Dilution profile // every instrument, one screen, from SEC filings

Prairie Operating Co. (PROP)

CIK 1162896 · all EDGAR filings →

Overall dilution risk
MEDIUMworst of 4 computed signals (offering ability)
= the worst band among the computed sub-ratings, no hidden weighting
Offering ability
MEDIUM$4.9M registered
= total registered offering amount from the fee exhibits of live registrations (bands: $1M / $20M)
one or more live registrations had no structured fee data, so the true total is AT LEAST this
Overhead supply
LOWwarrants = 0% of O/S
= warrant shares outstanding divided by current shares outstanding (bands: 20% / 50%)
warrants only; converts, ATMs and equity lines are not in free structured data, so the true overhead is AT LEAST this
Historical dilution
LOW-44% O/S in 3y
= share count now vs 3 years ago (bands: 30% / 100%); a reverse split pushes this negative
a reverse-split-sized cliff is in this window; read the chart
Cash need
LOWoperating cash flow positive
= cash vs trailing operating burn (bands: 6mo / 24mo; positive operating CF = low)
the company itself flagged going-concern doubt

Same rating bands the category standard uses, but free, with the formula on the chip and the gaps in the data said out loud.

Shares outstanding over time

2020-11-162026-05-12

Latest: 97.7M shares as of May 12, 2026 (10-Q). Share count fell from 176.0M to 7.5M between Aug 11, 2023 and Nov 9, 2023, a pattern consistent with a reverse split (roughly 1-for-24); simultaneous issuance can skew the raw ratio, so confirm in the filings. The red bar marks the cliff.

Cash runway

Going-concern warning

auditor flagged substantial doubt

The company itself flagged going-concern doubt in a filing.

Full breakdown: cash runway tool

Warrants

TrancheWarrantsExercise priceTermNotes
Series F First Penny Warrants4.0M$0.01
Series DA Warrants3.2Mnot tagged2.1y
Series F Second Penny Warrantsnot tagged$0.01

Tranches exactly as the company dimensioned them in its 10-Q filed May 14, 2026. Groupings can overlap (a “Series E and F” row is not additive with a “Series E” row), so do not sum this column. A tranche the filer did not tag is absent here, not absent from the cap table. DOWN-ROUND = the filer tagged price-protection accounting scoped to that tranche.

Warrants outstanding: 0 underlying shares, as reported Jun 30, 2025 (10-Q).

Reported exercise price: $6 (aggregate figure as tagged; individual tranches vary).

Balance-sheet fair value of warrants: $0 as of Mar 31, 2024.

Rough fully diluted estimate: 97.7M = 97.7M O/S + 0 warrant shares. An estimate, not a filing figure: it ignores converts, options and RSUs, and the two inputs carry different as-of dates.

Convertible notes

NotePrincipalCarryingConv. priceRateIf converted
Senior Convertible Notenot tagged$11.3Mnot tagged8%

Notes exactly as the company dimensioned them in its 10-Q filed May 14, 2026. Principal is face amount as tagged, not what remains after repurchases unless the filer updated the tag. A note the filer did not dimension is absent here, not absent from the balance sheet; the exhibits stay the ground truth.

Fully diluted build-up

Shares outstanding plus every potential-share instrument the filer tagged in XBRL, each at its own as-of date. An estimate assembled from filed figures, not a filing figure itself.

Shares outstanding97.7MMay 12, 2026
+ Series F First Penny Warrants (if exercised)4.0MApr 8, 2026
+ Series DA Warrants (if exercised)3.2MMar 31, 2026
Fully diluted estimate104.9M+7.4% vs O/S

Still excluded, because the filer does not tag them in countable form: employee options and RSUs, any instrument living only in exhibit prose, and instruments above missing a share count. Inputs carry different as-of dates, shown per row. Each figure traces to the tranche and note tables above and their cited filings.

Registrations and offerings

Registered offering capacity on live registrations: $4.9Mfrom the structured fee exhibits; registered is not remaining, takedowns are not subtracted

S-3May 8, 2026$4.9M registeredfiling →
S-3Apr 22, 2025no structured fee exhibit in this filing (predates fee-data XBRL or fee deferred)filing →
S-3MEFMar 24, 2025no structured fee exhibit in this filing (predates fee-data XBRL or fee deferred)filing →

Last 12 months: 1 executed · 1 registered.

EFFECTIVEMay 20, 2026SEC declared a registration effective — selling can beginEFFECT
REGISTEREDMay 8, 2026S-3 registration — capacity to sell shares, not a sale yetS-3
EXECUTEDApr 9, 2026Unregistered share sale disclosed (8-K item 3.02)8-K
EXECUTEDJun 20, 2025Shelf takedown priced — shares or notes (small-caps: usually shares; open the filing to confirm)424B5
EFFECTIVEMay 2, 2025SEC declared a registration effective — selling can beginEFFECT
REGISTEREDApr 22, 2025S-3 registration — capacity to sell shares, not a sale yetS-3
EXECUTEDApr 1, 2025Unregistered share sale disclosed (8-K item 3.02)8-K
EXECUTEDMar 26, 2025Shelf takedown priced — shares or notes (small-caps: usually shares; open the filing to confirm)424B5
EXECUTEDMar 26, 2025Shelf takedown priced — shares or notes (small-caps: usually shares; open the filing to confirm)424B5
EXECUTEDMar 24, 2025Shelf takedown priced — shares or notes (small-caps: usually shares; open the filing to confirm)424B5
EXECUTEDMar 24, 2025Shelf takedown priced — shares or notes (small-caps: usually shares; open the filing to confirm)424B5
REGISTEREDMar 24, 2025S-3MEF registration — capacity to sell shares, not a sale yetS-3MEF

Full history and shelf status: offering checker · S-3 shelf checker

Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL company facts and filing metadata, fetched live and cached briefly. Share counts are cover-page figures with their form named. Warrant tranches and convertible notes come from the dimensioned facts in the latest 10-Q/10-K instance document, exactly as the company tagged them; untagged tranches and notes are absent, not disproven. Nothing on this page is manually verified and nothing is behind a login: what free data supports is shown, what it cannot support is stated. Not investment advice.

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