Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Aug 14, 8:03 PM ET

MBLY max pain

Spot (delayed)$8.97
Max pain · Fri, Sep 11$1-88.8% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$1.03±11.5% by Fri, Sep 11
Put/Call OI0.27326 puts / 1K calls
Call wall$1largest call OI
Put wall$7.5largest put OI
IV3055.0%30-day implied vol
Net GEX−$2Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $7

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Sep 4 · CPI release Fri, Sep 11 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Aug 21$8-10.8%4d
Fri, Aug 28$3-66.5%11d
Fri, Sep 4$1-88.8%18d
Fri, Sep 11$1-88.8%25d
Fri, Sep 18$8-10.8%32d
Fri, Sep 25$1-88.8%39d
Fri, Oct 2$5-44.2%46d
Fri, Nov 20$10+11.5%95d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot113681013$1M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 1 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Sep 11

spot114.56.58.510.512.5815815
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)MBLY open contracts per strike for Fri, Sep 11.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Sep 11

spot114.56.58.510.512.5224224
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Sep 11

spot56891113199%47%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 51.8% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Sep 11

spotflip 714.56.58.510.512.5+$1K$1K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Sep 11

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.98-0.005.50.02290.00-0.00-0.02
0.97-0.0060.03540.00-0.00-0.03
0.95-0.006.50.05530.00-0.00-0.05
0.92-0.0170.08680.00-0.01-0.08
0.87-0.017.50.13460.01-0.01-0.13
0.79-0.0180.19790.01-0.01-0.21
0.67-0.018.50.26030.01-0.01-0.33
0.53-0.0190.29080.01-0.01-0.47
0.40-0.019.50.27670.01-0.01-0.61
0.28-0.01100.23520.01-0.01-0.72
0.20-0.0110.50.18770.01-0.01-0.81
0.14-0.01110.14550.01-0.01-0.86
0.10-0.0111.50.11140.01-0.01-0.91
0.08-0.00120.08520.00-0.01-0.94
0.06-0.0012.50.06540.00-0.00-0.96

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 15 strikes around the money — all 21 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot15811152212K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot15.5912.5172737K37K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 195K call contracts, 83K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: MBLY workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk