our business, and we may have fewer resources than various of our larger
regulated
and unregulated competitors, inside and outside our market area,
which may increase the competition we face
●
Potential gaps in our risk management, including managing the risks to us of data
security and cybersecurity,
including risks to our service providers could affect our results of operations, financial
condition, customer
relationship and reputation
●
Our ability to attract and retain key people
●
Risks of severe weather, natural disasters, climate changes,
epidemics and severe health issues in the population,
wars and acts of terrorism and other events
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Financial risks result in part from our operational risks and the risk of our business, and include:
●
Increases in costs of funds due to inflation, monetary and fiscal policies, changes in
costumer behaviors and
competitive pressures
●
Our results of operations and financial condition, including the values of our assets and liquidity,
may be affected
by changes in interest rates and interest rate levels, the shape of the yield curve and economic conditions
●
Liquidity risks, including the costs and availability of funding, and the liquidity of our assets,
including our
investment securities portfolio, and institutional lending sources
●
Changes in accounting and tax rules
●
The adequacy of our capital and availability of capital, if needed
●
Potentially excessive risk taking by our associates
●
Our ability to pay dividends depends on our earnings, liquidity and regulatory requirements
related to our capital
and our risks
●
A limited trading market exists for our common stock
Legal and regulatory risks include:
●
The Company is a legal entity separate and distinct from the Bank, and transactions
between the Bank and the
Company are limited by law
●
The Company is required to be a source of financial and managerial strength to
the Bank, even where further
investment in the Bank may not be warranted in the circumstances
●
The scope, volume and complexity of regulations and regulatory and legal changes affect
us, increase the time and
costs of compliance and may limit our business and adversely affect our
financial condition and results of
operations
●
Litigation, investigations and other claims by government agencies and private parties and
regulatory actions,
including those related to assertions of compliance failures
●
The amount of and changes in the capital we are required to maintain in respect of our business
and risk, and
regulatory perceptions of us and our industry
●
Liquidity requirements
Operational Risks
Market conditions and economic cyclicality may adversely affect our industry.
We believe the following,
among other things, may affect us in 2024:
●
The COVID-19 pandemic disrupted the economy beginning late in the first quarter of 2020.
Auburn University,
government agencies and businesses were limited to remote work and gatherings
were limited.
Supply chains
continue to be disrupted and labor markets remain tight.
Hotels, motels, restaurants, retail and shopping centers
were especially affected.
COVID-19 continues, but with diminishing direct economic effects
due to population
health, generally.
President Biden has terminated the COVID-19 national emergencies
effective May 11, 2023.
●
Extraordinary monetary and fiscal stimulus in 2020 and in early 2021
offset certain of the pandemic’s adverse
economic effects, but together with supply chain disruptions,
continued consumer demand, Russia’s invasion
of
Ukraine and its effects on energy and food prices, and tight labor
markets, have resulted in inflation.
Inflation is
running at levels unseen in decades and well above the Federal Reserve’s
long term inflation goal of 2.0%
annually.
Beginning in March 2022, the Federal Reserve has been raising target
federal funds interest rates and
reducing its securities holdings in an effort to reduce inflation.
The nature and timing of any future changes in
monetary and fiscal policies and their effect on us cannot be predicted.
At the end of 2023, many believed that the
Federal Reserve would loosen its monetary policy in response to inflation,
which was declining, but remained
above the Fed’s 2% long term target
level.
Strong economic data and inflation reports since then appear to have
reduced expectations as to the number, timing and size of
any reductions in the target federal funds rate in the near
term.
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34
●
Market developments, including unemployment, price levels, stock and
bond market volatility, and changes,
including those resulting from Russia’s
invasion of Ukraine affect consumer confidence levels, economic
activity
and inflation.
Increases in market interest rates, inflation and consumer and business confidence
may cause
changes in customers’ savings and payment behaviors, including potential increases in
loan delinquencies and
default rates.
These could affect our earnings and credit quality.
●
Our ability to assess the creditworthiness of our customers and those we do business
with, and the values of our
assets and loan collateral may be adversely affected and less
predictable as a result of inflation and higher market
interest rates
We adopted
CECL on January 1, 2023 as required by generally accepted accounting principles
(“GAAP”).
CECL changed the loss model to take into account current expected credit losses in place
of the
incurred loss method used historically under GAAP.
This changes the process we use to estimate losses inherent
in our credit exposures.
The process for estimating expected losses requires difficult,
subjective, and complex
judgments, including forecasts of economic conditions and how those economic predictions
might affect the
ability of our borrowers to repay their loans or the value of assets.
Changes in economic conditions and factors
used in our CECL models may increase the variability of our provisions for loan losses and
our earnings.
Nonperforming and similar assets take significant time to resolve
and may adversely affect our results of operations
and
financial condition.
Our nonperforming loans were 0.16% of total loans as of December
31, 2023, and we had no other real estate owned as
result of foreclosures or otherwise in full or partial payments in respect of loans (“OREO”).
Non-performing assets may
adversely affect our net income in various ways.
We do
not record interest income on nonaccrual loans or OREO and these
assets require higher loan administration and other costs, thereby adversely affecting
our income.
Decreases in the value of
these assets, or the underlying collateral, or in the related borrowers’ performance or financial
condition, whether or not due
to economic and market conditions beyond our control, could adversely affect
our business, results of operations and
financial condition.
In addition, the resolution of nonperforming assets requires commitments of time
from management,
which can be detrimental to the performance of their other responsibilities. Our non-performing
assets may be adversely
affected by loan deferrals and modifications made in response
to the pandemic and the moratoria on foreclosures and
evictions.
There can be no assurance that we will not experience increases in nonperforming
loans in the future, much of
which is affected by the economy and the levels of interest rates, generally.
Our allowance for loan losses may prove inadequate
or we may be negatively affected by credit risk exposures.
We periodically review our
allowance for loan losses for adequacy considering economic conditions and trends,
collateral
values and credit quality indicators, including past charge-off experience and
levels of past due loans and nonperforming
assets.
We cannot be
certain that our allowance for loan losses will be adequate over time to cover
credit losses in our
portfolio because of unanticipated adverse changes in the economy,
including the continuing effects of the pandemic and
fiscal and monetary response to COVID-19 and the shift beginning in March 2022
from an extraordinarily expansionary
monetary policies to a tightening monetary policy to fight inflation,
market conditions or events adversely affecting specific
customers, industries or markets, including disruptions of supply chains and the
war in Ukraine, and changes in borrower
behaviors.
Certain borrowers and their businesses and real estate and commercial projects
and businesses may be adversely
affected by inflation and higher interest rates, and economic slowdowns
arising from tighter monetary policies, and may
request or need loan modifications and deferrals.
Various
businesses will be unable to fully pass on increased costs due to
inflation, and their profits may shrink.
If the credit quality of our customer base materially decreases, if the risk profile
of
the market, industry or group of customers changes materially or weaknesses in the real estate
markets worsen, borrower
payment behaviors change, or if our allowance for loan losses is not adequate, our business,
financial condition, including
our liquidity and capital, and results of operations could be materially adversely affected.
CECL, a new accounting
standard for estimating expected future loan losses, is effective for
the Company beginning January 1, 2023, and its effects
upon the Company in the current environment have not yet been determined
fully due to its short existence.
The CECL
model incorporates various economic condition elements, where changes
in fiscal and monetary policy, as
well as market
interest rates, could result in more volatility in our provisions for loan losses
under CECL, which could adversely affect our
net income.
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35
Changes in the real estate markets, including the
secondary market for residential mortgage loans, may continue
to
adversely affect us.
Beginning in March 2022, inflation and the Federal monetary policies to increase interest rates
to fight inflation have
caused mortgage rates to increase significantly.
Higher interest rates and the increased level of housing costs as a result
of
the COVID-19 pandemic, have caused housing starts and sales to slow.
Inventories of existing homes for sale have
remained generally low, and
many believe that higher mortgage rates are adversely affecting potential
sellers from selling
their existing houses and incurring higher mortgage interest rates on their replacement
home.
These conditions have
adversely affected housing affordability and increased
monthly mortgage payments.
House prices have begun to decline in
certain markets from their earlier highs.
This adversely affects our mortgage loan productions and the value of residential
mortgage collateral.
Commercial real estate projects’ economic assumptions may be adversely affected,
and certain
projects with short term and/or unhedged variable rate debt may be especially affected
by increased interest rates and a
slower economy.
The CFPB’s mortgage and servicing rules, including
TRID rules for closed end credit transactions, enforcement actions,
reviews and settlements, affect the mortgage markets and our mortgage operations.
The CFPB requires that lenders
determine whether a consumer has the ability to repay a mortgage loan have limited the
secondary market for and liquidity
of many mortgage loans that are not “qualified mortgages.”
Recently adopted changes to the CFPB’s
qualified mortgage
rules are reportedly being reconsidered.
The Tax Cuts and Jobs
Act’s (the “2017 Tax
Act”) limitations on the deductibility of residential mortgage interest and state
and local property and other taxes and federal moratoria on single-family
foreclosures and rental evictions could adversely
affect consumer behaviors and the volumes of housing sales,
mortgage and home equity loan originations, as well as the
value and liquidity of residential property held as collateral by lenders such as the Bank, and
the secondary markets for
single and multi-family loans.
Acquisition, construction and development loans for residential development
may be
similarly adversely affected.
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (“GSEs”) have been in conservatorship since September
2008.
Since Fannie Mae and
Freddie Mac dominate the residential mortgage markets, any changes in their operations
and requirements, as well as their
respective restructurings and capital, could adversely affect the
primary and secondary mortgage markets, and our
residential mortgage businesses, our results of operations and the returns on capital deployed
in these businesses.
The
timing and effects of resolution of these government sponsored enterprises
cannot be predicted.
We may be contractually
obligated to repurchase
mortgage loans we sold to third parties on terms unfavorable
to us.
As part of its routine business, the Company originates mortgage loans that it subsequently
sells in the secondary market,
generally to Fannie Mae, a GSE.
In connection with the sale of these loans, the Company makes customary representations
and warranties, the breach of which may result in the Company being required to
repurchase the loan or loans.
Furthermore, the amount paid may be greater than the fair value of the loan or loans at the time of the
repurchase.
Although mortgage loan repurchase requests made to us have been limited, if these increased,
we may have to establish
reserves for possible repurchases and adversely affect our results of operation
and financial condition.
Mortgage servicing rights requirements
may change and require
us to incur additional costs and risks.
The CFPB’s residential mortgage servicing
standards may adversely affect our costs to service residential
mortgage loans.
The effects of reduced housing starts and mortgage activity due to
higher market interest rates, have decreased our
generation of new mortgage loans and related MSRs.
This may be offset partially by decreases in mortgage prepayments
and refinancings, and corresponding increases in the duration of our existing MSRs
and their values.
This net effect could
reduce our aggregate income from servicing these types of loans and make it more difficult
and costly to timely realize the
value of collateral securing such loans upon a borrower default.
The Basel III Rules relating to MSRs may also increase the
potential capital required as a result of MSRs, when considered with other capital rule adjustments
and deductions.
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The soundness of other financial institutions could adversely affect us.
We routinely execute
transactions with counterparties in the financial services industry,
including brokers and dealers,
central clearinghouses, banks, including our correspondent banks and other
financial institutions.
Our ability to engage in
routine investment and banking transactions, as well as the quality and values of our investments in
holdings of other
obligations of other financial institutions such as the FHLB-Atlanta, could be adversely
affected by the actions, financial
condition, and profitability of such other financial institutions, including the FHLB-Atlanta
and our correspondent banks.
Financial services institutions are interrelated as a result of shared credits,
trading, clearing, counterparty and other
relationships.
Most LIBOR reference interest rates used by many financial institutions to
price extensions of credit stopped
being quoted June 30, 2023 and their use has been strongly discouraged by regulatory agencies.
Most banks did not adopt
CECL until January 1, 2023.
The failures of Silicon Valley
Bank, Signature Bank and First Republic Bank in 2023 due to concentrations of deposits and
depositors holding large amounts of deposits in excess of FDIC insurance limits,
as well as flawed business models and
management, adversely affected the financial system and public confidence.
These have resulted in increased regulatory
scrutiny of bank liquidity, funding and
capital, depressed bank stock values generally,
and higher FDIC deposit insurance
premiums on the largest banks, as well as regulatory proposals to increase large
banks’ capital and expand enhanced
prudential standards starting at $100 billion of assets instead of $250 billion.
The federal bank regulators have been advocating more use of the Federal Reserve discount
window to improve bank
liquidity.
At the same time, these bank failures, together with the failure of the very small
Heartland State bank in Kansas
due to apparent embezzlement by its president due to losses from his personal crypto trading,
have also led to calls to
reduce Federal Home Loan Bank lending to banks.
Traditionally,
the Federal Home Loan Banks have been stable sources
of liquidity and funding for banks. The Federal Housing Finance Agency (“FHFA)
regulates the Federal Home Loan
Banks.
The FHFA’s
FHLBank System at 100: Focusing on the Future
(Nov. 2023) suggest less traditional Federal
Home
Loan Bank lending to banks, especially banks experiencing financial stress.
These changes, together with any exposures other institutions may have
to crypto or digital assets, or cybersecurity and data
breaches, could cause disruption and unexpected changes in the industry.
Any losses, defaults by, or failures of, the
institutions we do business with could adversely affect our holdings of
the equity in such other institutions, our
participation interests in loans originated by other institutions, and our business,
including our liquidity,
financial condition
and earnings.
Failures of several banks earlier in 2023
and in early 2024 have resulted in increased
market volatility for financial service
companies’
securities
and
in
changes
in
regulatory
views
and
emphases
that
may
adversely
affect
us
and
may
not
be
disclosable under law.
The failures of
Silicon Valley
Bank, Signature Bank,
First Republic
and Heartland
Tri-State Bank
in 2023 have
resulted in
significant
market
volatility
for
bank
stocks,
and
have
caused
uncertainty
in
the
investor
community
and
among
bank
customers, generally,
greater bank regulatory scrutiny
of banking organizations,
especially those experiencing
rapid growth
and
regional
banks
with
$100
billion
or
more
in
assets.
Similarly
concerns
about
credit
quality
and
capital
adequacy
at
New York
Community Bank following
two acquisitions raised
market concerns and led to
replacement of management and
a dilutive equity capital raise.
Changes
in
regulations
have
been
proposed
as part
of
the Basel
III
endgame
to
the capital,
liquidity,
long
term
debt
and
resolution planning
of banking
organizations
with over
$100 billion
in assets.
These failures
also have
resulted in
market
volatility in
financial services
securities.
Regulators have
focused supervisory
activities, generally,
at all
sizes of
banking
organizations
on
various
risks,
especially
capital
adequacy
and
liquidity
in
light
of
growth,
asset,
liability
and
customer
concentrations
and
risks;
CRE,
levels
of
uninsured
deposits;
crypto
businesses
and
customers;
strategic,
capital
and
liquidity
plans
and
contingency
plans;
and
risk
management.
Such
enhanced
scrutiny
is
often
applied
as
part
of
the
regulatory examination
processes, as
well as
through a
variety of
nonpublic supervisory
actions such
as “matters
requiring
attention,”
board
of
director
resolutions,
memoranda
of
understanding,
and
other
regulatory
criticism
and
informal
supervisory actions.
The bank
and bank
holding examination
processes, as
well as
any nonpublic
supervisory actions,
are
“confidential supervisory information”
for regulatory purposes,
whose existence and terms,
if any,
may not be disclosed
by
banking organizations.
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Our concentration of commercial real
estate loans could result in further increased
loan losses, and adversely affect our
business, earnings, and financial condition.
Commercial real estate, or CRE, is cyclical and poses risks of possible loss due to concentration
levels and the risks of the
assets being financed, which include loans for the acquisition and development of land and
residential construction.
The
federal bank regulatory agencies released guidance in 2006 on “Concentrations
in Commercial Real Estate Lending.”
The
guidance defines CRE loans as exposures secured by raw land, land development and
construction loans (including 1-4
family residential construction loans), multi-family property,
and non-farm non-residential property,
where the primary or a
significant source of repayment is derived from rental income associated
with the property (that is, loans for which 50% or
more of the source of repayment comes from third party,
non-affiliated, rental income) or the proceeds of the sale,
refinancing, or permanent financing of the property.
Loans to REITs
and unsecured loans to developers that closely
correlate to the inherent risks in CRE markets are also CRE loans.
Loans on owner occupied commercial real estate are
generally excluded from CRE for purposes of this guidance.
Excluding owner occupied commercial real estate, we had 39.6% of our loan por
tfolio in CRE loans at year-end 2023
compared to 40.4% and 42.6% at year-end 2022 and 2021, respectively.
The banking regulators continue to give CRE
lending scrutiny and require banks with higher levels of CRE loans to implement improved
underwriting, internal controls,
risk management policies and portfolio stress testing, as well as higher levels of allowances
for possible losses and capital
levels as a result of CRE lending growth and exposures.
Increases in interest rates beginning in March 2022 may adversely
affect the assumptions and performance of CRE, and the ability of borrowers
to refinance on terms that CRE borrowers and
their projects can support.
Lower demand for CRE and fewer CRE purchase and sale transactions, and reduced availability
of, and higher interest rates and costs for, CRE loans could adversely
affect CRE values and liquidity,
our CRE loans and
sales of OREO, and therefore our earnings and financial condition, including our capital and
liquidity.
Our future success is dependent on our ability
to compete effectively in highly competitive markets.
The East Alabama banking markets which we operate are highly competitive and
our future growth and success will
depend on our ability to compete effectively in these markets.
Nineteen banks, including JP Morgan Chase, Wells
Fargo,
Truist, PNC, Regions, Valley
National and SouthState, have offices in Lee County.
Eleven of these banks are
headquartered outside of Alabama.
We compete
for loans, deposits and other financial services with other local, regional
and national commercial banks, thrifts, credit unions, mortgage lenders, and securities
and insurance brokerage firms.
Lenders operating nationwide over the internet are growing rapidly.
Many of our competitors offer products and services
different from us, and have substantially greater resources, name recognition
and market presence than we do, which
benefits them in attracting business.
In addition, larger competitors may be able to price loans and deposits
more
aggressively than we are able to and have broader and more diverse customer and
geographic bases to draw upon.
Out of
state banks may branch into our markets.
Fintech and other non-bank competitors also compete for our customers,
and may
partner with other banks and/or seek to enter the payments system.
The failures of other banks with offices in our markets
could also lead to the entrance of new, stronger
competitors in our markets.
Our success depends on local economic conditions.
Our success depends on the general economic conditions in the geographic
markets we serve in Alabama.
The local
economic conditions in our markets have a significant effect on our commercial,
real estate and construction loans, the
ability of borrowers to repay these loans and the value of the collateral securing these loans.
Adverse changes in the
economic conditions of the Southeastern United States in general, or in one or more of our
local markets, including the
effects of higher market interest rates and inflation, supply chain disruptions,
changes in customer behaviors and in the
workforce and demand for space since the COVID-19 pandemic, and the timing and
magnitude of future inflation and
interest rates, could negatively affect our results of operations and our profitability.
Our local economy is also affected by
the growth of automobile manufacturing and related suppliers located
in our markets and nearby.
Auto sales and housing
sales are cyclical and generally are affected adversely by higher interest rates.
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38
Attractive acquisition opportunities may not be available to us in the
future.
While we seek continued organic growth, including loan growth,
we also may consider the acquisition of other businesses.
We expect that other banking
and financial companies, many of which have significantly greater resources,
will compete
with us to acquire financial services businesses.
This competition could increase prices for potential acquisitions that we
believe are attractive.
Also, acquisitions are subject to various regulatory approvals.
If we fail to receive the appropriate
regulatory approvals, we will not be able to consummate an acquisition that
we believe is in our best interests, and
regulatory approvals could contain conditions that reduce the anticipated benefits of any transaction.
Among other things,
our regulators consider our capital, liquidity,
profitability, regulatory
compliance and levels of goodwill and intangibles
when considering acquisition and expansion proposals.
Any acquisition could be dilutive to our earnings and shareholders’
equity per share of our common stock.
The regulatory agencies are carefully scrutinizing financial institution
mergers, and
the merger application process has lengthened.
Future acquisitions and expansion activities may disrupt
our business, dilute shareholder value
and adversely affect our
operating results and financial condition.
We regularly evaluate
potential acquisitions and expansion opportunities, including new branches and
other offices.
To the
extent that we grow through acquisitions, we cannot assure you that we
will be able to adequately or profitably manage this
growth.
Acquiring other banks, branches, or businesses, as well as other geographic and product
expansion activities,
involve various risks including:
●
risks of unknown or contingent liabilities, and potential asset quality issues;
●
unanticipated costs and delays;
●
risks that acquired new businesses will not perform consistent with our growth and profitability
expectations;
●
risks of entering new markets or product areas where we have limited experience;
●
risks that growth will strain our infrastructure, staff, internal controls
and management, which may require
additional personnel, time and expenditures;
●
difficulties, expenses and delays of integrating the operations and personnel of acquired
institutions;
●
potential disruptions to our business;
●
possible loss of key employees and customers of acquired institutions;
●
potential short-term decreases in profitability; and
●
diversion of our management’s time and
attention from our existing operations and business.
Technological
changes affect our business, and we may have fewer resources
than many competitors to invest in
technological improvements.
The financial services industry is undergoing rapid technological changes
with frequent introductions of new technology
driven products and services and growing demands for mobile and user-based
banking applications. In addition to allowing
us to analyze our customers better, the effective
use of technology may increase efficiency and may enable
financial
institutions to reduce costs, risks associated with fraud and compliance
with anti-money laundering and other laws, and
various operational risks.
Largely unregulated “fintech” businesses have increased their
participation in the lending and
payments businesses, and have increased competition in these businesses. Our future
success will depend, in part, upon our
ability to use technology to provide products and services that meet our customers’ preferences
and create additional
efficiencies in operations, while avoiding cyber-attacks
and disruptions, data breaches and anti-money laundering and other
potential violations of law. The
COVID-19 pandemic and increased remote work has accelerated electronic
banking
activity and the need for increased operational efficiencies and data security.
We
may need to make significant additional
capital investments in technology,
including cyber and data security,
and we may not be able to effectively implement new
technology-driven products and services, or such technology
may prove less effective than anticipated. Many larger
competitors have substantially greater resources to invest in technological improvements
and, increasingly,
non-banking
firms are using technology to compete with traditional lenders for loans, payments,
and other banking services.
As a result,
our competition from service providers not located in our markets has increased.
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39
Operational risks are inherent
in our businesses.
Operational risks and losses can result from internal and external fraud; gaps or
weaknesses in our risk management or
internal audit procedures; errors by employees or third parties, including our vendors,
failures to document transactions
properly or obtain proper authorizations; failure to comply with applicable regulatory requirements
in the various
jurisdictions where we do business or have customers; failures in our estimates models
that rely on; equipment failures,
including those caused by natural disasters, or by electrical, telecommunications
or other essential utility outages; business
continuity and data security system failures, including those caused by computer viruses, cyberattacks,
unforeseen
problems encountered while implementing major new computer systems or,
failures to timely and properly upgrade and
patch existing systems or inadequate access to data or poor response capabilities in light of
such business continuity and
data security system failures; or the inadequacy or failure of systems and controls,
including those of our vendors or
counterparties.
The COVID-19 pandemic presented operational challenges to maintaining
continuity of operations of
customer services while protecting our employees’ and customers’ safety and
similar situations may occur in the future.
In
addition, we face certain risks inherent in the ownership and operation of our bank premises
and other real-estate, including
liability for accidents on our properties. Although we have implemented risk controls
and loss mitigation actions, and
substantial resources are devoted to developing efficient procedures,
identifying and rectifying weaknesses in existing
procedures and training staff and potential environmental risks, it is not possible
to be certain that such actions have been or
will be effective in controlling these various operational risks that evolve
continuously.
Potential gaps in our risk management policies and internal audit procedures
may leave us exposed to unidentified or
unanticipated risk, which could negatively affect our business.
Our enterprise risk management and internal audit program is designed to
mitigate material risks and losses to us. We
have
developed and continue to develop risk management and internal audit policies and
procedures to reflect the ongoing
review of our risks and expect to continue to do so in the future. Nonetheless, our policies
and procedures may not be
comprehensive and may not identify timely every risk to which we are exposed, and
our internal audit process may fail to
detect such weaknesses or deficiencies timely in our risk management framework. Many
of our risk management models
and estimates use observed historical market behavior to model or project
potential future exposure.
The models used by
our business, including the new CECL models, are based on assumptions and projections.
These models may not operate
properly, or our inputs and assumptions
may be inaccurate, or changes in economic and market conditions, customer
behaviors or regulations may adversely affect the accuracy
or usefulness of the models.
As a result, these methods may not
fully or timely predict future exposures, which can be significantly greater and/or faster
than historically.
Other risk
management methods depend upon the evaluation of information regarding
markets, clients, or other matters that are
publicly available or otherwise accessible to us. This information
may not always be accurate, complete, up-to-date or
properly evaluated. Furthermore, there can be no assurance that we can effectively
review and monitor all risks or that all of
our employees will closely follow our risk management policies and procedures,
nor can there be any assurance that our
risk management policies and procedures will enable us to accurately identify all
risks and limit our exposures based on our
assessments.
In addition, we may have to implement more extensive and perhaps different
risk management policies and procedures as
our regulation changes.
For example, the Federal Reserve and the federal bank regulators issued
Principles for Climate-
Related Risk for Large Financial Institutions
(October 14, 2023).
The bank regulators’ guidance applies to banks with over
$100 billion in assets.
The SEC adopted a climate risk
rule on March 6, to require more disclosure on climate risks, also.
All of these could adversely affect our costs, and our financial condition and results of
operations.
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40
Any failure to protect
the confidentiality of customer information could adversely affect our reputation
and have a material
adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results
of operations
.
Various
laws enforced by the bank regulators and other agencies protect the privacy and security of
customers’ non-public
personal information. Many of our employees have access to, and routinely process
personal information of clients through
a variety of media, including information technology systems.
Our internal processes, policies and controls are designed to
protect the confidentiality of client information we hold and that is accessible to us and our
employees. It is possible that an
employee could, intentionally or unintentionally,
disclose or misappropriate confidential client information or our data
could be the subject of a cybersecurity attack.
Such personal data could also be compromised via intrusions into our
systems or those of our service providers or other persons we do business with such as credit
bureaus, data processors and
merchants who accept credit or debit cards for payment. If we fail to maintain adequate
internal controls, or if our
employees fail to comply with our policies and procedures, misappropriation
or inappropriate disclosure or misuse of client
information could occur. Such
internal control inadequacies or non-compliance could materially damage our reputation,
lead to remediation costs and civil or criminal penalties.
These could have a material adverse effect on our business,
financial condition and results of operations.
See Item 1C. of this report for more information about cybersecurity and our
management and strategies.
Our information systems may experience interruptions and security brea
ches.
We rely heavily on communications
and information systems, including those provided by third-party service
providers, to
conduct our business.
Any failure, interruption, or security breach of these systems could result in failures or
disruptions
which could affect our customers’ privacy and our customer relationships,
generally.
Our business continuity plans,
including those of our service providers, for back-up and service restoration, may
not be effective in the case of widespread
outages due to severe weather, natural disasters, pandemics,
or power, communications and other failures.
See Item 1C. of
this report for more information about cybersecurity and our management and strategies.
Our systems and networks, as well as those of our third-party service providers,
are subject to security risks and could be
susceptible to disruption through cyber-attacks, such as denial of service attacks, hacking,
terrorist activities, or identity
theft.
Cybercrime risks have increased as electronic and mobile banking activities increased
as a result of the COVID-19
pandemic, and may increase as a result of the Russia invasion of Ukraine and tensions
with mainland China and other
countries.
Other financial service institutions and their service providers have reported
material security breaches in their
websites or other systems, some of which have involved sophisticated and targeted
attacks, including use of stolen access
credentials, malware, ransomware, phishing and distributed denial-of
-service attacks, among other means.
Such cyber-
attacks may also seek to disrupt the operations of public companies or their business partners,
effect unauthorized fund
transfers, obtain unauthorized access to confidential information, destroy data,
disable or degrade service, or sabotage
systems.
Hacking and identity theft risks, in particular, could
cause serious reputational harm.
Despite our cybersecurity policies and procedures and our Board
of Directors and management’s efforts to
monitor and
ensure the integrity of the systems we and our third-party service providers
use, we may not be able to anticipate the rapidly
evolving security threats, nor may we be able to implement preventive measures effective
against all such threats.
The
techniques used by cyber criminals change frequently,
may not be recognized until launched and can originate from a wide
variety of sources, including external service providers, organized
crime affiliates, terrorist organizations or hostile
foreign
governments.
These risks may increase in the future as the use of mobile banking and other
internet electronic banking
continues to grow.
Security breaches or failures may have serious adverse financial and other consequences,
including significant legal and
remediation costs, disruptions to operations, misappropriation of confidential information,
damage to systems operated by
us or our third-party service providers, as well as damages to our customers and our counterparties.
In addition, these events
could damage our reputation, result in a loss of customer business, subject us to additional
regulatory scrutiny, or expose
us
to civil litigation and possible financial liability,
any of which could have a material adverse effect on our
financial
condition and results of operations.
In July 2023, the SEC adopted rules, effective September 5, 2023,
that
require reporting companies to disclose material
cybersecurity incidents they experience on SEC Form 8-K within four business days,
nature, scope, and timing of the
incident, and the material impact or reasonably likely material impact on the registrant,
including its financial condition and
results of operations.
As a smaller reporting company, the Company
has to comply with these Form 8-K reporting
requirements beginning June 15, 2024.
Annually, reporting companies are required
to disclose
material information
regarding their cybersecurity risk management, strategy,
and governance, beginning for years ending on or after December
15, 2023.
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41
We may be unable
to attract and retain key people to support our business.
Our success depends, in large part, on our ability to attract and retain key people.
We compete
with other financial services
companies for people primarily on the basis of compensation and benefits, support
services and financial position. Intense
competition exists for key employees with demonstrated ability,
and we may be unable to hire or retain such employees.
Effective succession planning is also important to our long-term
success. The unexpected loss of services of one or more of
our key persons and failure to ensure effective transfer of knowledge and
smooth transitions involving such persons could
have a material adverse effect on our business due to loss of their skills,
knowledge of our business, their years of industry
experience and the potential difficulty of promptly finding qualified
replacement employees.
Proposed rules implementing the executive compensation provisions of the Dodd
-Frank Act may limit the type and
structure of compensation arrangements and prohibit the payment of “excessive compensation”
to our executives. These
restrictions could negatively affect our ability to compete with other companies
in recruiting and retaining key personnel.
Severe weather and natural disasters, including
as a result of climate change, pandemics, epidemics, acts
of war or
terrorism or other external events could have significant
effects on our business.
Severe weather and natural disasters, including hurricanes, tornados,
drought and floods, epidemics and pandemics, acts of
war or terrorism or other external events could have a significant effect on our ability to conduct
business.
Such events
could affect the stability of our deposit base, impair the ability of borrowers to
repay outstanding loans, impair the value of
collateral securing loans, cause significant property damage, result in loss of revenue
and/or cause us to incur additional
expenses.
Although management has established disaster recovery and business continuity
policies and procedures, the
occurrence of any such event could have a material adverse effect on our
business, which, in turn, could have a material
adverse effect on our financial condition and results of operations.
The COVID-19 pandemic, trade wars, tariffs, sanctions and similar
events and disputes, domestic and international, have
adversely affected, and may continue to adversely affect economic
activity globally, nationally
and locally.
Market interest
rates have changed significantly and suddenly.
The Federal Reserve’s target
federal funds rates declined to 0-0.25% in
March 2020, where these remained until March 17 2022.
The Federal Reserve increased the target federal funds rates 11
from March 17, 2022
through July 27, 2023 to 5.25-5.50% due to inflation.
As of March 6, 2023, this range remained at
5.25-5.50% and inflation remains above the Federal Reserve’s
target rate of 2%.
Such events also may adversely affect
business and consumer confidence, generally.
We and our customers,
and our respective suppliers, vendors and processors
may be adversely affected by rising costs and shortages of needed
equipment and supplies and tight labor markets.
The
continuation or worsening of these conditions may adversely affect our
profitability, growth asset quality
and financial
condition.
Financial Risks
Our ability to realize our deferred
tax assets may be reduced in the future
if our estimates of future taxable income from
our operations and tax planning strategies do not support this amount, and the amount
of net operating loss carry-forwards
realizable for income tax purposes may be reduced
under Section 382 of the Internal Revenue Code by sales of our capital
securities.
We are allowed to carry
-back losses for two years for Federal income tax purposes.
As of December 31, 2023, we had a
net deferred tax asset of $10.3 million compared to $13.8 million one year earlier.
These and future deferred tax assets may
be further reduced in the
future if our estimates of future taxable income from our operations and tax planning
strategies do
not support the amount of the deferred tax asset.
The amount of net operating loss carry-forwards realizable for income tax
purposes potentially could be further reduced under Section 382
of the Internal Revenue Code by a significant offering
and/or other sales of our capital securities.
Current bank capital rules also reduce the regulatory capital benefits of deferred
tax assets.
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Our cost of funds may increase as a result
of general economic conditions, interest rates, inflation
and changes in customer
behaviors and competitive pressures.
Our costs of funds have increased as a result of general economic conditions,
increasing interest rates and competitive
pressures, and inflation, and anticipated future changes by the Federal Reserve to reduce
inflation.
Traditionally,
we have
obtained funds principally through local deposits and borrowings from other institutional
lenders such as the FHLB-
Atlanta, which we believe are a cheaper and more stable source of funds than borrowings,
generally.
Increases in interest
rates have caused consumers to shift their funds to more interest-bearing instruments
and to increase the competition for
and costs of deposits.
If customers move money out of bank deposits and into other investment assets
or from transaction
deposits to higher interest-bearing time deposits, we could lose a relatively low cost
source of funds, increasing our funding
costs and potentially reducing our net interest income and net income. Additionally,
any such loss of funds could result in
lower loan originations and growth, which could materially and adversely affect
our results of operations and financial
condition.
See “Supervision and Regulation – Fiscal and Monetary Policy.”
Our profitability and liquidity may be affected
by changes in interest rates and interest
rate levels, the shape of the yield
curve and economic conditions.
Our profitability depends upon net interest income, which is the difference between
interest earned on interest-earning
assets, such as loans and investments, and interest expense on interest-bearing liabilities,
such as deposits and borrowings.
Our income is primarily driven by the spread between these rates. Net interest income
will be adversely affected if market
interest rates and the interest we pay on deposits and borrowings increases faster than the
interest earned on loans and
investments.
Interest rates, and consequently our results of operations, are affected
by general economic conditions
(national, international and local) and fiscal and monetary policies, as well as expectations
of interest rate changes, fiscal
and monetary policies and the shape of the yield curve.
As a result, a steeper yield curve, meaning long-term interest rates
are significantly higher than short-term interest rates, would provide
the Bank with a better opportunity to increase net
interest income.
Conversely, a flattening yield curve
could further pressure our net interest margin as our cost of funds
increases relative to the spread we can earn on our assets.
The yield curve continues to remain inverted, and this results in a
lower spread between our costs of funds and our interest income.
In addition, net interest income could be affected by
asymmetrical changes in the different interest rate indexes, given that
not all of our assets or liabilities are priced with the
same index.
Higher market interest rates and continuing run-off of maturing securities
held by the Federal Reserve in
furtherance of its quantitative tightening policy to reduce inflation generally reduce economic
activity and may reduce loan
demand and growth.
The production of mortgages and other loans and the value of collateral securing our
loans are dependent on demand within
the markets we serve, as well as interest rates.
Lower interest rates typically increase mortgage originations, decrease MSR
values and promote economic growth.
Increases in market interest rates tend to decrease mortgage originations, increase
MSR values, decrease the value and liquidity of collateral securing loans, and potentially
increase net interest spread
depending upon the yield curve and the magnitude and duration of interest rate
increase, and constrain economic growth.
Increases in market interest rates have also caused unrealized losses in our securities portfolio
as our available for sale
investments are carried at fair value and market prices have declined as market interest
rates increase.
Although these
unrealized losses do not adversely affect our regulatory capital, these do
reduce our reported GAAP tangible stockholders’
equity.
Sales of securities with unrealized losses would result in realized losses for
GAAP,
regulatory capital and tax
purposes.
Increases in interest rates may also change depositor behaviors as customers
seek higher yielding deposits.
This
may adversely affect our costs of funds, growth, net interest
income and net income, and may also adversely affect our
liquidity.
Liquidity risks could affect operations and jeopardize
our financial condition.
The COVID-19 pandemic generally has increased our deposits and at banks, generally,
while reducing the interest rates
earned on loans and securities.
Such excess liquidity and the resulting balance sheet growth requires capital support
and
reduced returns on assets and equity.
Inflation and tightening monetary policies beginning in early 2022 have increased
interest spreads, but may change the mix and costs of our deposits over time.
The growth in deposits exceeded our loan
growth and the difference was invested in high-quality,
marketable U.S. government and government agency securities,
including agency mortgage-backed securities.
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Liquidity is essential to our business.
An inability to raise funds through deposits, borrowings, proceeds from loan
repayments or sales proceeds from maturing loans and securities, and other sources
could have a negative effect on our
liquidity.
Our funding sources include deposits (primarily core deposits), federal funds purchased,
securities sold under
repurchase agreements, and short-
and long-term debt.
We maintain a portfolio
of marketable high-quality securities that
can be used as a source of liquidity.
As market interest rates have risen, however,
we have experienced unrealized losses
on such securities, which would become realized losses upon the sale of such securities,
and such sales at a loss would
reduce our net income and our regulatory capital.
We are also
members of the FHLB-Atlanta and the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, and we can obtain advances
collateralized with eligible assets, and maintain uncommitted federal funds lines of credit
with other banks.
On March 12,
2023, the Federal Reserve established a new Bank Term
Funding Program (“BTFP”), which offers loans of up to one
year
to banks, savings associations, credit unions, and other eligible depository institutions pledging U.S.
Treasuries, agency
debt and mortgage-backed securities, and other qualifying assets as collateral
valued at par. The BTFP ended
March 11,
2024 and we have not used this program. In addition, the discount window
will apply the same margins used for the
securities eligible for the BTFP,
further increasing the value of investment securities at the discount window.
Other sources of liquidity available to the Company or the Bank, if needed, include
our ability to acquire additional non-
core deposits.
We may be able, depending
upon market conditions, to borrow money or issue and sell debt and preferred or
common securities in public or private transactions.
Our access to funding sources in amounts adequate to finance or
capitalize our activities on terms which are acceptable to us could be impaired by factors
that affect us specifically,
or the
financial services industry, the
economy and market interest rates and fiscal and monetary policies.
General conditions that
are not specific to us, such as disruptions in the financial markets, failures of other bank, such as
Silicon Valley
Bank,
Signature Bank and First Republic Bank in 2023, or negative views and expectations
about the prospects for the financial
services industry could adversely affect us.
Changes in accounting and tax rules applicable to banks could adversely
affect our financial conditions and results of
operations.
From time to time, the FASB
and the SEC change the financial accounting and reporting standards that govern the
preparation of our financial statements.
These changes can be difficult to predict and can materially impact how
we record
and report our financial condition and results of operations.
In some cases, we could be required to apply a new or revised
standard retroactively, resulting
in us restating prior period financial statements
.
We may need
to raise additional capital in the future,
but that capital may not be available when it is needed or on
favorable terms.
We anticipate that our current
capital resources will satisfy our capital requirements for the foreseeable
future under
currently effective rules.
We may,
however, need to raise additional capital to support
our growth or currently
unanticipated losses, or to meet the needs of our communities, resulting from failures or
cutbacks by our competitors.
Our
ability to raise additional capital, if needed, will depend, among other things, on conditions
in the capital markets at that
time, which are limited by events outside our control, and on our financial performance.
If we cannot raise additional
capital on acceptable terms when needed, our ability to further expand our operations
through internal growth and
acquisitions could be limited.
Our associates may take excessive risks which could negatively affect our financial
condition and business.
Banks are in the business of accepting certain risks.
Our executive officers and other members of management,
sales
intermediaries, investment professionals, product managers, and other
associates, make decisions and choices that involve
exposing us to risk. We endeavor,
in the design and implementation of our compensation programs and practices, to avoid
giving our associates incentives to take excessive risks; however,
associates may nonetheless take such risks.
Similarly,
although we employ controls and procedures designed to prevent misconduct,
to monitor associates’ business decisions and
prevent them from taking excessive risks, these controls and procedures
may not be effective. If our associates take
excessive risks, risks to our reputation, financial condition and business operations
could be materially and adversely
affected.
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44
Our ability to continue to pay dividends to shareholders
and repurchase stock
in the future is subject to our profitability,
capital, liquidity and regulatory requirements
and these limitations may prevent or limit
future dividends.
Cash available to pay dividends to our shareholders is derived primarily from dividends paid
to the Company by the Bank.
The ability of the Bank to pay dividends, as well as our ability to pay dividends to our shareholders,
will continue to be
subject to and limited by laws limiting dividend payments by the Bank, the results of operations
of our subsidiaries and our
need to maintain appropriate liquidity and capital at all levels of our business consistent
with regulatory requirements and
the needs of our businesses.
We can only pay dividends,
repurchase stock and pay discretionary bonuses, if our capital
conservation buffer exceeds 2.5% and from our eligible retained
income over the last four calendar quarters.
Although we
believe our securities portfolio repositioning in December 2023 improved our
balance sheet and reduced our interest rate
risks, the losses on such securities sales reduced our eligible retained income available
for dividends, share repurchases and
discretionary bonuses.
See “Supervision and Regulation - Payment of Dividends and Repurchases of
Capital Instruments.”
The Federal Reserve expects bank holding companies to inform and consult
with Federal Reserve supervisory staff
sufficiently in advance of (i) declaring and paying a dividend that could raise
safety and soundness concerns, such as
declaring and paying a dividend that exceeds earnings for the period
for which the dividend is being paid); (ii) redeeming or
repurchasing regulatory capital instruments when the bank holding company is
experiencing financial weaknesses; or (iii)
redeeming or repurchasing common stock or perpetual preferred stock that
would result in a net reduction as of the end of a
quarter in the amount of such equity instruments outstanding compared
with the beginning of the quarter in which the
redemption or repurchase occurred.
Further, the Company is also required to
maintain sufficient capital, liquidity and resources to serve as a source of
managerial and financial strength to the Bank, which may limit its capacity to pay dividends
on Company common stock.
The Federal Reserve may require the Company to commit resources to the Bank, even
where it is not otherwise in the
interests of the Company or its shareholders or creditors.
A limited trading market exists for our common shares,
which could result in price volatility.
Your
ability to sell or purchase common shares depends upon the existence of an active trading
market for our common
stock.
Although our common stock is quoted on the Nasdaq Global Market under the trading
symbol “AUBN,” our trading
volume has been limited historically.
As a result, you may be unable to sell or purchase shares of our common stock at the
volume, price and time that you desire.
Additionally, whether
the purchase or sales prices of our common stock reflects a
reasonable valuation of our common stock also is affected by limited trading
market, and thus the price you receive for a
thinly-traded stock, such as our common stock, may not reflect its true or intrinsic
value.
The limited trading market for
our common stock may cause fluctuations in the market value of our common stock to be exaggerated,
leading to price
volatility in excess of that which would occur in a more active trading market.
Legal and Regulatory Risks
The Company is an entity separate and distinct from
the Bank.
The Company is an entity separate and distinct from the Bank. Company transactions
with the Bank are limited by Sections
23A and 23B of the Federal Reserve Act and Federal Reserve Regulation W.
We depend
upon the Bank’s earnings and
dividends, which are limited by law and regulatory policies and actions, for cash to pay the Company’s
corporate
obligations, and to pay dividends to our shareholders.
If the Bank’s ability to pay dividends to the Company
was
terminated or limited, the Company’s liquidity and
financial condition could be materially and adversely affected.
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45
Legislative and regulatory changes
The Biden Administration and its appointees to the various government agencies, including
the bank regulators, CFPB and
SEC,
have proposed, and continue to propose changes to bank regulation, SEC rules
and corporate tax changes that could
have an adverse effect on our results of operations and financial condition.
The bank regulators, the CFPB and the SEC have actively developed a broad
range of new and changed rules over the last
several years , many of which are complex and lengthy,
such as the new CRA regulations and various SEC rules, including
the cybersecurity rule adopted in September
2023 and climate change rules adopted on March 6, 2024.
Some rules, such
as the SEC share repurchase modernization rules, have been struck down by the courts
and have been withdrawn, creating
more compliance uncertainty during the pendency of the litigation.
Ten states attorney
generals immediately challenged the
new climate change rules, and the Sierra Club is reported to be considering action against
the SEC rules because it was
scaled back from the original proposal.
Compliance with the volume and complexity of these rule changes is costly and imposes
material time and personnel
burdens on financial services companies, especially on smaller companies, such
as the Company.
Increasing litigation on
regulatory rules and whether these exceed the agencies’ statutory authority or have
been improperly adopted has also
created further uncertainty and risks as to the final timing, content and scope of new rules,
and business changes needed to
be made to comply with the effective or compliance dates of the new or changed rules.
For example, the SEC’s share
repurchase disclosure modernization amendments were adopted in May 2023,
with a compliance date for calendar year
issuers beginning with their 2023 annual Form 10-K report.
The SEC postponed the rule on November 22, 2023, following
a court ruling ordering the SEC to correct the defects in the rule by November 30,
2023.
In December 2023, the court
vacated the rule due to inaction by the SEC, and the SEC reverted on February 9, 2024
to its pre-existing rules.
We are
subject to extensive regulation that could limit or restrict
our activities and adversely affect our earnings.
We and our subsidiaries are
regulated by several regulators, including the Federal Reserve, the Alabama Superintendent,
the SEC and the FDIC.
Although not regulated or supervised by the CFPB, we are subject to the regulations and
interpretations of the CFPB and the Federal Reserve’s
supervision of our compliance with such regulations and
pronouncements.
Our success is affected by state and federal laws and regulations affecting
banks and bank holding
companies, and the securities markets, and our costs of compliance could adversely affect
our earnings.
Banking
regulations are primarily intended to protect depositors, and the FDIC’s
DIF, not shareholders.
The financial services
industry also is subject to frequent legislative and regulatory changes and proposed
changes.
In addition, the interpretations
of regulations by regulators may change and statutes may be enacted with retroactive impact.
From time to time, regulators
raise issues during examinations of us which, if not determined satisfactorily,
could have a material adverse effect on us.
Compliance with applicable laws and regulations is time consuming and costly and
may affect our profitability.
Our
regulators could have a material adverse effect on financial services
regulation, generally.
Litigation and regulatory actions could harm
our reputation and adversely affect our results
of operations and financial
condition.
A substantial legal liability or a significant regulatory action against us, as well as regulatory inquiries
or investigations,
could harm our reputation, result in material fines or penalties, result in significant
legal and other costs, divert management
resources away from our business, and otherwise have a material adverse effect
on our ability to expand on our existing
business, financial condition and results of operations. Even if we ultimately
prevail in litigation, regulatory investigation or
action, our ability to attract new customers, retain our current customers and recruit and retain employees
could be
materially and adversely affected.
Regulatory inquiries and litigation may also adversely affect the prices or volatility
of
our securities specifically, or the
securities of our industry,
generally.
As a participating lender in the PPP,
the Bank is subject to additional risks of litigation from the
Bank’s
customers or other
parties regarding
the Bank’s
processing of loans for the PPP and risks of potential SBA
or bank regulatory claims.
The Bank participated as a lender in the PPP and made a total of $56.7 million of PPP loans in 2020
and 2021, generally to
support existing customers in the Bank’s
markets.
All PPP loans made by the Bank have been forgiven by the SBA, except
for one credit where the borrower is voluntarily repaying the loan.
Since the beginning of the PPP,
various banks have
been subject to litigation regarding the processes and procedures used in processing applications
for the PPP,
and greater
governmental attention is directed at preventing fraud.
We may be exposed to
similar litigation risks, from both customers
and non-customers that approached the Bank regarding PPP loans that we extended.
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The SBA, the Department of Justice and the bank regulators are investigating
various PPP lenders and borrowers with
respect to potential fraud or improper activities under the PPP loan programs.
Although the SBA has not indicated any
issues with the Bank’s participation
in the PPP program and honored all PPP forgiveness requests, the
Bank could have
potential liability if the SBA later determines deficiencies in the manner in which PPP
loans were originated, funded or
serviced by the Bank, such as an issue with the eligibility of a borrower to receive
a PPP loan, or its forgiveness of a PPP
properly, including those related
to the ambiguities in the laws, rules and guidance regarding the PPP’s
operation.
The Bank is unaware of any such investigation or claims. If any such claims are
made against the Bank and are not resolved
favorably to the Bank, it may result in financial liability or adversely affect
our reputation.
Any financial liability, litigation
costs or reputational damage caused by PPP related litigation could have a material adverse
effect on our business, financial
condition and results of operations.
Similar issues may also result in the denial of forgiveness of PPP
loans, which could
expose us to potential borrower bankruptcies and potential losses and additional costs.
We are
required to maintain
capital to meet regulatory requirements,
and if we fail to maintain sufficient capital, our
financial condition, liquidity and results of operations
would be adversely affected.
We and the Bank must
meet regulatory capital requirements and maintain sufficient
liquidity, including liquidity
at the
Company, as well as the Bank.
If we fail to meet these capital and other regulatory requirements, including
more rigorous
requirements arising from our regulators’ implementation of Basel III,
our financial condition, liquidity and results of
operations would be materially and adversely affected.
Our failure to remain “well capitalized” and “well managed”,
including meeting the Basel III capital conservation buffers, for
bank regulatory purposes, could affect customer
confidence, our ability to grow, our
costs of funds and FDIC insurance, our ability to raise brokered deposits, our
ability to
pay dividends on our common stock and our ability to make acquisitions, and we
may no longer meet the requirements for
becoming a financial holding company.
These could also affect our ability to use discretionary bonuses to
attract and retain
quality personnel.
See
“Supervision and Regulation—Basel III Capital Rules.”
Although we currently have capital ratios
that exceed all these minimum levels and a strategic plan to maintain these levels, we or the
Bank may be unable to
continue to satisfy the capital adequacy requirements and/or maintain our liquidity for various
reasons, which may include:
●
losses and/or increases in the Bank’s credit risk assets
and expected losses resulting from the deterioration in the
creditworthiness of borrowers and the issuers of equity and debt securities;
●
difficulty in refinancing or issuing instruments upon redemption or
at maturity of such instruments to raise capital
under acceptable terms and conditions;
●
declines in the value of our securities portfolios or sales of securities for losses;
●
revisions to the regulations or their application by our regulators that increase our capital requirements;
●
reduced total earnings on our assets will reduce our internal generation of capital available
to support our balance
sheet growth;
●
reductions in the value of our MSRs and DTAs;
and other adverse developments; and
●
unexpected growth and an inability to increase capital timely.
A failure to remain “well capitalized,” for bank regulatory purposes, including meeting the
Basel III Capital Rule’s
conservation buffer, could adversely affect
customer confidence, and our:
●
ability to grow;
●
the costs of and availability of funds;
●
FDIC deposit insurance premiums;
●
ability to raise or replace brokered deposits;
●
ability to pay or increase dividends on our capital stock.
●
Ability to repurchase our common stock
●
ability to make discretionary bonuses to attract and retain quality personnel;
●
ability to make acquisitions or engage in new activities;
●
flexibility if we become subject to prompt corrective action restrictions; and
●
ability to make payments of principal and interest on any of our capital instruments
that may be then outstanding.
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47
The Federal Reserve may require
us to commit capital resources
to support the Bank.
As a matter of policy, the Federal
Reserve expects a bank holding company to act as a source of financial and managerial
strength to a subsidiary bank and to commit resources to support such subsidiary bank. The
Federal Reserve may require a
bank holding company to make capital injections into a troubled subsidiary bank. In addition,
the Dodd-Frank Act amended
the FDI Act to require that all companies that control a FDIC-insured depository institution
serve as a source of financial
strength to their depository institution subsidiaries. Under these requirements,
we could be required to provide financial
assistance to the Bank should it experience financial distress, even if further investment
was not otherwise warranted. See
“Supervision and Regulation.”
Our operations are subject to risk of loss from
unfavorable fiscal, monetary and political developments in the
U.S.
Our businesses and earnings are affected by the fiscal, monetary and other policies
and actions of various U.S.
governmental and regulatory authorities. Changes in these are beyond our control
and are difficult to predict and,
consequently, changes in these
policies could have negative effects on our activities and results of operations.
Failures of
the executive and legislative branches to agree on spending plans and budgets previously
have led to Federal government
shutdowns, which may adversely affect the U.S. economy.
Additionally, any prolonged
government shutdown may inhibit
our ability to evaluate the economy, generally,
and affect government workers who are not paid
during such events, and
where the absence of government services and data could adversely affect consumer
and business sentiment, our local
economy and our customers and therefore our business.
Litigation and regulatory investigations are
increasingly common in our businesses and may result
in significant financial
losses and/or harm to our reputation.
We face risks of litigation
and regulatory investigations and actions in the ordinary course of operating our
businesses,
including the risk of class action lawsuits. Plaintiffs in class action and
other lawsuits against us may seek very large and/or
indeterminate amounts, including punitive and treble damages. Due to the vagaries of litigation,
the ultimate outcome of
litigation and the amount or range of potential loss at particular points in time may be difficult
to ascertain. We
do not have
any material pending litigation or regulatory matters affecting
us.
Failures to comply with the fair lending laws, CFPB regulations
or the Community Reinvestment Act, or CRA, could
adversely affect us.
The Bank is subject to, among other things, the provisions of the Equal Credit Opportunity
Act, or ECOA, and the Fair
Housing Act, both of which prohibit discrimination based on race or
color, religion, national origin, sex and familial status
in any aspect of a consumer, commercial credit or residential
real estate transaction. The DOJ and the federal bank
regulatory agencies have issued an Interagency Policy Statement on Discrimination
in Lending have provided guidance to
financial institutions to evaluate whether discrimination exists and how the agencies
will respond to lending discrimination,
and what steps lenders might take to prevent discriminatory lending practices.
Failures to comply with ECOA, the Fair
Housing Act and other fair lending laws and regulations, including CFPB
regulations or interpretations, could subject us to
enforcement actions or litigation, and could have a material adverse effect
on our business financial condition and results of
operations. Our Bank is also subject to the CRA and periodic CRA examinations. The CRA requires
us to serve our entire
communities, including low-
and moderate-income neighborhoods. Our CRA ratings could be
adversely affected by actual
or alleged violations of the fair lending or consumer financial protection laws. The
CRA and fair lending responsibilities
are related and mutually reinforcing.
Even though we have maintained an “satisfactory” CRA rating since
2000, we cannot
predict our future CRA ratings. Violations
of fair lending laws or if our CRA rating falls to less than “satisfactory” could
adversely affect our business, including expansion through branching
or acquisitions.
The Federal Reserve adopted comprehensive revisions to its CRA regulations on October
24, 2023.
The other bank
regulators jointly adopted the new CRA regulations, also, and published the new rule in the
Federal Register on February 1,
2024.
These new rules are first effective for the Bank beginning on January 1, 2026
with data reporting beginning January
1, 2027.
The Bank will be an “intermediate bank” and will be subject to the “retail lending test” and
either the
“intermediate bank community development test,” or if the bank elects, “the community development
financing test.”
We
are evaluating the new rules but cannot predict their effects on us, but these could
significantly affect our compliance costs
and activities.
See “Supervision and Regulation -
Community Reinvestment Act and Consumer Laws.”
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48
COVID-19 Risks
The national emergencies related to COVID-19 have been terminated
by the President effective May 11, 2023
and in
February 2024 the Centers for Disease Control likened COVID-19 to the flu, and recommended
continued use of booster
vaccinations.
The medical and direct economic effects of COVID-19 diminished
further in 2023 and are not directly
affecting the Company’s business.
COVID-19 continues to have various indirect effects and risks, the
most important of
which are described herein, including continuing inflation and the Federal Reserve’s
change from accommodative monetary
policy to a tightening monetary policy to fight inflation following significant fiscal
and monetary stimuli provided to reduce
the effects of COVID-19 pandemic on the economy,
as well significant changes resulting from the pandemic, including
supply chain disruptions, a tight labor market, remote work away from the office,
population and business shifts within
regions of the United States, changes in commercial real estate utilization, and shortages of housing
and increases in rents
and housing costs in various areas of the country.
These risks are discussed in this report.
The Company’s assessment of risks related to
COVID-19 and its effects on the Company applicable
during the pandemic
are discussed in the Company‘s Annual Report on Form 10-K filed with the SEC on March
8, 2022 under the caption “Risk
Factors-COVID 19 Risks” and in our Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Qs though
September 30, 2022.
Text extracted from the filing as submitted to EDGAR. Formatting, tables and exhibits are simplified for reading; the original document is authoritative for anything you rely on.