Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis
Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial
Condition and Results of Operations
References in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q
(the “Quarterly Report”) to “we,” “us” or the “Company” refer to Vine Hill Capital Investment
Corp. II. References to our “management” or our “management team” refer to our officers and directors, and references
to the “Sponsor” refer to Vine Hill Capital Sponsor II LLC. The following discussion and analysis of the Company’s financial
condition and results of operations should be read in conjunction with the audited financial statements included in the Company’s
Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025 filed with the SEC on March 30, 2026.
Certain information contained in the discussion
and analysis set forth below includes forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties.
Special Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements
All statements other than statements of historical
fact included in this Quarterly Report including, without limitation, statements under this Item regarding our financial position, business
strategy and the plans and objectives of management for future operations, are forward-looking statements. When used in this Quarterly
Report, words such as “anticipate,” “believe,” “estimate,” “expect,” “intend”
and similar expressions, as they relate to us or our management, identify forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements
are based on the beliefs of our management, as well as assumptions made by, and information currently available to, our management. Actual
results could differ materially from those contemplated by the forward-looking statements as a result of certain factors detailed in our
filings with the SEC. All subsequent written or oral forward-looking statements attributable to us or persons acting on our behalf are
qualified in their entirety by this paragraph.
The following discussion and analysis of our financial
condition and results of operations should be read in conjunction with the unaudited condensed financial statements and the notes thereto
included in this Quarterly Report under “Item 1. Financial Statements.”
Overview
We are a newly incorporated blank check company
incorporated as a Cayman Islands exempted company on August 18, 2025 for the purpose of effecting a merger, amalgamation, share exchange,
asset acquisition, share purchase, reorganization or similar business combination with one or more businesses, which we refer to throughout
this Quarterly Report as our Initial Business Combination. We have not selected any specific business combination target and we have not,
nor has anyone on our behalf, engaged in any substantive discussions, directly or indirectly, with any business combination target with
respect to an Initial Business Combination with us until after our Public Offering on December 19, 2025. We intend to effectuate our Initial
Business Combination using cash from the proceeds of the Offering and the sale of the Private Placement Warrants and the proceeds of the
sale of our securities in connection with our Initial Business Combination (pursuant to any the forward purchase agreements, backstop
or similar agreements we may enter into following the consummation of the Offering or otherwise), our shares, debt or a combination of
cash, equity and debt.
The issuance of additional ordinary shares in a business
combination:
●
may significantly dilute the equity interest of investors in the Offering, which dilution would increase if the anti-dilution provisions in the Class B ordinary shares resulted in the issuance of Class A shares on a greater than one-to-one basis upon conversion of the Class B ordinary shares;
●
may subordinate the rights of holders of ordinary shares if preference shares are issued with rights senior to those afforded our ordinary shares;
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may have the effect of delaying or preventing a change of control of us by diluting the equity ownership or voting rights of a person seeking to obtain control of us; and
●
may adversely affect prevailing market prices for our Class A ordinary shares and/or warrants.
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Similarly, if we issue debt securities or otherwise incur
significant indebtedness, it could result in:
●
default and foreclosure on our assets if our operating revenues after an Initial Business Combination are insufficient to repay our debt obligations;
●
acceleration of our obligations to repay the indebtedness even if we make all principal and interest payments when due if we breach certain covenants that require the maintenance of certain financial ratios or reserves without a waiver or renegotiation of that covenant;
●
our immediate payment of all principal and accrued interest, if any, if the debt is payable on demand;
●
our inability to obtain necessary additional financing if the debt contains covenants restricting our ability to obtain such financing while the debt is outstanding;
●
our inability to pay dividends on our ordinary shares;
●
using a substantial portion of our cash flow to pay principal and interest on our debt, which will reduce the funds available for dividends on our ordinary shares, expenses, capital expenditures, acquisitions and other general corporate purposes;
●
limitations on our flexibility in planning for and reacting to changes in our business and in the industry in which we operate;
●
increased vulnerability to adverse changes in general economic, industry and competitive conditions and adverse changes in government regulation; and
●
limitations on our ability to borrow additional amounts for expenses, capital expenditures, acquisitions, debt service requirements, execution of our strategy and other purposes and other disadvantages compared to our competitors who have less debt.
As of June 30, 2026, we had approximately $2,038,000
of cash and cash equivalents and had working capital of approximately $1,918,000 (which includes a liability for approximately $213,000
of compensation that is deferred for payment until the closing of a business combination). We expect to incur significant costs in the
pursuit of our acquisition and financing plans. We cannot assure you that our plans to raise capital or to complete our Initial Business
Combination will be successful.
Recent Developments
On December 19, 2025, we completed (i) our Offering
of 23,000,000 units (the “Units”), including 3,000,000 Units issued pursuant to the exercise of the underwriter’s over-allotment
option in full, at an offering price of $10.00 per Unit and (ii) a private placement of 5,500,000 Private Placement Warrants with the
Sponsor at a price of $1.00 per warrant (the “Private Placement”).
The net proceeds from the Offering, together with
certain of the proceeds from the Private Placement, totaling $230,000,000 in the aggregate, were placed in a trust account (the “Trust
Account”) with Continental Stock Transfer & Trust Company established for the benefit of the Company’s public shareholders
and the underwriter of the Offering. Except for the withdrawal of interest earned on the amounts in the Trust Account to fund the Company’s
taxes, or upon the redemption by public shareholders of Class A ordinary shares in connection with certain amendments to the Company’s
amended and restated memorandum and articles of association, none of the funds held in the Trust Account will be released until the completion
of the Company’s Initial Business Combination or the redemption by the Company of 100% of the outstanding Class A ordinary shares
issued by the Company in the Offering if the Company does not consummate an Initial Business Combination within 24 months after the closing
of the Offering (December 19, 2027).
As a result of the full exercise of the underwriters’
over-allotment option, (a) none of the 875,000 (after September 30, 2025 this was increased to 1,000,000 in connection with the upsize
of the Offering) Class B ordinary shares were forfeited resulting in 7,666,667 Class B ordinary shares outstanding at the closing of the
Offering and (b) there was no over-allotment liability to record.
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Results of Operations and Known Trends or Future Events
We have neither engaged in any operations nor
generated any revenues to date. Our only activities since inception have been organizational activities and those necessary to prepare
for the Offering. Following the Offering, we will not generate any operating revenues until after completion of our Initial Business Combination.
We will generate non-operating income in the form of interest or dividend income on cash and cash equivalents after the Offering.
Loss from operations - The operating costs
incurred in the three and six months ended June 30, 2026 totaled approximately $427,000 and $864,000, respectively. Operating costs include
approximately $243,000 and $486,000, respectively, of aggregate management compensation (approximately $99,000 and $198,000, respectively,
of which is deferred as to payment) and Sponsor fees which are paid currently. Additionally, operating costs include approximately $97,000
and $237,000, respectively, of costs primarily associated with professional fees, insurance, listing, trust and regulator fees associated
with our status as a public reporting company and approximately $87,000 and $141,000, respectively of costs associated with our search
for a business combination target. Since the Offering on December 19, 2025, we are incurring increased expenses as a result of being a
public company (for legal, financial reporting, accounting and auditing compliance), as well as for expenses related to efforts to identify
and evaluate target businesses and due diligence expenses. We expect our expenses to increase substantially since the closing of the Offering.
Other income - Other income for the
three and six months ended June 30, 2026 totaled approximately $2,073,000 and $4,125,000, respectively, consisting primarily of
interest income on the Trust Account.
Certain Risks and Uncertainties
As a development stage SPAC our risks include,
among other things, the uncertainties and potential inability to: (i) complete and achieve the expected benefits of the Offering; (ii)
identify, assess, negotiate and complete a proposed acquisition of a suitable company in connection with our Initial Business Combination;
and (iii) satisfy all conditions necessary to the successful completion of our Initial Business Combination, including without limitation,
shareholder approvals of both parties, redemption of our securities pursuant to the amended and restated memorandum and articles of association,
completion of related transactions customarily expected in connection with a SPAC sponsored acquisition, and other conditions. Relatedly,
the successful completion of our Initial Business Combination requires not only the success of our efforts, which cannot be assured, but
also the supportiveness of relevant financial markets including equity markets, debt markets, merger and acquisition markets, capital
markets and other markets, none of which can be assured.
Liquidity and Capital Resources
Our liquidity needs have been satisfied through
receipt of $25,000 from the sale of the Founder Shares and approximately $175,000 drawn down on an up to $300,000 in loans that were available
from our Sponsor under an unsecured promissory note as well as from deferral of certain fees until closing of our Offering. On December
19, 2025 we closed the Offering and the underwriters fully exercised its overallotment option. In connection with the closing, the approximately
$175,000 drawn down under the unsecured promissory note was repaid in full. The net proceeds from the sale of the units in the Offering,
including the underwriters’ full exercise of its 3,000,000 unit over-allotment option, and the sale of the Private Placement Warrants
for an aggregate purchase price of $5,500,000, after deducting offering expenses of approximately $10,663,000 including $563,000 in Company
costs and underwriting commissions and expenses of $4,650,000 (excluding deferred underwriting commissions incurred of $8,050,000) as
well as $2,600,000 credit by the underwriters toward expenses, were approximately $232,900,000, including reimbursement from the underwriters.
$230,000,000 was deposited in the Trust Account, which includes the deferred underwriting commissions described above. The funds in the
Trust Account will be (i) invested only in cash or U.S. government treasury bills with a maturity of 185 days or less or in money market
funds that meet certain conditions under Rule 2a-7 under the Investment Company Act of 1940 and that invest only in direct U.S. government
obligations and/or (ii) deposited in an interest-bearing demand deposit account at a U.S.-chartered commercial bank with consolidated
assets of $100 billion or more.
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We intend to use substantially all of the funds
held in the Trust Account, including any amounts representing interest earned on the Trust Account (which interest shall be net of permitted
withdrawals), if any, to complete our Initial Business Combination. The Company is considered to be an exempted Cayman Islands company
with no connection to any other taxable jurisdiction and is presently not subject to income taxes or income tax filing requirements in
the Cayman Islands or the United States. As such, we do not expect to have annual income tax obligations on the amount of interest and
other income earned on the amounts held in the Trust Account. If there were any taxes payable, we would expect to pay them out of the
funds in the Trust Account. To the extent that our equity or debt is used, in whole or in part, as consideration to complete our Initial
Business Combination, the remaining proceeds held in the Trust Account will be used as working capital to finance the operations of the
target business or businesses, make other acquisitions and pursue our growth strategies.
Prior to the completion of our Initial Business
Combination, our principal use of working capital will be to fund our activities to identify and evaluate target businesses, perform business
due diligence on prospective target businesses, travel to and from the offices or similar locations of prospective target businesses or
their representatives or owners, review corporate documents and material agreements of prospective target businesses, structure, negotiate
and complete a business combination.
In addition, we may pay commitment fees for financing,
fees to consultants to assist us with our search for a target business or as a down payment or to fund a “no-shop” provision
(a provision designed to keep target businesses from “shopping” around for transactions with other companies or investors
on terms more favorable to such target businesses) with respect to a particular proposed business combination, although we do not have
any current intention to do so. If we entered into an agreement where we paid for the right to receive exclusivity from a target business,
the amount that would be used as a down payment or to fund a “no-shop” provision would be determined based on the terms of
the specific business combination and the amount of our available funds at the time. Our forfeiture of such funds (whether as a result
of our breach or otherwise) could result in our not having sufficient funds to continue searching for, or conducting due diligence with
respect to, prospective target businesses.
In December 2025, the Company closed on the Offering
of its Units and the simultaneous sale of Private Placement Warrants resulting in an increase in its liquidity. As of June 30, 2026, the
Company had cash and cash equivalents balance of approximately $2,038,000. The Company has incurred and expects to continue to incur significant
costs in pursuit of its financing and acquisition plans. In connection with the Company’s assessment of going concern considerations
in accordance with ASU 2014-15, “Disclosures of Uncertainties about an Entity’s Ability to Continue as a Going Concern,”
as of June 30, 2026, management has determined that the Company has sufficient funds for the working capital needs of the Company until
a minimum of one year from the date of issuance of these financial statements. The Company cannot assure that its plans to consummate
an Initial Business Combination will be successful.
Our Sponsor, an affiliate of our Sponsor or our
officers and directors may, but none of them is obligated to, loan us funds as may be required to fund our working capital requirements.
If we complete our Initial Business Combination, we would repay such loaned amounts out of the proceeds of the Trust Account released
to us. In the event that our Initial Business Combination does not close, we may use a portion of the working capital held outside the
Trust Account to repay such loaned amounts but no proceeds from our Trust Account would be used for such repayment. Up to $2,500,000 of
such loans may be convertible into warrants at a price of $1.00 per warrant at the option of the lender. The warrants would be identical
to the Private Placement Warrants issued to our Sponsor. Except for the foregoing, the terms of such loans by our Sponsor, an affiliate
of our Sponsor or our officers and directors, if any, have not been determined and no written agreements exist with respect to such loans.
We do not expect to seek loans from parties other than our Sponsor, an affiliate of our Sponsor or our officers and directors, if any,
as we do not believe third parties will be willing to loan such funds and provide a waiver against any and all rights to seek access to
funds in our Trust Account.
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We do not believe we will need to raise additional
funds following the Offering in order to meet the expenditures required for operating our business. However, if our estimates of the costs
of identifying a target business, undertaking in-depth due diligence and negotiating an Initial Business Combination are less than the
actual amount necessary to do so, we may have insufficient funds available to operate our business prior to our Initial Business Combination.
Moreover, we may need to obtain additional financing either to complete our Initial Business Combination or because we become obligated
to redeem a significant number of our Public Shares upon completion of our Initial Business Combination, in which case we may issue additional
securities or incur debt in connection with such business combination. If we raise additional funds through equity or convertible debt
issuances, our public shareholders may suffer significant dilution and these securities could have rights that rank senior to our Public
Shares. If we raise additional funds through the incurrence of indebtedness, such indebtedness would have rights that are senior to our
equity securities and could contain covenants that restrict our operations. Further, as described above, due to the anti-dilution rights
of our Founder Shares, our public shareholders may incur material dilution. In addition, we intend to target businesses with enterprise
values that are greater than we could acquire with the net proceeds of the Offering and the sale of the Private Placement Warrants, and,
as a result, if the cash portion of the purchase price exceeds the amount available from the Trust Account, net of amounts needed to satisfy
redemptions by public shareholders, we may be required to seek additional financing to complete such proposed Initial Business Combination.
We may also obtain financing prior to the closing of our Initial Business Combination to fund our working capital needs and transaction
costs in connection with our search for and completion of our Initial Business Combination. There is no limitation on our ability to raise
funds through the issuance of equity or equity- linked securities or through loans, advances or other indebtedness in connection with
our Initial Business Combination, any backstop or similar agreements we may enter into following the consummation of the Offering or otherwise.
Subject to compliance with applicable securities laws, we would only complete such financing simultaneously with the completion of our
business combination. If we are unable to complete our Initial Business Combination because we do not have sufficient funds available
to us, we will be forced to cease operations and liquidate the Trust Account. In addition, following our Initial Business Combination,
if cash on hand is insufficient, we may need to obtain additional financing in order to meet our obligations.
Off-balance sheet financing arrangements
As of June 30, 2026, we have no obligations, assets
or liabilities which would be considered off-balance sheet arrangements. We do not participate in transactions that create relationships
with unconsolidated entities or financial partnerships, often referred to as variable interest entities, which would have been established
for the purpose of facilitating off-balance sheet arrangements.
We have not entered into any off-balance sheet
financing arrangements, established any special purpose entities, guaranteed any debt or commitments of other entities, or entered into
any agreements for non-financial assets.
Contractual obligations
As of June 30, 2026, we did not have any long-term
debt, capital lease obligations, operating lease obligations or long-term liabilities. In connection with our Offering, commencing on
December 18, 2025, the date our securities were first listed on Nasdaq, we entered into the Administrative Support Agreement with an affiliate
of our Sponsor pursuant to which the Company pays such affiliate $15,000 per month for office space, utilities and secretarial and administrative
support.
Also, commencing on December 18, 2025, the date
our securities were first listed on Nasdaq, we have agreed to compensate each of its Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer
$33,000 per month for their services prior to the consummation of the Company’s Initial Business Combination, of which $16,500 per
month is payable on a current basis and the balance is payable upon the completion of the Company’s Initial Business Combination.
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Critical Accounting Estimates
The preparation of financial statements and related
disclosures in conformity with U.S. GAAP requires management to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets
and liabilities, disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities at the date of the financial statements, and income and expenses during
the periods reported. Actual results could materially differ from those estimates.
Management does not believe that the Company has any critical
accounting estimates.
Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk
We are a smaller reporting company as defined
by Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act and are not required to provide the information otherwise required under this item.
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