Dilution profile // every instrument, one screen, from SEC filings

CYPHERPUNK TECHNOLOGIES INC. (CYPH)

CIK 1509745 · all EDGAR filings →

Overall dilution risk
HIGHworst of 4 computed signals (offering ability)
= the worst band among the computed sub-ratings, no hidden weighting
Offering ability
HIGHS-3 on file 2024-05-10
= is there a registration (S-1/S-3 family) on file without a later withdrawal
no structured fee data on the live registrations, so this is a yes/no, not a size
Overhead supply
HIGHwarrants = 147% of O/S
= warrant shares outstanding divided by current shares outstanding (bands: 20% / 50%)
warrants only; converts, ATMs and equity lines are not in free structured data, so the true overhead is AT LEAST this
Historical dilution
HIGH+322% O/S in 3y
= share count now vs 3 years ago (bands: 30% / 100%); a reverse split pushes this negative
a reverse-split-sized cliff is in this window; read the chart
Cash need
HIGH~2.1 months of runway
= cash vs trailing operating burn (bands: 6mo / 24mo; positive operating CF = low)
the company itself flagged going-concern doubt

Same rating bands the category standard uses, but free, with the formula on the chip and the gaps in the data said out loud.

Shares outstanding over time

2020-11-102026-08-10

Latest: 107.8M shares as of Aug 10, 2026 (10-Q). Share count fell from 119.4M to 25.6M between May 10, 2023 and Aug 9, 2023, a pattern consistent with a reverse split (roughly 1-for-5); simultaneous issuance can skew the raw ratio, so confirm in the filings. The red bar marks the cliff.

Cash runway

Going-concern warning

auditor flagged substantial doubt

The company itself flagged going-concern doubt in a filing.

Full breakdown: cash runway tool · source filing →

Warrants

TrancheWarrantsExercise priceTermNotes
October2025 Pre Funded Warrants80.8M$0.001
October2025 Common Warrants76.0M$0.5335
October2025 Private Placement72.0M$0.5335
March2020 Coverage Warrants1.9M$21.1
January2023 Common Stock Warrants6,530$6.78
Warrants Exercisable On23rd January20175,450$0.1
January2023 Series X Preferred Stock Warrants443$6.78
Warrants2019not tagged$19.5
March2020 Pre Funded Warrantsnot tagged$0.001

Tranches exactly as the company dimensioned them in its 10-Q filed Aug 12, 2026. Groupings can overlap (a “Series E and F” row is not additive with a “Series E” row), so do not sum this column. A tranche the filer did not tag is absent here, not absent from the cap table. DOWN-ROUND = the filer tagged price-protection accounting scoped to that tranche.

Warrants outstanding: 158.7M underlying shares, as reported Jun 30, 2026 (10-Q).

Reported exercise price: $6.78 (aggregate figure as tagged; individual tranches vary).

Balance-sheet fair value of warrants: $3.4M as of Dec 31, 2018.

Down-round (price protection) accounting has been tagged in this filer’s XBRL: some instrument carries repricing protection. Which tranche requires reading the exhibits.

Rough fully diluted estimate: 266.4M = 107.8M O/S + 158.7M warrant shares. An estimate, not a filing figure: it ignores converts, options and RSUs, and the two inputs carry different as-of dates.

Convertible notes

No convertible-note facts tagged in the 10-Q filed Aug 12, 2026. If convertible notes exist, their terms live in exhibit prose for this filer and are not parsed; absence of a tag is not proof of absence. The exhibits are the ground truth.

Fully diluted build-up

Shares outstanding plus every potential-share instrument the filer tagged in XBRL, each at its own as-of date. An estimate assembled from filed figures, not a filing figure itself.

Shares outstanding107.8MAug 10, 2026
+ October2025 Pre Funded Warrants (if exercised)80.8MJun 30, 2026
+ October2025 Common Warrants (if exercised)76.0MJun 30, 2026
+ October2025 Private Placement (if exercised)72.0MOct 31, 2025
+ March2020 Coverage Warrants (if exercised)1.9MJun 30, 2026
+ January2023 Common Stock Warrants (if exercised)6,530Jan 31, 2023
+ Warrants Exercisable On23rd January2017 (if exercised)5,450Jun 30, 2026
+ January2023 Series X Preferred Stock Warrants (if exercised)443Jan 31, 2023
Fully diluted estimate338.4M+214.1% vs O/S

Still excluded, because the filer does not tag them in countable form: employee options and RSUs, any instrument living only in exhibit prose, and instruments above missing a share count. Inputs carry different as-of dates, shown per row. Each figure traces to the tranche and note tables above and their cited filings.

Registrations and offerings

S-3May 10, 2024no structured fee exhibit in this filing (predates fee-data XBRL or fee deferred)filing →
S-3Mar 18, 2024no structured fee exhibit in this filing (predates fee-data XBRL or fee deferred)filing →

Last 12 months: 2 executed · 0 registered.

EXECUTEDNov 12, 2025Shelf takedown priced — shares or notes (small-caps: usually shares; open the filing to confirm)424B5
EXECUTEDOct 9, 2025Unregistered share sale disclosed (8-K item 3.02)8-K
UPDATEMay 23, 2024Prospectus update — often a resale registration, not necessarily new capital424B3
EFFECTIVEMay 23, 2024SEC declared a registration effective — selling can beginEFFECT
REGISTEREDMay 10, 2024S-3 registration — capacity to sell shares, not a sale yetS-3
EFFECTIVEMay 9, 2024SEC declared a registration effective — selling can beginEFFECT
EXECUTEDApr 11, 2024Unregistered share sale disclosed (8-K item 3.02)8-K
REGISTEREDMar 18, 2024S-3 registration — capacity to sell shares, not a sale yetS-3
UPDATEJun 14, 2023Prospectus update — often a resale registration, not necessarily new capital424B3
EFFECTIVEJun 14, 2023SEC declared a registration effective — selling can beginEFFECT
REGISTEREDJun 9, 2023S-3/A registration — capacity to sell shares, not a sale yetS-3/A
REGISTEREDApr 21, 2023S-3 registration — capacity to sell shares, not a sale yetS-3

Full history and shelf status: offering checker · S-3 shelf checker

Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL company facts and filing metadata, fetched live and cached briefly. Share counts are cover-page figures with their form named. Warrant tranches and convertible notes come from the dimensioned facts in the latest 10-Q/10-K instance document, exactly as the company tagged them; untagged tranches and notes are absent, not disproven. Nothing on this page is manually verified and nothing is behind a login: what free data supports is shown, what it cannot support is stated. Not investment advice.

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