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Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Jul 29, 2:09 AM ET

MSFT max pain

Spot (delayed)$395.01
Max pain · Fri, Aug 7$385-2.5% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$31.93±8.1% by Fri, Aug 7
Put/Call OI0.4121K puts / 52K calls
Call wall$420largest call OI
Put wall$380largest put OI
IV3043.5%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$31.4Mper 1% move · flip ≈ $415
Earnings · expectedWed, Jul 29usually after the close

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Jul 31$385-2.5%2d← 1st expiry after earnings (Wed, Jul 29)
Mon, Aug 3$390-1.3%5d
Wed, Aug 5$385-2.5%7d
Fri, Aug 7$385-2.5%9d
Mon, Aug 10$390-1.3%12d
Fri, Aug 14$395-0.0%16d
Fri, Aug 21$390-1.3%23d
Fri, Aug 28$390-1.3%30d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot385290341392443494545$591M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 385 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Aug 7

spot385290345385412.54555209K9K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)MSFT open contracts per strike for Fri, Aug 7.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Aug 7

spot385290345385412.54555203K3K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Aug 7

spot29034139244349454598%60%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 61.2% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Aug 7

spotflip 415290345385412.5455520+$12.1M$12.1M
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Aug 7

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.70-0.693750.00870.23-0.70-0.30
0.66-0.743800.00920.24-0.74-0.34
0.63-0.76382.50.00940.25-0.76-0.37
0.61-0.783850.00960.25-0.78-0.39
0.58-0.79387.50.00980.25-0.79-0.42
0.56-0.803900.00990.26-0.80-0.44
0.54-0.80392.50.01000.26-0.81-0.47
0.51-0.813950.01000.26-0.81-0.49
0.48-0.81397.50.01000.26-0.81-0.52
0.46-0.804000.01000.26-0.81-0.54
0.41-0.794050.00980.25-0.79-0.59
0.37-0.764100.00940.25-0.76-0.64
0.34-0.74412.50.00920.24-0.74-0.66
0.32-0.724150.00900.23-0.73-0.68
0.28-0.684200.00840.22-0.68-0.72

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 50 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot27034038041545049016K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

Max pain history

History starts accruing now: first snapshot taken 2026-07-28. We chart only days we actually observed — check back as the record builds. The measured hit-rate across all tickers lives on the accuracy ledger.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot195325390455520620260K260K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 2.8M call contracts, 1.3M put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: MSFT workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk