Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Aug 14, 11:26 PM ET

GBTC max pain

Spot (delayed)$48.57
Max pain · Fri, Sep 18$50+2.9% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$4.1±8.4% by Fri, Sep 18
Put/Call OI0.243K puts / 11K calls
Call wall$55largest call OI
Put wall$45largest put OI
IV3032.4%30-day implied vol
Net GEX+$694Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $55

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Sep 4 · CPI release Fri, Sep 11 · FOMC decision Wed, Sep 16 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Aug 21$47.5-2.2%6d
Fri, Aug 28$49+0.9%13d
Fri, Sep 4$50.5+4.0%20d
Fri, Sep 11$51+5.0%27d
Fri, Sep 18$50+2.9%34d
Fri, Sep 25$52.5+8.1%41d
Fri, Oct 2$54+11.2%48d
Fri, Dec 18$40-17.6%125d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot503045607590105$50M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 50 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Sep 18

spot503051637179957K7K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)GBTC open contracts per strike for Fri, Sep 18.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Sep 18

spot503051637179952828
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Sep 18

spot3045607590105110%29%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 33.9% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Sep 18

spotflip 55305163717995+$663K$663K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Sep 18

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.99-0.01300.00310.01-0.01-0.01
0.97-0.01350.00780.01-0.01-0.03
0.92-0.02400.02040.02-0.02-0.08
0.78-0.02450.05200.04-0.03-0.23
0.66-0.03470.06940.06-0.03-0.34
0.59-0.03480.07640.06-0.03-0.41
0.51-0.03490.08020.06-0.03-0.49
0.43-0.03500.07990.06-0.03-0.58
0.36-0.03510.07560.06-0.03-0.65
0.29-0.02520.06850.05-0.03-0.72
0.24-0.02530.06020.05-0.02-0.78
0.20-0.02540.05200.04-0.02-0.82
0.16-0.02550.04460.04-0.02-0.85
0.07-0.01600.02060.02-0.01-0.95

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Showing 14 strikes around the money — all 43 are in the CSV. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot404850.55355.5604390
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot254854659012510K10K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 41K call contracts, 10K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: GBTC workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk