Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Aug 13, 2:31 AM ET

CCEP max pain

Spot (delayed)$107.08
Max pain · Fri, Feb 19$105-1.9% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$16.4±15.3% by Fri, Feb 19
Put/Call OI2.0020 puts / 10 calls
Call wall$105largest call OI
Put wall$85largest put OI
IV3020.4%30-day implied vol
Net GEX−$1Kper 1% move · flip ≈ $75

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Sep 4 · CPI release Fri, Sep 11 · FOMC decision Wed, Sep 16 · Jobs report Fri, Oct 2 · CPI release Wed, Oct 14 · FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Aug 21$105-1.9%8d
Fri, Sep 18$110+2.7%36d
Fri, Nov 20$100-6.6%99d
Fri, Feb 19$105-1.9%190d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot105708498112126140$1M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 105 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Feb 19

spot105708510011012014066
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)CCEP open contracts per strike for Fri, Feb 19.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Feb 19

spot105708510011012014011
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Feb 19

spot70849811212614040%25%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 26.9% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Feb 19

spotflip 757085100110120140+$991$991
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Feb 19

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
0.96-0.00700.00330.07-0.01-0.06
0.94-0.01750.00470.09-0.01-0.07
0.87-0.01850.00880.15-0.01-0.14
0.76-0.02950.01440.23-0.02-0.25
0.68-0.021000.01710.27-0.02-0.33
0.59-0.021050.01930.29-0.02-0.42
0.49-0.021100.02020.30-0.02-0.53
0.39-0.021150.01980.29-0.02-0.63
0.31-0.021200.01820.27-0.02-0.72
0.13-0.011350.01080.17-0.01-0.89
0.10-0.011400.00870.14-0.00-0.92

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot60851001151303K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot5070901101301503K3K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 5K call contracts, 1K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: CCEP workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk