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UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
FORM 10-K
(MARK ONE)
x ANNUAL REPORT PURSUANT TO
SECTION 13, 15(d), OR 37 OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
For the fiscal year ended September 30, 2021
OR
o TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
For the transition period from _____ to _____
Commission file number 000-52313
TENNESSEE VALLEY AUTHORITY
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
A corporate agency of the United States created by an act of Congress
(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation or organization)
62-0474417
(IRS Employer Identification No.)
400 W. Summit Hill Drive
Knoxville , Tennessee
(Address of principal executive offices)
37902
(Zip Code)
(865) 632-2101
(Registrant's telephone number, including area code)
Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the Act:
Title of each class Trading Symbol(s) Name of each exchange on which registered
N/A N/A N/A
Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(g) of the Act: None
Indicate by check mark if the registrant is a well-known seasoned issuer, as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act.
Yes o No x
Indicate by check mark if the registrant is not required to file reports pursuant to Section 13 or Section 15(d) of the Act.
Yes o No x
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13, 15(d), or 37 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days.
Yes x No o
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant has submitted electronically every Interactive Data File required to be submitted pursuant to Rule 405 of Regulation S-T (§ 232.405 of this chapter) during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to submit such files).
Yes x No o
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, a non-accelerated filer, a smaller reporting company, or an emerging growth company. See the definitions of "large accelerated filer," "accelerated filer," "smaller reporting company," and "emerging growth company" in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act.
Large accelerated filer o Emerging growth company o Smaller reporting company o
Non-accelerated filer x Accelerated filer o
If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. o
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant has filed a report on and attestation to its management's assessment of the effectiveness of its internal control over financial reporting under Section 404(b) of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act (15 U.S.C. 7262(b)) by the registered public accounting firm that prepared or issued its audit report. x
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12b-2 of the Exchange Act).
Yes o No x
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GLOSSARY OF COMMON ACRONYMS.......................................................................................................................................................................................................
4
FORWARD-LOOKING INFORMATION.........................................................................................................................................................................................................
6
GENERAL INFORMATION............................................................................................................................................................................................................................
8
PART I
ITEM 1. BUSINESS...................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 9
The Corporation.................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
9
Service Area.......................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
10
COVID-19 Pandemic...................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 11
Customers..........................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
11
Rates..................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
12
Power Supply and Load Management Resources............................................................................................................................................................................. 13
Fuel Supply.........................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
21
Transmission......................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
23
Weather and Seasonality....................................................................................................................................................................................................................
24
Competition........................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
24
Research and Development...............................................................................................................................................................................................................
24
Flood Control Activities.......................................................................................................................................................................................................................
25
Environmental Stewardship Activities.................................................................................................................................................................................................
26
Economic Development Activities......................................................................................................................................................................................................
26
Regulation..........................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
26
Taxation and Tax Equivalents.............................................................................................................................................................................................................
28
Environmental Matters.......................................................................................................................................................................................................................
28
Human Capital Management.............................................................................................................................................................................................................. 35
ITEM 1A. RISK FACTORS............................................................................................................................................................................................................................
41
ITEM 1B. UNRESOLVED STAFF COMMENTS............................................................................................................................................................................................
54
ITEM 2. PROPERTIES..................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
55
Generating Properties........................................................................................................................................................................................................................
55
Transmission Properties.....................................................................................................................................................................................................................
57
Natural Resource Stewardship Properties.........................................................................................................................................................................................
57
Buildings.............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
57
Disposal of Property...........................................................................................................................................................................................................................
57
ITEM 3. LEGAL PROCEEDINGS..................................................................................................................................................................................................................
58
ITEM 4. MINE SAFETY DISCLOSURES......................................................................................................................................................................................................
58
PART II
ITEM 5. MARKET FOR REGISTRANT'S COMMON EQUITY, RELATED STOCKHOLDER MATTERS AND ISSUER PURCHASES OF EQUITY SECURITIES............ 59
ITEM 7. MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS................................................................... 59
Business and Mission......................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 59
Executive Overview............................................................................................................................................................................................................................
62
Results of Operations......................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 62
Liquidity and Capital Resources......................................................................................................................................................................................................... 68
Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements....................................................................................................................................................................................................... 73
Key Initiatives and Challenges........................................................................................................................................................................................................... 73
Critical Accounting Estimates.........................................................................................................................................................................................
85
New Accounting Standards and Interpretations.................................................................................................................................................................................
91
Legislative and Regulatory Matters....................................................................................................................................................................................................
91
Environmental Matters....................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 91
Legal Proceedings.............................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 92
Risk Management Activities...............................................................................................................................................................................................................
92
ITEM 7A. QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES ABOUT MARKET RISK...........................................................................................................................
94
ITEM 8. FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AND SUPPLEMENTARY DATA..........................................................................................................................................................
95
Consolidated Statements of Operations.............................................................................................................................................................................................
95
Consolidated Balance Sheets............................................................................................................................................................................................................
96
Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income (Loss).............................................................................................................................................................
98
Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows...........................................................................................................................................................................................
99
Consolidated Statements of Changes in Proprietary Capital.............................................................................................................................................................
100
Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements..................................................................................................................................................................................... 101
Report of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm...............................................................................................................................................................
161
ITEM 9. CHANGES IN AND DISAGREEMENTS WITH ACCOUNTANTS ON ACCOUNTING AND FINANCIAL DISCLOSURE...............................................................
163
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ITEM 9A. CONTROLS AND PROCEDURES...............................................................................................................................................................................................
163
Disclosure Controls and Procedures..................................................................................................................................................................................................
163
Internal Control over Financial Reporting...........................................................................................................................................................................................
163
Report of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm................................................................................................................................................................
164
ITEM 9B. OTHER INFORMATION................................................................................................................................................................................................................
165
PART III
ITEM 10. DIRECTORS, EXECUTIVE OFFICERS, AND CORPORATE GOVERNANCE.............................................................................................................................
166
Directors.............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 166
Executive Officers............................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 167
Disclosure and Financial Code of Ethics............................................................................................................................................................................................ 168
Committees of the TVA Board............................................................................................................................................................................................................ 168
ITEM 11. EXECUTIVE COMPENSATION.....................................................................................................................................................................................................
170
Compensation Discussion and Analysis............................................................................................................................................................................................. 170
CEO Pay Ratio Disclosure................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 208
Executive Compensation Tables and Narrative Disclosures.............................................................................................................................................................. 215
Retirement and Pension Plans........................................................................................................................................................................................................... 219
Nonqualified Deferred Compensation................................................................................................................................................................................................ 221
Potential Payments on Account of Resignation, Retirement, Termination without Cause, Termination with Cause, Death, or Disability........................................... 224
Other Agreements.............................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 230
Director Compensation....................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 230
Compensation Committee Interlocks and Insider Participation.......................................................................................................................................................... 231
Compensation Committee Report...................................................................................................................................................................................................... 231
ITEM 12. SECURITY OWNERSHIP OF CERTAIN BENEFICIAL OWNERS AND MANAGEMENT AND RELATED STOCKHOLDER MATTERS......................................
232
ITEM 13. CERTAIN RELATIONSHIPS AND RELATED TRANSACTIONS, AND DIRECTOR INDEPENDENCE.........................................................................................
232
Director Independence....................................................................................................................................................................................................................... 232
Related Party Transactions................................................................................................................................................................................................................ 232
ITEM 14. PRINCIPAL ACCOUNTANT FEES AND SERVICES......................................................................................................................................................................
234
PART IV
ITEM 15. EXHIBITS, FINANCIAL STATEMENT SCHEDULES.....................................................................................................................................................................
235
ITEM 16. FORM 10-K SUMMARY................................................................................................................................................................................................................. 238
SIGNATURES................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
239
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GLOSSARY OF COMMON ACRONYMS
Following are definitions of some of the terms or acronyms that may be used in this Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended September 30, 2021 (the "Annual Report"):
Term or Acronym Definition
ACE Affordable Clean Energy
ACPA Anti-Cherrypicking Amendment
ANI American Nuclear Insurers
AOCI Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss)
ARO Asset retirement obligation
ART Asset Retirement Trust
Bonds Bonds, notes, or other evidences of indebtedness
CAA Clean Air Act
CCR Coal combustion residuals
CERCLA Comprehensive Environmental Response, Compensation, and Liability Act
CO 2
Carbon dioxide
COVID-19 Coronavirus Disease 2019
COLA(s) Cost-of-living adjustment(s)
CSAPR Cross-State Air Pollution Rule
CTs Combustion turbine unit(s)
CVA Credit valuation adjustment
CY Calendar year
DBOT Down-blend offering for Tritium
DCP Deferred Compensation Plan
DER Distributed Energy Resources
DOE Department of Energy
EIS Environmental Impact Statement
ELGs Effluent Limitation Guidelines
EMPs Electromagnetic pulses
EO(s) Executive Order(s)
EPA Environmental Protection Agency
EPRI Electric Power Research Institute
ERC Enterprise Risk Council
FASB Financial Accounting Standards Board
FERC Federal Energy Regulatory Commission
FPA Federal Power Act
FTP Financial Trading Program
GAAP Accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America
GHG Greenhouse gas
HAP Hazardous Air Pollutants
IRP Integrated Resource Plan
IwD Inclusion with Diversity
JSCCG John Sevier Combined Cycle Generation LLC
KOC Knoxville Office Complex
kW Kilowatts
kWh Kilowatt hours
LPCs Local power company customers
LTA Long-Term Agreement
LTDCP Long-Term Deferred Compensation Plan
MATS Mercury and Air Toxics Standards
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MD&A Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
MLGW Memphis Light, Gas and Water Division
mmBtu Million British thermal unit(s)
MtM Mark-to-market
MW Megawatts
NAAQS National Ambient Air Quality Standards
NAV Net asset value
NDT Nuclear Decommissioning Trust
NEIL Nuclear Electric Insurance Limited
NEPA National Environmental Policy Act
NERC North American Electric Reliability Corporation
NES Nashville Electric Service
NO x
Nitrogen oxides
NPDES National Pollutant Discharge Elimination System
NRC Nuclear Regulatory Commission
NSR New Source Review
Nuclear Development Nuclear Development, LLC
NWP Nationwide Permit
NYSE New York Stock Exchange
OCI Other comprehensive income (loss)
OMB Office of Management and Budget
PARRS Putable Automatic Rate Reset Securities
PM Particulate matter
QTE Qualified technological equipment and software
RCRA Resource Conservation and Recovery Act
RECs Renewable Energy Certificates
REIT Real Estate Investment Trust
RSO Renewable Standard Offer
SCCG Southaven Combined Cycle Generation LLC
SCRs Selective catalytic reduction systems
SEC Securities and Exchange Commission
SELC Southern Environmental Law Center
SERP Supplemental Executive Retirement Plan
SHLLC Southaven Holdco LLC
SIPs State implementation plans
SMR Small modular reactor(s)
SO 2
Sulfur dioxide
SPC Summer Place Complex
SOA Society of Actuaries
SSSL Seven States Southaven, LLC
TDEC Tennessee Department of Environment & Conservation
TIPS Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities
TVA Act The Tennessee Valley Authority Act of 1933, as amended
TVA Board TVA Board of Directors
TVARS Tennessee Valley Authority Retirement System
U.S. Treasury United States Department of the Treasury
USACE U.S. Army Corps of Engineers
VIE Variable interest entity
XBRL eXtensible Business Reporting Language
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FORWARD-LOOKING INFORMATION
This Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended September 30, 2021 ("Annual Report") contains forward-looking statements relating to future events and future performance. All statements other than those that are purely historical may be forward-looking statements. In certain cases, forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of words such as "may," "will," "should," "expect," "anticipate," "believe," "intend," "project," "plan," "predict," "assume," "forecast," "estimate," "objective," "possible," "probably," "likely," "potential," "speculate," the negative of such words, or other similar expressions.
Although the Tennessee Valley Authority ("TVA") believes that the assumptions underlying any forward-looking statements are reasonable, TVA does not guarantee the accuracy of these statements. Numerous factors could cause actual results to differ materially from those in any forward-looking statements. These factors include, among other things:
• The continuing impact of the Coronavirus Disease 2019 ("COVID-19") pandemic on TVA's operating results, financial condition, and cash flows, the demand for electricity, TVA's workforce and operations, the availability of fuel and critical parts, supplies, and services, the financial markets, and the business and financial condition of TVA's customers and counterparties;
• The duration and severity of the COVID-19 pandemic, actions taken to contain its spread and mitigate its effects, and broader impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on economic and market conditions, including impacts on interest rates, commodity prices, investment performance, and foreign currency exchange rates;
• New, amended, or existing laws, regulations, executive orders ("EOs"), or administrative orders or interpretations, including those related to climate change and other environmental matters, and the costs of complying with these laws, regulations, EOs, or administrative orders or interpretations;
• The cost of complying with known, anticipated, or new emissions reduction requirements, some of which could render continued operation of many of TVA's aging coal-fired generation units not cost-effective or result in their removal from service, perhaps permanently;
• Significant reductions in demand for electricity produced through non-renewable or centrally located generation sources that may result from, among other things, economic downturns, increased energy efficiency and conservation, increased utilization of distributed generation and microgrids, and improvements in alternative generation and energy storage technologies;
• Changes in customer preferences for energy produced from cleaner generation sources;
• Changes in technology;
• Actions taken, or inaction, by the United States ("U.S.") government relating to the national or TVA debt ceiling or automatic spending cuts in government programs;
• Costs or liabilities that are not anticipated in TVA's financial statements for third-party claims, natural resource damages, environmental cleanup activities, or fines or penalties associated with unexpected events such as failures of a facility or infrastructure;
• Addition or loss of customers by TVA or TVA's local power company customers ("LPCs");
• Significant delays, cost increases, or cost overruns associated with the construction and maintenance of generation, transmission, navigation, flood control, or related assets;
• Requirements or decisions changing the amount or timing of funding obligations associated with TVA's pension plans, other post-retirement benefit plans, or health care plans;
• Increases in TVA's financial liabilities for decommissioning its nuclear facilities or retiring other assets;
• Risks associated with the operation of nuclear facilities or other generation and related facilities, including coal combustion residuals ("CCR") facilities;
• Physical attacks on TVA's assets;
• Cyber attacks on TVA's assets or the assets of third parties upon which TVA relies;
• The outcome of legal or administrative proceedings;
• The failure of TVA's generation, transmission, navigation, flood control, and related assets and infrastructure, including CCR facilities and spent nuclear fuel storage facilities, to operate as anticipated, resulting in lost revenues, damages, or other costs that are not reflected in TVA's financial statements or projections;
• Differences between estimates of revenues and expenses and actual revenues earned and expenses incurred;
• Weather conditions including changing weather patterns, extreme weather conditions, and other events such as flooding, droughts, wildfires, and snow or ice storms that may result from climate change;
• Catastrophic events such as fires, earthquakes, explosions, solar events, electromagnetic pulses ("EMPs"), geomagnetic disturbances, droughts, floods, hurricanes, tornadoes, or other casualty events or pandemics, wars, national emergencies, terrorist activities, or other similar events, especially if these events occur in or near TVA's service area;
• Events at a TVA facility, which, among other things, could result in loss of life, damage to the environment, damage to or loss of the facility, and damage to the property of others;
• Events or changes involving transmission lines, dams, and other facilities not operated by TVA, including those that affect the reliability of the interstate transmission grid of which TVA's transmission system is a part and those that increase flows across TVA's transmission grid;
• Disruption of fuel supplies, which may result from, among other things, economic conditions, weather conditions, production or transportation difficulties, labor challenges, cyber attacks, mine closures or reduced mine production, an increase in fuel exports, or environmental laws or regulations affecting TVA's fuel suppliers or transporters;
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• Purchased power price volatility and disruption of purchased power supplies;
• Events which affect the supply of water for TVA's generation facilities;
• Changes in TVA's determinations of the appropriate mix of generation assets;
• Ineffectiveness of TVA's efforts at adapting its organization to an evolving marketplace and remaining cost competitive;
• Inability to use regulatory accounting or loss of regulatory accounting approval for certain costs;
• Inability to obtain, or loss of, regulatory approval for the construction or operation of assets;
• The requirement or decision to make additional contributions to TVA's Nuclear Decommissioning Trust ("NDT") or Asset Retirement Trust ("ART");
• Limitations on TVA's ability to borrow money which may result from, among other things, TVA's approaching or substantially reaching the limit on bonds, notes, and other evidences of indebtedness (collectively, "Bonds") specified in the Tennessee Valley Authority Act of 1933, as amended ("TVA Act");
• An increase in TVA's cost of capital that may result from, among other things, changes in the market for TVA's debt securities, changes in the credit rating of TVA or the U.S. government, or, potentially, an increased reliance by TVA on alternative financing should TVA approach its debt limit;
• Changes in the economy and volatility in financial markets;
• Reliability or creditworthiness of counterparties;
• Changes in the market price of commodities such as coal, uranium, natural gas, fuel oil, crude oil, construction materials, reagents, electricity, or emission allowances;
• Changes in the market price of equity securities, debt securities, or other investments;
• Changes in interest rates, currency exchange rates, or inflation rates;
• Ineffectiveness of TVA's disclosure controls and procedures or its internal control over financial reporting;
• Inability to eliminate identified deficiencies in TVA's systems, standards, controls, or corporate culture;
• Inability to attract or retain a skilled workforce;
• Inability to respond quickly enough to current or potential customer demands or needs;
• Events at a nuclear facility, whether or not operated by or licensed to TVA, which, among other things, could lead to increased regulation or restriction on the construction, ownership, operation, or decommissioning of nuclear facilities or on the storage of spent fuel, obligate TVA to pay retrospective insurance premiums, reduce the availability and affordability of insurance, increase the costs of operating TVA's existing nuclear units, or cause TVA to forego future construction at these or other facilities;
• Loss of quorum of the TVA Board of Directors ("TVA Board");
• Changes in the priorities of the TVA Board or TVA senior management; or
• Other unforeseeable events.
See also Item 1A, Risk Factors, and Item 7, Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations. New factors emerge from time to time, and it is not possible for TVA to predict all such factors or to assess the extent to which any factor, or combination of factors, may impact TVA's business or cause results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statement. TVA undertakes no obligation to update any forward-looking statement to reflect developments that occur after the statement is made.
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GENERAL INFORMATION
Fiscal Year
References to years (2021, 2020, etc.) in this Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended September 30, 2021 are to TVA's fiscal years ending September 30 except for references to years in the biographical information about directors and executive officers in Item 10, Directors, Executive Officers and Corporate Governance, as well as to years that are preceded by "CY," which references are to calendar years.
Notes
References to "Notes" are to the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements contained in Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data in this Annual Report.
Property
TVA does not own real property and real property interests (collectively, "real property"). TVA acquires real property in the name of the United States ("U.S."), and such legal title in real property is entrusted to TVA as the agent of the U.S. to accomplish the purposes of the TVA Act. TVA acquires personal property in the name of TVA. Accordingly, unless the context indicates the reference is to TVA's personal property, any statement in this Annual Report referring to TVA property shall be read as referring to the real property of the U.S. that has been entrusted to TVA as its agent.
Available Information
TVA files annual, quarterly, and current reports with the Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC") under Section 37 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (the "Exchange Act"). TVA's SEC filings are available to the public on the SEC's website at www.sec.gov or on TVA's website at www.tva.gov. Information contained on or accessible through TVA's website shall not be deemed to be incorporated into, or to be a part of, this Annual Report or any other report or document that TVA files with the SEC.
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PART I
ITEM 1. BUSINESS
The Corporation
General
The Tennessee Valley Authority ("TVA") is a corporate agency and instrumentality of the United States ("U.S.") that was created in 1933 by federal legislation in response to a proposal by President Franklin D. Roosevelt. TVA was created to, among other things, improve navigation on the Tennessee River, reduce the damage from destructive flood waters within the Tennessee River system and downstream on the lower Ohio and Mississippi Rivers, further the economic development of TVA's service area in the southeastern U.S., and sell the electricity generated at the facilities TVA operates. Today, TVA operates the nation's largest public power system and supplies power to a population of approximately 10 million people.
TVA also manages the Tennessee River, its tributaries, and certain shorelines to provide, among other things, year-round navigation, flood damage reduction, and affordable and reliable electricity. Consistent with these primary purposes, TVA also manages the river system to provide recreational opportunities, adequate water supply, improved water quality, cultural and natural resource protection, and economic development. TVA performs these management duties in cooperation with other federal and state agencies that have jurisdiction and authority over certain aspects of the river system. In addition, the TVA Board of Directors ("TVA Board") has established two councils — the Regional Resource Stewardship Council and the Regional Energy Resource Council — to advise TVA on its stewardship activities in the Tennessee Valley and its energy resource activities.
Initially, all TVA operations were funded by federal appropriations. Direct appropriations for the TVA power program ended in 1959, and appropriations for TVA's stewardship, economic development, and multipurpose activities ended in 1999. Since 1999, TVA has funded all of its operations almost entirely from the sale of electricity and power system financings. TVA's power system financings consist primarily of the sale of bonds, notes, or other evidences of indebtedness (collectively, "Bonds") and secondarily of alternative forms of financing, such as lease arrangements. As a wholly-owned government corporation, TVA is not authorized to issue equity securities.
TVA's Mission of Service
TVA was built for the people, created by federal legislation, and charged with a unique mission - to improve the quality of life in a seven-state region through the integrated management of the region's resources. TVA's mission focuses on three key areas:
• Energy — Delivering reliable, low cost, clean energy;
• Environment — Caring for the region's natural resources; and
• Economic Development — Creating sustainable economic growth.
TVA's Strategic Priorities
While TVA's mission has not changed since it was established in 1933, the climate in which TVA operates continues to evolve. To continue to deliver its mission of service while evolving for future success, TVA must realize five strategic priorities:
• Powerful Partnerships — Promoting progress through the shared success of TVA's customers and stakeholders;
• People Advantage — Amplifying the energy, passion, and creativity within each TVA employee;
• Operational Excellence — Building on TVA's best-in-class reputation for reliable service and competitively priced power;
• Igniting Innovation — Pursuing innovative solutions for TVA and its customers and communities; and
• Financial Strength — Investing in the future, while keeping energy costs as low as possible.
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Service Area
TVA's service area, the area in which it sells power, is defined by the Tennessee Valley Authority Act of 1933, as amended ("TVA Act"). TVA supplies power in most of Tennessee, northern Alabama, northeastern Mississippi, and southwestern Kentucky, and in portions of northern Georgia, western North Carolina, and southwestern Virginia. Under the TVA Act, subject to certain minor exceptions, TVA may not, without the enactment of authorizing federal legislation, enter into contracts that would have the effect of making it, or the wholesale customers that distribute TVA power ("local power company customers" or "LPCs"), a source of power supply outside the area for which TVA or its LPCs were the primary source of power supply on July 1, 1957. This provision is referred to as the "fence" because it bounds TVA's sales activities, essentially limiting TVA to power sales within a defined service area.
Note
See Power Supply and Load Management Resources.
In addition, the Federal Power Act ("FPA") includes a provision that helps protect TVA's ability to sell power within its service area. This provision, called the "anti-cherrypicking" provision, prevents the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission ("FERC") from ordering TVA to provide access to its transmission lines to others to deliver power to customers within TVA's defined service area. As a result, the anti-cherrypicking provision reduces TVA's exposure to loss of its customers. However, there have been some efforts to circumvent the anti-cherrypicking provision, and the protection of the provision could be limited and perhaps eliminated by federal legislation at some time in the future. See Competition, Item 1A, Risk Factors — Regulatory, Legislative, and Legal Risks — TVA may lose its protected service territory , and Note 23 — Commitments and Contingencies — Legal Proceedings — Challenge to Anti-Cherrypicking Amendment .
In 2021, the revenues generated from TVA's electricity sales were $10.4 billion and accounted for virtually all of TVA's revenues. See Note 18 — Revenue for details regarding revenues by state for each of the last three years.
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COVID-19 Pandemic
In March 2020, the World Health Organization declared the outbreak of the Coronavirus Disease 2019 ("COVID-19") to be a pandemic, which continues to be a serious challenge throughout the U.S. TVA implemented a company-wide pandemic plan to address specific aspects of the COVID-19 pandemic, including impacts from variants. TVA's pandemic plan continually evolves based on medical guidance and federal, regional, and local requirements and guidelines.
TVA has put in place measures to protect its workforce, stakeholders, and critical operations, such as extending the timeframe for workforce reintegration and continuing to implement strong physical and cybersecurity measures. Generation, transmission, and distribution functions are actively monitored, and TVA's operations and delivery of energy to customers have not been materially impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic at this time. While TVA experienced a reduction in revenue for the year ended September 30, 2020, based on current internal models, TVA estimates that the COVID-19 pandemic had little impact on TVA's sales volume for the year ended September 30, 2021. TVA continues to assess potential supplier risk, and through September 30, 2021, TVA has seen an increase in supplier impacts as a result of COVID-19, such as delays and price fluctuations, but has not experienced significant business disruptions at this time.
The COVID-19 pandemic has also created economic uncertainty for TVA's LPCs and the communities they serve. To support LPCs and strengthen the public power response to the COVID-19 pandemic, TVA created initiatives such as the Public Power Support and Stabilization Program, Back-to-Business Credit Program, Community Care Fund, and Pandemic Credits. TVA has also provided regulatory flexibility for LPCs to halt disconnection of services.
The COVID-19 pandemic is an evolving situation, and TVA will continue to monitor and adjust its response as necessary to ensure reliable service while protecting the safety and health of its workforce. See Item 7, Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations — Key Initiatives — COVID-19 Pandemic for an expanded discussion of the impact to TVA and related initiatives.
Customers
TVA is primarily a wholesaler of power, selling power to LPCs that then resell power to their customers at retail rates. TVA's LPCs consist of (1) municipalities and other local government entities ("municipalities") and (2) customer-owned entities ("cooperatives"). These municipalities and cooperatives operate public power electric systems whose primary purpose is not to make a profit but to supply electricity to the general public or the cooperatives' members. TVA also sells power directly to certain end-use customers, primarily large commercial and industrial loads and federal agencies with loads larger than 5,000 kilowatts ("kW"). Whether TVA or an LPC serves a new power customer is determined by the applicable TVA-LPC wholesale power contract. Each contract contains a formula that balances the size of the LPC and the amount of any TVA infrastructure investment to determine which party is entitled to serve the new customer. In addition, power in excess of the needs of the TVA system may, where consistent with the provisions of the TVA Act, be sold under exchange power arrangements with other specific electric systems. See Item 7, Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations — Results of Operations — Financial Results — Operating Revenues and Note 18 — Revenue for details regarding operating revenues for each of the last three years.
Local Power Company Customers
Revenues from LPCs accounted for approximately 91 percent of TVA's total operating revenues for 2021. TVA had wholesale power contracts with 153 LPCs at September 30, 2021. Each of these contracts requires the LPC to purchase from TVA all of the electric power required for service to the LPC's customers; however, flexibility agreements available to LPCs that have executed long-term contracts with TVA allow LPCs to locally generate or purchase up to approximately five percent of average total hourly energy sales over 2015 - 2019 in order to meet their individual customers' needs. LPCs purchase power under contracts with terms of five or 20 years to terminate.
TVA's two largest LPCs — Memphis Light, Gas and Water Division ("MLGW") and Nashville Electric Service ("NES") — have contracts with a five-year and a 20-year termination notice period, respectively. Sales to MLGW and NES accounted for nine percent and eight percent, respectively, of TVA's total operating revenues for 2021. Certain LPCs, including MLGW, are evaluating options for future energy choices. In addition, in January 2021, four LPCs filed a complaint and petition with FERC asking FERC to order TVA to provide transmission and interconnection service to the LPCs or other suppliers that want to serve them. In August 2021, one of the LPCs notified FERC of its withdrawal from the complaint and petition. The remaining three LPCs accounted for three percent of TVA's total operating revenues for the year ended September 30, 2021. See Note 23 — Commitments and Contingencies — Legal Proceedings — Challenge to Anti-Cherrypicking Amendment for updates to this legal proceeding.
TVA and LPCs continue to work together to meet the changing needs of consumers around the Tennessee Valley. In 2019, the TVA Board approved a Partnership Agreement option that better aligns the length of LPC power contracts with TVA's long-term commitments. Under the partnership arrangement, the LPC power contracts automatically renew each year and have a 20-year termination notice. The partnership arrangements can be terminated under certain circumstances, including TVA's failure to limit rate increases as provided for in the agreements going forward. Participating LPCs receive benefits including a 3.1
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percent wholesale bill credit in exchange for their long-term commitment, which enables TVA to recover its long-term financial commitments over a commensurate period. In June 2020, TVA provided participating LPCs a flexibility option that allows them to locally generate or purchase up to approximately five percent of average total hourly energy sales over 2015 - 2019 in order to meet their individual customers' needs. As of November 12, 2021, 145 LPCs had signed the 20-year Partnership Agreement with TVA, and 74 LPCs had signed a Flexibility Agreement.
The power contracts between TVA and LPCs provide for the purchase of power by LPCs at the wholesale rates established by the TVA Board. Under the TVA Act, the TVA Board is authorized to regulate LPCs to carry out the purposes of the TVA Act through contract terms and conditions as well as through rules and regulations. TVA regulates LPCs primarily through the provisions of TVA's wholesale power contracts. All of the power contracts between TVA and the LPCs require that power purchased from TVA be sold and distributed to the ultimate consumer without discrimination among consumers of the same class and prohibit direct or indirect discriminatory rates, rebates, or other special concessions. In addition, there are a number of wholesale power contract provisions through which TVA seeks to ensure that the electric system revenues of the LPCs are used only for electric system purposes. Furthermore, almost all of these contracts specify the resale rates and charges at which the LPC must resell TVA power to its customers. These rates are revised from time to time, subject to TVA approval, to reflect changes in costs, including changes in the wholesale cost of power.
TVA also regulates LPC policies for customer deposits, termination of service for non-payment, information to consumers, and billing through a service practice policy framework. TVA's regulatory framework provides for consistent regulatory policy for ratepayers across the Tennessee Valley, while recognizing local considerations. The regulatory provisions in TVA's wholesale power contracts are designed to carry out the objectives of the TVA Act, including the objective of providing for an adequate supply of power at the lowest feasible rates. See Rates — Rate Methodology below.
Other Customers
Revenues from directly served industrial customers accounted for approximately seven percent of TVA's total operating revenues in 2021. Contracts with these customers are subject to termination by the customer or TVA upon a minimum notice period that varies according to a number of factors, including the customer's contract demand and the period of time service has been provided. TVA also serves seven federal customers, including U.S. Department of Energy ("DOE") facilities and military installations, which accounted for approximately one percent of TVA's total operating revenues in 2021.
Other Revenue
Other revenue consists primarily of wheeling and network transmission charges, sales of excess steam that is a by-product of power production, delivery point charges for interconnection points between TVA and the customer, and certain other minor items. Other revenue accounted for approximately one percent of TVA's total operating revenues in 2021.
Rates
Rate Authority
The TVA Act gives the TVA Board sole responsibility for establishing the rates TVA charges for power. These rates are not subject to judicial review or to review or approval by any state or other federal regulatory body. Under the TVA Act, TVA is required to charge rates for power that will produce gross revenues sufficient to provide funds for:
• Operation, maintenance, and administration of its power system;
• Payments to states and counties in lieu of taxes ("tax equivalents");
• Debt service on outstanding indebtedness;
• Payments to the U.S. Treasury in repayment of and as a return on the government's appropriation investment in TVA's power facilities (the "Power Program Appropriation Investment"); and
• Such additional margin as the TVA Board may consider desirable for investment in power system assets, retirement of outstanding Bonds in advance of their maturity, additional reduction of the Power Program Appropriation Investment, and other purposes connected with TVA's power business, having due regard for the primary objectives of the TVA Act, including the objective that power shall be sold at rates as low as are feasible. See Note 19 — Proprietary Capital .
TVA fulfilled its requirement to repay $1.0 billion of the Power Program Appropriation Investment in 2014; therefore, the repayment of this amount is no longer a component of rate setting.
Rate Methodology
TVA uses a seasonal time of use wholesale rate structure comprised of base demand and energy rates, a fuel rate, and a grid access charge ("GAC") . In setting the base rates, TVA uses a debt-service coverage ("DSC") methodology to derive annual revenue requirements in a manner similar to that used by other public power entities that also use the DSC rate methodology. Under the DSC methodology, rates are calculated so that an entity will be able to cover its operating costs and to
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satisfy its obligations to pay principal and interest on debt, plus an additional margin. This ratemaking approach is particularly suitable for use by entities financed primarily, if not entirely, by debt, such as TVA, and helps ensure that TVA produces gross revenues sufficient to fund requirements specified in the TVA Act listed under Rate Authority above.
TVA recovers fuel costs and tax equivalent payments associated with fuel cost adjustments through a monthly rate reflecting the forecasted costs of fuel. Fuel costs are allocated to three groups of customers: Standard Service (residential and small commercial customers), large manufacturing customers with contract demands greater than 5 megawatts ("MW"), and large general service customers with contract demands greater than 5 MW. Fuel costs are allocated to these three classes of customers in relation to their hourly loads and TVA's hourly incremental dispatch cost. Total monthly fuel costs include costs for natural gas, fuel oil, coal, purchased power, emission allowances, nuclear fuel, and other fuel-related commodities as well as realized gains and losses on derivatives purchased to hedge the costs of such commodities.
In prior years, TVA, LPCs, and directly served industries developed changes to TVA's rate structures that focus on TVA's long-term pricing efforts. These changes improved pricing by better aligning rates with underlying cost drivers and by sending improved pricing signals, while maintaining competitive industrial rates and keeping residential rates affordable. The rate structures also reduced wholesale energy rates for Standard Service and introduced a GAC at an offsetting rate to better recover fixed costs. This approach more accurately reflects the wholesale cost of energy and recognizes the value of the grid's reliability and associated fixed costs. TVA's modernized approach to pricing provides bill stability while maintaining reliability and fairness for all TVA's customers. TVA will continue to collaborate with LPCs and directly served industries as necessary to ensure alignment with this approach.
Power Supply and Load Management Resources
General
TVA seeks to balance production capabilities with power supply requirements by promoting the conservation and efficient use of electricity and, when necessary, buying, building, or leasing assets or entering into power purchase agreements ("PPAs"). TVA also seeks to employ a diverse mix of energy generating sources and works toward obtaining greater amounts of its power supply from clean (low or zero carbon emitting) resources.
TVA is making investments in its generating portfolio to modernize the fleet while also allowing TVA to maintain competitive rates and high reliability and work toward carbon emission reductions. As TVA continues to evaluate the impact of retiring its coal-fired fleet by 2035, it is also evaluating adding flexible lower carbon-emitting gas plants as a bridging strategy to maintain reliability, such as the ongoing projects at TVA’s Paradise and Colbert sites. In addition, TVA is committed to investing in the future of nuclear with the evaluation of emerging advanced nuclear technologies, such as small modular reactors ("SMRs"), and has uprated the existing Browns Ferry units to generate more low-cost, reliable, and carbon-free energy. TVA is also implementing the Hydro Life Extension Program with a focus on improving the availability and flexibility of the hydroelectric fleet. See Item 7, Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations — Key Initiatives — Generation Resources — Extended Power Uprate , Natural Gas-Fired Units , and Small Modular Reactors , in addition to Renewable Energy Resources — Hydro Modernization Program below.
In addition, TVA and other utilities across the southeastern United States are exploring the creation of an automated energy exchange platform across the region to facilitate more short-term power exchanges. The energy exchange would be an enhancement to the existing market. See Item 7, Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations — Key Initiatives — Automated Energy Exchange Platform .
Power generating facilities operated by TVA at September 30, 2021, included three nuclear sites, 17 natural gas and/or oil-fired sites, five coal-fired sites, 29 conventional hydroelectric sites, one pumped-storage hydroelectric site, one diesel generator site, and 13 solar installations. See Item 2, Properties — Generating Properties — Net Capability for a discussion of the units at these facilities. TVA also acquires power under PPAs of varying durations, including short-term contracts of less than 24-hours in duration. See Item 7, Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations — Results of Operations — Financial Results — Operating Expenses .
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The following table shows TVA's generation and purchased power by generating source as a percentage of all
electric power generated and purchased (based on kilowatt hours ("kWh")) for the periods indicated:
Total Power Supply by Generating Source
For the years ended September 30
Generation Resource (1)
2021 2020 2019
Nuclear 41% 42% 39%
Natural gas and/or oil-fired 21% 22% 20%
Coal-fired 15% 13% 17%
Hydroelectric 10% 10% 10%
Purchased power (non-renewable) 8% 8% 9%
Purchased power (renewable) 5% 5% 5%
Note
(1) TVA's non-hydro renewable resources from TVA facilities are less than one percent for all periods shown, and therefore are not represented on the table above. Purchased power (renewable) contains the majority of non-hydro renewable energy supply.
Nuclear
At September 30, 2021, TVA had three nuclear sites consisting of seven units in operation. The units at Browns Ferry Nuclear Plant ("Browns Ferry") are boiling water reactor units, and the units at Sequoyah Nuclear Plant ("Sequoyah") and Watts Bar Nuclear Plant ("Watts Bar") are pressurized water reactor units. Operating information for each of these units is included in the table below.
TVA Nuclear Power
At September 30, 2021
Nuclear Unit
Summer Net Capability (MW) Net Capacity
Factor for
2021 (%)
Date of Expiration
of Operating
License
Browns Ferry Unit 1 (1)
1,227 87.7 2033
Browns Ferry Unit 2 (1)
1,208 83.3 2034
Browns Ferry Unit 3 (1)
1,227 99.3 2036
Sequoyah Unit 1 1,152 85.9 2040
Sequoyah Unit 2 1,140 97.2 2041
Watts Bar Unit 1 1,157 95.4 2035
Watts Bar Unit 2 1,164 74.8 2055
Note
(1) Summer net capability for Browns Ferry includes the impact of the extended power uprate project which was finalized in 2021 through issuance of related engineering memos. See Item 7, Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations — Key Initiatives and Challenges — Generation Resources — Extended Power Uprate.
Other Nuclear Initiatives . The NRC issued an Early Site Permit to TVA in December 2019 to license SMRs at TVA's Clinch River Nuclear Site in Oak Ridge, Tennessee. See Item 7, Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations — Key Initiatives and Challenges — Generation Resources — Small Modular Reactors .
Other Nuclear Matters. Operating nuclear facilities subjects TVA to waste disposal, decommissioning, and insurance requirements, as well as litigation risks. See Fuel Supply — Nuclear Fuel below for a discussion of spent nuclear fuel and low-level radioactive waste, Note 23 — Commitments and Contingencies — Contingencies for a discussion of TVA's nuclear decommissioning liabilities and the related trust and nuclear insurance, and Note 23 — Commitments and Contingencies — Legal Proceedings and Item 7, Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations — Key Initiatives and Challenges — Apparent Violations of NRC Regulations for a discussion of legal and administrative proceedings related to TVA's nuclear program, which discussions are incorporated herein by reference.
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Natural Gas and/or Oil-Fired
At September 30, 2021, TVA's natural gas and oil-fired fleet consisted of 101 combustion turbine power blocks (86 simple-cycle units, one cogeneration unit, and 14 combined-cycle power units), accounting for 12,183 MW of summer net capability. Sixty-six of the simple-cycle units are currently capable of quick-start response allowing full generation capability in approximately 10 minutes. The economic dispatch of natural gas-fired plants depends on both the day-to-day price of natural gas and the price of other available intermediate resources such as coal-fired plants. TVA uses simple-cycle units to meet peaking or backup power needs. TVA's 2019 IRP projects significant solar expansion over the next decade. The natural gas-fired fleet supports that expansion by providing reliability across all hours, as well as the flexibility to help manage ramping and intermittency. As TVA evaluates its coal-fired fleet, it will also evaluate adding flexible lower carbon-emitting gas plants as a bridging strategy.
See Item 2, Properties — Generating Properties, Note 8 — Leases , Note 11 — Variable Interest Entities , and Note 14 — Debt and Other Obligations for a discussion of lease arrangements into which TVA has entered in connection with certain combustion turbine units. Because of TVA's strategy of portfolio diversification and reduction of air emissions, TVA may decide to make further strategic investments in natural gas-fired facilities in the future by purchase, construction, or lease. See Item 7, Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations — Key Initiatives and Challenges — Generation Resources — Natural Gas-Fired Units for a discussion of ongoing projects at certain natural gas-fired facilities .
Coal-Fired
At September 30, 2021, TVA had five coal-fired plants consisting of 25 active units, accounting for 6,580 MW of summer net capability. TVA considers units to be in an active state when the unit is generating, available for service, or temporarily unavailable due to equipment failures, inspections, or repairs. All other coal-fired units are considered retired. In 2018, the TVA Board approved a plan to perform assessments of Bull Run Fossil Plant ("Bull Run") and Paradise Fossil Plant ("Paradise"). Results of these assessments were presented to the TVA Board at its February 2019 meeting, and the Board approved the retirement of Paradise Unit 3 by December 2020 and Bull Run by December 2023. Paradise Unit 3 was taken offline on February 1, 2020, effectively retiring the plant.
Coal-fired plants have been subject to increasingly stringent regulatory requirements over the last few decades, including those under the Clean Air Act ("CAA"), the Clean Water Act ("CWA"), and the Resource Conservation and Recovery Act ("RCRA"). TVA has committed to a programmatic approach for the evaluation of its sites where coal combustion residuals ("CCR") are stored to meet all applicable state and federal regulations. Increasing regulatory costs and carbon reduction efforts have caused TVA to consider whether to make the required capital investments to continue operating its coal-fired facilities. See Item 7, Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations — Key Initiatives and Challenges — Generation Resources — Coal Combustion Residuals Facilities.
TVA is moving toward a more balanced generation plan with greater reliance on lower-cost and cleaner energy generation technologies. Since September 30, 2010, TVA has reduced its summer net capability of coal-fired units by 7,653 MW. Following the publication of the 2019 IRP, TVA began conducting end-of-life evaluations of the remaining coal fleet to inform long-term planning. TVA’s recent evaluation confirms that the aging coal fleet is among the oldest in the nation and is experiencing deterioration of material condition and performance challenges. The performance challenges are projected to increase due to the coal fleet’s advancing age and the difficulty of adapting the coal fleet’s generation within the changing generation profile. Additionally, the coal fleet is contributing to environmental, economic, and reliability risks. TVA is evaluating the impact of retiring the balance of the coal-fired fleet by 2035, and that evaluation includes environmental review, public input, and TVA Board approval. See Item 7, Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations — Key Initiatives and Challenges — Generation Resources — Optimum Energy Portfolio.
Diesel Generators
At September 30, 2021, TVA had one diesel generator plant consisting of five units, and this facility accounted for 9
MW of summer net capability. These units are not currently dispatched for generation to the transmission grid.
Raccoon Mountain Pumped-Storage Plant
At September 30, 2021, TVA had four units at Raccoon Mountain Pumped-Storage Plant ("Raccoon Mountain") with a total net summer capability of 1,635 MW. These units are utilized to balance the transmission system as well as generate power. TVA uses electricity generated by its fleet during periods of low demand to operate pumps that fill the reservoir at Raccoon Mountain. Then, during periods of high or peak demand, the water is released and the pumps reverse to work as power generating turbines.
Renewable Energy Resources
As more consumers and businesses are demanding cleaner energy, the utility industry is evolving to meet those needs. As TVA also evolves, it will see impacts to the way it does business through the pricing of products, transmission of energy, and
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development of new products and services for its customers in support of changing customer preferences. Many companies are focusing on sustainability and requiring more energy efficiency and renewable energy options. In addition, TVA also seeks to obtain greater amounts of its power supply from clean resources to work towards carbon emission reductions. As a result, TVA is increasing its renewable energy portfolio, by investing in existing assets and securing power purchase agreements for out-of-Valley wind and in-Valley solar. New utility-scale solar is increasing, in part driven by customers’ demand through TVA’s Green Invest Program. TVA also encourages renewable power and offers renewable solutions through various current programs and offerings. Finally, TVA is investing in its hydroelectric fleet through the Hydro Life Extension Program. See Distributed Energy Resources below for information on renewable energy solutions and Power Purchase and Other Agreements below for information on TVA’s power purchase agreements, including renewable agreements.
Conventional Hydroelectric Dams. TVA maintains 29 conventional hydroelectric dams with 109 generating units throughout the Tennessee River system for the production of electricity. As of September 30, 2021, these units accounted for 3,750 MW of summer net capability. The amount of electricity that TVA is able to generate from its hydroelectric plants depends on a number of factors, including the amount of precipitation and runoff, initial water levels, generating unit availability, and the need for water for competing water management objectives. When these factors are unfavorable, TVA must increase its reliance on higher cost generation plants and purchased power. In addition, a portion of energy generated by nine U.S. Army Corps of Engineers ("USACE") dams on the Cumberland River system contributes to the TVA power system. See Weather and Seasonality below and Item 7, Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations — Key Initiatives and Challenges — Dam Safety and Remediation Initiatives.
Hiwassee Hydro Unit 2 has a unique reversible turbine/generator that acts as a pump and a turbine enhancing TVA's ability to balance baseload generation. At September 30, 2021, Hiwassee Hydro Unit 2 accounted for 86 MW of the conventional hydroelectric summer net capability.
Hydro Modernization Program. TVA's Hydro Modernization Program began in 1992 and focused on units with potential to increase peaking capacity and improve reliability. With the completion of Pickwick Landing Dam ("Pickwick") Unit 2 in 2020, the initial Hydro Modernization Program has concluded with modernization completed on 62 conventional hydroelectric units under the program. The modernization projects resulted in 453 MW of increased capacity from the conventional hydroelectric units, with an average efficiency gain of approximately five percent. Hydroelectric generation will continue to be an important part of TVA's energy mix since it plays a vital role in carbon reduction initiatives, the ability to integrate other renewables into the power portfolio, and, ultimately, TVA's ability to meet changing customer preferences for cleaner energy sources. As such, TVA is implementing the Hydro Life Extension Program with a focus on improving the availability and flexibility of the hydroelectric fleet to help meet these changing customer preferences.
Self-Directed Solar. During 2019, the TVA Board approved the opportunity for TVA to explore being directly involved in the development of a utility-scale solar project, contingent on the successful completion of environmental reviews under National Environmental Policy Act ("NEPA") and other applicable laws. A project structure has been developed that will allow TVA to work with financial partners for solar development, and in September 2021, TVA purchased land for this planned 200 MW development. As of September 30, 2021, TVA had spent approximately $24 million on the project and expects to spend an additional $293 million through 2024.
Other Renewable Energy Resources. TVA's other renewable energy resources include TVA-owned solar and renewable energy purchases, a majority associated with TVA renewable programs. In addition to the hydroelectric units above, TVA owns 13 solar installations that account for approximately 1 MW of summer net capability. See Distributed Energy Resources below for a description of TVA's current renewable energy offerings and Power Purchase and Other Agreements for information on renewable energy purchases.
TVA tracks its renewable energy commitments and claims through the management of Renewable Energy Certificates ("RECs"). The RECs, which each represent 1 megawatt-hour ("MWh") of renewable energy generation, are principally associated with wind, solar, biomass, and low-impact hydroelectric. TVA continues to evaluate ways to adjust to customer preferences and requirements for cleaner and greener energy, including the acquisition of RECs from renewable purchased power that can be sold to customers to meet their needs. Overall, TVA will procure needed renewable supply through a diversified approach, which could include a competitive procurement process, strategic partnerships, or construction of renewable facilities to meet these needs.
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Total Renewable Energy Resources . As of September 30, 2021, TVA's total renewable capacity, including TVA-owned and operated facilities, operating and contracted PPAs, and TVA's self-directed solar project, amounted to 8,269 MW.
Notes
(1) Contracted resources are executed power purchase agreements expected to come online at a future date.
(2) Hydroelectric power consists of 3,750 MW from TVA-owned conventional hydroelectric facilities and 402 MW from a renewable PPA.
(3) Biomass consists of 49 MW of operating resources and 5 MW of contracted resources.
TVA's operating renewables by location and by source are detailed below:
Notes
(1) In-Valley refers to the renewable energy that is sourced within TVA's service territory. Out-of-Valley refers to the renewable energy that is sourced outside of TVA's service territory and solely consists of wind power.
(2) See Power Purchase and Other Agreements below. PPAs also includes capability from various historical renewable energy programs primarily with individuals and small businesses.
Distributed Energy Resources
Consumer desire for energy choice, among other things, is driving the expectation for flexible options in the electric industry. TVA and LPCs are working together to leverage the strengths of the Tennessee Valley public power model to provide distributed energy solutions that are economical, sustainable, and flexible. TVA will focus on the safety and reliability impacts of these resources as they are interconnected to the grid and will ensure that the pricing of electricity remains as low as feasible. Additional regulatory considerations and analysis may be required as the distributed energy resources ("DER") market, technologies, and programs evolve.
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DER Programs and Offerings . TVA encourages renewable power through various current programs and offerings. These solutions include:
Small-scale Solutions . The Green Connect Program, launched in January 2021, connects residential customers interested in on-site solar installations with qualified solar installers.
Mid-scale Solutions . The Flexibility Research Project was a joint pilot project with LPCs to enable solutions for situations where the end-use consumer needs onsite renewable or distributed generation. The Flexibility Research Project ceased accepting new applications in January 2021 as TVA introduced other flexible programs and offerings discussed in this section.
Utility-scale Solutions . The Green Invest Program matches customer demand with renewable supply through a Green Invest Agreement. The goal of the Green Invest program is to meet the long-term sustainability needs of customers at scale. TVA will procure the needed renewable supply through a diversified approach, which could include a competitive procurement process, strategic partnerships, or construction of renewable facilities to meet these needs. In addition, Generation Flexibility is a solution available to long-term LPC partners and supports the deployment of up to 2,000 MW of distributed solar to provide clean, local generation. See Item 7, Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations — Key Initiatives and Challenges — Ratemaking .
Other Renewable Solutions. The Green Switch Program allows customers to support wind, solar, and biomass renewable resources through purchasing renewable energy generated in the Tennessee Valley, sold in 200 kWh blocks. The Green Flex Program gives commercial and industrial customers the ability to meet sustainability goals and to make renewable energy claims through RECs from wind generation located outside TVA's service area.
Other DER Initiatives . TVA also offers various energy efficiency programs. Through the Home Uplift Program, TVA is partnering with LPCs, state and local governments, non-profit agencies, energy efficiency advocates, third-party contributors, and the Tennessee Valley Public Power Association ("TVPPA") to complete home evaluations and make high-impact home energy upgrades for qualifying homeowners. In addition, TVA and LPCs conduct workshops to educate homeowners about low and no-cost energy efficiency upgrades that improve their quality of life. Through the School Uplift Program pilot, TVA is partnering with LPCs as well as state and local governments to assist schools with adopting strategic energy management practices. The engagement with each school includes monthly virtual workshops and fosters performance through competitions for energy efficiency grants and grants for solar pavilions. Finally, through the Community Centered Growth Program, TVA is partnering with LPCs to assist small businesses located within underserved communities with energy evaluations and no-cost energy improvement investments.
In 2017, the TVA Board authorized up to $300 million to be spent over the next 10 years, subject to annual budget availability and necessary environmental reviews, to build an enhanced fiber optic network that will better connect TVA's operational assets. Fiber is a vital part of TVA's modern communication infrastructure. The new fiber optic lines will improve the reliability and resiliency of the generation and transmission system while enabling the system to better accommodate DER as they enter the market.
New energy management systems and energy storage technologies present opportunities for more sophisticated and integrated operation of the entire grid. The advent of electric vehicles and small-scale renewable generation has hastened the development of energy storage technologies that have the potential to mitigate the intermittent supply issues associated with many renewable generation options. Implementation of these technologies in conjunction with two-way communication to the site creates the potential for more efficient usage of other DER on the grid.
TVA continues to focus on utilizing more EVs and installing charging stations inside the Tennessee Valley. TVA's electric vehicle ("EV") strategy is a staged approach that will evolve as the local EV market matures. TVA partnered with over 30 organizations across the State of Tennessee (known as the "Drive Electric Tennessee" collaborative) to create a roadmap to outline local market needs for widespread adoption. This foundational information is crucial as more affordable, longer range EVs come to the market. TVA is partnering with LPCs and others to support the electrification of transportation in the Valley in a multi-year EV initiative. The initiative focuses on reducing or eliminating EV market barriers by setting EV policies, improving charging infrastructure availability, expanding EV availability and offerings, and spreading EV consumer awareness. In November 2020, the TVA Board approved new policies and an optional wholesale EV rate aimed at encouraging the development of charging infrastructure in the Valley. The updated policies enable LPC investment in public charging infrastructure and allow for the conditional resale of electricity, for transportation purposes only, by any charging developer on a kWh basis. The optional wholesale rate was developed with high power EV charging in mind and provides a stable option for those developing charging infrastructure.
Onsite energy management technologies and the proliferation of companies interested in providing services to support and aggregate the impacts of such systems provide another DER opportunity. Such systems can afford the consumer benefits through reduced consumption, increased comfort, detailed energy use data, and savings from time-sensitive rate structures. TVA and LPCs must consider the integration of the impacts from changes in energy usage patterns resulting from the operation of such systems.
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Demand response systems that take advantage of the increasing sophistication in communication to homes, businesses, and distribution system assets also afford the opportunity for more granular control of system demand. Technologies can manage individual customer systems to shift usage from peak to off-peak periods and create significant reductions in the need for peak generation output or curtail usage for short periods to balance system demand. More sophisticated distribution control systems can also lower peak demand through control of excess voltage on the grid on either a dispatchable or continuous basis. Some large industrial customers also have the capacity to respond instantaneously and can augment operational flexibility by providing ancillary services.
TVA is leading an initiative to determine the value of DER for its system. Initial efforts are focused on small-scale distributed (rooftop) solar, but the efforts are general enough to allow for other distributed options. These efforts are ongoing, led by a team that includes technical support from the Electric Power Research Institute ("EPRI"), to develop a methodology to identify site preferences on the distribution systems of the LPCs. This work, along with locational analysis already completed by TVA, will help in placing utility-scale solar in furtherance of the IRP recommendations as well as distributed solar to meet the needs of LPCs. See Research and Development below.
Power Purchase and Other Agreements
TVA acquires power from a variety of power producers generally through long-term and short-term PPAs as well as through spot market purchases. During 2021, TVA acquired approximately 94 percent of the power that it purchased through the long-term PPAs described below, including agreements for long-term renewable generation resources, approximately one percent through short-term PPAs, and approximately five percent on the spot market.
In order to meet customer preferences and requirements for cleaner and greener energy, TVA has entered into certain PPAs with renewable resource providers. As of September 30, 2021, TVA had operating or contracted capacity totaling 4,313 MW of summer net capability under renewable PPAs. These agreements are part of progressive partnerships that align the core values of TVA and the public power model with the desire of TVA's customers for renewable energy. See Item 7, Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations — Key Initiatives and Challenges — Changing Customer Preferences — Renewable Power Purchase Agreements.
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TVA's capability provided by PPAs is primarily provided under contracts that expire between 2022 and 2045, and are described in the table below.
Power Purchase Agreements
At September 30, 2021
Type of Facility Location Number of Contracts Summer Net Capability
(MW) Contract Termination Date
Renewable PPAs
Operating
Solar Tennessee 2 58 2032 - 2039
Solar (1)
Alabama 2 302 2037 - 2041
Total Operating Solar 4 360
Wind Tennessee 1 27 2025
Wind Iowa 2 299 2030 - 2031
Wind Kansas 2 366 2032 - 2033
Wind Illinois 3 550 2032 - 2033
Total Operating Wind 8 1,242
Hydroelectric Tennessee and Kentucky 1 402 Upon three years' notice
Landfill Gas Tennessee 1 5 2031
Subtotal Operating 14 2,009
Contract Renewable Resources (2)
326
Total Operating 2,335
Contracted
Solar (3)
Tennessee 11 1,186 2038 - 2045
Solar (4)
Kentucky 2 242 2038 - 2043
Solar (4)
Mississippi 3 550 2043
Total Contracted 16 1,978
Total Renewable PPAs 30 4,313
Nonrenewable PPAs
Operating
Diesel Tennessee 4 59 2023 - 2032
Diesel Alabama 1 10 2035
Diesel Mississippi 2 46 2023 - 2028
Total Operating Diesel 7 115
Natural Gas Alabama 4 2,573 2022 - 2033
Lignite Mississippi 1 440 2032
Total Operating 12 3,128
Contracted
Battery Storage (5)
Tennessee 1 66 2045
Battery Storage (4)
Kentucky 1 30 2043
Battery Storage (4)
Mississippi 3 150 2043
Total Contracted 5 246
Total Nonrenewable PPAs 17 3,374
Notes
(1) 227 MW of power delivery commenced in 2021. See Item 7, Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations — Key Initiatives — Changing Customer Preferences — Renewable Power Purchase Agreements .
(2) Contract Renewable Resources is capability from various historical renewable energy programs that consist of PPAs primarily with individuals and small businesses.
(3) Power delivery is expected to commence between 2022 - 2025.
(4) Power delivery is expected to commence in 2023.
(5) Power delivery is expected to commence in 2025.
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Under federal law, TVA is required to purchase energy from qualifying facilities (cogenerators and small power producers) at TVA's avoided cost of either generating this energy itself or purchasing this energy from another source. TVA fulfills this requirement through the Dispersed Power Production Program. At September 30, 2021, there were 369 generation sources, with a combined qualifying capacity of 270 MW, whose power TVA purchases under this program.
Fuel Supply
General
TVA's consumption of various types of fuel depends largely on the demand for electricity by TVA's customers, the availability of various generating units, and the availability and cost of fuel. See Item 7, Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations — Results of Operations — Financial Results — Operating Expenses.
Nuclear Fuel
Current Fuel Supply . Converting uranium to nuclear fuel generally involves four stages: the mining and milling of uranium ore to produce uranium concentrates; the conversion of uranium concentrates to uranium hexafluoride gas; the enrichment of uranium hexafluoride; and the fabrication of the enriched uranium hexafluoride into fuel assemblies. TVA plans to continue using contracts of various products, lengths, and terms as well as inventory to meet the projected nuclear fuel needs of its nuclear fleet. The net book value of TVA's nuclear fuel was $1.6 billion and $1.5 billion at September 30, 2021 and 2020, respectively. See Note 16 — Risk Management Activities and Derivative Transactions — Counterparty Risk .
TVA, the DOE, and certain nuclear fuel contractors have entered into agreements, referred to as the Down-blend Offering for Tritium ("DBOT"), that provide for the production, processing, and storage of low-enriched uranium that is to be made using surplus DOE highly enriched uranium and other uranium. Low-enriched uranium can be fabricated into fuel for use in a nuclear power plant. Production of the low-enriched uranium began in 2019 and is contracted to continue through September 2025. Beginning October 2025, contract activity will consist of storage and flag management. Flag management ensures that the uranium is free from foreign obligations, and unencumbered by policy restrictions, so that it can be used in connection with the production of tritium. Under the terms of the interagency agreement between the DOE and TVA, the DOE will reimburse TVA for a portion of the costs of converting the highly enriched uranium to low-enriched uranium. See Note 1 — Summary of Significant Accounting Policies — Down-blend Offering for Tritium for a more detailed discussion of the DBOT project.
Low-Level Radioactive Waste. Certain materials and supplies used in the normal operation of nuclear electrical generating units are potentially exposed to low levels of radiation. TVA sends shipments of low-level radioactive waste to burial facilities in Clive, Utah and Andrews, Texas. TVA is capable of storing some low-level radioactive waste at its own facilities for an extended period of time, if necessary.
Spent Nuclear Fuel. All three nuclear sites have dry cask storage facilities. Sequoyah will need additional capacity by 2029. Watts Bar will need additional capacity by 2039. Browns Ferry will need additional capacity by 2037. To recover the cost of providing long-term, onsite storage for spent nuclear fuel, TVA filed a breach of contract suit against the U.S. in the Court of Federal Claims in 2001. As a result of this lawsuit and related agreements, TVA has collected approximately $392 million through 2021.
Tritium-Related Services. TVA and the DOE are engaged in a long-term interagency agreement under which TVA will, at the DOE's request, irradiate tritium-producing burnable absorber rods ("TPBARs") to assist the DOE in producing tritium for the Department of Defense ("DOD"). This agreement, which ends in 2035, requires the DOE to reimburse TVA for the costs that TVA incurs in connection with providing irradiation services and to pay TVA an irradiation services fee at a specified rate per TPBAR over the period when irradiation occurs.
In general, TPBARs are irradiated for one operating cycle, which lasts about 18 months. At the end of the cycle, TVA removes the irradiated rods and loads them into a shipping cask. The DOE then ships them to its tritium-extraction facility. TVA loads a fresh set of TPBARs into the reactor during each refueling outage. Irradiating the TPBARs does not affect TVA's ability to safely operate the reactors to produce electricity.
TVA has provided irradiation services using Watts Bar Unit 1 since 2003. Although the interagency agreement provides for irradiation services to be performed at Watts Bar and Sequoyah, TVA expects the Watts Bar site to provide sufficient capacity to fulfill this agreement in the near term. The DOE notified TVA of future increased needs for tritium requiring the use of a second reactor. In 2019, TVA received approval from the NRC for a license amendment to authorize the irradiation of TPBARs in Watts Bar Unit 2. TVA began tritium production in Watts Bar Unit 2 in November 2020. The DOE's decision also allows for irradiation of TPBARs at Sequoyah in the future; however, TVA does not have plans to employ Sequoyah units for tritium production in the near term. TVA does intend to increase its production in Watts Bar Unit 1 beginning in November 2024, to align with a DOE request for increased tritium. TVA is currently working to submit a license amendment request with the NRC to fulfill this request.
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Natural Gas and Fuel Oil
During 2021, TVA purchased a significant amount of its natural gas requirements from a variety of suppliers under contracts with terms of up to 3 years and purchased substantially all of its fuel oil requirements on the spot market. The net book value of TVA's natural gas inventory was $22 million and $19 million at September 30, 2021 and 2020, respectively. The net book value of TVA's fuel oil inventory was $69 million and $82 million at September 30, 2021 and 2020, respectively. At September 30, 2021, 80 of the combustion turbines that TVA operates were dual-fuel capable, and TVA has fuel oil stored on each of these sites as a backup to natural gas.
TVA purchases natural gas from multiple suppliers on a daily, monthly, seasonal, and term basis. During 2021, daily, monthly, seasonal, and term contracts accounted for 23 percent, 14 percent, 26 percent, and 37 percent of purchases, respectively. TVA plans to continue using contracts of various lengths and terms to meet the projected natural gas needs of its natural gas fleet. During 2021, TVA arranged for the transportation of natural gas on nine separate pipelines, with approximately 66 percent being transported on two pipelines. During 2021, TVA maintained a total of approximately 1,517,000 million British thermal unit(s) ("mmBtu") per day of firm transportation capacity on seven major pipelines, with approximately 59 percent of total firm transportation capacity being maintained on two pipelines.
TVA utilizes natural gas storage services at seven facilities with a total capacity of 7.25 billion per cubic feet ("Bcf") of firm service and 5.00 Bcf of interruptible service to manage the daily balancing requirements of the nine pipelines used by TVA, with approximately 59 percent of the total storage capacity being maintained at two facilities. During 2021, storage levels were generally maintained at between 40 and 80 percent of the maximum contracted capacity at each facility. As TVA's natural gas requirements grow, it is anticipated that additional storage capacity may need to be acquired to meet the needs of the generating assets. In 2022, TVA expects to increase its storage portfolio by approximately 10 percent.
Coal
Coal consumption at TVA's coal-fired generating facilities during 2021 and 2020 was approximately 12 million tons and 11 million tons, respectively. At September 30, 2021 and 2020, TVA had 21 days and 30 days of system-wide coal supply at full burn rate, respectively, with net book values of $107 million and $152 million, respectively.
TVA utilizes both short-term and long-term coal contracts. During 2021, long-term contracts made up 82 percent of coal purchases, and short-term contracts accounted for the remaining 18 percent. TVA plans to continue using contracts of various lengths, terms, and coal quality to meet its expected consumption and inventory requirements. During 2021 and 2020, TVA purchased coal by basin as follows:
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The following charts present the proportion of each delivery method TVA utilizes for its coal supply for the periods indicated:
Total system coal inventories were lower than anticipated throughout 2021 primarily as a result of higher than forecasted coal generation, coal supply limitations, and transportation challenges. Higher coal generation was primarily the result of higher demand than anticipated in 2021 after the lower energy sales in 2020 associated with the COVID-19 pandemic and an increase in natural gas prices making coal a more favorable economic fuel choice. Supply limitations and transportation challenges were due to reduced mine production and/or mine closures, an increase in coal exports, and a reallocation of transportation capacity to support export sales. TVA anticipates that these challenges will continue into 2022. See also Item 7, Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations — Key Initiatives and Challenges — Generation Resources — Coal Supply .
Transmission
The TVA transmission system is one of the largest high-voltage transmission systems in North America. TVA's transmission system has 69 interconnections with 13 neighboring electric systems and delivered approximately 157 billion kWh of electricity to TVA customers in 2021. In carrying out its responsibility for transmission grid reliability in the TVA service area, TVA has operated with 99.999 percent reliability since 2000 in delivering electricity to customers. See Item 2, Properties — Transmission Properties .
Pursuant to its Transmission Service Guidelines, TVA offers transmission services to eligible customers to transmit wholesale power in a manner that is comparable to TVA's own use of the transmission system. TVA has also adopted and operates in accordance with its published Transmission Standards of Conduct and separates its transmission function from its power marketing function. TVA also is subject to federal reliability standards that are set forth by the North American Electric Reliability Corporation ("NERC") and approved by FERC. See Regulation .
Additional transmission upgrades may be required to maintain reliability. Upgrades may include enhancements to existing lines and substations or new installations as necessary to provide adequate power transmission capacity, maintain voltage support, and ensure generating plant and transmission system stability. In addition to upgrades to maintain reliability, TVA’s Grid of Tomorrow initiative aims to increase grid flexibility to enable greater use of renewable resources such as solar, wind, and other forms of distributed generation and includes making data and communications upgrades as demonstrated by the below initiatives. This initiative supports TVA’s decarbonization efforts while ensuring TVA continues to deliver reliable power at the lowest feasible rate. Investments in a modernized grid will enable enhanced monitoring and control of TVA’s transmission and generation portfolio.
In 2017, the TVA Board authorized a strategic fiber optic initiative of up to $300 million to be spent over the next 10 years, subject to annual budget availability and necessary environmental reviews, that will expand TVA's fiber capacity and improve the reliability and resiliency of the generation and transmission system. The network expansion is designed to help meet the power system's growing need for bandwidth as well as accommodate the integration of new DER. As of September 30, 2021 , TVA had spent $151 million on installation of the fiber optic lines and expects to spend an additional $149 million.
A new system operations center has been approved for $289 million. The new secured facility is being built to accommodate a new energy management system and adapt to new regulatory requirements, and will have improved physical security from the previous center. The facility is expected to be constructed by the third quarter of 2023 and fully operational in 2025. As of September 30, 2021 , TVA had spent approximately $92 million on the project and expects to spend an additional $197 million. The new energy management system has been approved for $90 million. As the current energy management
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system is nearing the end of its life cycle, this project will replace the existing analog system with a digital system . The new digital system will have higher capacity and speed, for communications with the TVA grid and for inputs from monitoring equipment, which will network the new control center with existing locations and enable better remote visibility and control. The system is expected to be complete in 2026. As of September 30, 2021, TVA had spent approximately $37 million on the project and expects to spend an additional $53 million.
In addition, TVA is working on various projects with universities, EPRI and others to help enable a dynamic and multi-directional grid. TVA is also working in partnership with LPCs to modernize their distribution systems by developing a shared vision and roadmap for transforming the Valley’s transmission and distribution systems into an integrated regional grid.
Weather and Seasonality
Weather affects both the demand for and the market prices of electricity. TVA's power system is generally a dual-peaking system in which the demand for electricity peaks during the summer and winter months to meet cooling and heating needs. TVA uses degree days to measure the impact of weather on its power operations. Degree days measure the extent to which the TVA system 23-station average temperatures vary from 65 degrees Fahrenheit. See Environmental Matters — Climate Change — Physical Impacts of Climate Change below and Item 7, Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations — Results of Operations — Sales of Electricity.
Competition
TVA provides electricity in a service area that is largely free of competition from other electric power providers. This service area is defined primarily by provisions of law and long-term contracts. The region in which TVA or LPCs that distribute TVA power may provide power is limited and is often referred to as "the fence." Under the FPA, the Anti-Cherrypicking Amendment ("ACPA") limits the ability of others to use the TVA transmission system for the purpose of serving customers within TVA's service area. State service territory laws limit unregulated third parties' ability to sell electricity to consumers. All TVA wholesale power contracts are all requirements contracts; however, Flexibility Agreements available to LPCs that have executed long-term contracts with TVA allow LPCs to locally generate or purchase up to approximately five percent of average total hourly energy sales over 2015 - 2019 in order to meet their individual customers' needs. In addition, other utilities may use their own transmission lines to serve customers within TVA's service area, and third parties are able to avoid the restrictions on serving end-use customers by selling or leasing generating assets to a customer rather than selling electricity. These threats underscore the need for TVA to design rates and strategically price its products and services to be competitive. There have also been some efforts to erode the ACPA, and the protection of the provision could be limited and perhaps eliminated by federal legislation at some time in the future. See Note 23 — Commitments and Contingencies — Legal Proceedings — Challenge to Anti-Cherrypicking Amendment for updates to this legal proceeding.
TVA also faces competition in the form of emerging technologies. Improvements in energy efficiency technologies, smart technologies, and energy storage technologies may reduce the demand for centrally provided power. The growing interest by customers in generating their own power through DER has the potential to lead to a reduction in the load served by TVA as well as cause TVA to re-evaluate how it operates the overall grid system to continue to provide highly reliable power at affordable rates. See Item 7, Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations — Key Initiatives and Challenges — Distributed Energy Resources.
Finally, TVA and other utility companies are facing an evolving marketplace of increased competition driven by customer choice and behavior. As technology develops, consumers' demands for access to diverse products and services may increase, and customers could choose another utility to meet some or all of their power needs where available, pursue self-generation to meet some or all of their power needs, or move their operations outside of TVA's service territory.
Research and Development
Investments in TVA's research portfolio are supported through partnership and collaboration with LPCs, EPRI, the DOE, federal agencies, national labs, peer utilities, universities, and industry vendors and through participation in professional societies and other research consortiums.
Annual investments made in science and technological innovation help meet future business and operational
challenges. Each year, TVA's annual research portfolio is updated based on a broad range of operational and industry drivers to assess key technology gaps, performance issues, or other significant issues, addressed through research and development. Core research activities directly support optimization of TVA's generation and transmission assets, air and water quality, energy utilization, and distributed/clean energy integration. TVA also provides research and development services on behalf of LPCs by helping optimize their distribution systems and helping minimize technology gaps in energy utilization and consumer technologies.
In 2020, TVA placed a high priority on providing research which aligns to and supports its five transformative initiatives: energy storage, electric vehicles, advanced nuclear, connected communities, and regional grid transformation. TVA has also placed a special emphasis on research leading to the understanding and application of clean resources to support the reduction of carbon emissions from its power supply. This research supports both TVA and national strategic interests to reduce carbon
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emissions and will serve to both catalyze and support TVA’s sixth transformative initiative, decarbonization, which commenced in 2022.
At the forefront of the energy storage initiative is deploying grid-scale battery energy storage technology to optimize the existing TVA generation assets and improve the resiliency of the transmission system. In 2020, TVA launched its first TVA-owned, grid scale, lithium-ion demonstration battery project and in 2021, TVA awarded the contract for the battery project which will be located near Vonore, Tennessee. The system integration learnings from this project will guide future application of battery storage as part of the evolving bulk power system in the region.
TVA continues to assess potential electrification programs that improve resource use and reduce environmental impacts (especially in the transportation sector). Assessments include a multi-stakeholder vision and roadmap effort aimed at identifying the path forward for electric vehicles in Tennessee. The approach provides for broad engagement from industry, government, and utilities that could be applied in other states in the TVA service territory. In addition, TVA is continuing its evaluation of potential electric vehicle adoption strategies through coordination of activities with EPRI and state and industry stakeholders related to operational fleet requirements. Additional areas of focus include LPC engagement on plug-in electric vehicle grid integration and readiness for various transportation electrification technologies. In addition, research continues in electrification applications surrounding vehicle charging stations, impacts from charging stations to the power grid, refinement of power-system control processes, and development of smart charging strategies to maximize the potential of electricity to replace petroleum as the transportation fuel of choice. See Item 7, Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations — Key Initiatives and Challenges — Distributed Energy Resources — Electric Vehicles.
TVA is committed to investing in the future of nuclear and continues to evaluate the licensing and design of emerging nuclear technologies, such as advanced light water SMRs and advanced non-light water reactors, as part of technology innovation efforts aimed at developing the energy system of the future. In December 2019, TVA became the first utility in the nation to successfully obtain approval for an early site permit from the NRC to potentially construct and operate SMRs at its Clinch River Site. Additionally, TVA is partnering with like-minded organizations to evaluate the economic feasibility of advanced nuclear reactors. TVA has entered into memorandums of understanding and agreements that allow for mutual collaboration to explore advanced reactor designs as a next-generation nuclear technology while leveraging the expertise of federally funded research and development centers, utilities, vendors, and academic institutions. These partnerships are important steps in the early stages of evaluation as TVA considers the prospect of new nuclear. See Item 7, Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations — Key Initiatives and Challenges — Distributed Energy Resources — Small Modular Reactors.
TVA is working to establish connected communities pilot projects with stakeholders and has been engaging in advanced buildings research to support the initiative. Connected communities projects are aimed at addressing today’s challenges with community-driven information and technology solutions to improve the quality of life in the Tennessee Valley. Research will continue to identify best practices, better understand challenges in the Valley, and build a roadmap for the future.
TVA and LPCs are engaged in several initiatives related to grid modernization. Research includes technologies and applications advancement in intelligent transmission and distribution systems. Smart meter technology has the potential to shift usage patterns away from peak demand times which could change costs significantly. Additionally, intelligent transmission systems would give TVA the ability to nearly instantaneously diagnose problems, make corrections, and engage transmission and generation resources quickly so that power would keep flowing. This could promote reduced emissions, lower energy costs, and add greater flexibility to accommodate the new consumer-generated sources under TVA's renewable energy programs. See Power Supply and Load Management Resources — Distributed Energy Resources .
Finally, TVA is in the second year of a coalition of utilities and researchers, led by EPRI and Gas Technology Institute, whose purpose is to engage, inform, and support global low-carbon resources initiatives to develop the pathways for the advancement of carbon reducing technologies for large scale utility deployment. This is a five-year program and includes research to support creating resource options, such as alternative fuels (hydrogen, ammonia, and methanized derivatives), carbon capture, electrification, and utilization of clean DER as part of the overall low-carbon resource mix.
Flood Control Activities
The Tennessee River watershed has one of the highest annual rainfall totals of any watershed in the U.S., averaging 51 inches per year. During 2021, approximately 62 inches of rain fell in the Tennessee Valley. TVA manages the Tennessee River system in an integrated manner, balancing hydroelectric generation with navigation, flood damage reduction, water quality and supply, and recreation. TVA spills or releases excess water through its dams in order to reduce flood damage to the Tennessee Valley. TVA typically spills only when all available hydroelectric generating turbines are operating at full capacity and additional water still needs to be moved downstream.
The Tennessee Valley experienced above normal rainfall during 2021 which included the second wettest August on record with nearly 10 inches of rainfall. Despite significant rainfall, runoff, and flooding during the period, TVA continued to generate low-cost hydroelectric power while meeting its river system commitments, including flood mitigation, which is estimated to have prevented approximately $170 million in damages across the Tennessee Valley.
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Environmental Stewardship Activities
TVA's mission includes managing the Tennessee River, its tributaries, and federal lands along the shoreline to provide, among other things, year-round navigation, flood damage reduction, affordable and reliable electricity, recreational opportunities, adequate water supply, improved water quality, and natural resource protection. There are 49 dams that comprise TVA's integrated reservoir system. Each dam may also have ancillary structures used to support or assist the main dam's function. The reservoir system provides approximately 800 miles of commercially navigable waterways and also provides significant flood reduction benefits both within the Tennessee River system and downstream on the lower Ohio and Mississippi Rivers. The reservoir system also provides a water supply for residential and industrial customers, as well as cooling water for TVA's coal-fired plants, combined cycle plants, and nuclear power plants. In 2020, the TVA Board approved a new Environmental Policy. TVA's updated policy provides objectives for an integrated approach related to providing reliable, affordable, and increasingly clean energy; engaging in proactive stewardship of the Tennessee River system and public lands; and supporting sustainable economic growth. The Environmental Policy also provides additional direction in several environmental stewardship areas related to reducing environmental impacts on the Valley's natural resources, including reducing carbon intensity and air emissions; minimizing waste; and protecting water resources, biodiversity, and cultural resources.
TVA serves the people of the TVA region through the integrated management of the Tennessee River system and public lands, which include approximately 11,000 miles of shoreline; 650,000 surface acres of reservoir water; and 293,000 acres of reservoir lands. TVA accomplishes this mission and supports the objectives of the TVA Environmental Policy through implementation of its natural resources stewardship strategy. Within this strategy, TVA confirms a desire to remain agile, balance competing demands, and be a catalyst for collaboration in order to protect and enhance biological, cultural, and water resources as well as create and sustain destinations for recreation and opportunities for learning and research. As part of the strategy, TVA intends to assist water-based community development with issuing permits, technical support, and land agreements using planning, clear regulations, meaningful guidelines, and consistent enforcement. Additional guidance for carrying out many of TVA's essential stewardship responsibilities is provided in TVA's Natural Resource Plan ("NRP") . In 2020, changes were made to TVA's NRP to support a more strategic, flexible, and comprehensive management approach to TVA's natural resource stewardship work. The updated plan enhances alignment with TVA's mission through economic development, energy, and environmental stewardship and guides business planning. In the newly published NRP, TVA expanded from six resource areas to ten focus areas, ensuring the NRP provides a more comprehensive view of resource stewardship efforts.
Economic Development Activities
Economic development, along with energy production and environmental stewardship, is one of the primary statutory purposes of TVA. Economic development programs developed by TVA support all communities, including rural and economically distressed communities, across the Tennessee Valley . Through its economic development activities, TVA endeavors to recruit and retain companies in targeted business sectors, foster capital investment and job growth, and assist communities in the Tennessee Valley with economic growth opportunities.
TVA seeks to achieve these goals through a combination of initiatives and partnerships with LPCs, regional, state, and local agencies, and communities by providing financial incentives, technical services, industry expertise, and site-selection assistance to new and existing businesses in the Tennessee Valley. TVA's economic development incentive programs offer competitive incentives to new and existing power customers in certain business sectors that make multi-year commitments to invest in the Tennessee Valley. In addition to providing financial support to businesses, TVA offers communities and economic developers site selection services, technical and project development assistance, and leadership training services.
In 2021, TVA's economic development efforts helped recruit or expand 269 companies into the TVA service area. These companies announced capital investments of over $8.8 billion and expect to create and/or retain approximately 80,900 jobs.
Regulation
TVA is required to comply with comprehensive and complex laws, regulations, and orders. The costs of complying with these laws, regulations, and orders are expected to be substantial, and costs could be significantly more than TVA anticipates.
Congress
TVA exists pursuant to the TVA Act as enacted by Congress and carries on its operations in accordance with this legislation. Congress can enact legislation expanding or reducing TVA's activities, change TVA's structure, and even eliminate TVA. Congress can also enact legislation requiring the sale of some or all of the assets TVA operates or reduce the U.S.'s ownership in TVA. To allow TVA to operate more flexibly than a traditional government agency, Congress exempted TVA from all or parts of certain general federal laws that govern other agencies, such as federal labor relations laws and the laws related to the hiring of federal employees, the procurement of supplies and services, and the acquisition of land. Other federal laws enacted since the creation of TVA that are applicable to other agencies have been made applicable to TVA, including those related to paying employees overtime and protecting the environment, cultural resources, and civil rights.
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Securities and Exchange Commission
Section 37 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (the "Exchange Act") requires TVA to file with the Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC") such periodic, current, and supplementary information, documents, and reports as would be required pursuant to Section 13 of the Exchange Act if TVA were an issuer of a security registered pursuant to Section 12 of the Exchange Act. Section 37 of the Exchange Act exempts TVA from complying with Section 10A(m)(3) of the Exchange Act, which requires each member of a listed issuer's audit committee to be an independent member of the board of directors of the issuer. Since TVA is an agency and instrumentality of the U.S., securities issued or guaranteed by TVA are "exempted securities" under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the "Securities Act"), and may be offered and sold without registration under the Securities Act. In addition, securities issued or guaranteed by TVA are "exempted securities" and "government securities" under the Exchange Act. TVA is also exempt from Sections 14(a)-(d) and 14(f)-(h) of the Exchange Act (which address proxy solicitations) insofar as those sections relate to securities issued by TVA, and transactions in TVA securities are exempt from rules governing tender offers under Regulation 14E of the Exchange Act. Also, since TVA securities are exempted securities under the Securities Act, TVA is exempt from the Trust Indenture Act of 1939 insofar as it relates to securities issued by TVA, and no independent trustee is required for these securities.
Federal Energy Regulatory Commission
Under the FPA, TVA is not a "public utility," a term which primarily refers to investor-owned utilities. Therefore, TVA is not subject to the full jurisdiction that FERC exercises over public utilities under the FPA. TVA is, however, an "electric utility" and a "transmitting utility" as defined in the FPA and, thus, is directly subject to certain aspects of FERC's jurisdiction. Under the FPA, for example, TVA (1) must comply with certain standards designed to maintain transmission system reliability; (2) can be ordered to interconnect its transmission facilities with the electrical facilities of independent generators and of other electric utilities that meet certain requirements; (3) can be ordered to transmit wholesale power provided that the order (a) does not impair the reliability of the TVA or surrounding systems, (b) meets the applicable requirements concerning terms, conditions, and rates for service, and (c) does not implicate the ACPA; (4) could be subject to FERC review of the transmission rates and the terms and conditions of service that TVA provides; and (5) is prohibited from (a) reporting false information on the price of electricity sold at wholesale or the availability of transmission capacity to a federal agency with intent to fraudulently affect the data being compiled by the agency and (b) using manipulative or deceptive devices or contrivances in connection with the purchase or sale of power or transmission services subject to FERC's jurisdiction.
In addition, the FPA provides FERC with authority (1) to order refunds of excessive prices on short-term sales (transactions lasting 31 days or less) by all market participants, including TVA, in price gouging situations if such sales are through an independent system operator or regional transmission organization under a FERC-approved tariff; (2) to issue regulations requiring the reporting, on a timely basis, of information about the availability and prices of wholesale power and transmission service by all market participants, including TVA; (3) to investigate electric industry practices, including TVA's operations that are subject to FERC's jurisdiction; and (4) to impose civil penalties of up to $1 million per day for each violation of the provisions of the FPA discussed in the prior paragraph that are applicable to TVA. Criminal penalties may also result from such violations.
Finally, while not required to do so, TVA has elected to implement various FERC orders and regulations pertaining to public utilities on a voluntary basis to the extent that they are consistent with TVA's obligations under the TVA Act.
NERC Compliance
TVA is subject to federal reliability standards that are set forth by NERC and approved by FERC. These standards are designed to maintain the reliability of the bulk electric system, including TVA's generation and transmission system, and include areas such as maintenance, training, operations, planning, modeling, critical infrastructure, physical and cyber security, vegetation management, and facility ratings. TVA recognizes that reliability standards and expectations continue to become more complex and stringent for transmission systems.
Nuclear Regulatory Commission
TVA operates its nuclear facilities in a highly regulated environment and is subject to the oversight of the NRC, an independent federal agency that sets the rules that users of radioactive materials must follow. The NRC has broad authority to impose requirements relating to the licensing, operation, and decommissioning of nuclear generating facilities. In addition, if TVA fails to comply with requirements promulgated by the NRC, the NRC has the authority to impose fines, shut down units, or modify, suspend, or revoke TVA's operating licenses. See Item 7, Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations — Key Initiatives and Challenges — Generation Resources.
Environmental Protection Agency
TVA is subject to regulation by the EPA in a variety of areas, including air quality control, water quality control, and management and disposal of solid and hazardous wastes. See Environmental Matters below and Item 7, Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations — Key Initiatives and Challenges.
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States
The Supremacy Clause of the U.S. Constitution prohibits states, without federal legislative consent, from regulating the manner in which the federal government conducts its activities. As a federal agency, TVA is exempt from regulation, control, and taxation by states except in certain areas where Congress has clearly made TVA subject to state regulation. See Environmental Matters below.
Other Federal Entities
TVA's activities and records are also subject to review to varying degrees by other federal entities, including the Government Accountability Office and the Office of Management and Budget ("OMB"). There is also an Office of the Inspector General which reviews TVA's activities and records.
Taxation and Tax Equivalents
TVA is not subject to federal income taxation. In addition, neither TVA nor its property, franchises, or income is subject to taxation by states or their subdivisions. The TVA Act, however, does require TVA to make tax equivalent payments to states and counties in which TVA conducts power operations or in which TVA has acquired properties previously subject to state and local taxation. The total amount of these payments is five percent of gross revenues from the sale of power during the preceding year excluding sales or deliveries to other federal agencies and off-system sales with other utilities, with a provision for minimum payments under certain circumstances. Except for certain direct payments TVA is required to make to counties, distribution of tax equivalent payments within a state is determined by individual state legislation.
Environmental Matters
TVA's activities, particularly its power generation activities, are subject to comprehensive regulation under environmental laws and regulations relating to air pollution, water pollution, and management and disposal of solid and hazardous wastes, among other matters. Emissions from all TVA-owned and operated units (including small combustion turbine units of less than 25 MW) have been reduced from historic peaks. Emissions of nitrogen oxide ("NO x ") have been reduced by 97 percent below peak 1995 levels and emissions of sulfur dioxide ("SO 2 ") have been reduced by 99 percent below 1977 levels through CY 2020. For CY 2020, TVA's emissions of carbon dioxide ("CO 2 ") from its owned and operated units, including purchased power and REC retirement adjustments which reduce the CO 2 emissions, were 43 million tons, resulting in a TVA system average, as delivered, CO 2 emission rate of 562 lbs/MWh. This represents a 63 percent reduction in mass carbon emissions from 2005 levels. To remain consistent and to align with the EPA's reporting requirements, TVA intends to continue reporting CO 2 emissions on a calendar year basis.
Additional quantitative emissions data is as follows:
Emissions and Intensity Rates (1)
2020 2019
Nitrogen Oxide (NO x ) (2)
Total NO x Emissions (MT)
12,577 19,430
Total NO x Emissions Intensity (MT/Net MWh)
0.000094 0.000140
Sulfur Dioxide (SO 2 ) (2)
Total SO 2 Emissions (MT)
17,082 26,972
Total SO 2 Emissions Intensity (MT/Net MWh)
0.000127 0.000194
Mercury (Hg)
Total Hg Emissions (kg) 17.5 50.1
Total Hg Emissions Intensity (kg/Net MWh) 0.0000001 0.0000004
Notes
(1) Intensity rates are calculated based on generation from TVA's most recent fiscal year for years indicated and emissions data from the most recent calendar years.
(2) Emissions data is consistent with Edison Electric Institute Environmental, Social, Governance and Sustainability Report standards, which are based on metric tons ("MTs") whereas overall CO 2 emission rates and baseline reductions from historical levels are based on short tons.
Clean Air Act
The CAA establishes a comprehensive program to protect and improve the nation's air quality and control sources of air pollution. The major CAA programs that affect TVA's power generation activities are described below.
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National Ambient Air Quality Standards. The CAA requires the EPA to set National Ambient Air Quality Standards ("NAAQS") for certain air pollutants. The EPA has done this for ozone, particulate matter ("PM"), SO 2 , nitrogen dioxide, carbon monoxide, and lead. Over the years, the EPA has made the NAAQS more stringent. Each state must develop a plan to be approved by the EPA for achieving and maintaining NAAQS within its borders. These plans impose limits on emissions from pollution sources, including TVA fossil fuel-fired plants. Areas meeting a NAAQS are designated as attainment areas. Areas not meeting a NAAQS are designated as non-attainment areas, and more stringent requirements apply in those areas, including stricter controls on industrial facilities and more complicated permitting processes. TVA fossil fuel-fired plants can be impacted by these requirements. All TVA generating units are located in areas designated as in attainment with NAAQS.
Cross-State Air Pollution Rule. The EPA issued the Cross-State Air Pollution Rule ("CSAPR") in 2011 requiring several states in the eastern U.S. to improve air quality by reducing power plant emissions that contribute to pollution in other states. In 2016, the EPA issued an update to CSAPR to address cross-state air pollution (the "CSAPR Update Rule"). The EPA subsequently issued an additional rule to resolve any remaining cross-state air pollutant issues ("CSAPR Close-Out Rule"). The U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit ("D.C. Circuit") remanded a portion of the CSAPR Update Rule back to the EPA to address its failure to require upwind states to eliminate substantial contributions to downwind non-attainment areas by the statutory deadline. The D.C. Circuit also vacated the CSAPR Close-Out Rule. On March 15, 2021, the EPA Administrator signed the final revisions to the CSAPR Update Rule. The revisions address the defects identified by the D.C. Circuit and took effect on June 29, 2021. In this final action, the EPA reduced ozone-season NO x allowances for a group of 12 states, including Kentucky, and required sources in those states to surrender most of their banked allowances. TVA's Shawnee Fossil Plant ("Shawnee") facility is affected by these revisions, and TVA is in the process of analyzing compliance strategies to determine how any shortage in allowances will be overcome for the ozone season in 2022 and beyond.
Mercury and Air Toxics Standards for Electric Utility Units . In April 2020, the EPA issued a final rule which revokes the agency's earlier finding that regulation of hazardous air pollutants ("HAP") emitted from steam electric utilities is appropriate and necessary. The rule does not remove electric generating units from the source categories listed under Section 112 of the CAA nor does it rescind the Mercury and Air Toxics Standards ("MATS") requirements. Additionally, the EPA determined that further restrictions on HAP emissions are not warranted based on a residual risk and technology review ("RTR") for this source category. TVA does not anticipate that the final rule will change TVA's MATS compliance requirements or strategy. Certain states and environmental groups filed petitions in the D.C. Circuit challenging the "appropriate and necessary" finding and the RTR finding. On February 16, 2021, the EPA filed a motion requesting the D.C. Circuit to hold the cases in abeyance pending the agency's review of the final rule under Executive Order ("EO") 13990, which, among other things, requires the EPA to reconsider the final rule by August 2021. The EPA did not meet the August 2021 deadline, but is expected to issue a proposed rule that reverses the findings of the April 2020 final rule. TVA will evaluate the proposal when it is issued.
Environmental Agreements. See Note 23 — Commitments and Contingencies — Legal Proceedings — Environmental Agreements for a discussion of two substantively similar agreements into which TVA entered in April 2011: one with the EPA and the other with Alabama, Kentucky, North Carolina, Tennessee, and three environmental advocacy groups: the Sierra Club, the National Parks Conservation Association, and Our Children's Earth Foundation (collectively, the "Environmental Agreements"), which discussion is incorporated herein by reference.
Acid Rain Program. The Acid Rain Program is intended to help reduce emissions of SO 2 and NO x , which are the primary pollutants implicated in the formation of acid rain. The program includes a cap-and-trade emission reduction program for SO 2 emissions from power plants. TVA continues to reduce SO 2 and NO x emissions from its coal-fired plants, and the SO 2 allowances allocated to TVA under the Acid Rain Program are sufficient to cover the operation of its coal-fired plants. In the TVA service area, the limitations imposed on SO 2 and NO x emissions by the CSAPR program are more stringent than the Acid Rain Program. Therefore, TVA does not anticipate that the Acid Rain Program will impose any additional material requirements on TVA.
Regional Haze Program . The EPA issued the Clean Air Visibility Rule, which required certain older sources to install best available retrofit technology. No additional controls or lower operating limits are required for any TVA units to meet best available retrofit technology requirements. In 2017, the EPA published the final rule that changed some of the requirements for Regional Haze State Implementation Plans ("SIPs"). Specific impacts cannot be determined until future Regional Haze SIPs are developed for the next decennial review under the visibility haze provisions of the CAA. States were required to submit their Regional Haze SIPs to the EPA by July 31, 2021. In response to requests from state air pollution control agencies in Tennessee and Kentucky, TVA submitted regional haze analyses for Cumberland Fossil Plant ("Cumberland") and Shawnee. The reports evaluate SO 2 emission reduction options for these facilities and will be used by these state agencies in preparing their Regional Haze SIPs.
Opacity. Opacity, or visible emissions, measures the denseness (or color) of power plant plumes and has traditionally been used by states as a means of monitoring good maintenance and operation of particulate control equipment. Under some conditions, retrofitting a unit with additional equipment to better control SO 2 and NO x emissions can adversely affect opacity performance, and TVA and other utilities have addressed this issue. The evaluation of utilities' compliance with opacity requirements is coming under increased scrutiny, especially during periods of startup, shutdown, and malfunction. Historically, SIPs developed under the CAA typically excluded periods of startup, shutdowns, and malfunctions, but in June 2015, the EPA finalized a rule to eliminate such exclusions ("2015 Rule"). The 2015 Rule required states to modify their implementation plans
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by November 2016. Kentucky, Tennessee, and Mississippi submitted implementation plans, but Alabama has not. Environmental petitioners and several states filed petitions for judicial review of the 2015 Rule before the D.C. Circuit. In April 2017, the D.C. Circuit, at the request of the EPA Administrator, ordered this litigation to be suspended pending the EPA's review to determine whether to reconsider all or part of the 2015 Rule. On October 9, 2020, the EPA issued a guidance memorandum ("2020 Memorandum") that superseded and replaced policy statements outlined in the 2015 Rule. On September 30, 2021, the EPA withdrew the 2020 Memorandum, reinstating the agency's prior policy as set out in the 2015 Rule. The EPA's evaluation of state SIPs will be undertaken in light of the considerations outlined in the September 30, 2021 memorandum. TVA cannot predict the outcome of future SIP evaluations.
New York Petition to Address Impacts from Upwind High Emitting Sources . In 2018, the State of New York filed a petition with the EPA under Section 126(b) of the CAA to address ozone impacts on New York from the NO x emissions from sources emitting at least 400 tons of NO x in CY 2017 from nine states including Kentucky. The New York petition requests that the EPA require daily NO x limits for utility units with selective catalytic reduction systems ("SCRs") such as Shawnee Units 1 and 4 and emission reductions from utility units without SCRs such as Shawnee Units 2, 3, and 5-9. Kentucky utility unit NO x emissions are already limited by the CSAPR Update Rule and are declining, and current EPA modeling projects no additional requirements to reduce Kentucky NO x emissions are necessary. In 2019, the EPA finalized its denial of New York's petition because the state did not demonstrate, and the EPA could not independently establish, that sources in the states listed in the petition contribute to exceedances of the 2008 and 2015 ozone NAAQS in New York. The State of New York filed a petition in the D.C. Circuit for judicial review of the EPA's denial of the petition. In July 2020, the D.C. Circuit vacated the EPA's denial of the petition and remanded the petition to the EPA for reconsideration. In its recently published Unified Regulatory Agenda, the EPA indicated that it will respond to the D.C. Circuit's decision by providing a revised response to New York's Section 126(b) petition. Specific impacts to TVA cannot be determined until the EPA takes further action on the petition.
Affordable Clean Energy Rule . In 2019, the EPA finalized the Affordable Clean Energy ("ACE") rule and repealed the EPA's previous regulation addressing greenhouse gas ("GHG") emissions from existing fossil fuel-fired units. The ACE rule established guidelines for GHG emissions from existing coal-fired units based on efficiency improvements that can be achieved at those units at reasonable cost. Several industry, environmental, and state and local petitioners filed for judicial review of the ACE rule. On January 19, 2021, the D.C. Circuit vacated and remanded the ACE rule, and specified that the court's mandate will not issue with regard to the portion of the ACE rule that repeals the Clean Power Plan until after the EPA develops a replacement for the ACE rule. In Congressional hearings in February 2021, the EPA Administrator stated that the EPA will propose a new rule to regulate CO 2 emissions from electric generating units. On April 29, 2021, a coalition of states asked the Supreme Court to reverse the D.C. Circuit's decision to vacate and remand the ACE rule. TVA is unable to predict the future course of this litigation on appeal, nor the direction that the EPA may take in the future to regulate GHG emissions from fossil fuel-fired units.
New Source Performance Standards . In 2018, the EPA proposed revisions to the GHG emission standards for new, modified, and reconstructed electric utility generating units required under Section 111(b) of the CAA. For coal-fired units, the EPA proposes to revise the current new source standards such that carbon capture and sequestration technology is no longer necessary to meet the standards of performance that reflect the best system of emission reduction. The resulting limits are less stringent than limits under the current rule and can be met by modern coal-fired units (e.g., supercritical steam generators) in combination with best operating practices, but without carbon capture and sequestration. The EPA is not proposing to revise the new source performance standard for GHG emission from gas-fired units. In January 2021, the EPA published criteria in the Federal Register for making a significant contribution finding for GHGs from a source category for the purpose of regulating those emissions under Section 111(b) of the CAA, and the EPA did not take final action on the 2018 proposed revisions in this rulemaking. On March 17, 2021, the EPA asked the D.C. Circuit to vacate and remand the "significant contribution" finding since the rule was promulgated without public notice or opportunity to comment. On April 5, 2021, the D.C. Circuit vacated and remanded the January 2021 final rule. If finalized as proposed, the revisions are not expected to significantly impact TVA since TVA does not currently plan to construct, modify, or reconstruct any coal-fired units.
Climate Change
Executive Actions. On January 20, 2021, President Biden issued EO 13990, "Protecting Public Health and the Environment and Restoring Science To Tackle the Climate Crisis." EO 13990 directs federal agencies to review and revise regulations consistent with broad policy goals to improve public health and the environment, reduce GHG emissions, and prioritize environmental justice. On March 8, 2021, a coalition of 12 states filed a lawsuit in the U.S. District Court for the Eastern District of Missouri challenging President Biden's authority to establish interim values for the social cost of GHGs under EO 13990. On August 31, 2021, the court dismissed the matter, but the plaintiffs have appealed the decision to the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Eighth Circuit. A similar lawsuit is pending in the U.S. District Court for the Western District of Louisiana. EO 13990 also requires the EPA to review several environmental regulations to determine their consistency with the goals and policies prescribed in the EO. Specific impacts to TVA of EO 13990 cannot be determined at this time.
In addition, on January 27, 2021, President Biden issued EO 14008, "Executive Order on Tackling the Climate Crisis at Home and Abroad." Among other things, EO 14008 expresses the following policies of the federal government: (1) to organize and deploy the full capacity of its agencies to combat the climate crisis to implement a government-wide approach that reduces climate pollution in every sector of the economy, (2) to align the management of federal procurement and real property, public lands and waters, and financial programs to support robust climate action, (3) to use all available procurement authorities to achieve or facilitate (a) a carbon pollution-free electricity sector no later than 2035 and (b) clean and zero-emission vehicles for
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federal, state, local, and tribal government fleets, (4) to put the U.S. on a path to achieve net-zero emissions, economy-wide, by no later than 2050, (5) to accelerate the deployment of clean energy and transmission projects in an environmentally stable manner, (6) to ensure that, to the extent consistent with applicable law, federal funding is not directly subsidizing fossil fuels, (7) to promote the flow of capital toward climate-aligned investments and away from high-carbon investments, (8) improve air and water quality, and (9) secure an equitable economic future by making environmental justice part of an agency's mission. TVA is closely monitoring these developments, including the Justice40 Initiative, the Department of Treasury effort to establish a carbon market, establishment and development of the Civilian Climate Corps, and establishment of several White House comprehensive plans. In addition, EO 14008 created the Special Presidential Envoy for Climate and called for an early Leaders' Climate Summit aimed at raising climate ambition and making a positive contribution to the 26th United Nations Climate Change Conference of the Parties and beyond. EO 14008 also stated the U.S. would reconvene the Major Economies Forum on Energy and Climate, beginning with the Leader's Climate Summit. Federal agencies were directed to update their Climate Change Action Plans, and TVA submitted its draft plan in May 2021 and submitted its final plan in August 2021. Aside from the directive to update TVA’s Climate Change Action Plan, specific impacts of EO 14008 on TVA cannot be determined at this time.
On May 20, 2021, President Biden also issued EO 14030, “Climate-Related Financial Risk,” which calls for a governmental-wide strategy on the disclosure of climate-related financial risk. EO 14030 requires the development of government-wide strategy regarding the following: (1) the measurement, assessment, mitigation, and disclosure of climate-related financial risk to federal government programs, assets, and liabilities in order to increase the long-term stability of federal operations; (2) financing needs associated with achieving net-zero greenhouse gas emissions for the U.S. economy by no later than 2050, limiting global average temperature rise to 1.5 degrees Celsius, and adapting to the acute and chronic impacts of climate change; and (3) areas in which private and public investments can play complementary roles in meeting these financing needs while advancing economic opportunity, worker empowerment, and environmental mitigation, especially in disadvantaged communities and communities of color. While TVA is subject to this EO, the specific impacts of EO 14030 cannot be determined at this time.
International Accords . In September 2016, the U.S. formally accepted the Paris Agreement. The agreement met the threshold of at least 55 countries that account for at least 55 percent of global GHG emissions and formally entered into force in November 2016. On November 4, 2019, the U.S. formally notified the United Nations that it would withdraw from the agreement. Under the terms of the agreement, the effective date for the withdrawal was November 4, 2020.
On January 20, 2021, President Biden formally rejoined the Paris Agreement on behalf of the U.S. The means for tracking emissions targets under the Paris Agreement are nationally determined contributions ("NDCs"). Each nation that is a party to the Paris Agreement is asked to prepare five-year, successive NDCs that it plans to achieve. On April 22, 2021, the Biden Administration announced its GHG NDCs for 2030 under the Paris Agreement, and these NDCs establish a new target for the U.S. to achieve a 50 to 52 percent reduction from 2005 levels in economy-wide net GHG pollution in 2030. Specific impacts to TVA cannot be determined at this time.
Litigation . In addition to legislative activity, climate change issues have been the subject of a number of lawsuits, including lawsuits against TVA, and TVA may be subject to additional lawsuits in the future.
Indirect Consequences of Regulation or Business Trends . Legal, technological, political, and scientific developments regarding climate change may create new opportunities and risks. The potential indirect consequences could include an increase or decrease in electricity demand, increased demand for clean generation from alternative energy sources, and subsequent impacts to business reputation and public opinion. See Power Supply and Load Management Resources above .
Physical Impacts of Climate Change. Physical impacts of climate change may include, but not be limited to, changing weather patterns, extreme weather conditions, and other events such as flooding, droughts, wildfires, and snow or ice storms, and these events can impact TVA's system in terms of system operability, customer demand, and the health of regional economies. TVA has a Climate Change Action Plan which it updated in 2021 in accordance with EO 14008. TVA submitted its draft Climate Change Action Plan in May 2021 and its final plan in August 2021. The goal of the action planning process is to ensure TVA continues to achieve its mission and program goals and to operate in a secure, effective, and efficient manner in a changing climate by integrating climate change adaptation efforts in coordination with state and local partners, tribal governments, and private stakeholders. TVA manages the potential effects of climate change on its mission, programs, and operations within its environmental management processes.
Actions Taken by TVA to Reduce GHG Emissions . TVA has reduced GHG emissions from both its generation facilities and its operations. TVA Board actions have focused on TVA's plan to balance its coal-fired generation by increasing its nuclear capacity, modernizing its hydroelectric generation system, increasing natural gas-fired generation, installing emission control equipment on certain of its coal-fired units, increasing its purchases of renewable energy, building solar facilities, and investing in energy efficiency initiatives to reduce energy use in the Tennessee Valley. Additionally, TVA has invested to increase energy efficiency in its operations. The combination of more stringent environmental regulations, lower natural gas prices, and lower demand for energy across the Tennessee Valley has reduced the utilization of coal-fired generation. These factors have resulted in lower CO 2 emissions from the TVA system, as previously discussed in this section. As TVA evolves its generation portfolio, and after appropriate environmental review under NEPA, the TVA Board could make decisions about the timing, retirement, and replacement of aging fossil units or other expiring capacity, which may further TVA’s CO 2 and other emissions reductions. The Environmental Policy also provides additional direction in several environmental stewardship areas related to reducing environmental impacts on the Valley's natural resources, including reducing carbon intensity and air emissions.
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Renewable/Clean Energy Standards
Thirty states and the District of Columbia have established enforceable or mandatory requirements for electric utilities to generate a certain amount of electricity from renewable sources. Two states within the TVA service area, North Carolina and Virginia, have mandatory renewable standards that, while not applying directly to TVA, do apply to TVA's LPCs serving retail customers in those states. TVA's policy is to provide compliance assistance to any distributor of TVA power, and TVA is providing assistance to the covered LPCs that sell TVA power in North Carolina. In 2020, Virginia signed into law the Clean Economy Act. The Act establishes a mandatory requirement for utilities to generate a certain amount of electricity from renewable sources. At this time, TVA is not impacted by the legislation due to the relatively small amount of electricity that TVA provides in Virginia compared to other utilities. Likewise, the Mississippi Public Service Commission adopted an energy efficiency rule applying to electric and natural gas providers in the state, and TVA is supplying information on participation in TVA's energy efficiency programs to support the covered Mississippi LPCs.
Water Quality Control Developments
Waters of the United States . In 2015, the EPA and the USACE issued the Clean Water Rule, which redefined waters of the United States ("WOTUS") in the agencies' regulations for the first time since the 1980s and was intended to clarify the regulatory jurisdiction of the EPA and the USACE ("2015 WOTUS Rule"). In April 2020, the USACE and the EPA issued the Navigable Waters Protection Rule (“NWPR”), which established a new regulatory definition of WOTUS and replaced the definition set forth in the 2015 WOTUS Rule. The NWPR established four categories of waters considered jurisdictional under the CWA: (1) territorial seas and traditional navigable waters, (2) perennial and intermittent tributaries to those waters, (3) certain lakes and ponds, and impoundments of jurisdictional waters, and (4) wetlands adjacent to jurisdictional waters. The rule excluded twelve categories of waters, including ephemerals, groundwater, many ditches, and waste treatment systems. The NWPR reduced the jurisdictional reach of the CWA and could potentially reduce permitting and mitigation requirements for TVA projects that impact waters that were previously considered jurisdictional under the 2015 WOTUS Rule. The NWPR was challenged in multiple courts, and on August 30, 2021, it was vacated by the United States District Court for the District of Arizona. The United States District Court for the District of New Mexico also vacated it on September 27, 2021. Two other courts declined to vacate the rule, but remanded it to the EPA and the Army Corps of Engineers. Previously, on June 9, 2021, the EPA and the Department of the Army announced their intention to initiate a new rulemaking process to restore the definition of WOTUS that was in place prior to the 2015 WOTUS Rule and to develop a new rule to establish a new definition of WOTUS. The impact of the rulemaking process cannot be ascertained fully at this time. Pending the completion of the rulemaking process, the EPA and the USACE are interpreting WOTUS consistent with the pre-2015 definition.
Cooling Water Intake Structures. In 2014, the EPA released a final rule under Section 316(b) of the CWA relating to cooling water intake structures ("CWIS") for existing power generating facilities. The rule requires changes in CWIS used to cool the vast majority of coal, gas, and nuclear steam-electric generating plants and a wide range of manufacturing and industrial facilities in the U.S. The final rule requires CWIS to reflect the best technology available for minimizing adverse environmental impacts, primarily by reducing the amount of fish and shellfish that are impinged or entrained at a CWIS. These new requirements will potentially affect a number of TVA's fossil- and nuclear-fueled facilities and will likely require capital upgrades to ensure compliance. Most TVA facilities are projected to require retrofit of CWIS with "fish-friendly" screens and fish return systems to achieve compliance with the new rule. The rule is being implemented through permits issued under the National Pollutant Discharge Elimination System ("NPDES") in Section 402 of the CWA. State agencies administer the NPDES permit program in most states including those in which TVA's facilities are located. In addition, the responsible state agencies must provide all permit applications to the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service for a 60-day review prior to public notice and an opportunity to comment during the public notice. As a result, the permit may include requirements for additional studies of threatened and endangered species arising from U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service comments and may require additional measures be taken to protect threatened and endangered species and critical habitats directly or indirectly related to the plant cooling water intake. TVA's review of the final rule indicates that the rule offers adequate flexibility for cost-effective compliance. The required compliance timeframe is linked to plant-specific NPDES permit renewal cycles (i.e., technology retrofits), and compliance is expected to be required beginning in the CY 2022 - 2024 timeframe.
The EPA has never previously applied the requirements under Section 316(b) to hydroelectric facilities. However, on September 30, 2021, EPA Region 10, which covers an area outside TVA’s service area, issued NPDES permits to four hydroelectric plants that include Section 316(b) requirements. In determining the best technology available (“BTA”) to minimize adverse impacts on the environment using best professional judgment, Region 10 analyzed the existing controls that the hydroelectric facilities were already implementing and concluded that those controls constitute BTA. It is not clear whether this approach will be adopted nationwide or how the BTA standard would be applied to TVA's hydroelectric facilities; accordingly, the specific impacts to TVA from the new Region 10 permits cannot be determined at this time.
Hydrothermal Discharges. The EPA and many states continue to focus regulatory attention on potential effects of hydrothermal discharges. Many TVA plants have variances from thermal standards under Section 316(a) of the CWA that are subject to review as NPDES permits are renewed. Specific data requirements in the future will be determined based on negotiations between TVA and state regulators. If plant thermal limits are made more stringent, TVA may have to install cooling towers at some of its plants and operate installed cooling towers more often. This could result in a substantial cost to TVA.
Steam-Electric Effluent Guidelines . In 2015, the EPA revised existing steam-electric effluent limitation guidelines ("ELGs"), which regulate water discharge pollutants and require the application of certain pollutant control technologies. The
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2015 ELGs established more stringent performance standards for existing and new sources and required major upgrades to wastewater treatment options at all coal-fired plants. Compliance with new requirements was originally required in the CYs 2018-2023 timeframe, but the EPA delayed the compliance dates for flue gas desulfurization ("FGD") wastewater and bottom ash transport water until CYs 2020 - 2023 to allow the EPA time to review and potentially revise the ELGs with regard to these waste streams.
In October 2020, the EPA issued final revised ELGs for bottom ash transport water and FGD wastewater. The primary impact for TVA is on the operation of existing coal-fired generation facilities. The revised ELGs could impact long-term investment decisions being made relative to the long-term compliance and operability of these plants. The revisions may require TVA to install additional wastewater treatment systems for FGD wastewater and bottom ash transport water, and TVA could incur substantial costs to comply with the new rule. In addition, the revised ELGs could cause TVA to reduce utilization of its coal-fired generation facilities or even close such facilities. The revision also includes a subcategory for which Cumberland would qualify that provides TVA greater flexibility in meeting the ELGs. The revision includes two additional subcategories for low utilization units and units that cease coal combustion by the end of CY 2028. TVA is evaluating the applicability of those subcategories to its plants as appropriate. In October 2021, TVA filed Notices of Planned Participation preserving the option for TVA's Bull Run, Cumberland, and Kingston plants to participate in the subcategory for units that cease coal combustion by the end of CY 2028.
Petitions for judicial review of the October 2020 ELG rule were filed in the D.C. Circuit and the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Fourth Circuit (the "Fourth Circuit") and have been consolidated in the Fourth Circuit in the case Appalachian Voices, et al. v. EPA . On August 3, 2021, the EPA announced a supplemental rulemaking to revise the Steam Electric Power Generating Effluent Limitations Guidelines and Standards. As part of the rulemaking process, the EPA will determine whether more stringent limitations and standards are appropriate and consistent with the technology-forcing statutory scheme and the goals of the Clean Water Act. The impact of the proposed rulemaking cannot be fully determined at this time. Because this rulemaking could result in more stringent ELGs, the EPA has requested that the Appalachian Voices, et al. v. EPA litigation in the Fourth Circuit be held in abeyance.
Consistent with the 2020 rule, on January 8, 2021, TVA submitted requests to state regulatory authorities to modify NPDES permits for Kingston Fossil Plant ("Kingston"), Cumberland, Bull Run, Shawnee, and Gallatin Fossil Plant ("Gallatin") to incorporate into the permits limitations in the 2020 rule. The Kentucky Department for Environmental Protection released a final revised permit for Shawnee in the fourth quarter of 2021, and TVA anticipates the Tennessee Department of Environment and Conservation ("TDEC") will issue draft permits for Kingston, Cumberland, Bull Run, and Gallatin by December 2021.
Nationwide Permits for Dredge and Fill. On January 12, 2021, the USACE published notice of a final rule that reissued and modified Nationwide Permits (“NWPs”) that authorize discharges of dredge and fill material into waters of the U.S. The final rule limits applicability of NWP 12, which previously authorized discharges from all utility line activities, to oil and natural gas pipelines, creates new NWPs for certain utility line activities, including NWP 57 for electric utility line and telecommunication activities, and modifies certain pre-construction notification requirements. The new NWP 12 is being challenged in court on the same grounds that were litigated in Northern Plains Resource Council v. U.S. Army Corps of Engineers , where the U.S. District Court for the District of Montana found the permit unlawful and vacated it. Although the new lawsuit does not challenge NWP 57, the NWP upon which TVA is most likely to rely for its utility line activities, the lawsuit raises claims that apply with equal force to NWP 57. However, the impact on TVA from this litigation cannot be evaluated fully until the legal challenge is resolved.
Other Clean Water Act Requirements . As is the case in other industrial sectors, TVA and other utilities are also facing more stringent requirements related to the protection of wetlands, reductions in storm water impacts from construction activities, new water quality criteria for nutrients and other pollutants, new wastewater analytical methods, and changes in regulation of pesticide application.
Recent Supreme Court Decision
On April 23, 2020, in County of Maui v. Hawaii Wildlife Fund , the Supreme Court held that the CWA requires a permit when there is a direct discharge of pollutants from a point source to waters of the U.S. and when there is "the functional equivalent" of a direct discharge to such waters. The Court suggested seven factors for determining when such a discharge is the functional equivalent of a direct discharge and acknowledged that the new test would be somewhat difficult to apply, potentially requiring evaluation of multiple factors. The Court noted that "time and distance" of pollutant migration often will be the most important factor but that other relevant factors may include, for example, the nature of the material through which the pollutant travels and the extent to which the pollutant is diluted or chemically changed as it travels. After evaluating the potential impact of the decision, TVA determined that this decision will not require TVA to change its operations.
Cleanup of Solid and Hazardous Wastes
Liability for releases and cleanup of hazardous substances is imposed under the federal Comprehensive Environmental Response, Compensation, and Liability Act ("CERCLA"), the RCRA, and other federal and parallel state statutes. In a manner similar to many other industries and power systems, TVA has generated or used hazardous substances over the years.
TVA Sites. TVA historical operations at certain facilities have resulted in releases of contaminants that TVA is addressing, including at TVA's Environmental Research Center at Muscle Shoals, Alabama. TVA has completed several removal, remedial, and characterization actions at the site, as required by a permit issued by the Alabama Department of Environmental Management. At September 30, 2021, TVA's estimated liability for required cleanup and similar environmental
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work for those sites for which sufficient information was available to develop a cost estimate was approximately $18 million and was included in Accounts payable and accrued liabilities and Other long-term liabilities on the Consolidated Balance Sheet. TVA must submit an application for renewal of the RCRA permit by September 27, 2022, and the renewal process may include additional mandates for further remedial activities. TVA has evaluated the potential impact that a permit renewal could have on its operations and does not believe that the renewal will have any adverse impacts at this time. In addition, the Environmental Research Center has an active groundwater monitoring program as part of a permitted corrective action plan.
Non-TVA Sites. TVA is aware of alleged hazardous-substance releases at certain non-TVA areas for which it may have some liability. See Note 23 — Commitments and Contingencies — Environmental Matters .
Coal Combustion Residuals. The EPA published its final rule governing CCR in 2015. The rule regulates CCR as nonhazardous waste under Subtitle D of the RCRA. While states may adopt the rule's requirements into their regulatory programs, the rule does not require states to adopt the requirements. The initial version of the rule provided for self-implementation by utilities and allows enforcement through citizen suits in federal court. The Water Infrastructure Improvements for the Nation Act ("WIIN Act") subsequently allowed state or federal-based permitting to implement the CCR Rule as an alternative to self-implementation and citizen suits. See Item 7, Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations — Key Initiatives and Challenges — Generation Resources — Coal Combustion Residuals Facilities for a discussion of the impact on TVA's operations, including the cost and timing estimates of related projects.
In July 2018, the EPA issued a final CCR rule which provided additional flexibility and an extension of certain deadlines. In March 2019, the D.C. Circuit granted the EPA's request to remand the final rule to allow the EPA to reconsider the amendments. The remand also allowed the EPA time to complete a new rulemaking to establish revised timelines for unlined impoundments to initiate closure and to reexamine the October 2020 deadline for closing some unlined impoundments. In August 2019, the EPA issued a proposed rule to amend portions of the CCR Rule regarding beneficial use, temporary piles, and public access to information.
On November 4, 2019, the EPA announced a proposed rule that will revise portions of the CCR Rule requiring closure of unlined surface impoundments. The final Part A rule was published in the Federal Register on August 28, 2020, and became effective September 28, 2020. Among other things, the final Part A rule required all unlined CCR surface impoundments to stop receiving CCR and non-CCR wastestreams and to initiate closure or retrofit by no later than April 11, 2021, and TVA ceased doing so, and initiated closure, by the specified deadline. Additionally, the final rule provides a process for a utility to seek site-specific approval from the EPA to continue to use the unlined CCR surface impoundment until October 15, 2023, and possibly longer under certain circumstances. The final rule also includes requirements that enhance the public's access to groundwater monitoring and corrective action reports. TVA does not currently anticipate the final rule will have a significant impact because TVA initiated closure of its unlined CCR surface impoundments by the regulatory deadline and already makes groundwater monitoring and corrective action reports publicly available. A separate final Part B rule was published in the Federal Register on November 12, 2020. This rule provides an alternative liner demonstration procedure for utilities with clay lined units which are being forced to close under the Part A rule. However, TVA does not have any units which qualify for this demonstration.
In August 2015, TDEC issued an order that (1) established a process for TDEC to oversee TVA's implementation of the EPA's CCR rule and to ensure coordination and compliance with Tennessee laws and regulations that govern the management of CCR and (2) required TVA to investigate and assess CCR contamination risks at seven of TVA's eight coal-fired plants in Tennessee and to remediate any unacceptable risks. The TDEC order does not allege that TVA is violating any CCR regulatory requirements nor does it assess TVA penalties. The TDEC order sets out an iterative process through which TVA and TDEC will identify and evaluate any CCR contamination risks and, if necessary, respond to such risks. TVA submitted to TDEC an environmental assessment report (“EAR”) for Allen in the fourth quarter of 2021. TVA is currently conducting environmental investigations for the remaining six sites in accordance with the TDEC-approved Environmental Investigation Plans and will submit EARs to TDEC upon completion of the related investigations.
Groundwater Contamination . Environmental groups and state regulatory agencies are increasing their attention on alleged groundwater contamination associated with CCR management activities. As a result, TVA may have to change how it manages CCR at some of its plants, potentially resulting in higher costs. See Item 7, Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations — Key Initiatives and Challenges — Generation Resources — Coal Combustion Residuals Facilities and — Allen Groundwater Investigation and Note 13 — Asset Retirement Obligations.
Environmental Investments
From 1970 to 2021, TVA spent approximately $6.8 billion on controls to reduce emissions from its coal-fired power plants. In addition, TVA has reduced emissions by idling or retiring coal-fired units and relying more on cleaner energy resources including natural gas and nuclear generation.
TVA currently anticipates spending significant amounts on environmental projects in the future, including investments in new clean energy generation including renewables to reduce TVA's overall environmental footprint. TVA environmental project expenditures also result from coal-fired plant decommissioning and from effective ash management modernization. Based on TVA's decisions regarding certain coal-fired units, the amount and timing of expenditures could change. See Power Supply and Load Management Resources — Coal-Fired above and Estimated Required Environmental Expenditures below.
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SO 2 Emissions and NO x Emissions. To reduce SO 2 emissions, TVA operates scrubbers on 18 of its coal-fired units and switched to lower-sulfur coal at certain coal-fired units. To reduce NO x emissions, TVA operates SCRs on 18 coal-fired units, operates low-NO x burners or low-NO x combustion systems on 21 units, optimized combustion on all 25 units, and operates NO x control equipment year round when units are operating (except during start-up, shutdown, and maintenance periods). TVA has also retired 34 of 59 coal-fired units. Except for seven units at Shawnee, the remaining coal-fired units in the TVA fleet have scrubbers and SCRs. See Power Supply and Load Management Resources — Coal-Fired above.
Particulate Emissions. To reduce particulate emissions of air pollutants, TVA has equipped all of its coal-fired units with scrubbers, mechanical collectors, electrostatic precipitators, and/or bag houses.
Greenhouse Gas Emissions . The EPA may issue regulations establishing more stringent air, water, and waste requirements, and these requirements could result in significant changes in the structure of the U.S. power industry, especially in the eastern half of the country. There could be additional material costs if further reductions of GHGs, including CO 2 , are mandated by legislative, executive, regulatory, or judicial actions and if more stringent emission reduction requirements for conventional pollutants are established. These costs cannot reasonably be predicted at this time because of the uncertainty of these actions.
Estimated Required Environmental Expenditures
The following table contains information about TVA's current estimates on projects related to environmental laws and regulations.
Estimated Potential Environmental Expenditures (1)(2)
For the years ended September 30, 2021
(in millions)
2022 2023 Thereafter (3)(4)
Total
Coal Combustion Residual Program (5)
$ 232 $ 189 $ 368 $ 789
Clean Air Act control projects (6)
31 38 90 159
Clean Water Act requirements (7)
77 64 7 148
Notes
(1) These estimates are subject to change as additional information becomes available and as regulations change.
(2) These estimates include $134 million, $75 million, and $52 million for 2022, 2023, and thereafter, respectively, in capital expenditures.
(3) See Note 23 — Commitments and Contingencies .
(4) These estimates include expenditures expected to be incurred during 2024, 2025, and 2026.
(5) Includes costs associated with the closure of facilities and landfill activities. TVA is continuing to evaluate the rules and their impact on its operations, including the cost and timing estimates of related projects. See Item 7 Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations — Key Initiatives and Challenges — Generation Resources — Coal Combustion Residuals Facilities and Note 13 — Asset Retirement Obligations.
(6) Includes air quality projects that TVA is currently performing to comply with existing air quality regulations, but does not include any projects that may be required to comply with potential GHG regulations or transmission upgrades.
(7) Includes projects that TVA is currently planning to comply with revised rules under the Clean Water Act regarding CWIS and ELGs for steam electric power plants.
Human Capital Management
People Strategy and TVA's Values
As 2021 remained a challenge due to the continuation of the COVID-19 pandemic, the employees of TVA kept its mission in focus and continued to create a culture that lives up to its values - Safety, Integrity, Inclusion, and Service. TVA employees collectively came together to address business needs and enable strong performance while serving the 10 million people of the Tennessee Valley.
As part of its People Advantage strategic priority, TVA strives to create a work environment that supports and responds to the changing needs of the workforce. People Advantage is one of TVA's five strategic priorities and a multi-year commitment to evolve TVA's culture. The recent and on-going effects of the pandemic have brought the importance of employee health, well-being and retention into sharp focus. This importance centers around TVA's valuable human capital and putting its people first. The focus on People Advantage, along with the other four strategic priorities of Operational Excellence, Financial Strength, Powerful Partnerships, and Igniting Innovation, allows TVA to fulfill its daily mission of service to the people of the Tennessee Valley.
The three initiatives in People Advantage that influence the desired TVA culture impact to the communities that TVA serves are (1) Inclusion with Diversity ("IwD"), (2) Talent, and (3) Engagement. To help shape an inclusive work environment that values all voices, TVA has intensified its efforts over the past few years to integrate diversity and inclusion into its culture and make its efforts and progress sustainable and a part of TVA's daily operations. Similarly, TVA has promoted a people-focused organization that amplifies and harnesses the energy, power, and creativity of an experienced and talented workforce - one that continues to bring about the best from its people - manifesting itself as a "destination for difference makers" for highly-skilled candidates. TVA is working to cultivate a positive employee experience to heighten workforce engagement. This work is
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focused on equipping leaders to champion engagement across the enterprise through the understanding and leveraging of employee surveys, workplace flexibility opportunities, and health, safety, and well-being programs.
Ethics
Ethics and integrity are highly valued at TVA. Since its establishment in 1933, a commitment to ethics has been a part of TVA's DNA. In 2021, TVA partnered with a third-party administrator to execute a survey that measured employees' perceptions of TVA's ethical culture. TVA is committed to leveraging the results from the survey to further strengthen TVA's strong ethical culture. TVA's Ethics & Compliance office aims to help employees make the right decisions for the right reasons and offers guidance when the right decisions may not be clear. The office is focused on educating and creating awareness while also assisting employees with ethical decision-making inside and outside of the TVA workplace. Further, TVA requires all employees and contractors to take its annual ethics training and attest to its Code of Conduct, which sets forth standards for adhering to TVA's core values and conducting its affairs with openness, honesty, and integrity every day.
TVA Board Governance and Oversight
The TVA Board’s People and Governance Committee assists the TVA Board in fulfilling its responsibilities under the TVA Act by overseeing policies and strategies that affect a wide array of people-related programs inclusive of leadership development, culture, engagement, labor relations, safety, communications, compensation, performance incentives, benefits, and well-being. Specifically, the Committee advises the TVA Board in areas of overall Board governance, CEO goals, performance, compensation, and succession planning. Emergent people issues are discussed by this Committee, or in TVA Board briefings, as appropriate. The TVA Board's Audit, Finance, Risk, and Cybersecurity Committee oversees TVA's compliance and ethics programs.
Inclusion with Diversity
In 2020, the company added Inclusion as one of its core values and adopted IwD as an enterprise-wide transformational strategic element. Since then, IwD has become increasingly integrated into TVA’s daily operations. To accelerate the impact of IwD within TVA and the communities it serves, TVA is working to recognize and sustain diversity as an imperative, leveraging the public power model to advance inclusion with diversity in TVA communities.
In 2021, TVA's initiatives and accomplishments in promoting diversity and inclusion included the following:
• Established an IwD Council, comprised of senior leadership from all six strategic business units with accountability directly to TVA’s CEO and his direct reports; the council advises, champions, and oversees all IwD strategies and actions across the enterprise;
• Established a Supplier Diversity Stakeholder Advisory Council and Supplier Mentoring Program;
• Established the reinforcement of IwD by the TVA Board as an enterprise priority and goal for TVA’s CEO, which is reflected in his individual performance assessment under the annual incentive compensation program; see Item 11, Executive Compensation — C ompensation Discussion and Analysis — 2021 Performance Goals and Performance Achievement — Executive Annual Incentive Plan — Individual Performance Multiplier Reinforces Pay for Performance for additional information;
• Refreshed courses to ensure that existing learning and development programs have the right level of content and emphasis on inclusion with diversity and expanded accessibility to courses through partnership with an online platform;
• Maintained an inclusion score, which measures sense of belonging, above market median at 74%; and
• Created new virtual programs for safe and open conversations about diversity and inclusion.
TVA is also advancing IwD in the communities it serves. For example, TVA is enhancing its economic development program support for women-, minority- and veteran-owned businesses .
Employee Resource Groups. TVA is powered by its people and strengthened by its diversity. TVA supports nine Employee Resource Groups ("ERGs") to help strengthen an inclusive culture and make life better for the people it serves:
• ABLED Events — allows TVA employees to bring unique perspectives and gifts together as a united team to celebrate commonalities and differences through “Awareness Benefitting Leaders & Employees about disAbilities” in the workplace.
• ACTion — celebrates and honors the many Asian cultures represented within TVA, from Japan to India, and to the Philippines and beyond. It regularly highlights social events and supports career-enriching workshops.
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• African American Voices — provides an avenue for African American and others interested in fellowship and smart career connections within TVA. It promotes mentoring and development opportunities, as well as group workshop events on such topics as personal branding, personal finance, and networking and negotiation skills.
• IGNITE — provides TVA’s workforce with an opportunity to engage with others on various topics of interest about products, services, processes, and solutions provided by TVA; and in doing so, provides a more diverse and creative knowledge base for TVA and its employees.
• New Employee Network — makes life easier for new employees entering a large company. It provides organizational information and cross-functional connections not only on the front-end to new employees but throughout an employee’s tenure at the company.
• Spectrum — highlights the open, accepting, and safe work environment TVA provides for all employees and focuses increasing visibility on educational and social opportunities on LGBTQ+ issues by offering employees a variety of community and professional networking opportunities within the Tennessee Valley.
• TVA & Amigos — provides an avenue for TVA's Hispanic employees and those interested in Latin culture to be involved in professional, educational, and service-oriented events.
• TVA Veterans Association — allows employees unique camaraderie opportunities as they support a wide array of local and national ceremonies and events and is one of the oldest and most active resource groups at TVA, with all branches of the military represented.
• Women Empowered (WE) — supports women at all stages of their careers and advocates for the equal rights of all female employees across TVA. This extends externally as TVA supports inclusion, networking, and developmental opportunities for girls and young women in local communities.
Together, TVA and its employees collectively champion personal and professional growth through a network of professional, social, and volunteer opportunities made available by each ERG and TVA’s diverse mix of employees.
Talent
To bring out the best from its people, TVA utilizes a set of business functions that operate together to address the enterprise’s workforce needs around human capital talent selection, organization, development, engagement, and performance.
Attracting and Retaining Talent. TVA is enriched by the diversity of a talented, highly skilled workforce made up of people from all backgrounds. To achieve this, TVA endeavors to ensure that all qualified candidates receive fair consideration for open jobs at TVA and that all employees are encouraged, engaged, and empowered to contribute their talents and time while bringing their authentic selves to work each day. Recruiting efforts also support the strategic element of IwD to build a culture that lives up to TVA's values, as TVA actively recruits employees of all races, colors, sexual orientations, ethnicities, gender identities, abilities, religions, and ages. TVA continues to improve employment opportunities for underrepresented populations within TVA’s workforce, to partner with colleges and universities for internships and recent graduates, and to maintain its status as a top industry employer for military veterans.
While public reports have shown that employees in all sectors of the United States economy have been voluntarily leaving the workforce as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic at an historically high rate, TVA’s voluntary attrition rate has remained stable, and an area that TVA continues to monitor while also listening to workforce needs. TVA believes this is largely attributable to its People Advantage focus, which includes competitive compensation and comprehensive benefits programs, inclusion and well-being programs, flexible workplace practices, and an environment that promotes retention of its complex and valuable workforce.
Competitive Total Rewards. TVA’s total rewards package is a significant factor in attracting and retaining top talent. TVA’s competitive benefits portfolio supports the values and needs of its employees. TVA provides market-based and competitive compensation which includes an annual incentive plan that is designed to reward accomplishments against established business and individual goals within a given year. All eligible employees participate in TVA's annual incentive plan, including TVA's represented employee population.
Additionally, in support of its cultural commitment to IwD, TVA periodically reviews compensation practices to promote fairness and equity. TVA has engaged third party vendors to conduct independent pay equity analysis and continues to monitor its pay practices and to provide its leaders with tools to assist in making equitable pay decisions.
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To support and care for the well-being of employees and their families, examples of comprehensive and competitive benefits TVA currently offers include:
• medical, vision, dental, life, accident, and disability insurance
• paid time-off
• leave donation
• health savings accounts
• flexible spending accounts
• tuition reimbursement
• 401(k) retirement
• dependent scholarships
• flexible work schedules
• wellness incentives
• employee assistance programs
Development and Training. As TVA continues to adapt to the evolving demands of the industry, it is imperative that it cultivate a work environment that motivates people to do their best work by aligning employee development, skills, and capabilities with what TVA needs to succeed now and in the future. TVA provides multiple training and development opportunities at all employee levels. Those opportunities include:
• individual learning-ability
• team learning
• mentoring
• career pathing, including rotational development
• professional, technical, and leadership career pathways
• over 5,000 on-line learning courses
TVA also invests in the development of its employees through tuition reimbursement for academic programs aligned with TVA’s business and workforce development needs. In 2021, employees and contractors engaged in over 915,000 hours of training.
Leadership and Development and Succession Planning. TVA encourages personal and professional development and has strategic leadership development programs designed to prepare employees to step into leadership positions, accepting the additional responsibilities, expectations, and challenges faced by each level of leadership. TVA also has advanced leadership programs designed to further prepare leaders for executive level positions, which require an extensive interview and assessment process for selection. Through TVA’s talent review and succession planning program, 97% of director and executive level roles have at least one succession candidate identified.
Continuous focus on and support of leadership development is maintained through means such as talent discussions at least annually at every level of the organization, which includes attention to developing a diverse leadership pipeline. TVA has established goals for female and people of color representation in leadership and plans to update these goals to continuously improve this representation.
Engagement
TVA's work in this key area is focused on equipping leaders to champion engagement across the enterprise, leveraging and understanding the employee voice to make informed decisions that drive engagement, and enhancing policies and resources that support holistic employee well-being and promote engagement. Strong engagement levels impact all of TVA’s strategic priorities.
Employee Engagement Survey. TVA’s Employee Engagement Survey is a key tool for understanding and leveraging the employee voice. The survey is administered a minimum of twice annually to all employees and measures overall engagement and drivers of engagement. The survey results provide real-time insights and analytics and are compared to a normative database comprised of other relative external benchmarks to identify strengths and opportunities for improvement. Results from the surveys are shared with employees and used by TVA leadership and business units to improve and monitor progress against People Advantage objectives. Two scores are used as key People Advantage metrics: Engagement, which measures the sense of commitment and involvement, and Inclusion, which measures the sense of belonging at work. In 2021, TVA’s engagement score of 82% places it at top decile among over 750 companies from various industries.
Workplace Flexibility. As part of its People Advantage strategic priority, TVA strives to create a work environment that is welcoming, supportive, and responsive to the changing needs of the workforce. Recognizing the changing work environment, largely fostered by the COVID-19 pandemic, and responding to employee appreciation of flexibility in work location in 2021, TVA established a workplace flexibility initiative called “Reimagining How We Work.” The objective of the initiative is to promote workplace flexibility guided by safety, performance, inclusion, and engagement. Instead of returning to what was, TVA is embracing a more flexible future that puts people at the center of all it does to maximize its performance and mission.
Safety, Employee Health, and Well-being. Safety is one of TVA’s core values. TVA's safety program is based on the fundamentals of a safety management system, which includes management commitment, employee engagement, hazard recognition and control, worksite analysis, contractor safety management, training, review, and continuous improvement. Employee engagement is critical to the success of the program. TVA's vital safety behaviors are employee-driven and developed with the collaboration of represented employees, union leadership, and management. As a federal agency, TVA is also required to complete regulatory compliance inspections of its facilities on an annual basis.
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The COVID-19 pandemic has brought the importance of employee health, well-being, and retention into sharp focus. TVA has provided support for its employees throughout the pandemic to ensure the retention of valuable talent and to enhance well-being. This support includes establishing a mental health advocacy program, providing unlimited Employee Assistance Program sessions, enhancing paid leave, and providing tutoring resources, onsite vaccination clinics, and wellness incentives for vaccinations. In 2020, TVA established an Employee Relief Fund to support employees adversely affected by the COVID-19 pandemic and natural disasters and has continued those distributions in 2021 to assist employees.
TVA’s safety accomplishments in 2021 include:
• Consistent decline in recordable injuries and illnesses; and
• Industry top decile performance in recordable injury rate and top quartile performance in serious injury rate in 2021.
Partnerships with Unions. TVA has a long-standing policy of acknowledging and working with recognized representatives of its employees, and that policy is reflected in long-term agreements to recognize the unions (or their successors) that represent TVA employees. TVA’s labor construct is complex and unique – different from private utility peers and with union influence that has the ability to reach national levels – primarily governed by the TVA Act. Neither the federal labor relations laws covering most private sector employers, nor those covering most federal agencies, apply to TVA.
TVA’s labor strategy is critical to the achievement of its strategic priorities as it prepares the workforce for the future. Its employees and contractors are represented by seven collective bargaining agreements and a total of 17 labor unions. This reflects 60% of TVA’s workforce, or approximately 6,000 employees. TVA’s partnerships with these unions go back more than 80 years and form the backbone of TVA and its ability to serve the people of the Tennessee Valley.
Recent accomplishments to strengthen the relationship between TVA and its labor unions include:
• Continued low-cost, reliable energy to residents across the Tennessee Valley:
– TVA and the Trades and Labor Council for Annual Employees announced a 10-year extension on their agreement in 2020.
– TVA and the North America’s Building Trades Unions announced a 10-year extension of their Project Labor Agreement in 2021, which provides stability for staffing of construction and maintenance projects throughout the Tennessee Valley and strengthens the relationship.
• Adoption of the Code of Excellence ("COE") — a union led partnership to promote the highest quality of work, best work practices, and the development of a highly skilled workforce – to drive business outcomes by applying the SPARQ principles of Safety, Professionalism, Accountability, Relationships, and Quality, including:
– During a year of unprecedented challenges, TVA set the industry benchmark for pandemic response and delivered strong operational excellence with one of the safest and most productive years on record, and TVA attributes this success in part to its strong union partnerships.
– Union-led labor management panel has partnered to reduce g rievances (the number of grievances filed during 2017 was more than four times that of the grievances filed during 2021).
Awards
Awards and other recognition help TVA understand its strengths, identify opportunities for improvement, bolster employee pride, and better attract and retain diverse talent. Recognition in 2021 included:
• Forbes America's Best Large Employers 2021 - #2 in Utilities industry
• Forbes Best Employers by State 2021 - Top 5 in Tennessee for third consecutive year
• 2021 Diversity Impact Awards TM Top 10 Diversity Action Award
• Ranked in Top 100 - 2021 America's Most Loved Workplaces ® ( Newsweek in partnership with Best Practice Institute)
• 2021 Military Friendly ® Employer Top 10
• Best in Class 401(k) Plan
• One of the largest U.S. Contributor to Helmets to Hardhats Program
Key Metrics
TVA actively monitors internal metrics to remain aware of human capital trends and to ensure that it is making measurable progress on its People Advantage objectives. Through monitoring sources such as data and performance
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dashboards, one-on-one engagements between leaders and employees, and engagement surveys, TVA obtains information that helps it understand its performance and make adjustments, if needed.
Key measures of success in TVA’s People Advantage strategic priority are set forth below:
Goal Actual
Performance Measure 2022 2021 2020
People of color representation in leadership (%) (1)
10.0 % 9.6 % 9.0 %
Female representation in leadership (%) (1)
20.0 % 18.0 % 18.0 %
Diverse external hires (%) (2)
33.0 % 39.4 % 34.8 %
Regrettable losses (%) (3)
N/A 1.6 % 1.0 %
Voluntary attrition (%) (3)
1.5 % 1.5 % 1.9 %
Engagement (100 point scale) (4)
82 82 80
Inclusion (100 point scale) (5)
76 74 72
Recordable injuries (#) (6)
0 29 39
Notes
(1) Defined as first line supervisors and above.
(2) Defined as external hires who are female, persons of color, and persons with disabilities.
(3) Regrettable Loss is generally defined as voluntary terminations by employees with acceptable performance ratings. For 2022, this measure will be replaced by Voluntary Attrition, which is a more inclusive measure and accounts for all employees who leave the business voluntarily during a fiscal year.
(4) Based on score from Employee Engagement Survey defined as degree to which employees invest their cognitive, emotional, and behavioral energies toward positive organizational outcomes.
(5) Based on score from Employee Engagement Survey defined as the degree to which employees sense they belong at work.
(6) Defined as the number of recordable injuries and illnesses per 100 full-time employees per year.
Workforce Demographics
Employee Demographics 2021 2020
Number of employees on September 30 10,192 9,989
Represented by collective bargaining unit 60% Represented, or approximately 6,000 employees 60% Represented, or approximately 6,000 employees
Trades and labor employees 3,261 3,287
Average tenure (years) 13 13
Average age 44.1 45.2
In addition to the employees above, TVA also had approximately 15,500 and 13,800 contractors on September 30, 2021 and 2020, respectively, providing both intermittent or full-time services. The majority of these contractors are managed by TVA suppliers that are providing services to TVA.
All Employees Leadership New Hires
2021 2020 2021 2020 2021 2020
Female 2,076 2,006 270 254 211 156
People of Color 1,146 1,098 143 133 122 83
Military, Veteran 1,822 1,804 318 322 107 78
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ITEM 1A. RISK FACTORS
The risk factors described below, as well as the other information included in this Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended September 30, 2021 (the "Annual Report"), should be carefully considered. Risks and uncertainties described in these risk factors could cause future results to differ materially from historical results as well as from the results anticipated in forward-looking statements. Although the risk factors described below are the ones that TVA considers material, additional risk factors that are not presently known to TVA or that TVA presently does not consider material may also impact TVA's business operations. See Forward Looking Information above for a description of some matters that could affect the below risks or generate new risks. The occurrence of any of the following could have a material adverse effect on TVA's cash flows, results of operations, or financial condition.
For ease of reference, the risk factors are presented in nine categories: (1) COVID-19 related risks; (2) cybersecurity risks; (3) regulatory, legislative, and legal risks; (4) operational risks; (5) risks related to the environment and catastrophic events; (6) financial, economic, and market risks; (7) human capital and management risks; (8) accounting and financial reporting risks; and (9) general business risks.
COVID-19 RELATED RISKS
The COVID-19 pandemic has adversely affected, and may continue to adversely affect, TVA's business, financial condition, and results of operations.
The COVID-19 pandemic has adversely affected, and may continue to adversely affect, TVA's business, financial condition, and results of operations. To date, the COVID-19 pandemic has resulted in reduced revenues primarily due to economic conditions surrounding COVID-19, including customers curtailing operations to reduce the spread of the outbreak as a result of quarantines, closures, or reduced operations of businesses or other institutions, among other things. TVA's revenues also decreased due to the deferral of revenues under programs offered by TVA to its LPCs to offset the impact of customers' inability to pay during the outbreak. TVA estimates base revenues were reduced by approximately $185 million for the year ended September 30, 2020. Based on current internal models, TVA estimates that the COVID-19 pandemic had little impact on TVA's sales volume for the year ended September 30, 2021. At this time, TVA does not anticipate sales volume will be materially impacted due to the COVID-19 pandemic beyond 2021. See Item 7, Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations — Results of Operations — Financial Results — Operating Revenues .
TVA could be further adversely affected by the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the economy and financial markets, including differences in the recovery of specific economic sectors or regions of the Tennessee Valley and continued volatility in interest rates, commodity prices, investment performance, and foreign currency exchange rates. An extended slowdown in the recovery of the United States’ economic growth, changes in the demand for commodities, or material changes in governmental policy could result in lower economic growth and lower demand for electricity in TVA’s key markets. In addition, contractual counterparties could be impaired in their ability to perform their obligations to TVA, which could result in more costly operation of TVA’s facilities. TVA has experienced fluctuations related to its pension plan assets and other investment portfolios during the years ended September 30, 2020 and 2021. The ultimate impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the pension plan and other investments depends on factors beyond TVA's knowledge or control. A long-term recession could impact access to capital and have other long-term negative effects on TVA's business or results of operations.
In addition, TVA's results of operations could be impacted by, among other things, personnel who leave or forego employment to avoid vaccination requirements; social distancing to prevent illness from spreading within the workforce; remote work arrangements; travel restrictions; the availability of the workforce to perform essential functions; and the unavailability of fuel or critical parts, supplies, or services due to transportation restrictions or the shutdown, slowdown, or inability to meet contractual requirements of suppliers or other vendors in TVA's supply chain. In addition, the continued spread of the COVID-19 pandemic could adversely impact TVA's ability to develop, construct, and operate facilities; could delay or prevent the completion of projects; or could lead to impairments of TVA’s long-lived assets and accounts or loans receivable. Examples of potential impacts include delivery of force majeure notices from contractual counterparties, closure or reduced operation of global ports, or limitations on shipping key equipment as anticipated or at budgeted costs. These impacts could cause delays in construction projects or the performance of necessary maintenance to TVA’s generation or transmission facilities, which could impact the availability of TVA’s facilities for their intended operations.
To address specific aspects of the COVID-19 pandemic, TVA has implemented a company-wide pandemic plan, including limiting non-essential travel and mandatory telework for those who do not have to be physically present at a TVA facility or office building; implementing strong physical and cyber-security measures; actively monitoring generation, transmission, and distribution functions; and maintaining an increased cash reserve. However, it is possible that these measures will not be successful in mitigating the impacts of the pandemic. At this time, operations and delivery of energy to customers have not been materially impacted, but there is no guarantee that there will not be a material impact in the future.
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The extent to which the COVID-19 pandemic will impact TVA's business, financial condition, cash flows, and results of operations is uncertain and will depend on numerous evolving factors beyond TVA's control including, among other things, the duration and severity of the pandemic, actions taken to contain its spread and mitigate its effects, including vaccination programs, and the broader impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the country, the region's economy, and global trade. However, TVA reasonably anticipates that any of a prolonged outbreak, impacts of variants of COVID-19, and resulting commercial or social restrictions could have a material adverse impact on its business, financial condition, and results of operations, and could require TVA to change how it conducts certain operations, takes power under certain agreements, or dispatches its own facilities.
See Item 7, Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations — Key Initiatives
and Challenges — COVID-19 Pandemic for an expanded discussion of the impact to TVA and related initiatives.
CYBERSECURITY RISKS
TVA’s facilities and information infrastructure may not operate as planned due to cyber threats to TVA’s assets
and operations.
TVA’s operations are heavily computerized and include assets such as information technology and networking systems.
As with all industries, the reliance on computerization and networking makes TVA a target for cyber attacks, and the risk
of such attacks may increase as individual devices and equipment become accessible via the internet. TVA has been
targeted by cyber attacks in the past and anticipates that it will be targeted in the future. These attacks may have been
carried out, or in the future could be carried out, by individuals, groups, or nation states. Although TVA has extensive
cyber safeguards and works with industry specialists and relevant governmental authorities to deter, stop, or mitigate
cyber attacks, it is possible that these measures might not prevent all attacks. Furthermore, there may be more attacks
in the future as technology becomes more prevalent in energy infrastructure. Cyber attacks could include viruses,
malicious or destructive code, phishing attacks, denial of service attacks, ransomware and other ransom-based attacks,
improper access by third parties, attacks on email systems, and ransom demands to not expose sensitive data,
gain operational control, or expose security vulnerabilities specific to TVA’s facilities, among various other security
breaches. In such a case, a cyber attack could compromise sensitive data; significantly disrupt operations; require
additional expenditures for cybersecurity; negatively affect TVA’s cash flows, results of operations, financial condition,
and reputation; and pose health and safety risks. Additionally, the theft, damage, or improper disclosure of sensitive
data may subject TVA to penalties and claims from third parties.
Cyber attacks on third parties could interfere with or harm TVA.
TVA relies on third parties for various services, including transferring funds to non-TVA entities and delivering
TVA’s products in the ordinary course of business. As with TVA, these third parties are heavily computerized and use
assets such as information technology and networking systems. If these third parties undergo cyber attacks, which
have occurred and may continue to occur, the services they provide TVA could be disrupted. This disruption could
interfere with TVA’s ability to perform its obligations to others, transfer funds, obtain fuel or critical parts, supplies, or
services, or make payments, which in turn could negatively affect TVA’s financial condition and reputation. Additionally,
the theft, damage, or improper disclosure of sensitive data held by these third parties may subject TVA to further harm.
See Item 7, Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations — Key Initiatives and Challenges — Safeguarding Assets — Cybersecurity for a discussion of recent cyber attacks on third parties.
REGULATORY, LEGISLATIVE, AND LEGAL RISKS
Existing laws, regulations, and orders may negatively affect TVA's cash flows, results of operations, and financial condition, as well as the way TVA conducts its business.
TVA is required to comply with comprehensive and complex laws, regulations, and orders. The costs of complying with these laws, regulations, and orders are substantial, and costs could be significantly more than TVA anticipates, especially with respect to environmental and nuclear compliance. In addition, TVA is required to obtain numerous permits and approvals from governmental agencies that regulate its business, and TVA may be unable to obtain or maintain all desired regulatory approvals. If there is a delay in obtaining desired regulatory approvals or if TVA fails to obtain or maintain any approvals or to comply with any law, regulation, or order, TVA may have to change how it operates certain assets, may be unable to operate certain assets, or may have to pay fines or penalties if it continues to operate the assets.
New laws, regulations, or administrative or executive orders, or congressional actions or inactions, may negatively affect TVA's cash flows, results of operations, and financial condition, as well as the way TVA conducts its business.
Because TVA is a corporate agency and instrumentality established by federal law, it may be affected by a variety of laws, regulations, and administrative or executive orders that do not affect other electric utilities. For example, federal
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legislation may expand or reduce TVA's activities, change its governance structure, require TVA to sell some or all of the assets that it operates, require TVA to take certain other operational or regulatory actions, reduce or eliminate the U.S.'s ownership of TVA, or even liquidate TVA. Additionally, Congress could act, or fail to take action, on various issues that may result in impacts to TVA, including but not limited to action or inaction related to the national debt ceiling or automatic spending cuts in government programs. Furthermore, administrative or executive orders could cause TVA to change the way it conducts its business. See Item 1, Business — Environmental Matters — Climate Change — Executive Actions for a discussion of recent executive orders regarding climate change.
Although it is difficult to predict exactly how new laws, regulations, or administrative or executive orders or congressional action or inaction may impact TVA, some of the possible effects are described below.
TVA may lose its protected service territory.
TVA’s service area is defined primarily by provisions of law and long-term contracts. The fence limits the region in which TVA or LPCs which distribute TVA power may provide power. The anti-cherrypicking provision precludes FERC from ordering TVA to transmit power for others if that power would be consumed within the TVA service area. State service territory laws limit unregulated third parties’ ability to sell electricity to consumers. All current wholesale power contracts between TVA and LPCs are all requirements contracts; however, Flexibility Agreements available to LPCs that have executed long-term contracts with TVA allow LPCs to locally generate or purchase up to approximately five percent of average total hourly energy sales over 2015 - 2019 in order to meet their individual customers’ needs. In addition, other utilities may use their own transmission lines to serve customers within TVA’s service area, and third parties are able to avoid the restrictions on serving end-use customers by selling or leasing generating assets to a customer rather than selling electricity.
From time to time, there have been efforts to circumvent the protection of the anti-cherrypicking provision. For example, on January 11, 2021, four LPCs filed a complaint and petition with FERC asking FERC to order TVA to provide transmission and interconnection service to the LPCs or other suppliers that want to serve them, although one of the four LPCs subsequently withdrew from the complaint and petition. See Note 23 — Commitments and Contingencies — Legal Proceedings — Challenge to Anti-Cherrypicking Amendment . In addition, the protections afforded by the anti-cherrypicking provision could be affected by federal legislation at some time in the future. If FERC limited the application of the anti-cherrypicking provision or if federal legislation eliminated or limited the application of the anti-cherrypicking provision without corresponding legislative modifications to the territorial limitations imposed by the fence, TVA's ability to compete fairly for customers would be adversely affected. Because TVA’s ability to expand its customer base is constrained by the fence, reductions in demand have to be offset by such actions as reducing TVA’s internal costs or increasing rates. Any failure of such measures to fully offset the reduced demand for power may negatively affect TVA’s cash flows, results of operations, and financial condition.
TVA is involved in various legal and administrative proceedings whose outcomes may affect TVA's finances and operations.
TVA is involved in various legal and administrative proceedings and is likely to become involved in additional proceedings in the future in the ordinary course of business or as a result of, among other things, catastrophic events or environmental conditions at TVA property or areas where TVA has disposed of materials or property. The additional proceedings could involve, among other things, challenges to TVA’s CCR facilities, nuisance suits involving TVA’s coal-fired plants, challenges to the anti-cherrypicking provision, and challenges to TVA’s authority to set rates and enter into contracts. Although TVA cannot predict the outcome of the individual matters in which TVA is involved or will become involved, the resolution of these matters could require TVA to make expenditures in excess of established reserves and in amounts that could have a material adverse effect on TVA’s cash flows, results of operations, and financial condition. Similarly, resolution of any such proceedings may require TVA to change its business practices or procedures, change how it operates its fossil-fueled units, reduce emissions to a greater extent than TVA had planned, close existing CCR facilities sooner than planned, build new CCR facilities sooner than planned, build new CCR facilities that were not planned, cease operation of some coal-fired units, adjust its rates, or terminate or modify contracts. These events could also have a material adverse effect on TVA’s cash flows, results of operations, and financial condition. For a discussion of certain current material legal proceedings, see Item 7, Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations — Key Initiatives and Challenges and Note 23 — Commitments and Contingencies — Legal Proceedings .
TVA may become subject to additional environmental regulation.
New environmental laws, regulations, or orders may become applicable to TVA or the facilities it operates, and existing environmental laws or regulations may be revised or reinterpreted in a way that adversely affects TVA, including substantially increasing TVA's cost of operations, prompting the early retirement of generation facilities, or requiring significant capital expenditures. Possible areas of future laws or regulations include, but are not limited to, GHGs, CCR, ELGs, water quality, renewable energy portfolio standards, and natural gas production and transmission. See Item 1, Business — Environmental Matters — Water Quality Control Developments for a discussion of the EPA's new effluent limitation guidelines, Item 1, Business — Environmental Matters — Cleanup of Solid and Hazardous Wastes — Coal Combustion Residuals for a discussion of recent revisions to the EPA's CCR rule, and Item 1, Business — Environmental Matters — Climate Change — Executive Actions for a discussion of recent executive orders regarding
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climate change. Litigation may affect the timing and requirements of new regulatory proposals, and may indirectly affect TVA, even if TVA is not involved.
TVA could be divested by the federal government or be required to sell some or all of its assets.
From time to time, U.S. administrations have suggested that the federal government should either divest TVA or require TVA to sell some or all of its assets, including its transmission system. Either event could trigger change of control provisions in certain material contracts or covenants in TVA’s bond documents that concern the sale or disposal of a substantial portion of TVA’s power properties. TVA may, among other things, be required to pay off debt more quickly than anticipated and be unable to access credit facilities. Additionally, the loss of the transmission system could interfere with TVA’s operations and require TVA to contract for the transmission of electricity to customers. These factors could negatively affect TVA’s operations, change the way it conducts such operations, and increase costs.
TVA's ability to control or allocate funds could be restricted.
Other federal entities may attempt to restrict TVA's ability to access or control its funds that are on deposit in TVA's account in the U.S. Treasury. For example, should the U.S. Treasury approach its debt ceiling, the U.S. Treasury might, as part of an effort to control cash disbursements, attempt to require TVA to receive approval before disbursement of funds from TVA's U.S. Treasury account. Additionally, the OMB might, in the event that automatic spending cuts go into effect, attempt to require TVA to reduce its budget by a specified percentage (although the legal applicability of such a situation to TVA would depend upon the specific legislation making the automatic spending cuts). Such attempts to restrict TVA's ability to control or allocate funds in those specific types of situations could adversely affect its cash flows, results of operations, and financial condition, its relationships with creditors, vendors, and counterparties, the way it conducts its business, and its reputation.
The TVA Board may lose its sole authority to set rates for electricity.
Under the TVA Act, the TVA Board has the sole authority to set the rates that TVA charges for electricity, and these rates are not subject to further regulation. If the TVA Board loses this authority or if the rates or the ratemaking process become subject to external review, there could be material adverse effects on TVA including, but not limited to, being unable to set rates at a level sufficient to generate adequate revenues to service TVA's financial obligations, properly operate and maintain its assets, and provide for reinvestment in its power program and becoming subject to additional regulatory oversight that could impede its ability to adapt its business to changing circumstances.
TVA may lose responsibility for managing the Tennessee River system.
TVA's management of the Tennessee River system helps TVA effectively operate its power system. TVA's ability to integrate management of the Tennessee River system with power system operations increases power system reliability and reduces costs. Restrictions on how TVA manages the Tennessee River system could negatively affect its operations or increase costs.
TVA may lose responsibility for managing real property currently under its control.
TVA's management of real property containing power generation and transmission structures as well as certain reservoir shorelines is important for navigation, flood control, and the effective operation of the power system. Restrictions on or the loss of the authority to manage these properties could negatively affect TVA's operations or increase costs.
TVA may become subject to additional NERC requirements.
TVA is subject to federal reliability standards that are set forth by NERC and approved by FERC. TVA recognizes that reliability standards and expectations continue to become more complex and stringent for transmission systems. Complying with these or additional requirements set forth by NERC may require significant capital expenditures and may negatively affect TVA's cash flows, results of operations, and financial condition.
TVA's governmental status may interfere in its ability to quickly respond to the needs of its current or potential customers or to act solely in the interest of its ratepayers.
As a quasi-governmental entity, TVA has certain legal requirements that prevent it from responding as quickly to potential changes in the market or requests from current or potential customers as might be desired or in comparison to other utilities. For example, TVA is required to comply with the National Environmental Policy Act ("NEPA"), which requires environmental reviews to be performed in connection with certain projects. The delay in responding to requests could damage relationships with current customers, deter potential customers from moving into TVA's service territory, or damage TVA's reputation.
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In addition, TVA's nature as a quasi-governmental entity imposes additional pressures that most companies do not face, such as the requirement to support economic development; simultaneously manage a river system for commerce, recreation, and power generation; and promote recreational opportunities. TVA must balance these obligations with the requirement to provide power at the lowest feasible rates. If TVA does not adequately communicate how it fulfills its various missions and the value it provides, its reputation may be harmed, which may result in political pressure to change its nature or operations as well as in the loss of public support.
OPERATIONAL RISKS
TVA may incur delays and additional costs in its major projects or may be unable to obtain necessary regulatory approval.
Among other projects, TVA is improving the reliability and resiliency of its transmission system, undertaking repairs at certain hydroelectric facilities and dams, and closing some coal-fired plants and their supporting infrastructure. These activities involve risks of overruns in the cost of labor and materials as well as risks of schedule delays, which may result from, among other things, changes in laws or regulations, lack of productivity, human error, supply chain challenges, and the failure to schedule activities properly. In addition, if TVA does not or cannot obtain the necessary regulatory approvals or licenses, is otherwise unable to complete the development or construction of a facility, decides to cancel construction of a facility, incurs delays or cost overruns in connection with constructing a facility, or is required to change how it will conduct construction, repair, or closure activities, TVA's cash flows, financial condition, and results of operations could be negatively affected. Further, if projects are not completed according to specifications, TVA may suffer, among other things, delays in receiving licenses, reduced plant efficiency, reduced transmission system integrity and reliability, and higher operating costs.
TVA may not be able to operate one or more of its nuclear power units.
Should issues develop with TVA's nuclear power units that are unable to be corrected, TVA might voluntarily shut down one or more units or be ordered to do so by the NRC. Returning the unit(s) to operation could be a lengthy and expensive process, or might not be possible depending on circumstances. In either case, TVA's cash flows, results of operations, financial condition, and reputation may be negatively affected.
Operating nuclear units subjects TVA to nuclear risks and may result in significant costs that adversely affect its cash flows, results of operations, and financial condition.
TVA has seven operating nuclear units. Risks associated with these units include the following:
Nuclear Risks . Hazards exist with the use of radioactive material in energy production, including management, handling, storage, and disposal. Further, a nuclear incident at one of TVA's facilities could have significant consequences including loss of life, damage to the environment, damage to or loss of the facility, and damage to non-TVA property. Although TVA carries certain types of nuclear insurance, the amount that TVA is required to pay in connection with a nuclear incident could significantly exceed the amount of coverage provided by insurance. The licensee of each nuclear reactor has a contingent obligation to pay a retrospective premium, equal to its proportionate share of the loss in excess of the primary level, regardless of proximity to the incident of fault, up to a maximum of approximately $138 million per reactor, per incident. With TVA's seven reactors, the maximum total contingent obligation per incident is $963 million. This retrospective premium is payable at a maximum rate currently set at approximately $20 million per year, per incident, per reactor. Any such nuclear incident could also negatively affect TVA by, among other things, obligating TVA to pay retrospective insurance premiums, reducing the availability and affordability of insurance, increasing the costs of operating nuclear units, or leading to increased regulation or restriction on the construction, operation, and decommissioning of nuclear facilities. Moreover, federal legislation could impose revenue-raising measures on the nuclear industry to pay claims exceeding the limit for a single incident under the Price-Anderson Act. Further, the availability or price of insurance may be impacted by TVA's acts or omissions, such as a failure to properly maintain a facility, or events outside of TVA's control, such as an equipment manufacturer's inability to meet a guideline, specification, or requirement.
Decommissioning Costs . TVA maintains a Nuclear Decommissioning Trust ("NDT") for the purpose of providing funds to decommission its nuclear facilities. The NDT is invested in securities generally designed to achieve a return in line with overall equity and debt market performance. See Note 17 — Fair Value Measurements — Investment Funds for the NDT balance at September 30, 2021 . TVA might have to make unplanned contributions to the NDT if, among other things:
• The value of the investments in the NDT declines significantly or the investments fail to achieve the assumed real rate of return;
• The decommissioning funding requirements are changed by law or regulation;
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• The assumed real rate of return on plan assets, which is currently five percent, is lowered by the TVA Board or is overly optimistic;
• The actual costs of decommissioning are more than planned;
• Changes in technology and experience related to decommissioning cause decommissioning cost estimates to increase significantly;
• TVA is required to decommission a nuclear plant sooner than it anticipates; or
• The NRC guidelines for calculating the minimum amount of funds necessary for decommissioning activities are significantly changed.
If TVA makes additional contributions to the NDT, the contributions may negatively affect TVA's cash flows, results of operations, and financial condition.
Increased Regulation . The NRC has broad authority to adopt regulations related to the licensing, operating, and decommissioning of nuclear generation facilities and may adopt regulations as a result of events that occur at nuclear facilities in the U.S. or throughout the world, such as the events that occurred at Fukushima. These regulations can result in significant restrictions or requirements on TVA. For example, supplementary NRC rulemaking has been developed to mitigate beyond-design basis flooding and seismic events. To comply with existing, new, or modified regulations, TVA may be required to make substantial capital expenditures at its nuclear plants or make substantial contributions to the NDT. In addition, if TVA fails to comply with requirements promulgated by the NRC, the NRC has the authority to impose fines, shut down units, or modify, suspend, or revoke TVA's operating licenses.
Waste Disposal. TVA's nuclear operations produce various types of nuclear waste materials, including spent fuel. TVA has been storing the spent fuel in accordance with NRC regulations in anticipation that a final storage site for all such waste will be developed and put in operation by the U.S. government. If no such site is forthcoming or if no alternative disposal or reuse plan is developed, then TVA might be required to arrange for the safe and permanent disposal of the spent fuel itself. Such a requirement would cause TVA to incur substantial expense, including substantial capital expenditures, and could cause TVA to change how it operates its nuclear plants.
Availability of Components. Nuclear facilities require specialized components and access to intellectual property for operation. As the number of reliable suppliers of such components and access to intellectual property is reduced, the availability of the components and access to the intellectual property will also likely decrease. If TVA is unable to secure either the original components, intellectual property, or replacements approved for use by the NRC, TVA might have to change how it conducts its operations. Further, limitations on global trade resulting from COVID-19 or limitations on global shipping could materially impact the availability or cost of desired equipment.
TVA's management and operation of CCR facilities exposes it to additional costs and risks.
TVA operates coal-fired units which produce CCR as byproducts of the power production process. The CCR is contained within dedicated facilities operated by TVA. TVA has closed some of these facilities in compliance with state and federal laws and is in the process of closing others. Many of these facilities were constructed prior to the requirement that such facilities be built with liners and thus do not contain liners. TVA has been ordered by TDEC to undertake investigations at all CCR facilities in Tennessee. TVA has also been involved in litigation related to certain CCR facilities, and to resolve one such lawsuit, TVA agreed to remove or beneficially reuse some CCR material at Gallatin Fossil Plant ("Gallatin"). TVA could be subject to similar litigation or orders in the future and could be required to restrict or stop the use of some or all CCR facilities or relocate CCR material to lined facilities. Further, TVA has decided to move all CCR material at Allen Fossil Plant rather than closing the CCR facilities in place as originally planned, and moving the CCR material subjects TVA to additional costs and risks. TVA may change its closure plans at other facilities depending on the particular facts of each situation and the completion of any required environmental investigations or studies and/or approval by appropriate state regulators.
TVA's facilities and operations may be damaged or interfered with by physical attacks, threats, or other interference.
TVA has an extensive generation and transmission system and supporting infrastructure that includes, among other things, TVA's generation facilities and transmission infrastructure such as substations, towers, and control centers. Some of TVA's hydroelectric facilities include navigation locks which are necessary for commerce along the Tennessee River system. TVA also operates flood control dams and supporting infrastructure. Because of TVA's status as a governmental corporation and TVA's role as predominantly the sole power provider for its service territory, TVA may be targeted by individuals, groups, or nation states for physical attacks or threats of such attacks. Although TVA's operations are protected by automated monitoring systems, TVA Police and Emergency Management, TVA employees,
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local law enforcement, or a combination thereof, it may not be possible to effectively deter or prevent attacks. Such attacks could pose health and safety risks, significantly disable or destroy TVA assets, interfere with TVA's operations, result in additional regulatory or security requirements, and negatively affect TVA's cash flows, results of operations, and financial condition.
TVA's assets or their supporting infrastructure may not operate as planned.
Many of TVA's assets, including generation, transmission, navigation, and flood control assets, have been operating for several decades and have been in nearly constant service since they were completed. Additionally, certain of TVA's newer assets utilize advanced technology which could experience technical or operating issues. The failure of TVA's assets or supporting infrastructure, including information technology systems, to perform as planned may cause health, safety, or environmental problems and may even result in events such as the failure of a dam, the inability to maintain a reservoir at the normal or expected level, or an incident at a coal-fired, gas-fired, or nuclear plant or a CCR facility. If these assets or their supporting infrastructure fail to operate as planned, if necessary repairs or upgrades are delayed or cannot be completed as quickly as anticipated, or if necessary spare parts are unavailable, TVA, among other things:
• May have to invest a significant amount of resources to repair or replace the assets or the supporting infrastructure;
• May have to remediate collateral damage caused by a failure of the assets or the supporting infrastructure;
• May not be able to maintain the integrity or reliability of the transmission system at normal levels;
• May have to operate less economical sources of power;
• May have to purchase replacement power on the open market at prices greater than its generation costs;
• May be required to invest substantially to meet more stringent reliability standards;
• May be unable to maintain insurance on affected facilities, or be required to pay higher premiums for coverage, unless necessary repairs or upgrades are made;
• May be unable to operate the assets for a significant period of time; or
• May not be able to meet its contractual obligations to deliver power.
Any of these potential outcomes may negatively affect TVA's cash flows, results of operations, financial condition, and reputation.
TVA's safety programs may not prevent accidents that could, among other things, impact TVA's operations or financial condition.
TVA's safety program, no matter how well designed and operated, may not completely prevent accidents. In addition to the potential human cost of accidents, which could include injury to employees or members of the public, significant accidents could impact TVA's ability to carry out operations, cause it to shut down facilities, subject it to additional regulatory scrutiny, expose it to litigation, damage its reputation, interfere with its ability to attract or retain a skilled workforce, or harm its financial condition.
TVA's service reliability could be affected by problems at other utilities or at TVA facilities, or by the increase in intermittent sources of power.
TVA's transmission facilities are directly interconnected with the transmission facilities of neighboring utilities and are thus part of the larger interstate power transmission grid. Certain of TVA's generation and transmission assets are critical to maintaining reliability of the transmission system. Additionally, TVA uses certain assets that belong to third parties to transmit power and maintain reliability. Accordingly, problems at other utilities as well as at TVA's facilities may cause interruptions in TVA's service to TVA's customers, increase congestion on the transmission grid, or reduce service reliability. In addition, the increasing contribution of intermittent sources of power, such as wind and solar, may place additional strain on TVA's system as well as on surrounding systems. If TVA suffers a service interruption, increased congestion, or reduced service reliability, TVA's cash flows, results of operations, financial condition, and reputation may be negatively affected.
TVA's supplies of fuel, purchased power, or other critical items may be disrupted or obtained at a higher cost than planned.
TVA purchases coal, uranium, natural gas, fuel oil, and electricity from a number of suppliers. Additionally, TVA contracts for conversion of uranium into nuclear fuel and purchases other items, such as anhydrous ammonia, liquid
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oxygen, or replacement parts that are critical to the operation of certain generation assets. TVA also purchases power from other power producers when the purchase of such power is appropriate due to economic opportunities or operational concerns. Disruption or price volatility in the acquisition or delivery of fuel, purchased power, contracted services, or other critical supplies, such as the natural gas price spikes that occurred in 2021, may result from a variety of physical and commercial events, political developments, international trade restrictions or tariffs, legal actions, cyber attacks, mine closures or reduced mine production, increases in fuel exports, or environmental regulations affecting TVA's suppliers as well as from transportation or transmission constraints. If one of TVA's suppliers fails to perform under the terms of its contract with TVA, TVA might have to purchase replacement fuel, power, or other critical supplies, perhaps at a significantly higher price than TVA is entitled to pay under the contract. In some circumstances, TVA may not be able to recover this difference from the supplier. In addition, any disruption of TVA's supplies could require TVA to operate higher cost generation assets, thereby negatively affecting TVA's cash flows, results of operations, and financial condition. Moreover, if TVA is unable to acquire enough replacement fuel, power, or supplies, or does not have sufficient reserves to offset the loss, TVA may not be able to operate certain assets or provide enough power to meet demand, resulting in power curtailments, brownouts, or even blackouts.
TVA's determination of the appropriate mix of generation assets may change.
TVA has determined that its power generation assets should consist of a mix of nuclear, coal-fired, natural gas-fired, and renewable power sources, including hydroelectric. In making this determination, TVA took various factors into consideration, including the anticipated availability of its nuclear units, the availability of non-nuclear facilities, the forecasted cost of natural gas and coal, the forecasted demand for electricity, and environmental compliance including the expense of adding air pollution controls to its coal-fired units. If any of these assumptions materially change or are impacted by subsequent events, TVA's generation mix may not address its operational needs in the most efficient manner. For example, efforts to electrify the transportation and building sectors to reduce GHG emissions may result in higher electric demand and lower natural gas demand over time. In addition, achieving TVA's carbon reduction goals may require TVA to make significant capital investments, including investments in new technologies, and may require TVA to retire coal-fired and natural-gas fired generation facilities sooner than planned. Resolving situations where results vary from assumptions may require significant capital expenditures or additional power purchases, and TVA's cash flows, results of operations, financial condition, and reputation may be negatively affected.
RISKS RELATED TO THE ENVIRONMENT AND CATASTROPHIC EVENTS
Weather conditions may influence TVA's ability to supply power and its customers' demands for power.
Extreme temperatures may increase the demand for power and require TVA to purchase power at high prices to meet the demand from customers, while unusually mild weather may result in decreased demand for power and lead to reduced electricity sales. Also, in periods of below normal rainfall or drought, TVA's low-cost hydroelectric generation may be reduced, requiring TVA to purchase power or use more costly means of producing power. Additionally, periods of either high or low levels of rainfall may impede river traffic, impacting barge deliveries of critical items such as coal and equipment for power facilities. Furthermore, high river water temperatures in the summer may limit TVA's ability to use water from the Tennessee or Cumberland River systems for cooling at certain of TVA's generating facilities, thereby limiting its ability to operate these generating facilities. This situation would be aggravated during periods of reduced rainfall or drought. If changes in the climate make such shifts in weather more common or extreme or cause catastrophic events, such as droughts, floods, wildfires, and snow or ice storms, to occur more frequently in the Tennessee Valley region, TVA may be required to, among other things, change its generation mix or change how it conducts its operations, which could have a material adverse effect on TVA's cash flows, results of operations, and financial condition. Moreover, TVA's efforts to address the potential impacts of climate change may not be effective, as there are uncertainties with any new technology and operational development and deployment, and there are also potential financial, operational, and environmental impacts, including impacts to rates and reliability as well as siting and permitting challenges.
Events that affect the supply or quality of water in the Tennessee River system and Cumberland River system or elsewhere may interfere with TVA's ability to generate power.
An inadequate supply of water in the Tennessee River system and Cumberland River system could negatively impact TVA's cash flows, results of operations, and financial condition by reducing generation not only at TVA's hydroelectric plants but also at its coal-fired and nuclear plants, which depend on water from the river systems near which they are located for cooling and for use in boilers where water is converted into steam to drive turbines. Some of TVA's gas-fired facilities not located near a river require alternative sources of water, such as from wells or local utility companies. Further, the water must be of a particular quality for use in TVA's equipment. If the available water is not of sufficient quality for TVA's use, then TVA must either treat the water or obtain alternate sources. An inadequate supply of quality water could result, among other things, from periods of low rainfall or drought, the withdrawal of water from the river systems by governmental entities or others, incidents affecting bodies of water not managed by TVA, supply issues which affect water providers, or intrusive aquatic plants and animals such as eel grass, algae, and mussels that block cooling water intake pipes or otherwise interfere with the operation of TVA's generation facilities. While TVA manages
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the Tennessee River and a large portion of its tributary system to provide much of the water necessary for the operation of its power plants, the USACE operates and manages other bodies of water upon which some of TVA's facilities rely. Events at these bodies of water or their associated hydroelectric facilities may interfere with the flow of water and may result in TVA's having insufficient water quality to meet the needs of its generating plants. If TVA has insufficient water supply of the quality necessary to meet the needs of its plants, TVA may be required to treat the water, reduce generation at its affected facilities to levels compatible with the available supply of water, or take additional steps that change how TVA conducts its operations or cause TVA to incur additional expense.
Catastrophic events may negatively affect TVA's cash flows, results of operations, and financial condition.
TVA's cash flows, results of operations, and financial condition may be adversely affected, either directly or indirectly, by catastrophic events such as fires, earthquakes, explosions, solar events, electromagnetic pulses ("EMPs"), geomagnetic disturbances, droughts, floods, hurricanes, tornadoes, polar vortexes, icing events, or other casualty events, wars, national emergencies, terrorist activities, pandemics, or other similar destructive or disruptive events. These events, the frequency and severity of which are unpredictable, may, among other things, lead to legislative or regulatory changes that affect the construction, operation, and decommissioning of nuclear units and the storage of spent fuel; limit or disrupt TVA's ability to generate and transmit power; limit or disrupt TVA's ability to provide flood control and river management; reduce the demand for power; disrupt fuel or other supplies; require TVA to produce additional tritium; lead to an economic downturn; require TVA to make substantial capital investments for repairs, improvements, or modifications; and create instability in the financial markets. If public opposition to nuclear power makes operating nuclear plants less feasible as a result of any of these events, TVA may be forced to shut down its nuclear plants. This would make it substantially more difficult for TVA to obtain greater amounts of its power supply from low or zero carbon emitting resources and to replace its generation capacity when faced with retiring or idling certain coal-fired units. Additionally, some studies have predicted that climate change may cause catastrophic events, such as droughts and floods, to occur more frequently in the Tennessee Valley region, which could adversely impact TVA.
FINANCIAL, ECONOMIC, AND MARKET RISKS
TVA may have to make significant contributions in the future to fund its qualified pension plan.
At September 30, 2021, TVA's qualified pension plan had assets of approximately $9.1 billion compared to liabilities of approximately $13.3 billion. The plan is mature with approximately 23,000 retirees and beneficiaries receiving benefits of over $700 million per year. The costs of providing benefits depend upon a number of factors, including, but not limited to, provisions of the plan; changing experience and assumptions related to terminations, retirements, and mortality; rates of increase in compensation levels; rates of return on plan assets; discount rates used in determining future benefit obligations and required funding levels; optional forms of benefit payments selected; future government regulation; and levels of contributions made to the plan.
Although the plan is frozen to new participants, any of these factors or any number of these factors could keep at high levels, or even increase, the costs of providing benefits and require TVA to make contributions to the plan in amounts that significantly exceed TVA's planned contributions. Unfavorable financial market conditions, including conditions that may result from the COVID-19 pandemic, may result in lower expected rates of return on plan assets, loss in value of the investments, and lower discount rates used in determining future benefit obligations. These changes would negatively impact the funded status of the plan. Additional contributions to the plan and absorption of additional costs would negatively affect TVA's cash flows, results of operations, and financial condition.
TVA's debt ceiling could be made more restrictive. Additionally, approaching or reaching TVA's debt ceiling could limit TVA's ability to carry out its business.
The TVA Act provides that TVA can issue Bonds in an amount not to exceed $30.0 billion outstanding at any time. At September 30, 2021, TVA had $19.4 billion of Bonds outstanding (not including non-cash items of foreign currency exchange gain of $58 million, unamortized debt issue costs of $43 million, and net discount on sale of Bonds of $72 million).
Approaching or reaching the debt ceiling may negatively affect TVA's business by limiting TVA's ability to access capital markets and increasing the amount of debt TVA must service. Also, federal legislation may lower TVA's debt ceiling or broaden the types of financial instruments that are covered by the ceiling. Either of these scenarios may also restrict TVA's ability to raise capital to acquire new power program assets or maintain existing ones, to carry out upgrades or improvements to existing assets or build new ones, to purchase power under long-term power purchase agreements, or to meet regulatory requirements. In addition, approaching or reaching the debt ceiling may lead to increased legislative or regulatory oversight of TVA's activities and could lead to negative rating actions by credit rating agencies.
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TVA may be unable to meet its current cash requirements if TVA's access to the debt markets is limited.
TVA uses cash provided by operations together with proceeds from power program financings and other financing arrangements to fund its current cash requirements. It is critical that TVA continues to have access to the debt markets in order to meet its cash requirements. The importance of having access to the debt markets is underscored by the fact that TVA, unlike most utilities, relies almost entirely on debt capital since, as a governmental instrumentality, TVA cannot issue equity securities.
TVA, together with owners of TVA securities, may be impacted by downgrades of TVA's credit ratings.
Downgrades of TVA’s credit ratings may have material adverse effects on TVA’s cash flows, results of operations, and financial condition as well as on investors in TVA securities. Among other things, a downgrade could increase TVA’s interest expense by increasing the interest rates that TVA pays on new securities that it issues. Such an increase may reduce the amount of cash available for other purposes, which may result in the need to increase borrowings, to reduce other expenses or capital investments, or to increase power rates. A downgrade may also result in TVA’s having to post collateral under certain physical and financial contracts that contain ratings triggers. A downgrade below a contractual threshold may prevent TVA from borrowing under four credit facilities totaling $2.7 billion or posting letters of credit as collateral under these facilities. At September 30, 2021, there were $1.2 billion of letters of credit outstanding under these facilities. If TVA were no longer able to post letters of credit as collateral, TVA would likely have to post cash as collateral, which would negatively affect TVA’s liquidity. Further, a downgrade may lower the price of TVA securities in the secondary market, thereby negatively impacting investors who sell TVA securities after the downgrade and diminishing the attractiveness and marketability of TVA securities. The criteria used by credit rating agencies to assign ratings could also be changed at any time, which could result in changes to TVA's ratings.
TVA's credit ratings may be impacted by congressional actions or by a downgrade of the U.S.'s sovereign credit ratings.
TVA's current credit ratings are not based solely on its underlying business or financial condition but are based to a large extent on the legislation that defines TVA's business structure. Key characteristics of TVA's business defined by legislation include (1) the TVA Board's ratemaking authority; (2) the current competitive environment, which is defined by the fence and the anti-cherrypicking provision; and (3) TVA's status as a corporate agency and instrumentality of the U.S. If Congress takes any action that effectively alters any of these characteristics, TVA's credit ratings could be downgraded.
Although TVA Bonds are not obligations of the U.S., TVA, as a corporate agency and instrumentality of the U.S., may be impacted if the sovereign credit ratings of the U.S. are downgraded. Such a downgrade of the U.S.'s sovereign credit ratings could, among other things, result in a downgrade of TVA's credit rating. Additionally, the economy could be negatively impacted resulting in reduced demand for electricity, an increase in borrowing costs, and an increase in the cost of fuels, supplies, and other materials required for TVA's operations. Additionally, the criteria used by the credit rating agencies to assign ratings could be changed at any time, which could result in changes to TVA's ratings.
TVA's assumptions about the future may be inaccurate.
TVA uses certain assumptions in order to develop its plans for the future. Such assumptions include economic forecasts, anticipated energy and commodity prices, cost estimates, construction schedules, power demand forecasts, the appropriate generation mix to meet demand, and potential regulatory environments. Should these assumptions be inaccurate, or be superseded by subsequent events, TVA's plans may not be effective in achieving the intended results, which could negatively affect cash flows, results of operations, and financial condition, as well as TVA's ability to meet electricity demand and the way TVA conducts its business.
Demand for electricity may significantly decline or change, negatively affecting TVA's cash flows, results of operations, and financial condition.
Some of the factors that could reduce or change the demand for electricity include, but are not limited to, the following:
Economic Downturns or Recessions . Renewed economic downturns or a recession in TVA's service area or other parts of the U.S. could reduce overall demand for power and thus reduce TVA's power sales and cash flows, especially if TVA's industrial customers, which constitute a material portion of TVA's demand, reduce their operations and thus their consumption of power.
Loss of Customers . TVA could lose customers, particularly LPCs, if customers choose another utility to meet some or all of their power needs where available, pursue self-generation to meet some or all of their power needs, or move their operations outside of TVA's service territory. As of November 12, 2021, TVA had wholesale power contracts with 153 LPCs, and 74 LPCs had entered into Flexibility Agreements with TVA that allow the LPCs to locally generate or purchase up to approximately five percent of average total hourly energy sales over 2015 - 2019
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in order to meet their individual customers' needs. A significant portion of TVA's total operating revenues are concentrated in a small number of these LPCs. In May 2020, TVA's largest LPC which accounts for nine percent of total operating revenues, MLGW, published a draft Integrated Resource Plan to guide energy choices in the future, the outcome of which is uncertain. In addition, certain other LPCs are evaluating options for future energy choices. The loss of customers could have a material adverse effect on TVA's cash flows, results of operations, or financial condition, and could result in higher rates, especially because of the difficulty in replacing customers due to the fence. A significant loss of customers could also impact investor confidence, resulting in TVA paying higher rates on its securities.
Change in Demand for Electricity Generated from Renewable Sources. TVA has been adapting its generation mix to account for the growing preference for electricity generated by renewable sources, such as solar or wind. If demand by customers for power that is largely or exclusively generated from renewable sources exceeds TVA's ability to produce such power, TVA might have to change how it operates and may incur additional expense in meeting this demand.
Increased Utilization of DER. As the amount of DER grows on the TVA system, the need for TVA's traditional generation resources may be reduced, and the ability of the system to reliably and economically operate in conjunction with these DER may become more challenging. If TVA is unable to compensate for the resulting decrease in demand for TVA electricity, TVA's cash flows, results of operations, and financial condition could be negatively impacted, resulting in higher rates and changes to TVA's operations.
Increased Energy Efficiency and Conservation . Increasingly efficient use of energy as well as conservation efforts and DER have reduced the demand for power supplied by TVA. Further reductions, if TVA is unable to compensate for them, could negatively affect TVA's cash flows, results of operations, and financial condition and could result in higher rates and changes to TVA's operations, especially if the reductions occur during an economic downturn or a period of slow economic growth.
Changes in technology could require TVA to change how it conducts its operations, affect relationships with customers, or impact its financial condition.
TVA's primary business is to sell power it produces, for the most part, from large facilities such as nuclear power plants, hydroelectric facilities, natural gas-fired facilities, and coal-fired units. TVA sells power to LPCs and directly served customers. Research and development activities are ongoing to improve existing and alternative technologies to produce or store electricity, including large-scale energy storage, gas or wind turbines, fuel cells, microturbines, solar cells, and distributed energy or storage resources. It is possible that advances in these or other alternative technologies could reduce the costs of such production methods to a level that will enable these technologies to compete effectively with traditional power plants such as TVA's. These technologies could be more appealing to customers and could lead them to bring pressure on TVA to modify the power contracts to allow customers to generate some of their own power requirements or purchase power from other suppliers. Other customers might also cease purchasing power from TVA altogether. To the extent that sales to such customers are reduced or eliminated, TVA's cash flows, results of operations, and financial condition could be negatively affected. TVA could also be required to modify how it operates its traditional plants or further modify its generation mix to reduce reliance on these facilities. Additionally, demand could change in terms of amount or timing as devices and equipment become more connected to the internet and it becomes possible to adjust real-time consumption of power. Such increased control over power consumption could, among other things, affect how TVA operates its facilities or dispatches power, or require TVA to change its pricing structure or rates.
TVA is subject to a variety of market risks that may negatively affect TVA's cash flows, results of operations, and financial condition.
TVA is subject to a variety of market risks, including, but not limited to, commodity price risk, investment price risk, interest rate risk, counterparty credit and performance risk, and currency exchange rate risk.
Commodity Price Risk . TVA's rates may increase if prices of commodities critical to operations, including coal, uranium, natural gas, fuel oil, crude oil, construction materials, or emission allowances, increase.
Investment Price Risk . TVA is exposed to investment price risk in its NDT, Asset Retirement Trust ("ART"), Supplemental Executive Retirement Plan ("SERP"), Deferred Compensation Plan ("DCP"), and pension plan. If the value of the investments held in the NDT or the pension fund either decreases or fails to increase in accordance with assumed rates of return, TVA may be required to make substantial contributions to these funds. In addition, although TVA is not required to make contributions to the ART, it may choose to do so, particularly if TVA's estimates of its non-nuclear asset retirement obligation liabilities increase. TVA may also choose to make contributions to the SERP and DCP from time to time.
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Interest Rate Risk . Changes in interest rates may increase the amount of interest that TVA pays on new Bonds that it issues, decrease the return that TVA receives on short-term investments, decrease the value of the investments in the NDT, ART, pension fund, SERP, and DCP, increase the amount of collateral that TVA is required to post in connection with certain of its derivative transactions, and increase the losses on the mark-to-market valuation of certain derivative transactions into which TVA has entered.
Counterparty Credit and Performance Risk . TVA is exposed to the risk that its counterparties will not be able to perform their contractual obligations. If TVA's counterparties fail to perform their obligations, TVA's cash flows, results of operations, and financial condition may be adversely affected. In addition, the failure of a counterparty to perform may make it difficult for TVA to perform its obligations, particularly if the counterparty is a supplier of electricity or fuel.
Currency Exchange Rate Risk . Over the next several years, TVA expects to spend a significant amount of capital on various projects. A portion of this amount may be spent on contracts that are denominated in one or more foreign currencies. Additionally, TVA's two issues of Bonds denominated in British pounds sterling are hedged by currency swap agreements. The value of the U.S. dollar compared with other currencies has fluctuated widely in recent years, including fluctuations in the U.S. dollar to British pound sterling exchange rate primarily driven by the "BREXIT" vote for the United Kingdom to leave the European Union. If not effectively managed, foreign currency exposure could negatively impact TVA's counterparty risk, cash flows, results of operations, and financial condition.
Changes in an interest rate benchmark may impact certain TVA swaps and other financial arrangements.
TVA has four "fixed for floating" interest rate swaps related to outstanding Bonds and receives periodic payments under these swaps based on the floating London Interbank Offered Rate ("LIBOR") benchmark rate. TVA has limited other contracts that could be impacted. Various parts of the LIBOR market are expected to be substantially discontinued in the coming years. LIBOR rates will be phased out between the end of calendar year 2021 and June 2023. Various alternatives for LIBOR are being evaluated by market participants, with the Secured Overnight Financing Rate being the most widely-adopted alternative thus far. TVA may face risks related to the viability of an alternative benchmark over the remaining terms of its current contracts, or over the terms of any future contracts that rely on the benchmark rate.
TVA's ability to use derivatives to hedge certain risks may be limited.
Under the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act and its implementing regulations, TVA is subject to recordkeeping, reporting, and reconciliation requirements related to its derivative transactions. In addition, depending on how regulatory agencies interpret and implement the provisions of this act, TVA's hedging costs may increase, and TVA may have to post additional collateral and margin in connection with its derivative transactions. These occurrences may, among other things, negatively affect TVA's cash flows and cause TVA to reduce or modify its hedging activities, which could increase the risks to which TVA is exposed.
The market for TVA Bonds might be limited.
Although many TVA Bonds are listed on stock exchanges, there can be no assurances that any market will develop or continue to exist for any Bonds. Additionally, no assurances can be made as to the ability of the holders to sell their Bonds or as to the price at which holders will be able to sell their Bonds. Future trading prices of Bonds will depend on many factors, including prevailing interest rates, the then-current ratings assigned to the Bonds, the amount of Bonds outstanding, the time remaining until the maturity of the Bonds, the redemption features of the Bonds, the market for similar securities, and the level, direction, and volatility of interest rates generally, as well as the liquidity of the markets for those securities.
If a particular series of Bonds is offered through underwriters, those underwriters may attempt to make a market in the Bonds. Dealers other than underwriters may also make a market in TVA Bonds. However, the underwriters and dealers are not obligated to make a market in any TVA Bonds and may terminate any market-making activities at any time without notice.
Further, certain investors use the environmental impact or sustainability of an industry as a criteria for deciding whether to invest in that industry. TVA's use of fossil fuels or nuclear power could lead such investors to not purchase TVA Bonds.
In addition, legal limitations may affect the ability of banks and others to invest in Bonds. For example, national banks may purchase TVA Bonds for their own accounts in an amount not to exceed 10 percent of unimpaired capital and surplus. Also, TVA Bonds are "obligations of a corporation which is an instrumentality of the United States" within the meaning of Section 7701(a)(19)(C)(ii) of the Internal Revenue Code for purposes of the 60 percent of assets limitation applicable to U.S. building and loan associations.
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Payment of principal and interest on TVA securities is not guaranteed by the U.S.
Although TVA is a corporate agency and instrumentality of the U.S. government, TVA securities are not backed by the full faith and credit of the U.S. Principal and interest on TVA securities are payable solely from TVA's net power proceeds. Net power proceeds are the remainder of TVA's gross power revenues after deducting the costs of operating, maintaining, and administering its power properties and payments to states and counties in lieu of taxes, but before deducting depreciation accruals or other charges representing the amortization of capital expenditures, plus the net proceeds from the sale or other disposition of any power facility or interest therein. If TVA were to experience extreme financial difficulty and were unable to make payments of principal or interest on its Bonds, the federal government would not be legally obligated to prevent TVA from defaulting on its obligations. An inability to pay some or all of the principal or interest owed on a TVA security would likely have a negative impact on TVA's financial condition, reputation, and relationship with the investment community, and could result in cross-defaults in other financial arrangements.
HUMAN CAPITAL AND MANAGEMENT RISKS
Failure to attract and retain an appropriately qualified workforce may negatively affect TVA's results of operations.
TVA's business depends on its ability to recruit and retain key executive officers as well as skilled professional and technical employees. The inability to attract and retain an appropriately qualified, diverse, and inclusive workforce could adversely affect TVA's ability to, among other things, operate and maintain generation and transmission facilities, complete large construction projects, and successfully implement its continuous improvement initiatives. If Congress reduces the salary of TVA's CEO or otherwise amends TVA's compensation philosophy, TVA's ability to attract and retain employees may be compromised.
Loss of a quorum of the TVA Board could limit TVA's ability to adapt to meet changing business conditions.
Under the TVA Act, a quorum of the TVA Board is five members. Becoming a member of the TVA Board requires confirmation by the U.S. Senate following appointment by the President. Further, the President may remove TVA Board members, and the TVA Board members may not continue in office indefinitely until a successor is appointed. As a result, a delay in the appointment or confirmation of directors, or the removal of directors by the President, can threaten the TVA Board's quorum. The TVA Board is responsible for, among other things, establishing the rates TVA charges for power as well as TVA's long-term objectives, policies, and plans. Accordingly, loss of a quorum for an extended period of time would impair TVA's ability to change rates and to modify these objectives, policies, and plans. Such an impairment would likely have a negative impact on TVA's ability to respond to significant changes in technology, the regulatory environment, or the industry overall and, in turn, negatively affect TVA's cash flows, results of operations, financial condition, and reputation.
Changes in the membership of the TVA Board and TVA senior management could impact how TVA operates.
The TVA Board is comprised of up to nine part-time members serving staggered, five-year terms. One to two Board members' terms typically expire each year. In addition, there is always the possibility that one or more members of TVA's senior management may retire or otherwise leave TVA. The individuals filling either the TVA Board or senior management positions may wish to change how TVA operates in whole or in part. If the changes are not successful or TVA is not able to adapt properly to such changes, TVA's financial condition, results of operations, reputation, and relationship with customers could be negatively affected.
ACCOUNTING AND FINANCIAL REPORTING RISKS
TVA may be unable to use regulatory accounting for some or all costs.
TVA uses regulatory accounting to defer certain costs. To qualify for regulatory accounting, costs must meet certain accounting criteria and be approved for regulatory accounting treatment by the TVA Board in its capacity as TVA's regulator. If costs do not meet, or cease to meet, these criteria, or if the TVA Board disallows the treatment or ceases to be TVA's sole regulator in such areas, TVA may not be able to defer those costs. Such an inability to defer costs would likely have a substantial impact on TVA's financial condition and results of operations and could impact the timing and amounts of TVA's rate recovery. For a discussion of regulatory accounting, see Item 7, Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations — Critical Accounting Estimates .
TVA's financial control system cannot guarantee that all control issues and instances of fraud or errors will be detected.
No financial control system, no matter how well designed and operated, can provide absolute assurance that the objectives of the control system are met, and no evaluation of financial controls can provide absolute assurance that all control issues and instances of fraud or errors can be detected. The design of any system of financial controls is based
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in part upon certain assumptions about the likelihood of future events, and there can be no assurance that any design will succeed in achieving its stated goals under all potential future conditions, regardless of how remote.
GENERAL BUSINESS RISKS
TVA may not be able to implement its business strategy successfully.
TVA's financial condition and results of operations are largely dependent on the extent to which it can implement its business strategy successfully. TVA's strategy includes maintaining low rates, aligning operations and maintenance spending with revenues, being responsible stewards, living within its means, meeting reliability expectations, and providing a balanced portfolio, in light of TVA's new strategic priorities: powerful partnerships, people advantage, operational excellence, igniting innovation, and financial strength. This strategy is subject to business, economic, and competitive uncertainties and contingencies, many of which are beyond TVA’s control. Such uncertainties include customer energy-efficiency programs that are designed to reduce energy demand; energy-efficiency efforts by customers not related to TVA’s energy-efficiency programs; increased customer use of DER, such as solar panels and other technologies, which have become more cost competitive, with decreasing costs expected in the future, as well as the use of energy storage technologies; and macroeconomic factors impacting economic growth or contraction within TVA’s service territory, which could affect energy demand. If TVA is unable to successfully implement its business strategy, TVA’s financial condition and results of operations could be negatively affected. See Item 1, Business — Environmental Matters and Human Capital Management , Item 7, Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations — Key Initiatives and Challenges , and Item 11, Executive Compensation — C ompensation Discussion and Analysis for additional information regarding TVA's strategic objectives.
TVA's cost management efforts may not be successful.
TVA is continuing to improve operating efficiencies to offset any potential future reductions in power demand and maintain its rates, reputation, cash flows, results of operations, and financial condition. The failure to achieve or maintain cost reductions could adversely affect TVA's rates, reputation, cash flows, results of operations, and financial condition.
TVA's organizational structure may not adequately support TVA's anticipated business needs or enable it to meet the needs of its current or potential customers.
TVA has been modifying its organizational structure to better adapt to the forecasted economic environment. If TVA's assumptions about either its forecasts or the proper internal structure of the company to meet the expected environment are inaccurate or if this structure does not adequately support TVA's needs, TVA could face operational or financial challenges that could adversely affect its cash flows, results of operations, and financial condition as well as TVA's ability to attract or retain a skilled workforce and to meet the needs of its current or potential customers.
TVA may have difficulty in adapting its business model to changes in the utility industry and customer preferences.
The traditional business model for power production, selling power from centrally located plants, is facing pressure from a variety of sources, including the potential for self-generation by current or potential customers, new technologies such as energy storage, and increased energy efficiency. These pressures may reduce the demand for TVA power. If TVA does not or cannot adapt to this pressure by adequately changing its business model, TVA's financial condition and results of operations could be negatively affected.
TVA's reputation may be negatively impacted.
As with any company, TVA's reputation is a vital element of its ability to effectively conduct its business. TVA's reputation could be harmed by a variety of factors, including the failure of a generating asset or supporting infrastructure, failure to effectively manage land and other natural resources entrusted to TVA, failure to meet its carbon reduction goals or other environmental, social, or governance goals, real or perceived violations of environmental regulations, including those related to climate change, real or perceived issues with TVA's safety culture or work environment, inability to meet its human capital management goals, significant delays in construction projects, cyber attacks or security vulnerabilities, acts or omissions of TVA management, acts or omissions of a contractor or other third-party working with or for TVA, the perception of such acts or omissions, measures taken to offset reductions in demand, or a significant dispute with one of TVA's customers. Any deterioration in TVA's reputation may harm TVA's relationships with its customers and stakeholders, may increase its cost of doing business, may interfere with its ability to attract and retain a skilled workforce, and may potentially lead to the enactment of new laws and regulations, or the modification of existing laws and regulations, that negatively affect the way TVA conducts its business.
ITEM 1B. UNRESOLVED STAFF COMMENTS
Not applicable.
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ITEM 2. PROPERTIES
TVA holds personal property in its own name but holds real property as agent for the U.S. TVA may acquire real property as an agent of the U.S. by negotiated purchase or by eminent domain.
Generating Properties
At September 30, 2021, TVA-operated generating assets consisted of seven nuclear units, 25 active coal-fired units, 86 simple-cycle units, one cogeneration unit, 14 combined-cycle power blocks, 109 conventional hydroelectric units, four pumped-storage hydroelectric units, five diesel generator units, and 13 solar installations. As of September 30, 2021, eight of the simple-cycle combustion turbine units and four of the combined-cycle power blocks were leased to special purpose entities ("SPEs") and leased back to TVA under long-term leases. See Note 11 — Variable Interest Entities and Note 14 — Debt and Other Obligations — Lease/Leasebacks . In addition, TVA is leasing the three Caledonia combined-cycle power blocks under a long-term lease. For a discussion of these assets, see Item 1, Business — Power Supply and Load Management Resources .
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Net Capability
The following table summarizes TVA's summer net capability in MW at September 30, 2021:
SUMMER NET CAPABILITY (1)
At September 30, 2021
Source of Capability
Location
Number
of Units Summer Net Capability (MW) Date First Unit Placed in Service (CY) Date Last Unit Placed in Service (CY)
TVA-Operated Generating Facilities
Nuclear
Browns Ferry Alabama 3 3,662 1974 1977
Sequoyah Tennessee 2 2,292 1981 1982
Watts Bar Tennessee 2 2,321 1996 2016
Total Nuclear
7 8,275
Coal-Fired
Bull Run Tennessee 1 765 1967 1967
Cumberland Tennessee 2 2,470 1973 1973
Gallatin Tennessee 4 976 1956 1959
Kingston Tennessee 9 1,298 1954 1955
Shawnee Kentucky 9 1,071 1953 1955
Total Coal-Fired 25 6,580
Natural Gas and/or Oil-Fired (2)(3)
Simple-Cycle Combustion Turbine
Allen Tennessee 20 456 1971 1972
Brownsville Tennessee 4 456 1999 1999
Colbert Alabama 8 392 1972 1972
Gallatin Tennessee 8 612 1975 2000
Gleason Tennessee 3 485 2000 2000
Johnsonville Tennessee 19 1,088 1975 2000
Kemper Mississippi 4 312 2002 2002
Lagoon Creek Tennessee 12 932 2001 2002
Marshall County Kentucky 8 592 2002 2002
Subtotal Simple-Cycle Combustion Turbine 86 5,325
Combined-Cycle Combustion Turbine
Ackerman (4)
Mississippi 1 713 2007 2007
Allen (5)
Tennessee 1 1,106 2018 2018
Caledonia (6)
Mississippi 3 765 2003 2003
John Sevier (7)
Tennessee 1 871 2012 2012
Lagoon Creek (8)
Tennessee 1 525 2010 2010
Magnolia Mississippi 3 918 2003 2003
Paradise (9)
Kentucky 1 1,100 2017 2017
Southaven Mississippi 3 780 2003 2003
Subtotal Combined-Cycle Combustion Turbine 14 6,778
Co-Generation
Johnsonville Tennessee 1 80 1975 2000
Total Natural Gas and/or Oil-Fired 101 12,183
Hydroelectric
Conventional Plants Alabama 36 1,176 1925 1962
Georgia 2 35 1931 1956
Kentucky 5 223 1944 1948
North Carolina 6 492 1940 1956
Tennessee (10)
60 1,824 1912 1972
Pumped-Storage (11)
Tennessee 4 1,635 1978 1979
Total Hydroelectric 113 5,385
Diesel Generator
Meridian Mississippi 5 9 1998 1998
TVA Non-hydro Renewable Resources (12)
1
Total TVA-Operated Generating Facilities 32,433
Contract Renewable Resources (13)
326
Power Purchase and Other Agreements - Renewable (14)
2,009
Power Purchase and Other Agreements - Nonrenewable (14)
3,128
Total Summer Net Capability 37,896
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Notes
(1) Net capability is defined as the ability of an electric system, generating unit, or other system component to carry or generate power for a specified time period
and does not include operational limitations such as derates.
(2) See Generating Properties above for a discussion of TVA-operated natural gas and/or oil-fired facilities subject to leaseback and long-term lease arrangements.
(3) As of September 30, 2021, 326 MW of peak firing short-term capability of simple-cycle combustion turbine units was not operational and would require additional
investment for dependable use; therefore, this short-term capability is not presented in the table above.
(4) Ackerman Combined Cycle Facility is a single steam cycle unit driven by two gas turbines (2x1 configuration).
(5) Allen Combined Cycle Facility is a single steam cycle unit driven by two gas turbines (2x1 configuration).
(6) Caledonia Combined Cycle Plant ("Caledonia CC") is currently a leased facility operated by TVA.
(7) John Sevier Combined Cycle Facility ("John Sevier CCF") is a single steam cycle unit driven by three gas turbines (3x1 configuration).
(8) Lagoon Creek Combined Cycle Facility is a single steam cycle unit driven by two gas turbines (2x1 configuration).
(9) Paradise Combined Cycle Facility is a single steam cycle unit driven by three gas turbines (3x1 configuration).
(10) Includes 86 MW of summer net capability associated with Hiwassee Hydro Unit 2. See Item 1, Business — Power Supply and Load Management Resources — Conventional Hydroelectric Dam s.
(11) See Item 1, Business — Power Supply and Load Management Resources — Raccoon Mountain Pumped-Storage Plant for a discussion of Raccoon Mountain Pumped-Storage Plant.
(12) TVA owns approximately 1 MW of solar capability among 13 solar installations.
(13) Contract Renewable Resources is capability from various historical renewable energy programs that consist of PPAs primarily with individuals and small businesses.
(14) See Item 1, Business — Power Supply and Load Management Resources — Power Purchase and Other Agreements for information on renewable and non-renewable energy power purchase contracts.
Transmission Properties
TVA's transmission system interconnects with systems of surrounding utilities and consisted primarily of the following assets at September 30, 2021:
• Approximately 2,500 circuit miles of 500 kilovolt, 11,900 circuit miles of 161 kilovolt, and 2,000 circuit miles of other voltage transmission lines;
• 4,048 miles of fiber optic lines;
• 522 transmission substations, power switchyards, and switching stations; and
• 1,325 customer connection points (customer, generation, and interconnection).
At September 30, 2021, certain qualified technological equipment and software ("QTE") related to TVA's transmission system were leased to private entities and leased back to TVA under long-term leases. See Note 14 — Debt and Other Obligations — Lease/Leasebacks and Note 23 — Commitments and Contingencies — Commitments — Leasebacks .
Natural Resource Stewardship Properties
TVA operates and maintains 49 dams and manages the following natural resource stewardship properties:
• Approximately 11,000 miles of reservoir shoreline;
• Approximately 293,000 acres of reservoir land;
• Approximately 650,000 surface acres of reservoir water; and
• Approximately 100 public recreation areas throughout the Tennessee Valley, including campgrounds, day-use areas, and boat launching ramps.
Additionally, TVA manages over 170 agreements for commercial recreation (such as campgrounds and marinas). As part of its stewardship responsibilities, TVA approval is required to be obtained before any obstruction affecting navigation, flood control, or public lands can be constructed in or along the Tennessee River and its tributaries. These public lands and waters managed by TVA provide both conservation and responsible recreation.
Buildings
TVA has a variety of buildings and structures located throughout its service area including generation and transmission facilities, corporate offices, customer service centers, power service centers, warehouses, visitor centers, and crew quarters. Two significant buildings are its Knoxville Office Complex ("KOC") and the Chattanooga Office Complex in Tennessee.
TVA continues to study its real property portfolio as part of the Strategic Real Estate Plan, which is aimed at reducing
cost, right-sizing the portfolio, and aligning real estate holdings with TVA's strategic direction. In addition, as TVA continues to
implement mandatory telework for those who do not have to be physically present during the COVID-19 pandemic, it is also
assessing and reviewing the pandemic's long-term impacts to real estate.
Disposal of Property
TVA has broad authority to dispose of personal property but only limited authority to dispose of real property. TVA's primary, but not exclusive, authority to dispose of real property is briefly described below:
• TVA has authority to dispose of surplus real property at a public auction;
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• TVA may dispose of real property for certain specified purposes, including providing replacement lands for certain entities whose lands were flooded or destroyed by dam or reservoir construction, providing real property for recreational use, and granting easements and rights-of-way upon which are located transmission or distribution lines;
• TVA can dispose of real property in connection with the construction of generating plants or other facilities under certain circumstances; and
• TVA has authority to grant easements for rights-of-way and other purposes.
The Basic Tennessee Valley Authority Power Bond Resolution adopted by the TVA Board on October 6, 1960, as amended on September 28, 1976, October 17, 1989, and March 25, 1992 (the "Basic Resolution") prohibits TVA from mortgaging any part of its power properties and from disposing of all or any substantial portion of these properties unless TVA provides for a continuance of the interest, principal, and sinking fund payments due and to become due on all outstanding Bonds, or for the retirement of such Bonds.
Knoxville Property. In 2016, TVA completed a comprehensive assessment of its real estate holdings in the Knoxville, Tennessee region including the KOC and adjacent Summer Place Complex ("SPC"). As a result of this study and a subsequent Environmental Assessment in 2017, TVA consolidated its Knoxville area employees into the West Tower of the KOC and the Greenway Drive Transmission Service Center in 2020. Consolidation of the centralized field offices in Norris, Tennessee and additional consolidations from the Greenway Area Office are expected to be completed in early 2022.
ITEM 3. LEGAL PROCEEDINGS
From time to time, TVA is party to or otherwise involved in lawsuits, claims, proceedings, investigations, and other legal matters ("Legal Proceedings") that have arisen in the ordinary course of conducting its activities, as a result of catastrophic events or otherwise. While the outcome of the Legal Proceedings to which TVA is a party cannot be predicted with certainty, any adverse outcome to a Legal Proceeding involving TVA may have a material adverse effect on TVA's financial condition, results of operations, and cash flows.
For a discussion of Legal Proceedings involving TVA, see Note 23 — Commitments and Contingencies — Legal Proceedings, which discussion is incorporated by reference into this Item 3.
ITEM 4. MINE SAFETY DISCLOSURES
Not applicable.
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PART II
ITEM 5. MARKET FOR REGISTRANT'S COMMON EQUITY, RELATED STOCKHOLDER MATTERS AND ISSUER PURCHASES OF EQUITY SECURITIES
Not applicable.
ITEM 7. MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
(Dollars in millions except where noted)
The following Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations ("MD&A") is intended to help the reader understand the Tennessee Valley Authority ("TVA"), its financial condition, results of operations, and cash flows, and its present business environment. The MD&A is provided as a supplement to, and should be read in conjunction with, TVA's consolidated financial statements and the accompanying notes thereto contained in Item 8, Financial Statements and Supplementary Data of this Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended September 30, 2021 (the "Annual Report"). See Item 7, Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations in TVA's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended September 30, 2020, filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC") on November 16, 2020, for a discussion of variance drivers for the year ended September 30, 2020, as compared to the year ended September 30, 2019. The MD&A includes the following sections:
• Business and Mission — a general description of TVA's business, objectives, strategic priorities, and core capabilities;
• Executive Overview — a general overview of TVA's activities and results of operations for 2021;
• Results of Operations — an analysis of TVA's consolidated results of operations for 2020 and 2021;
• Liquidity and Capital Resources — an analysis of cash flows, a description of aggregate contractual obligations, and an overview of financial position;
• Key Initiatives and Challenges — an overview of current and future initiatives and challenges facing TVA;
• Critical Accounting Estimates — a summary of significant estimates, judgements, and assumptions that effect the amounts reported in the consolidated financial statements and accompanying notes;
• Legislative and Regulatory Matters — a summary of laws and regulations that may impact TVA; and
• Risk Management Activities — a description of TVA's risk governance and exposure to various market risks.
Business and Mission
Business
TVA operates the nation's largest public power system. At September 30, 2021, TVA provided electricity to approximately 57 directly served customers, which include seven federal agency customers, and 153 local power company customers ("LPCs") that serve approximately 10 million people in parts of seven southeastern states. TVA generates nearly all of its revenues from the sale of electricity, and in 2021 revenues from the sale of electricity totaled $10.4 billion. As a wholly-owned agency and instrumentality of the United States ("U.S."), however, TVA differs from other electric utilities in a number of ways:
• TVA is a government corporation.
• The area in which TVA sells power is limited by the Tennessee Valley Authority Act of 1933, as amended (the "TVA Act") under a provision known as the "fence"; however, another provision of federal law known as the Anti-Cherrypicking Amendment ("ACPA") generally protects TVA from being forced to provide access to its transmission lines to others for the purpose of delivering power to customers within substantially all of TVA's defined service area.
• The rates TVA charges for power are set solely by the TVA Board of Directors ("TVA Board") and are not set or reviewed by another entity, such as a public utility commission. In setting rates, however, the TVA Board is charged by the TVA Act to have due regard for the primary objectives of the TVA Act, including the objective that power be sold at rates as low as feasible.
• TVA is not authorized to raise capital by issuing equity securities. TVA relies primarily on cash from operations and proceeds from power program borrowings to fund its operations and is authorized by the TVA Act to issue bonds, notes, or other evidences of indebtedness (collectively, "Bonds") in an amount not to exceed $30.0 billion
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outstanding at any given time. Although TVA's operations were originally funded primarily with appropriations from Congress, TVA has not received any appropriations from Congress for any activities since 1999 and, as directed by Congress, has funded essential stewardship activities primarily with power revenues.
TVA's Mission of Service
TVA was built for the people, created by federal legislation, and charged with a unique mission - to improve the quality of life in a seven-state region through the integrated management of the region's resources. TVA's mission focuses on three key areas:
ENERGY ENVIRONMENT ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
• Energy — Delivering reliable, low cost, clean energy;
• Environment — Caring for the region's natural resources; and
• Economic Development — Creating sustainable economic growth.
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While TVA's mission has not changed since it was established in 1933, the climate in which TVA operates continues to evolve. The business and economic environment has become more challenging due to economic conditions; tougher environmental standards; and the need to diversify its power supply and adapt to changing customer usage behaviors, new technologies, and emerging, non-traditional competition. To continue to deliver its mission of service while evolving for future success, TVA must realize five strategic priorities, which are comprised of several strategic elements each:
Enhance our Role as a Community Leader and Trusted Partner Create a Culture that Lives up to TVA's Values Nation’s Top Nuclear Fleet by 2025 Advance Energy Transformation in the Valley through Innovation Deliver Value to Enhance Prosperity in the Valley
Champion the Unique Value of the Valley Public Power Model Accelerate the Impact of Inclusion with Diversity within TVA and the Communities TVA Serves Evolve TVA's Reliable and Clean Energy Supply into the Energy System of the Future Establish a Focused Innovation Framework and Mindset Balance Commitments & Obligations
Region’s Top Choice for Business and Industry Lead the Industry in Cost-effective Carbon Reduction Develop Long-Term Business Model
Meet Resource and Environmental Stewardship Commitments Build the Integrated and Reliable Grid of Tomorrow Achieve Sustainable Debt Level
TVA's mission sets the stage for its strategic planning process that includes strategic objectives, initiatives, and scorecards for performance designed to provide clear direction for improving TVA's core business.
Linking the Mission to Performance
TVA has formulated key performance measures to support its strategic priorities. The intent of these measures is to align employees to TVA's mission by focusing its collective efforts on operational excellence, fiscal responsibility, economic development, and environmental stewardship. The measures are designed to promote teamwork, encourage high performance behaviors, and motivate TVA employees to achieve goals aligned with TVA's mission and values. The 2021 corporate results compared with targets for these key measures are reflected in the chart below, in addition to the 2022 approved corporate measures. See Item 11, Executive Compensation — Compensation Discussion and Analysis for information regarding how the measures are calculated.
2021 Corporate Measure Weight Actual Threshold Target Stretch
TVA total spending ($ millions) 40% $ 5,144 $ 5,488 $ 5,333 $ 5,178
Load not served (system minutes) 30% 3.2 4.6 3.9 3.4
Annualized nuclear unit capability factor (%) 15% 90.5 % 89.5 % 90.2 % 91.9 %
Combined cycle equivalent availability factor (%) 10% 85.3 % 75.9 % 80.9 % 85.8 %
Coal equivalent availability factor (%) 5% 71.6 % 59.0 % 64.0 % 82.1 %
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2022 Corporate Measure Weight Threshold Target Stretch
TVA total spending ($ millions) 40% Budget
Load not served (system minutes) 30% 4.5 3.9 3.2
Annualized nuclear online reliability loss factor (%) 15% 3.73 % 2.71 % 1.69 %
Combined cycle equivalent availability factor (%) 10% 77.6 % 82.6 % 84.9 %
Coal equivalent availability factor (%) 5% 58.2 % 63.2 % 69.6 %
Executive Overview
TVA's operating revenues were $10.5 billion and $10.2 billion for the years ended September 30, 2021 and 2020, respectively. Operating revenues increased for the year ended September 30, 2021 as compared to the prior year, primarily as a result of higher energy sales and an increase in fuel cost recovery revenue attributable to higher fuel rates. These increases were partially offset by lower effective rates primarily from the Pandemic Relief Credit that the TVA Board approved in 2020, which was in effect for 2021. The 2.5 percent monthly base rate credit, applied to service provided to TVA's local power company customers ("LPCs"), their large commercial and industrial customers, and TVA's directly served customers. For the year ended September 30, 2021, these credits accounted for $221 million of a decrease to operating revenue. In August 2021, the TVA Board approved a 2.5 percent monthly base rate credit, the Pandemic Recovery Credit, which will be effective for 2022. The credit, expected to approximate $220 million, will also apply to service provided to TVA's LPCs, their large commercial and industrial customers, and TVA directly served customers.
Total operating expenses increased $120 million for the year ended September 30, 2021 as compared to the prior year, primarily as a result of a $257 million increase in fuel and purchased power expense and a $170 million increase in operating and maintenance expense. The increase in fuel and purchased power expense was primarily due to higher effective fuel rates from higher natural gas prices and higher market rates of purchased power, as well as an increase in volume due to higher demand. The increase in Operating and maintenance expense was primarily due to an increase in contract labor driven by operational needs and work to support the company's strategic priorities and an increase in payroll and benefit costs driven by labor escalation for cost of living increases. These increases were partially offset by a $293 million decrease in Depreciation and amortization expense for the year ended September 30, 2021 as compared to the same period of the prior year. This decrease was primarily driven by a decrease in depreciation expense as a result of the decision in 2019 to accelerate the retirements of Bull Run Fossil Plant ("Bull Run") and Paradise Fossil Plant ("Paradise"). Paradise was fully depreciated in the second quarter of 2020.
TVA continues to closely monitor developments associated with the Coronavirus Disease 2019 ("COVID-19") pandemic, including impacts from variants. Based on current internal models, TVA estimates that the COVID-19 pandemic had little impact on TVA's sales volume for the year ended September 30, 2021. At this time, TVA does not anticipate sales volume will be materially impacted due to the COVID-19 pandemic beyond 2021. In addition, operations and delivery of energy to customers have not been materially impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic at this time.
TVA issued its first green global power bond in September 2021. The $500 million bond has a 10-year maturity and carries a coupon interest rate of 1.500%, which set a record for the lowest rate achieved by TVA on a 10-year financing since TVA began issuing debt in the public capital markets. TVA intends to use amounts equal to the proceeds from the sale for capital investments in renewable energy, energy efficiency, climate adaptation, and green innovation, including research and development expenditures related to the deployment of carbon-free and/or energy efficient solutions and other innovations.
During 2021, TVA continued to achieve 99.999 percent reliability in delivering energy to its customers. TVA's reliability, competitive rates, and economic development efforts continued to attract and encourage the expansion of business and industries in the Tennessee Valley, with over $8.8 billion in investments and approximately 80,900 jobs created or retained during the year.
Results of Operations
Sales of Electricity
Sales of electricity, which accounted for nearly all of TVA's operating revenues, were 157,353 million and 151,251 million kilowatt hours ("kWh") for 2021 and 2020, respectively. TVA sells power at wholesale rates to LPCs that then resell the power to their customers at retail rates. TVA also sells power to directly served customers, consisting primarily of federal agencies and customers with large or nonstandard loads. In addition, power exceeding TVA's system needs is sold under exchange power arrangements with certain other power systems.
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The following chart compares TVA's sales of electricity by customer type for the years ended September 30, 2021 and 2020:
Sales of Electricity
For the years ended September 30
(millions of kWh)
The following charts show a breakdown of TVA's energy load:
Note
Information included in the charts above was derived from energy usage of directly served customers and customers served by LPCs during calendar year 2020, and these graphs will continue to be updated on a calendar year basis.
Weather affects both the demand for TVA power and the price for that power. TVA uses degree days to measure the impact of weather on its power operations. Degree days measure the extent to which the TVA system 23-station average temperatures vary from 65 degrees Fahrenheit.
Degree Days
2021 Normal Percent Variation 2020 Normal Percent Variation 2021 2020 Percent Change
Heating Degree Days 3,216 3,360 (4.3) % 3,056 3,369 (9.3) % 3,216 3,056 5.2 %
Cooling Degree Days 1,611 1,686 (4.4) % 1,688 1,691 (0.2) % 1,611 1,688 (4.6) %
Sales of electricity increased approximately four percent for the year ended September 30, 2021, as compared to the prior year primarily due to lower energy sales for 2020, associated with the COVID-19 pandemic. Sales of electricity from
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industries directly served increased as a result of certain customers shifting maintenance outages from December 2020 to the summer of 2020, while businesses were closed due to the COVID-19 pandemic.
Financial Results
The following table compares operating results for 2021 and 2020:
Summary Consolidated Statements of Operations
(in millions)
2021 2020 Change Percent Change
Operating revenues $ 10,503 $ 10,249 $ 254 2.5 %
Operating expenses 7,658 7,538 120 1.6 %
Operating income 2,845 2,711 134 4.9 %
Other income (expense), net 13 36 (23) (63.9) %
Other net periodic benefit cost 258 253 5 2.0 %
Interest expense 1,088 1,142 (54) (4.7) %
Net income $ 1,512 $ 1,352 $ 160 11.8 %
Operating Revenues. Operating revenues for the years ended September 30, 2021 and 2020, were $10.5 billion and $10.2 billion, respectively. The following chart compares TVA's operating revenues for the periods indicated:
TVA's two largest LPCs — Memphis Light, Gas and Water Division ("MLGW") and Nashville Electric Service ("NES") — have contracts with a five-year and a 20-year termination notice period, respectively. Sales to MLGW and NES accounted for nine percent and eight percent, respectively, of TVA's total operating revenues during both the years ended September 30, 2021 and 2020. Certain LPCs, including MLGW, are evaluating options for future energy choices. In addition, in January 2021, four LPCs filed a complaint and petition with the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission ("FERC") asking FERC to order TVA to provide transmission and interconnection service to the LPCs or other suppliers that want to serve them. In August 2021, one of the LPCs notified FERC of its withdrawal from the complaint and petition. The remaining three LPCs accounted for three percent of TVA's total operating revenues for the year ended September 30, 2021. See Note 23 — Commitments and Contingencies — Legal Proceedings — Challenge to Anti-Cherrypicking Amendment for updates to this legal proceeding.
TVA's rate structure uses pricing signals to indicate seasons and hours of higher cost to serve its customers and to capture a portion of TVA's fixed costs in fixed charges. The structure includes three base revenue components: time of use demand charges, time of use energy charges, and a grid access charge ("GAC"). The demand charges are based upon the customer's peak monthly usage and increase as the peak increases. The energy charges are based on time differentiated kWh used by the customer. Both of these components can be significantly impacted by weather. The GAC captures a portion of fixed costs and is offset by a corresponding reduction to the energy rates. The GAC also reduces the impact of weather variability to the overall rate structure.
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In 2019, the TVA Board approved a Partnership Agreement option that better aligns the length of LPC power contracts with TVA's long-term commitments. Under the partnership arrangement, the LPC power contracts automatically renew each year and have a 20-year termination notice. The partnership arrangements can be terminated under certain circumstances, including TVA's failure to limit rate increases as provided for in the agreements going forward. Participating LPCs receive benefits including a 3.1 percent wholesale bill credit in exchange for their long-term commitment, which enables TVA to recover its long-term financial commitments over a commensurate period. As of November 12, 2021, 145 LPCs had signed the 20-year Partnership Agreement with TVA.
In August 2020, the TVA Board approved a Pandemic Relief Credit that was effective for 2021. The 2.5 percent monthly base rate credit, which totaled $221 million for 2021, applied to service provided to TVA's LPCs, their large commercial and industrial customers, and TVA directly served customers through September 2021. In August 2021, the TVA Board approved a 2.5 percent monthly base rate credit, the Pandemic Recovery Credit, which will be effective for 2022. The credit, expected to approximate $220 million, will also apply to service provided to TVA's LPCs, their large commercial and industrial customers, and TVA directly served customers. In November 2021, the TVA Board approved a 1.5 percent monthly base rate credit, which is an extension of the Pandemic Recovery Credit, to be effective for 2023. The 2023 credit is expected to approximate $133 million, and it will be administered in a manner similar to the Pandemic Recovery Credit.
In addition to base revenues, the rate structure includes a separate fuel rate that includes the costs of natural gas, fuel oil, purchased power, coal, emission allowances, nuclear fuel, and other fuel-related commodities; realized gains and losses on derivatives purchased to hedge the costs of such commodities; and payments to states and counties in lieu of taxes ("tax equivalents") associated with the fuel cost adjustments. See Item 1, Business — Rates — Rate Methodology .
The changes in revenue components are summarized below:
Changes in Revenue Components
For the years ended September 30
(in millions)
2021 2020 Change
Base revenue
Energy revenue $ 4,719 $ 4,546 $ 173
Demand revenue 3,478 3,426 52
Grid access charge 596 597 (1)
Long-term partnership credits for LPCs (189) (163) (26)
Pandemic relief credits (221) — (221)
Other charges and credits (1)
(631) (616) (15)
Total base revenue 7,752 7,790 (38)
Fuel cost recovery 2,601 2,310 291
Off-system sales 4 4 —
Revenue from sales of electricity 10,357 10,104 253
Other revenue 146 145 1
Total operating revenues $ 10,503 $ 10,249 $ 254
Note
(1) Includes economic development credits to promote growth in the Tennessee Valley, hydro preference credits for residential customers of LPCs, and demand response credits allowing TVA to reduce industrial customer usage in periods of peak demand to balance system demand. See Note 18 — Revenue.
Operating revenues increased $254 million for the year ended September 30, 2021, as compared to the prior year, primarily due to a $291 million increase in fuel cost recovery revenue, and partially offset by a $38 million decrease in base revenue. The $291 million increase in fuel cost recovery revenue was driven by a $198 million increase attributable to higher fuel rates and a $93 million increase attributable to higher energy sales during 2021. Higher fuel rates resulted from an increase in natural gas and coal market prices in 2021. The $38 million decrease in base revenue was driven by a decrease of $352 million attributable to lower effective rates and partially offset by an increase of $314 million attributable to higher sales volume. Lower effective rates resulted primarily from the Pandemic Relief Credit, which was effective for 2021, totaling $221 million for the year ended September 30, 2021. Higher sales volume was primarily due to lower energy sales in 2020, associated with the COVID-19 pandemic, compared to 2021.
See Sales of Electricity above for further discussion of the change in the volume of sales of electricity and Operating Expenses below for further discussion of the change in fuel expense.
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Operating Expenses. Operating expense components as a percentage of total operating expenses for 2021 and 2020 consisted of the following:
Operating Expenses
(in millions)
2021 2020 Change Percent Change
Operating expenses
Fuel $ 1,737 $ 1,584 $ 153 9.7 %
Purchased power 984 880 104 11.8 %
Operating and maintenance 2,890 2,720 170 6.3 %
Depreciation and amortization 1,533 1,826 (293) (16.0) %
Tax equivalents 514 528 (14) (2.7) %
Total operating expenses $ 7,658 $ 7,538 $ 120 1.6 %
The following table summarizes TVA's expenses for various fuels for the years indicated:
Fuel Expense for TVA-Owned Facilities (1)
For the years ended September 30
Fuel Expense By Source Cost per kWh (4)
2021 2020 2021 2020
Coal (2)
$ 577 $ 533 $ 2.46 $ 2.69
Natural gas and/or oil-fired (3)
841 660 2.52 1.96
Nuclear fuel 363 378 0.55 0.58
Total fuel $ 1,781 $ 1,571 $ 1.44 $ 1.33
Notes
(1) Excludes effects of the fuel cost adjustment deferrals and amortization on fuel expense in the amounts of $(44) million and $13 million for the years ended September 30, 2021 and 2020, respectively.
(2) Fuel expense related to oil consumed for startup at coal-fired facilities was $18 million and $17 million for the years ended September 30, 2021 and 2020, respectively.
(3) Fuel expense related to oil consumed for generation at natural gas and/or oil-fired facilities was $4 million and $2 million for the years ended September 30, 2021 and 2020.
(4) Total cost per kWh is based on a weighted average.
Fuel expense increased $153 million for the year ended September 30, 2021, as compared to the prior year. This increase was primarily due to higher effective fuel rates of $153 million resulting from higher natural gas prices, as well as an increase in fuel volume of $58 million due to higher demand primarily met by TVA-owned generation. Partially offsetting these increases was a decrease in fuel cost recovery of $58 million resulting from volatility in the natural gas and purchased power markets in the year ended September 30, 2021.
Purchased power expense increased $104 million for the year ended September 30, 2021, as compared to the prior year. This was primarily due to an increase in the effective rate of purchased power of $82 million resulting from higher market prices, as well as an increase in volume of $46 million. Partially offsetting these increases was a decrease in fuel cost recovery of $24 million resulting from volatility in the natural gas and purchased power markets in the year ended September 30, 2021.
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Operating and maintenance expense increased $170 million for the year ended September 30, 2021, as compared to the prior year. This was primarily due to a $97 million increase in contract labor driven by operational needs and work to support the company's strategic priorities, a $60 million increase in payroll and benefit costs primarily due to labor escalation for cost of living increases, and an increase in outage expense of $30 million driven by an increase in nuclear outage days. Partially offsetting these increases was a decrease of other post-employment benefit expense of $32 million primarily due to the increase in the discount rate assumption used in the actuarial valuation of the liability related to workers’ compensation claims and a reduction related to TVA's capital spare program of $15 million.
Depreciation and amortization expense decreased $293 million for the year ended September 30, 2021, as compared to the prior year. This decrease was primarily driven by a net decrease in depreciation expense of $262 million related to the decision in 2019 to accelerate the retirements of Bull Run and Paradise. Paradise was fully depreciated in the second quarter of 2020. Additionally, amortization expense of decommissioning costs recovered in rates decreased $96 million. Partially offsetting these decreases was an increase due to depreciation of additions to completed plant.
Depreciation rates are determined based on an external depreciation study. See Note 1 — Summary of Significant Accounting Policies — Property, Plant, and Equipment, and Depreciation — Depreciation . TVA obtained and implemented a new depreciation study related to its completed plant during the first quarter of 2022. The new study includes a decline in the service life estimates of TVA’s coal-fired plants based on planning assumptions to potentially retire the remainder of the coal-fired fleet by 2035. Any decision to retire individual plants would include environmental review, public input, and TVA Board approval. Implementation of the new study is expected to result in an increase to depreciation and amortization expense of approximately $369 million during 2022. This estimate represents the impact of implementing the new study only and does not include any potential impact of other possible changes, including additions to or retirements of net completed plant, that may occur during 2022.
Tax equivalents expense decreased $14 million for the year ended September 30, 2021, as compared to the prior year. This change is primarily driven by a decrease in TVA's revenue from sales of electricity in 2020, which is used as the basis for calculating tax equivalent expense. Partially offsetting this decrease was an increase in tax equivalents collected in the fuel cost recovery.
Generating Sources. The following table shows TVA's generation and purchased power by generating source as a percentage of all electrical power generated and purchased (based on kWh) for the periods indicated:
Total Power Supply by Generating Source
For the years ended September 30
(millions of kWh)
2021 2020
Nuclear 66,265 41 % 64,531 42 %
Natural gas and/or oil-fired 33,290 21 % 33,479 22 %
Coal-fired 23,391 15 % 19,732 13 %
Hydroelectric 16,354 10 % 16,644 10 %
Total TVA-operated generation facilities (1)(2)
139,300 87 % 134,386 87 %
Purchased power (natural gas and/or oil-fired) (3)
10,836 7 % 9,343 6 %
Purchased power (other renewables) (4)
5,113 3 % 4,784 3 %
Purchased power (hydroelectric) 2,156 2 % 2,899 2 %
Purchased power (coal-fired) 2,373 1 % 2,409 2 %
Total purchased power (2)
20,478 13 % 19,435 13 %
Total power supply 159,778 100 % 153,821 100 %
Notes
(1) Generation from TVA-owned renewable resources (non-hydroelectric) is less than one percent for all periods shown and therefore is not represented in the table above.
(2) Raccoon Mountain Pumped-Storage Plant net generation is allocated against each TVA-operated generation facility and purchased power type for both 2021 and 2020. See Item1, Business — Power Supply and Load Management Resources — Raccoon Mountain Pumped-Storage Plant for a discussion of Raccoon Mountain Pumped-Storage Plant.
(3) Purchased power (gas) includes generation from Caledonia Combined Cycle Plant ("Caledonia CC"), which is currently a leased facility operated by TVA. Generation from Caledonia CC was 4,255 million kWh and 4,229 million kWh for the years ended September 30, 2021 and 2020, respectively.
(4) Purchased power (other renewables) includes purchased power from the following renewable sources: solar, wind, biomass, and renewable cogeneration.
In addition to power supply sources included here, TVA offers energy efficiency programs that effectively reduced 2021 energy needs by about 2,300 GWh or 1.4%.
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Interest Expense . Interest expense and interest rates for 2021 and 2020, were as follows:
Interest Expense and Rates
For the years ended September 30
2021 2020 Percent Change
Interest expense (1)
$ 1,088 $ 1,142 (4.7) %
Average blended debt balance (2)
$ 20,916 $ 21,978 (4.8) %
Average blended interest rate (3)
5.06 % 5.05 % 0.2 %
Notes
(1) Includes amortization of debt discounts, issuance, and reacquisition costs, net.
(2) Includes average balances of long-term power bonds, debt of variable interest entities ("VIE"), and discount notes.
(3) Includes interest on long-term power bonds, debt of VIE, and discount notes.
Total interest expense decreased $54 million for the year ended September 30, 2021, as compared to the prior year. This was primarily driven by a decrease of $56 million due to lower average debt balances and partially offset by an increase of $2 million due primarily to higher average long-term rates.
Other Income (Expense), Net
During 2021, Other income (expense), net decreased $23 million, primarily driven by a $28 million court directed payment related to the sale of Bellefonte. In 2019, the purchaser, Nuclear Development, LLC ("Nuclear Development"), failed to fulfill the requirements of the sales contract with respect to obtaining Nuclear Regulatory Commission ("NRC") approval of the transfer of required nuclear licenses and payment of the remainder of the selling price before the November 30, 2018 closing date. In August 2021, the court found that, under the contract's termination provision, Nuclear Development was entitled to have TVA return Nuclear Development's down payment and its payments of compensated costs, along with prejudgment interest, which was fully paid in 2021. Partially offsetting this expense was a $7 million increase in gains (losses) on investments driven by higher market returns in 2021. See Note 23 — Commitments and Contingencies — Legal Proceedings — Case Involving Bellefonte Nuclear Plant for a discussion of the lawsuit filed by Nuclear Development.
Other Net Periodic Benefit Cost
Other net periodic benefit cost increased $5 million for the year ended September 30, 2021, as compared to the prior year. Other net periodic benefit cost is subject to significant economic assumptions, such as changes in the discount rate used to measure the benefit plans, that can materially impact TVA. However, TVA uses regulatory accounting to recognize other net periodic benefit cost as a regulatory asset to the extent that the amount calculated under U.S. generally accepted accounting principles ("GAAP") as pension expense differs from the amount TVA contributes to the pension plan as pension plan contributions. See Note 22 — Benefit Plans .
Liquidity and Capital Resources
Sources of Liquidity
TVA depends on various sources of liquidity to meet cash needs and contingencies. TVA's primary sources of liquidity
are cash from operations and proceeds from the issuance of short-term debt in the form of discount notes, along with periodic
issuances of long-term debt. TVA's balance of short-term debt typically changes frequently as TVA issues discount notes to
meet short-term cash needs and pay scheduled maturities of discount notes and long-term debt. The periodic amounts of short-term debt issued are determined by near-term expectations for cash receipts, cash expenditures, and funding needs, while
seeking to maintain a target range of cash and cash equivalents on hand.
In addition to cash from operations and proceeds from the issuance of short-term and long-term debt, TVA's sources of liquidity include a $150 million credit facility with the United States Department of the Treasury ("U.S. Treasury"), four long-term revolving credit facilities totaling approximately $2.7 billion, and proceeds from other financings. See Note 14 — Debt and Other Obligations — Credit Facility Agreements. Other financing arrangements may include sales of receivables, loans, or other assets.
The TVA Act authorizes TVA to issue Bonds in an amount not to exceed $30.0 billion outstanding at any time. Power bonds outstanding, excluding unamortized discounts and premiums and net exchange gains from foreign currency transactions, at September 30, 2021 and 2020, were $19.4 billion (including current maturities) and $20.1 billion (including current maturities), respectively. The balance of Bonds outstanding directly affects TVA's capacity to meet operational liquidity needs and to strategically use Bonds to fund certain capital investments as management and the TVA Board may deem desirable. Other options for financing not subject to the limit on Bonds, including lease financings (see Lease Financings below and Note 11 — Variable Interest Entities ), could provide supplementary funding if needed. Currently, TVA expects to have adequate capability to
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fund its ongoing operational liquidity needs and make planned capital investments over the next decade. See Lease Financings below, Note 11 — Variable Interest Entities , and Note 14 — Debt and Other Obligations for additional information.
TVA may from time to time seek to retire or purchase its outstanding debt through cash purchases and/or exchanges for securities, in open market purchases, privately negotiated transactions, or otherwise. Such repurchases or exchanges, if any, will depend on prevailing market conditions, TVA's liquidity requirements, contractual restrictions, and other factors. The amounts involved may be material.
Due to higher volatility in the financial markets associated with the COVID-19 pandemic, TVA increased its balance of Cash and cash equivalents beginning in March 2020. TVA may hold higher cash balances from time to time in response to potential market volatility or other business conditions. TVA has maintained continued debt market access since the outbreak of the pandemic. TVA successfully funded the maturity of $1.5 billion of power bonds in February 2021 and $331 million of power bonds in June 2021 with cash from operations and proceeds from the issuance of discount notes. In September 2021, TVA issued $500 million of green global power bonds at the lowest interest rate achieved by TVA on a 10-year maturity financing since TVA began issuing debt in the public capital markets. TVA intends to use amounts equal to the proceeds from the sale for capital investments in renewable energy, energy efficiency, climate change adaptation, and green innovation, including research and development expenditures related to the deployment of carbon-free and energy efficient solutions and other innovations. TVA’s next significant power bond maturity is $1.0 billion in August 2022.
Debt Securities . TVA's Bonds are not obligations of the U.S., and the U.S. does not guarantee the payments of principal or interest on Bonds. TVA's Bonds consist of power bonds and discount notes. Power bonds have maturities of between one and 50 years. At September 30, 2021, the average maturity of long-term power bonds was 15.69 years, and the weighted average interest rate was 4.51 percent. Discount notes have maturities of less than one year. Power bonds and discount notes have a first priority and equal claim of payment out of net power proceeds. Net power proceeds are defined as the remainder of TVA's gross power revenues after deducting the costs of operating, maintaining, and administering its power properties and payments to states and counties in lieu of taxes, but before deducting depreciation accruals or other charges representing the amortization of capital expenditures, plus the net proceeds from the sale or other disposition of any power facility or interest therein. In addition to power bonds and discount notes, TVA had long-term debt associated with certain VIEs outstanding at September 30, 2021. See Lease Financing below, Note 11 — Variable Interest Entities , and Note 14 — Debt and Other Obligations for additional information.
Power bonds and discount notes are both issued pursuant to Section 15d of the TVA Act and pursuant to the Basic Tennessee Valley Authority Power Bond Resolution adopted by the TVA Board on October 6, 1960, as amended on September 28, 1976, October 17, 1989, and March 25, 1992 (the "Basic Resolution"). The TVA Act and the Basic Resolution each contain two bond tests: the rate test and the bondholder protection test.
Under the rate test, TVA must charge rates for power which will produce gross revenues sufficient to provide funds for:
• Operation, maintenance, and administration of its power system;
• Tax equivalents;
• Debt service on outstanding Bonds;
• Payments to the U.S. Treasury in repayment of and as a return on the government's appropriation investment in TVA's power facilities (the "Power Program Appropriation Investment"); and
• Such additional margin as the TVA Board may consider desirable for investment in power system assets, retirement of outstanding Bonds in advance of maturity, additional reduction of the Power Program Appropriation Investment, and other purposes connected wit h TVA's pow er business, having due regard for the primary objectives of the TVA Act, including the objective that power shall be sold at rates as low as are feasible. See Note 19 — Proprietary Capital — Appropriation Investment .
TVA fulfilled its requirement to repay $1.0 billion of the Power Program Appropriation Investment in 2014; therefore, the repayment of this amount is no longer a component of rate setting.
The rate test for the one-year period ended September 30, 2021, was calculated after the end of 2021, and TVA met the test's requirements.
Under the bondholder protection test, TVA must, in successive five-year periods, use an amount of net power proceeds at least equal to the sum of the depreciation accruals and other charges representing the amortization of capital expenditures and the net proceeds from any disposition of power facilities, for either the reduction of its capital obligations (including Bonds and the Power Program Appropriation Investment) or investment in power assets.
The bondholder protection test for the five-year period ended September 30, 2020, was calculated after the end of 2020, and TVA met the test's requirements. TVA must next meet the bondholder protection test for the five-year period ending September 30, 2025, and expects to meet the test.
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TVA uses proceeds from the issuance of discount notes, in addition to other sources of liquidity, to fund short-term cash needs and scheduled maturities of long-term debt.
The following table provides additional information regarding TVA's short-term borrowings.
Short-Term Borrowing Table
At September 30, 2021 For the year ended September 30, 2021 At September 30, 2020 For the year ended September 30, 2020
Gross Amount Outstanding (at End of Period) or Average Gross Amount Outstanding (During Period)
Discount notes $ 780 $ 876 $ 57 $ 812
Maximum Month-End Gross Amount Outstanding (During Period)
Discount notes N/A $ 1,598 N/A $ 1,875
Weighted Average Interest Rate
Discount notes 0.03 % 0.03 % 0.06 % 0.77 %
TVA ended the year at September 30, 2021, with a higher balance for both short-term debt and average short-term debt as compared to 2020. The increase was primarily due to the timing of cash flows and lower issuance of long-term debt in 2021 than 2020.
TVA generally uses proceeds from the issuance of power bonds to refinance maturing power bonds or other financing obligations, as necessary, or for other power system purposes. The total balance of power bonds may decline in periods where redemptions of power bonds exceed issuance due to net positive cash flow from operating and investing activities. In 2020, TVA achieved and surpassed its strategic goal of reducing debt to $21.8 billion by 2023, and made even further reductions in debt in 2021. TVA anticipates the balance of Bonds and other financing obligations may increase slightly through 2022 due to an expected increase in capital expenditures, consistent with TVA's strategic financial plan.
TVA issued $500 million and $1.0 billion of power bonds during 2021 and 2020, respectively. TVA redeemed $1.9 billion and $1.5 billion of Bonds during 2021 and 2020, respectively. For additional information about TVA debt issuance activity and debt instruments issued and outstanding at September 30, 2021 and 2020, including rates, maturities, outstanding principal amounts, and redemption features, see Note 14 — Debt and Other Obligations — Debt Securities Activity and Debt Outstanding .
TVA Bonds are traded in the public bond markets and are listed on the New York Stock Exchange ("NYSE") except for TVA's discount notes, the 2009 Series B power bonds, and the power bonds issued under TVA's electronotes ® program. TVA's Putable Automatic Rate Reset Securities ("PARRS") are traded on the NYSE under the exchange symbols "TVC" and "TVE." Other bonds listed on the NYSE are assigned various symbols by the exchange, which are noted on the NYSE's website. TVA has also listed certain bonds on foreign exchanges from time to time, including the Luxembourg, Hong Kong, and Singapore Stock Exchanges. See Item 1A, Risk Factors for additional information regarding the market for TVA's Bonds.
Although TVA Bonds are not obligations of the U.S., TVA, as a corporate agency and instrumentality of the U.S. government, may be impacted if the sovereign credit ratings of the U.S. are downgraded. Additionally, TVA may be impacted by how the U.S. government addresses situations of approaching its statutory debt limit. According to statements made by nationally recognized credit rating agencies, downward pressure on the ratings of the U.S. could eventually develop if there are no changes in current policies and budget deficits and the trajectory of debt continues to increase; additionally, current ratings factor in the prospect that debates over raising the debt ceiling of the U.S. government could continue to be protracted and difficult. The outlook on the ratings of the U.S. government is currently stable with two of the three agencies that provide ratings on TVA Bonds. In July 2020, Fitch Ratings downgraded the U.S.'s credit rating outlook to negative from stable reflecting the ongoing deterioration in U.S. public finances and the absence of a credible fiscal consolidation plan, worsened by the economic challenges from the COVID-19 pandemic. In August 2020, the outlook on the credit rating of TVA was subsequently changed by Fitch to negative from stable, reflecting the actions on the U.S. The outlook on the ratings of TVA is currently stable with two of three credit rating agencies. TVA's rated senior unsecured Bonds are currently rated Aaa, AAA, and AA+. TVA's short-term discount notes are not rated.
Lease Financings . TVA has entered into certain leasing transactions with special purpose entities ("SPEs") to obtain third-party financing for its facilities. These SPEs are sometimes identified as VIEs of which TVA is determined to be the primary beneficiary. TVA is required to account for these VIEs on a consolidated basis. See Note 11 — Variable Interest Entities and Note 14 — Debt and Other Obligations for information about TVA's lease financing activities. During 2017 and 2016, TVA acquired 100 percent of the equity interests in certain SPEs created for the purpose of facilitating lease financing. TVA may seek to enter into similar arrangements in the future. In 2019, TVA made final rent payments under lease/leaseback transactions involving eight combustion turbine units ("CTs"), and terminated these transactions. In 2020, TVA made final rent payments under lease/leaseback transactions involving eight additional CTs. In 2021, TVA made final rent payments under lease/leaseback transactions involving four additional CTs. TVA will continue making rent payments under the remaining lease/
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leaseback transactions through 2022.
Summary Cash Flows
A major source of TVA's liquidity is operating cash flows resulting from the generation and sale of electricity. Cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash totaled $518 million and $521 million at September 30, 2021 and 2020, respectively. A summary of cash flow components for the years ended September 30 follows:
Cash provided by (used in):
Operating Activities . TVA's cash flows from operations are primarily driven by sales of electricity, fuel expense, and operating and maintenance expense. The timing and level of cash flows from operations can be affected by the weather, changes in working capital, commodity price fluctuations, outages, and other project expenses.
Net cash flows provided by operating activities decreased $380 million for the year ended September 30, 2021, as compared to 2020. The decrease was primarily due to increased fuel and purchased power payments as a result of higher natural gas and market prices, as well as increased electricity demand. Increases in payroll and benefit costs due to labor escalation for cost of living increases and higher cash used for asset retirement obligation ("ARO") settlements also contributed to the decrease in cash flows from operations. These decreases were partially offset by less cash paid for interest and inventory purchases.
Investing Activities . The majority of TVA's investing cash flows are due to investments to acquire, upgrade, or maintain generating and transmission assets, including environmental projects and the purchase of nuclear fuel. Nuclear fuel expenditures vary depending on the number of outages and the prices and timing of purchases of uranium and enrichment services.
Net cash flows used in investing activities increased $323 million for the year ended September 30, 2021, as compared to the prior year driven by an increase in capacity expansion projects primarily related to two combustion turbine gas facilities at TVA's Paradise and Colbert Fossil Plant ("Colbert") sites, the Johnsonville aeroderivative combustion turbine project, and nuclear fleet improvement projects. This increase was partially offset by a decrease in expenditures for the Pickwick South Embankment remediation project nearing completion.
Financing Activities . TVA's cash flows provided by or used in financing activities are primarily driven by the timing and level of cash flows provided by operating activities, cash flows used in investing activities, and net issuance and redemption of debt instruments to maintain a strategic balance of cash on hand.
Net cash flows used in financing activities decreased $501 million for the year ended September 30, 2021, as compared to 2020. TVA had $678 million in net debt redemptions in 2021 compared to $1.4 billion in net debt redemptions in 2020. In addition, payments on leaseback transactions were $195 million higher in 2021 compared to 2020. TVA's financing activities continue to reflect an overall reduction in debt driven by strong financial performance.
Impact of COVID-19
Based on current internal models, TVA estimates that the COVID-19 pandemic had little impact on TVA's sales volume for the year ended September 30, 2021. At this time, TVA does not anticipate sales volume will be materially impacted due to the COVID-19 pandemic beyond 2021. To support LPCs and strengthen the public power response to the COVID-19 pandemic, TVA created initiatives such as the Public Power Support and Stabilization Program, Back-to-Business Credit Program, Community Care Fund, and Pandemic Credits. TVA has also provided regulatory flexibility for LPCs to halt disconnection of services. See Key Initiatives and Challenges — COVID-19 Pandemic for an expanded discussion of these initiatives and the impact to TVA.
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Cash Requirements
Actual capital expenditures and future planned capital expenditures for property, plant, and equipment additions, including clean air projects and new generation, and nuclear fuel are as follows:
Capital Expenditures
For the years ended September 30
Actual Estimated Capital Expenditures (1)
2021 2022 2023 2024
Capacity expansion expenditures $ 588 $ 1,322 $ 1,102 $ 845
Environmental expenditures 126 134 75 11
Nuclear fuel 445 298 284 334
Transmission expenditures 473 516 458 498
Other capital expenditures (2)
933 919 933 868
Total capital expenditures $ 2,565 (3)
$ 3,189 $ 2,852 $ 2,556
Notes
(1) TVA plans to fund these expenditures with cash from operations and proceeds from power program financings. Estimated capital expenditures only include expenditures that are currently planned. Additional expenditures may be required, among other things, for TVA to meet growth in demand for power in its service area or to comply with new environmental laws, regulations, or orders.
(2) Other capital expenditures are primarily associated with short lead time construction projects aimed at the continued safe and reliable operation of generating assets.
(3) The numbers above include construction in progress and nuclear fuel expenditures included in Accounts payable and accrued liabilities of $240 million, nuclear fuel vendor credits of $6 million, and nuclear fuel prepayments made in prior years of $2 million.
TVA continually reviews its capital expenditures and financing programs. The amounts shown in the table above are forward-looking amounts based on a number of assumptions and are subject to various uncertainties. Amounts may differ materially based upon a number of factors, including, but not limited to, changes in assumptions about system load growth, environmental regulation, rates of inflation, total cost of major projects, and availability and cost of external sources of capital. See Forward-Looking Information and Item 1A, Risk Factors .
TVA has certain obligations and commitments to make future payments under contracts, including contracts executed in connection with certain of the planned construction expenditures. TVA estimates total commitments and contingencies at September 30, 2021 are approximately $5.4 billion for the year ended September 30, 2022 and $45.9 billion for the years thereafter. See Note 8 — Leases , Note 11 — Variable Interest Entities , Note 14 — Debt and Other Obligations , and Note 22 — Benefit Plans for the obligations and commitments attributable to leases, VIEs and membership interests of VIEs subject to mandatory redemption, debt and leaseback obligations, and the retirement plan, respectively. TVA's estimate of future payments for other commitments and contingencies at September 30, 2021 are set forth in the table below.
Other Commitments and Contingencies
Payments due for the years ending September 30
2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Thereafter Total
Interest payments relating to debt (1)
$ 958 $ 936 $ 935 $ 906 $ 852 $ 12,250 $ 16,837
Interest payments relating to debt of VIEs 49 47 45 44 42 363 590
Interest payments relating to membership interests of VIEs subject to mandatory redemption 2 1 1 1 1 5 11
Purchase obligations
Power (2)
313 224 237 196 177 1,222 2,369
Fuel (3)
1,525 759 506 402 242 1,060 4,494
Other (4)
171 90 44 28 52 201 586
Flood response commitment to NRC 27 — — — — — 27
Total $ 3,045 $ 2,057 $ 1,768 $ 1,577 $ 1,366 $ 15,101 $ 24,914
Notes
(1) Includes the effects of interest rate derivatives employed to manage interest rate risk.
(2) Includes commitments for energy and/or capacity under power purchase agreements ("PPAs") from coal-fired, hydroelectric, diesel, renewable, and gas-fired facilities, as well as transmission service agreements to support purchases of power from the market. Certain PPAs are accounted for as leases and have lease and non-lease components. For these contracts, the lease component is included in lease obligations (see Note 8 — Leases ) and the non-lease component is included in power, except for PPA contracts containing a lease component that have not commenced in which case the entire contract amount is included above.
(3) Includes commitments to purchase nuclear fuel, coal, and natural gas, as well as related transportation and storage services.
(4) Primarily includes long-term service contracts, contracts that contain minimum purchase levels for the purchase of limestone along with related storage and transportation, and contractual obligations related to TVA's load control program.
EnergyRight ® Program. TVA purchases certain loans receivable from its LPCs in association with the EnergyRight ® program. Depending on the nature of the energy-efficiency project, loans may have a maximum term of five years or 10 years.
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The loans receivable are then transferred to a third-party bank with which TVA has agreed to repay in full any loan receivable that has been in default for 180 days or more or that TVA has determined is uncollectible. At September 30, 2021, the total carrying amount of the loans receivable, net of discount, was approximately $72 million. Such amounts are not reflected in the Other Commitments and Contingencies table above. The total carrying amount of the financing obligation was approximately $82 million at September 30, 2021. See Note 9 — Other Long-Term Assets and Note 12 — Other Long-Term Liabilities for additional information.
Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements
At September 30, 2021, TVA had no off-balance sheet arrangements.
Key Initiatives and Challenges
COVID-19 Pandemic
In 2020, in response to the spread of COVID-19, TVA implemented a company-wide pandemic plan to address specific aspects of the COVID-19 pandemic, and the pandemic plan continually evolves based on medical guidance and federal, regional, and local requirements and guidelines. The pandemic plan included mandatory telework for those employees who do not have to be physically present at a TVA facility or office building to provide mission-essential activities or produce safe, reliable power. Based on ongoing monitoring, COVID-19 continues to pose a significant risk in the U.S. and in the Tennessee Valley region, and as a result TVA has extended the timeframe for workforce reintegration and continues to limit non-essential travel for those not fully vaccinated. At this time, TVA does not anticipate that the telework restrictions will be lifted until January 2022. TVA has and will continue to monitor risk and potential impacts throughout the situation, including impacts from variants.
TVA continues to implement strong physical and cybersecurity measures to ensure that systems remain functional to keep employees, customers, and communities safe and enable TVA to continue achieving its mission to serve the people of the Valley. In addition to measures to protect its workforce, stakeholders, and critical operations, TVA is actively monitoring generation, transmission, and distribution functions. Operations and delivery of energy to customers have not been materially impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic at this time. All TVA recreation areas that had initially closed to slow the spread of the virus have now reopened. Visitor centers at TVA dams remain closed for public and staff safety.
Based on current internal models, TVA estimates that the COVID-19 pandemic had little impact on TVA's sales volume for the year ended September 30, 2021. At this time, TVA does not anticipate sales volume will be materially impacted due to the COVID-19 pandemic beyond 2021. The ultimate impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on TVA's financial condition depends on factors beyond TVA's knowledge or control, including the duration and severity, actions taken to contain its spread and mitigate its effects, and broader impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on the country and region's economy. See Item 7, Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations — Results of Operations — Financial Results — Operating Revenues .
TVA also continues to assess potential supplier performance risks, including procurement of fuel, parts, and services. If suppliers are unable to perform under TVA's existing contracts or if TVA is unable to obtain similar services from other vendors, TVA could experience delays, disruptions, additional costs, or other operational outcomes that may impact generation, maintenance, and capital programs. TVA has seen an increase in supplier impacts as a result of COVID-19, such as delays and price fluctuations, but has been able to manage these impacts through existing contracts and increased lead times and communications with suppliers; therefore, TVA has not experienced significant business disruptions at this time. TVA has also experienced minimal impacts due to force majeure events, with the exception of a manufacturing delay for a major turbine component. A mitigation strategy was developed by TVA and the vendor which reduced impacts to TVA's outage schedule. TVA will continue to monitor the supply base and remain in contact with suppliers to identify potential risks, including impacts on workforce availability due to recently announced special protocols for unvaccinated federal government employees and contractors.
Regulatory Actions. On January 20, 2021, President Biden issued Executive Order 13991, directing federal agencies to implement COVID-19 countermeasures consistent with CDC guidance and establishing a Safer Federal Workforce Task Force (“Task Force”) to develop model safety principles to which all federal agencies would subsequently align their pandemic countermeasures. TVA continues to implement these principles and remains in regular contact with the Office of Management and Budget (“OMB”), which chairs the Task Force. On September 9, 2021, President Biden issued two new executive orders in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. The first executive order required that all federal employees be vaccinated against COVID-19. Only employees entitled to certain accommodations under law would be exempt from this requirement. The Task Force has stated that all employees must be fully vaccinated by November 22, 2021. TVA is working with its union partners and workforce to meet this deadline. As part of the process to implement the vaccination requirement, TVA and its union partners have negotiated and implemented a standalone disciplinary process for employees who have neither been vaccinated by the deadline nor received an exemption allowed by law. This policy includes a progression of counseling for employees and, for those who do not get vaccinated after counseling, a testing program.
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The second executive order required that federal agencies include clauses in contracts with federal contractors requiring the contractors to comply with guidance issued by the Task Force concerning contractors. This executive order does not apply to TVA, and therefore TVA is not requiring the clauses at this time.
On November 4, 2021, the Occupational Safety and Health Administration (“OSHA”) issued an Emergency Temporary Standard ("ETS") in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. The ETS, among other things, obligates employers with at least 100 employees to adopt a vaccination policy that requires employees to either be fully vaccinated or submit to at least weekly testing. The deadline for implementing the vaccination/testing program is January 4, 2022.
The ETS does not apply to any federal contractors that must comply with the Task Force contractor guidance. TVA has not required its contractors to comply with the Task Force guidance. Therefore, unless those contractors are required to follow Task Force guidance based on contractual relationships with other federal agencies, TVA's contractors would be covered by the ETS.
OSHA has also stated that the ETS does not apply to federal agencies; rather, federal agencies are covered by the vaccination requirement established by President Biden on September 9, 2021. The Task Force has stated that federal employees should be vaccinated by November 22, 2021, and has confirmed that this deadline remains in effect. Accordingly, TVA is continuing to work toward this deadline.
On November 5, 2021, the United States Court of Appeals for the Fifth Circuit issued an order staying the ETS pending further action by the court. Employers will not be required to comply with the ETS until the stay is lifted.
Customer Pandemic Initiatives . The COVID-19 pandemic created economic uncertainty for TVA's customers and the communities they serve. To support and strengthen the public power response to the COVID-19 pandemic, TVA announced the following initiatives:
Regulatory Flexibility . TVA continues to provide regulatory flexibility for LPCs to halt disconnection of services and respond to the local needs of their customers and communities.
Program Flexibility . In 2020, TVA established flexibility provisions for certain economic development programs for participating customers impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic. These provisions were made available through the December 2020 application period, which provided flexibility to customers through 2021. TVA also offered deferral options for EnergyRight ® program loan payments, through October 31, 2020, for customers experiencing financial hardship. All EnergyRight ® loans approved for the deferral period resumed payments in the second quarter of 2021. See Note 9 — Other Long-Term Assets, Note 12 — Other Long-Term Liabilities , and Note 18 — Revenue .
Financial Support . In 2020, the TVA Board approved the Public Power Support and Stabilization Program. Through this program, TVA offered up to $1.0 billion of credit support to LPCs that demonstrated the need for temporary financial relief, through the deferral of a portion of LPCs' wholesale power payments owed to TVA. The program ended December 31, 2020, with a total of $1 million of credit support approved under the program. The $1 million was fully repaid in the second quarter of 2021.
Back-to-Business Credit Program . TVA created the Back-to-Business Credit Program to enable TVA and LPCs to provide relief to certain large customers affected by the COVID-19 pandemic by providing certain credits when returning to operations. As of September 30, 2021, TVA had provided approximately $13 million in Back-to-Business credits under this program since its inception, with over $3 million provided for the year ended September 30, 2021. This program ended September 30, 2021.
Community Care Fund . TVA also continues to partner with LPCs through the Community Care Fund by making available over $9 million in TVA matching funds to support local initiatives that address hardships created by the COVID-19 pandemic. As of September 30, 2021, over $4 million in matching funds had been provided by TVA, with nearly $2 million provided for the year ended September 30, 2021.
Pandemic Credits . In August 2020, the TVA Board approved a Pandemic Relief Credit that was effective for 2021. The 2.5 percent monthly base rate credit, which totaled $221 million for 2021, applied to service provided to TVA's LPCs, their large commercial and industrial customers, and TVA directly served customers through September 2021. In August 2021, the TVA Board approved a 2.5 percent monthly base rate credit, the Pandemic Recovery Credit, which will be effective for 2022. The credit, expected to approximate $220 million, will also apply to service provided to TVA's LPCs, their large commercial and industrial customers, and TVA directly served customers. In November 2021, the TVA Board approved a 1.5 percent monthly base rate credit, which is an extension of the Pandemic Recovery Credit, to be effective for 2023. The 2023 credit is expected to approximate $133 million, and it will be administered in a manner similar to the Pandemic Recovery Credit.
These actions show TVA's commitment to support the financial integrity of LPCs along with communities and customers across the Tennessee Valley during these challenging economic conditions caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. The COVID-19 pandemic is an evolving situation that may lead to extended disruption of economic activity and an adverse impact on TVA's
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results of operations. TVA continues to closely monitor developments and will adjust its response as necessary to ensure reliable service while protecting the safety and health of its workforce.
Distributed Energy Resources
Consumer desire for energy choice, among other things, is driving the expectation for flexible options in the electric industry. TVA and LPCs are working together to leverage the strengths of the Tennessee Valley public power model to provide distributed energy solutions that are economical, sustainable, and flexible. TVA will focus on the safety and reliability impacts of these resources as they are interconnected to the grid and will ensure that the pricing of electricity remains as low as feasible. Additional regulatory considerations and analysis may be required as the distributed energy resources ("DER") market, technologies, and programs evolve.
Fiber Optic Network . In 2017, the TVA Board authorized up to $300 million to be spent over the next 10 years, subject to annual budget availability and necessary environmental reviews, to build an enhanced fiber optic network that will better connect TVA's operational assets. Fiber is a vital part of TVA's modern communication infrastructure. The new fiber optic lines will improve the reliability and resiliency of the generation and transmission system while enabling the system to better accommodate DER as they enter the market. As of September 30, 2021 , TVA had spent $151 million on installation of the fiber optic lines and expects to spend an additional $149 million.
Electric Vehicles . TVA is partnering with LPCs and others to support the electrification of transportation in the Valley in a multi-year electric vehicle ("EV") initiative. The initiative focuses on reducing or eliminating EV market barriers by setting EV policies, improving charging infrastructure availability, expanding EV availability and offerings, and spreading EV consumer awareness. In November 2020, the TVA Board approved new policies and an optional wholesale EV rate aimed at encouraging the development of charging infrastructure in the Valley. The updated policies enable LPC investment in public charging infrastructure and allow for the conditional resale of electricity, for transportation purposes only, by any charging developer on a kWh basis. The optional wholesale rate was developed with high power EV charging in mind and provides a stable option for those developing charging infrastructure.
TVA is also working with state agencies, LPCs, and third-party charging developers to create a network of public fast charging stations along major travel corridors in its seven-state region, known as the Fast Charge Network program. In February 2021, TVA began a partnership with the State of Tennessee to develop funding programs for a statewide EV fast charging network with plans for fast charging stations every 50 miles along Tennessee's interstates and major highways. In March 2021, TVA and five other major utilities formed the Electric Highway Coalition to develop a network of fast charging stations along all major highway routes within their service territories. Since formation, the Electric Highway Coalition has gained additional members committed to coordination on the development of EV charging infrastructure across the central U.S.
Changing Customer Preferences
As more consumers and businesses are demanding cleaner energy, the utility industry is evolving to meet those needs. As TVA also evolves, it will see impacts to the way it does business through the pricing of products, transmission of energy, and development of new products and services for its customers in support of changing customer preferences and its economic development efforts. End-use customers are becoming more technologically sophisticated and want greater control over their energy usage. Many companies are focusing on sustainability and requiring more energy efficiency and renewable energy options. In addition, TVA also seeks to obtain greater amounts of its power supply from clean resources to work towards carbon emission reductions. As a result, TVA is increasing its renewable energy portfolio by investing in existing assets and securing power purchase agreements from out-of-Valley wind and in-Valley solar generation facilities. New utility-scale solar is increasing, in part driven by customers’ demand. TVA also encourages renewable power and offers renewable solutions through various current programs and offerings.
Renewable Power Solutions. TVA encourages renewable power through various current programs and offerings. These solutions include:
Small-scale Solutions . The Green Connect Program, launched in January 2021, connects residential customers interested in on-site solar installations with qualified solar installers.
Mid-scale Solutions . The Flexibility Research Project was a joint pilot project with LPCs to enable solutions for situations where the end-use consumer needs onsite renewable or distributed generation. The Flexibility Research Project ceased accepting new applications in January 2021 as TVA introduced other flexible programs and offerings discussed in this section.
Utility-scale Solutions . The Green Invest Program matches customer demand with renewable supply through a Green Invest Agreement. The goal of the Green Invest program is to meet the long-term sustainability needs of customers at scale. TVA will procure the needed renewable supply through a diversified approach, which could include a competitive procurement process, strategic partnerships, or construction of renewable facilities to meet these needs. In addition, Generation Flexibility is
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a solution available to long-term LPC partners and supports the deployment of up to 2,000 MW of distributed solar to provide clean, local generation. See Ratemaking below.
Other Renewable Solutions. The Green Switch Program allows customers to support wind, solar, and biomass renewable resources through purchasing renewable energy generated in the Tennessee Valley, sold in 200 kWh blocks. The Green Flex Program gives commercial and industrial customers the ability to meet sustainability goals and to make renewable energy claims through RECs from wind generation located outside TVA's service area.
Renewable Power Purchase Agreements . In recent years, TVA has issued request for proposals ("RFP") in order to meet customer preferences and requirements for cleaner energy. As a result of those RFPs, TVA entered into certain PPAs with renewable resource providers, which are summarized below:
Notes
(1) The 2017 RFP consists of four solar PPAs; however one of those projects is not moving forward, and the PPA for that project has been terminated. Of the remaining three projects, one came online in the fourth quarter of 2021, one is expected to come online in 2022, and one is expected to come online in 2023.
(2) The 2019 RFP consists of six solar PPAs, and the projects are expected to come online in 2023.
(3) The 2020 RFP consists of eight solar PPAs. Of these eight projects, six are expected to come online in 2023, one is expected to come online in 2024, and one is expected to come online in 2025.
(4) In addition, the 2019 RFP includes 50 MW of battery storage and the 2020 RFP includes 196 MW of battery storage that are not included in the chart above.
TVA issued an additional RFP during the third quarter of 2021 for up to 200 MW of new renewable energy and anticipates making selections in 2022. TVA will procure the renewable energy and sell the resulting Renewable Energy Certificates ("RECs") to specific customers, allowing TVA to increase its renewable energy portfolio without additional costs to other Tennessee Valley customers. These agreements help to align the core values of TVA and the public power model with the desire of TVA's customers for renewable energy. Of the renewable PPAs above, more than 2,000 MW has been matched to customers through TVA’s Green Invest Program to meet their needs for new-to-the-world renewable energy.
Self-Directed Solar. During 2019, the TVA Board approved the opportunity for TVA to explore being directly involved in the development of a utility-scale solar project, contingent on the successful completion of environmental reviews under NEPA and other applicable laws. A project structure has been developed which will allow TVA to work with financial partners for solar development, and in September 2021, TVA purchased land for this planned 200 MW development. As of September 30, 2021, TVA had spent approximately $24 million on the project and expects to spend an additional $293 million through 2024.
Low-Income Energy Efficiency Programs. Through the Home Uplift Program, TVA is partnering with LPCs, state and local governments, non-profit agencies, energy efficiency advocates, third-party contributors, and the Tennessee Valley Public Power Association ("TVPPA") to complete home evaluations and make high-impact home energy upgrades for qualifying homeowners. In addition, TVA and LPCs conduct workshops to educate homeowners about low and no-cost energy efficiency upgrades that improve their quality of life. Through the School Uplift Program pilot, TVA is partnering with LPCs as well as state and local governments to assist schools with adopting strategic energy management practices. The engagement with each school includes monthly virtual workshops and fosters performance through competitions for energy efficiency grants and grants for solar pavilions. Finally, through the Community Centered Growth Program, TVA is partnering with LPCs to assist small businesses located within underserved communities with energy evaluations and no-cost energy improvement investments.
Automated Energy Exchange Platform
TVA and other utilities across the southeastern U.S. are exploring the creation of an automated energy exchange platform across the region, to facilitate more short-term power exchanges. The energy exchange would be an enhancement to the existing market. The creation of this energy exchange platform requires approval of the FERC, which regulates the transmission and wholesale sale of electricity in interstate commerce. The utilities under full FERC jurisdiction filed for approval of the energy exchange on February 12, 2021, and although not subject to FERC’s jurisdiction with respect to the energy exchange, TVA intervened in support of the FERC proceeding and joined with the other utilities in answering comments offered by interested parties. On May 4, 2021, FERC issued a deficiency letter in which it requested more detail on several aspects of the Southeast Energy Exchange Market ("SEEM"). The utilities under full jurisdiction filed a response on June 7, 2021, in which they provided the detail that FERC requested and also offered several improvements to SEEM. FERC issued a second deficiency letter on August 6, 2021, and the utilities under full jurisdiction filed a response on August 11, 2021. On October 12, 2021, SEEM took effect as a result of a tie vote by FERC commissioners. TVA’s participation will be subject to TVA Board approval and the completion of appropriate environmental reviews. These discussions demonstrate TVA's commitment to seeking new ways to continue to deliver low-cost power to the Tennessee Valley.
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Sustainability Reports
Sustainability has been a critical part of TVA's mission since the TVA Act was signed in 1933 and continues to be a focus in TVA's mission to deliver affordable and reliable energy, steward the environment, and create sustainable economic growth. TVA issued its first Corporate Sustainability Report in 2020, which highlighted the energy, environmental, economic, and societal impacts of TVA's everyday activities. In 2021, TVA continued to highlight its sustainability efforts with issuances of its next Corporate Sustainability Report, a supplemental Carbon Report, and an Edison Electric Institute Environmental, Social, Governance and Sustainability Report, among others.
Strategic Financial Plan
In 2019, the TVA Board approved an annual budget that reflects the first year of a new Strategic Financial Plan. This Strategic Financial Plan, which extends from 2020 through 2030, is flexible in aligning customer preferences and TVA's mission while at the same time establishing a long-term forecast of financial results. Key focus areas of the Strategic Financial Plan include maintaining flat rates, stabilizing debt, establishing alignment between the length of LPC contracts and TVA's long-term commitments, driving efficiencies into the business, and advancing the public power model. As TVA executes the plan, key assumptions and focus areas may change.
In 2021, TVA retained Lazard Frères & Co. LLC ("Lazard"), an international financial advisory and asset management firm, to evaluate TVA’s financial performance from 2014 through 2020 against TVA’s 2014 long-range financial plan ("2014 Plan"). Further, Lazard also reassessed whether the public power model and TVA’s existing business structure are reasonable approaches to support TVA’s mission, consistent with the scope of analysis and findings from Lazard’s 2014 Strategic Assessment Report ("2014 Lazard Report"). In the 2021 report, Lazard concluded that TVA’s financial performance from 2014 through 2020 has been strong when measured against the financial performance objectives as set forth in TVA’s 2014 Plan and the performance of other large utility companies. Lazard also concluded that TVA’s performance in recent years and current positioning suggest that the public power model is a reasonable approach to support TVA’s mission. In addition, the 2021 report reaffirmed that Lazard’s previous conclusions from the 2014 Lazard Report with respect to the benefits and considerations of the public power model compared against alternative business models are still valid today.
Generation Resources
Extreme Flooding Preparedness. Updates to the TVA analytical hydrology model completed in 2009 indicated that under "probable maximum flood" conditions, some of TVA's dams might not have been capable of regulating the higher flood waters. A "probable maximum flood" is an extremely unlikely event; however, TVA has a responsibility to provide protection for its nuclear plants against such events. As a result, TVA installed a series of modifications at four dams.
Since 2009, TVA has performed further hydrology modeling of portions of the TVA watershed using updated modeling tools. The revised hydrology models were reviewed and approved by the NRC for Watts Bar Nuclear Plant ("Watts Bar") Units 1 and 2. However, TVA identified an error in the modeling that will require the models for Watts Bar Units 1 and 2 to be resubmitted. TVA plans to resubmit models for Watts Bar Units 1 and 2 in 2022. In addition, TVA submitted models for Sequoyah Nuclear Plant ("Sequoyah") Units 1 and 2 in 2020. As a result of the recently identified necessary changes to dam stability assumptions, TVA will submit a revision to the Sequoyah model in 2022. TVA will subsequently address conditions at Browns Ferry as needed. As of September 30, 2021, TVA had spent $155 million on the modifications and improvements related to extreme flooding preparedness. TVA is deferring the decision on the need for additional modifications until after the modeling work is complete.
Mitigation of Beyond-Design-Basis Events . NRC rulemaking has been developed to codify the requirements promulgated by orders related to beyond-design-basis events. The NRC Commissioners approved the final rule in 2019. TVA plans to implement the requirements for Sequoyah and Watts Bar by 2022 and for Browns Ferry by 2023. A gap review of the revised rule has been performed, and no new gaps to compliance were identified.
Work Environment at Nuclear Plants. In 2016, the NRC issued a Chilling Effect Letter ("CEL") to TVA regarding work environment concerns identified at Watts Bar. In the mid-cycle assessment letter issued in 2018, the NRC issued a Cross Cutting Issue in safety conscious work environment ("CCI") and outlined the closure criteria for both the CEL and CCI. In October 2019, TVA informed the NRC of its CEL and CCI closure criteria readiness, and the NRC completed its inspection, resulting in no additional findings with progress noted as documented in its December 2019 inspection report. In March 2020, the NRC issued its Annual Assessment Letter for Watts Bar noting TVA's progress in addressing the CEL and CCI while stating that the NRC continues to monitor TVA's activities as they deliberate on the appropriate time to close the CEL and CCI. In February 2021, the NRC issued a letter to TVA closing the CEL. In the March 2021 Annual Assessment Letter for Watts Bar, the NRC also closed the CCI.
Apparent Violations of NRC Regulations . On March 2, 2020, the NRC issued a letter to TVA identifying four apparent violations of NRC regulations that prohibit licensees from retaliating against employees for their having raised protected nuclear safety concerns. In June 2020, TVA participated in a pre-decisional enforcement conference before the NRC, and in August 2020, the NRC issued violations to TVA and a notice of proposed imposition of civil penalties in an amount less than $1 million.
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TVA submitted a written response to the NRC that denied the violations and opposed the imposition of civil penalties. In October 2020, the NRC issued an order imposing civil penalties in an amount less than $1 million. In November 2020, TVA responded to the NRC, opposing the order and civil penalty and requesting an evidentiary hearing before the NRC's Atomic Safety and Licensing Board ("ASLB"). In August 2021, TVA filed two Motions for Summary Disposition with the ASLB seeking to have the four violations dismissed. In September 2021, the NRC Staff filed a response to TVA's Motions for Summary Disposition. The ASLB held oral argument on TVA's Motions for Summary Disposition on October 14, 2021. On November 3, 2021, the ASLB granted summary disposition on three of the four violations and in part on the fourth violation. On November 8, 2021, the NRC notified TVA that it was rescinding all four violations, and the NRC and TVA jointly filed a motion to terminate the enforcement proceeding. On November 10, 2021, the ASLB granted this motion.
On March 9, 2020, the NRC issued a letter to TVA identifying twelve apparent violations of NRC regulations: six relating to operational activities and six relating to NRC regulations governing the completeness and accuracy of information. TVA participated in a pre-decisional enforcement conference before the NRC in July 2020, and in November 2020, the NRC issued five violations to TVA and a notice of proposed imposition of civil penalties in an amount less than $1 million. TVA submitted a written response to the NRC violations in December 2020, accepting the violations in part and denying them in part, and requesting a reduction of the civil penalties consistent with the denial. On July 23, 2021, the NRC issued final determinations imposing reduced civil penalties in an amount less than $1 million. In August 2021, TVA accepted this final result and paid the civil penalty.
Tritium-Producing Burnable Absorber Rods. TVA was a cooperating agency in the 2016 Department of Energy ("DOE") Final Supplemental Environmental Impact Statement for the Production of Tritium in a Commercial Light Water Reactor. In 2017, due to an anticipated need for more tritium-producing burnable absorber rods ("TPBARs"), the DOE announced its preferred alternative for irradiation services, which included use of an additional reactor. As a result of TVA's assessment of and concurrence with the DOE's alternative, TVA submitted a license amendment request ("LAR") to the NRC to authorize the irradiation of TPBARs in Watts Bar Unit 2. The NRC approved the request in 2019, and TVA began tritium production in Watts Bar Unit 2 in November 2020. The DOE's decision also allows for irradiation of TPBARs at Sequoyah in the future; however, TVA does not have plans to employ Sequoyah units for tritium production in the near term. TVA does intend to increase its production in Watts Bar Unit 1, which has provided irradiation services since 2003, beginning in November 2024, to align with a DOE request for increased tritium. TVA is currently working to submit a LAR with the NRC to fulfill this request.
Extended Power Uprate . TVA has undertaken an extended power uprate ("EPU") project at Browns Ferry to increase the amount of electrical generation capacity of its reactors. The license for each reactor was amended to allow reactor operation at the higher power level. The Browns Ferry EPU license amendments were approved by the NRC in 2017, following a nearly two-year review.
The project involved extensive engineering analyses and modification and replacement of certain existing plant components to enable the units to produce the additional power requested by the license amendments. Physical work on all units was completed in 2019. The generating capacity was validated through operation of all units for four seasons, completion of additional testing, and issuance of related engineering memos. The project had a total cost of $457 million and increased nuclear summer net capability by approximately 353 MW.
Watts Bar Unit 2. During the refueling outage in the first quarter of 2021, TVA identified degraded steam generator conditions on Watts Bar Unit 2. Based on a continued operational assessment, TVA submitted a License Amendment Request that supported unit operation until September 2021, which was approved by the NRC in June 2021. A project team was put in place to ensure operational assessments, analysis work, and regulatory interface occurred to allow for a safe and efficient mid-cycle steam generator inspection. Watts Bar Unit 2 remained at 90 percent of rated output until assessments were complete and the mid-cycle outage began in September 2021. The mid-cycle outage concluded in October 2021 and focused on an inspection protocol with multiple contingency repair strategies such that safe and reliable operation can be assured until the permanent steam generator replacement occurs. Watts Bar Unit 2 will remain below 95 percent of rated output until the permanent replacement occurs, which is projected for March 2022.
Plant Closures. Results of assessments performed at Paradise and Bull Run were presented to the TVA Board at its February 2019 meeting. The TVA Board approved the retirement of Paradise Unit 3 by December 2020 and Bull Run by December 2023. Subsequent to the TVA Board approval, TVA determined that Paradise would not be restarted after January 2020 due to the plant's material condition. Paradise Unit 3 was taken offline on February 1, 2020, effectively retiring the plant. See Note 7 — Plant Closures .
Optimum Energy Portfolio . TVA must continuously evaluate all generating assets to ensure an optimal energy portfolio that provides safe, clean, and reliable power while maintaining flexibility and fiscal responsibility to the people of the Tennessee Valley. During 2019, the TVA Board approved the Integrated Resource Plan, which recommended an action to evaluate the engineering end-of-life of aging fossil units. TVA’s recent evaluation confirms that the aging coal fleet is among the oldest in the nation and is experiencing deterioration of material condition and performance challenges. The performance challenges are projected to increase due to the coal fleet’s advancing age and the difficulty of adapting the coal fleet’s generation within the changing generation profile. Additionally, the coal fleet is contributing to environmental, economic, and reliability risks. Therefore, TVA is evaluating the impact of retiring the balance of the coal-fired fleet by 2035. TVA is also considering plans for
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additional generating facilities to replace retiring or expiring capacity and to support a low cost, reliable, flexible, and increasingly clean power system.
TVA will prepare environmental reviews pursuant to the National Environmental Policy Act ("NEPA") prior to retiring or building a plant. Environmental reviews evaluating the potential retirement of the Cumberland Fossil Plant ("Cumberland") and Kingston Fossil Plant ("Kingston") and replacement with other generation are now underway. In addition, on November 10, 2021, the TVA Board authorized the CEO to evaluate, decide upon, and complete, if necessary, the retirements of Cumberland and Kingston plants and replacement generation projects, subject to complying with all required environmental reviews, periodically updating the TVA Board on plans and actions, and notifying the TVA Board before making final decisions. The TVA Board approved a budget of up to $3.5 billion for these projects.
Decarbonization . TVA seeks to obtain greater amounts of its power supply from clean resources to work towards carbon emission reductions and is making investments in its generating portfolio to modernize the fleet while also allowing TVA to maintain competitive rates and high reliability. In addition, TVA's sixth transformative initiative, decarbonization, commenced in 2022 and is aimed at understanding and applying clean resources to support the reduction of carbon emissions from its power supply. Related to its carbon reduction efforts, TVA has established six guiding principles which are as follows:
• Prioritize the needs of Valley stakeholders as TVA works to achieve its goals by maintaining low rates and high reliability, and attracting new jobs in the Valley.
• Use best-available science and support research and policies that further carbon-free dispatchable technologies.
• Partner with long-term LPCs and other customers and communities to support economy-wide decarbonization efforts and the strategic electrification of other sectors, such as transportation.
• Maintain nuclear generation, hydro generation, and a strong transmission grid as key enabling assets.
• Be transparent with stakeholders in measuring and sharing TVA's progress, and listen and work effectively with all its stakeholders to understand their priorities and needs.
• Adapt to new technologies and changing policies, and be willing and open to changing TVA's plans and projects to achieve deep carbon reduction.
Natural Gas-Fired Units. During 2019, the TVA Board approved an expansion of approximately 1,500 MW of peaking gas replacement capacity at two combustion turbine gas facilities to coincide with the retirement of Allen combustion turbine units 1-20 and Johnsonville combustion turbine units 1-16, contingent on the successful completion of environmental reviews under NEPA and other applicable laws. In 2020, detailed design and engineering work began at TVA’s Paradise and Colbert sites to further scope out the projects and supply information needed for the NEPA review. In July 2021, environmental reviews under NEPA and other applicable laws were complete, and TVA received the air permits for the Paradise and Colbert facilities in August 2021 and September 2021, respectively. Each project is expected to increase combustion turbine generation capacity by 750 MW at a cost not to exceed approximately $503 million per project. As of September 30, 2021 , TVA had spent approximately $325 million on these expansions for the design and engineering work and for long lead time equipment that could be used at any site. TVA expects to spend an additional $681 million on these expansions and expects both projects to enter commercial operations by the end of CY 2023.
During 2019, the TVA Board approved approximately 500 MW for an aeroderivative combustion turbine project, at a cost not to exceed $499 million, contingent on the successful completion of environmental reviews under NEPA and other applicable laws. In 2020, detailed design and engineering work began at TVA’s Johnsonville site to further scope out the project and supply information needed for the NEPA review. As of September 30, 2021, TVA had spent approximately $103 million on the design and engineering work and for long lead time equipment that could be used at any site. TVA expects to spend an additional $396 million on these expansions and expects the project to enter commercial operations by the end of CY 2024.
Coal Combustion Residuals Facilities . TVA has committed to a programmatic approach for the elimination of wet storage of coal combustion residuals ("CCR") within the TVA service area. Under this program ("CCR Program"), TVA performed stability remediation, completed the conversion of all operational coal-fired plants to dry CCR storage, and is now closing all remaining wet storage facilities.
Dry generation and dewatering projects . Conversion of coal plant CCR wet processes to dry generation or dewatering is complete at Bull Run, Shawnee Fossil Plant ("Shawnee"), and Kingston. Construction at Gallatin Fossil Plant ("Gallatin") was completed during 2020. Construction of dewatering and dry generation facilities at Cumberland was completed in the second quarter of 2021.
Landfills . TVA has made strategic decisions to build and maintain lined and permitted dry storage facilities on TVA-owned property at some TVA locations, allowing these facilities to operate beyond existing dry storage capacity. Lined and permitted landfills are completed and operational at Bull Run, Kingston, Gallatin, and Shawnee; construction of a lined and
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permitted landfill at Cumberland is expected to start in 2022; and TVA is designing and permitting a new landfill at Gallatin. TVA has withdrawn its permit applications for a new lined landfill at Bull Run and has stopped construction of a permitted lined landfill expansion at Kingston until TVA can determine its need for these landfills with certainty. Construction of additional lined and dry storage facilities may occur to support future business requirements.
Wet CCR impoundment closures . TVA is working to close wet CCR impoundments in accordance with federal and state requirements. Closure project schedules and costs are driven by the selected closure methodology (such as closure-in-place or closure-by-removal). Closure initiation dates are driven by environmental regulations. TVA's predominant closure methodology is closure-in-place, with exceptions at certain facilities. TVA issued an environmental impact statement ("EIS") in June 2016 that addresses the closure of CCR impoundments at TVA's coal-fired plants. TVA issued its associated Record of Decision in July 2016. Although the EIS was designed to be programmatic in order to address the mode of impoundment closures, it specifically addressed closure methods at 10 impoundments. TVA subsequently decided to close those impoundments. The method of final closure for each of these facilities will depend on various factors, including approval by appropriate state regulators. Additional site-specific NEPA studies will be conducted as other facilities are designated for closure. See Note 13 — Asset Retirement Obligations .
Groundwater monitoring . Compliance with the Environmental Protection Agency's ("EPA's") CCR rule ("CCR Rule") required implementation of a groundwater monitoring program, additional engineering, and ongoing analysis. As further analyses are performed, including evaluation of monitoring results, there is the potential for additional costs for investigation and/or remediation. These costs cannot reasonably be predicted until a final remedy is selected, if necessary.
The final Part A revision to the CCR Rule became effective September 28, 2020. Among other things, the final Part A rule requires unlined CCR surface impoundments to stop receiving CCR and non-CCR wastestreams and to initiate closure or retrofit by no later than April 11, 2021. TVA ceased sending CCR and non-CCR wastestreams to, and initiated closure of, unlined CCR surface impoundments by the specified deadline.
In compliance with the CCR Rule, TVA published the results of 2020 groundwater testing at its CCR facilities during the second quarter of 2021. The results included values above groundwater protection standards for some constituents at certain CCR units. TVA previously identified several CCR units with constituents at statistically significant levels above site-specific groundwater protection standards. TVA has completed an assessment of corrective measures (“ACM”), which analyzes the effectiveness of potential corrective actions, and has published ACM reports to its CCR Rule Compliance Data and Information website. Based on the results of the ACM, TVA is required to select a remedy as soon as feasible. TVA continues to investigate and evaluate remedies and will continue posting semi-annual progress reports on the status of remedy selection until the final remedy is selected.
As of September 30, 2021, TVA had spent approximately $2.3 billion on its CCR Program. TVA expects to spend an additional $789 million on the CCR Program through 2026. These estimates may change depending on the final closure method selected for each facility. While the conversion portion of the CCR Program is completed, TVA will continue to undertake CCR closure and storage projects, including building new landfill cells under existing permits and closing existing cells once they reach capacity.
TVA was involved in two lawsuits concerning the CCR facilities at Gallatin. One of these cases was decided in TVA's favor by the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Sixth Circuit, and the other case was resolved by the entry of a consent order in Davidson County Chancery Court that became effective July 24, 2019. Under the consent order, TVA agreed to close the existing wet ash impoundments by removal, either to an onsite landfill or to an offsite facility. TVA may also consider options for beneficial reuse of the CCR. TVA has submitted the removal plan to the Tennessee Department of Environment and Conservation ("TDEC") and other applicable parties pursuant to the consent order. See Note 13 — Asset Retirement Obligations .
In October 2019, TDEC released amendments to its regulations which govern solid waste disposal facilities, including TVA's active CCR facilities covered by a solid waste disposal permit and those which closed pursuant to a TDEC approved closure plan. Such facilities are generally subject to a 30-year post-closure care period during which the owner or operator must undertake certain activities, including monitoring and maintaining the facility. The amendments, among other things, add an additional 50-year period after the end of the post-closure care period, require TVA to submit recommendations as to what activities must be performed during this 50-year period to protect human health and the environment, and require TVA to submit revised closure plans every 10 years.
Allen Groundwater Investigation . The CCR Rule required TVA to implement a comprehensive groundwater monitoring program at units subject to the rule. As a result of this groundwater monitoring program, TVA reported to TDEC in 2017 elevated levels of arsenic, lead, and fluoride in groundwater samples collected from two shallow-aquifer groundwater monitoring wells around the Allen East Ash Disposal Area. TVA, under the oversight of TDEC, conducted a remedial investigation into the nature and extent of the contamination. In 2018, TVA submitted a draft Remedial Investigation Report to TDEC which was revised after discussions with TDEC and additional investigation. TVA submitted the Final Updated Remedial Investigation Report to TDEC in 2019.
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The remedial investigation confirmed that the high arsenic, fluoride, and lead concentrations are limited to the shallow alluvial aquifer in the north and south areas of the Allen East Ash Disposal Area. These areas are not adversely impacting the Memphis aquifer, which is the source of the public drinking water supply. All samples taken from the Memphis aquifer through TVA production wells were below the EPA drinking water standards. As the result of a pumping test conducted on TVA production wells at the nearby Allen Combined Cycle Plant ("Allen CC") by the United States Geological Survey and the University of Memphis, TVA is committed to not operating these production wells until additional data supports safe use. TVA constructed water tanks on site and is purchasing cooling water from MLGW. The use of water tanks rather than the wells may impose some operational restrictions on the Allen CC due to the lower availability of cooling water.
TVA is taking steps to remediate the groundwater at the East Ash Disposal Area. The Interim Response Action Plan includes a groundwater extraction system and a groundwater treatment system. TVA will also continue to dewater the East Ash Disposal Area and treat the water before it is discharged to the NPDES outfall. A feasibility study to evaluate remedial actions for the site was submitted to TDEC on September 4, 2020. A virtual public meeting to present the Interim Response Action as the Proposed Plan for the site was held on November 17, 2020. The public was invited to review the remediation documents and encouraged to comment on the Proposed Plan during the public comment period. TVA submitted the public comments along with responses to TDEC for consideration. After considering public comments, TDEC signed the Record of Decision on August 16, 2021. TVA has also prepared a Remedial Action Plan ("RAP") to move forward with the remediation at the site. The RAP has been submitted to TDEC for review and approval.
TVA's Remedial Investigation/Interim Response Action Groundwater Monitoring Plan is reviewed and modified annually. The 2021 Remedial Investigation/Interim Response Action Groundwater Monitoring Plan was submitted to TDEC on April 1, 2021. TVA continues to sample the monitoring wells at the site as described by the plan quarterly. TVA prepares a memorandum after each quarterly event and prepares an annual report to evaluate the sampling results. The 2020 Remedial Investigation/Interim Response Action Groundwater Monitoring Report was submitted to TDEC on March 31, 2021.
TVA has evaluated closure options for the Allen East Ash Disposal Area, as well as the nearby West Ash Impoundment, through an EIS pursuant to NEPA. In March 2019, TVA released its public scoping report, which eliminated closure-in-place as an alternative. TVA published the final EIS on March 13, 2020 and its Record of Decision on April 14, 2020, which documents the final decision regarding the closure method for the CCR units at the Allen Fossil Plant. TVA has decided to remove CCR from the above identified areas and transport the CCR to an existing permitted offsite landfill. TVA conducted two virtual public outreach meetings, one on September 22, 2021 and the other on September 30, 2021, to discuss the project and selected landfill.
Potential Liability Associated with Workers' Exposure to CCR Materials. In response to the 2008 ash spill at Kingston, TVA hired Jacobs Engineering Group, Inc. ("Jacobs") to oversee certain aspects of the cleanup. After the cleanup was completed, Jacobs was sued in the U.S. District Court for the Eastern District of Tennessee ("Eastern District") by employees of a contractor involved in the cleanup and family members of some of the employees. The plaintiffs alleged that Jacobs had failed to take or provide proper health precautions and misled workers about the health risks associated with exposure to coal fly ash, which is a CCR material. The plaintiffs alleged that exposure to the fly ash caused a variety of significant health issues and illnesses, including in some cases death. The case was split into two phases, with the first phase considering, among other issues, general causation and the second determining specific causation and damages. On November 7, 2018, a jury hearing the first phase returned a verdict in favor of the plaintiffs, including determinations that Jacobs failed to adhere to its contract with TVA or the Site Wide Safety and Health Plan; Jacobs failed to provide reasonable care to the plaintiffs; and Jacobs's failures were capable of causing a list of medical conditions, ranging from hypertension to cancer. On January 11, 2019, the Eastern District referred the parties to mediation. Mediation has concluded, but the parties did not resolve the matter. On August 24, 2021, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Sixth Circuit accepted Jacobs's petition for interim appeal on issues relating to the availability of derivative governmental immunity as a defense to the plaintiffs' claims. On September 29, 2021, the Eastern District certified four questions to the Tennessee Supreme Court regarding the applicability of the Tennessee Silicosis Claims Priority Act to the plaintiffs' claims. The Eastern District's order also stayed all proceedings pending the Tennessee Supreme Court's decision. If the litigation proceeds to the second phase, the principal question for resolution will be whether Jacobs's breaches were the specific medical cause of the plaintiffs' alleged injuries and damages. No trial date has been set for the second phase.
Other contractor employees and family members have filed lawsuits against Jacobs that are pending in the Eastern District. These pending lawsuits are stayed and raise similar claims to those being litigated in the case referenced above.
While TVA is not a party to any of these lawsuits, TVA may potentially have an indemnity obligation to reimburse Jacobs for some amounts that Jacobs is required to pay. TVA will continue monitoring the litigation to determine whether these or similar cases could have broader implications for the utility industry. TVA does not expect any potential liability to have a material adverse impact on its results of operations or financial condition. See Note 23 — Commitments and Contingencies.
Coal Supply. TVA experienced challenges in 2021 related to coal supply, as a result of supply limitation and transportation challenges. In addition, in October 2021, one of TVA's coal handling service providers experienced an event that damaged a number of systems and resulted in the inability to unload trains for a period of time. This service provider is a transfer point for two of TVA's plants. TVA immediately identified and put in place mitigation actions, including shifting to
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alternative terminals, to ensure the availability of supply; however, these alternative terminals could affect plant operations due to lower offsite coal blending options, available inventory capacity, and longer lead times as a result of location. TVA will continue to monitor the situation and respond to potential risks as the situation evolves.
River Management . Rainfall and runoff in the Tennessee Valley in 2021 were 123 percent and 121 percent of normal, respectively. Above normal rainfall and runoff have continued to help TVA meet its river system commitments, including managing minimum river flows and minimum depths for navigation, generating low-cost hydroelectric power, maintaining flows that support habitat for fish and other aquatic species, maintaining water supply, and providing recreational opportunities for the Tennessee Valley. In addition, having cool water available helps TVA to meet thermal compliance and support normal operation of TVA's nuclear and fossil-fueled plants, while oxygenating water helps fish species remain healthy.
Aquatic Vegetation. In 2020, the unprecedented growth and breakaway of aquatic vegetation in Wheeler Lake challenged the Browns Ferry intake structures and impacted the source of cooling water for the plant. Two units were removed from operation and power was reduced on the third unit to accommo
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