Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Aug 11, 11:37 PM ET

PBA max pain

Spot (delayed)$48.69
Max pain · Fri, Oct 16$45-7.6% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$3.83±7.9% by Fri, Oct 16
Put wall$45largest put OI
IV3017.2%30-day implied vol
Net GEX−$80Kper 1% move

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Sep 4 · CPI release Fri, Sep 11 · FOMC decision Wed, Sep 16 · Jobs report Fri, Oct 2 · CPI release Wed, Oct 14 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Aug 21$45-7.6%7d
Fri, Sep 18$50+2.7%35d
Fri, Oct 16$45-7.6%63d
Fri, Nov 20$45-7.6%98d
Fri, Feb 19$40-17.8%189d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

Open interest by strike · Fri, Oct 16

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Oct 16

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot2535404550556K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot20304560757K7K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 9K call contracts, 2K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: PBA workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk