Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Sep 13, 4:38 AM ET

HG max pain

Spot (delayed)$34.85
Max pain · Fri, Oct 16$15.5-55.5% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$2.68±7.7% by Fri, Oct 16
Put/Call OI0.0332 puts / 1K calls
Call wall$35largest call OI
Put wall$33largest put OI
Net GEX+$84Kper 1% move

Event risk before this expiration: FOMC decision Wed, Sep 16 · Jobs report Fri, Oct 2 · CPI release Wed, Oct 14 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Sep 18$35+0.4%5d
Fri, Oct 16$15.5-55.5%33d
Fri, Jan 15$3-91.4%124d
Fri, Apr 16$30-13.9%215d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot15.5162025303540$2M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 15.5 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spot15.515.520.5283338413413
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)HG open contracts per strike for Fri, Oct 16.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spot15.515.520.528333811
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spot25283134374085%26%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 31.0% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Oct 16

spot15.520.5283338+$66K$66K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Oct 16

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.99-0.0115.50.00280.00-0.01-0.01
0.98-0.01180.00450.01-0.01-0.02
0.97-0.0120.50.00690.01-0.01-0.03
0.94-0.01250.01550.01-0.01-0.06
0.90-0.02280.02820.02-0.01-0.10
0.85-0.02300.04410.02-0.02-0.14
0.71-0.02330.09250.04-0.02-0.29
0.49-0.02350.13220.04-0.02-0.51
0.20-0.01380.08140.03-0.01-0.80
0.13-0.01400.05110.02-0.01-0.87

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot0.5815.52330386320
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot0.510.518233343632632
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 3K call contracts, 365 put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: HG workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk