Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Aug 14, 3:44 AM ET

GILT max pain

Spot (delayed)$11.5
Max pain · Fri, Sep 18$12.5+8.7% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$2.08±18.0% by Fri, Sep 18
Put/Call OI0.06309 puts / 5K calls
Call wall$17.5largest call OI
Put wall$10largest put OI
IV3057.1%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$23Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $7.5

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Sep 4 · CPI release Fri, Sep 11 · FOMC decision Wed, Sep 16 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Aug 21$12.5+8.7%7d
Fri, Sep 18$12.5+8.7%35d
Fri, Dec 18$15+30.4%126d
Fri, Jan 15$10-13.0%154d
Fri, Mar 19$10-13.0%217d
Fri, Jan 21$5-56.5%525d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot12.551117232935$8M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 12.5 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Sep 18

spot12.5510152025352K2K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)GILT open contracts per strike for Fri, Sep 18.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Sep 18

spot12.551015202535139139
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Sep 18

spot51015202530181%51%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 64.3% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Sep 18

spotflip 7.551015202535+$11K$11K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Sep 18

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
1.0050.00650.00-0.00-0.01
0.97-0.007.50.02830.00-0.00-0.04
0.82-0.01100.12270.01-0.01-0.19
0.39-0.0112.50.18120.01-0.01-0.63
0.16-0.01150.09380.01-0.01-0.87
0.08-0.0117.50.04930.01-0.00-0.96
0.05-0.00200.02880.00-0.01-0.99
0.03-0.0022.50.01820.00-0.01-1.00
0.02-0.00250.01230.00-0.01-1.00
0.01-0.00300.00640.00-0.01-1.00
0.01-0.00350.00370.00-0.01-1.00

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot510152025352K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot2.57.512.517.522.5305K5K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 16K call contracts, 5K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: GILT workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk