Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Aug 17, 4:15 PM ET

NTR max pain

Spot (delayed)$68.25
Max pain · Fri, Sep 11$67-1.8% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$3.88±5.7% by Fri, Sep 11
Put/Call OI1.3785 puts / 62 calls
Call wall$67largest call OI
Put wall$60largest put OI
IV3026.5%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$5Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $70

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Sep 4 · CPI release Fri, Sep 11 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Aug 21$65-4.8%4d
Fri, Aug 28$65-4.8%11d
Fri, Sep 4$64-6.2%18d
Fri, Sep 11$67-1.8%25d
Fri, Sep 18$67.5-1.1%32d
Fri, Sep 25$66-3.3%39d
Fri, Oct 2$72+5.5%46d
Fri, Oct 16$65-4.8%60d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot67596265697275$1M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 67 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Sep 11

spot6759636771753939
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)NTR open contracts per strike for Fri, Sep 11.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Sep 11

spot67596367717577
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Sep 11

spot59626569727544%26%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 26.9% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Sep 11

spotflip 705963677175+$9K$9K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Sep 11

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.94-0.01590.01700.02-0.01-0.06
0.93-0.01600.02110.02-0.02-0.07
0.89-0.02620.03280.03-0.02-0.11
0.86-0.02630.04050.04-0.02-0.14
0.82-0.03640.04960.05-0.03-0.18
0.77-0.03650.05960.06-0.03-0.23
0.64-0.04670.07790.07-0.04-0.37
0.56-0.04680.08290.07-0.04-0.45
0.40-0.04700.07950.07-0.04-0.62
0.33-0.04710.07260.07-0.04-0.69
0.27-0.03720.06420.06-0.03-0.75
0.18-0.03740.04770.05-0.03-0.84
0.15-0.03750.04070.04-0.03-0.87

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot5062.567.572.578903K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot22.547.55967.57687.510K10K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 51K call contracts, 46K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: NTR workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk