Item 1A. Risk Factors
Item 1A. Risk Factors
Information regarding risk and uncertainties related to our business appears in Part I, Item 1A. “Risk Factors” of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2022, which was filed with the SEC on February 28, 2023. There have been no material changes from the risk factors previously disclosed in the Annual Report on Form 10-K, other than set forth below.
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Risks Related to Regulatory and Compliance Matters
Our products might fail to meet their primary endpoints in clinical trials, meaning that we will not have the clinical data required to support regulatory approvals.
The steps generally required by the FDA before our proposed investigational products may be marketed in the U.S. include:
• performance of preclinical (animal and laboratory) tests;
• submission to the FDA of an Investigational New Drug Application, which must become effective before clinical trials may commence;
• performance of adequate and well controlled clinical trials to establish the safety and efficacy of the investigational product in the intended target population;
• performance of a consistent and reproducible manufacturing process at commercial scale capable of passing FDA inspection;
• submission to the FDA of a Biologics License Application (“BLA”) or a New Drug Application; and
• FDA approval of the BLA or NDA before any commercial sale or shipment of the product.
Clinical trials that we undertake in other countries will be subject to similar or equivalent processes and requirements. In Europe, as well as an authorization for the clinical trial itself, it is necessary to obtain the consent of a local ethics committee for each clinical trial site and to provide for publication specific information about the clinical trial and its outcome. If endpoints are not met, this information will be made publicly available and could be damaging to the reputation of the Company.
These processes are expensive and can take many years to complete, and we may not be able to demonstrate the safety, purity, potency and efficacy of our vaccine candidates to the satisfaction of regulatory authorities. The start of clinical trials can be delayed or take longer than anticipated for many and varied reasons, many of which are out of our control. Safety concerns may emerge that could lengthen the ongoing clinical trials or require additional clinical trials to be conducted. Promising results in earl y clinical trials may not be replicated in subsequent clinical trials. For example, the first batch of top line results from our Phase 2 CIC clinical trial evaluating safety and immunogenicity of different formulations of CIC and influenza stand-alone vaccine candidates, may not be consistent with top line results from subsequent batches in such trial. Regulatory authorities may also require additional testing, and we may be required to demonstrate that our proposed products represent an improved form of treatment over existing therapies, which we may be unable to do without conducting further clinical trials. Moreover, if a regulatory authority grants regulatory approval of a product, the approval may be limited to specific indications or limited with respect to its distribution. Expanded or additional indications for approved products may not be approved, which could limit our revenue. Foreign regulatory authorities may apply similar limitations or may refuse to grant any approval. Consequently, even if we believe that preclinical and clinical data are sufficient to support regulatory approval for our vaccine candidates, the FDA and foreign regulatory authorities ultimately may not grant approval for commercial sale in their applicable jurisdiction, or may impose regulatory requirements that make further pursuit of approval uneconomical in one or more jurisdictions. If our vaccine candidates are not approved, our ability to generate revenue will be limited, and our business will be adversely affected.
Risks Related to our Intellectual Property
Our success depends on our ability to maintain the proprietary nature of our technology.
Our success in large part depends on our ability to maintain the proprietary nature of our technology and other trade secrets. To do so, we must prosecute and maintain existing patents, obtain new patents and pursue trade secret and other intellectual property protection. We also must operate without infringing the proprietary rights of third-parties or allowing third-parties to infringe our rights. We currently have or have rights to over 560 U.S. and foreign patents and patent applications covering our technologies. However, patent issues relating to pharmaceuticals and biologics involve complex legal, scientific and factual questions. To date, no consistent policy has emerged regarding the breadth of biotechnology patent claims that are granted by the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office or enforced by the federal courts. Therefore, we do not know whether any particular patent applications will result in the issuance of patents, or that any patents issued to us will provide us with any competitive advantage. We also cannot be sure that we will develop additional proprietary products that are patentable. Furthermore, there is a risk that others will independently develop or duplicate similar technology or products or circumvent the patents issued to us.
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Although our patent filings include claims covering various features of our vaccine candidates, including composition, methods of manufacture and use, our patents do not provide us with complete protection against the development of competing products. Some of our know-how and technology is not patentable. To protect our proprietary rights in unpatentable intellectual property and trade secrets, we require employees, consultants, advisors and collaborators to enter into confidentiality agreements. These agreements may not provide meaningful protection for our trade secrets, know-how or other proprietary information, which risk has been enhanced by the departure of employees in connection with our global restructuring restructuring and cost reduction plan.
Our vaccine candidates could become subject to a product recall which could harm our reputation, business, and financial results.
The FDA and similar foreign governmental authorities have the authority to require the recall of certain vaccine candidates. Manufacturers may, under their own initiative, recall a product if any material deficiency in a product is found. A government-mandated or voluntary recall by us or our strategic collaborators could occur as a result of manufacturing errors, design or labeling defects or other deficiencies and issues. For example, we have extended a credit of $64.7 million under the Australia APA for a single lot of NVX-CoV2373 doses sold to the Australian government that upon pre-planned 6-month stability testing was found to have fallen below the defined specifications and the lot was therefore removed from the market. Recalls of any of our vaccines or vaccine candidates would divert managerial and financial resources and have an adverse effect on our financial condition and results of operations. In addition, a recall announcement could harm our reputation with customers and negatively affect our sales, if any.
Risks Related to Employee Matters, Managing Growth and Information Technology
Given our current cash position and cash flow forecast, and significant uncertainties related to 2023 revenue, funding from the U.S. government, and our pending arbitration with Gavi, substantial doubt exists regarding our ability to continue as a going concern through one year from the date that the financial statements included in this Quarterly Report were issued.
Our management must evaluate whether there are conditions or events, considered in the aggregate, that raise substantial doubt about our ability to continue as a going concern within one year after the date the financial statements are issued. At March 31, 2023, we had $636.9 million in cash and cash equivalents and restricted cash. During the three months ended March 31, 2023, we incurred a net loss of $293.9 million and had net cash flows used in operating activities of $325.6 million.
While our current cash flow forecast for the one-year going concern look forward period estimates that we have sufficient capital available to fund operations, this forecast is subject to significant uncertainty, including as it relates to the following:
• Revenue : Our near-term revenue depends on our ability to successfully develop, manufacture, distribute, or market an updated monovalent or bivalent formulation of a vaccine candidate for COVID-19 for the Fall 2023 COVID vaccine season, which is inherently uncertain and subject to a number of risks, including regulatory approvals and commercial adoption. We experienced delays in early 2023 in manufacturing our BA.5 clinical trial materials, which has the potential to delay regulatory approval from the FDA for our vaccine candidate for the Fall 2023 COVID vaccine season. In addition, in January 2023, the U.S. Vaccines and Related Biologics Products Advisory Committee announced its intent to provide the industry with its strain protocol guidance in the second quarter of 2023 for the Fall 2023 COVID vaccine season. To meet potential demand for Fall 2023, we have begun manufacturing an updated COVID-19 variant strain-containing formulation prior to the availability of strain protocol guidance. If such formulation is not consistent with the strain protocol guidance, we will not be able to deliver the appropriate vaccine to our customers in sufficient quantities for the Fall 2023 COVID vaccine season and we will have incurred significant costs for a formulation that we will be unable to sell.
• Funding from the U.S. Government: Our USG Agreement will expire by its terms in December 2023. We had anticipated that the U.S. government would extend the USG Agreement until the full $1.8 billion authorized amount had been realized. In February 2023, in connection with the execution of Modification 17 to the USG Agreement, the U.S. government indicated to us that the award may not be extended past its current period of performance. If the USG Agreement is not amended, as we had previously expected, then we may not receive all of the remaining $ 336.4 million in funding we had previously anticipated pursuant to the USG Agreement.
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• Pending Arbitration: On January 24, 2023, Gavi filed a demand for arbitration with the International Court of Arbitration regarding an alleged material breach by us of the Gavi APA. The outcome of that arbitration is inherently uncertain, and it is possible we could be required to refund all or a portion of the remaining advance payments of $ 697.4 million. See Note 3 and Note 15 to our consolidated financial statements in Part I, Item 1, “Financial Information” of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for additional information related to the arbitration with Gavi.
Management believes that, given the significance of these uncertainties, substantial doubt exists regarding our ability to continue as a going concern through one year from the date that these financial statements are issued.
Our ability to fund Company operations is dependent upon revenue related to vaccine sales for our products and product candidates, if such product candidates receive marketing approval and are successfully commercialized; the resolution of certain matters, including whether, when, and how the dispute with Gavi is resolved; and management’s plans, which include resolving the dispute with Gavi and cost reductions associated with the restructuring of our global footprint. Management’s plans may also include raising additional capital through a combination of equity and debt financing, collaborations, strategic alliances, and marketing, distribution, or licensing arrangements. In May 2023, we announced a global restructuring and cost reduction plan. This plan includes a more focused investment in our NVX-CoV2373 program, reduction to our pipeline spending, the continued rationalization of our manufacturing network, a reduction to our global workforce, as well as the consolidation of facilities and infrastructure. New financings may not be available to us on commercially acceptable terms, or at all. Also, any collaborations, strategic alliances, and marketing, distribution, or licensing arrangements may require us to give up some or all of our rights to a product or technology, which in some cases may be at less than the full potential value of such rights. In addition, the regulatory and commercial success of NVX-CoV2373 and our other vaccine candidates, including an influenza vaccine candidate, CIC vaccine candidate, or a COVID-19 variant strain-containing monovalent or bivalent formulation, remains uncertain. If we are unable to obtain additional capital, we will assess our capital resources and may be required to delay, reduce the scope of, or eliminate some or all of our operations, or downsize our organization, any of which may have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations, and ability to operate as a going concern.
Our announced global restructuring and cost reduction plan may not result in anticipated reductions in combined research and development and selling, general, and administrative expenses and may disrupt our business.
In May 2023, we announced a global restructuring and cost reduction plan. This plan includes a more focused investment in our NVX-CoV2373 program, reduction to our pipeline spending, the continued rationalization of our manufacturing network, a reduction to our global workforce, as well as the consolidation of facilities and infrastructure. The planned workforce reduction includes an approximately 25% reduction in our global workforce, comprised of an approximately 20% reduction in full-time Novavax employees and the remainder comprised of contractors and consultants. We expect the full annual impact of the cost savings to be realized in 2024 and approximately half of the annual impact to be realized in 2023 due to timing of implementing the measures, and the applicable laws, regulations, and other factors in the jurisdictions in which we operate. We expect to record a charge of approximately $10 million to $15 million related to one-time employee severance and benefit costs, the majority of which is expected to be incurred in the second quarter of 2023 and are evaluating the anticipated costs related to the consolidation of facilities and infrastructure. We may not realize, in full or in part, the anticipated benefits, savings and improvements in our cost structure from these efforts due to unforeseen difficulties, delays or unexpected costs. If we are unable to realize the potential development progress and cost savings from the global restructuring and cost reduction plan, including the reduction to our global workforce, our business strategy, operating results and financial condition would be adversely affected. Our workforce reductions could yield unanticipated consequences, such as attrition beyond planned workforce reductions or disruptions in our day-to-day operations. Our global restructuring and cost reduction plan, including the reduction to our global workforce, could also harm our ability to attract and retain qualified management and development personnel who are critical to our business. If we are unable to realize the expected benefits from the restructuring and cost reduction plan, we may decide to undertake additional workforce reductions.
If we are unable to attract or retain key management or other personnel, our business, operating results and financial condition could be materially adversely affected.
We depend on our senior executive officers, as well as key scientific and other personnel. The loss of these individuals or our failure to implement an appropriate succession plan could harm our business and significantly delay or prevent the achievement of research, development or business objectives. Turnover in key executive positions resulting in lack of management continuity and long-term history with our Company could result in operational and administrative inefficiencies and added costs. These risks have increased since our global restructuring and cost reduction plan and related workforce reduction implemented in May 2023, which increased the risk that we will lose technical know-how or other trade secrets as experienced personnel depart.
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We may not be able to attract qualified individuals for key positions on terms acceptable to us. Competition for qualified employees is intense among pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies, and the loss of qualified employees, or an inability to attract, retain and motivate additional highly skilled employees could hinder our ability to complete clinical trials successfully and otherwise develop marketable products.
We also rely from time to time on outside advisors who assist us in formulating our research and development and clinical strategy. We may not be able to attract and retain these individuals on acceptable terms, which could delay our development efforts.
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Item 6. Exhibits
3.1 Second Amended and Restated Certificate of Incorporation of the Company (Incorporated by reference to Exhibit 3.1 to the Company’s Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2015, filed on August 10, 2015 (File No. 000-26770))
3.2 Certificate of Amendment to the Second Amended and Restated Certificate of Incorporation of the Company (Incorporated by reference to Exhibit 3.1 to the Registrant’s Current Report on Form 8-K filed on May 9, 2019 (File No. 000-26770))
3.3 Amended and Restated By-Laws of the Company (Incorporated by reference to Exhibit 3.1 to the Company’s Current Report on Form 8-K filed on April 4, 2023 (File No. 000-26770))
3.4 Certificate of Designation of Series A Convertible Preferred Stock of the Company (Incorporated by reference to Exhibit 3.1 to the Company’s Current Report on Form 8-K filed June 19, 2020 (File No. 000- 26770))
10.1*± Modification No. 17 to Undefinitized Project Agreement No. 1, dated February 6, 2023, between the Company and Advanced Technology International
10.2 Employment Agreement between the Company and John C. Jacobs, dated as of January 5, 2023 (Incorporated by reference to Exhibit 10.18 to the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2022, filed on February 28, 2023 (File No. 000-26770))
10.3 Consulting and Advisory Agreement between the Company and Stanley C. Erck, dated as of January 5, 2023 (Incorporated by reference to Exhibit 10.20 to the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2022, filed on February 28, 2023 (File No. 000-26770))
10.4* Consulting and Advisory Agreement between the Company and Dr. Gregory M. Glenn, dated as of March 20, 2023
10.5 Novavax, Inc. 2023 Inducement Plan (Incorporated by reference to Exhibit 10.1 to the Company’s Current Report on Form 8-K, filed on January 9, 2023 (File No. 000-26770))
10.6 Form of Non-Statutory Stock Option Agreement under the Novavax, Inc. 2023 Inducement Plan (Incorporated by reference to Exhibit 10.2 to the Company’s Current Report on Form 8-K, filed on January 9, 2023 (File No. 000-26770))
10.7 Form of Restricted Stock Unit Award Agreement under the Novavax, Inc. 2023 Inducement Plan (Incorporated by reference to Exhibit 10.3 to the Company’s Current Report on Form 8-K, filed on January 9, 2023 (File No. 000-26770))
31.1* Certification of Chief Executive Officer pursuant to Rule 13a-14(a) or 15d-14(e) of the Securities Exchange Act
31.2* Certification of Chief Financial Officer pursuant to Rule 13a-14(a) or 15d-14(e) of the Securities Exchange Act
32.1* Certification of Chief Executive Officer pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, as adopted pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002
32.2* Certification of Chief Financial Officer pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, as adopted pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002
101 The following financial information from our Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2023, formatted in Inline Extensible Business Reporting Language (Inline XBRL): (i) the Consolidated Statements of Operations for the three-month periods ended March 31, 2023 and 2022, (ii) the Consolidated Statements of Comprehensive Income (Loss) for the three-month periods ended March 31, 2023 and 2022, (iii) the Consolidated Balance Sheets as of March 31, 2023 and December 31, 2022, (iv) the Consolidated Statements of Changes in Stockholders’ Equity (Deficit) for the three-month periods ended March 31, 2023 and 2022, (v) the Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows for the three-month periods ended March 31, 2023 and 2022, and (vi) the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.
104 Cover Page Interactive Data File (formatted as Inline XBRL and contained in Exhibit 101).
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* Filed or furnished herewith.
± Certain portions of this exhibit have been omitted pursuant to Item 601(b)(10)(iv) of Regulation S-K.
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SIGNATURES
Pursuant to the requirements of Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized.
NOVAVAX, INC.
Date: May 9, 2023 By: /s/ John C. Jacobs
John C. Jacobs
President and Chief Executive Officer
(Principal Executive Officer)
Date: May 9, 2023 By: /s/ James P. Kelly
James P. Kelly
Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer
(Principal Financial and Accounting Officer)
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