Dilution profile // every instrument, one screen, from SEC filings

AEye, Inc. (LIDRW)

CIK 1818644 · all EDGAR filings →

Overall dilution risk
HIGHworst of 3 computed signals (offering ability)
= the worst band among the computed sub-ratings, no hidden weighting
not every sub-rating was computable; treat as a floor
Offering ability
HIGH$201M registered
= total registered offering amount from the fee exhibits of live registrations (bands: $1M / $20M)
one or more live registrations had no structured fee data, so the true total is AT LEAST this
Overhead supply
NOT COMPUTEDno warrant count tagged in XBRL
= warrant shares outstanding divided by current shares outstanding
absence of a tag is not proof of absence of warrants
Historical dilution
LOW-75% O/S in 3y
= share count now vs 3 years ago (bands: 30% / 100%); a reverse split pushes this negative
a reverse-split-sized cliff is in this window; read the chart
Cash need
HIGH~4.8 months of runway
= cash vs trailing operating burn (bands: 6mo / 24mo; positive operating CF = low)
the company itself flagged going-concern doubt

Same rating bands the category standard uses, but free, with the formula on the chip and the gaps in the data said out loud.

Shares outstanding over time

2021-11-122026-08-04

Latest: 46.5M shares as of Aug 4, 2026 (10-Q). Share count fell from 188.1M to 6.5M between Nov 6, 2023 and Mar 20, 2024, a pattern consistent with a reverse split (roughly 1-for-29); simultaneous issuance can skew the raw ratio, so confirm in the filings. The red bar marks the cliff.

Cash runway

Going-concern warning

auditor flagged substantial doubt

The company itself flagged going-concern doubt in a filing.

Full breakdown: cash runway tool · source filing →

Warrants

TrancheWarrantsExercise priceTermNotes
The2025 Note Warrants805,263not taggedFV $1.0M
Warrants Issued For Early Termination of the Lease350,000$2.22FV $899,000

Tranches exactly as the company dimensioned them in its 10-Q filed Aug 6, 2026. Groupings can overlap (a “Series E and F” row is not additive with a “Series E” row), so do not sum this column. A tranche the filer did not tag is absent here, not absent from the cap table. DOWN-ROUND = the filer tagged price-protection accounting scoped to that tranche.

Reported exercise price: $345 (aggregate figure as tagged; individual tranches vary).

Balance-sheet fair value of warrants: $156,000 as of Sep 30, 2021.

Convertible notes

NotePrincipalCarryingConv. priceRateIf converted
the 2025 Note$3.0M$2.227%~1.4M sh
Convertible Note 2024$146,000not tagged

If every note above converted at its tagged price: ~1.4M new shares on 46.5M currently outstanding. An estimate from principal ÷ conversion price, with inputs carrying different as-of dates; make-whole adjustments, capped calls and partial repurchases are not modeled.

Notes exactly as the company dimensioned them in its 10-Q filed Aug 6, 2026. Principal is face amount as tagged, not what remains after repurchases unless the filer updated the tag. A note the filer did not dimension is absent here, not absent from the balance sheet; the exhibits stay the ground truth.

Fully diluted build-up

Shares outstanding plus every potential-share instrument the filer tagged in XBRL, each at its own as-of date. An estimate assembled from filed figures, not a filing figure itself.

Shares outstanding46.5MAug 4, 2026
+ The2025 Note Warrants (if exercised)805,263Jan 31, 2025
+ Warrants Issued For Early Termination of the Lease (if exercised)350,000Apr 28, 2025
+ the 2025 Note (if fully converted)1.4MJan 31, 2025
Fully diluted estimate49.0M+5.4% vs O/S

Still excluded, because the filer does not tag them in countable form: employee options and RSUs, any instrument living only in exhibit prose, and instruments above missing a share count. Inputs carry different as-of dates, shown per row. Each figure traces to the tranche and note tables above and their cited filings.

Registrations and offerings

Registered offering capacity on live registrations: $200.9Mfrom the structured fee exhibits; registered is not remaining, takedowns are not subtracted

S-3May 19, 2026$200.0M registeredfiling →
S-3Aug 11, 2025$0.9M registeredfiling →
S-1Jan 16, 2025no structured fee exhibit in this filing (predates fee-data XBRL or fee deferred)filing →

Last 12 months: 1 executed · 1 registered.

REGISTEREDMay 19, 2026S-3 registration — capacity to sell shares, not a sale yetS-3
EXECUTEDDec 10, 2025Shelf takedown priced — shares or notes (small-caps: usually shares; open the filing to confirm)424B5
UPDATEAug 15, 2025Prospectus update — often a resale registration, not necessarily new capital424B3
EFFECTIVEAug 15, 2025SEC declared a registration effective — selling can beginEFFECT
REGISTEREDAug 11, 2025S-3 registration — capacity to sell shares, not a sale yetS-3
EXECUTEDJul 28, 2025Shelf takedown priced — shares or notes (small-caps: usually shares; open the filing to confirm)424B5
EXECUTEDJul 28, 2025Shelf takedown priced — shares or notes (small-caps: usually shares; open the filing to confirm)424B5
EXECUTEDJul 25, 2025Shelf takedown priced — shares or notes (small-caps: usually shares; open the filing to confirm)424B5
EFFECTIVEMay 13, 2025SEC declared a registration effective — selling can beginEFFECT
UPDATEMar 4, 2025Prospectus update — often a resale registration, not necessarily new capital424B3
EFFECTIVEMar 4, 2025SEC declared a registration effective — selling can beginEFFECT
REGISTEREDFeb 25, 2025S-1/A registration — capacity to sell shares, not a sale yetS-1/A

Full history and shelf status: offering checker · S-3 shelf checker

Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL company facts and filing metadata, fetched live and cached briefly. Share counts are cover-page figures with their form named. Warrant tranches and convertible notes come from the dimensioned facts in the latest 10-Q/10-K instance document, exactly as the company tagged them; untagged tranches and notes are absent, not disproven. Nothing on this page is manually verified and nothing is behind a login: what free data supports is shown, what it cannot support is stated. Not investment advice.

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