Max pain // Cboe delayed data · as of Sep 20, 1:32 AM ET

CAL max pain

Spot (delayed)$11.74
Max pain · Fri, Dec 18$12.5+6.5% vs spot
Expected move (ATM straddle)±$3.15±26.8% by Fri, Dec 18
Put/Call OI2.786K puts / 2K calls
Call wall$17.5largest call OI
Put wall$7.5largest put OI
IV3057.6%30-day implied vol
Net GEX−$21Kper 1% move

Event risk before this expiration: Jobs report Fri, Oct 2 · CPI release Wed, Oct 14 · FOMC decision Wed, Oct 28 · Jobs report Fri, Nov 6 · CPI release Tue, Nov 10 · Jobs report Fri, Dec 4 · FOMC decision Wed, Dec 9 · CPI release Thu, Dec 10 — macro releases historically overwhelm pinning effects; max pain reads weakest in event weeks.

Max pain levels

ExpiryMax painvs spotDTE
Fri, Oct 16$12.5+6.5%26d
Fri, Nov 20$12.5+6.5%61d
Fri, Dec 18$12.5+6.5%89d
Fri, Feb 19$15+27.8%152d

The writer-loss curve — where max pain comes from

spot12.53813182328$3M$0
■ put-side pain■ call-side painTotal payout option writers would owe at each settle price (both sides, all open interest, ×100 shares) — low settles hurt put writers, high settles hurt call writers. The minimum — 12.5 — is the max pain price.

Open interest by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot12.52.57.512.517.522.527.53K3K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)CAL open contracts per strike for Fri, Dec 18.

Open-interest change — building vs unwinding

Needs two observed snapshot days for this expiration — the comparison appears automatically once the next weekday snapshot lands. We diff real observations only; nothing is estimated.

Volume by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot12.52.57.512.517.522.527.5500500
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Today's traded contracts per strike (delayed).

Implied volatility by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot3813182328232%64%
— call IV— put IVATM ≈ 64.4% · Quoted strikes only; illiquid wings with junk fits are dropped, not smoothed.

Gamma exposure by strike · Fri, Dec 18

spot2.57.512.517.522.527.5+$19K$19K
Net dealer gamma per strike, in dollars per 1% move, assuming the standard convention (dealers long calls, short puts) — an assumption, not an observation. Above the amber flip level hedging tends to dampen moves; below it, to amplify them.

Greeks by strike · Fri, Dec 18

Call ΔCall ΘStrikeΓVegaPut ΘPut Δ
1.00-0.002.50.00280.00-0.00-0.01
0.97-0.0050.01170.01-0.00-0.04
0.91-0.017.50.03360.01-0.01-0.10
0.77-0.01100.07420.02-0.01-0.25
0.53-0.0112.50.10560.02-0.01-0.50
0.31-0.01150.09170.02-0.01-0.72
0.19-0.0117.50.06600.02-0.01-0.85
0.13-0.01200.04710.01-0.01-0.92
0.09-0.0022.50.03470.01-0.01-0.96
0.07-0.00250.02660.01-0.00-0.98
0.06-0.0027.50.02100.01-0.00-0.99

Quoted contract greeks from the delayed feed (not modeled here); the highlighted row is nearest to spot. Δ per $1 of underlying · Θ per day · vega per IV point.

Stacked — layer the expirations

spot2.57.512.517.522.527.53K0
Call open interest per strike, stacked across the checked expirations — each color is one expiry. Strikes are pruned to the liquid center of each chain.

All expirations combined — total open interest

spot2.57.512.517.522.527.53K3K
■ calls (up)■ puts (down)Every expiration combined: 6K call contracts, 7K put contracts open.

Reading this honestly

Max pain is arithmetic, not prophecy: the settle price that would minimize what option writers pay out at expiration, computed from open interest alone. Prices sometimes gravitate toward heavy strikes into expiry — dealer hedging is a real flow — but the evidence that max pain predicts settlement better than chance is mixed, and we are not going to pretend otherwise. Use it as a map of where positioning is stacked, next to the fundamentals and the earnings calendar, not as a target.

Data: Cboe delayed public feed (~15 minutes), refreshed here about every 15 minutes. Open interest itself updates once daily, before the open. Educational information, not investment advice.

Keep going: CAL workspace · max pain, explained in full · options profit calculator · GEX, defined · pin risk