Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Sep 14, 8:42 PM ET

NIO max pain

Spot (delayed)$3.69
Max pain · Fri, Oct 23$3.5-5.1% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$0.53±14.2% by Fri, Oct 23
Put/Call OI0.421K puts / 3K calls
Call wall$4largest call OI
Put wall$3.5largest put OI
IV3050.8%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$5Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $3

Event risk before this expiration: FOMC decision Wed, Sep 16 · Jobs report Fri, Oct 2 · CPI release Wed, Oct 14 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Sep 18$4+8.4%4d
Fri, Sep 25$4+8.4%11d
Fri, Oct 2$4+8.4%18d
Fri, Oct 9$4+8.4%25d
Fri, Oct 16$4+8.4%32d
Fri, Oct 23$3.5-5.1%39d
Fri, Oct 30$0.5-86.4%46d
Fri, Nov 20$4+8.4%67d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot3.5123568$1M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 3.5 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Oct 23

spot3.50.51.53456722722
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)NIO open contracts per strike for Fri, Oct 23.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Oct 23

spot3.50.51.53456321321
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Oct 23

spot234456187%42%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 53.8% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Oct 23

spotflip 30.51.53456+$3K$3K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Oct 23

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.99-0.000.50.00540.00-0.00-0.01
0.99-0.0010.01490.00-0.00-0.02
0.97-0.001.50.03180.00-0.00-0.03
0.96-0.0020.06290.00-0.00-0.04
0.87-0.0030.28680.00-0.00-0.13
0.66-0.003.50.62300.00-0.00-0.35
0.34-0.0040.61350.00-0.00-0.67
0.15-0.004.50.36100.00-0.00-0.87
0.08-0.0050.20270.00-0.00-0.94
0.06-0.005.50.13060.00-0.00-0.97
0.04-0.0060.09320.00-0.00-0.98
0.03-0.007.50.04710.000.00-0.99

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot0.52.54.56.58.560K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot0.52.54.56.58.512291K291K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 1.5M call contracts, 1.0M put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: NIO workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk