Item 1. Financial Statements
Item 1. Financial Statements (Continued)
FORD MOTOR COMPANY AND SUBSIDIARIES
NOTES TO THE FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
NOTE 19. SEGMENT INFORMATION (Continued)
Segment Revenue, Cost, and Asset Principles for Ford Blue, Ford Model e, and Ford Pro
External vehicle and digital services revenue is generally vehicle-specific and included in the segment responsible for the external vehicle sale. A majority of parts and accessories revenue and cost is attributed to customer sales channels or vehicle lines based on recent end customer sales and is included in the respective segment.
In the normal course of business, Ford Blue, Ford Model e, and Ford Pro transact between segments and cooperate to leverage synergies, including developing and manufacturing vehicles on behalf of another segment. When one segment produces a vehicle that is sold externally by another segment, an intersegment transaction occurs. The producing segment will report intersegment revenue to recoup the costs associated with the unit produced. This includes material cost, labor and overhead (including depreciation and amortization), inbound freight, and an intersegment markup. The intersegment markup amount is set to deliver a competitive return to the producing segment for its manufacturing and distribution service. Costs are reflected in the associated segment externally reporting the vehicle sale, as detailed in the table below:
Income Statement Elements Examples Segment Reporting
Costs specific to a particular vehicle Bill of material cost and initial warranty accrual Reported in the segment externally selling the vehicle
Costs identifiable by product line Manufacturing and logistics costs, depreciation & amortization expense, direct research & development costs Typically identifiable to the product line or production location. Reported in the segment externally selling the vehicle, based on relative volume
Shared costs Selling, general & administrative expense, and indirect/cross product line research & development costs Typically shared across all segments, generally based on relative volume. Certain costs clearly linked to a segment are reported in the specific segment
Intersegment markup costs for intersegment vehicle transactions Contract manufacturing and distribution fees Reported in the segment externally selling the vehicle, for each applicable vehicle transaction
Assets are reported in each segment, aligned to the appropriate operational responsibility. Manufacturing assets, e.g., our plants and the machinery and equipment therein, are included in our Ford Blue and Ford Model e segments. Manufacturing assets producing only, or primarily, EVs and related components are reflected in Ford Model e. Manufacturing assets that support the production of ICE and hybrid vehicles, including those producing ICE and electric in the same facility, are included in Ford Blue. Vendor tooling dedicated to producing EV parts is reported in Ford Model e. There are no Ford manufacturing or vendor tooling assets reported in Ford Pro. Regardless of the segment reporting the asset, depreciation and amortization expense is reflected on the basis of production volume and reported in the segment that reports the external vehicle sale.
Equity in net income/(loss) of affiliated companies is included in Income/(Loss) before income taxes , based primarily on which segment the entity supports or has the majority of the entity’s purchases or sales. The table below shows the segment reporting for our most significant unconsolidated entities:
Ford Blue Ford Model e Ford Pro
∘ Changan Ford Automobile Corporation, Ltd. (“CAF”)
∘ BlueOval SK, LLC
∘ Ford Otomotiv Sanayi Anonim Sirketi (“Ford Otosan”)
∘ Jiangling Motors Corporation, Ltd. (“JMC”)
∘ AutoAlliance (Thailand) Co., Ltd. (“AAT”)
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Item 1. Financial Statements (Continued)
FORD MOTOR COMPANY AND SUBSIDIARIES
NOTES TO THE FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
NOTE 19. SEGMENT INFORMATION (Continued)
Key financial information for the periods ended or at March 31 was as follows (in millions):
Ford Blue Ford Model e Ford Pro Ford Next Ford Credit Corporate
Other Interest
on Debt Special Items Eliminations/Adjustments Total
First Quarter 2023
External revenues $ 25,124 $ 707 $ 13,249 $ 1 $ 2,389 $ 4 $ — $ — $ — $ 41,474
Intersegment revenues (a) 9,177 9 — — — — — — ( 9,186 ) —
Total revenues $ 34,301 $ 716 $ 13,249 $ 1 $ 2,389 $ 4 $ — $ — $ ( 9,186 ) $ 41,474
Income/(Loss) before income taxes $ 2,623 $ ( 722 ) $ 1,366 $ ( 44 ) $ 303 $ ( 147 ) $ ( 308 ) $ ( 912 ) (b) $ — $ 2,159
Equity in net income/(loss) of affiliated companies 55 ( 3 ) 117 ( 12 ) 7 — — ( 34 ) — 130
Total assets 57,990 7,242 2,668 371 138,225 52,427 — — ( 2,123 ) (c) 256,800
First Quarter 2024
External revenues $ 21,754 $ 115 $ 18,019 $ 1 $ 2,887 $ 1 $ — $ — $ — $ 42,777
Intersegment revenues (a) 11,741 21 — — — — — — ( 11,762 ) —
Total revenues $ 33,495 $ 136 $ 18,019 $ 1 $ 2,887 $ 1 $ — $ — $ ( 11,762 ) $ 42,777
Income/(loss) before income taxes $ 905 $ ( 1,320 ) $ 3,008 $ ( 9 ) $ 326 $ ( 147 ) $ ( 278 ) $ ( 873 ) (d) $ — $ 1,612
Equity in net income/(loss) of affiliated companies 62 ( 19 ) 117 ( 1 ) 8 — — — — 167
Total assets 61,372 14,996 3,659 177 148,901 48,613 — — ( 3,377 ) (c) 274,341
__________
(a) Intersegment revenues only reflect finished vehicle transactions between Ford Blue, Ford Model e, and Ford Pro where there is an intersegment markup and are recognized at the time of the intersegment transaction.
(b) Primarily reflects restructuring actions in Europe and China and mark-to-market adjustments for our global pension and OPEB plans.
(c) Primarily includes eliminations of intersegment transactions occurring in the ordinary course of business.
(d) Primarily reflects restructuring actions in Europe, the extended duration of the EV program changeover at Oakville, and buyouts for hourly employees in North America.
33
ITEM 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations.
RECENT DEVELOPMENTS
Electric Vehicle Market
Although we continue to invest in our electric vehicle strategy, we have observed lower-than-anticipated industrywide electric vehicle adoption rates and near-term pricing pressures, which has led us, and may in the future lead us, to adjust our spending, production, and/or product launches to better match the pace of electric vehicle adoption. As a result, we have incurred, and may continue to incur, expenses related to payments to our electric vehicle-related suppliers (battery, raw material, or otherwise), inventory adjustments, or other matters. Further, significant unexpected changes in the EV demand environment have led, and may in the future lead, to incremental competitive pricing actions. These market dynamics may continue to occur, which could have a substantial impact on our business.
As a result, in the first quarter of 2024, we recorded about $0.4 billion of expenses and about $0.3 billion of adjustments related to revenue recognized in prior periods. In addition, slower-than-anticipated development of the electric vehicle market may impact our strategy to comply with regulatory standards, and, in some cases, we plan to utilize credits purchased from third parties to demonstrate regulatory compliance or we may need to modify our product offerings. See Item 1A. Risk Factors in our 2023 Form 10-K Report and as updated by our subsequent filings with the SEC for a discussion of the risks related to lower-than-anticipated electric vehicle volumes and our planned transition to a greater mix of electric vehicles.
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Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (Continued)
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
In the first quarter of 2024, the net income attributable to Ford Motor Company was $1,332 million, and Company adjusted EBIT was $2,763 million.
Net income/(loss) includes certain items (“special items”) that are excluded from Company adjusted EBIT. These items are discussed in more detail in Note 19 of the Notes to the Financial Statements. We report special items separately to allow investors analyzing our results to identify certain infrequent significant items that they may wish to exclude when considering the trend of ongoing operating results. Our pre-tax and tax special items were as follows (in millions):
First Quarter
2023 2024
Restructuring (by Geography)
Europe $ (370) $ (321)
China (309) —
North America Hourly Buyouts — (260)
Other 12 —
Subtotal Restructuring $ (667) $ (581)
Other Items
Extended Oakville EV Program Changeover
$ — $ (291)
Other (including gains/(losses) on investments) (86) 2
Subtotal Other Items $ (86) $ (289)
Pension and OPEB Gain/(Loss)
Pension and OPEB remeasurement $ (113) $ 11
Pension settlements and curtailments (46) (14)
Subtotal Pension and OPEB Gain/(Loss) $ (159) $ (3)
Total EBIT Special Items $ (912) $ (873)
Provision for/(Benefit from) tax special items (a) $ (144) $ (220)
__________
(a) Includes related tax effect on special items and tax special items.
We recorded $873 million of pre-tax special item charges in the first quarter of 2024, driven primarily by restructuring actions in Europe, the extended duration of the EV program changeover at Oakville, and buyouts for hourly employees in North America.
In Note 19 of the Notes to the Financial Statements, special items are reflected as a separate reconciling item, as opposed to being allocated among our segments. This reflects the fact that management excludes these items from its review of operating segment results for purposes of measuring segment profitability and allocating resources.
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Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (Continued)
COMPANY KEY METRICS
The table below shows our first quarter 2024 key metrics for the Company, compared to a year ago.
First Quarter
2023 2024 H / (L)
GAAP Financial Measures
Cash Flows from Operating Activities ($B) $ 2.8 $ 1.4 $ (1.4)
Revenue ($M) 41,474 42,777 3 %
Net Income/(Loss) ($M) 1,757 1,332 $ (425)
Net Income/(Loss) Margin (%) 4.2 % 3.1 % (1.1) ppts
EPS (Diluted) $ 0.44 $ 0.33 $ (0.11)
Non-GAAP Financial Measures (a)
Company Adj. Free Cash Flow ($B) $ 0.7 $ (0.5) $ (1.2)
Company Adj. EBIT ($M) 3,379 2,763 (616)
Company Adj. EBIT Margin (%) 8.1 % 6.5 % (1.7) ppts
Adjusted EPS (Diluted) $ 0.63 $ 0.49 $ (0.14)
Adjusted ROIC (Trailing Four Quarters) 13.5 % 12.7 % (0.8) ppts
__________
(a) See Non-GAAP Financial Measure Reconciliations section for reconciliation to GAAP.
In the first quarter of 2024, our diluted earnings per share of Common and Class B Stock was $0.33, and our diluted adjusted earnings per share was $0.49.
Net income/(loss) margin was 3.1% in the first quarter of 2024, down 1.1 percentage points from a year ago. Company adjusted EBIT margin was 6.5% in the first quarter of 2024, down 1.7 percentage points from a year ago.
The table below shows our first quarter 2024 net income/(loss) attributable to Ford and Company adjusted EBIT by segment.
First Quarter
2023 2024 H / (L)
Ford Blue $ 2,623 $ 905 $ (1,718)
Ford Model e (722) (1,320) (598)
Ford Pro 1,366 3,008 1,642
Ford Next (44) (9) 35
Ford Credit 303 326 23
Corporate Other (147) (147) —
Company Adjusted EBIT (a) 3,379 2,763 (616)
Interest on Debt (308) (278) 30
Special Items (912) (873) 39
Taxes / Noncontrolling Interests (402) (280) 122
Net Income/(Loss) $ 1,757 $ 1,332 $ (425)
__________
(a) See Non-GAAP Financial Measure Reconciliations section for reconciliation to GAAP.
The year-over-year decrease of $425 million in net income and $616 million in Company adjusted EBIT in the first quarter of 2024 was driven by lower Ford Blue and Model e EBIT, offset partially by higher Ford Pro EBIT.
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Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (Continued)
The tables below and on the following pages provide first quarter 2024 key metrics and the change in first quarter 2024 EBIT compared with first quarter 2023 by causal factor for each of our segments. For a description of these causal factors, see Definitions and Information Regarding Ford Blue, Ford Model e, Ford Pro Causal Factors.
Ford Blue Segment
First Quarter
Key Metrics 2023 2024 H / (L)
Wholesale Units (000) (a) 706 626 (80)
Revenue ($M) $ 25,124 $ 21,754 $ (3,370)
EBIT ($M) 2,623 905 (1,718)
EBIT Margin (%) 10.4 % 4.2 % (6.3) ppts
__________
(a) Includes Ford and Lincoln brand and JMC brand vehicles produced and sold in China by our unconsolidated affiliates (about 97,000 units in Q1 2023 and 101,000 units in Q1 2024).
Change in EBIT by Causal Factor (in millions)
First Quarter 2023 EBIT
$ 2,623
Volume / Mix (1,717)
Net Pricing 293
Cost (171)
Exchange (158)
Other 35
First Quarter 2024 EBIT
$ 905
In the first quarter of 2024, Ford Blue’s wholesales decreased 11% from a year ago, driven primarily by lower F-150 volume due to the new model launch in the quarter and ceasing production of the Fiesta in Europe. First quarter 2024 revenue decreased 13%, driven by lower wholesales and unfavorable mix, offset partially by higher currency-related pricing in South America.
Ford Blue’s first quarter 2024 EBIT was $905 million, a decrease of $1.7 billion from a year ago, with an EBIT margin of 4.2%. The lower EBIT was driven by lower wholesales and unfavorable mix (primarily fewer F-150s due to the new model launch). Higher costs reflected primarily material cost for new products and higher warranty costs, offset partially by lower structural costs.
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Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (Continued)
Ford Model e Segment
First Quarter
Key Metrics 2023 2024 H / (L)
Wholesale Units (000) 12 10 (3)
Revenue ($M) $ 707 $ 115 $ (592)
EBIT ($M) (722) (1,320) (598)
EBIT Margin (%) (102.1) % (1,145.9) % (1,043.8) ppts
Change in EBIT by Causal Factor (in millions)
First Quarter 2023 EBIT
$ (722)
Volume / Mix (12)
Net Pricing (548)
Cost 34
Exchange (63)
Other (9)
First Quarter 2024 EBIT
$ (1,320)
In the first quarter of 2024, Ford Model e’s wholesales decreased 20% from a year ago to 10,000 units. First quarter 2024 revenue decreased 84%, primarily driven by the accrual impacts for units in dealer stock at December 31, 2023 (about $0.3 billion) as well as lower net pricing.
Ford Model e’s first quarter 2024 EBIT loss was $1.3 billion, a $598 million higher loss than a year ago. The lower EBIT was primarily driven by lower net pricing and exchange. Favorable cost performance included lower battery raw materials and engineering expense, offset partially by volume-related obligations of about $90 million for batteries and certain other commodities and higher manufacturing costs ahead of the upcoming Explorer EV launch in Europe.
Ford Pro Segment
First Quarter
Key Metrics 2023 2024 H / (L)
Wholesale Units (000) (a) 337 409 71
Revenue ($M) $ 13,249 $ 18,019 $ 4,770
EBIT ($M) 1,366 3,008 1,642
EBIT Margin (%) 10.3 % 16.7 % 6.4 ppts
__________
(a) Includes Ford brand vehicles produced and sold by our unconsolidated affiliate Ford Otosan in Türkiye (about 22,000 units in Q1 2023 and 18,000 units in Q1 2024).
Change in EBIT by Causal Factor (in millions)
First Quarter 2023 EBIT
1,366
Volume / Mix 1,795
Net Pricing 680
Cost (1,054)
Exchange 159
Other 62
First Quarter 2024 EBIT
$ 3,008
In the first quarter of 2024, Ford Pro’s wholesales increased 21% from a year ago, driven by a full quarter of the all new Super Duty truck, which launched in the first quarter of 2023, and higher sales of the Transit range of vans. First quarter 2024 revenue increased 36%, driven by higher wholesales, favorable mix, and higher net pricing.
Ford Pro’s first quarter 2024 EBIT was $3.0 billion, an increase of $1.6 billion from a year ago, with an EBIT margin of 16.7%. The improvement in EBIT was driven by higher volume, favorable mix, and higher net pricing. Higher cost was a partial offset, including material costs (primarily new product-related and inflationary increases), higher growth-related structural costs (including engineering and manufacturing), and higher warranty costs.
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Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (Continued)
Definitions and Information Regarding Ford Blue, Ford Model e, and Ford Pro Causal Factors
In general, we measure year-over-year change in Ford Blue, Ford Model e, and Ford Pro segment EBIT using the causal factors listed below, with net pricing and cost variances calculated at present-period volume and mix and exchange:
• Market Factors (exclude the impact of unconsolidated affiliate wholesale units):
◦ Volume and Mix – primarily measures EBIT variance from changes in wholesale unit volumes (at prior-year average contribution margin per unit) driven by changes in industry volume, market share, and dealer stocks, as well as the EBIT variance resulting from changes in product mix, including mix among vehicle lines and mix of trim levels and options within a vehicle line
◦ Net Pricing – primarily measures EBIT variance driven by changes in wholesale unit prices to dealers and marketing incentive programs such as rebate programs, low-rate financing offers, special lease offers, and stock adjustments on dealer inventory
• Cost:
◦ Contribution Costs – primarily measures EBIT variance driven by per-unit changes in cost categories that typically vary with volume, such as material costs (including commodity and component costs), warranty expense, and freight and duty costs
◦ Structural Costs – primarily measures EBIT variance driven by absolute change in cost categories that typically do not have a directly proportionate relationship to production volume. Structural costs include the following cost categories:
▪ Manufacturing, Including Volume-Related – consists primarily of costs for hourly and salaried manufacturing personnel, plant overhead (such as utilities and taxes), and new product launch expense. These costs could be affected by volume for operating pattern actions such as overtime, line-speed, and shift schedules
▪ Engineering and Connectivity – consists primarily of costs for vehicle and software engineering personnel, prototype materials, testing, and outside engineering and software services
▪ Spending-Related – consists primarily of depreciation and amortization of our manufacturing and engineering assets, but also includes asset retirements and operating leases
▪ Advertising and Sales Promotions – includes costs for advertising, marketing programs, brand promotions, customer mailings and promotional events, and auto shows
▪ Administrative, Information Technology, and Selling – includes primarily costs for salaried personnel and purchased services related to our staff activities, information technology, and selling functions
• Exchange – primarily measures EBIT variance driven by one or more of the following: (i) transactions denominated in currencies other than the functional currencies of the relevant entities, (ii) effects of converting functional currency income to U.S. dollars, (iii) effects of remeasuring monetary assets and liabilities of the relevant entities in currencies other than their functional currency, or (iv) results of our foreign currency hedging
• Other – includes a variety of items, such as parts and services earnings, royalties, government incentives, and compensation-related changes
In addition, definitions and calculations used in this report include:
• Wholesales and Revenue – wholesale unit volumes include all Ford and Lincoln badged units (whether produced by Ford or by an unconsolidated affiliate) that are sold to dealerships or others, units manufactured by Ford that are sold to other manufacturers, units distributed by Ford for other manufacturers, and local brand units produced by our China joint venture, Jiangling Motors Corporation, Ltd. (“JMC”), that are sold to dealerships or others. Vehicles sold to daily rental car companies that are subject to a guaranteed repurchase option (i.e., rental repurchase), as well as other sales of finished vehicles for which the recognition of revenue is deferred (e.g., consignments), also are included in wholesale unit volumes. Revenue from certain vehicles in wholesale unit volumes (specifically, Ford badged vehicles produced and distributed by our unconsolidated affiliates, as well as JMC brand vehicles) are not included in our revenue. Excludes transactions between Ford Blue, Ford Model e, and Ford Pro segments
• Industry Volume and Market Share – based, in part, on estimated vehicle registrations; includes medium and heavy duty trucks
• SAAR – seasonally adjusted annual rate
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Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (Continued)
Ford Next Segment
The Ford Next segment primarily includes expenses and investments for emerging business initiatives aimed at creating value for Ford in vehicle-adjacent market segments. Ford Next’s first quarter 2024 EBIT loss was $9 million, a $35 million improvement from a year ago.
Ford Credit Segment
Ford Credit files periodic reports with the SEC that contain additional information regarding Ford Credit. The reports are available through Ford Credit’s website located at www.ford.com/finance/investor-center and can also be found on the SEC’s website located at www.sec.gov . The foregoing information regarding Ford Credit’s website and its content is for convenience only and not deemed to be incorporated by reference into this Report nor filed with the SEC.
The tables below provide first quarter 2024 key metrics and the change in first quarter 2024 EBT compared with first quarter 2023 by causal factor for the Ford Credit segment. For a description of these causal factors, see Definitions and Information Regarding Ford Credit Causal Factors.
First Quarter
Key Metrics 2023 2024 H / (L)
Total Net Receivables ($B) $ 124 $ 136 $ 12
Loss-to-Receivables (bps) (a) 35 47 12
Auction Values (b) $ 31,000 $ 28,050 (10) %
EBT ($M) 303 326 $ 23
ROE (%) 8 % 7 % (1) ppts
Other Balance Sheet Metrics
Debt ($B) $ 120 $ 129 $ 9
Net Liquidity ($B) 26 27 1
Financial Statement Leverage (to 1) 9.8 9.6 (0.2)
__________
(a) U.S. retail financing only.
(b) U.S. 36-month off-lease first quarter auction values at Q1 2024 mix.
Change in EBT by Causal Factor (in millions)
First Quarter 2023 EBT
$ 303
Volume / Mix 34
Financing Margin 125
Credit Loss (10)
Lease Residual (126)
Exchange 8
Other (8)
First Quarter 2024 EBT
$ 326
Ford Credit’s total net receivables of $136 billion were 10% higher than a year ago, reflecting the impact of increased consumer and non-consumer financing, offset partially by a smaller lease portfolio. The first quarter 2024 U.S. loss-to-receivables (“LTR”) ratio of 47 basis points increased from a year ago, but remained low by historical standards. U.S. auction values in the first quarter of 2024 were lower compared to a year ago.
Ford Credit’s first quarter 2024 EBT of $326 million was $23 million higher than a year ago, explained primarily by higher financing margin and favorable volume and mix, offset partially by unfavorable lease residual performance.
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Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (Continued)
Definitions and Information Regarding Ford Credit Causal Factors
In general, we measure year-over-year changes in Ford Credit’s EBT using the causal factors listed below:
• Volume and Mix:
◦ Volume primarily measures changes in net financing margin driven by changes in average net receivables excluding the allowance for credit losses at prior period financing margin yield (defined below in financing margin) at prior period exchange rates. Volume changes are primarily driven by the volume of new and used vehicles sold and leased, the extent to which Ford Credit purchases retail financing and operating lease contracts, the extent to which Ford Credit provides wholesale financing, the sales price of the vehicles financed, the level of dealer inventories, Ford-sponsored special financing programs available exclusively through Ford Credit, and the availability of cost-effective funding
◦ Mix primarily measures changes in net financing margin driven by period-over-period changes in the composition of Ford Credit’s average net receivables excluding the allowance for credit losses by product within each region
• Financing Margin:
◦ Financing margin variance is the period-over-period change in financing margin yield multiplied by the present period average net receivables excluding the allowance for credit losses at prior period exchange rates. This calculation is performed at the product and country level and then aggregated. Financing margin yield equals revenue, less interest expense and scheduled depreciation for the period, divided by average net receivables excluding the allowance for credit losses for the same period
◦ Financing margin changes are driven by changes in revenue and interest expense. Changes in revenue are primarily driven by the level of market interest rates, cost assumptions in pricing, mix of business, and competitive environment. Changes in interest expense are primarily driven by the level of market interest rates, borrowing spreads, and asset-liability management
• Credit Loss:
◦ Credit loss is the change in the provision for credit losses at prior period exchange rates. For analysis purposes, management splits the provision for credit losses into net charge-offs and the change in the allowance for credit losses
◦ Net charge-off changes are primarily driven by the number of repossessions, severity per repossession, and recoveries. Changes in the allowance for credit losses are primarily driven by changes in historical trends in credit losses and recoveries, changes in the composition and size of Ford Credit’s present portfolio, changes in trends in historical used vehicle values, and changes in forward looking macroeconomic conditions. For additional information, refer to the “Critical Accounting Estimates - Allowance for Credit Losses” section of Item 7 of Part II of our 2023 Form 10-K Report
• Lease Residual:
◦ Lease residual measures changes to residual performance at prior period exchange rates. For analysis purposes, management splits residual performance primarily into residual gains and losses, and the change in accumulated supplemental depreciation
◦ Residual gain and loss changes are primarily driven by the number of vehicles returned to Ford Credit and sold, and the difference between the auction value and the depreciated value (which includes both base and accumulated supplemental depreciation) of the vehicles sold. Changes in accumulated supplemental depreciation are primarily driven by changes in Ford Credit’s estimate of the expected auction value at the end of the lease term and changes in Ford Credit’s estimate of the number of vehicles that will be returned to it and sold. Depreciation on vehicles subject to operating leases includes early termination losses on operating leases due to customer default events. For additional information, refer to the “Critical Accounting Estimates - Accumulated Depreciation on Vehicles Subject to Operating Leases” section of Item 7 of Part II of our 2023 Form 10-K Report
• Exchange:
◦ Reflects changes in EBT driven by the effects of converting functional currency income to U.S. dollars
• Other:
◦ Primarily includes operating expenses, other revenue, insurance expenses, and other income/(loss) at prior period exchange rates
◦ Changes in operating expenses are primarily driven by salaried personnel costs, facilities costs, and costs associated with the origination and servicing of customer contracts
◦ In general, other income/(loss) changes are primarily driven by changes in earnings related to market valuation adjustments to derivatives (primarily related to movements in interest rates) and other miscellaneous items
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Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (Continued)
In addition, the following definitions and calculations apply to Ford Credit when used in this Report:
• Cash (as shown in the Funding Structure and Liquidity tables) – Cash, cash equivalents, marketable securities, and restricted cash, excluding amounts related to insurance activities
• Debt (as shown in the Key Metrics and Leverage tables) – Debt on Ford Credit’s balance sheets. Includes debt issued in securitizations and payable only out of collections on the underlying securitized assets and related enhancements. Ford Credit holds the right to receive the excess cash flows not needed to pay the debt issued by, and other obligations of, the securitization entities that are parties to those securitization transactions
• Earnings Before Taxes (“EBT”) – Reflects Ford Credit’s income before income taxes
• Loss-to-Receivables (“LTR”) Ratio – LTR ratio is calculated using net charge-offs divided by average finance receivables, excluding unearned interest supplements and the allowance for credit losses
• Return on Equity (“ROE” ) (as shown in the Key Metrics table) – Reflects return on equity calculated by annualizing net income for the period and dividing by monthly average equity for the period
• Securitization and Restricted Cash (as shown in the Liquidity table) – Securitization cash is held for the benefit of the securitization investors (for example, a reserve fund). Restricted cash primarily includes cash held to meet certain local governmental and regulatory reserve requirements and cash held under the terms of certain contractual agreements
• Securitizations (as shown in the Public Term Funding Plan table) – Public securitization transactions, Rule 144A offerings sponsored by Ford Credit, and widely distributed offerings by Ford Credit Canada
• Term Asset-Backed Securities (“ABS”) (as shown in the Funding Structure table) – Obligations issued in securitization transactions that are payable only out of collections on the underlying securitized assets and related enhancements
• Total Net Receivables (as shown in the Key Metrics table) – Includes finance receivables (retail financing and wholesale) sold for legal purposes and net investment in operating leases included in securitization transactions that do not satisfy the requirements for accounting sale treatment. These receivables and operating leases are reported on Ford Credit’s balance sheets and are available only for payment of the debt issued by, and other obligations of, the securitization entities that are parties to those securitization transactions; they are not available to pay the other obligations of Ford Credit or the claims of Ford Credit’s other creditors
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Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (Continued)
Corporate Other
Corporate Other primarily includes corporate governance expenses, past service pension and OPEB income and expense, interest income (excluding Ford Credit interest income and interest earned on our extended service contract portfolio) and gains and losses from our cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities (excluding gains and losses on investments in equity securities), and foreign exchange derivatives gains and losses associated with intercompany lending. Corporate governance expenses are primarily administrative, delivering benefit on behalf of the global enterprise, that are not allocated to operating segments. These include expenses related to setting and directing global policy, providing oversight and stewardship, and promoting the Company’s interests. In the first quarter of 2024, Corporate Other had a $147 million EBIT loss, unchanged from a year ago.
Interest on Debt
Interest on Debt, which consists of interest expense on Company debt excluding Ford Credit, was $278 million in the first quarter of 2024, $30 million lower than a year ago.
Taxes
Our Provision for/(Benefit from) income taxes for the first quarter of 2024 was a provision of $278 million, resulting in an effective tax rate of 17.2%.
Our first quarter 2024 adjusted effective tax rate, which excludes special items, was 20.0%.
We regularly review our organizational structure and income tax elections for affiliates in non-U.S. and U.S. tax jurisdictions, which may result in changes in affiliates that are included in or excluded from our U.S. tax return. Any future changes to our structure, as well as any changes in income tax laws in the countries that we operate, could cause increases or decreases to our deferred tax balances and related valuation allowances.
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Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (Continued)
LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES
At March 31, 2024, total balance sheet cash, cash equivalents, marketable securities, and restricted cash, including Ford Credit and entities held for sale, was $34.7 billion.
We consider our key balance sheet metrics to be: (i) Company cash, which includes cash equivalents, marketable securities, and restricted cash, including cash held for sale, excluding Ford Credit’s cash, cash equivalents, marketable securities, and restricted cash; and (ii) Company liquidity, which includes Company cash, less restricted cash, and total available committed credit lines, excluding Ford Credit’s total available committed credit lines.
Company excluding Ford Credit
December 31,
2023 March 31,
2024
Balance Sheets ($B)
Company Cash $ 28.8 $ 25.1
Liquidity 46.4 42.6
Debt (19.9) (20.2)
Cash Net of Debt 8.9 4.9
Pension Funded Status ($B) (a)
Funded Plans $ 2.1 $ 2.6
Unfunded Plans (4.4) (4.3)
Total Global Pension $ (2.3) $ (1.7)
Total Funded Status OPEB $ (4.7) $ (4.6)
__________
(a) Balances at March 31, 2024 reflect net funded status at December 31, 2023, updated for service and interest cost; expected return on assets; curtailments, settlements, and associated interim remeasurement (where applicable); separation expense; actual benefit payments; and cash contributions. The discount rate and rate of expected return assumptions are unchanged from year-end 2023.
Liquidity . Our key priority is to maintain a strong balance sheet to withstand potential stress scenarios, while having resources available to invest in and grow our business. At March 31, 2024, we had Company cash of $25.1 billion and liquidity of $42.6 billion. At March 31, 2024, about 86% of Company cash was held by consolidated entities domiciled in the United States.
To be prepared for an economic downturn and other stress scenarios, we target an ongoing Company cash balance at or above $20 billion plus significant additional liquidity above our Company cash target. We expect to have periods when we will be above or below this amount due to: (i) future cash flow expectations, such as for investments in future opportunities, capital investments, debt maturities, pension contributions, or restructuring requirements, (ii) short-term timing differences, and (iii) changes in the global economic or operating environment.
Our Company cash investments primarily include U.S. Department of Treasury obligations, federal agency securities, bank time deposits with investment-grade institutions, investment-grade corporate securities, investment-grade commercial paper, and debt obligations of a select group of non-U.S. governments, non-U.S. governmental agencies, and supranational institutions. The average maturity of these investments is approximately one year and adjusted based on market conditions and liquidity needs. We monitor our Company cash levels and average maturity on a daily basis.
44
Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (Continued)
Material Cash Requirements. Our material cash requirements include:
• Capital expenditures (for additional information, see the “Changes in Company Cash” section below) and other payments for engineering, software, product development, and implementation of our plans for electric vehicles
• Purchase of raw materials and components to support the manufacturing and sale of vehicles (including electric vehicles), parts, and accessories (for additional information, see the Aggregate Contractual Obligations table and the accompanying description of our “Purchase obligations” in the “Liquidity and Capital Resources - Company Excluding Ford Credit” section in Item 7 of our 2023 Form 10-K Report)
• Marketing incentive payments to dealers
• Payments for warranty and field service actions (for additional information, see Note 18 of the Notes to the Financial Statements herein)
• Debt repayments (for additional information, see the Aggregate Contractual Obligations table in the “Liquidity and Capital Resources - Company Excluding Ford Credit” section in Item 7 and Note 19 of the Notes the Financial Statements in our 2023 Form 10-K Report)
• Discretionary and mandatory payments to our global pension plans (for additional information, see the Aggregate Contractual Obligations table in the “Liquidity and Capital Resources - Company Excluding Ford Credit” section in Item 7 of our 2023 Form 10-K Report, the “Changes in Company Cash” section below, and Note 11 of the Notes to the Financial Statements herein)
• Employee wages, benefits, and incentives
• Operating lease payments (for additional information, see the Aggregate Contractual Obligations table in the “Liquidity and Capital Resources - Company Excluding Ford Credit” section in Item 7 and Note 18 of the Notes to the Financial Statements in our 2023 Form 10-K Report)
• Cash effects related to the restructuring of our business
• Strategic acquisitions and investments to grow our business, including electrification
Subject to approval by our Board of Directors, shareholder distributions in the form of dividend payments and/or a share repurchase program (including share repurchases to offset the anti-dilutive effect of increased share-based compensation) may require the expenditure of a material amount of cash. We target shareholder distributions of 40% to 50% of adjusted free cash flow. Moreover, we may be subject to additional material cash requirements that are contingent upon the occurrence of certain events, e.g., legal contingencies, uncertain tax positions, and other matters.
We plan to utilize our liquidity (as described above) and our cash flows from business operations to fund our material cash requirements.
45
Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (Continued)
Changes in Company Cash. In managing our business, we classify changes in Company cash into operating and non-operating items. Operating items include: Company adjusted EBIT excluding Ford Credit EBT, capital spending, depreciation and tooling amortization, changes in working capital, Ford Credit distributions, interest on debt, cash taxes, and all other and timing differences (including timing differences between accrual-based EBIT and associated cash flows). Non-operating items include: restructuring costs, changes in Company debt excluding Ford Credit, contributions to funded pension plans, shareholder distributions, and other items (including gains and losses on investments in equity securities, acquisitions and divestitures, equity investments, and other transactions with Ford Credit).
With respect to “Changes in working capital,” in general, the Company excluding Ford Credit carries relatively low trade receivables compared with our trade payables because the majority of our wholesales are financed (primarily by Ford Credit) immediately upon the sale of vehicles to dealers, which generally occurs shortly after being produced. In contrast, our trade payables are based primarily on industry-standard production supplier payment terms of about 45 days. As a result, our cash flow deteriorates if wholesale volumes (and the corresponding revenue) decrease while trade payables continue to become due. Conversely, our cash flow improves if wholesale volumes (and the corresponding revenue) increase while new trade payables are generally not due for about 45 days. For example, the suspension of production at most of our assembly plants and lower industry volumes due to COVID-19 in early 2020 resulted in an initial deterioration of our cash flow, while the subsequent resumption of manufacturing operations and return to pre-COVID-19 production levels at most of our assembly plants resulted in a subsequent improvement of our cash flow. Even in normal economic conditions, however, these working capital balances generally are subject to seasonal changes that can impact cash flow. For example, we typically experience cash flow timing differences associated with inventories and payables due to our annual shutdown periods when production, and therefore inventories and wholesale volumes, are usually at their lowest levels, while payables continue to come due and be paid. The net impact of this typically results in cash outflows from changes in our working capital balances during these shutdown periods.
Our finished product inventory at March 31, 2024 was higher than at December 31, 2023, primarily reflecting new vehicle launches and units awaiting final quality review.
In response to, or in anticipation of, supplier disruptions, we may stockpile certain components or raw materials to help prevent disruption in our production of vehicles. Such actions could have a short-term adverse impact on our cash and increase our inventory. Moreover, in order to secure critical materials for production of electric vehicles, we have entered into and we may, in the future, enter into offtake agreements with raw material suppliers and make investments in certain raw material and battery suppliers, including contributing up to a maximum of $6.6 billion in capital to BlueOval SK, LLC over a five-year period ending in 2026. Our actual capital outlay could vary significantly based on the final project costs and potential financing opportunities. Such investments could have an additional adverse impact on our cash in the near-term.
The terms of the offtake agreements we have entered into, and those we may enter into in the future, vary by transaction, though they generally obligate us to purchase a certain percentage or minimum amount of output produced by the counterparty over an agreed upon period of time. The purchase price mechanism included in the offtake agreement is typically based on the market price of the material at the time of delivery. The terms may also include conditions to our obligation to purchase the materials, such as quality or minimum output. Subject to satisfaction of those conditions, we will be obligated to purchase the materials at the cost determined by the purchase price mechanism. As of March 31, 2024, our estimated expenditures for the maximum quantity that we are committed to purchase under these offtake agreements through 2035, subject to certain conditions, consist of approximately $3.9 billion of purchase obligations and approximately $6.9 billion of contingent purchase obligations based on our present forecast; however, our forecast could fluctuate from period to period based on market prices, which could result in significant increases or decreases in our estimate. The actual price paid for these materials will be recorded on our balance sheet at the time of purchase. In addition, as market conditions dictate, we may enter into additional offtake agreements with raw material suppliers or seek to renegotiate existing agreements. Based on the offtake agreements we have entered into thus far, the earliest date by which we could be obligated to purchase any output, subject to satisfaction of the applicable conditions, will be in the second half of 2024. See Item 1A. Risk Factors in our 2023 Form 10-K Report and as updated by our subsequent filings with the SEC for a discussion of the risks related to our offtake agreements and other long-term purchase contracts.
46
Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (Continued)
Financial institutions participate in a supply chain finance (“SCF”) program that enables our suppliers, at their sole discretion, to sell their Ford receivables (i.e., our payment obligations to the suppliers) to the financial institutions on a non-recourse basis in order to be paid earlier than our payment terms provide. Our suppliers’ voluntary inclusion of invoices in the SCF program has no bearing on our payment terms, the amounts we pay, or our liquidity. We have no economic interest in a supplier’s decision to participate in the SCF program, and we do not provide any guarantees in connection with it. As of March 31, 2024, the outstanding amount of Ford receivables that suppliers elected to sell to the SCF financial institutions was $213 million. The amount settled through the SCF program during the first quarter of 2024 was $383 million.
Changes in Company cash excluding Ford Credit are summarized below (in billions):
First Quarter
2023 2024
Company Excluding Ford Credit
Company Adjusted EBIT excluding Ford Credit (a) $ 3.1 $ 2.4
Capital spending $ (1.8) $ (2.1)
Depreciation and tooling amortization 1.3 1.3
Net spending $ (0.5) $ (0.8)
Receivables $ 0.4 $ —
Inventory (2.0) (3.1)
Trade Payables 0.3 1.9
Changes in working capital $ (1.2) $ (1.2)
Ford Credit distributions $ — $ —
Interest on debt and cash taxes (0.6) (0.7)
All other and timing differences (0.1) (0.2)
Company adjusted free cash flow (a) $ 0.7 $ (0.5)
Restructuring $ — $ (0.2)
Changes in debt (0.2) 0.2
Funded pension contributions (0.1) (0.5)
Shareholder distributions (3.2) (1.3)
All other (0.7) (1.4)
Change in cash $ (3.6) $ (3.8)
__________
(a) See Non-GAAP Financial Measure Reconciliations section for reconciliation to GAAP.
Note: Numbers may not sum due to rounding.
Our first quarter 2024 Net cash provided by/(used in) operating activities was positive $1.4 billion, $1.4 billion lower than a year ago (see page 60 for additional information). The decrease reflects higher inventory and lower net income, offset partially by higher accounts payable as reflected on our Consolidated Statement of Cash Flows. Company adjusted free cash flow was negative $0.5 billion, $1.2 billion lower than a year ago. The decrease was primarily driven by lower Company adjusted EBIT excluding Ford Credit and higher capital spending.
Capital spending was $2.1 billion in the first quarter of 2024, an increase of $0.3 billion from a year ago. We now expect full year 2024 capital spending to be in the range of $8 billion to $9 billion.
First quarter 2024 working capital impact was $1.2 billion negative, driven by higher inventory, offset partially by higher trade payables, each compared to December 31, 2023. All other and timing differences were negative $0.2 billion. Timing differences include differences between accrual-based EBIT and the associated cash flows (e.g., marketing incentive and warranty payments to dealers, JV equity income, compensation payments, and pension and OPEB income or expense).
In the first quarter of 2024, we contributed $550 million to our global funded pension plans. We continue to expect to contribute about $1 billion to our global funded pension plans in 2024.
Shareholder distributions were $1.3 billion in the first quarter of 2024, all of which was attributable to our regular and supplemental dividend.
47
Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (Continued)
Available Credit Lines . Total Company committed credit lines, excluding Ford Credit, at March 31, 2024 were $19.4 billion, consisting of $13.5 billion of our corporate credit facility, $2.0 billion of our supplemental revolving credit facility, $1.8 billion of our 364-day revolving credit facility, and $2.2 billion of local credit facilities. At March 31, 2024, the utilized portion of the corporate credit facility was $18 million, representing amounts utilized for letters of credit. In addition, $1.7 billion of committed Company credit lines, excluding Ford Credit, was utilized under local credit facilities for our affiliates as of March 31, 2024.
Our corporate, supplemental, and 364-day revolving credit facilities were amended as of April 22, 2024 to extend the maturity dates of the commitments under each facility and increase the size of our 364-day revolving credit facility. Following the corporate credit facility amendment, $25 million of commitments mature on April 26, 2026, $3.4 billion of commitments mature on April 22, 2027, $0.1 billion of commitments mature on April 26, 2028, and $10.0 billion of commitments mature on April 20, 2029. Following the supplemental revolving credit facility amendment, $2.0 billion of commitments mature on April 22, 2027. Following the 364-day revolving credit facility amendment, $2.5 billion of commitments mature on April 21, 2025.
The corporate, supplemental, and 364-day credit agreements include certain sustainability-linked targets, pursuant to which the applicable margin and facility fees may be adjusted if Ford achieves, or fails to achieve, the specified targets related to global manufacturing facility greenhouse gas emissions, carbon-free electricity consumption, and Ford Europe CO 2 tailpipe emissions.
The corporate credit facility is unsecured and free of material adverse change conditions to borrowing, restrictive financial covenants (for example, interest or fixed-charge coverage ratio, debt-to-equity ratio, and minimum net worth requirements), and credit rating triggers that could limit our ability to obtain funding or trigger early repayment. The corporate credit facility contains a liquidity covenant that requires us to maintain a minimum of $4 billion in aggregate of domestic cash, cash equivalents, and loaned and marketable securities and/or availability under the corporate credit facility, supplemental revolving credit facility, and 364-day revolving credit facility. If our senior, unsecured, long-term debt does not maintain at least two investment grade ratings from Fitch, Moody’s, and S&P, the guarantees of certain subsidiaries will be required. The terms and conditions of the supplemental and 364-day revolving credit facilities are consistent with our corporate credit facility. Ford Credit has been designated as a subsidiary borrower under the corporate credit facility and the 364-day revolving credit facility.
Debt. As shown in Note 12 of the Notes to the Financial Statements, at March 31, 2024, Company debt excluding Ford Credit was $20.2 billion. This balance is $0.2 billion higher than at December 31, 2023.
Leverage. We manage Company debt (excluding Ford Credit) levels with a leverage framework that targets investment grade credit ratings through a normal business cycle. The leverage framework includes a ratio of total Company debt (excluding Ford Credit), underfunded pension liabilities, operating leases, and other adjustments, divided by Company adjusted EBIT (excluding Ford Credit EBT), and further adjusted to exclude depreciation and tooling amortization (excluding Ford Credit).
Ford Credit’s leverage is calculated as a separate business as described in the ”Liquidity and Capital Resources - Ford Credit Segment” section of Item 2. Ford Credit is self-funding and its debt, which is used to fund its operations, is separate from our Company debt excluding Ford Credit.
48
Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (Continued)
Ford Credit Segment
Ford Credit remains well capitalized with a strong balance sheet and funding diversified across platforms and markets. Ford Credit ended the first quarter of 2024 with $27.0 billion of liquidity, up $1.3 billion from year-end. Ford Credit continues to have robust access to capital markets, completing $13 billion of public term issuances through April 23, 2024.
Key elements of Ford Credit’s funding strategy include:
• Maintain strong liquidity and funding diversity
• Prudently access public markets
• Continue to leverage retail deposit funding in Europe
• Flexibility to increase ABS mix as needed; preserving assets and committed capacity
• Target financial statement leverage of 9:1 to 10:1
• Maintain self-liquidating balance sheet
Ford Credit’s liquidity profile continues to be diverse, robust, and focused on maintaining liquidity levels that meet its business and funding requirements. Ford Credit regularly stress tests its balance sheet and liquidity to ensure that it can continue to meet its financial obligations through economic cycles.
The following table shows funding for Ford Credit’s net receivables (in billions):
March 31,
2023 December 31,
2023 March 31,
2024
Funding Structure
Term unsecured debt $ 49.3 $ 54.1 $ 57.0
Term asset-backed securities 55.0 58.0 54.9
Retail Deposits / Ford Interest Advantage 15.3 17.2 17.4
Other 2.3 1.4 1.6
Equity 12.2 13.4 13.5
Adjustments for cash (10.3) (10.9) (8.9)
Total Net Receivables $ 123.8 $ 133.2 $ 135.5
Securitized Funding as Percent of Total Debt 46.0 % 44.9 % 42.5 %
Net receivables of $135.5 billion at March 31, 2024 were funded primarily with term unsecured debt and term asset-backed securities. Securitized funding as a percent of total debt was 42.5% as of March 31, 2024.
Public Term Funding Plan. The following table shows Ford Credit’s issuances for full year 2022 and 2023, planned issuances for full year 2024, and its global public term funding issuances through April 23, 2024, excluding short-term funding programs (in billions):
2022
Actual 2023
Actual 2024
Forecast Through
April 23
Unsecured $ 6 $ 14 $ 14-17 $ 8
Securitizations (a) 10 14 13-16 5
Total public $ 16 $ 28 $ 27-33 $ 13
__________
(a) See Definitions and Information Regarding Ford Credit Causal Factors section.
For 2024, Ford Credit continues to project full year public term funding in the range of $27 billion to $33 billion.
49
Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (Continued)
Liquidity. The following table shows Ford Credit’s liquidity sources and utilization (in billions):
March 31,
2023 December 31,
2023 March 31,
2024
Liquidity Sources (a)
Cash $ 10.3 $ 10.9 $ 8.9
Committed asset-backed facilities 40.5 42.9 42.6
Other unsecured credit facilities 2.5 2.4 2.3
Total liquidity sources $ 53.3 $ 56.2 $ 53.8
Utilization of Liquidity (a)
Securitization and restricted cash $ (3.0) $ (2.8) $ (3.4)
Committed asset-backed facilities (24.0) (27.5) (23.3)
Other unsecured credit facilities (0.4) (0.4) (0.4)
Total utilization of liquidity $ (27.4) $ (30.7) $ (27.1)
Available Liquidity $ 25.9 $ 25.5 $ 26.7
Other adjustments 0.2 0.2 0.3
Net liquidity available for use $ 26.1 $ 25.7 $ 27.0
__________
(a) See Definitions and Information Regarding Ford Credit Causal Factors section.
Ford Credit’s net liquidity available for use will fluctuate quarterly based on factors including near-term debt maturities, receivable growth and decline, and timing of funding transactions. At March 31, 2024, Ford Credit’s net liquidity available for use was $27.0 billion, $1.3 billion higher than year-end 2023, reflecting strong access to public funding markets. At March 31, 2024, Ford Credit’s liquidity sources, including cash, committed asset-backed facilities, and unsecured credit facilities, totaled $53.8 billion, down $2.4 billion from year-end 2023.
Material Cash Requirements. Ford Credit’s material cash requirements include: (1) the purchase of retail financing and operating lease contracts from dealers and providing wholesale financing for dealers to finance new and used vehicles; and (2) debt repayments (for additional information on debt, see the “Aggregate Contractual Obligations” table in the “Liquidity and Capital Resources - Company Excluding Ford Credit” section in Item 7 and Note 19 of the Notes to the Financial Statements in our 2023 Form 10-K Report). In addition, subject to approval by Ford Credit’s Board of Directors, shareholder distributions may require the expenditure of a material amount of cash. Moreover, Ford Credit may be subject to additional material cash requirements that are contingent upon the occurrence of certain events, e.g., legal contingencies, uncertain tax positions, and other matters.
Ford Credit plans to utilize its liquidity (as described above) and its cash flows from business operations to fund its material cash requirements.
Funding and Liquidity Risks. Ford Credit’s funding plan is subject to risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond its control, including disruption in the capital markets, that could impact both unsecured debt and asset-backed securities issuance and the effects of regulatory changes on the financial markets. Refer to the “Liquidity - Ford Credit Segment - Funding and Liquidity Risks” section of Item 7 of Part II of our 2023 Form 10-K Report for more information.
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Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (Continued)
Leverage. Ford Credit uses leverage, or the debt-to-equity ratio, to make various business decisions, including evaluating and establishing pricing for finance receivable and operating lease financing, and assessing its capital structure.
The table below shows the calculation of Ford Credit’s financial statement leverage (in billions):
March 31,
2023 December 31,
2023 March 31,
2024
Leverage Calculation
Debt $ 119.6 $ 129.3 $ 129.3
Equity (a) 12.2 13.4 13.5
Financial statement leverage (to 1) 9.8 9.7 9.6
__________
(a) Total shareholder’s interest reported on Ford Credit’s balance sheets.
Ford Credit plans its leverage by considering market conditions and the risk characteristics of its business. At March 31, 2024, Ford Credit’s financial statement leverage was 9.6:1. Ford Credit targets financial statement leverage in the range of 9:1 to 10:1.
51
Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (Continued)
Total Company
Pension Plans - Funded Balances. As of March 31, 2024, our total Company pension underfunded status reported on our consolidated balance sheets was $1.7 billion and reflects the net funded status at December 31, 2023, updated for: service and interest cost; expected return on assets; curtailments, settlements, and associated interim remeasurement (where applicable); separation expense; actual benefit payments; and cash contributions. For plans without interim remeasurement, the discount rate and rate of expected return assumptions are unchanged from year-end 2023.
Return on Invested Capital (“ROIC”). We analyze total Company performance using an adjusted ROIC financial metric based on an after-tax, rolling four-quarter average. The following table contains the calculation of our ROIC for the periods shown (in billions):
Four Quarters Ending
March 31,
2023 March 31,
2024
Adjusted Net Operating Profit/(Loss) After Cash Tax
Net income/(loss) attributable to Ford $ 2.9 $ 3.9
Add: Noncontrolling interest (0.3) 0.1
Less: Income tax (0.4) 0.6
Add: Cash tax (0.9) (1.2)
Less: Interest on debt (1.3) (1.3)
Less: Total pension/OPEB income/(cost) (0.1) (2.9)
Add: Pension/OPEB service costs (0.9) (0.6)
Net operating profit/(loss) after cash tax $ 2.6 $ 5.8
Less: Special items (excl. pension/OPEB) pre-tax (6.6) (2.9)
Adjusted net operating profit/(loss) after cash tax $ 9.2 $ 8.7
Invested Capital
Equity $ 42.2 $ 42.9
Debt (excl. Ford Credit) 19.7 20.2
Net pension and OPEB liability 4.6 6.3
Invested capital (end of period) $ 66.5 $ 69.3
Average invested capital $ 68.2 $ 68.4
ROIC (a) 3.8 % 8.5 %
Adjusted ROIC (Non-GAAP) (b) 13.5 % 12.7 %
__________
(a) Calculated as the sum of net operating profit/(loss) after cash tax from the last four quarters, divided by the average invested capital over the last four quarters.
(b) Calculated as the sum of adjusted net operating profit/(loss) after cash tax from the last four quarters, divided by the average invested capital over the last four quarters.
Note: Numbers may not sum due to rounding.
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Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (Continued)
CREDIT RATINGS
Our short-term and long-term debt is rated by four credit rating agencies designated as nationally recognized statistical rating organizations (“NRSROs”) by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission: DBRS, Fitch, Moody’s, and S&P.
In several markets, locally recognized rating agencies also rate us. A credit rating reflects an assessment by the rating agency of the credit risk associated with a corporate entity or particular securities issued by that entity. Rating agencies’ ratings of us are based on information provided by us and other sources. Credit ratings are not recommendations to buy, sell, or hold securities and are subject to revision or withdrawal at any time by the assigning rating agency. Each rating agency may have different criteria for evaluating company risk and, therefore, ratings should be evaluated independently for each rating agency.
There have been no rating actions taken by these NRSROs since the filing of our 2023 Form 10-K Report.
The following table summarizes certain of the credit ratings and outlook presently assigned by these four NRSROs:
NRSRO RATINGS
Ford Ford Credit NRSROs
Issuer
Default /
Corporate /
Issuer Rating Long-Term Senior Unsecured Outlook / Trend Long-Term Senior Unsecured Short-Term
Unsecured Outlook / Trend Minimum Long-Term Investment Grade Rating
DBRS BBB (low) BBB (low) Stable BBB (low) R-2 (low) Stable BBB (low)
Fitch BBB- BBB- Stable BBB- F3 Stable BBB-
Moody’s N/A Ba1 Stable Ba1 NP Stable Baa3
S&P BBB- BBB- Stable BBB- A-3 Stable BBB-
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Item 2. Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (Continued)
OUTLOOK
We provided 2024 Company guidance in our earnings release furnished on Form 8-K dated April 24, 2024. The guidance is based on our expectations as of April 24, 2024, and assumes no material change to our current assumptions for inflation, logistics issues, production, or macroeconomic conditions. Our actual results could differ materially from our guidance due to risks, uncertainties, and other factors, including those set forth in “Risk Factors” in Item 1A of our 2023 Form 10-K Report and as updated by our subsequent filings with the SEC.
2024 Guidance
Total Company
Adjusted EBIT (a) $10 - $12 billion
Adjusted Free Cash Flow (a) $6.5 - $7.5 billion
Capital spending $8 - $9 billion
Ford Credit
EBT About $1.5 billion
__________
(a) When we provide guidance for Adjusted EBIT and Adjusted Free Cash Flow, we do not provide guidance for the most comparable GAAP measures because, as described in more detail below in “Non-GAAP Measures That Supplement GAAP Measures,” they include items that are difficult to predict with reasonable certainty.
For full-year 2024, we expect adjusted EBIT of $10 billion to $12 billion and adjusted free cash flow of $6.5 billion to $7.5 billion.
On a segment basis, we expect:
• Ford Pro EBIT of $8 billion to $9 billion driven by continued growth and favorable mix, offset partially by moderated pricing
• Ford Blue EBIT of $7 billion to $7.5 billion, reflecting a balanced market equation and cost efficiencies offsetting higher labor and product costs
• Ford Model e EBIT loss of $5 billion to $5.5 billion, driven by continued pricing pressure and investments in new vehicles
• Ford Credit EBT of about $1.5 billion
Our outlook for 2024 assumes:
• Flat to modest U.S. industry growth at 16 million to 16.5 million
• Full year of all-new Super Duty, which drives positive pricing and mix in Ford Pro
• Lower industry pricing
• $2 billion of cost reductions in material, freight, and manufacturing
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Text extracted from the filing as submitted to EDGAR. Formatting, tables and exhibits are simplified for reading; the original document is authoritative for anything you rely on.