Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk
Item 3. Quantitative
and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk
The primary
sources of market risk for us include fluctuations in commodity prices and interest rates. All of our financial instruments are for purposes
other than trading.
Credit Risk.
Credit risk is the risk of loss as a result of nonperformance by other parties of their contractual obligations. Our primary credit risk
is related to oil and gas production sold to various purchasers and the receivables are generally not collateralized. At December 31,
2025, our largest credit risk associated with any single purchaser was $288,468 or 40% of our total oil and gas receivables. We have not
experienced any significant credit losses.
Energy Price
Risk. Our most significant market risk is the pricing applicable to our crude oil and natural gas production. Our financial condition,
results of operations, and capital resources are highly dependent upon the prevailing market prices of, and demand for, oil and natural
gas. Prices for oil and natural gas production has been volatile and unpredictable for several years, and we expect this volatility to
continue in the future.
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Currently, prices
for natural gas have been adversely affected by temporary pipeline capacity constraints primarily in the Permian Basin.
Factors that
can cause price fluctuations include the level of global demand for petroleum products, foreign and domestic supply of oil and gas, the
establishment of and compliance with production quotas by oil-exporting countries, weather conditions, the price and availability of alternative
fuels and overall political and economic conditions in oil producing and consuming countries.
For example,
in the last twelve months, the NYMEX West Texas Intermediate (“WTI”) posted price for crude oil has ranged from a low of $51.25
per bbl in December 2025 to a high of $76.02 per bbl in January 2025. The Henry Hub Spot Market Price (“Henry Hub”) for natural
gas has ranged from a low of $2.65 per MMBtu in June and October 2025 to a high of $9.86 per MMBtu in January 2025. On December 31, 2025,
the WTI posted price for crude oil was $53.40 and the Henry Hub spot price for natural gas was $4.00. See Results of Operations above
for the Company’s realized prices. Pipeline capacity constraints and maintenance in the Permian Basin area had contributed to a
wider difference between WaHa Hub and the Henry Hub and at times prices were negative. These conditions adversely impacted realized prices
during certain periods and contributed to variability in operating results.
Declines in
oil and natural gas prices will materially adversely affect our financial condition, liquidity, ability to obtain financing and operating
results. Changes in oil and gas prices impact both estimated future net revenue and the estimated quantity of proved reserves. Any reduction
in reserves, including reductions due to price fluctuations, can reduce the borrowing base under our credit facility and adversely affect
the amount of cash flow available for capital expenditures and our ability to obtain additional capital for our acquisition, exploration
and development activities. In addition, a noncash write-down of our oil and gas properties could be required under full cost accounting
rules if prices declined significantly, even if it is only for a short period of time. Lower prices may also reduce the amount of crude
oil and natural gas that can be produced economically. Thus, we may experience material increases or decreases in reserve quantities solely
as a result of price changes and not as a result of drilling or well performance.
Similarly, any
improvements in oil and gas prices can have a favorable impact on our financial condition, results of operations and capital resources.
Oil and natural gas prices do not necessarily fluctuate in direct relationship to each other. If the average oil price had increased or
decreased by ten dollars per barrel for the first nine months of fiscal 2026, our operating revenues would have increased or decreased
$608,770. If the average gas price had increased or decreased by one dollar per mcf for the first nine months of fiscal 2026, our operating
revenues would have increased or decreased $501,830.
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