Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Aug 16, 4:51 AM ET

NVTS max pain

Spot (delayed)$14.53
Max pain · Fri, Sep 25$12-17.4% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$3.59±24.7% by Fri, Sep 25
Put/Call OI0.641K puts / 2K calls
Call wall$12largest call OI
Put wall$10.5largest put OI
IV3090.7%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$16Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $6

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Sep 4 · CPI release Fri, Sep 11 · FOMC decision Wed, Sep 16 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Aug 21$12-17.4%5d
Fri, Aug 28$13-10.5%12d
Fri, Sep 4$12.5-13.9%19d
Fri, Sep 11$12.5-13.9%26d
Fri, Sep 18$15+3.3%33d
Fri, Sep 25$12-17.4%40d
Fri, Oct 2$13.5-7.1%47d
Fri, Dec 18$18+23.9%124d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot123711151923$2M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 12 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Sep 25

spot1238.51113.51619698698
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)NVTS open contracts per strike for Fri, Sep 25.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Sep 25

spot1238.51113.516197272
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Sep 25

spot6913162023194%87%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 91.8% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Sep 25

spotflip 638.51113.51619+$9K$9K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Sep 25

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.84-0.01110.05040.01-0.01-0.16
0.81-0.0111.50.05760.01-0.01-0.19
0.78-0.02120.06450.01-0.02-0.23
0.74-0.0212.50.07080.02-0.02-0.27
0.70-0.02130.07640.02-0.02-0.31
0.65-0.0213.50.08090.02-0.02-0.35
0.61-0.02140.08430.02-0.02-0.39
0.57-0.0214.50.08660.02-0.02-0.44
0.53-0.02150.08770.02-0.02-0.48
0.48-0.0215.50.08780.02-0.02-0.52
0.44-0.02160.08680.02-0.02-0.56
0.41-0.0216.50.08510.02-0.02-0.60
0.37-0.02170.08270.02-0.02-0.64
0.34-0.0217.50.07970.02-0.02-0.67
0.30-0.02180.07630.02-0.02-0.70

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 30 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot181216202813K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot0.56.512.518.5294130K30K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 363K call contracts, 161K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: NVTS workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk